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IRFC StockReport 20240214 1118
IRFC StockReport 20240214 1118
192.8
Market Cap: 2.0T Avg Daily Volume: 114.4M
NSE | Feb 14, 2024 11:17 AM
DVM SUMMARY
Expensive Rocket D V M
These stocks are a favourite among investors due to their bullish nature, good technical aspects but they have bad valuation and medium financials.
Durability Score (D) Medium Financial Strength Valuation Score (V) Expensive Valuation Momentum Score (M) Technically Bullish
50 23 74
0 35 55 100 0 30 50 100 0 35 60 100
Total : 2 Ownership 3 1
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Peer Comparison 1 2
Low Estimate Current
32 Price
Value & Momentum 3 5
154
Total 9 13 1
43.5 55
Average Estimate High Estimate
The consensus recommendation is based on 2 analyst recommendations. The Consensus Estimate is The Trendlyne Checklist checks if the company meets the key criteria for financial health and
the aggregate analyst estimates for listed Indian companies. consistent growth.
KEY STATISTICS
Ratios Financials
TTM PE Ratio ROE Annual % ROCE Annual % Operating Revenue TTM Revenue Growth Annual YoY Net Profit Annual
%
33.3 13.9 9.1 26423.4 6337.0
17.9
Above industry Median High in industry Above industry Median High in industry High in industry
Above industry Median
EBIT Annual Margin % TTM PEG Ratio Long Term Debt To Equity
Annual Net Profit TTM Growth % Dividend yield 1yr % EPS TTM Growth %
99.5 -4.7
4.8 -7.1 1.0 -7.1
High in industry PEG TTM is negative
High in industry
Negative Net Profit TTM Growth % Above industry Median Negative EPS TTM Growth %
150 150
100 100
50 50
0 0
APR JUN AUG OCT DEC FEB JUL JAN JUL JAN JUL JAN
Durability Summary
Durability Score Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. has a durability score of 50, which indicates Medium Financial Strength.
50 / 100
A High Durability Score (greater than 55) indicates good and consistent financial performance : stable revenues, cash flows, and low debt.
The Durability score looks at many different metrics, including long-term performance data, to identify stocks that have stood the test of time.
50
0 35 55 100
Durability Trend Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. : Feb '23 - Feb '24 Durability v/s Peers
60
GOOD Indian Railway Finance 50.0
Corporation
Bajaj Finance 55.0
40
MEDIUM Jio Financial Services
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Good Medium Bad Maximum Minimum Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (50) has third-highest Durability score amongst its
0% 100.0% 0% 50.0 (08 Feb '24) 40.0 (12 Feb '24) peers, behind Bajaj Finance Ltd. (55)
Financial Metrics
Total Revenue Annual Cr Net Profit Annual Tax Annual Revenue Growth Annual YoY %
23,932.628 17.9% YoY Mar'23 6,337.013 4.1% YoY Mar'23 1000 17.9% -37.7% YoY Mar'23
646.8
40k 10k 537.8 40
500 28.7
26466.6 6089.8 6337 24.3
20301.6 21.8
4416.1 17.9
20k 13838.5 5k 20 14
11020.2 0 0 0.3 0
2254.7 0
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Total Revenue Annual Cr growth is stable Net Profit Annual growth is lower than Revenue Growth Annual YoY % is falling
compared to historical averages. historical averages. faster than historical averages.
Operating Profit Margin Annual % Net Profit TTM Growth % Operating Revenues Qtr Cr Net Profit Qtr
99.3% -0.1% YoY Mar'23 4.1% -89.3% YoY Mar'23 6,741.863 8.4% YoY Dec'23 1,604.227 -1.8% YoY Dec'23
150 40 10k 2k
1633.4 1556.6 1549.9 1604.2
99.6 99.6 99.5 99.3 99.4 99.3 37.9 6766.3 6741.9
6218 6236.1 6679.2 1714.3 1327.7
100 5809.8
5k 1k
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Operating Profit Margin Annual % is falling Operating Revenues Qtr Cr is falling faster Net Profit Qtr growth is higher than
faster than historical averages. than historical averages. historical averages.
Balance Sheet
Total Assets Annual Total ShareHolders Funds Annual Working Capital Annual Cr
491,146.7 9.1% YoY Mar'23 45,470.3 10.9% YoY Mar'23 247,011 914.2% YoY Mar'23
750k 50k 400k
40996.3
247011
491146.7 45470.3 197424.2 208059.5
30962.4
500k 200k
378051.7
275934.2 25k 24354.3
250k 13565.2 0
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Total Assets Annual growth is lower than Total ShareHolders Funds Annual growth is Working Capital Annual Cr growth is higher
historical averages. lower than historical averages. than historical averages.
Cashflow
Cash from Operating Activity Annual Cash from Investing Activity Annual Cash from Financing Annual Activity Net Cash Flow Annual
-28,583.8 55.6% YoY Mar'23 0.1 101.9% YoY Mar'23 28,643.3 -55.4% YoY Mar'23 59.5 139.5% YoY Mar'23
0 5 100k 500
1.7 1.3 1.5 295.8
0.4 0.1 90202
62713.8
0 250
-27936.2 -28583.8 92.3
-50k 50k 41749.5 59.5
-41748.2 2.6
28026.8 28643.3
-5 0
-89906.6 -4.7 -2.3 -150.7
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Cash from Operating Activity Annual growth Cash from Investing Activity Annual growth Cash from Financing Annual Activity is Net Cash Flow Annual growth is stable
is higher than historical averages. is higher than historical averages. falling faster than historical averages. compared to historical averages.
Financial Ratios
13.9% -6.2% YoY Mar'23 9.1% -81.3% YoY Mar'23 1.3% -4.4% YoY Mar'23 2.1 96.0% YoY Mar'23
20 75 2 40
14.8 14.8 13.9
12.3 48.6 26.9
11.9 1.3 1.4 1.3
50 1.2
9 1.1 1.2
10 20
1
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8 5.6 7.4 7.3 9.1 3.1
0.6 2.3 1.1 2.1
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ROE Annual % is falling faster than historical ROCE Annual % is falling faster than RoA Annual % is falling faster than historical Current Ratio Annual growth is higher than
averages. historical averages. averages. historical averages.
Net Profit Margin Annual % Interest Coverage Ratio Annual EBIT Annual Margin %
26.5% -11.6% YoY Mar'23 1.4 -4.9% YoY Mar'23 99.5% 0.2% YoY Mar'23
40 2 150
28 30
26.7 26.5 1.4 1.4 99.7 99.6 99.5 99.3 99.3 99.5
1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4
20.3 100
18.2
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Net Profit Margin Annual % is falling faster Interest Coverage Ratio Annual is falling EBIT Annual Margin % is growing faster than
than historical averages. faster than historical averages. historical averages.
COMPARISON INDIAN RAILWAY FINANCE BAJAJ FINANCE JIO FINANCIAL POWER FINANCE REC CHOLAMANDALAM INVESTMENT & SHRIRAM
CORPORATION LTD. LTD. SERVICES LTD. CORPORATION LTD. LTD. FINANCE COMPANY LTD. FINANCE LTD.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
P/E Ratio TTM 33.3 29.7 566.8 7.4 9.5 29.3 13.4
Price to Book Value 4.4 7.5 9.8 1.2 2.2 6.6 2.0
Price to Sales TTM 7.6 8.0 347.1 1.6 2.8 5.4 2.6
Price to Free Cash Flow 59.5 -1830.7 -0.3 -874.2 -179.9 -1787.0 -5998.8
Valuation Summary
Valuation Score Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. has a valuation score of 23, which indicates an Expensive Valuation.
23 / 100
A High Valuation Score (greater than 50) indicates the stock is competitively priced at current P/E, P/BV and share price.
The Valuation helps you identify stocks which are still bargains, and whose strengths are not fully priced into the share price.
Expensive Valuation
23
0 30 50 100
Valuation Trend Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. : Feb '23 - Feb '24 Valuation v/s Peers
100
Indian Railway Finance 23.3
Corporation
75 Bajaj Finance 24.8
23
23
23
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Good Medium Bad Maximum Minimum Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (23) has sixth-highest Valuation score amongst its
44.3% 46.7% 8.9% 54.2 (17 Apr '23) 19.7 (20 Jan '24) peers, behind Bajaj Finance Ltd. (25)
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. has spent 98.0% of the time below the current P/E 33.3.
This puts it in the PE Strong Sell Zone
Strong Sell Zone 98.0% into P/E buy sell zone This is based on the tendency of the P/E value to revert to its historical mean.
If the P/E value has spent most of its time below the current value, then it means that most gains
have probably been realised already, and it is time to sell.
Strong upside potential % time spent below current P/E Gains already realized If the P/E value has spent very little time below the current value, then it means that there is strong
potential upside, and it is time to buy.
Valuation Metrics
33.3 523.4% YoY Feb'24 1.5 5.4% YoY Feb'24 0.3 12.9% YoY Feb'24 60.1 1.5% YoY Feb'24
40 2 0.5 75
33.3 59.3 60.1
1.9 0.4
1.4 1.5 53.6
0.3
0.3 50 42.1
20 1 0.25
25
7.6
4.6 5.3
0
0 0 0 0
Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Feb'24 Mar'22 Mar'23 Feb'24 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Feb'24 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Feb'24
Momentum Summary
Momentum Score Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. has a Momentum score of 74, which indicates that it is Technically Bullish.
74 / 100
A High Momentum Score indicates the stock is seeing buyer demand, and is bullish across its technicals compared to the rest of the stock
universe.
Momentum is a very effective short term score, while Durability and Valuation help assess the stock’s health over the long term.
Technically Bullish
74
0 35 60 100
Momentum Trend Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. : Feb '23 - Feb '24 Momentum v/s Peers 13 Feb '24
100
Indian Railway Finance 73.6
Corporation
75 Bajaj Finance 34.7
GOOD
Jio Financial Services 36.1
50
23
23
23
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Good Medium Bad Maximum Minimum Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (74) has highest Momentum score amongst its peers.
66.8% 33.2% 0% 82.1 (24 Jan '24) 45.6 (18 Jul '23)
ATR
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225
12.5
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. is trading above 6 out of 8 SMAs. Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. is trading above 6 out of 8 EMAs.
5Day SMA 152.9 50Day SMA 121.3 5Day EMA 151.8 26Day EMA 146.7
10Day SMA 160 100Day SMA 98.1 10Day EMA 155.5 50Day EMA 129.1
20Day SMA 160.9 150Day SMA 82 12Day EMA 155.6 100Day EMA 105.8
30Day SMA 142.5 200Day SMA 69.8 20Day EMA 151.5 200Day EMA 81.4
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. is trading below 4 out of 9 Oscillators in bearish Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. at 154.00 is trading above it's Pivot 145.80.
zone.
200
BEARISH NEUTRAL BULLISH R3 - 192.6
PIVOT - 145.8
RSI(14) 54.0 MACD(12, 26, 9) 8.8
140
S1 - 135.3
Stochastic Oscillator 20.4 Stochastic RSI 10.5
Volatility Metrics
Beta
1 month 3 month 1 year 3 year ADX Day Bollinger Bands Mid_20_2
beta value for 3 month indicates price tends to be more volatile than the market
Checklist Summary
40.9% pass 9 | 13
=
Financial
2|6
+
Value & Momentum
3|5
+
Ownership
3|1
+
Peer Comparison
1|2
Company has seen consistent profit growth in the last eight The stock is in the Buy Zone according to its historical P/E?
quarters? No
No The stock is in the Buy Zone according to its historical P/E
Stock has seen consistent profit growth in the last eight quarters
FII/FPI or DIIs are buying the stock? Company is giving better long term returns than the industry?
Yes
Institutions have been increasing stake in the company over the past Yes Company is giving better long term returns than the industry
four quarters
Forecaster
55.0
50
1 1 1 1 1 1
43.5
40
1 1 1 1 1 1
32.0
2023-09-30 2023-10-29 2023-11-25 2023-12-30 2024-01-27 2024-02-10 30
FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Future Avg. Estimate High Estimate Low Estimate
The consensus recommendation from 2 analysts for Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. is
BUY
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd.'s share price target is below the current price, with a
downside of 70.6%
100%
86.4% 86.4% 86.4% 86.4% 86.4%
Promoter 86.4%
75%
DII 1.1%
50%
Public 11.3% -% -% -% -% -%
0%
Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023 Sep 2023 Dec 2023
Retail investors (Promoter) form the biggest shareholding segment Promoter , Pledges as % of promoter shares (%) , Locked as % of promoter shares (%) , FII ,
DII , over the Dec 2023 quarter
39.0 Mutual Funds have decreased holdings from 0.50% to 0.40% in Dec 2023 qtr
40 36.0
33.0 33.0 32.0
Number of MF schemes increased from 15 to 16 in Dec 2023 qtr.
30
25.0
22.0 22.0 22.0
20.0 FII/FPI have increased holdings from 1.14% to 1.15% in Dec 2023 qtr.
20
14.0 14.0
10.0
Number of FII/FPI investors increased from 130 to 149 in Dec 2023 qtr.
10
4.0 5.0
Institutional Investors have decreased holdings from 2.77% to 2.30% in Dec 2023
0 qtr
Aug-2023 Sep-2023 Oct-2023 Nov-2023 Dec-2023
Promoters
MANAGEMENT INFORMATION
DIRECTOR INFORMATION
Durability scores are calculated from 0-100, with zero the worst and 100 the best. Trendlyne Checklist evaluates a stock based on its financial performance, ownership, peer
Durability scores above 55 are considered good(G) and below 35 are considered bad(B). comparison, value and momentum. This helps give an overall performance of the
Scores between 35-55 are considered neutral/Medium/Middle(M). company based on the score.
Stocks with a high durability score (top 20 percentile) are companies that have
consistently and over time, demonstrated good growth and cash flow, stable revenues
and profits, and low debt. PE buy/sell zone
The durability score considers several different metrics and ratios around earnings and
models these over time. Our stocks with high durability scores outperform the index The PE buy/sell zone is calculated based on how many days a stock has traded at its
significantly current PE level. The current PE is compared to the stock’s historical PE performance, to
find out how often (for how many days in the past) the stock has traded at its current PE
value.
Valuation Score If the stock has usually traded above its current PE level (it’s at a higher PE for the
majority of trading days), then the stock is cheaper than usual and in the PE buy zone.
Valuation scores are calculated from 0-100, with zero the worst and 100 the best. If the stock has usually traded below its current PE level (it’s at a lower PE for the
Valuation scores above 50 are considered good(G) and below 30 are considered bad(B). majority of trading days), then the stock is more expensive than usual and in the PE sell
Scores between 30-50 are considered neutral/Medium/Middle(M) zone.
Stocks with a high valuation score (top 20 percentile) are companies whose business and
financial advantages have not yet been priced into their share price. These companies
typically have strong earnings but are currently flying under the radar, and Trendlyne’s Price Volume Charts
valuation score helps shine a spotlight on these companies.
Firms with a low valuation score (bottom 20 percentile) are expensive stocks that have Price volume charts are a type of financial chart that combines two key pieces of
good broker coverage and already have their strengths priced in. They are popular but information about a stock: its price and trading volume. They are commonly used in
pricey. If you are buying them now it would be for a steep price tag: valuation scores help technical analysis to identify trends and patterns in the market.
you identify that. In a price volume chart, the price of the security is plotted on the vertical axis, while the
trading volume is shown on the horizontal axis. Each data point on the chart represents a
single trading day, and the size of the data point may be proportional to the trading
Momentum Score volume.
Scores are calculated from 0-100, with zero being the worst and 100 the best.
Momentum scores above 59 are considered good(G) and below 30 are considered Peer Comparison
bad(B). Scores between 30-59 are considered neutral/Medium/Middle(M)
Momentum score or momentum score identifies the bullish/bearish nature of the stock. Peer comparison in financial analysis is a method of comparing the financial performance
Stocks with a high momentum score (which is calculated daily from over 30 technical and position of one company to its competitors or peers in the same industry or sector.
indicators) are seeing their share price rise, and increase in volumes and sentiment. The purpose of this comparison is to gain insights into how the company is performing
A low and falling momentum score indicates a falling share price. The pace at which this is relative to its competitors and to identify areas where it may be underperforming or
changing is also important for the momentum score. overperforming. In Trendlyne’s stock report, DVM scores are also included in the peer
comparison section.
Analyst recommendation
Technical Analysis
Analyst recommendation of a stock is an assessment made by financial analysts or
brokerage firms about the investment potential of a particular stock. It is usually based Technical analysis is a method of analyzing stocks and other financial instruments that
on a thorough analysis of the company's financial performance, market trends, industry relies on charts and statistical indicators to identify trends and patterns in price and
outlook, and other factors that may impact the stock's value. trading volume.
The analyst recommendation of a stock typically takes the form of a rating or a Key momentum metrics included - relative strength index (RSI), Stochastic RSI, Ultimate
recommendation, such as "buy," "hold," or "sell." The recommendation is usually Oscillator, moving average convergence divergence (MACD), average true range (ATR),
accompanied by a price target, which is the analyst's estimate of the stock's fair value. money flow index (MFI), William, CCI 20 and Awesome Oscillator. Simple and
A low and falling momentum score indicates a falling share price. The pace at which this is exponential moving averages are also included.
changing is also important for the momentum score. To analyse the volatility of the stock, Beta over different periods of time, Average
Directional Movement Index and Bollinger bonds are used. Along with this, active
candlesticks, daily volume analysis is also provided in the rapport.
Disclaimer
© 2024 Giskard Datatech Pvt Ltd
Republication or redistribution of Giskard content, including by framing or similar means, is prohibited without the prior written consent of Giskard. All information in this report is assumed to be
accurate to the best of our ability. Giskard is not liable for any errors or delays in Giskard content, or for any actions taken in reliance on such content. Any forward-looking statements included in the
Giskard content are based on certain assumptions and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations.