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The Boards Role in Building Resilience
The Boards Role in Building Resilience
December 2022
Resilience means both protecting against the the US. CEOs likewise report strong balance sheets.
downside of potential shocks and preparing to Innovation is alive and well, and this is a moment
capture the upside. In this episode of the Inside the when everyone is thinking through how to take
Strategy Room podcast, three experts discuss the advantage of digital, improve productivity levels,
board’s role in building that resilience to weather and drive innovation and growth. We are getting
the current volatility. Asutosh Padhi, McKinsey’s mixed signals on the economy, but we believe that
managing partner for North America, is joined by moments of high uncertainty are when institutions
Celia Huber, who leads our board services work have to differentiate. In previous downturns, the
in the region, and Ida Kristensen, coleader of actions that companies took made a tenfold
McKinsey’s risk and resilience practice in North difference in share price over a seven- to ten-year
America and leader of the global cybersecurity period. Likewise, the actions that leaders take today
practice. This is an edited transcript of the matter, and boards can enable them.
discussion. For more conversations on the strategy
Sean Brown: Are boards well prepared to address
issues that matter, follow the series on your
a potential new series of negative events? They
preferred podcast platform.
generally rose to the COVID-19 challenge.
Sean Brown: Why is resilience on the board
Celia Huber: In our global board director surveys,
agenda now?
boards say they are very prepared to deal with
Ida Kristensen: We’re facing an amazing set of some challenges close to home, such as employee
disruptions. First, the highest inflation since the safety, but they feel unprepared for larger-scale
1970s, and while energy receives a lot of attention, forces. Major crises, macroeconomic shocks,
core inflation is also high, and it is unclear what climate change—directors find these challenges
governments and other institutions will do. GDP ambiguous. But boards have learned over the
slowdowns seem to be continuing, but how past two years that their clock speed and ability
deep will it be and for how long? There is a lot of to make decisions need to increase to match the
volatility in the capital markets as well, and while environment. I don’t know many boards that are
they are quite robust, access to capital and credit just doing quarterly meetings anymore. They
is tightening, which is particularly important for have added ad hoc phone and virtual meetings in
growth-oriented companies. between regularly scheduled ones.
We see continued supply chain challenges. In our It was also interesting that board members see
surveys, we see increasingly negative sentiment opportunities to improve their efficiency and
from consumers and businesses. We see job effectiveness during crises. One piece I found
growth, which normally would not be consistent surprising is that only 7 percent of the respondents
with recessionary trends, but the tight labor market believe that over the past year their board was
is paired with decreased productivity in many “most effective” at risk management, but 40 percent
countries. On top of all these macroeconomic said their organizations are currently well prepared
elements, we have continuing uncertainty around for the next large crisis. That still leaves 60 percent
the pandemic and geopolitical tensions. In of board members feeling unprepared.
conversations with CEOs and boards, uncertainty is
Ida Kristensen: And there are ways boards can
the number-one topic that comes up. But there is a
prepare. For example, we sometimes stage war
lot more resilience built into the system today than
games around potential crises, and I recently
in previous times of volatility.
participated in one with a North American company,
Asutosh Padhi: Yes, it’s not all gloom and a joint session for board members and the executive
doom. Consumer sentiment is at an all-time low, management. It was a ransomware-attack scenario
but consumer balance sheets continue to be played out over 3.5 hours, and it was more gripping
extraordinarily strong, totaling $3 trillion of cash in than the latest James Bond movie, a really high-
intensity situation. At the end, the CEO turned to the past downturns, which means that planning an
chair of the board and said, “If this had been real, I exit from the slowdown should start now. Board
would now resign from the company.” When you do members should make sure that management
these exercises and play through the decisions you is focused on both defense and offense. What
would have to make, it brings them to life and that measures should we take to protect the firm in
gives you some muscle memory. the short term? What opportunities can we find to
improve our business portfolio?
Sean Brown: Given those mixed economic signals,
what are some ways, aside from war games, that Finally, talent is an important topic. Amidst talent
boards and management teams can plan for shortages, some of our clients are considering not
different eventualities? filling open positions, but our advice is to not cut
to the bone. Manage your talent, because you will
Ida Kristensen: Financial and geopolitical volatility
need all of them soon.
will likely be with us for a long time; it may be the
new normal. So, one thing we advise clients is to not Asutosh Padhi: The decisions that boards now
rely on forecasts. The only thing you know about support and influence will have an impact on their
your forecast is that it will be wrong. You need to companies for the next three, ten, 20 years. This is
think about scenarios and interdependencies and a moment to simultaneously focus on both growth
plan for what you would do in those situations. and productivity. Productivity alone can help get
you through, but on the other side of the business
Many board members have experienced more
cycle you may lose strategic distance.
economic cycles than the current management, so
they can ask: How do we create a new playbook that Secondly, most management teams and boards
builds on everything we have learned from the past? have a view on the businesses they want to be in
Secondly, boards can help ensure that the focus is today and in the future, and we think this is a time
not just on short-term protection of the business. to accelerate both divestitures and acquisitions.
There is a higher premium on short-term earnings The third element boards should pay attention
and profitability given the rising interest rates, but to is strategic optionality, which comes from the
this recession may be shallower and shorter than health of the balance sheet. What is our fixed-cost
effectiveness of the response. What results from Sean Brown: What is the board’s role on each
these actions? And what is an enduring aspect of those three aspects of resilience—foresight,
of the response? What are we learning that is not response, and adaptation?
just an in-the-moment exercise but can change
Celia Huber: On foresight, the board’s role is
how we run the institution? An example is board
thinking about the main areas of uncertainty. Many
and management interactions: long presentations
boards I work with use scenario planning as a tool
versus much more bite-sized, problem-solving
to understand the main drivers of uncertainty and
topics. How does the CEO communicate with
the early-warning indicators that you are heading
customers and with employees? You want to use
into that scenario. On response, the board’s role
this as a moment to accelerate.
depends on the specifics of the crisis, and whether
Ida Kristensen: It reminds me of something it is a moment to be seized. Most companies that
JPMorgan Chase chair and CEO Jamie Dimon came out of the 2008 recession in a strong position
shared in the CEO Excellence book. During had used that downturn to make bold strategic
the 2008 financial crisis, he thought talking moves. So, boards can ask, what are those moves
theoretically about what was happening at board for our company and what strategic decisions
meetings wasn’t the best use of his time. Instead, he need to be made or business model changes
pulled the board members out to the trading floor so implemented? For example, in the industry I work in,
they could see in real time. During crises, the board which is healthcare, one of the necessary business
plays a different role around foresight, response, model changes recently was more digital delivery,
and adaptation. Rather than debating the response, particularly of primary care, and that had to happen
it is probably more helpful to tell management, almost overnight. As for the adaptation questions,
“Go run with it and tell us what you need.” But the how can we expand those capabilities? Can we take
board can play an important role in ensuring the that virtual health offering and turn it into something
organization learns from the crisis. bigger and bolder?
Ida Kristensen: Fundamentally, the board members
can think about the balance between defensive
Celia Huber is a senior partner in McKinsey’s Bay Area office, Ida Kristensen is a senior partner in the New York office, and
Asutosh Padhi is a senior partner in the Chicago office. Sean Brown, global director of communications for the Strategy &
Corporate Finance Practice, is based in Boston.