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Sadia Islam Jabin, R193450 (Thesis)
Sadia Islam Jabin, R193450 (Thesis)
Bangladesh
Supervisor
Sirajul Islam
Associate Professor, DBA, IIUC
______________________
Signature of Supervisor
This is to certify that the thesis entitled “Growth Analysis of Chittagong Stock Exchange in
Bangladesh” is an original research work carried out by Sadia Islam Jabin under my direct
supervision. So far, I know, this is a unique and genuine work and it has not been submitted to any
other University or Institution for any degree nor does it contain any material previously published in
any form. To the best of my knowledge, the data used in this research work is adequate, accurate, and
reliable.
I have gone through the draft and final version of this thesis and approved it for submission to the
International Islamic University Chittagong for the award of the degree of “Master of Business
Administration” in Finance & Banking.
(Sirajul Islam)
I am Sadia Islam Jabin, hereby declare that this MBA dissertation entitled “Growth Analysis of
Chittagong Stock Exchange in Bangladesh” is based on a study undertaken by me under the
supervision of Assistant
To the best of my knowledge, the thesis contains no material previously published or written by any
other person, except where due reference is made in the text of the thesis, and a list of references is
given in the bibliography. No attempt has been made to project the contributions of others as my own
as well.
The stock market refers to the collection of markets and exchanges where regular activities of buying,
selling, and issuance of shares of publicly-held companies take place. Bangladesh has two stock
exchanges, Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) & Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE). This sector is mostly
notable field that can be researched immeasurably, and as my core focus is within this field of study
has been Growth analysis of Chittagong Stock Exchange in Bangladesh. This research work has helped
me reach the competitive levels required as a Master graduate in the field of Stock market. Realizing
this research work has been particularly challenging for me, and I learned a lot about the research
world and its code.
I would like to thank all the professionals from the field of Stock market for their previous work. It
has been very stimulating for me to get a remarkably clear picture and gain in-depth knowledge from
professionals in this domain.
I would also like to thank Serajul Islam, Associate professor of IIUC who deserves my most gratitude
as a supervisor for his guidance, availability, and expertise in this field. This thesis could not have
been written without the great support of my supervisor. Not only has he encouraged and motivated
me throughout the whole course but also has faith in my ability to accomplish a research paper on
“Growth Analysis of Chittagong Stock Exchange in Bangladesh” He has provided tremendous
insights and invaluable comments on the thesis.
Further, I would like to thank all the teachers who participated in my education in this Master’s at
International Islamic University Chittagong. Also, I am grateful to the authority of IIUC who supports
me in this pandemic situation and rescheduling the deadline of thesis submission date so that I and
those who didn’t complete their thesis in time will have time to complete it properly.
[Key words: Stock market, number of listed securities & mutual fund, growth analysis, turnover, market
capitalization, GDP CSE]
Table of contents
SL No. Contents Page No
I. Certification
II. Declaration
III. Acknowledgements
IV. Preface
CHAPTER ONE: Introduction 1-3
1.1 Introduction 2
1.2 Research objectives 3
1.3 Significance 3
1.4 Structure of the thesis 3
CHAPTER TWO: Literature Review 4-10
13-24
CHAPTER FOUR: Data Analysis
4.1 Number of Listed Securities in CSE 14-15
4.2 Number of listed Mutual Fund in CSE 15-16
5.2 Conclusion 27
5.3 References 28
Page |1
CHAPTER 1
Page |2
1.1 Introduction
Economic growth and development is the ultimate goal of every country of the world and to
bring the desired growth, continuous and sustained mobilization of resources is required. The
stock market plays an important role in economic development of Bangladesh. The stock
market argument is the process of economic development though a number of ways: a)
bringing together holders of surplus funds and users of such funds; b) offering a broad
spectrum for investment and financing choices to both investors and issuers, c) drawing more
institutions into investment, and e) reducing the dependence of industrial enterprises on non-
security market for capital. Bangladesh capital market is one of the smallest in Asia but
within the south Asian region, it is the third largest one. It comprises of two stock exchange
companies--Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE). These
two stock exchanges are regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). An
efficient capital market may perform as an alternative to many other financing sources as
being the least cost capital source. Especially in a country like ours, where savings is
minimal, and capital market can no wonder be a lucrative source of finance.
At times when the banking sector of the country is facing the challenge of bringing down the
advance deposit ratio to sustainable level, the economy of the country is unfolding newer
horizon of opportunities. Due to over-exposure level of the financial system the securities
market could play a very positive role, had there been no market debacle. The capital market
also helps increase savings and investment, which are essential for economic development.
A Stock market, by allowing diversification across a variety of assets, helps to reduce the
risk of the investors must bear, thus reducing the cost of capital, which in turn spurs
investment and economic growth. From the above points it is easily realize that Stock Market
is the most important sector to accumulate capital for the industrialization of the country, but
it is most vulnerable. For that, I have motivated to dig deep into these issues and accordingly
I have under taken the study to evaluate the performance of the Stock Market. The study is
an endeavor that will be helpful to the listed companies, stock brokers, Management of CSE,
SEC, and Bangladesh Government.
Page |3
1.3 Significance
The stock market plays an important role in economic development of Bangladesh. It transfers the
fund from surplus units to deficit units for investment. The main purpose of the study is to examine
the significance of stock market growth rate analysis. The importance of this study is to clarify
study such as market capitalization, stock turnover, number of listed securities and companies,
stock index. It also plays crucial role to understand the origin of Stock market financial position
that are depends on countries growth and development. With the help of this research individual
can differentiate between their products and service and the mechanism of their work. It can also
help in forecasting CSE trading statistics. The study seems to carry an enormous academic value
since a few studies have been undertaken in this area.
CHAPTER 2
Literature Review
Page |5
A stock market, equity market, or share market is the aggregation of buyers and sellers
of stocks (also called shares), which represent ownership claims on businesses; these may
include securities listed on a public stock exchange, as well as stock that is only traded privately,
such as shares of private companies which are sold to investors through equity
crowdfunding platforms. Investment in the stock market is most often done
via stockbrokerages and electronic trading platforms. Investment is usually made with
an investment strategy in mind. Many large companies have their stocks listed on a stock
exchange. This makes the stock more liquid and thus more attractive to many investors. The
exchange may also act as a guarantor of settlement. These and other stocks may also be traded
"over the counter" (OTC), that is, through a dealer. Some large companies will have their stock
listed on more than one exchange in different countries, so as to attract international investors.
Bangladesh has two stock exchanges, Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE), established in 1954 where
trading is conducted by computerized automated trading system and Chittagong Stock Exchange
(CSE), established in 1995 which is also conducted by computerized automated trading system.
All exchanges are self-regulated, private sector entities which must have their operating rules
approved by the BSEC.
It is also used in ranking the relative size of stock exchanges, being a measure of the sum of the
market capitalizations of all companies listed on each stock exchange. In performing such
rankings, the market capitalizations are calculated at some significant date, such as June 30 or
December 31. Market cap is given by the formula, MC= N*P number of shares outstanding,
and P is the closing price per share.
The only index the CSE has been maintaining since 10th October 1995 is an ALL SHARE PRICE
INDEX using Chained Panache method. This index was subject to unusual ups and downs and
without a distinct base value. Therefore, in need of a clean slate CSE finds the date 1 January 2000
is the best date to start new Indices. An All-Share Price Index with new formula and base date
30th December 1999 (the last day of the year) and new base index of thousand (to mark the
millennium) will replace the existing one and A completely new Selective Index incorporating 30
scripts with base date 30th December 1999 and base index 1000.
CHAPTER 3
Methodology
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This study employed quantitative research approach. A quantitative approach is relevant because
it employs statistics, which is a comparative methodological discipline that uses mathematical
ideas for descriptive data analysis, point inference, graphical representation and comment on the
financial health.
The study employed quantitative research approach based on secondary data Annual Reports and
Monthly Reviews of Chittagong Stock Exchange Ltd, Annual Reports of Securities and Exchange
Commission, Investment Corporation of Bangladesh are the main sources of secondary data. In
addition, CSE memorandam2015 to 2020, Capital Market Development in Bangladesh: A Sector
Reform Perspective, Resumes of the Activities of Financial Institutions of Bangladesh, Annual
Reports and other necessary papers of the listed companies of CSE and other related organizations
are also viewed
This study used a descriptive CSE five years financial performance analysis to measure, describe
and analyze the financial performance of listed securities in Bangladesh during the period 2015
to 2020. Moreover, to examine whether the difference in financial performance of the sector
wise listed securities during the impact of covid-19.
P a g e | 13
CHAPTER 4
Data Analysis
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From the above Table-1 it is observed that CSE Number of listed securities was 232 of the year 2010 but it
has increased 338 at the end of last year 2020. Again, its growth rate decreased to 1.84 percent in the last
year from 4.49percent in the previous year 2019. We also find that the descriptive statistics mean, standard
deviation, coefficient of variation. So the table show that Number of listed securities in CSE increased
gradually year by year. This is the good sign during the pandemic situation COVID-19 for the development
of the share market of our country.
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400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
From the graph we easily evaluate that the number of listed securities are increasing from year to
year and this is the good sign for the stock market.
From the above Table-2 we can see that CSE Number of listed mutual fund was 26 of the year 2010 but it
has increased 42 at year 2013 but in year 2016 to 2020 it was gradually decreased. Again, Its growth rate
were fluctuated sometime it was increased and sometimes it was decreased. In the last year 2020 growth
rate were decreased to 0.00% because in year 2017 to 2020 the number of mutual fund were constant. And
we find that the descriptive statistics mean , variance, and coefficient of variation.
P a g e | 16
45.00 40.00%
40.00
30.00%
35.00
30.00 20.00%
25.00
10.00%
20.00
15.00 0.00%
10.00
-10.00%
5.00
0.00 -20.00%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Form the graph we observed that the numbers are become constant and that are not changing that are
gradually fluctuate in year 2018 to 2020.
Table -3
All % % %
Monthly Share Growth Growth Growth
Basis (Dec19 Price CSE-30 CSCX
to Dec20) Index Index Index
Dec-19 13505.70 11439.82 8187.91
Jan-20 13586.40 0.60% 11676.85 2.07% 8235.90 0.59%
Feb-20 13442.96 -1.06% 11912.38 2.02% 8332.98 1.18%
Mar-20 11328.00 -15.73% 9975.51 -16.26% 6859.90 -17.68%
May-20 11469.03 1.24% 10320.39 3.46% 6752.29 -1.57%
June-20 11332.59 -1.19% 9925.12 -3.83% 6862.14 1.63%
July-20 11957.06 5.51% 10389.29 4.68% 7250.15 5.65%
Aug-20 13908.14 16.32% 12052.97 16.01% 8400.67 15.87%
Sep-20 14167.23 1.86% 11790.99 -2.17% 8507.46 1.27%
Oct-20 13824.13 -2.42% 11370.18 -3.57% 8319.75 -2.21%
Nov-20 13991.43 1.21% 11207.94 -1.43% 8247.06 -0.87%
P a g e | 17
Descriptive Statistics
13175.47 11207.33 7946.65
Mean
Standard
Deviation 1348.61 850.54 822.00
Coefficient of
variation 10.24% 7.59% 14.02%
From the above Table-3 it is observed that CSE all share price index was 13505.70 in the December month
of the year 2019 but it has increased to13991.43 at the end of last month November 2020. But it fell in
during the month March 20 to June 20 decreased drastically. Although its rate fluctuating from month to
month. Again, its growth rate increased to 1,21 percent in the last month from -2.42% percent in the
previous month of the year 2020. Similarly, the cse 30 index and cscx index were fluctuated month to month
sometimes it was increased and sometimes it was decreased.so the growth rate of two index were decreased
at the end of the last month. Again,we have found that the descriptive statistics of the price index where
mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation.
Sl Sector Index
2020 2019 % Growth
1 Life Insurance 70938.449 101567.31 -30.16%
2 General Insurance 7414.135 8910.95 -16.80%
3 Taxtile & Clothing 1142.871 2072.36 -44.85%
4 Pharma & Chemical 25268.976 34451.1 -26.65%
5 Foods & Allied 10,384 17160.09 -39.48%
6 Cement 3169.518 4383.7 -27.70%
7 Eng. & Electrical 3599.467 6072.12 -40.72%
8 Leather & Footwear 4267.797 6968.69 -38.76%
9 Services & Property 1207.769 1750.95 -31.02%
10 Papers & Printing 567.753 904.39 -37.22%
11 Energy 7841.422 10906.06 -28.10%
12 Mutual Funds 4487.408 5428.94 -17.34%
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From the above table we can see that, comparison between the two years 2019 to 2020. In the year 2020,
the sector wise index had fallen desperately and growth rate changing with negative value due to the impact
of Covid -19.
120000 0.00%
-5.00%
100000 -10.00%
80000 -15.00%
-20.00%
60000 -25.00%
-30.00%
40000 -35.00%
20000 -40.00%
-45.00%
0 Ceramic -50.00%
ICT
Pharma & Chemical
Miscellaneous
Foods & Allied
Cement
Energy
Mutual Funds
Bank
General Insurance
Telecommunication
Eng. & Electrical
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
2020 2019
From the graph it has been observed that the sector wise price indices desperately fallen in the last year
2020. So, comparing the last year and the previous year the growth rate also decreased.
P a g e | 19
From the above table, we can easily evaluate the performance of CSE. From 2019 to 2020 Taxtile &
Clothing number of listed company, number of contract, number of share increased than other sector, and
Miscellaneous sector turnover are higher than other sector. The P/E ratio value in ICT sector higher than
P a g e | 20
others sector. It means, in every year companies issued new shares for the public. Issued capital and market
capitalization of the CSE increased every year through the era. Higher the market turnover indicates the
higher performance, Market turnover of the CSE fluctuates. It should be gradually increased. Price index
increased gradually this is also good.
In the above table CSE market capitalization showed growth rate were fluctuate in year to .but the share of
CSE market capital is also decreasing in the last year 2020 The highest market cap rate is 3293302 in the
year 2019 and the highest GDP rate also higher than the other year during 2017. Moreover, we have found
the descriptive statistics of CSE where the market cap, GDP, Market cap to GDP, mean. standard deviation,
and coefficient of variation. Therefore, from the above Table we has been observed that market
capitalization to GDP ratios has decreased 9.63% in the year 2020.
P a g e | 21
30000000
25000000
20000000
15000000
10000000
5000000
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
From the graph it has been observed that GDP rate at market price is also increasing from year to year.So
histogram of 2020 shows the highest GDP rate. But the market cap in CSE are not changing in year to year
its rate also fluctuate. In the last year 2020 we see that the market cap have decreasing.
Market capitalization, turnover and ratio of turnover to market capitalization of Chittagong Stock Exchange
are shown in the following Table- Table -7
Ratio of Turnover
Market to Market
Year Capitalization % Growth Turnover % Growth Capitalization
2011 1972423 186337 9.45
2012 1784461 -9.53% 116905 -37.26% 6.55
2013 2023261 13.38% 99038 -15.28% 4.89
2014 2606981 28.85% 97482 -1.57% 3.74
2015 2487493 -4.58% 88472 -9.24% 3.56
2016 2506113 0.75% 77376 -12.54% 3.09
2017 3123839 24.65% 148105 91.41% 4.74
2018 3123521 -0.01% 86357 -41.69% 2.76
2019 3293302 5.44% 64986 -24.75% 1.97
2020 2447567.1 -25.68% 61728 -5.01% 2.52
Standard
Deviation 519152.0792 38745.70409 2.25
Coefficient
of
variation 20.46% 37.73% 51.88%
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Turnover to Market capitalization of the CSE is 9.45 in the year 2011 and decreasing turnover results is
declining ratio up to 2019 and afterwards 2017 turnover to market capitalization is increasing turnover but
rate of capitalization is higher than rate over turnover increasing till 2020. In the year 2011 the ratio of
turnover to market capitalization of Chittagong Stock Exchange was 9.45 which is highest compared to all
other years of the above table. Again we have found the descriptive statistics of the ratio of turnover to
market capitalization in CSE where mean is 4.33, standard deviation is 2.25, and coefficient of skewness is
51.88%.
Average Volume of Shares Traded per day 10,042 16,871 14,252 10,398 8,253
(Shares)
(BDT.)
In the table we see that, CSE trading statistics from the year 2016 to 2020 increasing year by year and
market capitalization and volume traded share gradually decreasing. fluctuates days fluctuate within nine
days. In the market days, new listing number of securities changed positively from 2016 to 2020 except
the year 2016. Number of the share traded also increased over the period of time and this is the good sign
for the market. The Average Volume of shares per day and per trade fluctuates year to year but average
P a g e | 23
value per trade in BDT are increased in year 2020.The trading system at CSE was known as CHITTRA at
that time. It connected major cities of Bangladesh enabling all members to trade nations wide
simultaneously with ease and efficiency. CHITTRA provided a screen based, quote-driven trading facility.
Investors were allowed to quote an expected price in their buy/sell orders. CHITTRA automatically
matched the best prices.
Table-9
Total Assets
7,618.2 8,218.5
(BDT in 8,091.60 6.21% 8,377.62 (1.90%) 8,025.29 (2.35%)
Million)
6 1
Total
Liabilities
518.64 644.35 24.24% 963.62 731.1 (24.13%) 536.33 (26.64%)
(BDT in
Million)
Net Assets
7,099.6 7,487.4
(BDT in 7,447.24 4.90% 7,414.00 0.99% 7,488.95 0.02%
Million)
2 1
Revenue
(BDT in 206.49 282.51 36.82% 315.13 346.78 10.04% 342.76 (1.16%)
Million)
EBITDA (BDT
(19.3) 58.3 (402.07%) 86.83 104.23 20.04% 113.81 9.19%
in Million)
Operating
Profit (BDT (72.55) 6.91 (109.52%) 36.52 53.76 47.21% 64.17 19.36%
in Million)
Net Profit
After Tax
332.15 347.62 4.66% 347.47 390.67 12.43% 318.81 (18.39%)
(BDT in
Million)
NAV Per
11.19 11.74 4.92% 11.68 11.8 1.03% 11.8 0.00%
Share (BDT)
EPS (BDT) 0.52 0.55 5.77% 0.55 0.62 12.73% 0.5 (19.35%)
In the above table show the financial position of the CSE from the year 2015 to 2020. In the table
we see that total Asset and Liabilities of the CSE fluctuates in every year from 2015 to 2020. But
in year 2020 Total liabilities decreased amount of the total expenditure of CSE, net asset remain
constant in every year. Sometimes it was better than the previous year; few times it was worse
than the previous year. The revenue of CSE increased gradually in every year to the year. The
P a g e | 24
year 2020 ended with a net profit after tax of Tk318.81 million which was 71.86 million lower
than that 2019 and the operating profit increased by tk10.41 than that 2019.the earning per share
EPS also fluctuate every year but in 2020 it was lower than the previous year After all, although
net profit decreased in the year 2020 than the year 2019, but performance through the year was
good.
J) CSE five years Total Asset, Total Equity, Total Labilities and Growth Rate
(Amount in BDT)
% Total % Total %
Year Total Asset Growth Equity Growth Liabilities Growth
2016 7618264275 ------------- 7099623060 ----------- 518641214 -----------
2017 8091595762 6.21% 7447243559 4.90% 644352200 24.24%
2018 8377621343 3.53% 7414000569 -0.45% 963620771 49.55%
2019 8218510976 -1.90% 7487406443 0.99% 731104532 -24.13%
2020 8025285529 -2.35% 7488953192 0.02% 536332336 -26.64%
Descriptive Statistics
Mean 8066255577 7387445365 678810211
Standard
Deviation 284230198.6 163873989.8 180964884.8
Coefficient
of
variation 3.52% 2.22% 26.66%
In the above table we can see that the total asset are fluctuating year to year sometimes it is
increasing and sometimes it is decreasing and the growth rate also depend on changing the value
of total asset the higher rate in total asset in the year 2017. The total equity are increasing in the
year 2019 to 2020 but in year 2018 the total equity lower and the growth rate also lower. The total
liabilities fell in the year 2019 to 2020 but in year 2017 there are higher rate and the growth rate
also become higher. We also find that the descriptive statistics of the total asset, liabilities and
owners equity.
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CHAPTER-5
Findings, Recommendations
& Conclusion
P a g e | 26
5.2 Conclusion
The uncertainty of living due to the gravest threat of feared disease jeopardizing the world’s overall
economy as well as the global stock market. In the pandemic situation, taking on non-therapeutic
precautionary means, such as, travel bans, remote working, to maintain social distancing which is
quite cumbersome from the perspective of Bangladesh, has driven economic depression
inescapable. Since the Corona-virus vaccine will not come any time soon, it’s become a challenge
for the government to maintain the health of the nation and overcome economic disparity
simultaneously. At the end of the study, it is understood that there is no way to improve our
economy without augmenting the industrial sector from the present situation. At the beginning of
the new millennium signs of improvement in the stock market are seen and it is evident that it has
started contributing to the development of an alternative source of industrial financing gradually.
CSE’s contribution to this gradual change is immense which cannot be ignored. CSE’s relentless
endeavour since its establishment to develop an active and vibrant capital market in the country
has become a landmark of success. CSE’s continuous efforts in the pursuit of developing a mature,
stable and an expanded stock market will always be there in its mission and vision. CSE has been
performing different investment related jobs, and undertaking and implementing different
programs in order to accomplish its objectives. The study shows that CSE develop capital market
of Bangladesh by developing many tools in the capital market which are previously discussed, the
contribution of the CSE is indispensable in the industrialization of the country, CSE create
employment opportunity in the country. Since the establishment to the present situation CSE’s
gradual development indicates a bright future of the capital market as well as the economic growth
of Bangladesh. When confidence is restored the total value traded will increase significantly thus
raising stock market capitalization which ultimately will increase the economic growth.
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5.3 References
1. Ahsan, S. M. et al. (2006), Financial Sector Review, 2(1), Bangladesh Bank.
9. Website www.bangladeshstockmarket.com
10. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dhaka_Stock_Exchange
11. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chittagong_Stock_Exchange
12. https://www.cse.com.bd/home/trading
13. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/bangladesh/chittagong-stock-exchange-number-of-listed-
companies-and-shares/cse-number-of-listed-securities