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LH 263367
LH 263367
Project no. 263367 NEBX Connecting cable for Indiv. valves Project category B
Top project
Market environment
Unique selling points (key points) Primary market goals Target segments/lead customers
1. One universal connecting cable product line which match perfect to our new Improve overall profitability of connecting cable
inline valve portfolio Improve degree of equipment
2. Costoptimisation Increase market share of conecting cables
1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year Total Distribution
Core volume 334.712 1.004.136 3.012.408 3.347.120 3.681.832 11.380.208 EUR 25%
AMR 20%
related to Einzelventile Unit Stk. TPC GCN 40%
AS-GCN 15%
1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year Total
Net Sales 1.539.217 4.617.650 13.852.954 15.392.174 16.931.386 52.333.381 EUR
GCM (new prod) 944.085 2.832.255 8.496.765 9.440.847 10.384.934 32.098.886 EUR Ø GCM 61%
Time to Profit (in years) 3,2 GCM avg. (full lifecycle) 59,7%
IRR 140,3% NPV (in mEUR) 22,3
Planning of Phase 1
Project budget for phase 0 and 1 Rough estimate Rough estimation: Rough estimation:
(incl. planned preminary inspections) Total budget budget TEC budget GPC
Resources(YXPLM) - h 4.400 h - h - h
LH_263367_-.xlsm 1/ 27
Estimated schedule Comments (framework conditions and risks)
for Phase 1
Earliest start 2023 / W 26
Duration 24 W
Predicted end 2023 / W 50
Approval
Management BU / PFA / PM / PD
*Please note: Prior to the signature of the project proposal and completion of phase 0, project proposal and requirements specification must be presented and clarified in the PSC in charge.
LH_263367_-.xlsm 2/ 27
Planning Figures New Product
Projekt: 263367 - NEBX Connecting cable for Indiv. valves Currency EUR Unit Stk.
Please set for comments under "Options/View" "Indicators Desired
only".
2025 1
Insert Groups Insert Rows market launch
related to Einzelventile
Legend ² Processing assistance
Summary 1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year
Key products sales volume 334.712 1.004.136 3.012.408 3.347.120 3.681.832 Stk.
Total NetSales 1.539.217 4.617.650 ####### ####### ####### EUR
#######
Total GCM 944.085 2.832.255 8.496.765 9.440.847 EUR
#####
startup curve
startup curve 0 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Optional startup curve 1 10% 30% 90% 100% 110% Key products sales
Total
by region
NetSales byNetSales-rel.
region total amounts
NetSales (5th
Sales share Sales share Discount Core A (5th year) GCM (5th year) 5th year 5th year 5th year
year)
- - - - - -
EUR 25% 50% 920.458 4.232.846 2.596.233 920.458 4.232.846 2.596.233
AMR 20% 50% 736.366 3.386.277 2.076.986 736.366 3.386.277 2.076.986
GCN 40% 50% 1.472.733 6.772.554 4.153.972 1.472.733 6.772.554 4.153.972
AS-GCN 15% 50% 552.275 2.539.708 1.557.740 552.275 2.539.708 1.557.740
100% 50%
Quantities 100% Quantities 100% Market price/ GCM/ Factor Market price/ GCM/
Key products
Factor sales
Total NetSales GCM
the 100% basis of the amount for the calculation of the sales accordingly to the defined startup curve the 100% basis of the
amount for the Max.
50%
calculation of the discount
sales accordingly to to determine
Reference module
relevant to total
relevant to total
Reference prod.
NetSales
NetSales
Summary 1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year
Additional sales volume - - - - - Stk.
Additional NetSales - - - - - EUR
Additonal GCM - - - - - EUR
Additional startup curve
Additional startup curve 0 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Optional startup curve 1 for additional NetSales 10% 30% 90% 100% 110% Additional sales key
Additional
products
NetSales
by regions
Additional
by regions
GCM by regions
NetSales (5th
Regions Sales share Discount Core A (5th year) GCM (5th year) 5th year 5th year 5th year
year)
EUR 30% 99% - - - - - -
AMR 20% 99% - - - - - -
GCN 40% 99% - - - - - -
AS-GCN 10% 99% - - - - - -
100% 99%
accordingly to the
relevant to total
NetSales
Summary 1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year
Sales volume loss - - - - - Stk.
NetSales loss - - - - - EUR
GCM loss - - - - - EUR
Loss curve
Loss curve 0 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Optional loss curve 1 10% 30% 90% 100% 110% Sales volume lossNetSales
by regions
loss by regions
GCM loss by regions
NetSales (5th
Regions Sales share Discount Core A (5th year) GCM (5th year) 5th year 5th year 5th year
year)
EUR 30% 1% - - - - - -
AMR 20% 1% - - - - - -
GCN 40% 1% - - - - - -
AS-GCN 10% 1% - - - - - -
100% 1%
accordingly to the
defined startup curve
Assembly
NetSales
Legend
Project application phase 0 Budget phase 0 and 1 Project application phase 0 Schedule plan for phase 1
1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year
Total NetSales EUR 1.539.217 6.156.867 20.009.821 35.401.995 52.333.381
Total GCM EUR 944.085 3.776.340 12.273.105 21.713.952 32.098.886
accumulated values
1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year
Total NetSales EUR 1.539.217 6.156.867 20.009.821 35.401.995 52.333.381
Total GCM EUR 944.085 3.776.340 12.273.105 21.713.952 32.098.886
accumulated values
Payback
with total NetSales in 8 .month
Indirect NetSales, accumulated
I additional NetSales
1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year
Additional NetSales EUR - - - - -
Additonal GCM EUR - - - - -
accumulated values
II NetSales loss
1st year 2nd year 3rd year 4th year 5th year
NetSales loss EUR - - - - -
GCM loss EUR - - - - -
accumulated values
Profitability Calculation
Project Name NEBX Connecting cable for Indiv. valves End of conception (E.o. Ph. 2): 14.12.2023 Imputed Project Start 2024/01 Hurdle rates for financial KPIs:
SAP Main Project No. 263367 Sales Start (E.o. Phase 4): 19.06.2025 Imputed Start of Sales 2025/07 Time to Profit < 6 years
Project Manager: MLVR Internal Rate of Return > 25,3%
Product Manager: MTO
1) KPIs & Overview (this area can be copied into PowerPoint, please insert as graph)
IRR 140,3% Profitability szenario IRR NPV (Mio.€) IRR Sensitivity -20% -10% 0% 10% 20%
NPV (in mEUR) 22,3 Volume -12.5%, MPrice -1.25%, PrC +15% 102,9% 14,5 Volume 120,4% 130,5% 140,3% 149,9% 159,4%
Time to Profit (in years) 3,2 Volume -25%, MPrice -2.5%, PrC +30% 70,0% 8,2 Market Price 87,2% 114,5% 140,3% 165,5% 190,4%
GCM avg. (full lifecycle) 59,7% Volume -50%, MPrice -5%, PrC +60% 5,5% -0,5 Product Cost 173,5% 156,9% 140,3% 123,8% 107,2%
Volume Deviation Limit -90% Vol Time to Market + 1/2 years 107,2% 19,9
Market Price Deviation Limit -38% MPr Time to Market + 1 years 93,0% 17,8
Product Costs Deviation Limit +65% PrC
All figures related to new products only 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Total
Quantity in pcs. - 167.356 669.424 2.008.272 3.179.764 3.514.476 3.849.187 4.183.898 4.518.609 4.853.320 5.188.031 5.522.742 37.655.081
Quantity growth - 300% 200% 58% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6%
Net Sales in kEUR - 769,6 3.078,4 9.235,3 14.622,6 16.161,8 17.701,0 19.240,2 20.779,4 22.318,6 23.857,8 25.397,1 173.161,8
Sales growth - 300% 200% 58% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6%
Market price (weighted) in EUR/ pc. - 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60 4,60
Product costs (weighted) in EUR/ pc. - 2,45 2,25 2,05 1,91 1,83 1,83 1,83 1,83 1,83 1,83 1,83 1,86
GCM abs. in kEUR - 359,9 1.573,4 5.121,9 8.548,5 9.744,4 10.672,4 11.600,4 12.528,5 13.456,5 14.384,5 15.312,6 103.302,9
GCM rel. in % - 46,8% 51,1% 55,5% 58,5% 60,3% 60,3% 60,3% 60,3% 60,3% 60,3% 60,3% 59,7%
Cash flow, net in kEUR -119,2 -1.042,9 774,1 2.469,4 4.274,5 5.007,0 5.402,7 5.867,5 6.332,2 6.796,9 7.261,7 7.726,4
Cash Flow, net cum., disc. in kEUR -119,2 -1.052,8 -432,4 1.339,4 4.085,2 6.964,7 9.746,3 12.450,8 15.063,7 17.574,6 19.976,2 22.263,9
Change scale of Quantity in overview: in pcs. Change scale of Net Sales and GCM in overview: in kEUR
2) Data Input Plan
Y1 = 2025/07
12 monthly view on sales Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Y7 Y8 Y9 Y 10 Y 11 Y 12
- 2026/06
New Products Vol(Yn)/Vol(Y5) % 9% 27% 82% 91% 100% 109% 118% 127% 136% 145% 155% 164%
Volume of new products in pieces 334.712 1.004.136 3.012.408 3.347.120 3.681.832 4.016.543 4.351.254 4.685.965 5.020.676 5.355.387 5.690.098 6.024.809
Net Sales of new products in EUR 1.539.217 4.617.650 13.852.954 15.392.174 16.931.386 18.470.598 20.009.810 21.549.022 23.088.234 24.627.446 26.166.658 27.705.870
GCM (Group Contribution Margin) in EUR 944.085 2.832.255 8.496.765 9.440.847 10.384.934 11.329.016 12.273.098 13.217.180 14.161.262 15.105.343 16.049.425 16.993.507
Freight & packaging 1,7% of NetS in EUR -16.049 -48.148 -144.445 -160.494 -176.544 -192.593 -208.643 -224.692 -240.741 -256.791 -272.840 -288.890
COGS (Costs of Goods Sold) in EUR -819.478 -2.190.622 -6.036.253 -6.111.821 -6.722.996 -7.334.175 -7.945.355 -8.556.534 -9.167.714 -9.778.893 -10.390.073 -11.001.252
Production Starting Costs Standard 35% 20% 10% 0% 0%
Standard 35% 20% 10%
Short Ramp-up 20% 10% 0%
Late Autom. 200% 100% 10%
Individual
R&D Efforts 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Total
Initial or Future
Invest (Machinery) - 700.000 - - - - - - - - - - 700.000
Invest
Cabel Confection L1 & L2 Initial invest 220.000 220.000
Crimping L1 & L2 Initial invest 60.000 60.000
Assembly L1 & L2 Initial invest 20.000 20.000
Overmolding L1 & L2 Initial invest 300.000 300.000
Final Product Test L1 & L2 Initial invest 90.000 90.000
Packaging L1 & L2 Initial invest 10.000 10.000
Invest 7 -
Invest 8 -
Invest 9 -
Invest 10 -
depriciation (12 years) in EUR - 58.333 58.333 58.333 58.333 58.333 58.333 58.333 58.333 58.333 58.333 583.333
Initial or Future
Invest (Tooling, Devices) - 345.000 - - - - - - - - - - 345.000
Invest
Kontaktträger (From C, C1, B, B2, A) Initial invest 150.000 150.000
Umspritzung (From C, B, A) Initial invest 150.000 150.000
Lichtleiter (From C, B, A) Initial invest 45.000 45.000
Tool: Invest 4 -
Tool: Invest 5 -
Tool: Invest 6 -
Tool: Invest 7 -
Tool: Invest 8 -
Tool: Invest 9 -
Tool: Invest 10 -
depriciation (5 years) in EUR - 34.500 69.000 69.000 69.000 69.000 - - - - - - 310.500
Start of project 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
SG&A cost share in % of total revenue relevant year 31,0% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1% 30,1%
KST Land Land Name TEC Team Team, lang 2016 2017
38 38 38 38 40 42 44 46 48 48 48 48 48
34 34 34 34 36 36 38 40 42 42 42 42 42
160 160 160 160 170 170 180 180 190 190 190 190 190
46 46 46 46 48 50 55 60 60 60 60 60 60
46 46 46 46 48 48 50 50 50 55 55 55 60
95 95 95 95 100 100 105 110 110 115 115 120 125
36 36 36 36 38 40 42 44 46 46 46 46 46
60 60 60 60 60 65 70 70 75 75 75 75 75
12 12 12 12 14 14 16 16 18 18 18 18 18
110 110 110 110 115 120 125 130 135 135 135 135 135
70 70 70 70 70 75 75 80 80 80 80 80 80
48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48
42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42 42
190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190
60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130
46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 46
75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75
18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18
135 135 135 135 135 135 135 135 135 135 135 135 135
80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80
2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050
48 48 48 48 48 48 48
42 42 42 42 42 42 42
190 190 190 190 190 190 190
60 60 60 60 60 60 60
60 60 60 60 60 60 60
130 130 130 130 130 130 130
46 46 46 46 46 46 46
75 75 75 75 75 75 75
18 18 18 18 18 18 18
135 135 135 135 135 135 135
80 80 80 80 80 80 80
Suggested processing sequence for initial fill
1. startup curve 1st to 5th year
4. Select type
5a. Enter the total NetSales of the assembly then percentage distribution of 5a 5a
the products in the assembly against total sales.
6. Enter PC
Phase 0 = project application = spec. PC
Phase 1 = project approval = target PC
7. List price
8. Assignment of the material (product, feature…) with "X":
a) System requ./spec relevant: if marked with "X" then this position will
be transfered in the system requirements/specifications.
b) Total NetSales rel.: if marked with "X" then this position enters as an
item in the total NetSales and the GCM calculation.
c) Key products: if marked with "X" it enters as an item in the sales
calculation of the key products.
d) Product list if marked with "X" it should be transferred to the product
list later.
e) Reference product (should be adopted as the reference product in
system specs/requ. (PP/ PS).
f) startupdelay:
Individual positions can be labelled with a startup delay of one year. In
other words, the anticipated AUD with a product is only taken into
account after the startup delay. 0: no delay; 1: delay of the startup curve
by one year
g) Use "0" or "1" to indicate which startup curve should apply (see item 1).
h) Reference module:
Here, a reference can be made to the relevant reference module. If e.g. a
feature is defined, the allocation to a new or an already existing module
can be made via a reference key (e.g. figure).
What Is Net Present Value (NPV)?
Net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of cash inf
investment planning to analyze the profitability of a projected investment or pr
Key Takeaways
Net Present Value
NPV Net present value, or NPV, is used to calculate the current total value of a futur
If the NPV of a project or investment is positive, it means that the discounted pr
To calculate NPV, you need to estimate future cash flows for each period and de
𝑛
𝑅𝑡
𝑁𝑃𝑉 =
(1 + 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶)
𝑡=1
Important to know
Festo uses the NPV, avoiding imputed figures such as depreciation. Cash in and
If necessary, a correction must be calculated. For example, in the COGS (Cost of
Key Takeaways
The internal rate of return (IRR) is the annual rate of growth that an investment
IRR is calculated using the same concept as net present value (NPV), except it s
IRR is ideal for analyzing capital budgeting projects to understand and compare
A few years ago, Festo used the "Payback Period" to calculate this duration. Ho
"project start", as is now done with the key figure "Time to Profit". Another dif
to profit" is in principle extended.
Key Takeaways
start of the calculation is the "project start"
calculation with discounted payment flows
Time to Profit
TtP
Important to know
cost cash flows are calculatet with cost of sales and "G&A" costs (general and
The numbers are determined monthly, depending on the exact start of the proje
een the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time. NPV is used in capital budgetin
y of a projected investment or project. NPV is the result of calculations used to find today’s value of a future stream of payments.
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶)𝑡
uch as depreciation. Cash in and cash out are shown on the timeline, when the payment is booked or the cost happen.
or example, in the COGS (Cost of goods sold), the depreciation is calculated out by using a value named "depreciation correction"
d in financial analysis to estimate the profitability of potential investments. IRR is a discount rate that makes the net present value
ow analysis. IRR calculations rely on the same formula as NPV does. Keep in mind that IRR is not the actual dollar value of the proj
o.
of return, the more desirable an investment is to undertake. IRR is uniform for investments of varying types and, as such, can be u
n a relatively even basis. In general, when comparing investment options with other similar characteristics, the investment with th
ount of time it takes, to recover the cost of an investment. Simply put, it is the length of time an investment reaches a breakeven p
get paid back, which is why the Time to profit" (TtP) is so important. In essence, the shorter Time to profit" (TtP) an investment ha
od" to calculate this duration. However there was a big difference: The "start of sales" was used as the start of the calculation and
ure "Time to Profit". Another difference is the use of the discounted payment flows, so that later revenues are of less importance a
and "G&A" costs (general and administration). Both costs are calculated as a flat rate as a percentage of the "Net Sales".
ng on the exact start of the project
is used in capital budgeting and
ture stream of payments.
Profitability
Absolute
t will be positive, and therefore
he cost happen.
d "depreciation correction".