Mauritius Meteorological Services

St. Paul Road, Vacoas

Tel: (230)6861031/2 Fax: (230)6861033
Email: meteo@intnet.mu
Website: http://metservice.intnet.mu

Weather Outlook for Mauritius, Rodrigues and St-Brandon, issued at 1610 hours on Sunday
18 February 2024.
General Situation
1. The Tropical cyclone Djoungou has intensified into an intense tropical cyclone in the morning
today and it continues to evolve in a favorable environment. At 16h00 today, it was centered near
latitude 19.8 degrees south and longitude 78.8 degrees east, that is at a distance of about 1650 km
almost to the east of Rodrigues. It is moving in a general east-south-easterly direction at an
accelerated speed of about 35 km/h.
Most weather models indicate that Djoungou will maintain this intensity till tomorrow and as it will
move to higher latitudes, it will transition to a post tropical system. It does not represent a threat
since it will continue to move away from the Mascarenes Islands towards the south-east.
2. The low-level circulation off the north-east coast of Madagascar has intensified into a tropical
disturbance this morning and it is expected to continue to develop. Latest satellite image indicate
more organized convective clouds in the vicinity of the system. Most weather models are
intensifying the system as from early this week while moving initially towards the north east. There
is likelihood that this system may reach the naming stage during the night of Monday 19 to early
Tuesday 20 morning. However, there are still some uncertainties regarding the intensity and
movement of the system. The Mauritius Meteorological Services is keeping a close watch on the
evolution of this system.

Weather outlook for Sunday 18 to Wednesday 21 February, 2024

Mauritius:
Passing showers, mainly to the East, the South and the Central Plateau. The showers are likely to
be more frequent and scattered as from Wednesday 21. The showers are likely to become moderate
at times.
Wind will blow from the east-south-easterly at a speed of about 25 km/h with peaks of 50 km/h,
strengthening gradually as from Wednesday night.

St Brandon:
Partly cloudy to cloudy with showers at times, becoming thundery as from tomorrow.
Wind south-easterly to southerly 20 km/h, strengthening gradually to reach 55 km/h with gust of
100 km/h as from Wednesday 21.
The sea will become very rough with swells and the wave height of the order or 5 to 6 meters.

Rodrigues:
Partly cloudy on Sunday with few showers.
Wind easterly 35 km/h with gusts of the order of 70 km/h, weakening gradually as from tomorrow.
The sea will be rough with waves with waves of the order of 3 meters.
Note:
This outlook is based on the latest available weather Information. Due to model uncertainty and the
difficulty to capture weather systems accurately in the tropics, day to day variation of the weather is
very likely.