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Chapter 6+7 (CKP SIR)
Chapter 6+7 (CKP SIR)
Chapter 6+7 (CKP SIR)
❖ ALM
✓ ALM is generally viewed as short run in nature.
✓ ALM focuses on the day-to-day and week-to-week balance sheet
management .
✓ The best way to understand the role of ALM is to view it within the context
of the overall sources and uses of funds.
✓ The principal purpose of ALM traditionally has been to control the size of
the Nil.
✓ This control can be achieved through,
o Defensive
o or aggressive management.
✓ The process of making such decisions about the composition of assets and
liabilities and the risk assessment.
✓ Bankers make these decisions every day about buying and selling securities,
about whether to make loans and how to fund their investment and lending
activities.
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❖ Problems with Duration Gap Management
• The shift of yield curve may not be parallel.
• Large DGAP may make sensitivity analysis meaningless
• Duration drift
Non-Parallel Shifts of Yield Curve:
✓ Duration gap analysis assumes that the yield curve shifts in a parallel manner,
meaning that interest rates across all maturities change by the same magnitude.
✓ In reality, yield curves can exhibit non-parallel shifts, with short-term and long-
term interest rates moving differently.
✓ This can lead to inaccuracies in duration gap analysis and may result in
suboptimal risk management decisions.
Duration Drift:
✓ Duration measures the sensitivity of the price of a fixed-income security to
changes in interest rates.
✓ However, duration is not a constant value and can change over time, a
phenomenon known as duration drift.
✓ Factors such as cash flows, prepayments, and changes in the yield curve can
cause the duration of assets and liabilities to change.
✓ Duration drift can make it challenging to maintain an accurate duration gap and
may require frequent adjustments to the portfolio to align with the desired risk
management objectives.
To mitigate these problems, financial institutions can take the following steps:
Consider Non-Parallel Shifts:
✓ Instead of relying solely on parallel shift assumptions, financial institutions
should incorporate more realistic scenarios that consider non-parallel shifts in
the yield curve.
✓ This can be achieved through scenario analysis, stress testing, or using more
advanced ALM models.
Use Additional Risk Measures:
✓ Instead of relying solely on duration gap analysis, financial institutions can
complement it with other risk measures such as convexity, value-at-risk (VaR),
or dynamic simulations.
✓ These measures provide a more comprehensive view of interest rate risk by
capturing the non-linear relationships between changes in interest rates and
asset and liability values.
Regularly Monitor and Adjust Portfolios:
✓ Financial institutions should regularly monitor their portfolios and make
necessary adjustments to account for duration drift.
✓ This involves ongoing analysis and recalibration of asset and liability durations
based on actual market conditions and changes in the institution's risk profile.
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Contraction (Falling):
✓ During the contraction phase, economic growth slows down or becomes
negative.
✓ Interest rates in this stage tend to fall slightly as the central bank tries to
stimulate economic activity by lowering benchmark interest rates.
✓ The reduction in interest rates aims to encourage borrowing and investment to
revive economic growth.
Trough (Low):
✓ The trough represents the lowest point of economic activity in the business
cycle.
✓ Interest rates during this stage are generally low.
✓ Central banks may keep interest rates at historically low levels to support
economic recovery and stimulate borrowing and investment.
✓ Low interest rates incentivize businesses and individuals to borrow and spend,
thus boosting economic activity.
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✓ In a normal yield curve, longer-term interest rates are higher than shorter-
term rates.
✓ This indicates expectations of economic expansion and inflation.
✓ Financial institutions may need to manage their interest rate risk by carefully
matching the durations of their assets and liabilities or using hedging
strategies.
Downward-sloping:
✓ In an inverted yield curve, shorter-term interest rates are higher than longer-
term rates.
✓ This shape often signals expectations of economic contraction or recession.
✓ Financial institutions may need to be cautious as an inverted yield curve can
indicate potential credit tightening and a higher risk of default.
Flat:
✓ A flat yield curve occurs when there is little difference between short-term and
long-term interest rates.
✓ This shape suggests uncertainty about future economic conditions.
✓ Financial institutions may need to closely monitor market developments and be
prepared for potential interest rate changes.
▪ Managing Interest Rate Risk:
Financial institutions use the yield curve to assess their interest rate risk exposure
and develop risk management strategies, including:
Asset-Liability Management (ALM):
✓ By comparing the durations of their assets and liabilities with the yield curve,
institutions can identify potential mismatches and adjust their portfolio
accordingly.
✓ They may increase or decrease the durations of their assets and liabilities to
align with their risk tolerance and market expectations.
Yield Curve Strategies:
✓ Financial institutions can employ yield curve strategies, such as yield curve
positioning or yield curve steepening/flattening trades, to capitalize on
anticipated changes in the shape of the yield curve.
✓ These strategies involve taking positions in bonds or derivatives to benefit
from shifts in yield curve levels or slopes.
Scenario Analysis:
✓ Financial institutions can conduct scenario analysis using different yield curve
scenarios to assess the impact of potential interest rate changes on their
portfolio.
✓ This helps them identify vulnerabilities and develop risk mitigation measures.
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❖ Simulation in ALM:
➢ Simulation is a powerful tool used in ALM to model and analyze the potential
outcomes of different scenarios and assess the impact of various risk factors on
the institution's financial position.
➢ Through simulation, financial institutions can simulate the behavior of assets,
liabilities, and market conditions over time to understand how their balance
sheet and financial performance may evolve.
➢ Here's how simulation is applied in ALM:
Cash Flow Modeling:
• Financial institutions use simulation techniques to model the cash flows of
their assets and liabilities based on various assumptions and scenarios.
• This helps them understand the timing and magnitude of future cash flows,
including:
o interest income,
o principal repayments,
o loan prepayments,
o deposit withdrawals,
o and other contractual obligations.
• Operating Leases:
✓ Operating leases are short-term leases where the lessor retains ownership of the
asset.
✓ They are commonly used for equipment leasing and allow businesses to use the
asset without the long-term commitment of ownership.
• Financial Leases:
✓ Financial leases are long-term leases where the lessee gains substantially all the
benefits and risks associated with owning the asset.
✓ The lessee usually has the option to purchase the asset at the end of the lease
term.
• Leveraged Leases:
✓ Leveraged leases involve a partnership between the lessee, lessor, and lender.
✓ The lender provides a portion of the funds needed to acquire the asset, and the
lessee makes regular lease payments to the lessor.
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❖ Collateral
✓ Collateral is an asset or property that a borrower pledges to secure a loan.
✓ It provides a form of security to the lender, as it can be seized and sold to recover
the outstanding loan amount in case the borrower defaults on repayment.
- Characteristics:
I. Standardization
II. Durability
III. Marketability.
IV. Stability of value
Standardization:
✓ Collateral should have standardized attributes that make it easily identifiable
and quantifiable.
✓ This allows lenders to determine its value accurately and assess its suitability as
security for the loan.
Durability:
✓ Collateral should be durable and able to withstand the passage of time without
significant deterioration.
✓ This ensures that its value remains relatively stable over the loan term,
providing confidence to the lender that it can be sold to recover the loan amount
if necessary.
Marketability:
✓ Collateral should have a ready market where it can be sold quickly and easily.
✓ It should possess characteristics that make it attractive to potential buyers,
ensuring that it can be converted into cash without significant delays or
complications.
Stability of Value:
✓ Collateral should exhibit stability in its value or have the potential for
appreciation over time.
✓ This helps mitigate the risk of a decline in value, ensuring that the collateral
maintains its worth as security for the loan.
- Types:
- Accounts receivable
-Inventory
1. Accounts Receivable:
✓ Accounts receivable refers to the money owed to a business by its customers for
goods sold or services rendered on credit.
✓ These outstanding invoices can be pledged as collateral.
✓ Lenders may evaluate the creditworthiness of the customers and the quality of
the accounts receivable before accepting them as collateral.
2. Inventory:
✓ Inventory includes the stock of goods or raw materials held by a business for
sale or production.
✓ It can serve as collateral, especially in industries where inventory can be easily
valued, such as retail or manufacturing.
✓ The value of inventory as collateral may vary based on factors like market
demand, perishability, and obsolescence risk.
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❖ Floating lien
• Trust receipts or floor planning
• Warehouse receipts
-Terminal warehouse
-Field warehouse
• Marketable securities
• Natural Resources
- Oil and gas reserves
• Real property and equipment
• Guarantees
Floating Lien:
✓ A floating lien is a type of collateral that grants the lender a security interest in
a borrower's assets that may change in quantity or type over time.
✓ It provides flexibility to the borrower to use and replace collateral assets without
requiring the lender's approval for each transaction.
✓ This type of lien is often used in revolving credit facilities or lines of credit
where the collateral may vary, such as accounts receivable or inventory.
➢ Trust Receipts or Floor Planning:
• Trust receipts or floor planning involve financing arrangements in which a
lender provides funds to a borrower to purchase inventory or equipment.
• The lender retains a security interest in the purchased items until the borrower
repays the loan.
• Once the borrower sells the inventory or equipment, they are required to repay
the lender using the proceeds.
➢ Warehouse Receipts:
• Warehouse receipts are documents issued by a warehouse operator or storage
facility to acknowledge the receipt and ownership of specific goods or
commodities.
• These receipts serve as collateral for loans, allowing borrowers to pledge the
stored goods as security.
• The lender holds the receipts until the loan is repaid, and the borrower can
reclaim the goods by presenting the receipts.
• Terminal Warehouse:
-A terminal warehouse is a storage facility where goods are temporarily held before
being transported to their final destination.
-Terminal warehouse receipts can be used as collateral for loans, with the lender
holding the receipts until the loan is repaid.
• Field Warehouse:
-A field warehouse is a storage facility located closer to the point of production. -
Similar to terminal warehouses, field warehouse receipts can serve as collateral for
loans by providing security based on the value of stored goods.
-The lender retains the receipts until the loan is repaid.
➢ Marketable Securities:
• Marketable securities, such as stocks, bonds, or other tradable financial
instruments, can be pledged as collateral for loans.
• These securities are easily marketable, providing a reliable means for lenders to
recover their investment in case of default.
➢ Natural Resources:
• Certain collateral can include natural resources such as timber, minerals, or
water rights.
• The value of these resources is evaluated, and lenders may secure loans
against the expected income or the underlying value of the natural resources.
• Oil and Gas Reserves:
-In the energy sector, oil and gas reserves can be used as collateral for loans.
-The value of the reserves, estimated based on geological data and production
potential, serves as security for the loan.
➢ Real Property and Equipment:
• Real property, such as land, buildings, or other immovable assets, can be
pledged as collateral for loans.
• Additionally, equipment owned by a business can also be used as collateral to
secure financing.
➢ Guarantees:
• Guarantees are promises made by a third party to assume responsibility for the
repayment of a loan if the borrower defaults.
• While not a traditional form of collateral, guarantees provide an additional layer
of security for lenders.
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❖ The Lending Portfolio Decision
_The amount of bank capital
- The size of the loan
- The size of the bank
- Economic condition
_The lending policies of the bank
_Bank size and scope of services
- Participations
_Interest rates and credit risk
_ending and funding strategies
Written Loan Policy
- General policy
- Risk
. - Loan supervision
- Geographic limits
- Credit policies.
The lending portfolio decision involves various factors and considerations that
banks take into account when managing their loan portfolios. Here's an explanation
of the key elements mentioned:
1.The Amount of Bank Capital:
✓ The amount of capital a bank has available influences its lending decisions.
✓ Banks need to maintain adequate capital levels to absorb potential losses on
loans.
✓ Capital serves as a cushion against unexpected credit losses, providing
stability and confidence to depositors and regulators.
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1.Character:
✓ Character refers to the borrower's personal traits, integrity, and commitment to
repaying the debt.
✓ Lenders assess the borrower's credit history, reputation, and willingness to meet
financial obligations.
✓ It includes factors such as the borrower's credit score, payment history, and
references.
2.Capacity:
✓ Capacity evaluates the borrower's ability to repay the loan based on their
business's cash flow and financial performance.
✓ Lenders analyze the borrower's income statements, balance sheets, and financial
projections to determine if they have the capacity to generate enough cash flow
to service the debt.
3.Capital:
✓ Capital examines the borrower's financial condition and net worth.
✓ Lenders assess the borrower's equity investment in the business, retained
earnings, and overall financial stability.
✓ A higher capital investment indicates a stronger financial position and lowers
the lender's risk.
4.Collateral:
✓ Collateral represents the assets pledged by the borrower to secure the loan.
✓ Lenders evaluate the quality, value, and liquidity of the collateral.
✓ It serves as a secondary source of repayment for the lender in case of default.
5.Conditions:
✓ Conditions consider the external economic and industry factors that may impact
the borrower's ability to repay the loan.
✓ Lenders assess the overall economic conditions, market trends, industry risks,
and other factors.
- that could affect the borrower's business and ability to meet financial
obligations.
6.Compliance:
✓ Compliance focuses on the borrower's adherence to relevant laws and
regulations.
✓ Lenders consider the borrower's compliance with specific legal requirements,
such as the Community Reinvestment Act, environmental regulations, and other
applicable laws.
✓ Non-compliance can increase the lender's risk and may impact loan approval.
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