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Brusov, Filatova, Orekhova, Eskindarov - Modern Corporate Finance, Investments, Taxation and Rating 2018
Brusov, Filatova, Orekhova, Eskindarov - Modern Corporate Finance, Investments, Taxation and Rating 2018
Modern Corporate
Finance, Investments,
Taxation and Ratings
Second Edition
Modern Corporate Finance, Investments, Taxation
and Ratings
Peter Brusov • Tatiana Filatova •
Natali Orekhova • Mukhadin Eskindarov
Second Edition
Peter Brusov Tatiana Filatova
Financial University under Financial University under
the Government of Russian Federation the Government of Russian Federation
Moscow, Russia Moscow, Russia
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
100th Anniversary of the Financial University
under the Government of Russia Federation
In the 3 years since the first edition, new results have been obtained by authors in
corporate finance, investment, and taxation as well as in a new area—ratings and
rating methodologies—within the framework of Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova
(BFO) theory. Some of them (not all) have been included in the second edition
(Chaps. 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, and 24 have been added).
Among them is the chapter entitled “A golden age of the companies: conditions
of its existence” (Chap. 19). Also, we have found a modification of “Kulik effect”:
descending of WACC with passage through minimum, which lies above the perpe-
tuity limit value, and then going through maximum followed by a limited
descending. We call this company age, where WACC has a minimum, which lies
above the perpetuity limit value, “by a silver age” of the company.
In Chap. 20, we study the role of the Central Bank and commercial banks in
creating and maintaining a favorable investment climate in the country. Within the
framework of modern investment models created by the authors, the dependence of
the efficiency of investments, determined by net present value (NPV), on the level of
debt financing within a wide range of values of equity costs and debt capital costs
under different project terms (long-term projects as well as projects of arbitrary
duration) and different investment profitability coefficients β is investigated. The
study is conducted within the framework of investment models with debt repayment
at the end of the project term. It is found that NPV depends practically linearly on
leverage level L, increasing or decreasing depending on profitability coefficient β
and credit rate values kd. The cutoff credit rate values k∗ d , separating the range of
increasing NPV(L ) from the range of decreasing NPV(L), are determined. The
Central Bank should keep its key rate at the level which allows commercial banks
to keep their credit rates below the cutoff credit rate k ∗
d values in order to create and
maintain a favorable investment climate in the country.
The most significant addition to the second edition is Part IV, devoted to the
discussion of ratings and rating methodologies. The shortcomings of existing rating
methodologies are discussed and analyzed, and a new approach to rating methodol-
ogy has been suggested in Chaps. 21, 22, and 23: Chaps. 21 and 22 are devoted to
vii
viii Preface to the Second Edition
1
The study in Chaps. 21, 22, and 23 was funded by RFBR according to the research project №17-
06-00251A.
Preface
This book describes in detail the modern theory of corporate finance, investment,
and taxation, created by Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova (BFO theory), which has
replaced the famous theory of capital cost and capital structure by Nobel laureates
Modigliani and Miller. The authors have moved from the assumption of Modigliani–
Miller concerning the perpetuity (infinite time of life) of companies and further
elaborated quantitative theory of valuation of key parameters of financial activities of
companies with arbitrary time of life (of arbitrary age).
Results of modern BFO theory turn out to be quite different from those of
Modigliani–Miller theory. They show that the latter, via its perpetuity, underesti-
mates the assessment of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, and the equity
cost of the company and substantially overestimates the assessment of the capital-
ization of the company.
Such an incorrect assessment of key performance indicators of financial activities
of companies has led to an underestimation of risks involved, and impossibility, or
serious difficulties in adequate managerial decision-making, which was one of the
implicit reasons of global financial crisis in 2008.
Within new modern theory of capital cost and capital structure (BFO theory), a lot
of qualitatively new results have been obtained, among them:
1. The qualitatively new effect in corporate finance, discovered by authors: abnor-
mal dependence of equity cost on leverage, which alters the main principles of the
company’s dividend policy significantly.
2. Bankruptcy of the famous trade-off theory has been proven.
3. A very important discovery has been done recently: the valuation of WACC in
the Modigliani–Miller theory (perpetuity limit) is not minimal and valuation of
the company capitalization is not maximal, as all financiers supposed up to now:
at some age of the company (“golden age”) its WACC value turns out to be lower
than in perpetuity limit and company capitalization V turns out to be greater than
perpetuity limit of V.
ix
x Preface
xiii
xiv Contents
3.6 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
4 Bankruptcy of the Famous Trade-Off Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
4.1 Optimal Capital Structure of the Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
4.2 Absence of the Optimal Capital Structure in Modified
Modigliani–Miller Theory (MMM Theory) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
4.3 Analysis of the Trade-Off Theory Within the Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
4.4 The Causes of Absence of the Optimum Capital Structure
in the Trade-Off Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
4.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96
5 New Mechanism of Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital
Structure, Different from Suggested by Trade-Off Theory . . . . . . . 99
5.1 Absence of Suggested Mechanism of Formation
of the Company’s Optimal Capital Structure Within Modified
Modigliani–Miller Theory (MMM Theory) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99
5.2 Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital Structure Within
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100
5.3 Simple Model of Proposed Mechanism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
5.4 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116
6 The Global Causes of the Global Financial Crisis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124
7 The Role of Taxing and Leverage in Evaluation of Capital Cost and
Capitalization of the Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125
7.1 The Role of Taxes in Modigliani–Miller Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126
7.2 The Role of Taxes in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory . . . . . . 129
7.2.1 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
of the Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130
7.2.2 Equity Cost ke of the Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132
7.2.3 Dependence of WACC and ke on the Age of
Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135
7.3 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139
8 A Qualitatively New Effect in Corporate Finance: Abnormal
Dependence of Equity Cost of Company on Leverage . . . . . . . . . . . 141
8.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141
8.2 Equity Cost in the Modigliani–Miller Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141
8.3 Equity Cost Capital Within Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova
Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145
8.3.1 Dependence of Equity Cost ke on Tax on Profit Rate
T at Different Fixed Leverage Level L . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146
Contents xv
Part II Investments
10 A Portfolio of Two Securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183
10.1 A Portfolio of Two Securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183
10.1.1 A Case of Complete Correlation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183
10.1.2 Case of Complete Anticorrelation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185
10.1.3 Independent Securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186
10.1.4 Three Independent Securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188
10.2 Risk-Free Security . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191
10.3 Portfolio of a Given Yield (or Given Risk) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193
10.3.1 Case of Complete Correlation (ρ12 ¼ 1)
and Complete Anticorrelation (ρ12 ¼ 1) . . . . . . . . . 194
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195
11 Investment Models with Debt Repayment at the End of the Project
and Their Application . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197
11.1 Investment Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197
11.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project
from the Perspective of the Equity Holders Only . . . . . . . . . . . . 198
11.2.1 With the Division of Credit and Investment Flows . . . 198
xvi Contents
xxiii
xxiv About the Authors
One of the main problems in corporate finance is the problem of cost of capital and
the impact of capital structure on its cost and capitalization of the companies. To
date, even the question of the existence of an optimal capital structure of the
companies (at which the company capitalization is maximal, and weighted average
cost of capital is minimal) is open. Numerous theories and models, including the first
and the only one until recently quantitative theory by Nobel Laureates Modigliani
and Miller (MM) (Modigliani and Miller 1958, 1963, 1966), not only do not solve
the problem but also because of the large number of restrictions (such as, e.g., theory
of MM) have a weak relationship with the real economy. Herewith the qualitative
theories and models, based on the empirical approach, do not allow to carry out the
necessary assessment.
In the monograph, the foundation of modern corporate finance, investment,
taxation, and ratings is laid. It is based on the author’s work on modifying theory
of capital cost and capital structure by Nobel Prize winners Modigliani and Miller,
which led to the actual replacement of this theory by the modern theory by Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a,
b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008, Brusova
2011). The authors have moved from the assumption of Modigliani–Miller
concerning the perpetuity of companies (infinite time of life of companies) and
further elaborated quantitative theory of valuation of core parameters of financial
activities of companies of arbitrary age or arbitrary time of life.
Results of modern BFO theory (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c,
2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova
2011) turn out to be quite different from that of Modigliani–Miller theory (Modi-
gliani and Miller 1958, 1963, 1966). They show that the latter, via its perpetuity,
underestimates (often significantly) the assessment of weighted average cost of
capital and the equity cost of the company and substantially overestimates (also
often significantly) the assessment of the capitalization of both financially indepen-
dent company and the company using the debt financing.
supposed up to now: at some age of the company (“golden age”), its WACC value
turns out to be lower than in Modigliani–Miller theory, and company capitalization
V turns out to be greater than V in Modigliani–Miller theory (see Chap. 18).
A distinctive feature of the book is the extensive and adequate use of mathematics
that allows the reader to count various financial and economic parameters, including
investment and taxation ones, up to the quantitative result.
Corporate management in the modern world is the management of financial
flows. The proposed Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d;
Filatova et al. 2008) allows the reader to correctly identify discount rates—basic
parameters for discounting financial flows to arbitrary time moment—and to com-
pare financial flows with a view to adopt literate managerial decisions. The discount
rate is a key link of the existing financial system, by pulling on which modern
finance can be adequately built, and the proposed monograph can be of substantial
assistance in this.
Existing rating methodologies have a lot of shortcomings. One of the major flaws
of all of them is a failure or a very narrow use of discounting. But even in those rare
cases where it is used, it is not quite correct, since the discount rate when discounting
financial flows is chosen incorrectly. In book a new approach to rating methodology
is suggested. Chapters 21 and 22 are devoted to rating of nonfinancial issuers, while
Chap. 23 is devoted to long-term project rating. The key factors of a new approach
are (1) the adequate use of discounting of financial flows virtually not used in
existing rating methodologies and (2) the incorporation of rating parameters (finan-
cial “ratios”) into the modern theory of capital structure (Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova
(BFO) theory). This on the one hand allows use of the powerful tools of this theory in
the rating, and on the other hand it ensures the correct discount rates when
discounting of financial flows. We discuss also the interplay between rating ratios
and leverage level which can be quite important in rating. All these create a new base
for rating methodologies. New approach to ratings and rating methodologies
(Brusov et al. 2018c, d) allows issue more correct ratings of issuers and makes the
rating methodologies more understandable and transparent.
This monograph is intended for students, postgraduate students, teachers of
economic and financial institutions, students of MBA program, scientists, financial
analysts, financial directors of company, managers of insurance companies and
rating agencies, officials of regional and federal ministries and departments, and
ministers responsible for economic and financial management.
References
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
References 7
2.1 Introduction
Under the capital structure, one understands the relationship between equity and debt
capital of the company. Does capital structure affect the company’s main settings,
such as the cost of capital, profit, value of the company, and the others, and, if
affects, how? Choice of an optimal capital structure, i.e., a capital structure, which
minimizes the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, and maximizes the value of
the company, V, is one of the most important tasks solved by financial manager and
by the management of a company. The first serious study (and first quantitative
study) of influence of capital structure of the company on its indicators of activities
was the work by Modigliani and Miller (1958). Until this study, the approach existed
(let us call it traditional), which was based on empirical data analysis.
One of the most important assumptions of the Modigliani–Miller theory is that all
financial flows are perpetuity. This limitation was lift out by Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova in 2008 (Filatova et al. (2008), who have created BFO theory—modern
theory of capital cost and capital structure for companies of arbitrary age (BFO-1
theory) and for companies of arbitrary lifetime (BFO-2 theory) (Brusov et al. 2015).
See recent development of BFO theory and its new applications in papers (Brusov
et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d). In Fig. 2.1. the
historical development of capital structure theory from the traditional (empirical)
approach, through perpetuity Modigliani–Miller approach to general capital struc-
ture theory—Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) theory, is shown.
In 2001 Steve Myers has considered the case of a 1-year company and shown that
in this case the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, is higher than in
Modigliani–Miller case and the capitalization of the company, V, is less than in
Modigliani–Miller case.
So, before 2008 only two results for capital structure of the company were
available: Modigliani–Miller for perpetuity company and Myers for a 1-year com-
pany (see Fig. 2.2). BFO theory has filled out whole interval between t ¼ 1 and
Fig. 2.1 Historical development of capital structure theory [here TA traditional (empirical)
approach, MM Modigliani–Miller approach, BFO Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory]
Fig. 2.2 MM theory describes perpetuity limit; Myers paper describes a 1-year company, while
BFO theory fills the whole numeric axis (from n ¼ 1 up to perpetuity limit n ¼ 1)
The traditional (empirical) approach told that weighted average cost of capital,
WACC, and the associated company capitalization, V ¼ CF/WACC, depend on
the capital structure, the level of leverage, L. Debt cost always turns out to be lower
than equity cost because first one has lower risk, via the fact, that in the event of
bankruptcy creditor claims are met prior to shareholders claims.
As a result, an increase in the proportion of lower-cost debt capital in the overall
capital structure up to the limit which does not cause violation of financial sustain-
ability and growth of risk of bankruptcy leads to lower weighted average cost of
capital, WACC.
The profitability required by investors (the equity cost) is growing; however, its
growth has not led to compensation of benefits from use of lower-cost debt capital.
Therefore, the traditional approach welcomes the increased leverage L ¼ D/S and the
associated increase of company capitalization. The traditional (empirical) approach
has existed up to appearance of the first quantitative theory by Modigliani and
Miller (1958).
2.3 Modigliani–Miller Theory 11
Modigliani and Miller (ММ) in their first paper (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958) have
come to the conclusions which were fundamentally different from the conclusions of
traditional approach. Under assumptions (see Sect. 2.3 for details) that there are no
taxes, no transaction costs, no bankruptcy costs, perfect financial markets exist with
symmetry information, equivalence in borrowing costs for both companies and
investors, etc., they have showed that choosing of the ratio between the debt and
equity capital does not affect company value as well as capital costs (Fig. 2.3).
Under above assumptions, Modigliani and Miller have analyzed the impact of
financial leverage, supposing the absence of any taxes (on corporate profit as well as
individual one). They have formulated and proven two following statements:
Without taxes, the total cost of any company is determined by the value of its
EBIT-Earnings Before Interest and Taxes, discounted with fixed rate k0,
corresponding to group of business risk of this company:
EBIT
VL ¼ VU ¼ : ð2:1Þ
k0
U0 U0
Ke
WACC
Kd
K0
Kd
0 L∗ L
12 2 Capital Structure: Modigliani–Miller Theory
WACC ¼ k 0 ¼ k e we þ k d wd : ð2:2Þ
k0 w d k 0 ðS þ D Þ D D
ke ¼ kd ¼ k d ¼ k0 þ ðk 0 kd Þ ¼ k 0 þ ðk0 k d ÞL ð2:3Þ
we we S S S
Here,
ke ¼ k0 þ ðk 0 kd ÞL: ð2:4Þ
The formula (Eq. 2.4) shows that equity cost of the company increases linearly
with leverage level (Fig. 2.3).
The combination of these two Modigliani–Miller statements implies that the
increasing of level of debt in the capital structure of the company does not lead to
increased value of firms, because the benefits gained from the use of more low-cost
debt capital markets will be exactly offset by an increase in risk (we are speaking
about the financial risk, the risk of bankruptcy) and, therefore, by an increase in cost
of equity capital of firms: investors will increase the required level of profitability
under increased risk, by which a higher level of debt in the capital structure is
accompanied.
In this way, the Modigliani–Miller theorem argues that in the absence of the
taxes, the capital structure of the company does not affect the value of the company
and its weighted average cost of capital, WACC, and equity cost increases linearly
with the increase of financial leverage.
Explanations, given by Modigliani and Miller under receiving of their conclu-
sions, are the following (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958). Value of the company
depends on profitability and risk only and does not depend on the capital structure.
Based on the principle of preservation of the value, they postulated that the value of
the company, which is equal to the sum of the equity and debt funds, is not changed
when the ratio between its parts is changed. An important role in justification of
Modigliani–Miller statements an existence of an arbitral awards opportunities for the
committed markets plays. Two identical companies, differing only by the leverage
level, must have the same value. If this is not the case, the arbitration aligns business
cost: investors of less cost company can invest capital in a company of more value.
Selling of shares of the first company and buying of stock of the second company
will continue until the values of both companies are not equalized.
Most of Modigliani and Miller assumptions (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958), of
course, are unrealistic. Some assumptions can be removed without changing the
conclusions of the model. However, assuming no costs of bankruptcy and the
absence of taxes (or the presence of corporate taxes only) are crucial, the change
of these assumptions alters conclusions. The last two assumptions rule out the
possibility of signaling theory and agency cost theory and, thus, also constitute a
critical prerequisite (Fig. 2.4).
In the real situation, taxes on profit of companies always exist. Since the interests
paid on debt are excluded from the tax base, t leads to the so-called effect of “tax
shield”: value of the company that used the borrowed capital (leverage company) is
higher than the value of the company that financed entirely by the equity
14 2 Capital Structure: Modigliani–Miller Theory
WACC
k0
L= D
S
(non-leverage company). The value of the “tax shield” for 1 year is equal to kdDT,
where D is the value of debt; T, the income tax rate; and kd, the interest on the debt
(or debt capital cost) (Мodigliani and Мiller 1963). The value of the “tax shield” for
perpetuity company for all time of its existence is equal to (we used the formula for
the sum of terms of an infinitely decreasing geometric progression)
X
1
ðPVÞTS ¼ k d DT ð1 þ kd Þt ¼ DT ð2:5Þ
t¼1
V ¼ V 0 þ DT, ð2:6Þ
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 wd T Þ: ð2:8Þ
On the other hand, on definition of the weighted average cost of capital with “tax
shield” accounting, we have
WACC ¼ k0 we þ k d wd ð1 T Þ: ð2:10Þ
k 0 ð1 wd T Þ ¼ k 0 we þ kd wd ð1 T Þ ð2:11Þ
and from here, for equity cost, we get the following expression:
ð1 wd T Þ wd 1 wd D
ke ¼ k0 k d ð1 T Þ ¼ k 0 k 0 T k d ð1 T Þ
we we we we S
DþS D D
¼ k0 k 0 T kd ð1 T Þ ¼ k0 þ Lð1 T Þðk0 k d Þ: ð2:12Þ
S S S
So, we get the following statement obtained by Мodigliani and Мiller (1963):
Equity cost of leverage company ke paying tax on profit could be found as
equity cost of financially independent company k0 of the same group of risk,
plus premium for risk, the value which is equal to production of difference
(k0 kd) on leverage level L and on tax shield (1 T).
It should be noted that the formula (Eq. 2.12) is different from the formula
(Eq. 2.4) without tax only by the multiplier (1 T) in term, indicating a premium
for risk. As the multiplier is less than unit, the corporate tax on profits leads to the
fact that capital is growing with the increasing of financial leverage, slower than it
would have been without them.
Analysis of formulas (Eqs. 2.4, 2.9, and 2.12) leads to following conclusions.
When leverage grows:
1. Value of company increases.
2. Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) decreases from k0 (at L ¼ 0) up to
k0(1 T ) (at L ¼ 1) (when the company is funded solely by borrowed funds).
3. Equity cost increases linearly from k0 (at L ¼ 0) up to 1 (at L ¼ 1).
16 2 Capital Structure: Modigliani–Miller Theory
WACC(t=0)
Kd
WACC(t 0)
Kd(1-t)
D
0 L=
S
Within their theory, Мodigliani and Мiller (1963) had come to the following
conclusions. With the growth of financial leverage (Fig. 2.5):
1. The company value increases.
2. The weighted average cost of capital decreases from k0 (for L ¼ 0) up to k0(1 T )
(for L ¼ 1, when the company is financed entirely with borrowed funds).
3. The cost of equity capital increases linearly from k0 (for L ¼ 0) up to 1 (for
L ¼ 1).
Taking into Account Market Risk: Hamada Model Robert Hаmаdа (1969)
united Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) with Modigliani–Miller model with
taxation. As a result, he derived the following formula for calculation of the equity
cost of financially dependent company, including both financial and business risks of
company:
D
k e ¼ kF þ ðkM kF ÞbU þ ðkM kF ÞbU ð1 T Þ, ð2:13Þ
S
where bU is the β-coefficient of the company of the same group of business risk, that
the company under consideration, but with zero financial leverage. The formula
(Eq. 2.13) represents the desired profitability of equity capital ke as a sum of three
components: risk-free profitability kF, compensating to shareholders a temporary
value of their money, premium for business risk (kM kF)bU, and premium for
financial risk ðk M kF ÞbU DS ð1 T Þ.
18 2 Capital Structure: Modigliani–Miller Theory
If the company does not have borrowing (D ¼ 0), the financial risk factor will be
equal to zero (the third term is drawn to zero), and its owners will only receive the
premium for business risk.
To apply the Hamada equation, specialists in practice, in most cases, use book
value of equity capital as its approach of market value. Nevertheless, the Hamada
formula implies the use of market value of the assets.
It should be noted also that the formula (Eq. 2.13) can be used to derive other
equation, using which you can analyze the impact of financial leverage on β-factor of
company shares.
Equating CAPM formula to equity cost, we get
D
kF þ ðkM kF ÞbU ¼ kF þ ðkM kF ÞbU þ ðkM kF ÞbU ð1 T Þ ð2:14Þ
S
or
D
b ¼ bU 1 þ ð1 T Þ : ð2:15Þ
S
In this way, the assumptions on which Modigliani–Miller theory and CAPM are
based, β-factor of equity capital of financially dependent company is equal to β-
factor of financially independent company, corrected on tax on profit rate and
applied leverage level. Consequently, market risk of the company, measured by a
factor b, depends on both the business risk of the company, a measure of which is bU,
and on the financial risk b, which is calculated by the formula (Eq. 2.15).
In conclusion, here are the formulas for calculating the capital costs within the
CAPM model [in parenthesis, there are formulas within the Modigliani–Miller
theory (Modigliani and Miller 1958, 1963, 1966)].
The equity cost for company without debt capital
ke ¼ kF þ kM kF βU , ðke ¼ k 0 Þ: ð2:16Þ
The Cost of Capital Under Risky Debt Another hypothesis of Modigliani and
Miller was the suggestion about free of risk debt (in their theory, there are two types
of assets: risky equity and free of risk debt). However, if we assume the risk of
bankruptcy of company (and, accordingly, the ability to nonpayment of loans), the
situation may change. Stiglitz (1969) and Rubinstein (1973) have shown that the
conclusions concerning the total value of company do not change as compared to the
findings derived by Modigliani and Miller under assumptions about free of risk debt
(Modigliani and Miller 1958, 1963, 1966). However, the debt cost is changed. If
previously, under assumption about the free of risk debt, it (debt cost) was regarded
as a constant kd ¼ kF; now it is not a constant. This claim is based on the work by
Hsia (1981), where based on the models of pricing options, Modigliani–Miller and
CAPM, it was shown that if one uses the formula for the net discount income, a term,
reflecting tax protection on debt, should be discounted at the rate
1
k0d ¼ kF þ ðk0 k F ÞN ðd1 Þ , ð2:20Þ
wd
where
ln wd þ kF t 1 pffi
d1 ¼ pffi kF þ σ t, ð2:21Þ
σ t 2
EBITð1 T C Þð1 T S Þ
VU ¼ : ð2:22Þ
k0
A term (1 TS) allows to take into account the individual taxes in the formula. In
this way, numerator indicates which part of the operating company’s profit remains
in the possession of the investors, after the company will pay taxes on their profits,
and its shareholders then will pay individual taxes on income from stock ownership.
Since individual taxes reduce profits, remaining in the disposal of investors, the last,
at other things being equal circumstances, also reduce and an overall assessment of
the financially independent company value.
We will assess the financially dependent company under condition of a double
taxation of income investors. To start, let us divide the annual cash flows of
financially dependent company CFL into flows sent to its shareholders CFe and the
flows belonging to debt owners CFd, with account of both corporation tax on profits
and on the income of individuals:
The first term of the equation (Eq. 2.24) corresponds to cash flow after taxes for
financially independent company, shown in equation (Eq. 2.22), which shows its
present value. The second and the third terms of the equation, reflecting the financial
dependence, corresponds to cash flows related to the debt financing, which, as
previously, is considered as free of risk. Their present values are obtained by
discounting by risk-free nominal rate on debt kd.
By combining the present values of all three terms, we get the company value
under using the debt financing and in the presence of all types of taxation:
First term in Eq. (2.25) is identical to VU in formula (Eq. 2.22). Accounting this
and combining two last terms, we get the following formula:
I ð1 T d Þ ð1 T C Þð1 T S Þ
VL ¼ VU þ 1 : ð2:26Þ
kd ð1 T d Þ
The amount of paid interests with taking into account the taxation, divided by the
desired profitability of debt capital,
2.3 Modigliani–Miller Theory 21
I ð1 T d Þ
ð2:27Þ
kd
is equal to market value of the debt D. Substituting D in the previous formula, we get
the final expression, which is known as a formula of a Miller model:
ð1 T C Þð1 T S Þ
VL ¼ VU þ 1 D: ð2:28Þ
ð1 T d Þ
The Miller model allows you to obtain an estimate of the value of financially
dependent company, taking into account the corporate tax, as well as tax on
individuals. The Miller formula (Eq. 2.28) has several important consequences:
1. Second term of sum,
ð1 T C Þð1 T S Þ
1 D, ð2:29Þ
ð1 T d Þ
represents the gains from the use of debt capital. This term replaces the tax on profit
of corporation rate in the Modigliani–Miller model with corporate taxes:
V L ¼ V U þ TD: ð2:30Þ
2. If we ignore taxes, a term (Eq. 2.29) will be equal to zero. Thus, in this case, the
formula (Eq. 2.28) is transformed into the original version of the Modigliani–
Miller model without taxes.
3. If we neglect taxes on individuals, the considering term becomes 1 (1 TC) ¼ TC,
so, in this case, (Eq. 2.28) becomes a Modigliani–Miller model with corporate
taxes (Eq. 2.30).
4. If the shareholder receives profit only in the form of dividend, and if effective tax
rates on income from shares and bonds are equal (TS ¼ TD), the terms 1 TS and
1 TD are shrinking, and the factor for D in Eq. (2.29) again is equal to TC.
5. If the shareholder receives dividends, and income from capital, the situation is
changed.
In this case, effective tax rates on income from shares and bonds are not equal.
Let’s take a look at common case, when individual taxes on income for the
company shares are less than individual taxes of creditors. This encourages
investors to purchase the shares of the company compared to purchasing the
bonds of the company. In this case, TS < TD. Then factor in D in Eq. (2.28) β has a
look
ð1 T C Þð1 T S Þ
β ¼1 ¼ 1 ð1 T C Þα ¼ 1 ð1 T C Þð1 þ γ Þ
ð1 T d Þ
¼ T C þ γ ð T C 1Þ < T C : ð2:31Þ
22 2 Capital Structure: Modigliani–Miller Theory
It is less than TC, because γ > 0, TC < 1, therefore, in this case, the effect of using
of debt financing, although there is, but it is less, than in the absence of individual
taxes. In other words, the effect of tax shields for the company in this case
decreases, and it becomes less than the above individual taxes of creditors
(individual taxes for the obligations of the company) in comparison with the
individual income tax on shares.
6. Let’s take a look at case TS > TD, when individual income taxes on shares are
bigger than individual taxes creditors. The factor β takes view:
ð1 T C Þð1 T S Þ
β ¼1 ¼ 1 ð1 T C Þα ¼ 1 ð1 T C Þð1 γ Þ
ð1 T d Þ
¼ T C þ γ ð1 T C Þ > T C : ð2:32Þ
It is bigger than TC, because γ > 0, TC < 1; therefore, in this case, the effect of use
of debt financing is increased compared with the case of the absence of individual
taxes.
7. If (1 TC)(1 TS) ¼ 1 TD, then this term is zero, and the effect of using debt
financing will also be zero. This means that the benefits of the use of tax shields as
a result of the application of debt financing will be fully offset by additional losses
of investors, associated with a higher tax rate on interest on income of individuals.
In this case, the capital structure will not affect the company value and its capital
cost—in other words, you can apply Modigliani–Miller theory without tax
(Мodigliani and Мiller 1958).
In his report, Miller (1976) claimed that companies on average will use issuance
of shares and debt securities in such a way as to result in taxation of investors’
income to be optimal. In such an equilibrium state will occur equality:
ð1 T C Þð1 T S Þ ¼ 1 T D , ð2:33Þ
and thus, as we have pointed out above, capital structure will not affect the market
company value and its capital cost. Thus, by Miller, the conclusions on the irrele-
vance of the capital structure, made on the base of the original Modigliani–Miller
model with zero taxes, remain in force.
Subsequently, researchers adapted and checked the Miller results. Their works, as
a rule, have been devoted to the Miller’s conclusion concerning the absence of the
gains from the use of the debt capital by the company. In the USA, an effective tax
rate on the income of shareholders is lower than the one on the income of creditors,
but, nevertheless, the product (1 TC)(1 TS) is less than 1 TD.
Consequently, the companies may receive the benefit from the use of debt financ-
ing. However, Miller’s work, in fact, has shown that the distinction of rates of
individual taxes on income of shareholders and creditors to some extent compensates
the advantages from the attraction of debt financing, and, in this way, the tax benefits
from the attraction of debt financing are less than anticipated in a more earlier
Modigliani–Miller model, where only corporate taxes have been taken into account.
In conclusion, we present in Table 2.1 classification and summary of main
theories of capital structures of company.
Table 2.1 Classification and summary of main theories of capital structures of company
Theory Main thesis
Traditional theory Empirical theory, existing before appearance of the first quantitative theory of capital structures
(Modigliani–Miller theory) in 1958 (Modigliani and Miller 1958, 1963, 1966). Weighted average
cost of capital depends on capital structures of company. There is an optimal dependence on capital
structures of company
Modigliani–Miller Without taxes Capital cost and capitalization of the company are irrelevant on the capital structures of company
theory (ММ) With taxes Weighted average cost of capital is decreased with leverage level, equity cost is increased linearly
with leverage level, and capitalization of the company is increased with leverage level continuously
2.3 Modigliani–Miller Theory
Brusov–Filatova– For arbitrary age BFO theory (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b;
Orekhova theory Without inflation Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011) has replaced the famous theory of capital cost and capital
(BFO-1) structure by Nobel laureates, Modigliani and Miller (1958, 1963, 1966). The authors have moved
from the assumption of Modigliani–Miller concerning the perpetuity (infinite time of life) of
companies and further elaborated quantitative theory of valuation of core parameters of financial
activities of companies with arbitrary age. Results of modern BFO theory turn out to be quite
different from that of Modigliani–Miller theory. It shows that later, via its perpetuity, underesti-
mates the assessment of weighted average cost of capital and the equity cost of the company and
substantially overestimates the assessment of the capitalization of the company. Such an incorrect
assessment of key performance indicators of financial activities of companies has led to an
underestimation of risks involved, and impossibility, or serious difficulties in adequate managerial
decision-making, which was one of the implicit reasons of global financial crisis of 2008 year. In
the BFO theory, in investments at certain values of return on investment, there is an optimum
investment structure. As well authors have developed a new mechanism of formation of the
company optimal capital structure, different from suggested by trade-off theory
For arbitrary age Inflation not only increases the equity cost and the weighted average cost of capital, but as well it
With inflation changes their dependence on leverage. In particular, it increases growing rate of equity cost with
leverage. Capitalization of the company is decreased under accounting of inflation
For arbitrary age In BFO theory, with increased financial distress costs and risk of bankruptcy, the optimal capital
With increased financial dis- structure is absent, which means that trade-off theory does NOT work
tress costs and risk of
bankruptcy
23
(continued)
Table 2.1 (continued)
24
costs firms reach target ratio faster or slower. Proportional changes imply slight correction, whereas
fixed changes imply considerable costs. In the dynamic model, correct decision on financial
structure capital of the company in this period depends on the profit, which the company hopes to
receive in the next period
In BFO theory, with increased financial distress costs and risk of bankruptcy, the optimal capital
structure is absent, which means that trade-off theory does NOT work: in static version as well as in
dynamic one
Accounting of transaction cost Accounting of the recapitalization transaction costs for the company, in which these costs are high,
leads to the conclusion that a more cost-effective is not to modify financial capital structure, even if
it is not optimal, during a certain period of time. The actual and target capital structure may vary
because of the tool costs
Accounting of asymmetry of information At the real financial markets, information is asymmetric (managers of the companies have owned
more reliable information than investors and creditors), and rationality of economic subjects is
limited
Signaling theory Information asymmetry may be reduced on the basis of certain signals for creditors and investors,
related to the behavior of managers on the capital market. It should take into account the previous
development of the company and the current and projected cost-effectiveness of activities
Pecking order theory The pecking order theory is the preferred, and empirically observed, sequence of financing type to
raise capital. That is, firms first tap retained earnings (internal equity) finance, second source is
debt, and the last source is issuing new common stock shares (external equity). The empirical
evidence of nonfinancial firm debt ratios coupled with the decision-making process of top man-
25
agement and the board of directors point to greater adherence to the pecking order theory
(continued)
Table 2.1 (continued)
26
assessment by them of acceptable risk generate conditions for conflict of their interest, that is,
making some corrections into the process of optimizing financial capital structure
Behavioral theories Manager investment autonomy Managers implement those decisions, which, from their point of view, will be positively perceived
by investors and, respectively, positively affect the market value of companies: when the market
value of shares of a company and the degree of consensus of expectations of managers and
investors are high, the company has an additional issue of shares, and in the opposite situation, it
uses debt instruments. In this way, the financial capital structure is more influenced by investors,
the expectations of which are taken into account by managers
The equity market timing Leverage level is determined by market dynamics. Equity market timing theory means that the
theory company should issue shares at high price and repurchase them at low price. The idea is to exploit
temporary fluctuations in the equity cost relative to the cost of other forms of capital
Information cascades In order to save costs and to avoid errors, financial capital structure can be formed not on the basis
of the calculations of optimal capital structure or depending on available in different periods of
company life funding sources but borrow from other companies that have successful, reputable
managers (companies’ leaders), as well as using (in the wake of the majority) the most popular
Capital Structure: Modigliani–Miller Theory
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Chapter 3
Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital
Structure: Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova
Theory (BFO Theory)
Let us consider companies of arbitrary age and companies with arbitrary lifetime.
In perpetuity limit (Modigliani–Miller theory) time of life of company and
company age turn out to be the same: both of them are infinite. When we move
from the assumption of Modigliani–Miller concerning the perpetuity of companies,
these concepts (time of life of company and company age) become different, and one
should distinguish them under generalization of Modigliani–Miller theory with
respect to finite n.
Thus we have developed two kinds of finite n-theories: BFO-1 and BFO-2.
BFO-1 theory is related to companies with arbitrary age, and BFO-2 theory is related
to companies with arbitrary lifetime companies. By other words, BFO-1 is applica-
ble for the most interesting case of companies that reached the age of n-years and
continue to exist on the market and allows to analyze the financial state of the
operating companies. BFO-2 theory allows examine the financial status of the
companies which ceased to exist, i.e., of those companies for which n means not
age, but a lifetime, i.e., the time of existence. A lot of schemes of termination of
activities of the company can exist: bankruptcy, merger, acquisition, etc. One of
those schemes, when the value of the debt capital D becomes zero at the time of
termination of activity of company n, is considered in this chapter below (Sect. 3.5)
and comparison of results of BFO-1 and BFO-2 has been done as well.
To start with the case of finite n, let us first of all find the value of tax shield, TS, of
the company for n-years:
X
n
TS ¼ kd DT ð1 þ k d Þt ¼ DT ½1 ð1 þ kd Þn : ð3:1Þ
t¼1
(We used the formula for the sum of n terms of a geometric progression).
Here, D is the value of debt capital; kd the cost of debt capital; and T the tax on
profit rate.
Next, we use the Modigliani–Miller theorem (Modigliani and Miller 1958, 1963,
1966):
The value of financially dependent company is equal to the value of the
company of the same risk group used no leverage, increased by the value of tax
shield arising from financial leverage, and equal to the product of rate of corpo-
rate income tax T and the value of debt D.
V ¼ V 0 þ DT: ð3:2Þ
This theorem was formulated by Modigliani and Miller for perpetuity companies,
but we modify it for a company of arbitrary age.
3.1 Companies of Arbitrary Age and Companies with Arbitrary Lifetime:. . . 31
X
1
V ¼ V 0 þ TS ¼ V 0 þ kd DT ð1 þ kd Þt
t¼1
ð3:3Þ
¼ V 0 þ wd VT ½1 ð1 þ kd Þn ,
V ð1 wd VT ½1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ ¼ V 0 : ð3:4Þ
There is a common use of the following two formulas for the cost of the
financially independent and financially dependent companies (Modigliani and Miller
1958, 1963, 1966):
However, these almost always used formulas were derived for perpetuity com-
pany, and in case of a company of finite age (or with a finite lifetime), they must be
modified in the same manner as the value of tax shields (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008):
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð3:7Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
ð1 þ k0 Þkd
WACC ¼ k0 wd T ð3:8Þ
1 þ kd
1 ð1 þ WACCÞ2 1 ð1 þ k0 Þ2
¼ h i : ð3:9Þ
WACC k0 1 ωd T 1 ð1 þ k d Þ2
where
2 þ k0
α¼ h i: ð3:11Þ
2 2k d þk2d
ð1 þ k0 Þ 1 ωd T ð1þk Þ2
d
For n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 4, equation for the WACC becomes more complicated, but it
still can be solved analytically, while for n > 4, it can be solved only numerically.
We would like to make an important methodological notice: taking into account
the finite lifetime of the company, all formulas, without exception, should be
received with used formulas (Eq. 3.6) instead of their perpetuity limits (Eq. 3.5).
Below, we will describe the algorithm for the numerical solution of the equation
(Eq. 3.7).
Algorithm for Finding WACC in Case of Companies of Arbitrary Age
Let us return back to n-year project (n-year company). We have the following
equation for WACC in n-year case:
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
AðnÞ ¼ 0, ð3:12Þ
WACC
where
1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
AðnÞ ¼ : ð3:13Þ
k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ
Myers (2001) has compared his result for a 1-year company (project) (Eq. 3.8) with
Modigliani and Miller’s result for perpetuity limits (Eq. 2.8). He has used the
following values of parameters:
3.2 Comparison of Modigliani–Miller Results (Perpetuity Company) with. . . 33
and estimated the difference in the WACC values following from the formulas
(Eqs. 3.8 and 2.8). We did make the similar calculations for a 2-, 3-,5-, and
10-year project for the same set of parameters, and we have gotten the following
results, shown in the tables [Table 3.1 (second line (bulk)), Table 3.2 (second line
(bulk)), and Table 3.3)] and corresponding figures (Figs. 3.1, 3.2, and 3.3).
Note that data for equity cost k0 ¼ 8% turn out to be a little bit uncertain: this
could be related to the fact that this value of equity cost is quite close to value of
Table 3.1 WACC dependence on debt share wd for different values of equity cost k0 for companies
with different lifetime n
k0 n wd ¼ 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
k0 ¼ 8% n¼1 7.6% 7.3 6.9 6.6 6.2 5.9
n¼2 7.52 7.08 6.6 6.17 5.67 5.21
n¼1 7.6 7.2 6.8 6.4 6.0 5.6
k0 ¼ 10% n¼1 9.7 9.3 8.9 8.6 8.2 7.8
n¼2 9.51 9.05 8.59 8.13 7.64 7.16
n¼1 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.0
k0 ¼ 12% n¼1 11.6 11.3 10.9 10.5 10.2 9.8
n¼2 11.51 11.02 10.54 10.07 9.6 9.09
n¼3 11.46 10.93 10.39 9.85 9.31 8.77
n¼5 11.42 10.83 10.25 9.66 9.06 8.46
n ¼ 10 11.396 10.786 10.1695 9.5455 8.914 8.2745
n¼1 11.4 10.8 10.2 9.6 9.0 8.4
k0 ¼ 16% n¼1 15.62 15.2 14.9 14.5 14.1 13.7
n¼2 15.52 14.99 14.5 13.98 13.47 12.96
n¼3 15.44 14.88 14.31 13.75 13.18 12.61
n¼5 15.38 14.76 14.14 13.51 12.88 12.24
n ¼ 10 15.34 14.67 13.99 13.31 12.62 11.92
n¼1 15.2 14.4 13.6 12.8 12.0 11.2
k0 ¼ 20% n¼1 19.6 19.2 18.8 18.4 18.1 17.7
n¼2 19.45 18.97 18.45 17.93 17.37 16.86
n¼3 19.41 18.82 18.23 17.64 17.05 16.45
n¼5 19.35 18.69 18.03 17.36 16.70 16.03
n ¼ 10 19.27 18.54 17.80 17.05 16.30 15.54
n¼1 19.0 18.0 17.0 16.0 15.0 14.0
k0 ¼ 24% n¼1 23.6 23.2 22.8 22.4 22.0 21.6
n¼2 23.46 22.94 22.37 21.80 21.30 20.75
n¼3 23.39 22.77 22.15 21.54 20.91 20.29
n¼5 23.31 22.61 21.91 21.21 20.51 19.80
n ¼ 10 23.21 22.40 21.60 20.78 19.96 19.13
n¼1 22.8 21.6 20.4 19.2 18.0 16.8
34 3 Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure: Brusov–Filatova–. . .
Table 3.3 Average (by debt share wd) values of ratios r ¼ hΔ1 =Δ2 i for k0 ¼ 10%; 12%; 16%; 20%;
and 24%
k0 10% 12% 16% 20% 24%
r ¼< Δ1 =Δ2 > 1.22 2.00 3.67 4.69 5.69
interest rate of the debt kd ¼ 7%. For all other values of equity cost, the results are
reproducible and very informative and are discussed below.
For a graphic illustration of the results, we use data for n ¼ 1, 2, 1, which
adequately reflect the results we have obtained.
Discussion of Results
1. From Table 3.1 and Fig. 3.1, it is obvious that WACC is maximum for a 1-year
company (project) and decreases with the lifetime (age) of the company (project)
and reaches the minimum in the Modigliani–Miller perpetuity case. Dependence
of all WACC values on debt share wd turns out to be linear at any equity cost k0
for all considered durations of the project (lifetime values of the companies). It is
natural for a 1-year project because it is described by Myers linear formula (3.8)
as well as, in the Modigliani–Miller perpetuity case, described by the formula
(2.8), which is linear too, but it is surprise for a 2-year project, where formula for
WACC (3.7) is obviously nonlinear.
The negative slope in WACC increases with the equity cost k0.
2. As it follows from the Table 3.2 and Fig. 3.3, the dependence of the average ratios
r ¼ hΔ1 =Δ2 i on debt share wd is quite weak and can be considered as almost
3.2 Comparison of Modigliani–Miller Results (Perpetuity Company) with. . . 35
Fig. 3.1 The dependence of the WACC on debt share wd for companies with different lifetime n for
different cost of equity, k0 (from Table 3.1)
constant. The value of this constant increases practically linear with the equity
cost k0 from 1.22 at k0 ¼ 10% up to 5.69 at k0 ¼ 24% (see Fig. 3.4).
3. The relative difference between 1-year and a 2-year projects increases when the
equity cost k0 decreases. At the same time, the relative difference between a
2-year project and perpetuity MM project increases with the equity cost k0.
We can also show below at Table 3.4 and Fig. 3.5 the dependence of the WACC
on leverage level L for n ¼ 1, n ¼ 3, and n ¼ 1.
From Table 3.4 and Fig. 3.5, it is obvious that WACC has a maximum for a
1-year company and decreases with the age (lifetime) of the company, reaching the
minimum in the Modigliani–Miller perpetuity case. (Note, however, that this not
always be so via the effect of “golden age” of the company (see Chaps 18 and 19)).
36 3 Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure: Brusov–Filatova–. . .
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
–
r
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
10.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00
Ko
Fig. 3.3 Dependence of the average values of ratio r ¼ hΔ1 =Δ2 i on the equity cost, k0
WACC
k0 t = 0(any n)
(1+k0)kd
k0 1- t n=1
(1+kd)k0
k0(1-t) n=∞
Fig. 3.4 The dependence of the WACC on leverage in the absence of corporate taxes [the
horizontal line (t ¼ 0)], as well as in the presence of corporate taxes [for 1-year (n ¼ 1) and
perpetuity companies (n ¼ 1)]. Curves for the WACC of companies with an intermediate lifetime
(age) (1 < n < 1) lie within the shaded region
Table 3.4 The dependence of the WACC on leverage level L for n ¼ 1, n ¼ 3, and n ¼ 1
WACC WACC
L k0 kd t wd n ¼ 1 (%) n ¼ 3 (%) WACC (MM) (%)
0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.00 20.00 20.00 20.00
1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.50 18.91 18.41 18.00
2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.67 18.55 17.87 17.33
3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.75 18.36 17.61 17.00
4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.80 18.25 17.44 16.80
5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.83 18.18 17.34 16.67
6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.86 18.13 17.26 16.57
7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.88 18.09 17.20 16.50
8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.89 18.06 17.16 16.44
9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.90 18.04 17.12 16.40
10 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.91 18.02 17.09 16.36
L
WACC wd kd k0 1 þ Lkd
ke ¼ ¼
we 1 ð3:15Þ
1þL
¼ k0 þ Lðk0 k d Þ:
For the finite lifetime (finite age) companies, Modigliani–Miller theorem about
equality of value of financially independent and financially dependent companies
(V0 ¼ VL) has the following view (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b,
c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b):
V 0 ¼ V L;
38 3 Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure: Brusov–Filatova–. . .
20,00%
19,50%
19,00%
18,50%
18,00%
n=1 ko=0,2 kd=0,1
WACC
17,50%
n=3 ko=0,2 kd=0,1
17,00%
MM ko=0,2 kd=0,1
16,50%
16,00%
15,50%
15,00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
½1 ð1 þ k 0 Þn ½1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
CF ¼ CF : ð3:16Þ
k0 WACC
1 ð1 þ k 0 Þ1 1 ð1 þ WACCÞ1
¼ , ð3:18Þ
k0 WACC
and thus
1 1
¼ : ð3:19Þ
1 þ k 0 1 þ WACC
Hence
WACC ¼ k0 : ð3:20Þ
3.3 Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theorem 39
The formula for equity cost ke ¼ k0 + L(k0 kd) is now obtained by substituting
WACC ¼ k0 into (3.14).
(b) For a 2-year company, one has from (3.15)
h i h i
1 ð1 þ k0 Þ2 1 ð1 þ WACCÞ2
¼ ,
k0 WACC
and thus
2 þ k0 2 þ WACC
2
¼ : ð3:21Þ
ð1 þ k 0 Þ ð1 þ WACCÞ2
Denoting α ¼ ð1þk
2þk 0
Þ2
, we get the following quadratic equation for WACC:
0
Substituting α ¼ ð1þk
2þk 0
Þ2
, we get
0
k20 3 ðk 0 þ 3Þð1 þ k 0 Þ
WACC1, 2 ¼ : ð3:24Þ
2ð 2 þ k 0 Þ
2k0 þ 3
WACC1 ¼ k0 ; WACC2 ¼ < 0: ð3:25Þ
k0 þ 2
The second root is negative, but the weighted average cost of capital can only be
positive, so only one value remains:
WACC1 ¼ k0 :
1 ð1 þ k0 Þn 1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
¼ : ð3:26Þ
k0 WACC
40 3 Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure: Brusov–Filatova–. . .
For a fixed k0, (Eq. 3.25) is an equation of (n + 1)—a degree relative to WACC. It
has n + 1 roots (in general complex). One of the roots, as a direct substitution shows,
is always WACC ¼ k0.. Investigation of the remaining roots is difficult and not a part
of our problem.
Formula for equity cost ke ¼ k0 + L(k0 kd) is now obtained by substituting
WACC ¼ k0 into (Eq. 3.14).
Thus, we have proved the Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theorem.
Case of the Presence of Corporate Taxes
Modigliani–Miller theory in case of presence of corporate taxes gives the following
results for dependence of WACC and equity cost ke on leverage:
1. WACC
V L ¼ V 0 þ Dt; D ¼ wd V L ; ð3:27Þ
CF=WACC ¼ CF=k0 þ Dt ¼ CF=k0 þ wd tCF=WACC, ð3:28Þ
1 wd t 1
¼ ; ð3:29Þ
WACC k 0
L
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 wd t Þ ¼ k0 1 t : ð3:30Þ
1þL
Thus, WACC decreases with leverage from k0 [in the absence of debt financing
(L ¼ 0)] up to k0(1 t) (at L ¼ 1).
2. The equity cost ke
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 wd t Þ ¼ we k e þ wd kd ð1 t Þ;
and thus
WACC wd kd ð1 t Þ
ke ¼
we
L
k 0 ð1 w d t Þ k d ð1 t Þ ð3:31Þ
¼ 1þL ¼ k0 þ Lðk 0 kd Þð1 t Þ:
1
1þL
Let us consider, how the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and the cost of
the equity capital, ke, will be changed when taking into account the finite age of the
company.
3.4 From Modigliani–Miller to General Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure 41
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð3:32Þ
WACC k0 ½1 wd t ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
1 ð1 þ WACCÞ1 1 ð1 þ k0 Þ1
¼ h i ð3:33Þ
WACC k0 1 wd t 1 ð1 þ kd Þ1
From (Eq. 3.33), we obtain the well-known Myers formula (Eq. 3.8), which is the
particular case of Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula (Eq. 3.7).
1 þ k0
WACC ¼ k0 k d wd t:
1 þ kd
Thus
ð1 þ k 0 Þ k d L
WACC ¼ k0 1 t : ð3:34Þ
ð1 þ k d Þ k 0 1 þ L
Thus, WACC decreases with leverage from k0 [in the absence of debt financing
(L ¼ 0)] up to k 0 1 ðð1þk 0 Þk d
1þkd Þk 0 t ðat L ¼ 1Þ:
Equating the right part of Eq. (3.34) to general expression for WACC
WACC ¼ we ke þ wd kd ð1 t Þ, ð3:35Þ
one gets
1 þ k0
k0 kd wd t ¼ we ke þ wd k d ð1 t Þ: ð3:36Þ
1 þ kd
Thus
1 1 þ k0
ke ¼ k0 kd wd t kd wd ð1 t Þ
we 1 þ kd
kd
¼ ð1 þ LÞk0 L ½ð1 þ k0 Þt þ ð1 þ kd Þð1 t Þ
1 þ kd
kd
¼ k 0 þ Lð k 0 k d Þ 1 t :
1 þ kd
42 3 Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure: Brusov–Filatova–. . .
0 L
kd
k e ¼ k0 þ Lðk 0 kd Þ 1 t : ð3:37Þ
1 þ kd
X
n
kd Dt kd Dt ½1 ð1 þ k d Þn
TS ¼ ¼ ¼ Dt ½1 ð1 þ kd Þn : ð3:38Þ
i¼1 ð1 þ kd Þi ð1 þ kd Þ 1 ð1 þ k d Þ1
1. In perpetuity limit (n ! 1), tax shield is equal to TS1 ¼ Dt, which leads to the
so-called effect of the tax shield associated with the appearance of a factor (1 t)
in the equity cost ke ¼ k0 + L(k0 kd)(1 t).
2. For the 1-year company, tax shield value is equal to
TS1 ¼ Dt 1 ð1 þ kd Þ1 ¼ Dtk d =ð1 þ kd Þ: ð3:39Þ
This leads to appearance of a factor 1 1þk
kd
t in the equity cost (Eq. 3.36):
d
ke ¼ k0 þ Lðk 0 kd Þ 1 1þk
kd
d
t :
3.5 BFO Theory in the Case, When the Company Ceased to Exist at the Time. . . 43
and if the analogy with a 1-year company will keep, then factor (1 t) in the
Modigliani–Miller theory would be replaced by the factor
!
k d ð2 þ k d Þ
1 t : ð3:41Þ
ð1 þ k d Þ2
From the output of the BFO formula, it follows that developed ideology is applied to
companies which have reached the age of n-years and continue to exist on the
market, while the theory of MM is only applicable to infinitely old (perpetuity)
companies. By other words, BFO is applicable for most interesting case of compa-
nies that reached the age of n-years and continue to exist on the market and allows to
analyze the financial condition of the operating companies.
However, the BFO theory allows also to examine the financial status of the
companies which ceased to exist, i.e., of those for which n means not age but a
lifetime, i.e., the time of existence. A lot of schemes of termination of activities of the
company can exist: bankruptcy, merger, acquisition, etc. Below we consider one of
those schemes, when the value of the debt capital D becomes zero at the time of
termination of activity of company n: in this case the BFO theory requires minimal
upgrades, showed below.
From the formula for the capitalization of the company (3.1), it is easy to get an
estimation for the “residual capitalization” of the company, discounted to the time
moment k:
X
n
CF CF h ðnk Þ
i
Vk ¼ t ¼ 1 ð 1 þ WACC Þ : ð3:42Þ
t¼kþ1 ð1 þ WACCÞ
WACC
V k ¼ wd D, ð3:43Þ
we obtain an expression for the tax shield for n-years subject to the termination of the
activities of the company at the moment n:
X
n
V k1 tk d wd CF X
n
1 ð1 þ WACCÞðnkþ1Þ
TSn ¼ tk d wd ¼ ¼
k¼1 ð1 þ k d Þk WACC k¼1 ð1 þ k d Þk
ð3:44Þ
tk d wd 1 ð1 þ kd Þn ð1 þ kd Þn ð1 þ WACCÞn
¼ :
WACC kd WACC kd
V L ¼ V 0 þ ðTSÞn
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼
WACC k0
tk d wd 1 ð1 þ k d Þn ð1 þ kd Þn ð1 þ WACCÞn
þ ,
WACC kd WACC k d
ð3:45Þ
from which one can find the WACC for companies with arbitrary lifetime n,
provided that the company ceases to function at the time moment n.
Below in the monograph, we investigate the companies that have reached the
age of n-years and continue to exist on the market, i.e., we will use formula BFO
(3.7), but in this paragraph we present some results obtained from the formula
BFO-2 (3.45).
WACC
0.1850
0.1800
0.1750
0.1700
0.1650
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
n=3 n=5
0.1800
WACC
0.1750
0.1700
0.1650
0.1600
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
L=1 L=2 L=3 L=5 L=7
0.1500
WACC
0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
n
n=3 n=5
Using it we get the following results for dependence of WACC on leverage level
L, lifetime n, and on tax on profit rate t (Figs. 3.7, 3.8, and 3.9)
46 3 Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure: Brusov–Filatova–. . .
Let us compare results obtained from formulas BFO and BFO-2 (Figs. 3.10, 3.11,
3.12, and 3.13).
Comparison of results obtained from formulas BFO and BFO-2 shows that
WACC values (at the same values of other parameters) turn out to be higher for
the companies which ceased to exist at the time moment n, than for companies which
have reached the age of n-years and continue to exist on the market. By other words,
the companies which ceased to exist at the time moment n can attract a capital at
higher rate than for companies which have reached the age of n-years and continue to
exist on the market.
We will develop the detailed investigation of the companies which ceased to exist
at the time moment n (described by formula BFO-2) somewhere also, and in this
0.1800
0.1700
0.1600
0.1500
0 5 10 15
L
n=3 n=5 n=3(2)
n=5(2)
0.0680
0.0660
0.0640
0.0620
0.0600
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
WACC
0.1650
0.1600
0.1550
0.1500
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
k0=0,2; kd=0,15 k0=0,2; kd=0,15
0.1500
curve); k0 ¼ 0.2; kd ¼ 0.15;
n¼5 0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
n
n=5 n=5(2)
3.6 Conclusions
In this chapter, an important step toward a general theory of capital cost and capital
structure of the company has been done. For this, perpetuity theory of Nobel Prize
winners Modigliani and Miller, which was until recently (until 2008) the main and
the basic theory of capital cost and capital structure of companies, has been extended
to the case of companies of arbitrary age and of companies with an arbitrary lifetime,
as well as for projects of arbitrary duration.
48 3 Modern Theory of Capital Cost and Capital Structure: Brusov–Filatova–. . .
We show that taking into account the finite age of the company or the finite
lifetime of the company in the presence of corporate taxes leads to a change in the
equity cost of the company, ke, as well as in its weighted average cost (WACC) and
company capitalization, V.
Thus, we have removed one of the most serious limitations of the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, connected with the assumption of perpetuity of the companies.
The effect of leverage on the cost of equity capital, ke, of the company of an arbitrary
age or with arbitrary lifetime and its weighted average cost (WACC) is investigated.
We give a rigorous proof of an important Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theorem that
in the absence of corporate tax, equity cost of companies, ke, as well as its weighted
average cost (WACC) does not depend on the lifetime (age) of the company.
We summarize the difference in results obtained within modern Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova theory and within classical Modigliani–Miller one in Table 3.5.
Table 3.5 Comparison of results, obtained within Modigliani–Miller theory and within general
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory
Financial Modigliani–Miller
parameter (MM) results Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) results
n
Capitalization of V0 ¼ CF/k0 V 0 ¼ CF
k 0 ½1 ð1 þ k 0 Þ
financially inde-
pendent company
Capitalization of V ¼ CF/WACC V ¼ WACC
CF
½1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
leverage (finan-
cially dependent)
company
Tax shield (TS)1 ¼ DT BFO-1: TSn ¼ DT[1 (1 + kd)n]
BFO-2:
T k d wd 1 ð1 þ k d Þn
TSn ¼
WACC kd
n n
ð1 þ k d Þ ð1 þ WACCÞ
WACC k d
Modigliani– V ¼ V0 + DT V ¼ V0 + DT[1 (1 + kd)n]
Miller theorem
with taxes
Weighted average WACC ¼ BFO-1:
cost of capital ¼ k 0 ð1 wd t Þ 1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
(WACC) ¼
WACC
1 ð1 þ k 0 Þn
¼
k 0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
BFO-2:
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k 0 Þn Tkd wd
¼ þ
WACC k0 WACC
n n n
1 ð1 þ k d Þ ð1 þ k d Þ ð1 þ WACCÞ
kd WACC k d
Equity cost, ke ke ¼ k0 þ k e ¼ ð1 þ LÞ WACC
þLðk 0 k d Þð1 t Þ k d Lð1 T Þ
References 49
The first four formulas from the right-hand column are sometimes used in
practice, but there are several significant nuances. First, these formulas do not take
into account the residual value of the company and only take into account the
operating flows, and this must be borne in mind. Second, these formulas contain
the weighted average cost of capital of the company (WACC). If it is estimated
within the traditional approach or the theory of Modigliani–Miller, it gives a lower
WACC value than the real value and, therefore, overestimates the capitalization of
both financially dependent and financially independent companies. Therefore, in
order to assess a company’s capitalization by the first two formulas, one needs to use
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formulas for weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
and equity cost, ke.
To calculate the equity cost in BFO approximation (last line in Table 3.5), one
first needs to use Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula for weighted average cost of
capital (WACC) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b,
2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008).
References
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capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
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of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital
cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
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tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
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perpetuity limit—Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
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its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
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horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
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Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
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Chapter 4
Bankruptcy of the Famous Trade-Off
Theory
Within the modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008), an analysis of the widely known trade-off theory has
been made. It is shown that suggestion about risky debt financing (and about growth
of credit rate near the bankruptcy) in opposite to waiting result does not lead to
growth of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) which still decreases with
leverage. This means the absence of minimum in the dependence of WACC on
leverage as well as the absence of maximum in the dependence of company
capitalization on leverage. Thus, it means that the optimal capital structure is absent
in the famous trade-off theory. The explanation to this fact has been done.
Under the condition of proved by us of insolvency of well-known classical trade-
off theory, the question of search of new mechanisms for the formation of a
company’s optimal capital structure, which will be different from one suggested
by trade-off theory, becomes very important. One of the real such mechanisms has
been developed by us in the next chapter.
Choosing optimal capital structure of the company, i.e., proportion of debt and
equity, which minimizes weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and maximizes
the company capitalization, V, is one of the most important tasks of the financial
manager and the management of a company. The search for an optimal capital
structure, like the search for a “Golden Fleece,” attracts the attention of the econo-
mists and financiers during many tens of years. And it is clear why: someone,
nothing making, but only by changing the proportion between the values of equity
capital and debt one of the company, can significantly enhance the company
capitalization, in other words, he can fulfill the primary task and reach critical goal
of the business management. Spend a little less of your own, loan slightly more
(or vice versa), and company capitalization reaches the maximum.
Note that the problem of capital structure is studied very intensively. There are
theories that consider the perfect markets (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al.
2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008; Modigliani and Miller
1958, 1963, 1966) and other ones that consider the imperfect markets (Brennan and
Schwartz 1978, 1984; Leland 1994; Kane et al. 1984; Dittmar and Thakor 2007;
Bikhchandani et al. 1998; Post et al. 2002; Filbeck et al. 1996; Jenter 2005; Baker
and Wurgler 2002; Graham and Harvey 2001; Hovakimian et al. 2001; Myers and
Majluf 1984; Myers 1984; Fama and French 2004; Jensen et al. 1973).
Among the latter ones, we can mention agent cost theory (Jensen et al. 1973),
stakeholders theory (Post et al. 2002), manager investment autonomy (Dittmar and
Thakor 2007), information cascades (Bikhchandani et al. 1998), behavioral theories
(Filbeck et al. 1996; Jenter 2005; Baker and Wurgler 2002; Graham and Harvey
2001), signaling theory (Myers and Majluf 1984), and pecking order theory (Myers
1984; Hovakimian et al. 2001; Fama and French 2004). Historically, the conceptions
of the influence of capital structure on the well-being of shareholders have developed
not monotonically. We consider the traditional (empirical) approach (Brusov and
Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a,
b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008), the Modigliani and Miller theory (Мodigliani and Мiller
1958, 1963, 1966), trade-off theory (Brennan and Schwartz 1978; Leland 1994;
Brennan and Schwartz 1984; Kane et al. 1984), and modern Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova theory of capital cost and capital structure (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008).
The Traditional Approach The traditional (empirical) approach told businessmen
that the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and the associated company
capitalization, V ¼ CF/WACC, depend on the capital structure, the level of leverage.
Debt cost always turns out to be lower, than equity cost, because first one has lower
risk, because in the event of bankruptcy, creditor claims are met prior to shareholders
claims.
As a result, an increase in the proportion of lower-cost debt capital in the overall
capital structure up to the limit, which does not cause violation of financial sustain-
ability and growth in risk of bankruptcy, leads to lower weighted average cost of
capital (WACC).
The profitability required by investors (the equity cost) is growing; however, its
growth has not led to compensation of benefits from the use of lower-cost debt
capital. Therefore, the traditional approach welcomes the increased leverage L ¼ D/S
and the associated increase of company capitalization. The traditional (empirical)
approach has existed up to appearance of the first quantitative theory by Modigliani
and Miller (1958).
Modigliani–Miller Theory Modigliani and Miller (ММ) in their first paper (with-
out taxes) (Modigliani and Miller 1958) have come to the conclusion (based on
assumptions that there are no taxes, no transaction costs, no bankruptcy costs, that
perfect market exists with symmetric information, that there is equivalence in
4.1 Optimal Capital Structure of the Company 53
borrowing costs for both companies and investors, etc.) that the choosing of pro-
portion of debt and equity does not affect WACC and company value as well
(Fig. 2.2).
Most of Modigliani and Miller assumptions (Modigliani and Miller 1958), of
course, are unrealistic. Some assumptions can be removed without changing the
conclusions of the model. However, assuming no costs of bankruptcy and the
absence of taxes (or the presence of only corporate taxes) are crucial, the change
of these assumptions alters conclusions. The last two assumptions rule out the
possibility of signaling and agency costs theories and, thus, also constitute a critical
prerequisite.
Modigliani–Miller theory with taxes (see Chap. 2) leads to conclusion that in
accordance with formula obtained by them,
WACC ¼ k 0 ð1 wd T Þ, ð4:1Þ
weighted average cost of capital (WАСС) decreases continuously (Fig. 2.3) (WACC
decreases from k0 (at L ¼ 0) up to k0(1 T ) (at L ¼ 1), when the company is
financed entirely with borrowed funds). So, there is no optimal capital structure
within this theory. Below we modify Modigliani–Miller theory with taxes by taking
off the suggestion about riskless of debt capital, modeling the growth of risk of
bankruptcy by increase of credit rate, and show that optimal capital structure of the
company is still absent.
Trade-Off Theory Reduction in financial sustainability of companies and increase
of bankruptcy risk, which relate to the use of different forms of borrowing in the
formation of financial capital structure of the company, are increased with the
increasing of debt.
Modigliani–Miller theory did not take into account the bankruptcy risk and
related costs. From its version with the tax on profit, it follows that debt financing
brings only some benefits associated with tax benefits (tax shield). Since company
capitalization grows with leverage level and there is no compensating increase in the
debt cost, increasing of the capitalization requires only the use of debt financing.
This obvious contradiction with the real economy has created many theories,
which had tried to find a balance between the advantages and disadvantages of using
debt financing by the companies. The advantage is a reduction of weighted average
cost of capital (WACC) and the corresponding increase of capitalization of the
companies, V, and the drawback is that the increase of debt financing reduces the
financial sustainability of the companies and increases the financial distress and risk
of bankruptcy.
One of these theories is trade-off theory (Brennan and Schwartz 1978; Leland
1994). There are two versions of this theory: static and dynamic. Former one is based
on the fact that at the low leverage level, the benefits of debt financing are
manifested: when WACC drops with leverage, a company’s capitalization grows.
Starting with a certain leverage level, financial distress costs and risk of bank-
ruptcy are growing, the WACC begins to grow, and the value of the company begins
54 4 Bankruptcy of the Famous Trade-Off Theory
to fall. The leverage level, at which the value of tax benefits is approximately equal
to the cost of bankruptcy, determines the optimal (objective) capital structure.
While the static trade-off theory is a single-period model (Brennan and Schwartz
1978; Leland 1994), in the dynamic trade-off theory (Brennan and Schwartz 1984),
the financing decision depends on what the company anticipates in the next periods
and which will be a capital structure.
Let us show first that in Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958,
1963), modified by us by taking off the suggestion about risklessness of debt capital,
the optimal capital structure is still absent.
Consider the case of arbitrary dependence of debt cost on leverage f(L).
Suppose that debt cost kd is described by the following function:
kd0 ¼ const; at L L0
kd ¼ , ð4:2Þ
kd0 þ f ðLÞ; at L > L0
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 wd t Þ, ð4:3Þ
1 L
WACC ¼ ke we þ kd wd ð1 t Þ ¼ k e þ kd ð1 t Þ
1þL 1þL ð4:5Þ
1
¼ ½ke þ k d Lð1 t Þ:
1þL
Substituting Eqs. (4.2) and (4.4) into (4.5), one has finally for weighted average
cost of capital (WACC)
4.3 Analysis of the Trade-Off Theory Within the Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory 55
1
WACC ¼ k 0 þ Lð k 0 k d Þ ð 1 t Þ
1þL
1
þLkd ð1 t Þ ¼ ½k0 þ k 0 Lð1 t Þ ð4:6Þ
1þL
k 0 ½1 þ Lð1 t Þ
¼ ¼ k0 ½we þ wd ð1 t Þ ¼ k 0 ð1 wd t Þ:
1þL
One can see that weighted average cost of capital (WACC) does not depend on f
(L ). Moreover, it is described by the same expression (Eq. 4.3), as in the case of
riskless debt capital. Note that the obtained result is consistent with the conclusions
of Rubinstein (1973) and Stiglitz (1969) that company value within Modigliani–
Miller theory is not changed upon the introduction of riskiness of debt capital. In our
approximation, as well as at Hsia (1981), debt cost is not already constant.
Differentiating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) with respect to
leverage level L, one has
Modigliani and Miller (1958, 1963, 1966) assumed that all financial flows are
perpetuity. Because, in reality, the lifetime of the companies is always, of course,
finite, this condition is one of the weaknesses of the Modigliani and Miller theory.
Account of the finite lifetime of the companies changes all the formulas of Modi-
gliani and Miller drastically. The solution of the problem of weighted average cost of
capital (WACC) for the companies with arbitrary lifetime has been done for the first
time by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova with coauthors (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova
2011). Their theory has allowed to find hidden global causes of the global financial
crisis (Brusov et al. 2012b) (see Chap. 6 for details).
The main formula, received by them, is an algebraic equation of n + 1 power (here
n is the lifetime of company) to calculate weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
taking the form
56 4 Bankruptcy of the Famous Trade-Off Theory
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð4:8Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
For n > 3, this equation can be solved numerically only. It is easy to use for this a
function “matching parameters” in the Excel.
Using Eq. (4.8), let us investigate the optimal capital structure in the trade-off
theory.
We are modeling the emergence of a financial volatility and of bankruptcy risk by
the growth of the cost of debt capital, kd, indicating that kd becomes risky, and its
growth represents a fee for the state of financial volatility and bankruptcy risk.
It is impossible to study such effects, as the growth of credit rate with leverage in
the theory of Modigliani and Miller (MM), because:
– MM theory considers two types of assets: risky equity capital and free of risk debt
capital.
– Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) in the theory of Modigliani and Miller
is determined by the following expression (Eq. 4.3), which depends on k0, wd,
and T and does NOT depend on kd. This is due to the fact that discounted value of
tax shield for an infinite period of time,
X
1
ðPVÞTS ¼ kd DT ð1 þ k d Þt ¼ DT ð4:9Þ
t¼1
X
n
ðPVÞTS ¼ k d DT ð1 þ kd Þt ¼ DT ½1 ð1 þ k d Þn : ð4:10Þ
t¼1
As a result, for weighted average cost of capital (WACC), the formula BFO is
derived
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ ð4:13Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:14Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:15Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:16Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:17Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:18Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:19Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:20Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:21Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:22Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:23Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:24Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:25Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
WACC ¼ we ke þ wd kd ð1 T Þ, ð4:26Þ
not grow if both kd and ke are growing? (ke is growing with leverage in accordance to
(Eq. 4.4), and kd is growing in accordance to our assumption).
The answer will be received in the next paragraph, where we are investigating the
dependence of equity cost ke on leverage L with the same assumptions about the risk
of debt capital and growth, as a consequence, of its cost with the leverage.
70
So, we will investigate the dependence of the equity cost ke on leverage L with the
same assumptions about the risk of the debt and growth of its cost with leverage.
In the Modigliani–Miller theory, equity cost ke always grows with leverage, as
well as in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory. In the latter one, however, an abnor-
mal effect, discovered by us, exists (Brusov et al. 2013a, b): decreasing of equity cost
ke with leverage L. This effect, which is absent in perpetuity Modigliani–Miller limit,
takes place under account of finite lifetime of the company at tax on profits rate,
4.4 The Causes of Absence of the Optimum Capital Structure in the Trade-Off Theory 75
which exceeds some value T*. At some ratios between debt cost and equity capital
cost, the discovered effect takes place at tax on profit rate, existing in western
countries and Russia. But this effect has been obtained under condition of a constant
debt cost kd. Let us see, how the growth of debt cost kd with leverage affects the
equity cost’s ke dependence on leverage. We will consider the same cases as above
for the calculations of dependences of WACC(L).
1. n ¼ 3; t ¼ 20%; L ¼ 0,1,2, . . .,10
0:07; at L 2
k 0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:27Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:28Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ 2 : ð4:29Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k 0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:30Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:31Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:32Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:33Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ : ð4:34Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:35Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:36Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:37Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
0:07; at L 2
k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ : ð4:38Þ
0:07 þ 0:1ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
n ¼ 5; t ¼ 20%; L ¼ 0, 1, 2, . . . , 6,
0:12; at L 1
k 0 ¼ 22%; kd ¼ ð4:39Þ
0:12 þ 0:01 3L1 ; at L > 1
one gets the following dependence of kd, kd, and WACC on leverage (Fig. 4.25).
88
Fig. 4.25 Dependence of equity cost ke, debt cost kd, and WACC on leverage L
So, the conclusions made are independent of rate of growth of kd with leverage.
4.5 Conclusion
The analysis of the well-known trade-off theory, conducted with the help of modern
theory of capital structure and capital cost by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova, has
shown that the suggestion of risky debt financing (and growth of a credit rate near
the bankruptcy) in opposite to waiting result does not lead to the growth of WACC,
which still decreases with leverage. This means the absence of minimum in the
dependence of WACC on leverage as well as the absence of maximum in the
dependence of capitalization V on leverage. Thus, this means that the optimal capital
structure is absent in the famous trade-off theory. The explanation to this fact has
been done within the same Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory by studying the
dependence of the equity cost ke on leverage. It turned out that the growth of debt
cost kd with leverage led to the decrease of equity cost ke with leverage, starting from
some leverage level, which is higher than starting point of debt cost growth. This
paradox conclusion gives the explanation of the absence of the optimal capital
structure in the famous trade-off theory. This means that competition of benefits
from the use of debt financing and of financial distress cost (or a bankruptcy cost) are
NOT balanced, and the hope that trade-off theory gives us the optimal capital
structure, unfortunately, is not realized.
The absence of the optimal capital structure in the trade-off theory questioned the
existence of an optimal capital structure of the company at all [but as authors have
shown, the optimal capital structure in the investments still exists (Brusov et al.
2011b)]. In the search for the “Golden Fleece,” one needs to switch to study of other
mechanisms for formation of the optimal capital structure of the company, different
from ones considered in the trade-off theory. And one of such mechanisms has been
discovered by us (see Chap. 5 for details).
96 4 Bankruptcy of the Famous Trade-Off Theory
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Chapter 5
New Mechanism of Formation
of the Company’s Optimal Capital
Structure, Different from Suggested
by Trade-Off Theory
Analyzing the validity of the well-known trade-off theory (Brennan and Schwartz
1978, 1984; Leland 1994), we have investigated the problem of existing optimal
capital structure of company within Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodigliani and
Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966), modified by us by taking off the suggestion about
risklessness of debt capital (MMM theory), as well as within modern theory of
capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO theory) appli-
cable to companies with arbitrary lifetime and investment projects of arbitrary
duration (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011). Within both
theories (МММ and BFO), the absence of the optimal capital structure has been
proved under the modeling of financial distress and danger of bankruptcy by increase
of debt cost. This proves the insolvency of the classical trade-off theory (Brusov
et al. 2013a), which is based on the following suggestions (Brennan and Schwartz
1978, 1984; Leland 1994).
At low leverage levels, the advantages of using debt financing (which is cheaper
than equity one) are connected to the fact that the weighted average cost of capital,
WACC, decreases with leverage and consequently the company capitalization
grows. Starting from some leverage level, financial distress appears and grows;
bankruptcy risk grows as well. The increase of WACC and consequently the
decrease of the company’s capitalization start. The leverage level, at which profits
of debt capital using are approximately equal to the bankruptcy cost, determines the
company’s optimal capital structure.
As our investigations show (Brusov et al. 2013a), within both theories, growth of
WACC and consequently decrease of the company’s capitalization are absent. We
have given the explanation of such a phenomenon: for leverage levels above some
value L *, the equity cost decreases with leverage, providing continuous (at all
leverage levels) fall down of WACC.
The conclusion, made by us, is as follows: the mechanism of formation of the
company’s optimal capital structure, suggested in the trade-off theory about 40 years
ago, turns out to be insolvent (Brusov et al. 2013a). From the other side, continuous
and unlimited fall of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and, consequently,
unlimited growth of the company’s capitalization with leverage seem to contradict
the existing experience.
Willing to study the problem of the existing optimal capital structure of company,
we investigate the influence of debt cost on equity cost and on weighted average cost
of capital, WACC. We have discovered the presence of correlations between debt
cost and equity cost, which could give another mechanism of formation of optimal
capital structure of the company (different from the one suggested by the trade-off
theory) at leverage levels, which are far enough from the “critical” levels, at which
financial distress appears and the bankruptcy risk increases. The detailed description
of such a mechanism is the main purpose of this chapter.
Suggested mechanism of formation of the optimal capital structure of company is
based on the decrease of debt cost, which (in some range of leverage levels) is
determined by the growth of the debt volume.
As it has been shown in the previous chapter, in modified Modigliani–Miller
theory (MMM theory) (allowing riskiness debt capital), under arbitrary change of
debt cost with leverage (growing as well as decreasing), the weighted average cost of
capital (WACC) always falls with leverage. If one considers the growth of debt cost
with leverage, this means the absence of the optimal capital structure of company
and proves insolvency of the well-known classical trade-off theory in its original
formulation. If one considers the decrease of debt cost with leverage, this means the
absence of suggested mechanism of formation of the company’s optimal capital
structure within modified (by us) Modigliani–Miller theory. But, as it will be seen
below, situation turns out to be different in the modern theory of capital cost and
capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO theory).
The situation is different in the modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al.
2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008). As it will be shown
below, the decrease of debt cost with leverage leads to the formation of minimum in
the dependence of WACC on leverage at moderate leverage levels (far from the
“critical” levels, at which financial distress appears and the bankruptcy risk
increases). Existence of such minimum leads to the appearance of maximum in
capitalization of the company. So, we suggest a new mechanism of formation of the
5.2 Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital Structure Within. . . 101
company’s optimal capital structure, different from the one suggested by the (already
insolvent) trade-off theory.
Before studying the problem within BFO theory (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008), let us
consider 1-year companies, which have been studied by Myers (2001). This case is
the particular case of more general BFO theory.
For the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of a 1-year company, one has
1 þ k0
WACC ¼ k 0 kd wd t, ð5:1Þ
1 þ kd
Thus, the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) at leverage levels L > L0 is
equal to
1 þ k0 L
WACC ¼ k 0 ðkd0 þ f ðLÞÞ t ð5:3Þ
1 þ kd0 þ f ðLÞ 1þL
and, obviously, depends on the form of f(L). Thus, the difference of the simplest case
of 1-year companies from perpetuity ones, which, as we have shown above in
previous chapter, is independent of the form of f(L), becomes obvious.
We will not analyze here 1-year companies in detail, but instead, we will go now
to analysis of companies with arbitrary lifetime (arbitrary age), described by BFO
theory (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008).
Let us consider a few types of dependences of debt cost on leverage f(L ).
Decrease of Debt Cost at Exponential Rate
We have the following parameters:
Calculation of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) will be done, using
the BFO formula:
102 5 New Mechanism of Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital. . .
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð5:5Þ
WACC n
k 0 1 t ð1þL
L
Þ ð1 ð1 þ k d Þ Þ
By the function “matching parameter” in Excel, we will find the weighted average
cost of capital (WACC) values.
Then, using obtained values of WACC, we will find the cost of equity values ke
by the formula
WACC ¼ ke we þ kd wd ð1 t Þ
ð5:6Þ
k e ¼ WACCð1 þ LÞ kd Lð1 t Þ:
Formula (Eq. 5.6) is the definition of the weighted average cost of capital,
WACC, for the case of existing of taxing.
The application of BFO formula (Eq. 5.5) is very wide: authors have applied it in
corporate finance, in investments, in taxing, in business valuation, in banking, and in
some other areas (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b,
2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008). Using this formula (Eq. 5.5), one can study
the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, as well as the equity
cost ke on leverage level, L, on tax on profit rate, t, and on lifetime of the company, n.
The Case α ¼ 0.01 Let us consider first the case α ¼ 0.01.
We will study below the dependence of debt cost, kd; equity cost, ke; and
weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on leverage level L in case of exponential
decrease of kd (Table 5.1 and Figs. 5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.4, 5.5, 5.6, and 5.7).
The Case α ¼ 0.1 Let us consider now the case α ¼ 0.1 (Table 5.2 and Figs. 5.8,
5.9, 5.10, 5.11, 5.12, and 5.13).
Let us valuate the optimum position L* and its depth, ΔWACC, using obtained
results (see Table 5.3).
Table 5.1 kd, ke, and weighted average cost of capital, WACC, for companies with lifetimes (ages)
n ¼ 1, 3, 5, and 10
L 0 0.5 1 1.1 1.3 1.6 2 3 4
kd 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.1188 0.1161 0.1107 0.1 0.04 –0.14
WACC (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.211 0.207 0.206 0.205 0.206 0.206 0.214 0.252
ke (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.257 0.294 0.302 0.320 0.358 0.417 0.736 1.819
WACC (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.208 0.201 0.201 0.199 0.199 0.198 0.209 0.279
ke (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.252 0.281 0.291 0.307 0.340 0.395 0.716 1.955
WACC (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.206 0.200 0.199 0.197 0.197 0.196 0.207 0.301
ke (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.250 0.279 0.287 0.303 0.335 0.388 0.710 2.067
WACC 0.220 0.206 0.199 0.198 0.196 0.196 0.194 0.205 0.383
(n ¼ 10)
ke(n ¼ 10) 0.220 0.249 0.277 0.285 0.301 0.332 0.383 0.699 2.474
5.2 Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital Structure Within. . . 103
Table 5.2 Debt cost kd and weighted average cost of capital, WACC, for companies with lifetimes
n ¼ 1, 3, 5, and 10
L 0 0.5 0.7 1 1.1 1.3 1.5 2 4
kd 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.108 0.081 0.047 –0.08 –2.48
WACC (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.211 0.209 0.207 0.207 0.210 0.213 0.233 –0.107
ke (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.257 0.272 0.294 0.316 0.377 0.463 0.860 9.384
WACC (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.207 0.204 0.201 0.202 0.205 0.210 0.244 0.079
ke (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.251 0.264 0.281 0.304 0.365 0.455 0.892 10.314
WACC (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.207 0.204 0.200 0.200 0.203 0.208 0.252 0.132
ke (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.250 0.262 0.279 0.301 0.362 0.451 0.916 10.578
WACC (n ¼ 10) 0.220 0.206 0.203 0.199 0.199 0.201 0.206 0.272 0.170
ke (n ¼ 10) 0.220 0.249 0.261 0.277 0.299 0.357 0.446 0.976 10.768
5.2 Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital Structure Within. . . 105
Table 5.3 Optimum position L* and its depth ΔWACC for lifetimes n ¼ 1, 3, 5, and 10
Optimum position L* Optimum depth ΔWACC
n 1 3 5 10 1 3 5 10
α ¼ 0.01 1.3 2 2 2 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6%
α ¼ 0.1 1–1.1 1 1–1.1 1–1.1 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3%
The Quadratic Decrease of Debt Cost kd with Leverage Let us consider the
quadratic decrease of debt cost kd with leverage.
We will study below the dependence of debt cost kd, equity cost ke, and weighted
average cost of capital, WACC, on leverage level L in case of quadratic decrease of
kd..
We use the same parameters, as above
1-Year Companies Let us start from 1-year companies. For them, we get the
following results (Table 5.4 and Figs. 5.14 and 5.15).
5.2 Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital Structure Within. . . 107
30%
20%
10%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5
L
108 5 New Mechanism of Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital. . .
3-Year Companies For 3-year companies, we get the following results (Table 5.5
and Figs. 5.16 and 5.17).
40%
20%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5
L
5.2 Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital Structure Within. . . 109
30%
20%
10%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5
L
5-Year Companies For 5-year companies, we get the following results (Table 5.6
and Figs. 5.18 and 5.19).
30%
20%
10%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5
L
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5
L
112 5 New Mechanism of Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital. . .
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5
L
Table 5.8 Optimum position L* and its depth ΔWACC for lifetimes n ¼ 1, 3, 5, and 10
Optimum position L* Optimum depth ΔWACC
n 1 3 5 10 1 3 5 10
α ¼ 0.01 2 2 2 2 2.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6%
α ¼ 0.1 1–1.1 1 1–1.1 1–1.1 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2%
Let us valuate the optimum position L* and its depth ΔWACC using obtained
results (Table 5.8).
Discussion of Results Thus, we have considered the impact of reducing the cost of
debt kd with increases of debt volume. We deal with two cases: quadratic and an
exponential dependence of cost of debt kd on leverage. We have considered as well
other dependences, giving similar results.
It is shown that in considered cases, the equity capital cost of firm correlates with
the debt cost, which leads to the emergence of an optimal capital structure of
companies. Cause of the emergence of an optimal structure is that the speed of
increase of equity cost ke of the firm begins to grow, starting from some leverage
level L *, which not only compensates the fall in cost of debt kd with leverage but has
also led to an increase in weighted average cost of capital (WACC) with leverage,
starting from some leverage level. This leverage level determines the optimal capital
structure of company.
5.3 Simple Model of Proposed Mechanism 113
It was found that in all examined cases (quadratic as well as exponential one fall
of debt cost), in case of weak drops in debt cost with leverage (α ¼ 0.01), the optimal
capital structure of the company is formed at bigger leverage values, than the
beginning of the fall (in our case L∗ / 2L0), and in the case of a stronger fall of kd
(α ¼ 0.1), the optimal capital structure of the company is formed directly above the
start point of the fall of k d (L∗ L0).
It turns out that the depth of optimum (and, accordingly, the achieved in optimum
company capitalization) is bigger at weak drops of debt cost with leverage
(α ¼ 0.01), that is, due to the more long-term fall of the weighted average cost of
capital (WACC) with leverage L in this case.
The features of the proposed mechanism can be demonstrated at its simplest example
of step-like dependence of debt cost on leverage in the BFO model.
Let us suppose
kd1 ¼ 0:12 ¼ const; at L L0
kd ¼ ; k0 ¼ 0:18; L0 ¼ 5: ð5:8Þ
kd2 ¼ 0:06 ¼ const; at L > L0
We will find the dependence WACC(L ) for 2-year and 4-year companies at
T ¼ 0.2.
The calculations will be done in MS Excel using BFO formula:
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ , ð5:9Þ
WACC k 0 1 wd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
where
L
wd ¼ :
1þL
For a 2-year company, one gets the following results (Table 5.9).
They are illustrated at Fig. 5.22.
WACC
17.00%
16.50%
16.00%
15.50%
15.00%
0 2 4 6 8 10
L
15.50%
14.50%
13.50%
0 2 4 6 8 10
L
lower curves)
15.50%
14.50%
13.50%
0 2 4 6 8 10
L
5.4 Conclusion 115
It can be easily seen that the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, decreasing
with leverage, in descending point of cost of credit, has a gap (jump up) and then
continues to decrease, however, with a slower speed, corresponding to the higher
leverage levels. This means that there is an optimum (minimum) in the dependence
of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on leverage. The optimum depth in this
model is equal to the gap value in the descending point of cost of credit.
With increase of the lifetime of companies, the total lower of graph takes place:
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) decreases. The optimum depth does not
change: for biennial and quadrennial companies, it remains equal to 1.32% (for this
values set of k0, kd, Δkd, L0).
It should be noted that this model with step-like decrease of debt cost, in spite of
its simplicity, turns out to be realistic: many credit organizations use this scheme. For
continuous descending of credit cost, weighted average cost of capital, WACC, is
also continuous, and minimum is described by a more familiar bowl, as it was shown
above for exponential and quadratic decrease of credit cost.
5.4 Conclusion
1. The Modigliani–Miller theory in its classical version does not consider risky debt
funds in principle; therefore, within this theory, it is not possible to investigate the
current problem.
2. In the modified (by us) theory of Modigliani–Miller, with the modeling of
riskiness of debt funds by dependence of their cost on leverage level, as shown
in this chapter, at arbitrary change of debt cost with leverage (the growing as well
as the falling), the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) always decreases
with leverage, which demonstrates the absence of the optimal capital structure
and proves insolvency of the well-known classical trade-off theory in its original
formulation as well as the inability to implement the mechanism of formation of
an optimal capital structure proposed in this chapter.
3. Within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova (BFO theory), it is shown that decrease of debt cost with leverage leads
to the formation of minimum in dependence of the weighted average cost of
capital (WACC) on leverage at moderate leverage levels (far from critical ones, at
which financial distressed appear and the bankruptcy risk increases). Existence of
minimum in dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on
leverage leads to maximum in company capitalization (Fig. 5.25).
Thus, a new mechanism of formation of optimal capital structure of the
company, different from the one suggested by trade-off theory (now insolvent)
and which is based on the decrease of debt cost with leverage, has been developed
by us and is described in this chapter.
The cause of optimum formation is as follows: decrease of debt cost with leverage
leads to more significant growth of equity cost, which is not compensated by the fall
116 5 New Mechanism of Formation of the Company’s Optimal Capital. . .
WACC
L0 L opt L1 L
of the debt cost, and WACC starts to increase with leverage at some (moderate)
leverage level. From the other side, the increase of debt cost with leverage at higher
leverage level, as we have shown before (Brusov et al. 2013a), leads to the fall of
WACC with leverage. Thus, within BFO theory, under suggestion of decrease of
debt cost at moderate leverage levels and of its increase at high leverage levels,
WACC first decreases with leverage and then, going through minimum, starts to
grow and finally fall again already continuously (under growing or constant debt
cost). Note that continuous fall of WACC with leverage at high leverage levels has
been proved by us in the previous chapter (see also Brusov et al. 2013a), where the
insolvency of the well-known classical trade-off theory has been demonstrated.
Obtained conclusions do not depend qualitatively on velocity of debt cost fall.
Only optimum depth and its position (but not its existence) depend on the particular
form of dependence of debt cost on leverage [mainly on velocity of debt cost fall and
significantly less on the particular form of function f(L )].
References
Brennan M, Schwartz E (1978) Corporate income taxes, valuation, and the problem of optimal
capital structure. J Bus 51:103–114
Brennan M, Schwartz E (1984) Optimal financial policy and firm valuation. J Financ 39:593–607
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusov PP, Brusova N (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to
general theory of capital cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
References 117
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit—Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Sol 34(76):36–42
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Leland H (1994) Corporate debt value, bond covenants, and optimal capital structure. J Financ 49
(4):1213–1252
Myers S (2001) Capital structure. J Econ Perspect 15:81–102
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Modigliani F, Miller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Chapter 6
The Global Causes of the Global Financial
Crisis
Whether it is possible to manage the finance, being unable to properly assess them
Hopes of ending the financial crisis did not materialize. Recent events (the
problems of the euro zone, the threat of default in the USA, the collapse of the
financial market after a reduction of the credit rating of the USA, debt problems in
the world (Europe, USA), etc.) show that the crisis deepened, affecting new areas
and taking on a systemic character.
It becomes clear that we need in-depth analysis of its general, systemic causes. In
this chapter, we describe recent results in this field, obtained by the authors.
Analysts have called for a lot of particular specific reasons that have led to the
global financial crisis in 2008: the crisis in mortgage lending in the USA, unscru-
pulous financial statements of a number of leading investment funds, problems in the
booming derivatives market in recent years, and others.
But, as our recent researches show, there are also global, fundamental causes of
the current and future financial crises. And one important cause of this is the wrong
long-term systematic assessment of key financial parameters of companies: their
capitalization and the value of attracting funds, including the cost of equity and
weighted average cost of capital. To illustrate the importance of a correct evaluation
of financial parameters, we give only one example, associated with a reduction of the
credit rating of the USA.
When the rating agency Standard & Poor’s informed the Obama administration
about the decision to lower credit ratings, the White House has pointed out to
representatives of S&P an error in its calculations in the trillions of dollars. After
the official downgrade of the US credit rating, the government has publicly stated
about these errors. The representative of the US Treasury Department stated: “Built
on an error in the $2 trillion in the analysis of S&P, which led to a decrease in the
rating speaks for itself.” Last month, S&P warned that only spending budget cuts by
$4 trillion will be able to prevent a fall. However, Congress approved the plan, which
included a reduction by only $2.4 trillion over 10 years. According to the estimates
of S&P, this means that the US foreign debt could reach 74% of GDP by the end of
2011, 79% by 2015, and 85% by 2021. Moody’s and Fitch Ratings, in turn, affirmed
the top rating of the USA after Barack Obama signed the bill, preventing default on
August 2.
Thus, we have, on the one hand, the White House, President Obama (stated that
America always will be the country with the AAA rating), and agencies Moody’s
and Fitch and, on the other hand, agency Standard & Poor’s, whose decision brought
down the markets on August 8, 2011, and the difference in the assessment of about
$2 trillion.
Leaving aside the question of a possible trade of insider information, we note that
this is a striking example which demonstrates the great importance of quantitative
assessments in the finance areas and the utmost responsibility in financial
calculations.
As it has been shown by us (Brusov et al. 2012b), a primary cause of the crisis of
2008 was a mortgage crisis in the USA, which is associated with overvalued
capitalization of mortgage companies by rating agencies, using incorrect Modigliani
and Miller (MM) theory. This reason is now (in 2015) understood by the US
Government, which requires $1 billion from rating agency Standard & Poor’s for
overvalued capitalization of mortgage companies.
And let us cite the last news on this topic from The New York Times (2015/01/
21):
The international rating agency Standard & Poor’s has agreed to pay nearly
$80 million fine to the US authorities. The relevant agreements S&P has reached
with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Agency also agreed to take the
annual “timeout” and to refrain from assign a rating of a number of investments
in commercial mortgage. For the purposes of this agreement the fine in the $1.37
billion threatens to the agency on the case of inflated ratings.
Let us pose the rhetorical question: whether it is possible to manage by the
finance, being unable to properly consider them.
The current system of assessment of key financial parameters of the companies
goes back to Nobel Prize winners Modigliani and Miller (Мodigliani and Мiller
1958, 1963, 1966), who half a century ago replaced existing at that time empirical
intuitive approach (let’s call it traditional). The theory of Modigliani–Miller has been
established under a number of limitations, which obviously had a rough model
character and had a very weak relationship to the real economy. Among the
limitations, it is sufficient to mention the lack of corporate and individual income
taxes, perpetuity (infinite lifetime) of the companies, the existence of perfect mar-
kets, etc. Some restrictions (such as a lack of corporate and individual income taxes,
etc.) were removed later by the authors themselves and their followers, while others
(such as perpetuity of companies) remained in the approach of Modigliani–Miller,
until recently. However, since the theory of Modigliani–Miller (Мodigliani and
Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) was the first quantitative theory, and since finance is
essentially a quantitative science, the theory has become widely used in practice,
since it gave even inaccurate, even rude, but at least some quantitative estimates of
key financial parameters of companies; thus, it was necessary as an air for forecast-
ing activities of the companies and to make informed management decisions.
Widespread use of the Modigliani–Miller theory, as usual, led to the neglect of
restrictions on which it was based and to the absolutization of the theory.
6 The Global Causes of the Global Financial Crisis 121
0 L
122 6 The Global Causes of the Global Financial Crisis
Fig. 6.2 The dependence of the WACC on debt share wd for companies with different lifetimes for
different cost of equity, k0 (in each triplet, upper curve corresponds to n ¼ 1, middle one to n ¼ 2,
and bottom one to n ¼ 1)
0 L
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
approach. Better results are obtained by the method of Modigliani–Miller (and this
was the reason that it is used more than half a century). And the most relevant results
are provided by the Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova method (Fig. 6.3). (See Chap. 17 for
more details.)
Note that the present methods of estimation of the main financial parameters of
companies are a blend of the traditional approach and the method of Modigliani–
Miller. If we will continue the use of the existing system of evaluation of financial
indicators, it will inevitably be the hidden global cause of new financial crises
because it does not allow us to make informed management decisions. The danger
of the situation found by us is that the causes for the crisis do not lie on the surface;
they are implicit and hidden, though no less important and significant. Therefore, the
problem of their identification and disclosure is extremely important and relevant.
Informed–so protected.
Authors are working now on the development of methodology for assessing the
key financial parameters of the companies on the basis of the Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova theory.
The conclusion is that we must globally transform the system of assessment of
key financial parameters of companies, their capitalization, the cost of equity, and
weighted average cost of capital, in order to lower the financial risks. This will
lower the danger of global financial crisis.
The authors are aware of the complexity of the task—to transform the world’s
system of evaluation of the basic financial parameters of the companies to a new,
more realistic basis, it will take years and years, but there is no other way for the
world economic community.
124 6 The Global Causes of the Global Financial Crisis
References
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusov PP, Brusova N (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to
general theory of capital cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit—Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015a) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulik V (2015b) The golden age of the company. J Rev Global
Econ 4:21–42
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Probl Sol 34(76):36–42
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Modigliani F, Miller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Myers S (2001) Capital structure. J Econ Perspect 15(2):81–102
Chapter 7
The Role of Taxing and Leverage
in Evaluation of Capital Cost
and Capitalization of the Company
In this chapter, the role of tax shield, taxes, and leverage in the modern theory of
corporate finance is investigated. Modigliani–Miller theory and modern theory of
capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova are considered. It is
shown that the equity cost, as well as the weighted average cost of capital, decreases
with the tax on profit rate, while the capitalization increases. The detailed investi-
gation of the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and the
equity cost ke on the tax on profit rate at fixed leverage (debt capital fraction wd) and
on the leverage level at fixed tax on profit rate, as well as the dependence of WACC
and ke on company lifetime (age), is made. We have introduced the concept of tax
operation leverage. For companies with finite lifetime (finite age), a number of
important qualitative effects, which have no analogies for perpetuity companies,
are found.
In Chap. 2, it has been noted that Modigliani and Miller in their paper in 1958
(Мodigliani and Мiller 1958) have come to conclusions, which are fundamentally
different from the conclusions of traditional approach. They have shown that, in the
framework of assumptions made by them, the ratio between equity and debt capital
in the company neither affects the cost of capital nor the company value.
In the context of the study of the impact of tax on profit rate on the cost of capital
and on the company capitalization, we raised among the numerous assumptions of
Modigliani and Miller two of the most important:
1. Corporate taxes and taxes on personal income of investors are absent.
2. All financial flows are perpetuity ones.
From the first of these assumptions, Modigliani and Miller subsequently refused
themselves and have modified their theory to the case of the presence of corporate
taxes and taxes on personal income of investors that have significantly altered the
conclusions of their theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1963, 1966).
The failure of the second assumption has led to the creation of modern theory of
capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO theory)
(Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b,
2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011).
We analyze now the role of taxes in the Modigliani–Miller theory, studying the
dependence of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and the equity cost ke of tax
on profit rate T.
With this purpose, we analyze the following formulas:
1. For weighted average cost of capital (WACC), one has
WACC ¼ k 0 ð1 wd T Þ, ð7:1Þ
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 LT=ð1 þ LÞÞ;
Both dependences are linear: both costs of capital decrease linearly with the
increase of tax on profit rate T.
For dependence of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on tax on profit rate
T, negative tangent of tilt angle in tgβ ¼ k0L/(1 + L) is growing in the module with
the increase of the leverage level, L, achieving maximum, equal to k0 at an infinite
leverage level L ¼ 1 (share of equity capital is insignificantly small compared with
the fraction of debt funds) (Fig. 7.1).
Let us give a few examples:
1. In accordance with expression tgβ ¼ k0L/(1 + L ), one gets that at k0 ¼ 10% and
L ¼ 1, i.e., D ¼ S, increase of tax on profit rate T on 10% leads to decrease of
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on 0.5%.
2. This dependence of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on tax on profit
rate T will be even more significant at a higher leverage level L and higher value
k0. For example, at k0 ¼ 20% and L ¼ 2, the increase in T on 10% leads to a
decrease in WACC on 1.33%.
For dependence of the equity cost ke on tax on profit rate T (from the analysis
of formula ke ¼ k0 + L(1 T )(k0 kd)), it is seen that negative tangent of tilt
angle tgγ ¼ L(k0 kd) also increases in the module with the increase of the
leverage level; in this connection all dependences at the different leverage levels
Li, based on the different points ke ¼ k0 + Li(k0 kd) when T ¼ 0, at T ¼ 1
converge at the point k0.
7.1 The Role of Taxes in Modigliani–Miller Theory 127
L1
L1 < L2
L2
L=
0 1 T
3. In accordance with the formula tgγ ¼ L(k0 kd), we get that when k0 kd ¼ 6%
and L ¼ 1, i.е., D ¼ S, the increase of tax on profit rate T on 10% leads to a
reduction in the equity capital cost ke on 0.6%.
4. This dependence of the equity cost ke on tax on profit rate T will be even more
significant at a higher leverage level L and higher value k0 kd. For example, at
k0 kd ¼ 10% and L ¼ 2, the increase in T on 10% leads to a decrease in ke on
2%.
It should be noted that with the rising of tax on profit rate T, the difference in the
equity cost ke at various levels of leverage decreases, disappearing at T ¼ 1.
This procedure recalls operational analysis, which examined dependence of
financial results of the activities of the company on the costs and volumes of
production and the implementation of the products, goods, and services. The key
elements of operational analysis of any enterprise are operating lever, the threshold
of cost-effectiveness, and stock financial strength of enterprise. The operational arm
is reflected in the fact that any change proceeding from the disposal always gives rise
to a more severe change in earnings.
In the present case, as the effects of tax operational lever can be taken as the ratio
of change of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to the change of tax on profit
rate T, and the ratio of change of equity capital cost ke to the change of tax on profit
rate T, i.е., we can introduce for the first time two tax operating levers:
– For weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
LWACC ¼ ΔWACC=ΔT;
2.
LWACC ¼ 0:133;
3.
Lke ¼ 0:06;
4.
Lke ¼ 0:2:
The higher value of the tax operational lever causes the greater change in capital
cost of the company at fixed change of tax on profit rate T (Fig. 7.2).
k0
0 1 T
7.2 The Role of Taxes in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory 129
The solution of the problem of evaluation of the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) for companies of arbitrary age or with arbitrary lifetime, as it was noted in
Chap. 3, has been done for the first time by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and
Filatova 2011, Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, and Filatova
et al. 2008).
Following them, consider the situation for the arbitrary age of the company. In
this case, the Modigliani–Miller theorem
V L ¼ V 0 þ DT
is changed by
where
X
n
ðPVÞTS ¼ kd DT ð1 þ k d Þt ¼ DT ½1 ð1 þ kd Þn , ð7:4Þ
t¼1
We will carry out the study of the dependence of weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) of the company and its equity cost ke on tax on profit rate in two ways:
1. We will study the dependence of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the
company and its equity cost ke on tax on profit rate at fixed leverage level and at
different ages of the company.
2. We will study the dependence of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the
company and its equity cost ke on leverage level at fixed tax on profit rate and at
different ages of the company.
In both cases, we will use Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula for weighted
average cost of capital (WACC) of the company (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov
et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008):
130 7 The Role of Taxing and Leverage in Evaluation of Capital Cost and. . .
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð7:6Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
curves become more steep, which means the rise of the impact of the change of the
debt capital fraction wd on the weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
Dependence of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of the Company
on Leverage Level L at Fixed Tax on Profit Rate Т
Dependence of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the company on
leverage level L at fixed tax on profit rate Т becomes an essentially nonlinear.
For example, for n ¼ 3; k0 ¼ 18 % , kd ¼ 12%, we got the dependences,
represented at Fig. 7.5.
With the increase of the tax on profit rate Т, the curve of the dependence of
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the company on leverage level
L becomes more steep, i.e., at the same leverage level L; its change leads to bigger
change of WACC at higher tax on profit rate Т.
At tax on profit rate T 40%, weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the
company locates within kd WACC k0.
At tax on profit rate T 40%, weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the
company falls below kd at certain leverage level L*, which decreases with increase
of T.
132 7 The Role of Taxing and Leverage in Evaluation of Capital Cost and. . .
0.0900 1
0.0700 T
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
0.0000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–0.0500
5
–0.1000
T
3. Lines, corresponding to the different values of the debt capital fraction wd,
intersect at the same point (at a certain value of tax on profit rate T*), dependent
on parameters n, k0, and kd (Figs. 7.6 and 7.7).
4. At some values of parameters n, k0, and kd, the crossing of all lines at a single
point cannot take a place at any tax on profit rate 0 < T 100%. With a large gap
between k0 and kd, a point of crossing of all the lines lies in the nonexistent (the
“nonfinancial”) region T∗ > 100% (Fig. 7.8). For data of Fig. 7.8, T∗ 162%.
Dependence of Equity Cost ke of the Company on Leverage Level L on Fixed
Tax on Profit Rate Т
The results of the calculations of dependence of equity cost ke of the company on the
leverage level L in Excel for the case, n ¼ 7, k0 ¼ 20 % , kd ¼ 10% (at a fixed tax on
profit rate Т), are presented in the Table 7.1 and in the Fig. 7.9.
Dependence of equity cost ke of the company on leverage level L at fixed tax on
profit rate Т with a good accuracy is linear, and the tilt angle decreases with
increasing tax on profit rate Т, as in the perpetuity case (Fig. 7.9).
However, for companies of finite age, along with the behavior ke(L ), similar to
behavior in case of Modigliani–Miller perpetuity companies (Fig. 7.9), for some sets
of parameters n, k0, and kd, there is a different dependence ke(L ).
For example, starting with some of the values of tax on profit rate T* (in this case,
T∗ ¼ 40%, although for the other parameter sets n, k0, and kd, a critical tax on profit
rate T* could be even less), one has not the growth of the equity capital cost of the
company with leverage level but it is descending (Fig. 7.10). Note, that from the
formula (7.2) it follows that even at maximum value of taxes T ¼ 1(100%), equity
cost ke is not changed with leverage: ke ¼ k0, i.e., descending of equity cost ke with
leverage does not occur at any tax on profit rate T. Thus, this discovered effect does
not take place in perpetuity Modigliani–Miller limit. See Chap. 8 for more details.
Note that this is a principally new effect, which may take place only for the
company of finite age and which is not observed in perpetuity limit. For example,
from the formula
134
Table 7.1 Dependence of equity cost ke of the company on leverage level L on fixed tax on profit rate Т for the case n ¼ 7, k0 ¼ 20 % , kd ¼ 10%
L
T 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10
0.0 0.2000 0.3000 0.4000 0.5000 0.6000 0.7000 0.8000 0.9000 1.0000 1.1000 1.2000
0.2 0.2000 0.2842 0.3682 0.4522 0.5362 0.6202 0.7042 0.7874 0.8713 0.9551 1.0389
0.4 0.2000 0.2677 0.3344 0.4008 0.4672 0.5335 0.5998 0.6661 0.7323 0.7986 0.8649
0.6 0.2000 0.2504 0.2984 0.3457 0.3928 0.4397 0.4865 0.5334 0.5802 0.6265 0.6731
0.8 0.2000 0.2323 0.2601 0.2861 0.3117 0.3369 0.3619 0.3867 0.4116 0.4364 0.4612
1.0 0.2000 0.2132 0.2185 0.2210 0.2223 0.2229 0.2231 0.2233 0.2231 0.2228 0.2224
7 The Role of Taxing and Leverage in Evaluation of Capital Cost and. . .
7.2 The Role of Taxes in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory 135
0.4000 5
0.2000 6
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
4
0.0000
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 1010.5
–0.1000
5
–0.2000
6
–0.3000
L
it follows that at T ¼ 1(100%), equity cost ke does not change with leverage: ke ¼ k0,
i.e., descending of equity cost ke with leverage, does not occur at any tax on profit
rate T. Thus, discovered effect does NOT take place in perpetuity Modigliani–Miller
limit.
The issue of dependency of WACC and ke on the age of the company or on the
lifetime of the company within the theory of Modigliani–Miller even can not be put:
136 7 The Role of Taxing and Leverage in Evaluation of Capital Cost and. . .
in Modigliani–Miller theory, the parameter “time” is absent, since all the companies
are perpetuity ones.
Within the modern Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory, it becomes possible to
study the dependence of WACC and ke on the company’s age. Below, we will
undertake a detailed study of this problem: the dependences WACC (n) and ke (n)
will be examined at different tax on profit rate T and leverage level L for different
sets of parameters k0, kd, T, and wd.
Dependence of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of the Company
on Company Age at Different Fixed Tax on Profit Rate T
Considering dependence is shown at Fig. 7.11.
Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the company decreases with the
increase of the company age n tending to its perpetuity limit (see, however, in Chaps.
18 and 19 qualitatively new effect of “Golden age of the company” and its modifi-
cations, discovered by authors). The initial values WACC (at n ¼ 1) will decrease
with the increase of tax on profit rate T (in accordance with the previously received
dependences WACC(T )), and a range of WACC changes is growing with
increasing T.
Dependence of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of the Company
on the Company Age at Different Fixed Fraction of Debt Capital wd
Considering dependence is shown at Fig. 7.12.
7.2 The Role of Taxes in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory 137
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of the company decreases with the
lifetime of company n, tending to its perpetuity limit. The initial values WACC
(at n ¼ 1) decrease with the increase of fraction of debt capital [in accordance with
the previously received dependences WACC(wd)], and a range of WACC changes is
growing with increasing of wd.
Dependence of Equity Cost of the Company ke on the Company Age n at
Different Fixed Fraction of Debt Capital wd
Considering dependence is represented at Fig. 7.13.
The equity cost of the company ke decreases with the company age n, tending to
its perpetuity limit. The initial values ke (at n ¼ 1) decrease significantly with the
increase of fraction of debt capital wd. A range of ke changes is growing with
increasing of wd.
It should be noted that the differences in equity cost of the company at a fixed n,
starting from wd ¼ 0.5, become and remain significant (and constant for a fixed
change in the fraction of debt capital Δwd and at n 6).
138 7 The Role of Taxing and Leverage in Evaluation of Capital Cost and. . .
0.1000
6
0.0500
0.0000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
n
The situation will change with increase of tax on profit rate T. To demonstrate this
fact, we show the similar data, increasing tax on profit rate T twice (from 20% up to
40%) (Fig. 7.14).
It can be observed that with increase in tax on profit rates in two times, the region
of company age n, where the differences in equity cost of capital ke of the company
are feeling at various fractions of debt capital wd have narrowed down to 6 years,
while at n 6, equity cost of capital ke remains virtually equal to ko and only slightly
fluctuates around this value.
Dependence of Equity Cost of the Company ke on Company Age n at Different
Fixed Tax on Profit Rate T
Considering dependence is represented at Fig. 7.15.
The equity cost of the company ke decreases with the company age, n, tending to
its perpetuity limit. Under growing of tax on profit rates T, the equity cost of the
company ke decreases (at fixed fraction of debt capital wd), while range of ke changes
increases.
7.3 Conclusions
In this chapter, the role of tax shields, taxes, and leverage is investigated within the
theory of Modigliani–Miller as well as within the modern theory of corporate finance
by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c,
2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008). It is shown that equity cost of the
company as well as weighted average cost of capital decreases with the growth of tax
on profit rates. A detailed study of the dependence of weighted average cost of
capital (WACC) and equity cost of the company ke on tax on profit rates at fixed
leverage level (fixed debt capital fraction wd) as well as on leverage level (debt
References 139
capital fraction wd) at fixed tax on profit rate has been done. The dependences of
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and equity cost of the company ke on
company’s age have been investigated as well.
The concept “tax operating lever” has been introduced. For companies of arbi-
trary age, a number of important qualitative effects that do not have analogues for
perpetuity companies have been detected.
One such effect—decreasing of equity cost with leverage level at values of tax on
profit rate T, which exceeds some critical value T*—is described in detail in
Chap. 10 (at certain ratios between the debt cost and equity capital cost, discovered
effect takes place at tax on profit rate, existing in the Western countries and in
Russia, which provides practical value of the effect). Taking it into account is
important in improving tax legislation and may change dividend policy of the
company significantly.
For more detailed investigation of the dependence of attracting capital cost on the
age of company n at various leverage levels and at various values of capital costs
with the aim of defining minimum cost of attracting capital, see Chap. 18, where new
qualitative effects have been discovered.
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Chapter 8
A Qualitatively New Effect in Corporate
Finance: Abnormal Dependence of Equity
Cost of Company on Leverage
8.1 Introduction
The structure of this chapter is as follows: first, we consider the value of the equity
cost ke in the theory of Modigliani and Miller, its dependence on leverage L, and tax
on profit rate T to show that in this perpetuity limit, the equity cost ke is always
growing with leverage (for any tax on profit rate T).
Then, we consider the equity cost ke within the modern Brusоv–Filаtоvа–
Orekhоvа theory and show that for companies of arbitrary age, a qualitatively new
effect takes place: decreasing of the equity cost with the leverage. The effect takes
place at tax on profit rate T, exceeding some critical value T*.
Next, we make a complete study of the discovered effect: we investigate the
dependence of T* on company’s age n on equity cost of financially independent
company k0 and on debt cost kd as well as on ratio of these parameters.
We separately consider a 1-year company and analyze its special feature in
connection with the discussed effect. An explanation of the absence of this effect
for such companies will be given. In conclusion, the importance of the discovered
effect in various areas, including improving tax legislation and dividend policies of
companies, as well as the practical value of the effect, is discussed.
For weighted average cost of capital (WACC) in the Modigliani–Miller theory, the
following expression has been obtained (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966):
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 wd T Þ: ð8:1Þ
In accordance with the definition of the weighted average cost of capital with
accounting for the tax shield, one has
WACC ¼ k0 we þ k d wd ð1 T Þ: ð8:3Þ
k 0 ð1 wd T Þ ¼ k 0 we þ k d wd ð1 T Þ: ð8:4Þ
Note that the formula (Eq. 8.5) is different from the corresponding formula
without tax only by multiplier (1 – T ) in the term, indicating premium for risk. As
the multiplier is less than a unit, the appearance of corporate tax on profit leads to the
fact that equity cost increases with leverage slower than in the case of taxes absence.
Analysis of formulas (Eqs. 8.1 and 8.5) leads to the following conclusions.
With the increasing of financial leverage:
1. Value of the company is increased.
2. Weighted average cost of capital is decreased from k0 (at L ¼ 0) up to k0(1 T )
(at L ¼ 1, when the company is funded solely by borrowing or its equity capital
is negligible).
3. Equity cost is increased linearly from k0 (at L ¼ 0) up to 1 (at L ¼ 1).
Let us analyze now the influence of taxes on equity cost in Modigliani–Miller
theory by studying the dependence of equity cost on tax on profit rate.
For this, we will analyze the formula (Fig. 8.1)
It is seen that dependence is linear: equity cost is decreased linearly with tax on
profit rate. The module of negative tilt angle tangent tgγ ¼ L(k0 kd) is increased
with leverage, and besides, all dependences at different leverage levels Li, coming
from different points ke ¼ k0 + Li(k0 kd) at T ¼ 0 and at T ¼ 1, are converged at the
point k0 (Fig. 8.2).
This means that the difference in equity cost at different leverage levels Li is
decreased with tax on profit rate T, disappearing at T ¼ 1.
8.2 Equity Cost in the Modigliani–Miller Theory 143
K0 WACC(t=0)
WACC(t≠0)
K0(1-t)
Kd
0 L= D
S
k0
0 1 T
0.0500
0.0000
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
T
0.0000
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
L
From Fig. 8.4, it is seen that equity cost is increased linearly from k0 (at L ¼ 0) up
to 1 (at L ¼ 1), and besides, tilt angle tangent is decreased with tax on profit rate
T becoming zero at T ¼ 100%.
In other words, with increase of tax on profit rate T, dependence of equity cost on
leverage L becomes smaller, disappearing at T ¼ 100%, i.e., within perpetuity
Modigliani–Miller theory, any anomaly effect, announced in the title of this chapter,
is absent.
In conclusion, here is a three-dimensional graph of dependence of equity cost on
leverage L and on tax on profit rate T for the case k0 ¼ 10 % ; kd ¼ 8%.
8.3 Equity Cost Capital Within Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory 145
The general solution of the problem of weighted average cost of capital and the
equity cost for the company of arbitrary age or with finite lifetime has been received
for the first time by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov
et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al.
2008; Brusova 2011). They have gotten (now already famous) formula for WACC
(BFO formula):
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð8:7Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
At n ¼ 1, one gets Myers formula (Myers 2001) for a 1-year company, which is a
particular case of Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula (Eq. 8.7):
1 þ k0
WACC ¼ k0 k d wd T: ð8:8Þ
1 þ kd
We will study the dependence of equity cost ke on tax on profit rate T and on
leverage level L by three methods:
1. We will study the dependence of equity cost ke on tax on profit rate T at fixed
leverage level L for different lifetime (age) n of the company.
2. We will study the dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level L at fixed tax on
profit rate T for different lifetime (age) n of the company.
3. We will explore the influence of simultaneous change of leverage level L and tax
on profit rate T on equity cost ke for different lifetime (age) n of the company. In
this case, the results will be presented as 3D graphs.
146 8 A Qualitatively New Effect in Corporate Finance: Abnormal Dependence. . .
In these studies, a qualitatively new effect has been discovered, and it is visible in
each of the applicable types of studies (1–3).
0.0000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–0.0500
5
–0.1000
T
At some values of parameters n, k0, and kd, the intersection of all lines at one point
could not happen at any tax on profit rate 0 < T 100%. From Fig. 8.9, it is seen that
with a large gap between k0 and kd, the intersection of the lines lies in the nonexistent
(“nonfinancial”) region T∗ > 100% (for data of Fig. 8.9 T∗ 162%).
148 8 A Qualitatively New Effect in Corporate Finance: Abnormal Dependence. . .
0.2000 6
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
ke ¼ k0 þ Lð1 T Þðk 0 kd Þ,
that at T ¼ 1(100%) equity cost ke does not change with leverage, ke ¼ k0, i.е., there
is no decreasing of ke with leverage at any k0 and kd.
Table 8.1 Dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level L at different fixed tax on profit rates T for the case n ¼ 7, k0 ¼ 20 % , kd ¼ 10%
T/L 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10
0 0.2000 0.3000 0.4000 0.5000 0.6000 0.7000 0.8000 0.9000 1.0000 1.1000 1.2000
0.2 0.2000 0.2842 0.3682 0.4522 0.5362 0.6202 0.7042 0.7874 0.8713 0.9551 1.0389
0.4 0.2000 0.2677 0.3344 0.4008 0.4672 0.5335 0.5998 0.6661 0.7323 0.7986 0.8649
0.6 0.2000 0.2504 0.2984 0.3457 0.3928 0.4397 0.4865 0.5334 0.5802 0.6265 0.6731
0.8 0.2000 0.2323 0.2601 0.2861 0.3117 0.3369 0.3619 0.3867 0.4116 0.4364 0.4612
1 0.2000 0.2132 0.2185 0.2210 0.2223 0.2229 0.2231 0.2233 0.2231 0.2228 0.2224
8.3 Equity Cost Capital Within Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory
149
150 8 A Qualitatively New Effect in Corporate Finance: Abnormal Dependence. . .
0.0000 4
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.51010.5
–0.1000
5
–0.2000
6
–0.3000
L
In this section, we study the dependence of the critical value of tax on profit rate T *
on parameters n, k0, and kd of the company. First, we study the dependence of the
critical value of tax on profit rate T * on the company age under variation of the
difference between k0 and kd.
The results of calculations are shown in Table 8.2; empty cells mean that the
critical value of tax on profit rate T * > 100%, i.е., we are in “nonfinancial” region.
The conclusions from Fig. 8.11 are as follows:
1. It is seen that the critical value of tax on profit rate T * increases with the
difference Δk ¼ k0 kd; therefore, a small difference between the value of equity
cost (at L ¼ 0) k0 of the company and the credit rate kd favors the existence of a
new effect.
2. The critical value of tax on profit rate T * decreases monotonically with the age of
the company (only for 10 years in case of Δk ¼ k0 kd ¼ 2% it has a minimum).
Therefore, the probability of the anomaly effect is higher for “adult” companies.
3. Recapitulating 1 and 2, one can note that a small difference between the value of
equity cost (at L ¼ 0) k0 of the company and the credit rate kd as well as old
enough age of the company favors the existence of a new effect.
We calculated as well T * at different values of k0 and kd at constant difference
between them Δk ¼ k0 kd ¼ 2%. The data are shown in Table 8.3 (Fig. 8.12).
8.4 Dependence of the Critical Value of Tax on Profit Rate. . . 151
Table 8.2 The dependence of the critical value of tax on profit rate T * on the age of the company
under variation of the difference between k0 and kd
ke(t)/n 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25
kd ¼ 6%, 0.9575 0.6600 0.5200 0.4800 0.4640 0.4710 0.4903 0.5121
k0 ¼ 8%
kd ¼ 6%, 0.9110 0.8225 0.7650 0.7332 0.7249 0.7260
k0 ¼ 10%
kd ¼ 6%, 0.9800 0.9040 0.8693 0.8504
k0 ¼ 12%
kd ¼ 6%, 0.9671 0.9324
k0 ¼ 14%
kd ¼ 6%,
k0 ¼ 16%
kd ¼ 6%,
k0 ¼ 20%
kd ¼ 6%,
k0 ¼ 24%
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
n
0.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425
Table 8.3 The dependence of the critical value of tax on profit rate T * on the age of the company
under different values of k0 and kd at constant difference between them Δk ¼ k0 kd ¼ 2%
ke(t)/n 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25
kd ¼ 6% 0.9575 0.6600 0.5200 0.4800 0.4640 0.4710 0.4903 0.5121
k0 ¼ 8%
kd ¼ 8% 0.7313 0.5125 0.4140 0.3905 0.3892 0.4138 0.4453 0.4803
k0 ¼ 10%
kd ¼ 10% 0.6000 0.4280 0.3510 0.3392 0.3467 0.3840 0.4285 0.4733
k0 ¼ 12%
kd ¼ 12% 0.5125 0.3687 0.3110 0.3043 0.3218 0.3697 0.4239 0.4788
k0 ¼ 14%
kd ¼ 14% 0.4437 0.3266 0.2810 0.2821 0.3043 0.3636 0.4277 0.4904
k0 ¼ 16%
kd ¼ 18% 0.3625 0.2710 0.2435 0.2549 0.2895 0.3677 0.4468 0.5221
k0 ¼ 20%
kd ¼ 22% 0.3100 0.2370 0.2220 0.2400 0.2875 0.3818 0.4759 0.5588
k0 ¼ 24%
7
0.3
0.2
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425
n
(3) n ¼ 5; (4) n ¼ 7; 50
7
(5) n ¼ 10; (6) n ¼ 15;
(7) n ¼ 20; and (8) n ¼ 25 40
6
1
30 5
2
4
20 3
10
k0
0
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
3. Thus, a parallel shift up of rates k0 and kd favors a new effect, while the
company’s age, favorable for a new effect, decreases with k0.
Now let us investigate the dependence of critical value of tax on profit rate T * on
k0 for the second considerable case (at constant difference between k0 and kd
Δk ¼ k0 kd ¼ 2%).
For this, we consider Fig. 8.13.
For companies with age up to 10–15 years, the decreasing of critical value of tax
on profit rate T * with k0 is observed. On further increase of a company’s age, one
observes in dependence of T * on k0 a smooth transition to a low growing function
T * on k0.
So, for companies with age up to 10–15 years, monotonic growth of k0 favors a
new effect, while for companies with bigger age, rates of order k0 12–15% favor a
new effect.
What is the practical value of effect? Does it exist in real life or its discovery has a
purely theoretical interest?
Because a new effect takes place at tax on profit rate, which exceeds some value
T*, it is necessary to compare this value with real tax on profit rates established in the
different countries.
The biggest tax on profit rate for a corporation is in the USA (39.2%). In Japan, it
exceeds a little bit, 38%. In France, tax on profit rate varies from 33.3% for small-
and medium-sized companies up to 36% for the major. In England, tax on profit rate
154 8 A Qualitatively New Effect in Corporate Finance: Abnormal Dependence. . .
is in the range of 21–28%. In the Russian Federation, tax on profit rate amounts to
20%.
In the examples considered by us, the value of T* strongly depends on the ratio
between k0, kd, and n and reaches a minimal value of 22.2%, and it is quite likely for
even lower values of T* with other ratios of values k0, kd, and n.
In this way, we come to the conclusion that at some ratios of values of equity cost,
debt cost, and company’s age k0, kd, and n, the effect discovered by us takes place at
tax on profit rate established in most developed countries, which provides the
practical value of the effect.
Taking it into account is important in improving tax legislation and may change
dividend policies of the company.
Opening the effect expands our view of the rules of the game in the economy.
If prior to that it was widely known that with the rising of leverage the equity cost
is always growing, which is associated with the decrease of financial sustainability of
the companies, with an increase in the share of borrowing, then the shareholders
require a higher rate of return on the share.
But now it becomes clear that this is not always the case, and the dependence of
equity cost on leverage depends on the ratio between the parameters k0, kd, and
n and, ultimately, on the tax on profit rate.
This effect has never been known; therefore, it was not taken into account by
controls tax legislation, but opportunities here are tremendous.
The effect is also important for the development of the dividend policy of the
company.
It turns out that the rule taken by the shareholders since time immemorial—to
require higher rate of return on the share with an increase of the portion of debt
capital—now does not always work. This will allow the company management to
hold a more realistic dividend policy, limiting appetites of shareholders by econom-
ically founded value of dividends.
The dependence of the equity cost on tax on profit rate T for a 1-year company has
some features, considered below. Interest in the 1-year companies is associated also
with the fact that a great number of companies, both in developed countries and in
developing ones, are becoming bankrupt or no longer exist in the first year or two
after the creation.
For a 1-year company, the Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) equation for
weighted average cost of capital is simplified and can be expressed in apparent
form (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008) (Eq. 8.8):
8.6 Equity Cost of a 1-Year Company 155
1 þ k0
WACC ¼ k0 k d wd T:
1 þ kd
This formula has been obtained for the first time by Myers (2001) and represents
the particular case of the Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) equation at n ¼ 1.
By definition, for weighted average cost of capital with accounting for “the tax
shield,” one has
WACC ¼ ke we þ kd wd ð1 T Þ: ð8:9Þ
Substituting here the expression for WACC of a 1-year company, let us find the
expression for equity cost ke of the company:
WACC wd kd ð1 T Þ kd
ke ¼ ¼ k 0 þ Lð k 0 k d Þ 1 T : ð8:10Þ
we 1 þ kd
It is seen that equity cost ke decreases linearly with tax on profit rate. The module
of negative tilt angle tangent is equal to
kd
tgα ¼ Lðk0 k d Þ ð8:11Þ
1 þ kd
0.1000
0.0000
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1
-0.1000
-0.2000
T
Already for a 2-year company with the same parameters, dependence of equity
cost ke of the company on tax on profit rate T at fixed leverage level becomes
significant.
Below we give an example for a 2-year company with other parameters: n ¼ 2,
k0 ¼ 24 % , kd ¼ 22% (Fig. 8.15).
Finding a Formula for T*
In case of a 1-year company, it is easy to find a formula for T*.
Putting in (Eq. 8.10) ke ¼ k0, one gets
kd
k 0 ¼ k 0 þ Lð k 0 k d Þ 1 T ð8:12Þ
1 þ kd
From where
1 þ kd
T∗ ¼ ð8:13Þ
kd
It is seen that T * does not depend on L, i.е., all the direct lines, corresponding to
different L, intersect at a single point. From the data for the older companies (n > 1
year), it follows that similar situation takes place for them as well; however, it
becomes more difficult to prove this fact and, in case n > 3, practically impossible.
Note that Eq. (8.13) allows us to evaluate the value of T *, which depends now on
credit rate only and is equal to
8.7 Conclusions 157
0.1000
0.0000
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1
-0.1000
-0.2000
T
It is clear that for all (reasonable and unreasonable) credit rate values, tax on profit
rate T* is situated in “nonfinancial” region (which exceeds 1 (100%)), which is the
cause of the absence of effect.
Analysis of the formula (Eq. 8.13) shows that at very large credit rate values T, T*
tends to be 1(100%), always remaining greater than 1. This means that the effect
found by us is absent for a 1-year company.
Let us show the 3D picture for dependence of equity cost ke of the company on
tax on profit rate T and leverage level L for a 1-year company (Fig. 8.16).
It is seen that all dependences of equity cost ke of the company on tax on profit
rate T and leverage level L are linear, and abnormal effect for a 1-year company
(as well as for perpetuity one) is absent.
8.7 Conclusions
At some ratios between debt cost and equity cost, the discovered effect takes
place at tax on profit rate, existing in Western countries and Russia. This provides the
practical meaning of discovered effect. Taking it into account is important for the
modification of tax law and can change the dividend policy of the company.
In this chapter, the complete and detailed investigation of discussed effect,
discovered within Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) theory, has been done (Brusov
and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015,
2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008). It has been shown that the absence of the effect at
some particular set of parameters is connected to the fact that in these cases, T*
exceeds 100% (tax on profit rate is situated in a “nonfinancial” region).
In the future, the papers and monographs will be devoted to discussion of
discovered abnormal effect, but it is already clear now that we will have to abandon
some of the established views in corporate finance.
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Chapter 9
Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova
Theory and in Its Perpetuity Limit
Modigliani–Miller Theory
In this chapter, the influence of inflation on capital cost and capitalization of the
company within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure, Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova theory (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al.
2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008;
Brusova 2011), and within its perpetuity limit, Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodi-
gliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966), is investigated. By direct incorporation of
inflation into both theories, it is shown for the first time that inflation not only
increases the equity cost and the weighted average cost of capital, but also it changes
their dependence on leverage. In particular, it increases the growing rate of equity
cost with leverage. Capitalization of the company is decreased under inflation
(Fig. 9.1).
9.1 Introduction
Created more than half a century ago by Nobel Prize winners Modigliani and Miller,
the theory of capital cost and capital structure (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963,
1966) did not take into account a lot of factors of a real economy, such as taxing,
bankruptcy, unperfected capital markets, inflation, and many others. But while taxes
have been included into consideration by the authors themselves and some other
limitations have been taken off by their followers, direct incorporation of inflation to
Modigliani–Miller theory was absent until now.
In this chapter, the influence of inflation on valuation of capital cost of the
company and its capitalization is investigated within the Modigliani–Miller theory
(ММ) (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966), which is now outdated but still
widely used in the West, as well as within modern theory of capital cost and capital
structure, Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d;
Filatova et al. 2008), which should replace Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodigliani
WACC*
k 0*
WACC
k0
0 L
and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966). It is shown that inflation not only increases the equity
cost and the weighted average cost of capital, but also it changes their dependence on
leverage. In particular, it increases the growing rate of equity cost with leverage.
Capitalization of the company is decreased under inflation.
We start from the study of inflation within the Modigliani–Miller theory without
taxes (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958) and then with taxes (Мodigliani and Мiller
1963) and finally within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure, Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova theory (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al.
2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008).
Note that any modification of Modigliani–Miller theory, as well as of any other one,
requires going beyond the frame of modifying theory. Thus, in the current case, we
should go beyond the frame of perpetuity of the company (to remind the reader that
Modigliani–Miller theory describes only perpetuity companies—companies with
infinite lifetime), consider the companies with finite lifetime, make necessary calcu-
lations, and then use the perpetuity limit.
As known, in profit approach, capitalization of the company is equal to
discounted sum of profits of the company. Suppose that profit is constant for all
periods and equal to CF, one gets for capitalization of the financially independent
company V0, existing n years at market
9.2 Accounting of Inflation in the Modigliani–Miller Theory Without Taxes 163
CF CF CF
V0 ¼ þ þ þ , ð9:1Þ
1 þ k 0 ð1 þ k 0 Þ2 ð1 þ k 0 Þn
CF CF CF
V∗
0 ¼ þ þ þ : ð9:2Þ
ð1 þ k 0 Þð1 þ αÞ ½ð1 þ k 0 Þð1 þ αÞ2 ½ð1 þ k0 Þð1 þ αÞn
Using the formula for sum of the terms of indefinitely diminishing geometrical
progression with the first term
CF
a1 ¼ ð9:3Þ
ð1 þ k0 Þð1 þ αÞ
and denominator
1
q¼ , ð9:4Þ
ð1 þ k 0 Þð1 þ αÞ
a1 CF
V∗
0 ¼ ¼ h i
1 q ð1 þ k 0 Þð1 þ αÞ 1 ðð1 þ k0 Þð1 þ αÞÞ1
CF CF
¼ ¼ : ð9:5Þ
ð1 þ k 0 Þð1 þ αÞ 1 k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α
CF
V∗
0 ¼ :
k0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α
CF CF CF
VL ¼ þ þ þ ð9:6Þ
1 þ WACC ð1 þ WACCÞ2 ð1 þ WACCÞn
CF
VL ¼ : ð9:7Þ
WACC
CF CF
V∗
L ¼ þ þ
ð1 þ WACCÞð1 þ αÞ ½ð1 þ WACCÞð1 þ αÞ2
ð9:8Þ
CF
þ :
½ð1 þ WACCÞð1 þ αÞn
Summing the infinite set, we get for leverage company capitalization under
inflation in Modigliani–Miller limit
a1 CF
V∗
L ¼ ¼ h i
1 q ð1 þ WACCÞð1 þ αÞ 1 ðð1 þ WACCÞð1 þ αÞÞ1
CF CF ð9:9Þ
¼ ¼ ,
ð1 þ WACCÞð1 þ αÞ 1 WACCð1 þ αÞ þ α
CF
V∗
L ¼ :
WACCð1 þ αÞ þ α
It is seen that similar to the case of the financially independent company, inflation
decreases the company capitalization, and the decrease could be significant. From
the formulas (Eqs. 9.7 and 9.9), it follows that effective values of capital costs
(equity cost and WACC) are equal to
k∗
0 ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α, ð9:10Þ
WACC∗ ¼ WACC ð1 þ αÞ þ α: ð9:11Þ
iα
i∗ ¼ : ð9:12Þ
1þα
Solving this equation with respect to nominal rate i, one gets an equation similar
to (Eqs. 9.10 and 9.11):
i ¼ i∗ ð1 þ αÞ þ α: ð9:13Þ
Thus, effective capital costs in our case have meaning of nominal ones, account-
ing inflation.
9.2 Accounting of Inflation in the Modigliani–Miller Theory Without Taxes 165
From the Modigliani–Miller theorem that the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) does not depend on leverage level (without taxing), formulating under
inflation, it is easy to get expression for the equity cost:
WACC∗ ¼ k∗ ∗ ∗
0 ¼ k e we þ k d wd : ð9:14Þ
k∗ wd k∗ ðS þ DÞ D ∗
∗ D
k∗
e ¼
0
k∗ ¼ 0 k∗ ¼ k∗
0 þ k0 kd
we d
we S d
S S ð9:15Þ
¼ k∗ ∗ ∗
0 þ k0 kd L
Putting instead of k∗ ∗
0 , k d in their expressions, one gets finally
∗
k∗ ∗ ∗
e ¼ k 0 þ k 0 k d L ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α
þ Lðk0 kd Þð1 þ αÞ ¼ ð1 þ αÞ½k0 þ α þ Lðk 0 kd Þ ð9:16Þ
k∗
e ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α þ Lðk 0 k d Þð1 þ αÞ:
It is seen that inflation not only increases the equity cost, but also it changes its
dependence on leverage. In particular, it increases the growing rate of equity cost
with leverage by multiplier (1 + α). The growing rate of equity cost with leverage,
which is equal to (k0 kd) without inflation, becomes equal to (k0 kd)(1 + α) with
accounting of inflation.
Thus, we come to the conclusion that it is necessary to modify the second
statement of the Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958) concerning
the equity cost of the leverage company.
Second Original MM Statement
Equity cost of the leverage company ke could be found as equity cost of financially
independent company k0 of the same group of risk, plus premium for risk, the value
of which is equal to production of difference (k0 kd) on leverage level L.
Second Modified MM-BFO Statement
Under existence of inflation with rate α, equity cost of leverage company ke could be
found as equity cost of financially independent company k0 of the same group of risk,
multiplied by (1 + α), plus inflation rate α and plus premium for risk, the value of
which is equal to production of difference (k0 kd) on leverage level L and on
multiplier (1 + α).
166 9 Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory and in Its Perpetuity. . .
Let us calculate first the tax shield for perpetuity company under inflation:
X
1 t
ðPVÞTS ¼ k∗
d DT 1 þ k∗
d ¼ DT: ð9:17Þ
t¼1
V∗ ∗
L ¼ V 0 þ DT: ð9:18Þ
Substituting D ¼ wd V ∗
L , one gets
V∗ ∗ ∗
L ¼ CF=k 0 þ wd V L T ð9:19Þ
or
V∗ ∗
L ð1 wd T Þ ¼ CF=k 0 : ð9:20Þ
WACC∗ ¼ k ∗
0 ð1 wd T Þ: ð9:21Þ
From (Eq. 9.21), we get the dependence of WACC* on leverage level L ¼ D/S :
WACC∗ ¼ k∗
0 ð1 LT=ð1 þ LÞÞ, ð9:22Þ
WACC∗ ¼ ½k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α ð1 wd T Þ:
On definition of the weighted average cost of capital with accounting of the tax
shield, one has
WACC∗ ¼ k∗ ∗
0 we þ k d wd ð1 T Þ: ð9:23Þ
k∗ ∗ ∗
0 ð1 wd T Þ ¼ k 0 we þ k d wd ð1 T Þ, ð9:24Þ
from where one obtains the following expression for equity cost:
ð1 wd T Þ wd 1 wd D
k∗ ∗
e ¼ k0 k∗d ð1 T Þ ¼ k ∗
e k∗
0 T k∗
d ð1 T Þ
we w e w e we S
D þ S D D
¼ k∗
0 k∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
0 T k d ð1 T Þ ¼ k 0 þ Lð1 T Þ k 0 k d ,
∗
S S S
∗
k∗ ∗
e ¼ k 0 þ L ð1 T Þ k 0 k d
∗
It is seen that similar to the case without taxes, inflation not only increases the
equity cost, but also it changes its dependence on leverage (Fig. 9.2). In particular,
it increases the growing rate of equity cost with leverage by multiplier (1 + α).
The growing rate of equity cost with leverage, which is equal to (k0 kd)(1 T )
without inflation, becomes equal to (k0 kd)(1 + α)(1 T ) with accounting of
inflation.
We can now reformulate the fourth statement of the Modigliani–Miller theory
(Мodigliani and Мiller 1963) concerning the equity cost of leverage company for
case of accounting of inflation.
WACC*
k 0*
WACC
k0
0 L
168 9 Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory and in Its Perpetuity. . .
Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova generalized the Modigliani–Miller theory for the
case of the companies with arbitrary lifetime (or arbitrary age) (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008)
and have proved the following important theorem in case of absence of corporate
taxing:
Without corporate taxing, the equity cost k0, as well as the weighted average cost
of capital (WACC), does not depend on company’s lifetime and is equal to
consequently.
Thus, the theorem has proved that without corporate taxes (say, in offshore
zones), the Modigliani–Miller results for capital costs, in spite of the fact that they
have been obtained in perpetuity limit, remain in force for companies with arbitrary
lifetime, described by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory (BFO theory). To prove
this theorem, Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova, of course, had to go beyond
Modigliani–Miller approximation.
Under inflation, we can generalize this theorem (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008):
Generalized Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theorem
Under inflation without corporate taxing, the equity cost k∗
0 , as well as the weighted
average cost of capital (WACC*), does not depend on company’s lifetime and is
equal to
9.5 Generalized Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Formula Under Existence of Inflation 169
∗
k∗ ∗ ∗
e ¼ k 0 þ L k 0 k d ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α þ Lðk 0 k d Þð1 þ αÞ
and
WACC∗ ¼ k∗
0 ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α ð9:27Þ
consequently.
Following Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al.
2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008), let us consider the
situation for companies of arbitrary age with accounting of corporate taxing. They
have derived the famous formula for weighted average cost of capital of companies
of arbitrary age
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð9:28Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
The application of BFO formula (9.29) is very wide: authors have applied it in
corporate finance, in investments, in taxing, in business valuation, in banking, and in
some other areas (Brusov et al. 2011a, b, 2013a). Using this formula (9.28), one can
study the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, as well as the
equity cost, ke, on leverage level, L, on tax on profit rate, t, on lifetime of the
company, n, and on relation between equity and debt cost. The qualitatively new
effect in corporate finance has been discovered: decrease of the equity cost ke with
leverage level L, which is quite important for corporate finance in general and, in
particular, for creating the adequate dividend policy.
Below we generalize formula (9.28) under existence of inflation.
Under existence of inflation, it is necessary to replace all capital costs, the equity, the
debt, and the weighted average cost of capital k0, kd, WACC, by effective ones k∗ 0,
k∗
d , and WACC*, where
k∗
0 ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α,
k∗
d ¼ k d ð1 þ αÞ þ α,
WACC∗ ¼ WACC ð1 þ αÞ þ α:
170 9 Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory and in Its Perpetuity. . .
Rewriting the equations for tax shield (TS)n, for capitalization of financially
independent company V ∗ ∗
0 , as well as for financially dependent company V L for
the case of existence of inflation, one gets
X
n t n
ðPVÞTS ¼ ðTSÞn ¼ k∗
d DT 1 þ k∗
d ¼ DT 1 1 þ k∗
d ð9:29Þ
t¼1
X
n t n ∗
V∗
0 ¼ CF 1 þ k∗
0 ¼ CF 1 1 þ k ∗
0 =k0 , ð9:30Þ
t¼1
X
n
t n
V∗
L ¼ CF ð1 þ WACC∗ Þ ¼ CF 1 ð1 þ WACC∗ Þ =WACC∗ , ð9:31Þ
t¼1
V∗ ∗
L ¼ V 0 þ ðTSÞn : ð9:32Þ
After substitution D ¼ wd V ∗
L we have
V∗ ∗ ∗
L ¼ CF=k 0 þ wd V L T: ð9:33Þ
n n
1 ð1 þ WACC∗ Þ 1 1 þ k∗
¼ ∗ 0
n , ð9:34Þ
WACC∗ k 0 1 ωd T 1 1 þ k ∗
d
or after substitutions,
k∗
0 ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α; k∗
d ¼ k d ð1 þ αÞ þ α,
0.15
0.10
0.05
Wd
0.00
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
0.15
0.10
0.05
Wd
0.00
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
It is seen that difference in results for a 2-year company and 5-year company is
very small. More obviously, it could be observed from Tables 9.1 and 9.2.
Below we show the dependences of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
on debt fraction wd at different tax on profit rate from T ¼ 10% up to T ¼ 100% at
different inflation rate α ¼ 3%, 5%, 7%, and 9% for a 5-year company (Figs. 9.5, 9.6,
9.7, and 9.8) as well as for a 2-year company (Figs. 9.9, 9.10, 9.11, and 9.12). Tax on
172
Table 9.1 Dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on debt fraction wd at different inflation rate α ¼ 3%, 5%, 7%, and 9% for a 2-year
company
α/wd 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
0.03 0.2318 0.2276 0.2233 0.2191 0.2149 0.2106 0.2064 0.2021 0.1979 0.1937
0.05 0.2557 0.2503 0.2455 0.2406 0.2358 0.2309 0.2261 0.2212 0.2164 0.2115
0.07 0.2786 0.2733 0.2679 0.2626 0.2573 0.2514 0.2459 0.2404 0.2350 0.2295
0.09 0.3020 0.2960 0.2900 0.2839 0.2779 0.2720 0.2661 0.2602 0.2537 0.2476
9 Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory and in Its Perpetuity. . .
Table 9.2 Dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on debt fraction wd at different inflation rate α ¼ 3%, 5%, 7%, and 9% for a 5-year
company
α/wd 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
0.03 0.2311 0.2262 0.2213 0.2163 0.2113 0.2064 0.2013 0.1963 0.1912 0.1863
0.05 0.2546 0.2491 0.2434 0.2379 0.2323 0.2267 0.2210 0.2154 0.2097 0.2040
0.07 0.2781 0.2718 0.2657 0.2595 0.2534 0.2472 0.2408 0.2346 0.2283 0.2219
0.09 0.3015 0.2947 0.2879 0.2812 0.2744 0.2676 0.2608 0.2539 0.2471 0.2400
9.5 Generalized Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Formula Under Existence of Inflation
173
174 9 Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory and in Its Perpetuity. . .
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
–0.05
–0.15
Wd
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
–0.05
–0.15
Wd
–0.15
9.5 Generalized Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Formula Under Existence of Inflation 175
0.05
Wd
0.00
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
–0.05
0.05
Wd
0.00
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
–0.05
0.05
Wd
0.00
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1
–0.05
profit rate increases from T ¼ 0.1 (upper line) up to T ¼ 1 (lower line) with the step
0.1.
The analysis of Figs. 9.5, 9.6, 9.7, 9.8, 9.9, 9.10, 9.11, and 9.12 shows that the
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) decreases with debt fraction wd and faster
with increase of tax on profit rate. The space between lines, corresponding to
different tax on profit rates, increases with inflation rate. The variation range of
WACC increases with inflation rate as well as with the company’s age.
Above we considered inflation rate as constant. Really, as a rule, the inflation rate is a
variable. It is possible to generalize all above considerations for the case of
nonhomogeneous inflation, introducing effective inflation for a few periods.
9.7 Inflation Rate for a Few Periods 177
α ¼ ð1 þ α1 Þð1 þ α2 Þ . . . ð1 þ αn Þ 1, ð9:36Þ
where α1, α2, . . ., αn are inflation rates for periods t1, t2, . . ., tn.
The proof of the formula (9.36) will be done below in Sect. 9.6.
In the case of nonhomogeneous inflation, it could be accounted in both theories,
Modigliani–Miller and Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory (BFO theory), either
through effective inflation rate or directly upon discounting of financial flow.
Suppose that the inflation rate for the consistent time periods t1, t2, . . ., tn is equal to
α1, α 2, . . ., αn consequently. Let us find the inflation rate α for total time period.
t ¼ t1 + t2 + + tn
Common sense dictates that inflation rate is an additive value, so that α, at least
approximately, is equal to the sum of the inflation rates α1, α2, . . ., αn.
α α1 þ α2 þ þ αn : ð9:37Þ
Below we will get an exact expression for inflation rate for the total period of
time, t, and will see how it is different from an intuitive result (9.37).
At the end of the first commitment period, the gained sum will be equal
to the amount S1 ¼ S0(1 + i) and with accounting of inflation
S1α ¼ S0 ð1 þ iÞt1 =ð1 þ α1 Þ. At the end of the second commitment period, the gained
sum will be equal to the amount S2 ¼ S0 ð1 þ iÞt1 þt2 and with accounting of inflation
S2α ¼ S0 ð1 þ iÞt1 þt2 =ð1 þ α1 Þð1 þ α2 Þ. At the end of the n–th commitment period,
the gained sum will be equal to the amount Sn ¼ S0 ð1 þ iÞt1 þt2 þ...þtn and with
accounting of inflation
ð1 þ α1 Þð1 þ α2 Þ . . . ð1 þ αn Þ ¼ 1 þ α: ð9:40Þ
From where,
178 9 Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory and in Its Perpetuity. . .
α ¼ ð1 þ α1 Þð1 þ α2 Þ . . . ð1 þ αn Þ 1: ð9:41Þ
α ¼ ð1 þ α1 Þn 1: ð9:42Þ
9.8 Conclusions
In this chapter, the influence of inflation on capital cost and capitalization of the
company within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure, Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova theory (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al.
2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008), and in its perpetuity
limit, Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966), which is
now outdated but still widely used in the West, is investigated. All basic results of
Modigliani–Miller theory were modified. It is shown that inflation not only increases
the equity cost and the weighted average cost of capital, but also it changes their
dependence on leverage. In particular, it increases the growth rate of equity cost with
leverage. Capitalization of the company is decreased with accounting of inflation.
Within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure, Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova theory (BFO theory), the modified equation for the weighted average cost
of capital, WACC, applicable to companies with arbitrary lifetime under inflation
has been derived. Modified BFO equation allows us to investigate the dependence of
the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, and equity cost, ke, on leverage level,
L, on tax on profit rate, t, on age of the company, n, on equity cost of financially
independent company, k0, and debt cost, kd, as well as on inflation rate α.
Using modified BFO equation, the analysis of the dependence of the weighted
average cost of capital, WACC, on debt fraction, wd, at different tax on profit rate t,
as well as inflation rate α, has been done.
It has been shown that WACC decreases with debt fraction, wd, and decreases
faster at bigger tax on profit rates t. The space between lines, corresponding to
different values of tax on profit rate at the same step (10%), increases with inflation
rate α. The variation region (with change of tax on profit rate t) of the weighted
average cost of capital, WACC, increases with inflation rate α, as well as with the age
of the company n.
References 179
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Part II
Investments
Next chapters (Chaps. 10–17) are devoted to study of different problems of invest-
ments: dependence of efficiency of investments on debt financing, on tax on profit
rate, on investment capital structure (leverage level); the existence of optimal
investment capital structure etc. We will present a different investment models,
developed by us and will study mentioned above problems using these models.
We start from the portfolio analysis in its simplest form: we study in this chapter
(Chap. 10) a portfolio of two securities.
Chapter 10
A Portfolio of Two Securities
The main objective of any investor is to ensure the maximum return on investment.
During the realization of this goal, at least two major problems appear: the first is in
which of the available assets and in what proportions an investor should invest. The
second problem is related to the fact that, in practice, as is well known, a higher level
of profitability is associated with a higher risk. Therefore, an investor can select an
asset with a high yield and high risk or a more or less guaranteed low yield. These
two selection problems constitute a problem of investment portfolio formation, the
decision which is given by portfolio theory, described in this chapter. We study in
detail the portfolio of the two securities (Brusov and Filatova 2014; Brusov et al.
2010, 2012), which represents a more simple case, containing, however, all the main
features of more common Markowitz and Tobin portfolios. It appears that when
selecting anticorrelated or noncorrelated securities, you can create a portfolio with
the risk lower than the risk of any of the securities of portfolio, or even zero-risk
portfolio (for anticorrelated securities).
ρ12 ¼ ρ ¼ 1: ð10:1Þ
Extracting the square root from both sides, we obtain for portfolio risk
σ ¼ jσ 1 x1 þ σ 2 x2 j: ð10:3Þ
Since all variables are nonnegative, the sign of the module can be omitted:
σ ¼ σ 1 x1 þ σ 2 x2 : ð10:4Þ
σ ¼ σ 1 ð1 t Þ þ σ 2 t: ð10:5Þ
This is the equation of the segment (АВ), where points A and B have the following
coordinates: ()A ¼ (μ1, σ 1); ()B ¼ (μ2, σ 2). t runs from 0 to 1. At t ¼ 0, portfolio is at
point A, and at t ¼ 1—at the point B. Thus, the admissible set of portfolios in the case
of complete correlation of the securities is a segment (AB) (Fig. 10.1).
If an investor forms a portfolio of minimal risk, he must incorporate in it one type
of paper that has less risk, in this case, the paper A, and the portfolio in this case is
X ¼ (1, 0). Portfolio yield (effectiveness) μ ¼ μ1.
With a portfolio of maximum yield, it is necessary to include in it only securities
with higher income, in this case, the paper B, and the portfolio in this case is
X ¼ (0, 1). Portfolio yield μ ¼ μ2.
r = –1
r = –1
C
μ1 μ" μ ' μ0 μ2 μ
10.1 A Portfolio of Two Securities 185
Extracting the square root of both sides, we obtain for portfolio risk
σ ¼ jσ 1 x1 σ 2 x2 j: ð10:8Þ
σ 1 x1 σ 2 x2 ¼ 0: ð10:9Þ
σ 1 x1 σ 2 ð1 x1 Þ ¼ 0,
σ2
x1 ¼ : ð10:10Þ
σ1 þ σ2
And
σ2
x2 ¼ 1 x1 ¼ : ð10:11Þ
σ1 þ σ2
μ1 σ 2 þ μ2 σ 1
μ0 ¼ : ð10:13Þ
σ1 þ σ2
186 10 A Portfolio of Two Securities
Note that the risk-free portfolio does not depend on the yield of securities and is
determined solely by their risks, and the pricing share of one security is proportional
to the risk of another.
Since |ρ| 1, then, all admissible portfolios are located inside (|ρ| < 1), or on the
boundary (|ρ| ¼ 1), of the triangle ABC (Fig. 10.1).
Example 10.1
For a portfolio of two securities with yield and risk, respectively, (0.2; 0.5) and (0.4;
0.7) in the case of complete anticorrelation find risk-free portfolio and its
profitability.
First, using Formula (4.30), we find a risk-free portfolio:
σ2 σ1 0:7 0:5
X0 ¼ ; ¼ ; ¼ ð0:583; 0:417Þ:
σ1 þ σ2 σ1 þ σ2 0:5 þ 0:7 0:5 þ 0:7
It is seen that the portfolio yield has an intermediate value between the yields
of both securities (but portfolio is risk-free!). One can check the results for
portfolio yield, calculating it by the formula (4.8) μ ¼ x1μ1 + x2μ2 ¼
0.583 0.2 + 0.417 0.4 ¼ 0.283.
ρ12 ¼ ρ ¼ 0: ð10:14Þ
Let us find a minimum-risk portfolio and its profitability and risk. For this, it is
necessary to minimize the objective function
under condition
10.1 A Portfolio of Two Securities 187
x1 þ x2 ¼ 1: ð10:17Þ
This is the task of a conditional extremum which is solved using the Lagrange
function
σ 21 x1 ¼ σ 22 x2 : ð10:20Þ
σ 21 x1 ¼ σ 22 ð1 x1 Þ: ð10:21Þ
Hence
σ 22 σ 21
x1 ¼ , x2 ¼ : ð10:22Þ
σ 21 þ σ 22 σ 21 þ σ 22
Portfolio
σ 22 σ 21
X¼ ; , ð10:23Þ
σ 21 þ σ 22 σ 21 þ σ 22
μ1 σ 22 μ σ2
μ¼ þ 22 12: ð10:24Þ
σ 21þ σ2 σ1 þ σ2
2
sffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi σ 21 σ 42 þ σ 41 σ 42
σ ¼ σ 21 x21 þ σ 22 x22 ¼ 2 2 ¼
σ 1 þ σ 22
sffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
ð10:25Þ
σ 21 σ 22 σ 21 þ σ 22 σ1σ2
¼ 2 2 ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi :
σ1 þ σ2 2 σ 2 þ σ2
1 2
Note that in the case of three securities, there is no direct analogy with (10.22)
(see Sect. 10.1.4).
Example 10.2
Using formula (4.40), it is easy to demonstrate the effect of diversification on
portfolio risk. Suppose a portfolio consists of two independent securities with risks
σ 1 ¼ 0.1 and σ 2 ¼ 0.2, respectively. Let us calculate the portfolio risk by using
Formula (10.24)
Thus, the portfolio risk σ 0.0894 turns out to be lower than the risk of each of
the securities (0.1; 0.2). This is an illustration of the principle of diversification: with
“smearing” of the portfolio on an independent security, risk is reduced.
Although this case goes beyond the issue of a portfolio of two securities, we consider
it here as a generalization of the case of a portfolio of two securities.
For independent securities,
under condition
x1 þ x2 þ x3 ¼ 1: ð10:29Þ
Subtracting from the first equation the second one and then the third one, we
obtain
σ 21 x1 ¼ σ 22 x2 ,
σ 21 x1 ¼ σ 22 x3 :
Hence
σ 21 σ2
x2 ¼ x1 , x3 ¼ 12 x1 : ð10:32Þ
σ2 2 σ3
x1 þ x2 þ x3 ¼ 1, ð10:33Þ
we get
σ 21 σ 21
x1 þ x 1 þ x1 ¼ 1: ð10:34Þ
σ 22 σ 23
Hence
1 σ 22 σ 23
x1 ¼ ¼ : ð10:35Þ
1þ
σ 21
þ
σ 21 σ 22 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 22
σ 22 σ 23
Substituting this x1 value in (10.32), we get the rest two components of the
portfolio:
190 10 A Portfolio of Two Securities
σ 21 σ 23
x2 ¼ , ð10:36Þ
σ 22 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 22
σ 21 σ 22
x3 ¼ : ð10:37Þ
σ 22 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 22
1
X¼ σ 22 σ 23 ; σ 21 σ 23 ; σ 21 σ 22 , ð10:38Þ
σ 22 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 22
μ1 σ 22 σ 23 þ μ2 σ 21 σ 23 þ μ3 σ 21 σ 22
μ¼ : ð10:39Þ
σ 22 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 22
Example 10.3
For a portfolio of three independent securities with yield and risk of (0.1; 0.4),
(0.2; 0.6), and (0.4; 0.8), respectively, find the minimum-risk portfolio, its risk, and
yield. Portfolio of minimum risk is given by (10.38):
1
X¼ σ 22 σ 23 ; σ 21 σ 23 ; σ 21 σ 22 ¼
σ 22 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 22
0:62 0:82 ; 0:42 0:82 ; 0:42 0:62 ð0:2304; 0:1024; 0:0576Þ
¼ ¼
0:6 0:8 þ 0:4 0:8 þ 0:4 0:6
2 2 2 2 2 2 0:2304 þ 0:1024 þ 0:0576
ð0:2304; 0:1024; 0:0576Þ
¼ ¼ ð0:590; 0:263; 0:147Þ:
0:3904
μ1 σ 22 σ 23 þ μ2 σ 21 σ 23 þ μ3 σ 21 σ 22
μ¼ ¼
σ 22 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 23 þ σ 21 σ 22
0:1 0:62 0:82 þ 0:2 0:42 0:82 þ 0:4 0:42 0:62
¼ ¼
0:62 0:82 þ 0:42 0:82 þ 0:42 0:62
0:02304 þ 0:02048 þ 0:02304 0:06656
¼ ¼ 0:1705:
0:2304 þ 0:1024 þ 0:0576 0:3904
It is seen that the portfolio risk is less than the risk of each individual security, and
a portfolio yield is more than the first security yield, a little less than the yield of the
second security, and less than the yield of third security.
Let one of the two portfolio securities be risk-free. Portfolio of n-securities, includ-
ing risk-free one, is named after Tobin, who has investigated this case for the first
time. Considering portfolio has properties which are substantially different from
those of the portfolio consisting only of risky securities. Here we consider the effect
of the inclusion of a risk-free security into the portfolio of two securities.
Thus, we have two securities, (1) (μ1, 0) and (2) (μ2, σ 2), with μ1 < μ2 (otherwise
it would be necessary to form a portfolio (1, 0) consisting only of the risk-free
securities, and we would have a risk-free portfolio of maximum yield).
We have the following equations:
μ ¼ μ 1 x1 þ μ 2 x2
σ ¼ σ 2 x2 ð10:41Þ
x1 þ x2 ¼ 1:
σ
μ ¼ μ1 ð1 x2 Þ þ μ2 x2 ¼ μ1 þ ðμ2 μ1 Þx2 ¼ μ1 þ ðμ2 μ1 Þ ,
σ2
which is a segment
192 10 A Portfolio of Two Securities
σ
μ ¼ μ1 þ ðμ2 μ1 Þ , 0 σ σ2 : ð10:42Þ
σ2
1
μ1 μ2 μ
It is evident that the portfolio risk decreases linearly with x1, from σ 2 at x1 ¼ 0 to
zero at x1 ¼ 1; at the same time yield also decreases linearly with x1, from μ2 at
x1 ¼ 0 to μ1 at x1 ¼ 1.
In the case of a portfolio of two securities, given yield or its risk identifies portfolio
uniquely (except the case μ1 ¼ μ2, when only the given portfolio risk uniquely
identifies portfolio itself, see below for details).
Under the given yield (effectiveness) of the portfolio, it is uniquely defined as the
solution of the system:
μ ¼ μ 1 x1 þ μ 2 x2
ð10:43Þ
x1 þ x2 ¼ 1,
and under the given portfolio risk, it is uniquely defined as the solution of the
system:
σ 2 ¼ σ 21 x21 þ σ 22 x22 þ 2ρ12 σ 1 σ 2 x1 x2
ð10:44Þ
x1 þ x2 ¼ 1:
Expressing x2 from the second equation and substituting it in the first equation,
we get
μ ¼ x1 μ1 þ x2 μ2 ¼ x1 μ1 þ ð1 x1 Þμ2 ¼ x1 ðμ1 μ2 Þ þ μ2 :
Hence, we find
μ μ2 μ μ
x1 ¼ , x2 ¼ 1 : ð10:45Þ
μ1 μ2 μ1 μ2
Substituting these expressions into the expression for the squared portfolio risk,
we obtain
194 10 A Portfolio of Two Securities
σ 21 ðμ μ2 Þ2 þ σ 22 ðμ μ1 Þ2 2σ 1 σ 2 ρ12 ðμ μ1 Þðμ μ2 Þ
σ2 ¼ : ð10:46Þ
ðμ 2 μ 1 Þ2
Therefore
σ 2 ¼ ðcμ þ d Þ2 , ð10:49Þ
i.e., risk, as a function of yield will take the form of a segment or angle (Fig. 10.1).
Now let’s examine the equation (10.46) in cases ρ ¼ 1.
Case of complete correlation (ρ12 ¼ 1)
σ 1 ðμ μ 2 Þ σ 2 ðμ μ 1 Þ
σ¼ ð10:50Þ
ðμ 2 μ 1 Þ
σ 1 ðμ μ 2 Þ þ σ 2 ðμ μ 1 Þ
σ¼ ð10:51Þ
ðμ 2 μ 1 Þ
σ 21 ðμ μ2 Þ2 þ σ 22 ðμ μ1 Þ2
σ2 ¼ : ð10:52Þ
ðμ2 μ1 Þ2
αμ2 2βμ þ γ
σ2 ¼ : ð10:53Þ
δ
If one finds the shape of the dependence of risk portfolio on its effectiveness for a
given portfolio {(μ1, σ 1), (μ2, σ 2)}, but for different values of the correlation coeffi-
cient, ρ, then we can come to the following conclusion: μM decreases when the
correlation coefficient increases from –1 to 1.
In this case, a plot of the risk portfolio of its effectiveness is becoming more
elongated along the horizontal axis, i.e., for a fixed change in the expected yield μ,
increase in the risk σ becomes smaller (Fig. 10.1).
If we also assume that x1 2 [0, 1], and therefore x2 2 [0, 1], it is implied from the
first formula (10.43) that μ 2 [μ1, μ2] under the assumption μ1 < μ2, as μ is their
convex combination. Portfolios are part of the boundary of AMB, namely, the part
that connects the points (μ1, σ 1) and (μ2, σ 2) (Fig. 10.1).
Thus, in the case n ¼ 2 and under the additional assumption that x1 0, x2 0,
the set of portfolios is a hyperbola or pieces of broken lines connecting the points (μ1,
σ 1) and (μ2, σ 2).
References
Brusov P, Filatova T (2014) Financial mathematics for masters. KNORUS, Moscow, p 480
Brusov P, Brusov PP, Orehova N, Skorodulina S (2010) Financial mathematics for bachelor.
KNORUS, Moscow, p 224
Brusov P, Brusov PP, Orehova N, Skorodulina S (2012) Tasks on financial mathematics for
bachelor. KNORUS, Moscow, p 285
Chapter 11
Investment Models with Debt Repayment
at the End of the Project and Their
Application
In this Chapter, we build modern investment models, which will be used in the
following chapters for investigation of different problems of investments, such as
influence of debt financing, leverage level, taxing, project duration, method of
financing, and some other parameters on efficiency of investments and other
problems.
The effectiveness of the investment project is considered from two perspectives: the
owners of equity and debt and the equity holders only. For each of these cases, NPV
is calculated in two ways: with the division of credit and investment flows (and thus
discounting of the payments using two different rates) and without such a division
(in this case, both flows are discounted using the same rate, as which can be,
obviously, chosen WACC). For each of the four situations, two cases are considered:
(1) a constant value of equity S and (2) a constant value of the total invested capital
I ¼ S + D (D is value of debt funds).
As it was stated above, the effectiveness of the investment project is considered
from two perspectives: the owners of equity and debt and the equity holders only. In
the first case, the interest and duty paid by owners of equity (negative flows) returned
to the project because they are exactly equal to the flow (positive) obtained by
owners of debt capital. The only effect of leverage in this case is the effect of the tax
shield, generated from the tax relief: interest on the loan is entirely included into the
cost and thus reduces the tax base. After-tax flow of capital for each period in this
case is equal to
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd Dt ð11:1Þ
Here, for simplicity, we suppose that interest on the loan will be paid in equal
shares kd D during all periods. Note that principal repayment is made at the end of the
last period.
Some variety of repayment of long-term loans will be considered below (see in
Chap. 14).
We will consider two different ways of discounting:
1. Operating and financial flows are not separated and both are discounted, using the
general rate (as which, obviously, the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
can be selected). In this case for perpetuity projects, the Modigliani–Miller
formula (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) for WACC will be used and
for projects of finite (arbitrary) duration, Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula
(Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011).
2. Operating and financial flows are separated and are discounted at different rates:
the operating flow at the rate which is equal to the equity cost ke, depending on
leverage and credit flow at the rate which is equal to the debt cost kd, which until
fairly large values of leverage remain constant and start to grow only at high
values of leverage L, when there is a danger of bankruptcy.
Note that loan capital is the least risky, because interest on credit is paid after
taxes in the first place. Therefore, the cost of credit will always be less than the equity
cost, whether of ordinary or of preference shares ke > kd; kp > kd. Here ke is the
equity cost of ordinary shares and kp is the equity cost of preference shares.
X
n
NOIð1 t Þ X
n
kd Dð1 t Þ D
NPV ¼ S þ þ
ð1 þ k e Þ
i¼1
i
i¼1 ð1 þ k d Þ i ð1 þ k d Þn
NOIð1 t Þ 1 1 D
¼ S þ 1 n D ð 1 t Þ 1 n :
ke ð1 þ k e Þ ð1 þ k d Þ ð1 þ k d Þn
ð11:3Þ
The last term in the first line-discounted (present) value of credit extinguished a
one-off payment at the end of the last period n.
Below we will look at two cases:
1. A constant value of the invested capital I ¼ S + D (D–debt value)
2. A constant value of equity capital S
We will start with the first case.
At a Constant Value of the Invested Capital (I ¼ const)
In the case of a constant value of the invested capital (I ¼ const), taking into account
D ¼ IL/(1 + L ) and S ¼ I/(1 + L ), one gets
I 1 1
NPV ¼ 1 þ L ð1 t Þ 1 þ
1þL ð1 þ k d Þn ð1 þ k d Þn
ð11:4Þ
NOIð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
ke ð1 þ k e Þn
1 þ kd ð1 t Þ βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S 1 þ L þ : ð11:7Þ
1 þ kd 1 þ ke
In this case operating and financial flows are not separated and are discounted, using
the general rate (as which, obviously, WACC can be selected).
The credit reimbursable at the end of the project (at the end of the period (n)) can
be discounted either at the same rate WACC or at the debt cost rate kd. Now we
choose a uniform rate and the first option.
X
n
NOIð1 t Þ kd Dð1 t Þ D
NPV ¼ S þ
ð1 þ WACCÞ i ð 1 þ WACC Þn
i¼1
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ 1 D
¼ S þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn ð1 þ WACCÞn
ð11:8Þ
Lk d ð1 t Þ 1 L
NPV ¼ S 1 þ 1 þ
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn ð1 þ WACCÞn
ð11:12Þ
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ Dð1 t Þ: ð11:15Þ
ke
I NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ ð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ : ð11:16Þ
1þL ke
I NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ ð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ : ð11:17Þ
1þL k 0 þ ðk0 k d ÞLð1 t Þ
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ Sð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ : ð11:19Þ
k0 þ ðk 0 kd ÞLt
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ : ð11:20Þ
WACC
L
NOIð1 t Þ I k d ð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ I
1
þ 1 þ L
1 þ L WACC ð11:21Þ
1 Lk d ð1 t Þ NOIð1 t Þ
¼ I 1þ þ :
1þL k0 ð1 Lt=ð1 þ LÞÞ k0 ð1 Lt=ð1 þ LÞÞ
X
n
NOIð1 t Þ X
n
k d Dt
NPV ¼ I þ i þ
ð1 þ k e Þ i¼1 ð1 þ kd Þi ð11:24Þ
i¼1
NOIð1 t Þ 1 1
¼ I þ 1 þ Dt 1 :
ke ð1 þ k e Þn ð1 þ k d Þn
Accounting that in the case S ¼ const NOI is not a constant, but is proportional to
the invested capital, NOI ¼ βI ¼ βS(1 + L ), we get
1
NPV ¼ S 1 þ L tL 1
ð1 þ kd Þn
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 : ð11:27Þ
ke ð1 þ k e Þn
In this case operating and financial flows are not separated, and both are discounted,
using the general rate (as which, obviously, WACC can be selected):
X
n
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd Dt
NPV ¼ I þ
ð1 þ WACCÞi ð11:29Þ
i¼1
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd Dt 1
¼ I þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
L
kd t 1þL NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ I 1 þ : ð11:31Þ
1 þ WACC 1 þ WACC
NOIð1 t Þ þ k d Dt
NPV ¼ I þ
1 þ WACC ð11:33Þ
kd Lt NOIð1 t Þ
¼ S 1 þ L þ :
1 þ WACC 1 þ WACC
NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ I þ þ Dt: ð11:34Þ
ke
k e ¼ k0 þ ðk 0 kd ÞLð1 t Þ, ð11:36Þ
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 wd t Þ ¼ k0 ð1 Lt=ð1 þ LÞÞ: ð11:37Þ
L NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ I 1 t þ : ð11:38Þ
1þL k0 þ ðk0 kd ÞLð1 t Þ
NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ Sð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ : ð11:39Þ
k0 þ ðk 0 kd ÞLt
Note that in the case S ¼ const NOI is not a constant, but is proportional to the
invested capital, NOI ¼ βI ¼ βS(1 + L ).
In this case, Eq. (11.38) is replaced by
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ Sð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ , ð11:40Þ
k0 þ ðk0 kd ÞLt
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd Dt
NPV ¼ I þ : ð11:41Þ
WACC
At a constant value of the invested capital (I ¼ const), we have
NOIð1 t Þ þ k d Dt
NPV ¼ I þ
0 1
WACC
L
B kd t C NOIð1 t Þ ð11:42Þ
¼ I B
@1 1 þ L C Aþ :
L L
k0 1 t k0 1 t
1þL 1þL
2 3
kd Lt βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S41 þ L 5 þ : ð11:44Þ
k0 1 1þL
L
t k 0 1 1þL
L
t
References
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital
cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit–Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
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7:37–62
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Sol 34(76):36–42
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
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1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Chapter 12
Influence of Debt Financing
on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:
The Analysis of Efficiency of Investment
Projects Within the Perpetuity (Modigliani–
Miller) Approximation
curves NPV(L ) lie above. With increase of NOI, all curves NPV(L) are shifted in
parallel upward practically.
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV practically always decreases with leverage;
optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent.
All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0 are started (at L ¼ 0) from a
single point. With the increasing of k0 (and, respectively, an increase of Δk),
curves NPV(L ) are shifted into region of higher NPV values. With increase of
NOI, all curves NPV(L) are shifted in parallel upward practically (Table 12.1;
Figs. 12.1 and 12.2).
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ Sð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ ð12:2Þ
k 0 þ ðk0 k d ÞLt
1. At the constant values of Δk ¼ k0 kd, NPV practically always decreases with
leverage. The optimum in the dependence of NPV(L) has been found for one pair
of k0 and kd [k0 (8%) and kd (6%)] only.
All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0 are started (at L ¼ 0) from one
point, and with growth of k0 (and, accordingly, kd), all curves NPV(L ) lie below.
With growth of Δk, density of curves NPV(L ) increases.
2. At the constant values of k0, NPV practically always decreases with leverage.
Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent.
All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0 are started (at L ¼ 0) from one
point, and with growth of kd (and, respectively, a decrease of Δk), all curves NPV
(L ) are shifted upward. With growth of Δk, density of curves NPV(L ) increases.
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV practically always decreases with leverage. The
optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) has been found for one pair of k0 and kd
[k0 (8%) and kd (6%)] only.
All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0 are started (at L ¼ 0) from one
point, and with growth of k0 (and, respectively, an increase of Δk), curves NPV
(L ) are shifted into region of smaller NPV values. With growth of Δk, density of
curves NPV(L ) increases (Table 12.2; Figs. 12.3 and 12.4).
Table 12.1 NOI ¼ 1200, I ¼ 2000, k0kd ¼ const
12.1
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 10,000.0 9042.4 8200.0 7470.8 6838.1 6285.7 5800.0 5369.9 4986.7 4643.1
2 0.10 0.08 7600.0 7022.2 6475.9 5981.9 5539.4 5142.9 4786.5 4465.0 4173.7 3908.7
3 0.14 0.12 4857.1 4619.8 4353.8 4093.7 3848.1 3619.0 3406.4 3209.1 3025.9 2855.6
4 0.18 0.16 3333.3 3239.7 3098.0 2945.9 2795.0 2649.4 2510.5 2378.9 2254.4 2136.8
5 0.24 0.22 2000.0 2004.3 1950.0 1876.4 1796.1 1714.3 1633.3 1554.4 1477.9 1404.2
6 0.30 0.28 1200.0 1250.2 1238.0 1203.0 1158.2 1109.2 1058.6 1007.7 957.4 907.9
7 0.36 0.34 666.7 742.0 753.2 740.0 715.6 685.7 652.9 618.8 584.2 549.5
8 0.40 0.38 400.0 486.3 507.7 504.2 488.9 467.5 442.9 416.4 389.0 361.2
9 0.44 0.42 181.8 276.2 305.3 309.0 300.6 285.7 267.2 246.6 224.8 202.3
10 0.10 0.06 7600.0 6409.2 5472.7 4726.5 4120.3 3619.0 3198.0 2839.4 2530.5 2261.7
11 0.12 0.08 6000.0 5192.2 4515.8 3954.3 3484.1 3085.7 2744.4 2449.0 2191.0 1963.6
12 0.16 0.12 4000.0 3587.9 3200.0 2855.4 2552.4 2285.7 2050.0 1840.5 1653.3 1485.2
13 0.20 0.16 2800.0 2577.8 2337.9 2111.0 1903.0 1714.3 1543.2 1388.0 1246.8 1118.0
14 0.24 0.20 2000.0 1883.3 1729.4 1573.3 1424.6 1285.7 1157.1 1038.4 928.7 827.3
15 0.30 0.26 1200.0 1171.3 1091.6 998.6 904.0 812.0 724.2 641.2 563.0 489.4
16 0.36 0.32 666.7 686.5 649.0 592.9 530.8 467.5 405.3 345.0 287.2 232.0
17 0.40 0.36 400.0 441.0 422.2 382.9 335.6 285.7 235.5 186.1 138.2 92.0
18 0.44 0.40 181.8 238.6 233.9 207.2 171.4 131.9 91.0 50.2 10.1 28.9
(continued)
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
211
Table 12.1 (continued)
212
L
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 4333.3 4052.7 3797.4 3564.1 3350.0 3152.9 2970.9 2802.3 2645.7 2499.8 2363.6
2 0.10 0.08 3666.7 3444.8 3240.8 3052.5 2878.3 2716.6 2566.1 2425.7 2294.4 2171.4 2055.9
3 0.14 0.12 2697.0 2549.0 2410.7 2281.1 2159.5 2045.2 1937.6 1836.2 1740.3 1649.6 1563.6
12
4 0.18 0.16 2025.6 1920.6 1821.1 1726.9 1637.7 1552.9 1472.4 1395.9 1323.0 1253.5 1187.2
5 0.24 0.22 1333.3 1265.3 1200.0 1137.4 1077.3 1019.6 964.3 911.1 860.0 810.9 763.6
6 0.30 0.28 859.6 812.7 767.1 722.9 680.1 638.7 598.5 559.7 522.2 485.8 450.6
7 0.36 0.34 515.2 481.3 448.1 415.6 383.9 352.9 322.8 293.4 264.8 236.9 209.8
8 0.40 0.38 333.3 305.7 278.3 251.4 225.0 199.1 173.7 148.9 124.7 101.0 77.9
9 0.44 0.42 179.5 156.6 133.9 111.4 89.1 67.2 45.7 24.6 3.8 16.5 36.4
10 0.10 0.06 2025.6 1816.7 1630.5 1463.5 1313.0 1176.5 1052.2 938.5 834.2 738.1 649.4
11 0.12 0.08 1761.9 1581.7 1419.8 1273.5 1140.7 1019.6 908.7 806.9 712.9 626.1 545.5
12 0.16 0.12 1333.3 1195.6 1070.1 955.4 850.0 752.9 663.2 580.1 502.9 430.9 363.6
13 0.20 0.16 1000.0 891.7 791.8 699.6 614.2 534.8 460.8 391.8 327.2 266.7 209.8
14 0.24 0.20 733.3 646.2 565.1 489.5 419.0 352.9 291.0 232.9 178.2 126.6 77.9
15 0.30 0.26 420.3 355.3 294.1 236.4 182.1 130.7 82.2 36.2 7.3 48.7 88.0
16 0.36 0.32 179.5 129.5 82.0 36.8 6.2 47.1 86.0 123.1 158.5 192.3 224.6
17 0.40 0.36 47.6 5.1 35.5 74.4 111.5 147.1 181.0 213.5 244.7 274.5 303.0
18 0.44 0.40 66.7 103.1 138.2 171.9 204.2 235.3 265.1 293.8 321.3 347.8 373.2
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
12.1 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 213
2
8000
6000
3
4000
4
5 2000
6
7
8
9 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
–2000
L
11 6000
5000
12 4000
13 3000
14 2000
15
1000
16
17
18
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
–1000
L
Table 12.2 S ¼ 1000, β ¼ 0.1, k0kd ¼ const
214
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 0.0 63.4 104.8 125.6 127.3 111.1 78.3 29.8 33.3 110.2
2 0.10 0.08 200.0 223.5 261.5 313.2 377.8 454.5 542.9 642.1 751.7 871.2
3 0.14 0.12 428.6 554.9 688.9 830.1 978.4 1133.3 1294.7 1462.3 1635.9 1815.2
12
4 0.18 0.16 555.6 740.7 930.4 1124.7 1323.4 1526.3 1733.3 1944.3 2159.2 2377.8
5 0.24 0.22 666.7 904.1 1144.3 1387.0 1632.3 1880.0 2130.2 2382.7 2637.5 2894.6
6 0.30 0.28 733.3 1002.6 1273.7 1546.4 1820.8 2096.8 2374.4 2653.5 2934.2 3216.4
7 0.36 0.34 777.8 1068.5 1360.4 1653.6 1947.8 2243.2 2539.8 2837.4 3136.2 3436.0
8 0.40 0.38 800.0 1101.5 1404.0 1707.4 2011.8 2317.1 2623.3 2930.4 3238.5 3547.4
9 0.44 0.42 818.2 1128.5 1439.6 1751.6 2064.3 2377.8 2692.0 3007.0 3322.8 3639.3
10 0.10 0.06 200.0 246.2 318.5 414.3 531.0 666.7 819.4 987.5 1169.7 1364.7
11 0.12 0.08 333.3 432.3 550.0 684.8 835.3 1000.0 1177.8 1367.6 1568.4 1779.5
12 0.16 0.12 500.0 668.3 847.6 1037.2 1236.4 1444.4 1660.9 1885.1 2116.7 2355.1
13 0.20 0.16 600.0 811.8 1030.8 1256.6 1488.9 1727.3 1971.4 2221.1 2475.9 2735.6
14 0.24 0.20 666.7 908.2 1154.8 1406.3 1662.5 1923.1 2187.9 2456.7 2729.4 3005.8
15 0.30 0.26 733.3 1005.3 1280.5 1559.0 1840.5 2125.0 2412.3 2702.4 2995.2 3290.5
16 0.36 0.32 777.8 1070.3 1365.2 1662.4 1961.7 2263.2 2566.7 2872.2 3179.6 3488.9
17 0.40 0.36 800.0 1103.0 1407.8 1714.6 2023.1 2333.3 2645.3 2958.9 3274.1 3590.8
18 0.44 0.40 818.2 1129.7 1442.9 1757.5 2073.7 2391.3 2710.3 3030.8 3352.5 3675.6
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
L
12.1
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 200.0 302.0 415.4 539.6 674.1 818.2 971.4 1133.3 1303.4 1481.4 1666.7
2 0.10 0.08 1000.0 1137.7 1283.9 1438.1 1600.0 1769.2 1945.5 2128.4 2317.6 2513.0 2714.3
3 0.14 0.12 2000.0 2190.1 2385.4 2585.5 2790.5 3000.0 3214.0 3432.2 3654.5 3880.9 4111.1
4 0.18 0.16 2600.0 2825.7 3054.9 3287.4 3523.1 3761.9 4003.8 4248.6 4496.3 4746.8 5000.0
5 0.24 0.22 3153.8 3415.3 3678.8 3944.4 4211.9 4481.5 4752.9 5026.3 5301.4 5578.4 5857.1
6 0.30 0.28 3500.0 3785.1 4071.6 4359.5 4648.8 4939.4 5231.3 5524.6 5819.0 6114.8 6411.8
7 0.36 0.34 3736.8 4038.7 4341.7 4645.6 4950.5 5256.4 5563.3 5871.1 6179.8 6489.4 6800.0
8 0.40 0.38 3857.1 4167.8 4479.2 4791.5 5104.7 5418.6 5733.3 6048.8 6365.1 6682.2 7000.0
9 0.44 0.42 3956.5 4274.5 4593.1 4912.4 5232.5 5553.2 5874.6 6196.6 6519.3 6842.7 7166.7
10 0.10 0.06 1571.4 1788.9 2016.2 2252.6 2497.4 2750.0 3009.8 3276.2 3548.8 3827.3 4111.1
11 0.12 0.08 2000.0 2229.3 2466.7 2711.6 2963.6 3222.2 3487.0 3757.4 4033.3 4314.3 4600.0
12 0.16 0.12 2600.0 2851.0 3107.7 3369.8 3637.0 3909.1 4185.7 4466.7 4751.7 5040.7 5333.3
13 0.20 0.16 3000.0 3268.9 3541.9 3819.0 4100.0 4384.6 4672.7 4964.2 5258.8 5556.5 5857.1
14 0.24 0.20 3285.7 3569.0 3855.6 4145.2 4437.8 4733.3 5031.6 5332.5 5635.9 5941.8 6250.0
15 0.30 0.26 3588.2 3888.4 4190.8 4495.5 4802.2 5111.1 5422.0 5734.8 6049.5 6366.0 6684.2
16 0.36 0.32 3800.0 4112.9 4427.5 4743.7 5061.5 5381.0 5701.9 6024.3 6348.1 6673.4 7000.0
17 0.40 0.36 3909.1 4228.8 4550.0 4872.6 5196.5 5521.7 5848.3 6176.1 6505.1 6835.3 7166.7
18 0.44 0.40 4000.0 4325.6 4652.5 4980.5 5309.7 5640.0 5971.4 6303.9 6637.5 6972.1 7307.7
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
215
216 12 Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
3 –4000
4 –5000
5
–6000
6
7
8
9 –7000
–8000
L
–1000
–2000
–3000
10 –4000
11
–5000
12
13
–6000
14
15
16
17
–7000
18
–8000
L
12.1 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 217
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 10,000.0 11,095.2 11,666.7 12,018.2 12,256.4 12,428.6 12,558.8 12,660.8 12,742.9 12,810.3
2 0.10 0.08 7600.0 8495.2 8955.6 9236.4 9425.6 9561.9 9664.7 9745.0 9809.5 9862.5
3 0.14 0.12 4857.1 5523.8 5857.1 6057.1 6190.5 6285.7 6357.1 6412.7 6457.1 6493.5
12
4 0.18 0.16 3333.3 3873.0 4135.8 4290.9 4393.2 4465.6 4519.6 4561.4 4594.7 4621.9
5 0.24 0.22 2000.0 2428.6 2629.6 2745.5 2820.5 2873.0 2911.8 2941.5 2965.1 2984.2
6 0.30 0.28 1200.0 1561.9 1725.9 1818.2 1876.9 1917.5 1947.1 1969.6 1987.3 2001.6
7 0.36 0.34 666.7 984.1 1123.5 1200.0 1247.9 1280.4 1303.9 1321.6 1335.4 1346.5
8 0.40 0.38 400.0 695.2 822.2 890.9 933.3 961.9 982.4 997.7 1009.5 1019.0
9 0.44 0.42 181.8 458.9 575.8 638.0 676.0 701.3 719.3 732.6 742.9 751.0
10 0.10 0.06 7600.0 8609.5 9133.3 9454.5 9671.8 9828.6 9947.1 10039.8 10114.3 10175.5
11 0.12 0.08 6000.0 6857.1 7296.3 7563.6 7743.6 7873.0 7970.6 8046.8 8107.9 8158.1
12 0.16 0.12 4000.0 4666.7 5000.0 5200.0 5333.3 5428.6 5500.0 5555.6 5600.0 5636.4
13 0.20 0.16 2800.0 3352.4 3622.2 3781.8 3887.2 3961.9 4017.6 4060.8 4095.2 4123.3
14 0.24 0.20 2000.0 2476.2 2703.7 2836.4 2923.1 2984.1 3029.4 3064.3 3092.1 3114.6
15 0.30 0.26 1200.0 1600.0 1785.2 1890.9 1959.0 2006.3 2041.2 2067.8 2088.9 2105.9
16 0.36 0.32 666.7 1015.9 1172.8 1260.6 1316.2 1354.5 1382.4 1403.5 1420.1 1433.5
17 0.40 0.36 400.0 723.8 866.7 945.5 994.9 1028.6 1052.9 1071.3 1085.7 1097.2
18 0.44 0.40 181.8 484.8 616.2 687.6 731.9 761.9 783.4 799.6 812.1 822.1
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
L
12.1
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 12,866.7 12,914.5 12,955.7 12,991.4 13,022.7 13,050.4 13,075.1 13,097.2 13,117.1 13,135.1 13,151.5
2 0.10 0.08 9906.7 9944.2 9976.4 10,004.3 10,028.8 10,050.4 10,069.7 10,086.9 10,102.4 10,116.5 10,129.3
3 0.14 0.12 6523.8 6549.5 6571.4 6590.5 6607.1 6621.8 6634.9 6646.6 6657.1 6666.7 6675.3
4 0.18 0.16 4644.4 4663.5 4679.8 4693.9 4706.2 4717.1 4726.7 4735.3 4743.1 4750.1 4756.5
5 0.24 0.22 3000.0 3013.3 3024.6 3034.4 3042.9 3050.4 3057.1 3063.0 3068.3 3073.1 3077.4
6 0.30 0.28 2013.3 2023.2 2031.5 2038.7 2044.9 2050.4 2055.3 2059.6 2063.4 2066.9 2070.0
7 0.36 0.34 1355.6 1363.1 1369.5 1374.9 1379.6 1383.8 1387.4 1390.6 1393.5 1396.1 1398.4
8 0.40 0.38 1026.7 1033.0 1038.4 1043.0 1047.0 1050.4 1053.5 1056.1 1058.5 1060.7 1062.6
9 0.44 0.42 757.6 763.0 767.6 771.5 774.8 777.7 780.2 782.5 784.5 786.3 787.9
10 0.10 0.06 10,226.7 10,270.1 10,307.4 10,339.8 10,368.2 10,393.3 10,415.6 10,435.6 10,453.7 10,470.0 10,484.8
11 0.12 0.08 8200.0 8235.5 8266.0 8292.5 8315.7 8336.1 8354.4 8370.7 8385.4 8398.7 8410.8
12 0.16 0.12 5666.7 5692.3 5714.3 5733.3 5750.0 5764.7 5777.8 5789.5 5800.0 5809.5 5818.2
13 0.20 0.16 4146.7 4166.4 4183.3 4197.8 4210.6 4221.8 4231.8 4240.8 4248.8 4256.0 4262.6
14 0.24 0.20 3133.3 3149.1 3162.6 3174.2 3184.3 3193.3 3201.2 3208.3 3214.6 3220.4 3225.6
15 0.30 0.26 2120.0 2131.8 2141.9 2150.5 2158.1 2164.7 2170.6 2175.8 2180.5 2184.7 2188.6
16 0.36 0.32 1444.4 1453.6 1461.4 1468.1 1473.9 1479.0 1483.5 1487.5 1491.1 1494.3 1497.2
17 0.40 0.36 1106.7 1114.5 1121.2 1126.9 1131.8 1136.1 1139.9 1143.3 1146.3 1149.1 1151.5
18 0.44 0.40 830.3 837.1 842.8 847.7 851.9 855.6 858.9 861.7 864.3 866.6 868.7
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
219
220 12 Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
12000
2
10000
8000
3
6000
4
4000
5
6 2000
7
8
9
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
11
8000
12 6000
13
4000
14
15
2000
16
17
18
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
12.1 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 221
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 0.0 285.7 555.6 818.2 1076.9 1333.3 1588.2 1842.1 2095.2 2347.8
2 0.10 0.08 200.0 57.1 66.7 181.8 292.3 400.0 505.9 610.5 714.3 817.4
3 0.14 0.12 428.6 449.0 492.1 545.5 604.4 666.7 731.1 797.0 863.9 931.7
12
4 0.18 0.16 555.6 666.7 802.5 949.5 1102.6 1259.3 1418.3 1578.9 1740.7 1903.4
5 0.24 0.22 666.7 857.1 1074.1 1303.0 1538.5 1777.8 2019.6 2263.2 2507.9 2753.6
6 0.30 0.28 733.3 971.4 1237.0 1515.2 1800.0 2088.9 2380.4 2673.7 2968.3 3263.8
7 0.36 0.34 777.8 1047.6 1345.7 1656.6 1974.4 2296.3 2620.9 2947.4 3275.1 3603.9
8 0.40 0.38 800.0 1085.7 1400.0 1727.3 2061.5 2400.0 2741.2 3084.2 3428.6 3773.9
9 0.44 0.42 818.2 1116.9 1444.4 1785.1 2132.9 2484.8 2839.6 3196.2 3554.1 3913.0
10 0.10 0.06 200.0 28.6 244.4 454.5 661.5 866.7 1070.6 1273.7 1476.2 1678.3
11 0.12 0.08 333.3 214.3 111.1 15.2 76.9 166.7 254.9 342.1 428.6 514.5
12 0.16 0.12 500.0 517.9 555.6 602.3 653.8 708.3 764.7 822.4 881.0 940.2
13 0.20 0.16 600.0 700.0 822.2 954.5 1092.3 1233.3 1376.5 1521.1 1666.7 1813.0
14 0.24 0.20 666.7 821.4 1000.0 1189.4 1384.6 1583.3 1784.3 1986.8 2190.5 2394.9
15 0.30 0.26 733.3 942.9 1177.8 1424.2 1676.9 1933.3 2192.2 2452.6 2714.3 2976.8
16 0.36 0.32 777.8 1023.8 1296.3 1580.8 1871.8 2166.7 2464.1 2763.2 3063.5 3364.7
17 0.40 0.36 800.0 1064.3 1355.6 1659.1 1969.2 2283.3 2600.0 2918.4 3238.1 3558.7
18 0.44 0.40 818.2 1097.4 1404.0 1723.1 2049.0 2378.8 2711.2 3045.5 3381.0 3717.4
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
L
12.1
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 2600.0 2851.9 3103.4 3354.8 3606.1 3857.1 4108.1 4359.0 4609.8 4860.5 5111.1
2 0.10 0.08 920.0 1022.2 1124.1 1225.8 1327.3 1428.6 1529.7 1630.8 1731.7 1832.6 1933.3
3 0.14 0.12 1000.0 1068.8 1137.9 1207.4 1277.1 1346.9 1417.0 1487.2 1557.5 1627.9 1698.4
4 0.18 0.16 2066.7 2230.5 2394.6 2559.1 2723.9 2888.9 3054.1 3219.4 3384.8 3550.4 3716.0
5 0.24 0.22 3000.0 3246.9 3494.3 3741.9 3989.9 4238.1 4486.5 4735.0 4983.7 5232.6 5481.5
6 0.30 0.28 3560.0 3856.8 4154.0 4451.6 4749.5 5047.6 5345.9 5644.4 5943.1 6241.9 6540.7
7 0.36 0.34 3933.3 4263.4 4593.9 4924.7 5255.9 5587.3 5918.9 6250.7 6582.7 6914.7 7246.9
8 0.40 0.38 4120.0 4466.7 4813.8 5161.3 5509.1 5857.1 6205.4 6553.8 6902.4 7251.2 7600.0
9 0.44 0.42 4272.7 4633.0 4993.7 5354.8 5716.3 6077.9 6439.8 6801.9 7164.1 7526.4 7888.9
10 0.10 0.06 1880.0 2081.5 2282.8 2483.9 2684.8 2885.7 3086.5 3287.2 3487.8 3688.4 3888.9
11 0.12 0.08 600.0 685.2 770.1 854.8 939.4 1023.8 1108.1 1192.3 1276.4 1360.5 1444.4
12 0.16 0.12 1000.0 1060.2 1120.7 1181.5 1242.4 1303.6 1364.9 1426.3 1487.8 1549.4 1611.1
13 0.20 0.16 1960.0 2107.4 2255.2 2403.2 2551.5 2700.0 2848.6 2997.4 3146.3 3295.3 3444.4
14 0.24 0.20 2600.0 2805.6 3011.5 3217.7 3424.2 3631.0 3837.8 4044.9 4252.0 4459.3 4666.7
15 0.30 0.26 3240.0 3503.7 3767.8 4032.3 4297.0 4561.9 4827.0 5092.3 5357.7 5623.3 5888.9
16 0.36 0.32 3666.7 3969.1 4272.0 4575.3 4878.8 5182.5 5486.5 5790.6 6094.9 6399.2 6703.7
17 0.40 0.36 3880.0 4201.9 4524.1 4846.8 5169.7 5492.9 5816.2 6139.7 6463.4 6787.2 7111.1
18 0.44 0.40 4054.5 4392.3 4730.4 5068.9 5407.7 5746.8 6086.0 6425.4 6765.0 7104.7 7444.4
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
223
224 12 Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
2 2000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
3
–2000
4
–4000
5
–6000
6
7
8 –8000
9
–10000
L
2000
11
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12
–2000
13
–4000
14
15 –6000
16
17
18
–8000
–10000
L
12.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 225
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 10,000.0 9042.4 8200.0 7470.8 6838.1 6285.7 5800.0 5369.9 4986.7 4643.1
2 0.10 0.08 7600.0 7022.2 6475.9 5981.9 5539.4 5142.9 4786.5 4465.0 4173.7 3908.7
3 0.14 0.12 4857.1 4619.8 4353.8 4093.7 3848.1 3619.0 3406.4 3209.1 3025.9 2855.6
12
4 0.18 0.16 3333.3 3239.7 3098.0 2945.9 2795.0 2649.4 2510.5 2378.9 2254.4 2136.8
5 0.24 0.22 2000.0 2004.3 1950.0 1876.4 1796.1 1714.3 1633.3 1554.4 1477.9 1404.2
6 0.30 0.28 1200.0 1250.2 1238.0 1203.0 1158.2 1109.2 1058.6 1007.7 957.4 907.9
7 0.36 0.34 666.7 742.0 753.2 740.0 715.6 685.7 652.9 618.8 584.2 549.5
8 0.40 0.38 400.0 486.3 507.7 504.2 488.9 467.5 442.9 416.4 389.0 361.2
9 0.44 0.42 181.8 276.2 305.3 309.0 300.6 285.7 267.2 246.6 224.8 202.3
10 0.10 0.06 7600.0 6409.2 5472.7 4726.5 4120.3 3619.0 3198.0 2839.4 2530.5 2261.7
11 0.12 0.08 6000.0 5192.2 4515.8 3954.3 3484.1 3085.7 2744.4 2449.0 2191.0 1963.6
12 0.16 0.12 4000.0 3587.9 3200.0 2855.4 2552.4 2285.7 2050.0 1840.5 1653.3 1485.2
13 0.20 0.16 2800.0 2577.8 2337.9 2111.0 1903.0 1714.3 1543.2 1388.0 1246.8 1118.0
14 0.24 0.20 2000.0 1883.3 1729.4 1573.3 1424.6 1285.7 1157.1 1038.4 928.7 827.3
15 0.30 0.26 1200.0 1171.3 1091.6 998.6 904.0 812.0 724.2 641.2 563.0 489.4
16 0.36 0.32 666.7 686.5 649.0 592.9 530.8 467.5 405.3 345.0 287.2 232.0
17 0.40 0.36 400.0 441.0 422.2 382.9 335.6 285.7 235.5 186.1 138.2 92.0
18 0.44 0.40 181.8 238.6 233.9 207.2 171.4 131.9 91.0 50.2 10.1 28.9
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
L
12.2
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 4333.3 4052.7 3797.4 3564.1 3350.0 3152.9 2970.9 2802.3 2645.7 2499.8 2363.6
2 0.10 0.08 3666.7 3444.8 3240.8 3052.5 2878.3 2716.6 2566.1 2425.7 2294.4 2171.4 2055.9
3 0.14 0.12 2697.0 2549.0 2410.7 2281.1 2159.5 2045.2 1937.6 1836.2 1740.3 1649.6 1563.6
4 0.18 0.16 2025.6 1920.6 1821.1 1726.9 1637.7 1552.9 1472.4 1395.9 1323.0 1253.5 1187.2
5 0.24 0.22 1333.3 1265.3 1200.0 1137.4 1077.3 1019.6 964.3 911.1 860.0 810.9 763.6
6 0.30 0.28 859.6 812.7 767.1 722.9 680.1 638.7 598.5 559.7 522.2 485.8 450.6
7 0.36 0.34 515.2 481.3 448.1 415.6 383.9 352.9 322.8 293.4 264.8 236.9 209.8
8 0.40 0.38 333.3 305.7 278.3 251.4 225.0 199.1 173.7 148.9 124.7 101.0 77.9
9 0.44 0.42 179.5 156.6 133.9 111.4 89.1 67.2 45.7 24.6 3.8 16.5 36.4
10 0.10 0.06 2025.6 1816.7 1630.5 1463.5 1313.0 1176.5 1052.2 938.5 834.2 738.1 649.4
11 0.12 0.08 1761.9 1581.7 1419.8 1273.5 1140.7 1019.6 908.7 806.9 712.9 626.1 545.5
12 0.16 0.12 1333.3 1195.6 1070.1 955.4 850.0 752.9 663.2 580.1 502.9 430.9 363.6
13 0.20 0.16 1000.0 891.7 791.8 699.6 614.2 534.8 460.8 391.8 327.2 266.7 209.8
14 0.24 0.20 733.3 646.2 565.1 489.5 419.0 352.9 291.0 232.9 178.2 126.6 77.9
15 0.30 0.26 420.3 355.3 294.1 236.4 182.1 130.7 82.2 36.2 7.3 48.7 88.0
16 0.36 0.32 179.5 129.5 82.0 36.8 6.2 47.1 86.0 123.1 158.5 192.3 224.6
17 0.40 0.36 47.6 5.1 35.5 74.4 111.5 147.1 181.0 213.5 244.7 274.5 303.0
18 0.44 0.40 66.7 103.1 138.2 171.9 204.2 235.3 265.1 293.8 321.3 347.8 373.2
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
227
228 12 Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
8000
2
6000
3
4000
4
5 2000
6
7
8
9 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
–2000
L
7000
11 6000
5000
12 4000
13 3000
14 2000
15
1000
16
17
18
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
–1000
L
12.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 229
NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ Sð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ ð12:6Þ
k 0 þ ðk0 k d ÞLt
1. At the constant values of Δk ¼ k0 kd, NPV practically always decreases with
leverage; optimum in the dependence of NPV(L) is absent.
All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0 are started (at L ¼ 0) from one
point; the higher values of k0 (and, respectively, kd) correspond to lower-lying
curves NPV(L ). With growth of Δk, the density of curves NPV(L ) increases.
2. At the constant values of k0, NPV decreases with leverage; optimum in the
dependence of NPV(L ) is absent. All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of
k0 are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point; the higher values of kd (and, respectively,
the lower values of Δk) correspond to higher-lying curves NPV(L). With growth
of Δk, the density of curves NPV(L ) increases.
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV decreases with leverage; optimum in the
dependence of NPV(L ) is absent. All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of
k0 are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point; the higher values of k0 (and, respectively,
the higher values of Δk) correspond to lower-lying curves NPV(L ). With
decrease of NOI, the density of curves NPV(L) increases, and they are shifted
down (Table 12.6, Figs. 12.11 and 12.12).
Table 12.6 NOI ¼ 1200, I ¼ 2000, k0kd ¼ const
230
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 10,000.0 8907.3 7828.6 6762.8 5709.1 4666.7 3634.8 2612.8 1600.0 595.9
2 0.10 0.08 7600.0 6611.8 5630.8 4656.6 3688.9 2727.3 1771.4 821.1 124.1 1064.4
3 0.14 0.12 4857.1 3960.6 3066.7 2175.3 1286.5 400.0 484.2 1366.2 2246.2 3124.1
12
4 0.18 0.16 3333.3 2474.7 1617.4 761.3 93.6 947.4 1800.0 2651.5 3502.0 4351.5
5 0.24 0.22 2000.0 1166.9 334.4 497.6 1329.0 2160.0 2990.5 3820.5 4650.0 5479.1
6 0.30 0.28 1200.0 378.8 442.1 1262.7 2083.1 2903.2 3723.1 4542.7 5362.0 6181.1
7 0.36 0.34 666.7 148.1 962.6 1777.0 2591.3 3405.4 4219.4 5033.2 5846.8 6660.3
8 0.40 0.38 400.0 411.9 1223.8 2035.5 2847.1 3658.5 4469.9 5281.2 6092.3 6903.3
9 0.44 0.42 181.8 628.1 1437.8 2247.5 3057.1 3866.7 4676.1 5485.5 6294.7 7103.9
10 0.10 0.06 7600.0 6430.8 5288.9 4171.4 3075.9 2000.0 941.9 100.0 1127.3 2141.2
11 0.12 0.08 6000.0 4941.9 3900.0 2872.7 1858.8 857.1 133.3 1113.5 2084.2 3046.2
12 0.16 0.12 4000.0 3053.7 2114.3 1181.4 254.5 666.7 1582.6 2493.6 3400.0 4302.0
13 0.20 0.16 2800.0 1905.9 1015.4 128.3 755.6 1636.4 2514.3 3389.5 4262.1 5132.2
14 0.24 0.20 2000.0 1134.4 271.0 590.5 1450.0 2307.7 3163.6 4017.9 4870.6 5721.7
15 0.30 0.26 1200.0 357.9 483.1 1323.1 2162.0 3000.0 3837.0 4673.2 5508.4 6342.9
16 0.36 0.32 666.7 162.6 991.3 1819.4 2646.8 3473.7 4300.0 5125.8 5951.0 6775.8
17 0.40 0.36 400.0 423.8 1247.1 2069.9 2892.3 3714.3 4535.8 5357.0 6177.8 6998.2
18 0.44 0.40 181.8 637.8 1457.1 2276.1 3094.7 3913.0 4731.0 5548.7 6366.1 7183.2
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
L
12.2
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 400.0 1388.2 2369.2 3343.4 4311.1 5272.7 6228.6 7178.9 8124.1 9064.4 10,000.0
2 0.10 0.08 2000.0 2931.1 3858.1 4781.0 5700.0 6615.4 7527.3 8435.8 9341.2 10,243.5 11,142.9
3 0.14 0.12 4000.0 4874.1 5746.3 6616.9 7485.7 8352.9 9218.6 10,082.8 10,945.5 11,806.7 12,666.7
4 0.18 0.16 5200.0 6047.5 6894.1 7739.8 8584.6 9428.6 10,271.7 11,114.0 11,955.6 12,796.3 13,636.4
5 0.24 0.22 6307.7 7135.9 7963.6 8791.0 9617.9 10,444.4 11,270.6 12,096.4 12,921.7 13,746.8 14,571.4
6 0.30 0.28 7000.0 7818.6 8637.0 9455.2 10,273.2 11,090.9 11,908.4 12,725.7 13,542.9 14,359.8 15,176.5
7 0.36 0.34 7473.7 8286.9 9100.0 9913.0 10,725.8 11,538.5 12,351.0 13,163.5 13,975.8 14,787.9 15,600.0
8 0.40 0.38 7714.3 8525.1 9335.8 10,146.5 10,957.0 11,767.4 12,577.8 13,388.0 14,198.2 15,008.2 15,818.2
9 0.44 0.42 7913.0 8722.1 9531.0 10,339.9 11,148.7 11,957.4 12,766.1 13,574.7 14,383.2 15,191.6 16,000.0
10 0.10 0.06 3142.9 4133.3 5113.5 6084.2 7046.2 8000.0 8946.3 9885.7 10,818.6 11,745.5 12,666.7
11 0.12 0.08 4000.0 4946.3 5885.7 6818.6 7745.5 8666.7 9582.6 10,493.6 11,400.0 12,302.0 13,200.0
12 0.16 0.12 5200.0 6094.1 6984.6 7871.7 8755.6 9636.4 10,514.3 11,389.5 12,262.1 13,132.2 14,000.0
13 0.20 0.16 6000.0 6865.6 7729.0 8590.5 9450.0 10,307.7 11,163.6 12,017.9 12,870.6 13,721.7 14,571.4
14 0.24 0.20 6571.4 7419.7 8266.7 9112.3 9956.8 10,800.0 11,642.1 12,483.1 13,323.1 14,162.0 15,000.0
15 0.30 0.26 7176.5 8009.3 8841.4 9672.7 10503.4 11,333.3 12,162.6 12,991.3 13,819.4 14,646.8 15,473.7
16 0.36 0.32 7600.0 8423.8 9247.1 10,069.9 10,892.3 11,714.3 12,535.8 13,357.0 14,177.8 14,998.2 15,818.2
17 0.40 0.36 7818.2 8637.8 9457.1 10,276.1 11,094.7 11,913.0 12,731.0 13,548.7 14,366.1 15,183.2 16,000.0
18 0.44 0.40 8000.0 8816.5 9632.8 10,448.8 11,264.5 12,080.0 12,895.2 13,710.2 14,525.0 15,339.5 16,153.8
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
231
232 12 Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
3 5000
4
5
6
7
8 0
90 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
–5000
–10000
–15000
–20000
L
–5000
–10000
–15000
–20000
L
12.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 233
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd Dt
NPV ¼ I þ
0 WACC 1
L
B k t ð12:7Þ
1 þ L C NOIð1 t Þ
d
¼ I B
@1
Cþ
A :
L L
k0 1 t k0 1 t
1þL 1þL
1. At the constant values of Δk ¼ k0 kd, NPV demonstrates a limited growth with
leverage with output into saturation regime. The main increase in NPV occurs
when L 5 6. With growth of k0 (and kd), the сurves NPV(L ) are lowered.
Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent.
With growth of NOI, all curves NPV(L ) are shifted practically parallel
upward.
2. At the constant values of k0, NPV demonstrates a limited growth with leverage
with output into saturation regime. All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0
and different values of kd are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point; the higher values
of kd (and, respectively, the lower values of Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to higher-
lying curves NPV(L ). Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent. With
growth of NOI, all curves NPV(L) are shifted practically parallel upward.
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV shows a limited growth with leverage with
output into saturation regime. All curves NPV(L) at the constant values of k0 and
different values of kd are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point; the higher values of k0
(and, respectively, the higher values of Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to lower-lying
curves NPV(L ). Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L) is absent (Table 12.7,
Figs. 12.13 and 12.14).
Table 12.7 NOI ¼ 1200, I ¼ 2000, k0kd ¼ const
234
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 10,000.0 10,964.3 11,500.0 11,840.9 12,076.9 12,250.0 12,382.4 12,486.8 12,571.4 12,641.3
2 0.10 0.08 7600.0 8400.0 8844.4 9127.3 9323.1 9466.7 9576.5 9663.2 9733.3 9791.3
3 0.14 0.12 4857.1 5469.4 5809.5 6026.0 6175.8 6285.7 6369.7 6436.1 6489.8 6534.2
12
4 0.18 0.16 3333.3 3841.3 4123.5 4303.0 4427.4 4518.5 4588.2 4643.3 4687.8 4724.6
5 0.24 0.22 2000.0 2416.7 2648.1 2795.5 2897.4 2972.2 3029.4 3074.6 3111.1 3141.3
6 0.30 0.28 1200.0 1561.9 1763.0 1890.9 1979.5 2044.4 2094.1 2133.3 2165.1 2191.3
7 0.36 0.34 666.7 992.1 1172.8 1287.9 1367.5 1425.9 1470.6 1505.8 1534.4 1558.0
8 0.40 0.38 400.0 707.1 877.8 986.4 1061.5 1116.7 1158.8 1192.1 1219.0 1241.3
9 0.44 0.42 181.8 474.0 636.4 739.7 811.2 863.6 903.7 935.4 961.0 982.2
10 0.10 0.06 7600.0 8371.4 8800.0 9072.7 9261.5 9400.0 9505.9 9589.5 9657.1 9713.0
11 0.12 0.08 6000.0 6666.7 7037.0 7272.7 7435.9 7555.6 7647.1 7719.3 7777.8 7826.1
12 0.16 0.12 4000.0 4535.7 4833.3 5022.7 5153.8 5250.0 5323.5 5381.6 5428.6 5467.4
13 0.20 0.16 2800.0 3257.1 3511.1 3672.7 3784.6 3866.7 3929.4 3978.9 4019.0 4052.2
14 0.24 0.20 2000.0 2404.8 2629.6 2772.7 2871.8 2944.4 3000.0 3043.9 3079.4 3108.7
15 0.30 0.26 1200.0 1552.4 1748.1 1872.7 1959.0 2022.2 2070.6 2108.8 2139.7 2165.2
16 0.36 0.32 666.7 984.1 1160.5 1272.7 1350.4 1407.4 1451.0 1485.4 1513.2 1536.2
17 0.40 0.36 400.0 700.0 866.7 972.7 1046.2 1100.0 1141.2 1173.7 1200.0 1221.7
18 0.44 0.40 181.8 467.5 626.3 727.3 797.2 848.5 887.7 918.7 943.7 964.4
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
L
12.2
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 12,700.0 12,750.0 12,793.1 12,830.6 12,863.6 12,892.9 12,918.9 12,942.3 12,963.4 12,982.6 13,000.0
2 0.10 0.08 9840.0 9881.5 9917.2 9948.4 9975.8 10,000.0 10,021.6 10,041.0 10,058.5 10,074.4 10,088.9
3 0.14 0.12 6571.4 6603.2 6630.5 6654.4 6675.3 6693.9 6710.4 6725.3 6738.7 6750.8 6761.9
4 0.18 0.16 4755.6 4781.9 4804.6 4824.4 4841.8 4857.1 4870.9 4883.2 4894.3 4904.4 4913.6
5 0.24 0.22 3166.7 3188.3 3206.9 3223.1 3237.4 3250.0 3261.3 3271.4 3280.5 3288.8 3296.3
6 0.30 0.28 2213.3 2232.1 2248.3 2262.4 2274.7 2285.7 2295.5 2304.3 2312.2 2319.4 2325.9
7 0.36 0.34 1577.8 1594.7 1609.2 1621.9 1633.0 1642.9 1651.7 1659.5 1666.7 1673.1 1679.0
8 0.40 0.38 1260.0 1275.9 1289.7 1301.6 1312.1 1321.4 1329.7 1337.2 1343.9 1350.0 1355.6
9 0.44 0.42 1000.0 1015.2 1028.2 1039.6 1049.6 1058.4 1066.3 1073.4 1079.8 1085.6 1090.9
10 0.10 0.06 9760.0 9800.0 9834.5 9864.5 9890.9 9914.3 9935.1 9953.8 9970.7 9986.0 10,000.0
11 0.12 0.08 7866.7 7901.2 7931.0 7957.0 7979.8 8000.0 8018.0 8034.2 8048.8 8062.0 8074.1
12 0.16 0.12 5500.0 5527.8 5551.7 5572.6 5590.9 5607.1 5621.6 5634.6 5646.3 5657.0 5666.7
13 0.20 0.16 4080.0 4103.7 4124.1 4141.9 4157.6 4171.4 4183.8 4194.9 4204.9 4214.0 4222.2
14 0.24 0.20 3133.3 3154.3 3172.4 3188.2 3202.0 3214.3 3225.2 3235.0 3243.9 3251.9 3259.3
15 0.30 0.26 2186.7 2204.9 2220.7 2234.4 2246.5 2257.1 2266.7 2275.2 2282.9 2289.9 2296.3
16 0.36 0.32 1555.6 1572.0 1586.2 1598.6 1609.4 1619.0 1627.6 1635.3 1642.3 1648.6 1654.3
17 0.40 0.36 1240.0 1255.6 1269.0 1280.6 1290.9 1300.0 1308.1 1315.4 1322.0 1327.9 1333.3
18 0.44 0.40 981.8 996.6 1009.4 1020.5 1030.3 1039.0 1046.7 1053.6 1059.9 1065.5 1070.7
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
235
236 12 Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
2 10000
8000
3
6000
4
4000
5
6
7 2000
8
9
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
10 10000
11 8000
12
6000
13
4000
14
15
16 2000
17
18
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
12.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 237
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 0.0 187.5 388.9 596.6 807.7 1020.8 1235.3 1450.7 1666.7 1883.2
2 0.10 0.08 200.0 128.6 44.4 45.5 138.5 233.3 329.4 426.3 523.8 621.7
3 0.14 0.12 428.6 489.8 539.7 584.4 626.4 666.7 705.9 744.4 782.3 819.9
12
4 0.18 0.16 555.6 690.5 814.8 934.3 1051.3 1166.7 1281.0 1394.7 1507.9 1620.8
5 0.24 0.22 666.7 866.1 1055.6 1240.5 1423.1 1604.2 1784.3 1963.8 2142.9 2321.6
6 0.30 0.28 733.3 971.4 1200.0 1424.2 1646.2 1866.7 2086.3 2305.3 2523.8 2742.0
7 0.36 0.34 777.8 1041.7 1296.3 1546.7 1794.9 2041.7 2287.6 2532.9 2777.8 3022.3
8 0.40 0.38 800.0 1076.8 1344.4 1608.0 1869.2 2129.2 2388.2 2646.7 2904.8 3162.5
9 0.44 0.42 818.2 1105.5 1383.8 1658.1 1930.1 2200.8 2470.6 2739.8 3008.7 3277.2
10 0.10 0.06 200.0 150.0 88.9 22.7 46.2 116.7 188.2 260.5 333.3 406.5
11 0.12 0.08 333.3 357.1 370.4 378.8 384.6 388.9 392.2 394.7 396.8 398.6
12 0.16 0.12 500.0 616.1 722.2 823.9 923.1 1020.8 1117.6 1213.8 1309.5 1404.9
13 0.20 0.16 600.0 771.4 933.3 1090.9 1246.2 1400.0 1552.9 1705.3 1857.1 2008.7
14 0.24 0.20 666.7 875.0 1074.1 1268.9 1461.5 1652.8 1843.1 2032.9 2222.2 2411.2
15 0.30 0.26 733.3 978.6 1214.8 1447.0 1676.9 1905.6 2133.3 2360.5 2587.3 2813.8
16 0.36 0.32 777.8 1047.6 1308.6 1565.7 1820.5 2074.1 2326.8 2578.9 2830.7 3082.1
17 0.40 0.36 800.0 1082.1 1355.6 1625.0 1892.3 2158.3 2423.5 2688.2 2952.4 3216.3
18 0.44 0.40 818.2 1110.4 1393.9 1673.6 1951.0 2227.3 2502.7 2777.5 3051.9 3326.1
Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
L
12.2
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 2100.0 2317.1 2534.5 2752.0 2969.7 3187.5 3405.4 3623.4 3841.5 4059.6 4277.8
2 0.10 0.08 720.0 818.5 917.2 1016.1 1115.2 1214.3 1313.5 1412.8 1512.2 1611.6 1711.1
3 0.14 0.12 857.1 894.2 931.0 967.7 1004.3 1040.8 1077.2 1113.6 1149.8 1186.0 1222.2
4 0.18 0.16 1733.3 1845.7 1957.9 2069.9 2181.8 2293.7 2405.4 2517.1 2628.7 2740.3 2851.9
5 0.24 0.22 2500.0 2678.2 2856.3 3034.3 3212.1 3389.9 3567.6 3745.2 3922.8 4100.3 4277.8
6 0.30 0.28 2960.0 3177.8 3395.4 3612.9 3830.3 4047.6 4264.9 4482.1 4699.2 4916.3 5133.3
7 0.36 0.34 3266.7 3510.8 3754.8 3998.7 4242.4 4486.1 4729.7 4973.3 5216.8 5460.3 5703.7
8 0.40 0.38 3420.0 3677.3 3934.5 4191.5 4448.5 4705.4 4962.2 5218.9 5475.6 5732.3 5988.9
9 0.44 0.42 3545.5 3813.6 4081.5 4349.3 4617.1 4884.7 5152.3 5419.9 5687.4 5954.8 6222.2
10 0.10 0.06 480.0 553.7 627.6 701.6 775.8 850.0 924.3 998.7 1073.2 1147.7 1222.2
11 0.12 0.08 400.0 401.2 402.3 403.2 404.0 404.8 405.4 406.0 406.5 407.0 407.4
12 0.16 0.12 1500.0 1594.9 1689.7 1784.3 1878.8 1973.2 2067.6 2161.9 2256.1 2350.3 2444.4
13 0.20 0.16 2160.0 2311.1 2462.1 2612.9 2763.6 2914.3 3064.9 3215.4 3365.9 3516.3 3666.7
14 0.24 0.20 2600.0 2788.6 2977.0 3165.3 3353.5 3541.7 3729.7 3917.7 4105.7 4293.6 4481.5
15 0.30 0.26 3040.0 3266.0 3492.0 3717.7 3943.4 4169.0 4394.6 4620.1 4845.5 5070.9 5296.3
16 0.36 0.32 3333.3 3584.4 3835.2 4086.0 4336.7 4587.3 4837.8 5088.3 5338.8 5589.1 5839.5
17 0.40 0.36 3480.0 3743.5 4006.9 4270.2 4533.3 4796.4 5059.5 5322.4 5585.4 5848.3 6111.1
18 0.44 0.40 3600.0 3873.7 4147.3 4420.8 4694.2 4967.5 5240.8 5514.0 5787.1 6060.3 6333.3
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
239
240 12 Influence of Debt Financing on the Efficiency of Investment Projects:. . .
2 2000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
3
–2000
4
–4000
5
6
7
8 –6000
9
–8000
L
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1111
–1000
–2000
12
–3000
13
–4000
14
–5000
15
16 –6000
17
18
–7000
L
References 241
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Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Chapter 13
The Analysis of the Exploration
of Efficiency of Investment Projects
of Arbitrary Duration (Within
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory)
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 711.9 700.7 686.2 670.6 654.6 638.5 622.4 606.5 590.8 575.3
2 0.10 0.08 666.6 660.2 649.4 637.0 623.9 610.5 597.0 583.6 570.2 556.9
3 0.14 0.12 580.9 581.9 576.5 568.5 559.4 549.6 539.5 529.3 519.0 508.7
13
4 0.18 0.16 503.0 510.6 509.8 505.7 499.9 493.4 486.3 478.9 471.3 463.7
5 0.24 0.22 398.5 414.0 418.6 418.9 417.1 414.0 410.2 406.0 401.4 396.6
6 0.30 0.28 306.5 328.6 337.3 340.6 344.0 344.2 343.5 342.3 340.6 338.6
7 0.36 0.34 225.0 251.3 264.7 272.0 276.4 279.0 280.5 281.3 281.6 283.5
8 0.40 0.38 175.6 206.1 221.0 229.6 235.1 236.2 238.8 240.6 242.0 242.9
9 0.44 0.42 129.7 163.0 179.5 189.5 196.1 200.7 204.3 207.0 209.1 210.9
10 0.10 0.06 666.6 635.3 602.0 568.7 536.1 504.4 473.6 443.9 415.2 387.5
11 0.12 0.08 622.6 596.5 567.1 537.1 507.3 478.2 449.9 422.4 395.7 369.9
12 0.16 0.12 541.1 524.3 501.8 477.7 453.2 428.8 404.8 381.4 358.4 336.1
13 0.20 0.16 466.2 456.8 441.5 422.5 402.5 382.2 362.1 342.1 322.5 303.2
14 0.24 0.20 398.5 396.6 385.1 370.2 353.8 336.9 319.7 302.6 285.6 268.9
15 0.30 0.26 306.5 313.4 308.1 298.0 285.9 275.8 263.0 249.9 236.7 223.6
16 0.36 0.32 225.0 237.9 238.8 234.1 226.8 218.2 208.7 198.8 188.6 178.3
17 0.40 0.36 175.6 193.9 197.2 194.7 189.3 179.9 172.2 164.0 155.5 146.7
18 0.44 0.40 129.7 151.7 157.5 157.1 153.7 148.5 142.4 135.6 128.5 121.1
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
L
13.1
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 560.0 544.9 530.1 515.5 501.1 487.0 473.1 459.4 445.9 432.7 419.7
2 0.10 0.08 543.7 525.7 512.5 499.5 486.6 474.0 461.5 449.2 437.1 425.1 413.4
3 0.14 0.12 498.4 488.2 478.0 468.0 458.0 448.1 438.3 428.6 419.0 409.5 400.1
4 0.18 0.16 455.9 448.2 440.4 432.6 424.9 417.2 409.6 402.0 394.4 386.9 379.5
5 0.24 0.22 391.7 386.6 381.5 376.3 371.1 365.9 360.7 355.4 350.2 345.0 339.8
6 0.30 0.28 336.3 334.0 331.5 328.9 326.2 323.4 320.7 317.8 315.0 312.1 309.2
7 0.36 0.34 284.4 280.7 280.0 279.1 278.2 277.2 276.1 274.9 273.7 272.5 271.2
8 0.40 0.38 243.5 244.0 244.2 244.3 244.3 244.2 244.0 243.7 243.4 243.1 242.7
9 0.44 0.42 212.4 213.6 214.6 215.5 216.3 217.0 217.6 218.2 218.6 219.1 219.4
10 0.10 0.06 360.7 334.8 309.8 285.6 262.2 239.6 217.7 196.5 176.0 156.1 136.9
11 0.12 0.08 344.9 320.6 297.2 274.5 252.5 231.1 210.5 190.4 171.0 152.2 133.9
12 0.16 0.12 314.4 293.2 272.7 252.7 233.3 214.4 196.0 178.1 160.8 143.9 127.4
13 0.20 0.16 284.4 266.0 248.1 230.6 213.5 196.8 180.5 164.6 149.1 134.0 119.3
14 0.24 0.20 252.4 236.2 220.4 204.9 189.7 174.9 160.3 146.1 132.2 118.6 105.3
15 0.30 0.26 210.6 197.7 185.0 172.5 160.1 148.0 136.1 124.4 112.9 101.6 90.5
16 0.36 0.32 168.0 155.9 145.7 140.4 127.2 117.2 107.4 97.7 88.1 78.7 69.4
17 0.40 0.36 137.9 129.0 120.2 111.3 102.6 93.9 85.2 76.7 68.3 59.9 51.7
18 0.44 0.40 113.6 106.0 98.3 90.7 83.0 75.4 67.9 60.4 53.0 45.6 38.3
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
245
246 13 The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
3
600
4 500
5 400
6 300
7
8
200
9
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
14 400
15 300
16
200
17
18
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
2. At the constant values of k0, NPV practically always decreases with leverage.
Higher values of kd (at the same value of k0) correspond to higher-lying curves
NPV(L ). At small leverage levels L at high value of k0 (36–40%), there is an
optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ).
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV practically always decreases with
leverage. Higher values of k0 (at the same value of kd) correspond to lower-
lying curves NPV(L ). At small leverage levels L for some pairs of values k0
and kd [e.g., k0 (18%) and kd (16%)], there is an optimum in the dependence of
NPV(L ).
At the Constant Equity Value (S ¼ Const)
For NPV in this case, the following expression has been obtained (Brusov and
Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b)
(Table 13.2; Figs. 13.3 and 13.4):
1 1
NPV ¼ S 1 þ L ð1 t Þ 1 n þ n
ð1 þ k d Þ ð1 þ kd Þ ð13:2Þ
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
ke ð1 þ k e Þn
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 1.4 7.3 23.6 50.0 86.1 131.8 186.8 250.8 323.5 404.7
2 0.10 0.08 27.8 41.4 63.8 94.9 134.4 182.1 237.9 301.5 372.8 451.5
3 0.14 0.12 77.8 107.4 143.9 187.3 237.3 294.0 357.0 426.4 501.9 583.5
13
4 0.18 0.16 123.2 167.5 217.2 272.2 332.3 397.5 467.8 542.9 623.0 707.8
5 0.24 0.22 184.2 249.1 317.6 389.7 465.4 544.7 627.4 713.6 803.2 896.1
6 0.30 0.28 237.9 321.3 407.4 496.3 583.0 674.4 767.7 862.9 960.2 1059.3
7 0.36 0.34 285.4 386.7 487.6 589.6 692.5 796.5 901.4 1007.3 1114.3 1216.1
8 0.40 0.38 314.2 424.8 535.9 647.5 759.5 877.3 990.8 1104.8 1219.3 1334.3
9 0.44 0.42 341.0 461.4 581.9 702.4 822.9 943.5 1064.0 1184.7 1305.3 1426.0
10 0.10 0.06 27.8 64.5 121.8 198.6 293.5 405.7 534.0 677.6 835.6 1007.3
11 0.12 0.08 53.5 97.1 159.8 240.6 338.4 452.2 581.2 724.6 881.6 1051.5
12 0.16 0.12 101.1 157.8 231.0 319.7 423.1 540.6 671.4 814.8 970.3 1137.3
13 0.20 0.16 144.7 214.6 296.8 393.4 502.8 624.4 757.7 902.1 1057.2 1222.4
14 0.24 0.20 184.2 265.3 358.6 463.6 579.9 706.9 844.3 991.6 1148.5 1314.5
15 0.30 0.26 237.9 335.4 443.1 560.7 688.0 818.1 960.5 1111.1 1269.5 1435.4
16 0.36 0.32 285.4 399.1 519.3 647.0 782.0 924.2 1073.2 1229.0 1391.2 1559.8
17 0.40 0.36 314.2 436.2 565.0 700.4 842.1 995.4 1150.0 1310.5 1476.8 1648.7
18 0.44 0.40 341.0 471.9 608.7 751.3 899.4 1053.0 1212.0 1376.1 1545.3 1719.4
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
L
13.1
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 494.2 591.7 697.1 810.2 930.6 1058.3 1193.0 1334.6 1482.9 1637.7 1798.8
2 0.10 0.08 537.5 649.7 752.6 862.5 979.1 1102.3 1232.0 1367.9 1510.0 1658.0 1811.9
3 0.14 0.12 671.0 764.3 863.3 967.9 1077.9 1193.3 1314.0 1439.8 1570.7 1706.5 1847.2
4 0.18 0.16 797.3 891.4 990.0 1093.1 1200.7 1312.5 1428.6 1548.9 1673.4 1801.8 1934.3
5 0.24 0.22 992.4 1092.0 1194.8 1300.8 1410.0 1522.3 1637.8 1756.3 1877.8 2002.3 2129.7
6 0.30 0.28 1160.4 1263.4 1368.4 1475.2 1583.8 1694.4 1806.8 1921.0 2037.0 2154.9 2274.5
7 0.36 0.34 1320.0 1441.0 1551.9 1663.7 1776.6 1890.4 2005.2 2120.9 2237.6 2355.3 2473.9
8 0.40 0.38 1449.8 1565.7 1682.1 1799.0 1916.3 2034.1 2152.4 2271.2 2390.5 2510.2 2630.3
9 0.44 0.42 1546.7 1667.4 1788.2 1909.0 2029.8 2150.6 2271.5 2392.4 2513.3 2634.2 2755.2
10 0.10 0.06 1191.8 1388.5 1596.8 1816.0 2045.5 2284.9 2533.7 2791.3 3057.4 3331.6 3613.4
11 0.12 0.08 1233.5 1427.2 1631.8 1846.9 2071.9 2306.4 2549.9 2801.9 3062.1 3330.1 3605.5
12 0.16 0.12 1315.2 1503.5 1701.8 1909.6 2126.4 2352.0 2585.8 2827.5 3076.8 3333.3 3596.8
13 0.20 0.16 1397.5 1581.9 1775.2 1977.2 2187.4 2405.4 2631.1 2864.1 3104.0 3350.7 3603.9
14 0.24 0.20 1489.3 1672.5 1863.9 2063.1 2269.8 2483.7 2704.6 2932.2 3166.3 3406.6 3653.0
15 0.30 0.26 1608.7 1789.0 1976.2 2169.9 2370.1 2576.4 2788.8 3006.9 3230.7 3459.9 3694.4
16 0.36 0.32 1734.5 1922.0 2108.6 2279.8 2491.2 2694.0 2902.0 3115.0 3332.9 3555.6 3782.8
17 0.40 0.36 1826.0 2008.5 2196.3 2389.1 2586.7 2789.2 2996.3 3207.9 3424.0 3644.3 3868.9
18 0.44 0.40 1898.3 2082.0 2270.2 2463.0 2660.1 2861.5 3067.1 3276.7 3490.4 3708.0 3929.4
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
249
250 13 The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
–500
–1000
–1500
1
2
3
4 –2000
5
6
7 –2500
8
9
–3000
L
–1000
–1500
–2000
–2500
10
–3000
11
12
13 –3500
14
15
16
17 –4000
18
–4500
L
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 711.9 740.5 752.6 759.1 763.1 765.8 767.8 769.2 770.4 771.3
2 0.10 0.08 666.6 699.5 713.0 720.2 724.6 727.5 729.6 731.1 732.3 733.3
3 0.14 0.12 580.9 621.2 637.3 645.7 650.7 654.0 656.3 658.1 659.4 660.4
4 0.18 0.16 503.0 549.5 567.7 577.0 582.5 586.1 588.6 590.4 591.8 592.9
5 0.24 0.22 398.5 452.1 472.8 483.1 489.1 492.9 495.6 497.5 498.9 500.0
6 0.30 0.28 306.5 365.7 387.9 398.9 405.6 409.6 412.3 414.2 415.6 416.7
7 0.36 0.34 225.0 287.8 311.9 323.5 330.0 334.1 336.8 338.8 340.2 341.3
8 0.40 0.38 175.6 241.2 265.5 277.3 283.8 287.6 290.3 292.3 293.7 294.7
9 0.44 0.42 129.7 197.2 222.0 233.9 240.4 244.5 247.1 248.9 250.3 251.3
10 0.10 0.06 666.6 706.0 723.5 733.3 739.5 743.8 746.9 749.3 751.2 752.7
11 0.12 0.08 622.6 666.0 684.8 695.2 701.8 706.2 709.5 712.0 713.9 715.5
12 0.16 0.12 541.1 591.1 612.2 623.6 630.6 635.4 638.8 641.4 643.4 645.0
13 0.20 0.16 466.2 521.6 545.1 557.3 564.7 569.7 573.2 575.9 577.9 579.5
14 0.24 0.20 398.5 458.5 482.8 495.6 503.3 508.4 512.0 514.6 516.7 518.3
15 0.30 0.26 306.5 371.9 397.7 411.0 418.9 424.4 428.1 430.7 432.8 434.4
16 0.36 0.32 225.0 293.7 321.3 335.1 343.2 348.5 352.1 354.7 356.7 358.2
17 0.40 0.36 175.6 247.1 274.7 288.6 296.7 301.5 305.1 307.7 309.7 311.2
18 0.44 0.40 129.7 202.9 231.0 244.9 253.0 258.1 261.6 264.1 265.9 267.4
(continued)
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
251
Table 13.3 (continued)
252
L
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 772.1 772.7 773.2 773.7 774.1 774.4 774.7 775.0 775.2 775.4 775.6
2 0.10 0.08 734.1 734.4 734.9 735.4 735.8 736.1 736.5 736.7 737.0 737.2 737.4
3 0.14 0.12 661.3 661.9 662.5 663.0 663.4 663.8 664.1 664.4 664.7 664.9 665.1
13
4 0.18 0.16 593.7 594.4 595.0 595.5 596.0 596.3 596.7 597.0 597.2 597.4 597.6
5 0.24 0.22 500.9 501.6 502.2 502.7 503.2 503.5 503.8 504.1 504.4 504.6 504.8
6 0.30 0.28 417.6 418.3 418.9 419.4 419.8 420.1 420.4 420.7 420.9 421.1 421.3
7 0.36 0.34 342.2 342.7 343.3 343.7 344.1 344.4 344.7 344.9 345.1 345.3 345.4
8 0.40 0.38 295.5 296.2 296.7 297.1 297.5 297.8 298.0 298.2 298.4 298.6 298.7
9 0.44 0.42 252.0 252.6 253.1 253.5 253.8 254.1 254.3 254.5 254.7 254.8 254.9
10 0.10 0.06 754.0 755.1 755.9 756.7 757.4 758.0 758.5 759.0 759.4 759.7 760.1
11 0.12 0.08 716.8 717.8 718.7 719.5 720.2 720.8 721.3 721.8 722.2 722.6 722.9
12 0.16 0.12 646.3 647.4 648.4 649.2 649.8 650.4 651.0 651.4 651.8 652.2 652.6
13 0.20 0.16 580.9 582.0 582.9 583.7 584.3 584.9 585.5 585.9 586.3 586.7 587.0
14 0.24 0.20 519.6 520.7 521.6 522.4 523.1 523.6 524.1 524.6 525.0 525.4 525.7
15 0.30 0.26 435.6 436.7 437.6 438.3 438.9 439.5 440.0 440.4 440.8 441.1 441.4
16 0.36 0.32 359.4 360.3 361.2 362.1 362.6 363.1 363.5 363.9 364.2 364.5 364.8
17 0.40 0.36 312.4 313.4 314.2 314.9 315.4 315.9 316.4 316.7 317.1 317.3 317.6
18 0.44 0.40 268.5 269.4 270.2 270.8 271.3 271.8 272.2 272.5 272.8 273.1 273.3
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
13.1 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 253
4 600
5 500
6
400
7
8 300
9
200
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
13 600
14
500
15
400
16
17
300
18
200
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
I k d ð1 t Þ 1 L
NPV ¼ 1þL 1 þ
1þL WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn ð1 þ WACCÞn
ð13:3Þ
NOIð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
small values of leverage levels L 3. With growth of k0 (and kd), the сurves NPV
(L ) are lowered. Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L) is absent.
2. At the constant values of k0, NPV demonstrates a limited growth with leverage
with output into saturation regime. All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0
and different values of kd are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point, and the higher
values of kd (and, respectively, the lower values of Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to
lower-lying curves NPV(L ). Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent.
With growth of NOI, all curves NPV(L ) are shifted practically parallel upward.
It is of interest the crossing of individual curves NPV(L) at certain leverage
levels. This means the equivalence of projects with different pairs of k0 and kd at
this leverage level [see, e.g., n ¼ 7; L ¼ 2.5; (k0 and kd) ¼ (18;14) and (24;10)].
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV shows a limited growth with leverage with
output into saturation regime. All curves NPV(L) at the constant values of k0 and
different values of kd are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point, and the higher values
of k0 (and, respectively, the higher values of Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to lower-
lying curves NPV(L ). Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent. The
crossing of individual curves NPV(L ) at certain leverage levels (like point 2) was
not observed up to 10-year projects.
At a Constant Equity Value (S ¼ Const)
For NPV in this case, the following expression has been obtained (Brusov
and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b)
(Table 13.4; Figs. 13.7 and 13.8):
Lk d ð1 t Þ 1 L
NPV ¼ S 1 þ 1 n þ
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞ ð1 þ WACCÞn
ð13:4Þ
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 1.4 32.9 62.7 90.6 117.5 143.9 170.0 195.9 221.6 247.1
2 0.10 0.08 27.8 2.5 16.9 33.8 49.6 64.6 79.2 93.5 107.6 121.5
3 0.14 0.12 77.8 69.8 70.1 73.7 79.1 85.4 92.4 99.8 107.4 115.3
4 0.18 0.16 123.2 131.6 150.2 173.0 198.0 224.2 251.2 278.8 306.7 335.0
5 0.24 0.22 184.2 215.3 259.2 308.4 360.4 413.9 468.4 523.6 579.3 635.3
6 0.30 0.28 237.9 289.8 356.6 429.7 505.9 584.2 663.6 743.8 824.6 905.8
7 0.36 0.34 285.4 356.7 444.0 538.7 637.0 737.6 839.5 942.3 1045.8 1150.1
8 0.40 0.38 314.2 396.9 497.4 605.4 717.3 831.3 946.9 1063.6 1180.9 1298.7
9 0.44 0.42 341.0 434.8 547.3 667.9 792.6 919.7 1048.4 1178.1 1308.6 1439.6
10 0.10 0.06 27.8 9.6 42.6 73.7 103.9 133.7 163.0 192.2 221.2 250.1
11 0.12 0.08 53.5 25.0 2.2 18.2 37.4 56.0 74.1 92.0 109.6 127.1
12 0.16 0.12 101.1 89.8 86.4 86.4 88.0 90.6 93.8 97.3 101.2 105.3
13 0.20 0.16 144.7 149.8 164.2 183.1 204.2 226.5 249.5 273.1 297.0 321.2
14 0.24 0.20 184.2 204.4 236.3 273.0 312.2 352.8 394.3 436.4 478.9 521.8
15 0.30 0.26 237.9 279.4 334.8 396.0 460.2 526.1 593.2 661.0 729.3 798.1
16 0.36 0.32 285.4 346.8 423.3 506.6 593.5 682.4 772.6 863.6 955.2 1047.3
17 0.40 0.36 314.2 387.3 477.3 574.4 675.2 778.0 882.2 987.5 1093.4 1199.7
18 0.44 0.40 341.0 425.5 527.9 637.9 751.8 868.1 985.8 1104.5 1223.9 1343.8
(continued)
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
255
Table 13.4 (continued)
256
L
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 272.6 298.1 323.4 348.8 374.1 399.3 424.6 449.8 475.0 500.2 525.4
2 0.10 0.08 135.3 149.4 163.1 176.8 190.4 204.1 217.6 231.2 244.7 258.2 271.7
3 0.14 0.12 123.4 131.6 139.8 148.2 156.6 165.1 173.6 182.2 190.8 199.4 208.0
13
4 0.18 0.16 363.4 391.9 420.6 449.4 478.3 507.2 536.2 565.3 594.4 623.5 652.7
5 0.24 0.22 691.5 748.0 804.6 861.4 918.2 975.2 1032.2 1089.2 1146.3 1203.5 1260.7
6 0.30 0.28 987.4 1069.1 1151.1 1233.2 1315.5 1397.8 1480.2 1562.7 1645.3 1727.9 1810.6
7 0.36 0.34 1254.7 1358.6 1463.4 1568.4 1673.5 1778.7 1884.1 1989.5 2094.9 2200.5 2306.1
8 0.40 0.38 1417.0 1535.5 1654.3 1773.3 1892.5 2011.7 2131.1 2250.6 2370.1 2489.7 2609.4
9 0.44 0.42 1571.0 1702.7 1834.7 1966.9 2099.3 2231.8 2364.4 2497.1 2629.8 2762.7 2895.6
10 0.10 0.06 278.9 307.6 336.3 365.0 393.6 422.1 450.7 479.2 507.8 536.3 564.8
11 0.12 0.08 144.5 161.8 179.1 196.3 213.4 230.5 247.6 264.6 281.7 298.7 315.7
12 0.16 0.12 109.5 113.9 118.3 122.9 127.5 132.1 136.8 141.5 146.2 151.0 155.8
13 0.20 0.16 345.6 370.1 394.7 419.5 444.3 469.2 494.2 519.2 544.2 569.3 594.4
14 0.24 0.20 564.9 608.1 651.5 695.1 738.7 782.4 826.1 869.9 913.8 957.7 1001.6
15 0.30 0.26 867.1 936.3 1005.7 1075.3 1145.0 1214.7 1284.6 1354.5 1424.5 1494.5 1564.6
16 0.36 0.32 1139.8 1232.0 1324.9 1419.3 1511.6 1604.9 1698.3 1791.8 1885.3 1978.9 2072.5
17 0.40 0.36 1306.5 1413.5 1520.8 1628.3 1735.9 1843.6 1951.4 2059.3 2167.3 2275.3 2383.4
18 0.44 0.40 1464.2 1584.8 1705.6 1826.7 1947.9 2069.2 2190.7 2312.2 2433.8 2555.5 2677.2
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
13.1 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 257
–1000
5
–1500
6
–2000
7
–2500
8
9
–3000
–3500
L
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 11
13
–500
14 –1000
15 –1500
16 –2000
17
–2500
18
–3000
L
2. At the constant values of kd, NPV shows two types of behavior: (a) an
unlimited growth with leverage and (b) NPV reaching maximum at relatively
low leverage level (L < 1) following then by an unlimited descend with
leverage.
258 13 The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
NPV grows with leverage at a credit rate kd < 8 10 % , and NPV decreases
with leverage at a credit rate kd < 8 10% (project remains effective up to
leverage levels L ¼ L0, NPV(L0) ¼ 0). All curves NPV(L ) at the constant values
of k0 and different values of kd are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point, and the
higher values of k0 (and higher values of Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to more
low-lying curves NPV(L). Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent. This
is observed for projects of all analyzed duration frames. The first type of depen-
dence of NPV(L) has a place mainly for pairs of values k0 and kd up to 16–18%,
while the second type has a place for higher pairs of values k0 and kd
irrespectively of the duration of the project.
Thus, for the projects of all analyzed durations, the second type of dependence
of NPV(L ) has a place for kd ¼ 16 % ; k0 ¼ 18 % 24 % ; kd ¼ 20 % ;
k0 ¼ 24 % 44 % ; kd ¼ 24 % ; k0 ¼ 30 % 44 % ; in the case of a 2-year
project, another pair (kd ¼ 12 % ; k0 ¼ 14%) is added.
3. At the constant values of k0, NPV as well as in case of constant values of Δk ¼ k0 kd
shows as an unlimited growth with leverage and unlimited descending with
leverage. An analysis of the data leads to the same conclusion that, in paragraph
(1), at an arbitrary duration of a project, NPV is growing with leverage at the credit
rate kd < 18 % , and NPV decreases with leverage at a credit rate kd < 18% (project
remains effective up to leverage levels L ¼ L0, NPV(L0) ¼ 0).
It should be noted that this pattern should be taken into account by the
regulator which should regulate normative base in such a way that credit rates,
which are associated with the Central Bank basic rate, do not exceed, say, 18%.
All curves NPV(L) at the constant values of k0 and different values of kd are
started (at L ¼ 0) from one point, and the higher values of kd (and lower values of
Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to more low-lying curves NPV(L ). Optimum in the
dependence of NPV(L ) is absent.
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 711.9 700.7 686.2 670.6 654.6 638.5 622.4 606.5 590.8 575.3
2 0.10 0.08 666.6 660.2 649.4 637.0 623.9 610.5 597.0 583.6 570.2 556.9
3 0.14 0.12 580.9 581.9 576.5 568.5 559.4 549.6 539.5 529.3 519.0 508.7
4 0.18 0.16 503.0 510.6 509.8 505.7 499.9 493.4 486.3 478.9 471.3 463.7
5 0.24 0.22 398.5 414.0 418.6 418.9 417.1 414.0 410.2 406.0 401.4 396.6
6 0.30 0.28 306.5 328.6 337.3 340.6 344.0 344.2 343.5 342.3 340.6 338.6
7 0.36 0.34 225.0 251.3 264.7 272.0 276.4 279.0 280.5 281.3 281.6 283.5
8 0.40 0.38 175.6 206.1 221.0 229.6 235.1 236.2 238.8 240.6 242.0 242.9
9 0.44 0.42 129.7 163.0 179.5 189.5 196.1 200.7 204.3 207.0 209.1 210.9
10 0.10 0.06 666.6 635.3 602.0 568.7 536.1 504.4 473.6 443.9 415.2 387.5
11 0.12 0.08 622.6 596.5 567.1 537.1 507.3 478.2 449.9 422.4 395.7 369.9
12 0.16 0.12 541.1 524.3 501.8 477.7 453.2 428.8 404.8 381.4 358.4 336.1
13 0.20 0.16 466.2 456.8 441.5 422.5 402.5 382.2 362.1 342.1 322.5 303.2
14 0.24 0.20 398.5 396.6 385.1 370.2 353.8 336.9 319.7 302.6 285.6 268.9
15 0.30 0.26 306.5 313.4 308.1 298.0 285.9 275.8 263.0 249.9 236.7 223.6
16 0.36 0.32 225.0 237.9 238.8 234.1 226.8 218.2 208.7 198.8 188.6 178.3
17 0.40 0.36 175.6 193.9 197.2 194.7 189.3 179.9 172.2 164.0 155.5 146.7
18 0.44 0.40 129.7 151.7 157.5 157.1 153.7 148.5 142.4 135.6 128.5 121.1
(continued)
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
259
Table 13.5 (continued)
260
L
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 560.0 544.9 530.1 515.5 501.1 487.0 473.1 459.4 445.9 432.7 419.7
2 0.10 0.08 543.7 525.7 512.5 499.5 486.6 474.0 461.5 449.2 437.1 425.1 413.4
3 0.14 0.12 498.4 488.2 478.0 468.0 458.0 448.1 438.3 428.6 419.0 409.5 400.1
13
4 0.18 0.16 455.9 448.2 440.4 432.6 424.9 417.2 409.6 402.0 394.4 386.9 379.5
5 0.24 0.22 391.7 386.6 381.5 376.3 371.1 365.9 360.7 355.4 350.2 345.0 339.8
6 0.30 0.28 336.3 334.0 331.5 328.9 326.2 323.4 320.7 317.8 315.0 312.1 309.2
7 0.36 0.34 284.4 280.7 280.0 279.1 278.2 277.2 276.1 274.9 273.7 272.5 271.2
8 0.40 0.38 243.5 244.0 244.2 244.3 244.3 244.2 244.0 243.7 243.4 243.1 242.7
9 0.44 0.42 212.4 213.6 214.6 215.5 216.3 217.0 217.6 218.2 218.6 219.1 219.4
10 0.10 0.06 360.7 334.8 309.8 285.6 262.2 239.6 217.7 196.5 176.0 156.1 136.9
11 0.12 0.08 344.9 320.6 297.2 274.5 252.5 231.1 210.5 190.4 171.0 152.2 133.9
12 0.16 0.12 314.4 293.2 272.7 252.7 233.3 214.4 196.0 178.1 160.8 143.9 127.4
13 0.20 0.16 284.4 266.0 248.1 230.6 213.5 196.8 180.5 164.6 149.1 134.0 119.3
14 0.24 0.20 252.4 236.2 220.4 204.9 189.7 174.9 160.3 146.1 132.2 118.6 105.3
15 0.30 0.26 210.6 197.7 185.0 172.5 160.1 148.0 136.1 124.4 112.9 101.6 90.5
16 0.36 0.32 168.0 155.9 145.7 140.4 127.2 117.2 107.4 97.7 88.1 78.7 69.4
17 0.40 0.36 137.9 129.0 120.2 111.3 102.6 93.9 85.2 76.7 68.3 59.9 51.7
18 0.44 0.40 113.6 106.0 98.3 90.7 83.0 75.4 67.9 60.4 53.0 45.6 38.3
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
13.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 261
3 600
4 500
5 400
6 300
7
200
8
9
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
14 400
15 300
16
200
17
18
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
regime. For higher values of k0 and kd, saturation regime does not occur, and after
optimum (sometimes, but more seldom, without optimum), falling trend is still
present.
2. At the constant values of k0, NPV practically always decreases with leverage,
very rarely only (for individual values of k0 and kd) demonstrating the presence of
optimum at low leverage levels (L < 1) (it should be noted that, with the increase
of the duration of the project, the number of curves NPV(L ) having optimum is
growing while remaining to be not very large). All curves NPV(L ) at the constant
values of k0 and different values of kd are started (at L ¼ 0) from one point, and
the higher values of kd (and lower values of Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to higher-
lying curves NPV(L ). Descending speed decreases with leverage.
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV practically always decreases with leverage, and
the existence of optimum at low leverage levels (L < 1) is a rare exception. All
curves NPV(L ) at the constant values of k0 and different values of kd are started
(at L ¼ 0) from one point, and the higher values of k0 (and higher values of
Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to lower-lying curves NPV(L ). Descending speed
increases with leverage.
At a Constant Equity Value (S ¼ Const)
For NPV in this case, the following expression has been obtained (Brusov and
Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b)
(Table 13.6; Figs. 13.11 and 13.12):
1
NPV ¼ S 1 þ L tL 1
ð1 þ kd Þn
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 : ð13:6Þ
ke ð1 þ k e Þn
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 1.4 7.3 23.6 50.0 86.1 131.8 186.8 250.8 323.5 404.7
2 0.10 0.08 27.8 41.4 63.8 94.9 134.4 182.1 237.9 301.5 372.8 451.5
3 0.14 0.12 77.8 107.4 143.9 187.3 237.3 294.0 357.0 426.4 501.9 583.5
4 0.18 0.16 123.2 167.5 217.2 272.2 332.3 397.5 467.8 542.9 623.0 707.8
5 0.24 0.22 184.2 249.1 317.6 389.7 465.4 544.7 627.4 713.6 803.2 896.1
6 0.30 0.28 237.9 321.3 407.4 496.3 583.0 674.4 767.7 862.9 960.2 1059.3
7 0.36 0.34 285.4 386.7 487.6 589.6 692.5 796.5 901.4 1007.3 1114.3 1216.1
8 0.40 0.38 314.2 424.8 535.9 647.5 759.5 877.3 990.8 1104.8 1219.3 1334.3
9 0.44 0.42 341.0 461.4 581.9 702.4 822.9 943.5 1064.0 1184.7 1305.3 1426.0
10 0.10 0.06 27.8 64.5 121.8 198.6 293.5 405.7 534.0 677.6 835.6 1007.3
11 0.12 0.08 53.5 97.1 159.8 240.6 338.4 452.2 581.2 724.6 881.6 1051.5
12 0.16 0.12 101.1 157.8 231.0 319.7 423.1 540.6 671.4 814.8 970.3 1137.3
13 0.20 0.16 144.7 214.6 296.8 393.4 502.8 624.4 757.7 902.1 1057.2 1222.4
14 0.24 0.20 184.2 265.3 358.6 463.6 579.9 706.9 844.3 991.6 1148.5 1314.5
15 0.30 0.26 237.9 335.4 443.1 560.7 688.0 818.1 960.5 1111.1 1269.5 1435.4
16 0.36 0.32 285.4 399.1 519.3 647.0 782.0 924.2 1073.2 1229.0 1391.2 1559.8
17 0.40 0.36 314.2 436.2 565.0 700.4 842.1 995.4 1150.0 1310.5 1476.8 1648.7
18 0.44 0.40 341.0 471.9 608.7 751.3 899.4 1053.0 1212.0 1376.1 1545.3 1719.4
(continued)
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
263
Table 13.6 (continued)
264
L
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 494.2 591.7 697.1 810.2 930.6 1058.3 1193.0 1334.6 1482.9 1637.7 1798.8
2 0.10 0.08 537.5 649.7 752.6 862.5 979.1 1102.3 1232.0 1367.9 1510.0 1658.0 1811.9
3 0.14 0.12 671.0 764.3 863.3 967.9 1077.9 1193.3 1314.0 1439.8 1570.7 1706.5 1847.2
13
4 0.18 0.16 797.3 891.4 990.0 1093.1 1200.7 1312.5 1428.6 1548.9 1673.4 1801.8 1934.3
5 0.24 0.22 992.4 1092.0 1194.8 1300.8 1410.0 1522.3 1637.8 1756.3 1877.8 2002.3 2129.7
6 0.30 0.28 1160.4 1263.4 1368.4 1475.2 1583.8 1694.4 1806.8 1921.0 2037.0 2154.9 2274.5
7 0.36 0.34 1320.0 1441.0 1551.9 1663.7 1776.6 1890.4 2005.2 2120.9 2237.6 2355.3 2473.9
8 0.40 0.38 1449.8 1565.7 1682.1 1799.0 1916.3 2034.1 2152.4 2271.2 2390.5 2510.2 2630.3
9 0.44 0.42 1546.7 1667.4 1788.2 1909.0 2029.8 2150.6 2271.5 2392.4 2513.3 2634.2 2755.2
10 0.10 0.06 1191.8 1388.5 1596.8 1816.0 2045.5 2284.9 2533.7 2791.3 3057.4 3331.6 3613.4
11 0.12 0.08 1233.5 1427.2 1631.8 1846.9 2071.9 2306.4 2549.9 2801.9 3062.1 3330.1 3605.5
12 0.16 0.12 1315.2 1503.5 1701.8 1909.6 2126.4 2352.0 2585.8 2827.5 3076.8 3333.3 3596.8
13 0.20 0.16 1397.5 1581.9 1775.2 1977.2 2187.4 2405.4 2631.1 2864.1 3104.0 3350.7 3603.9
14 0.24 0.20 1489.3 1672.5 1863.9 2063.1 2269.8 2483.7 2704.6 2932.2 3166.3 3406.6 3653.0
15 0.30 0.26 1608.7 1789.0 1976.2 2169.9 2370.1 2576.4 2788.8 3006.9 3230.7 3459.9 3694.4
16 0.36 0.32 1734.5 1922.0 2108.6 2279.8 2491.2 2694.0 2902.0 3115.0 3332.9 3555.6 3782.8
17 0.40 0.36 1826.0 2008.5 2196.3 2389.1 2586.7 2789.2 2996.3 3207.9 3424.0 3644.3 3868.9
18 0.44 0.40 1898.3 2082.0 2270.2 2463.0 2660.1 2861.5 3067.1 3276.7 3490.4 3708.0 3929.4
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
13.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 265
–500
–1000
–1500
1
2
3
4 –2000
5
6
7 –2500
8
9
–3000
L
–1000
–1500
–2000
–2500
10 –3000
11
12
13 –3500
14
15
16
17 –4000
18
–4500
L
3. At the constant values of k0, NPV always decreases with leverage. All curves NPV
(L) for the same values of k0 are started at the same point, but with growth of k0
(and, respectively, increase of Δk ¼ k0 kd), they are shifted into a region of lower
values of NPV, and descending speed increases with leverage. The width of the
NPV(L) curve cluster is decreased with the increase of the duration of the project.
266 13 The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
2 0 13
L
6 kd t 7
NPV ¼ I 6 1 þ L B1 1
n C
41 @ A75
L 1 þ k0 1 γ 1þL
L
k0 1 γ t t
10þL 1 ð13:7Þ
NOIð1 t Þ B
n C
1
þ @1 A:
L þ γ L
k0 1 γ t 1 k 0 1 1þL t
1þL
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 711.9 731.8 741.8 747.8 751.9 754.8 757.0 758.6 760.0 761.1
2 0.10 0.08 666.6 692.1 705.0 712.9 718.1 721.9 724.7 726.9 728.7 730.2
3 0.14 0.12 580.9 615.9 633.9 644.7 652.0 657.3 661.2 664.3 666.7 668.8
4 0.18 0.16 503.0 546.2 568.4 581.9 590.9 597.5 602.4 606.2 609.3 611.8
5 0.24 0.22 398.5 451.5 478.8 495.5 506.8 514.9 521.0 525.7 529.5 532.7
6 0.30 0.28 306.5 367.3 398.7 417.7 431.7 441.1 448.3 453.9 458.4 462.0
7 0.36 0.34 225.0 291.2 326.7 348.5 363.2 373.8 381.8 388.1 393.1 397.6
8 0.40 0.38 175.6 246.0 283.0 305.8 321.2 331.5 340.0 346.7 352.1 356.6
9 0.44 0.42 129.7 203.1 241.7 265.6 281.7 293.4 302.3 309.2 314.8 319.4
10 0.10 0.06 666.6 686.0 695.8 701.8 705.7 708.6 710.7 712.4 713.7 714.8
11 0.12 0.08 622.6 647.4 660.0 667.6 672.7 676.3 679.1 681.2 682.9 684.3
12 0.16 0.12 541.1 575.2 592.7 603.2 610.3 615.4 619.3 622.3 624.7 626.6
13 0.20 0.16 466.2 507.9 530.4 543.6 552.4 558.8 563.6 567.3 570.3 572.8
14 0.24 0.20 398.5 447.3 472.4 487.7 498.0 505.5 511.1 515.4 518.9 521.8
15 0.30 0.26 306.5 363.6 393.1 411.0 423.0 432.8 439.5 444.7 448.9 452.3
16 0.36 0.32 225.0 287.9 321.6 342.3 356.3 366.3 373.9 379.9 384.6 388.5
17 0.40 0.36 175.6 243.0 278.3 300.1 314.8 324.5 332.7 339.1 344.2 348.4
18 0.44 0.40 129.7 200.3 237.4 260.2 275.8 287.0 295.5 302.1 307.4 311.8
(continued)
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
267
Table 13.7 (continued)
268
L
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 762.0 762.8 763.5 764.1 764.6 765.1 765.5 765.8 766.1 766.4 766.7
2 0.10 0.08 731.4 731.4 732.3 733.0 733.7 734.3 734.8 735.3 735.7 736.0 736.4
3 0.14 0.12 670.5 671.9 673.1 674.2 675.1 675.9 676.7 677.3 677.9 678.4 678.9
13
4 0.18 0.16 613.9 615.7 617.2 618.6 619.7 620.7 621.7 622.5 623.2 623.9 624.5
5 0.24 0.22 535.3 537.5 539.4 541.1 542.5 543.8 544.9 546.0 546.9 547.7 548.5
6 0.30 0.28 465.1 467.7 470.0 471.9 473.6 475.1 476.5 477.7 478.7 479.7 480.6
7 0.36 0.34 401.3 403.6 406.1 408.3 410.2 411.8 413.3 414.7 415.9 417.0 418.0
8 0.40 0.38 360.2 363.4 366.1 368.4 370.5 372.3 373.9 375.3 376.6 377.8 378.9
9 0.44 0.42 323.2 326.4 329.2 331.7 333.8 335.7 337.4 338.9 340.2 341.4 342.6
10 0.10 0.06 715.7 716.5 717.2 717.7 718.2 718.7 719.1 719.4 719.8 720.0 720.3
11 0.12 0.08 685.5 686.5 687.3 688.1 688.7 689.3 689.8 690.2 690.7 691.0 691.4
12 0.16 0.12 628.3 629.7 630.9 631.9 632.8 633.6 634.3 634.9 635.5 636.0 636.5
13 0.20 0.16 574.8 576.6 578.1 579.4 580.5 581.5 582.4 583.2 583.9 584.6 585.2
14 0.24 0.20 524.2 526.2 528.0 529.5 530.8 532.0 533.0 533.9 534.8 535.5 536.2
15 0.30 0.26 455.2 457.6 459.7 461.6 463.2 464.6 465.8 466.9 467.9 468.9 469.7
16 0.36 0.32 391.8 394.1 396.6 399.7 400.8 402.4 403.8 405.1 406.3 407.3 408.2
17 0.40 0.36 351.9 354.9 357.5 359.7 361.7 363.4 364.9 366.3 367.5 368.7 369.7
18 0.44 0.40 315.5 318.6 321.3 323.6 325.7 327.5 329.1 330.5 331.8 333.0 334.0
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
13.2 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 269
6 500
7
8
400
9
300
200
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
16 400
17
18
300
200
100
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
L
L
k0 kd 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
1 0.08 0.06 1.4 19.8 41.1 62.5 83.9 105.3 126.8 148.2 169.7 191.1
2 0.10 0.08 27.8 13.6 1.0 15.6 30.3 45.1 59.9 74.7 89.5 104.3
3 0.14 0.12 77.8 77.7 77.0 76.1 75.1 74.0 72.9 71.8 70.6 69.4
13
4 0.18 0.16 123.2 136.4 148.8 160.8 172.6 184.3 196.0 207.6 219.2 230.7
5 0.24 0.22 184.2 216.3 247.1 277.3 307.3 337.1 366.8 396.5 426.1 455.7
6 0.30 0.28 237.9 287.3 335.2 382.5 427.6 473.6 519.5 565.3 611.0 656.7
7 0.36 0.34 285.4 351.6 414.4 476.2 537.6 598.7 659.6 720.4 781.2 840.5
8 0.40 0.38 314.2 389.7 462.5 534.1 605.1 677.6 748.0 818.3 888.5 958.6
9 0.44 0.42 341.0 426.0 508.0 588.6 668.7 748.3 827.7 906.9 986.0 1065.1
10 0.10 0.06 27.8 20.4 12.7 5.1 2.7 10.4 18.2 26.0 33.7 41.5
11 0.12 0.08 53.5 52.8 51.9 50.9 49.9 48.8 47.6 46.5 45.4 44.2
12 0.16 0.12 101.1 113.6 125.5 137.3 148.9 160.5 172.0 183.5 195.0 206.5
13 0.20 0.16 144.7 170.2 193.6 217.4 241.0 264.6 288.1 311.5 334.9 358.3
14 0.24 0.20 184.2 221.2 257.1 292.6 327.8 362.9 397.9 432.9 467.8 502.7
15 0.30 0.26 237.9 291.7 344.2 396.1 447.8 496.9 547.6 598.2 648.7 699.2
16 0.36 0.32 285.4 355.6 422.6 488.7 554.4 619.8 685.1 750.3 815.5 880.5
17 0.40 0.36 314.2 393.4 470.1 545.7 620.8 697.6 772.2 846.6 920.9 995.2
18 0.44 0.40 341.0 429.5 515.1 599.6 683.5 767.0 850.3 933.4 1016.4 1099.3
The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
L
13.2
k0 kd 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0
1 0.08 0.06 212.6 234.0 255.5 277.0 298.5 319.9 341.4 362.9 384.3 405.8 427.3
2 0.10 0.08 119.1 130.1 144.6 159.1 173.6 188.1 202.6 217.1 231.6 246.1 260.6
3 0.14 0.12 68.2 67.0 65.8 64.6 63.3 62.1 60.9 59.6 58.4 57.2 55.9
4 0.18 0.16 242.3 253.8 265.3 276.8 288.3 299.8 311.3 322.8 334.2 345.7 357.2
5 0.24 0.22 485.2 514.8 544.3 573.8 603.3 632.8 662.3 691.8 721.3 750.7 780.2
6 0.30 0.28 702.3 747.9 793.5 839.0 884.6 930.1 975.6 1021.1 1066.6 1112.1 1157.6
7 0.36 0.34 900.1 963.2 1023.8 1084.3 1144.9 1205.5 1266.0 1326.5 1387.0 1447.5 1508.1
8 0.40 0.38 1028.7 1098.7 1168.7 1238.6 1308.6 1378.5 1448.4 1518.3 1588.2 1658.1 1727.9
9 0.44 0.42 1144.0 1222.9 1301.8 1380.6 1459.4 1538.2 1617.0 1695.7 1774.4 1853.2 1931.9
10 0.10 0.06 49.3 57.1 64.9 72.7 80.5 88.2 96.0 103.8 111.6 119.4 127.2
11 0.12 0.08 43.1 41.9 40.7 39.6 38.4 37.2 36.1 34.9 33.7 32.6 31.4
12 0.16 0.12 218.0 229.4 240.9 252.3 263.8 275.2 286.6 298.1 309.5 320.9 332.4
13 0.20 0.16 381.6 405.0 428.3 451.7 475.0 498.3 521.6 544.9 568.3 591.6 614.9
14 0.24 0.20 537.5 572.4 607.2 642.0 676.8 711.6 746.5 781.2 816.0 850.8 885.6
15 0.30 0.26 749.6 800.1 850.5 900.9 951.3 1001.6 1052.0 1102.3 1152.7 1203.0 1253.4
16 0.36 0.32 945.6 1012.2 1077.2 1137.5 1205.5 1270.4 1335.4 1400.3 1465.2 1530.1 1595.0
17 0.40 0.36 1069.4 1143.6 1217.8 1291.9 1366.0 1440.1 1514.2 1588.3 1662.4 1736.4 1810.5
18 0.44 0.40 1182.2 1265.0 1347.8 1430.6 1513.3 1596.0 1678.7 1761.4 1844.1 1926.7 2009.4
The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . .
271
272 13 The Analysis of the Exploration of Efficiency of Investment Projects. . .
1 500
2
3 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
4
–500
5
–1000
6
7 –1500
8
9
–2000
–2500
L
14
–1000
15
–1500
16
17
18 –2000
–2500
L
k d Lt 1
NPV ¼ S 1 þ L 1 n
WACC ð1 þ WACC
Þ ð13:8Þ
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
value, which separates the growth of NPV with leverage from descending of NPV
with leverage. This rate depends on the values Δk ¼ k0 kd, equal to 2, 4, 6, and
10%, weakly depends on project duration, and is within region 8–20%. Thus, we
come to a conclusion that for arbitrary duration projects, NPV grows with
leverage at a credit rate kd < 8 20 % , and NPV decreases with leverage at a
credit rate kd > 8 20% (project remains effective up to leverage levels L ¼ L0,
NPV(L0) ¼ 0). Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L ) is absent.
2. At the constant values of k0 (similar to the case of Δk ¼ k0 kd), NPV shows as
an unlimited growth with leverage and unlimited descending with leverage.
All curves NPV(L) at the constant values of k0 and different values of kd are
started (at L ¼ 0) from one point, and the higher values of kd (and lower values of
Δk ¼ k0 kd) correspond to higher-lying curves NPV(L ). Optimum in the
dependence of NPV(L ) is absent.
3. At the constant values of kd, NPV as well as in the case of constant values of
Δk ¼ k0 kd shows as an unlimited growth with leverage and unlimited
descending with leverage. There is a boundary credit rate value, which separates
the growth of NPV with leverage from descending of NPV with leverage. This
rate depends on the values Δk ¼ k0 kd, equal to 2, 4, 6, and 10%; weakly
depends on project duration; and is within region 8–20%. Thus, we come to a
conclusion that for arbitrary duration projects NPV grows with leverage at a
credit rate kd < 8 20 % , and NPV decreases with leverage at a credit rate
kd > 8 20% (project remains effective up to leverage levels L ¼ L0, NPV
(L0) ¼ 0). Optimum in the dependence of NPV(L) is absent.
This opens the way for tabulation of the results obtained in the case of constant
value of investment. In other words this fact is the basis for the use of our tables and
graphs to estimate the optimal debt level for the investor. Thus, obtained by us,
tables and graphs allow to determine value of L*, knowing only k0 and kd for
investment project. kd is the credit rate, which is determined by the creditor, but
determination of parameter k0 is always a complicated problem. This has been noted
by several researchers, and we can also add that the parameter k0 is one of the most
important parameters in both used theories: Modigliani–Miller (Мodigliani and
Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) and Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008).
In contrast to the parameters I and NOI, a change of parameters S and β, both
individually and simultaneously, can significantly change the nature of the curves
NPV(L ), i.e., the dependence of NPV on the leverage level. Thus, with change of β,
NPV(L ) can be changed from decreasing function to function, having an optimum.
Such studies have been conducted on the example of “Nastcom Plus” company. This
means the inability of tabulation of the results obtained in the case of constant value
of equity capital S: in this case, one will need to use the formulas; we have received
to determine the NPV at the existing level leverage, as well as to optimize the
existing investment structure.
In the case of a constant invested capital I with the division of flows (with using
two discount rates) in the case of finite-duration projects, the descending of NPV
with leverage is possible, as well as the existence of optimum. Without flow
separation a moderate growth of NPV(L )—output to saturation—has been observed.
This demonstrates the limitation of approach, associated with the use of one discount
rate, veiling various options of dependence of NPV(L ) at different equity and
debt cost.
At constant equity value S with the use of one discount rate (in WACC approx-
imation), one has either growth or decrease of NPV, depending on credit rate kd. We
have found the boundary rates kd, determining transition from growth to decrease of
NPV. Because application of two discount rates (at flow separation) demonstrates
the existence of optimum in this case, WACC approximation changes the type of
dependence of NPV(L ).
Thus, one can make the following general recommendations:
1. It is necessary to use an assessment of the efficiency of investment projects with
flow separation.
2. In the case of a constant value of investment I, a tabulation of the obtained results
is possible, i.e., one can use obtained by us tables and graphs to estimate the
optimal for the investor level of borrowing. Thus, obtained by us, tables and
graphs allow to determine value of L*, knowing only k0 and kd for investment
project.
3. At a constant equity value S as well as to determine the NPV at the existing level
leverage and to estimate the optimal for the investor level of borrowing, received
by us, analytical expressions (formulas) should be used because the behavior of
NPV(L ) in this case depends strongly on S and β.
References 275
References
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Sol 34(76):36–42
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital
cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit – Modigliani – Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Chapter 14
Investment Models with Uniform Debt
Repayment and Their Application
As in the case of debt repayment at the end of the project, the effectiveness of the
investment project is considered from two perspectives: the owners of equity and
debt and the equity holders only. In the first case, the interest and duty paid by
owners of equity (negative flows) returned to the project because they are exactly
equal to the flow (positive), obtained by owners of debt capital. The only effect of
leverage in this case is the effect of tax shield, generated from the tax relief: interest
on the loan is entirely included into the net cost and, thus, reduces the tax base. For
each of these cases, NPV is calculated in two ways: with the division of credit and
investment flows (and thus discounting the payments, using two different rates) and
without such a division (in this case, both flows are discounted at the same rate as
which, obviously, WACC can be chosen). For each of the four situations, two cases
are considered: (1) a constant value of equity S and (2) a constant value of the total
invested capital I ¼ S þ D (D is value of debt funds).
The main debt repayment occurs evenly (by equal parts) at the end of each period,
and the remaining debt at the end of the each period is an arithmetic progression with
the difference D/n
D 2D D n1 n2 D
D; D ; D ;...; ¼ D; D ;D ;...; ð14:1Þ
n n n n n n
In the case of consideration from the point of view of equity owners and debt
owners, the after-tax flow of capital for each period is equal to
NOIð1 t Þ þ k d Di t, ð14:3Þ
where
n ð i 1Þ
Di ¼ D , ð14:4Þ
n
Di
ðNOI kd Di Þð1 t Þ : ð14:5Þ
n
We suppose that the interest on the loan and the loans itself are paid in tranches
kdDi and D ni
n consequently during the all ith periods. We cite in Table 14.1 the
sequence of debt and interest values and credit values.
As in the case of debt repayment at the end of the project, we will consider two
different ways of discounting:
1. Operating and financial flows are not separated, and both are discounted, using
the general rate (as which, obviously, the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) can be selected). For perpetuity projects, the Modigliani–Miller for-
mula (Мodigliani and Мiller 1963) for WACC will be used and for projects of
finite duration Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula for WACC (Brusov and
Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova
et al. 2008).
2. Operating and financial flows are separated and are discounted at different rates:
the operating flow at the rate equal to the equity cost ke, depending on leverage,
and credit flow, at the rate equal to the debt cost kd, which until fairly large values
of leverage remain constant and start to grow only at high values of leverage L,
when there is a danger of bankruptcy.
Note once again that loan capital is the least risky, because interest on credit is
paid after tax in the first place. Therefore, the cost of credit will always be less than
the equity cost, whether of ordinary or of preference shares ke > kd; kp > kd. Here ke;
kp is equity cost of ordinary or of preference shares consequently.
One can show that the present value of interest can be calculated by using the
following formula, which we have been able to derive:
1 2 3 n að1 an Þ n
þ 2 þ 3 þ þ n ¼ : ð14:6Þ
a a a a ð a 1Þ 2 ð a 1Þan
Here a ¼ 1 þ i.
We will use this formula in the further calculations.
To obtain an expression for NPV, the discounted flow values for one period, given
by formulas (Eq. 14.3) and (Eq. 14.5), must be summed, using our obtained formula
(Eq. 14.6), in which a ¼ 1 þ i, where i is the discount rate. Its accurate assessment is
one of the most important advantages of BFO (Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova) theory
(Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b;
Filatova et al. 2008) over its perpetuity limit—Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodigliani
and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966).
In this case, the expression for NPV has a view:
280 14 Investment Models with Uniform Debt Repayment and Their Application
nþ1i D
X n k d D
X ð1 t Þ
n
NOIð1 t Þ n n
NPV ¼ S þ þ
i¼1 ð1 þ k e Þi i¼1 ð1 þ k d Þi
NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ Dð1 t Þ: ð14:8Þ
ke
In this case, operating and financial flows are not separated and are discounted, using
the general rate (as which, obviously, WACC can be selected).
The main debt repayment, which occurs evenly (by equal parts) at the end of each
period, can be discounted either at the same rate WACC or at the debt cost rate kd.
Now we choose a uniform rate and the first option.
We still consider the effectiveness of the investment project from the perspective
of the equity holders only.
nþ1i D
n NOIð1 t Þ k d D
X ð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ n n
i¼1 ð1 þ WACCÞi
D nþ1
NOIð1 t Þ kd D ð1 t Þ 1
¼ S þ n n 1
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
kd D ð1 þ WACCÞ½1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
þ ð1 t Þ
n WACC2
n
ð14:9Þ
WACCð1 þ WACCÞn
14.3 The Effectiveness of the Investment Project from the Perspective of. . . 281
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ : ð14:10Þ
WACC
Note that the formula (14.10) as well as other formulas for perpetuity limit (14.12
and 14.14) could be applied to analyze the effectiveness of the long-term investment
projects.
nþ1i
X
n
NOIð1 t Þ X
n kd D t
NPV ¼ I þ þ n
i¼1 ð1 þ k e Þi i¼1 ð1 þ k d Þ i
NOIð1 t Þ
NOI ¼ I þ þ Dt: ð14:12Þ
ke
We still consider the effectiveness of the investment project from the perspective of
the owners of equity and debt.
282 14 Investment Models with Uniform Debt Repayment and Their Application
nþ1i
n NOIð1 t Þ þ k d D
X t
NPV ¼ I þ n
i¼1 ð1 þ WACCÞi
nþ1
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd D t 1
¼ I þ n 1
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
kd D ð1 þ WACCÞ½1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
t
n WACC2
n
ð14:13Þ
WACCð1 þ WACCÞn
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd Dt
NPV ¼ I þ : ð14:14Þ
WACC
Making the calculations in Excel, we get the data, which are shown in Fig. 14.1.
From the calculations and Fig. 14.1, one can make the following conclusions:
1. With growth of the tax on profit rate, the NPV of the project decreases, and our
model makes it possible to assess for how many percent, with growth of tax on
profit rate, for example, by 1%.
It should be noted that the possibility of such evaluations is unique.
2. The effect of taxation on the NPV significantly depends on the leverage level:
With its increase, the impact of changing of tax on profit rate is greatly
reduced. This is valid for increasing of the tax on profit rate and for its reduction.
3. At tax on profit rates 20% (as in Russia) and 25%, there is an optimum in NPV
dependence on leverage. Investors should take into account the invested capital
structure: in this case, they may, without special effort (only changing this
structure), obtain (sometimes very substantial) gains in NPV. Note that at tax
on profit rate 15%, there is no optimum in NPV dependence on leverage: NPV
descends monotonically with leverage.
14.5 Conclusions 283
14.5 Conclusions
New investment models with uniform debt repayment during the duration of the
project, quite adequately describing real investment projects, are described. Within
these models, it is possible, in particular, to analyze the dependence of effectiveness
of investment projects on debt financing and taxation. We work on the modern
theory of capital cost and capital structure developed by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova
as well as on perpetuity limit–MM theory.
As in the case of debt repayment at the end of the project, the effectiveness of the
investment project is considered from two perspectives: the owners of equity and
debt and the equity holders only. For each of these cases, NPV is calculated in two
ways: with the division of credit and investment flows (and thus discounting the
payments, using two different rates) and without such a division (in this case, both
flows are discounted at the same rate as which, obviously, WACC can be chosen).
For each of the four situations, two cases are considered: (1) a constant value of
equity S and (2) a constant value of the total invested capital I ¼ S þ D (D is value
of debt funds).
As an example of application of the obtained formulas, the dependence of the
NPV of project on the leverage level at three values of the tax on profit rate has been
investigated in the case of consideration from the perspective of the equity holders
only and without flows separation on operating and financial ones. It has been shown
that effect of taxation on the NPV significantly depends on the leverage level: with
its increase, the impact of changing of tax on profit rates is greatly reduced. This is
valid for increasing of the tax on profit rate and for its reduction. The model allows
investigating the dependence of effectiveness of the investment project on leverage
level, on the tax on profit rate, on credit rate, on equity cost, etc.
284 14 Investment Models with Uniform Debt Repayment and Their Application
References
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Sol 34(76):36–42
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital
cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit – Modigliani – Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Part III
Taxation
Chapter 15
Is It Possible to Increase Taxing
and Conserve a Good Investment Climate
in the Country?
The bases of the modern tax systems are the following taxes: tax on profit of
organizations, income tax (tax on the income of individuals), social tax (contribu-
tions into state extra budgetary funds), sales tax (the value-added tax), and tax on
property of the organization. In this chapter, we investigate the influence of tax on
profit rate on the efficiency of the investment projects.
The problems and those questions, which we are currently investigating and
analyzing now in all of their complexity and diversity and to which we give answers,
not be tractable by analysis and assessment previously, for which one was not able to
give an answer, they even are not raised in such a setting. What should be the tax
scale—flat, progressive, or otherwise differentiated—and what impact tax rate has
on the cost of company’s capital? What is the cumulative effect of increase of taxes
(whether the system “state-entrepreneur” will win or will lose as a whole from the
tax growth, and if it will lose, then how much—or whether the redistribution of
income in favor of the state does not destroy the spirit of enterprise, its driving
force)? If tax on profit rate will increase by 1%, how much will the cost of attractive
capital of company increase and how much will its capitalization decrease? If by
3–6%, it should be serious reasons for such increase, but if by 0.5–1.5%, it is
possible to discuss such tax on profit rate increase.
How does taxation affect the efficiency of investment? By how much will the
NPV of the investment project decrease, if tax on profit rate will increase by 1%? If
on 5–10%, it has a strong negative impact on investment, if on 1%, or 0.5%, or
0.25%, Regulator can accept this: this will help the state and does not exert much to
investment programs of companies.
One of the main reasons, for which it has become possible to carry out such
studies, has been a progress in corporate finance, made recently. It relates primarily
to the establishment of a modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by
Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov
et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al.
2008; Brusova 2011) and to their creation of the framework of this theory of modern
investment models. The BFO theory allows to make correct assessment of the
financial performance of companies with arbitrary lifetime (arbitrary age) and of
efficiency of investment projects of arbitrary duration. This distinguishes BFO
theory from Мodigliani–Мiller theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966),
which is a perpetuity limit of BFO theory. Archived, after the appearance of BFO
theory, the Мodigliani–Miller theory, still heavily used in the West, despite of its
obvious limitations, may, in principle, be applied to long-living stable companies
and long-term investment projects. In its framework in this chapter, effects of
taxation on the effectiveness of long-term investment will be investigated.
So, at present, there are two main theories that allow to explore the effects of
taxation on the efficiency of investments: perpetuity Modigliani–Miller theory
(Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) and the modern theory of capital cost
and capital structure developed by Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova (Brusov and
Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a,
b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011). In this chapter, we describe the first real
results obtained by us within investment models in perpetuity limit, which can be
applied to long-term projects.
The effectiveness of the investment project is considered from the perspectives of
the equity holders. For this case, NPV is calculated in two ways: with the division of
credit and investment flows (and thus discounting the payments, used two different
rates) and without such a division (in this case, both flows are discounted at the same
rate, as which, obviously, WACC can be chosen). For each of the four situations, two
cases are considered: (1) a constant value of equity S and (2) a constant value of the
total invested capital I ¼ S + D (D is value of debt funds).
We start first from the case with the division of credit and investment flows and
then consider the case without the division of flows.
15.2 Investment Models 289
Let us remind shortly the main points of the investment models with debt repayment
at the end of the project, well-proven in the analysis of real investment projects.
Investments at the initial time moment T ¼ 0 are equal to S and the flow of
capital for the period (in addition to the tax shields kd Dt, it includes a payment of
interest on a loan kdD).
Here, for simplicity, we suppose that interest on the loan will be paid in equal
shares kdD during all periods. Note that principal repayment is made at the end of last
period.
Here NOI is net operating income (before taxes), kd is debt cost, and t is tax on
profit rate.
Let us first consider the case with the division of credit and investment flows. In
this case in perpetuity limit (Modigliani–Miller approximation), expression for NPV
takes the following form (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c,
2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008):
NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ Dð1 t Þ: ð15:2Þ
ke
I NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ ð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ : ð15:3Þ
1þL ke
I NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ ð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ , ð15:4Þ
1þL k0 þ ðk0 kd ÞLð1 t Þ
where L ¼ D/S is leverage level, ke is equity cost of leverage company (which uses
the debt financing), and k0 is equity cost of non-leverage company (which does not
use the debt financing).
Under the transition from Eq. (15.3) to Eq. (15.4), we have used the dependence
of equity capital on leverage, received by Мodigliani and Мiller (1958, 1963, 1966):
290 15 Is It Possible to Increase Taxing and Conserve a Good Investment. . .
So we explore Eq. (15.4). A number of conclusions can be drawn from the study
of dependence of NPV of the project on leverage level at different values of tax on
profit rate t (Fig. 15.1). It is clear that the increase of tax on profit rate leads not only
to reduce of NPV of the project but also to decrease of the sensitivity of effectiveness
of investment project NPV to the leverage level L. At high leverage levels, the
influence of growth of tax on profit rate on the effectiveness of investment projects is
significantly reduced.
Hence, in particular, it should be noted that taxation can be differentiated
depending on the debt financing level in the company investment projects: for
projects with a high leverage level L, the higher tax on profit rates t can be used.
The foregoing is illustrated also in Fig. 15.2, where it is clear that the change of NPV
(ΔNPV) with leverage level decreases when the tax on profit rate t grows and when
leverage level increases.
NPV(L)
3000.00
1
2500.00 2
2000.00 3
NPV
1500.00
1000.00
500.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
Fig. 15.1 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at three values of tax on profit rate (1, t ¼ 0.15;
2, t ¼ 0.20; 3, t ¼ 0.25), NOI ¼ 800
ΔNPV(L)
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10
–100.00
–200.00
ΔNPV
–300.00 1
–400.00
2
–500.00 3
–600.00
L
Fig. 15.2 Dependence of ΔNPV on leverage level L at three values of tax on profit rate (1, t ¼ 0.25;
2, t ¼ 0.20; 3, t ¼ 0.15), NOI ¼ 800, I ¼ 1000
15.2 Investment Models 291
Let us increase our return on investment by 1.5 times (NOI ¼ 1200 instead of
800) (Fig. 15.3). Still, the impact of the tax on profit rate on the NPV value
significantly depends on the level of debt financing. So the increase in tax on profit
rate by 1% from the existing (in Russia t ¼ 20%) leads to a reduction in the NPV by
44.5 units at L ¼ 0, by 27.7 units at L ¼ 1, by 12.2 units at L ¼ 3, and by 5 units at
L ¼ 5.
That is, for companies with a high level of debt financing (e.g., companies in the
telecommunication sector and others), an increase in tax on profit rate will have less
impact on the effectiveness of their investment projects and will be less painful than
for companies with low leverage level in investment. It should be noted that the
increase of NOI by 1.5 times increases NPV by 1.7 times (from 2555 up to 4333) and
increases ΔNPV(L ) by 1.62 at L ¼ 0 and by 1.5 times at L ¼ 9 (Fig. 15.4).
NPV(L)
5000.00 1
4500.00
4000.00 2
3500.00 3
3000.00
NPV
2500.00
2000.00
1500.00
1000.00
500.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5
L
Fig. 15.3 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at three values of tax on profit rate (1, t ¼ 0.15;
2, t ¼ 0.20; 3, t ¼ 0.25), NOI ¼ 1200, I ¼ 1000
ΔNPV(L)
0.00
–100.00 0 2 4 6 8 10
–200.00
–300.00
ΔNPV
–400.00
–500.00 1
–600.00
–700.00 2
–800.00
–900.00 3
L
Fig. 15.4 Dependence of ΔNPV on the leverage level L at three values of tax on profit rate
(1, t ¼ 0.25; 2, t ¼ 0.20; 3, t ¼ 0.15), NOI ¼ 1200, I ¼ 1000
292 15 Is It Possible to Increase Taxing and Conserve a Good Investment. . .
It is clear also that with the increase of the leverage level L, curves, describing the
dependence ΔNPV(L ), virtually converge, which demonstrates once again the
reduction of impact of the change of the tax on profit rate t on the efficiency of
investment projects with the increase of the leverage level L.
Until recently, Russian companies have preferred to borrow abroad, because over-
seas credits are much cheaper than domestic ones. Although the relevance of the
studies using such loans is not so high now in connection with the West sanctions, all
same, realizing that in the not-too-distant future, all will return to its circles; here’s a
comparison of NPV dependencies on leverage at typical values of rates on credit,
with borrowings abroad (k0 ¼ 0.1; kd ¼ 0.07) and with borrowings at domestic
(Russian) credit market (k0 ¼ 0.18; kd ¼ 0.14). Here k0 is equity cost of financially
independent company (Fig. 15.5). The growth of effectiveness of investments when
using cheaper foreign credit is obvious. In case of the stabilization of the situation at
the external credit market, a detailed analysis of this case as well as of the case of the
use of domestic and overseas credits simultaneously can be done.
We analyze now the impact of the tax on profit rate on dependence of NPV on
leverage level at typical values of credit rates with borrowings abroad and with
borrowings at domestic (Russian) credit market (Fig. 15.6).
It is clear that at low leverage levels, the influence of tax on profit rate is very
significant: at zero leverage, the NPV drops by 80 units at increase of tax on profit
rate of 1% when one borrows abroad and by 44 units when one borrows at domestic
(Russian) credit market. It would seem that this could be one of the signals for
borrowing within the country; however, taking into account the different values of
NPV at two considering cases (ratio is 2.1), we come to the conclusion that the
impact of tax on profit rate is in close proportions (ratio is 80/44 ¼ 1.8). So it seems
that after the West sanctions will be over, to borrow at the West will be more
advantageous for a long time.
NPV(L)
8000.00
1
6000.00
NPV
4000.00
2000.00
2
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
Fig. 15.5 Comparison of dependences of NPV on the leverage level L at typical values of credit
rates with borrowings abroad (1, k0 ¼ 0.1; kd ¼ 0.07) and with borrowings at domestic (Russian)
credit market (2, k0 ¼ 0.18; kd ¼ 0.14), NOI ¼ 800, I ¼ 1000, t ¼ 15%
15.4 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Different Leverage Levels 293
NPV(L)
7000.00
6000.00
1
5000.00 2
3
4000.00
NPV
3000.00 4
5
2000.00 6
1000.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
Fig. 15.6 Influence of tax on profit rate on dependence of NPV on the leverage level at typical
values of credit rates with borrowings abroad (lines 1–2–3) and with borrowings at domestic
(Russian) credit market (lines 4–5–6) 1, k0 ¼ 0.1, kd ¼ 0.07, t ¼ 0.15; 2, k0 ¼ 0.1, kd ¼ 0.07,
t ¼ 0.2; 3, k0 ¼ 0.1, kd ¼ 0.07, t ¼ 0.25; 4, k0 ¼ 0.18, kd ¼ 0.14, t ¼ 0.15; 5, k0 ¼ 0.18, kd ¼ 0.14,
t ¼ 0.2; 6, k0 ¼ 0.18, kd ¼ 0.14, t ¼ 0.25
1000.00
4
0.00
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–1000.00
–2000.00
t
From Fig. 15.7, it is seen that dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate significantly
depends on the leverage level L.
When there is no borrowing (L ¼ 0), NPV linearly decreases with t with a
factor 43.44 units at 1%. When L ¼ 1, this factor (at t ¼ 20%) is equal to
27.7 units at 1%; when L ¼ 3, this factor (when t ¼ 20%) is equal to
12.3 units at 1%; and when L ¼ 5, this factor (at t ¼ 20%) is equal to 5.8 units
at 1%. It can be seen that the influence of tax on profit rate on efficiency of
investment projects drops significantly with increase of the leverage level L, used
in investments.
294 15 Is It Possible to Increase Taxing and Conserve a Good Investment. . .
1 ΔNPV (t)
0.00
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–100.002
ΔNPV –200.00
3
–300.00
–400.00
–500.00
4 t
Fig. 15.8 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate at different leverage levels L (1, L ¼ 5;
2, L ¼ 3; 3, L ¼ 1; 4, L ¼ 0), NOI ¼ 800, I ¼ 1000
This is particularly seen in Fig. 15.8 in the dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit
rate at different leverage levels L (here ΔNPV is increment of NPV under change of
t for 10%). When there is no borrowing (L ¼ 0), ΔNPV ¼ 450 and does not depend
on tax on profit rate. At t ¼ 20% at L ¼ 1, ΔNPV ¼ 276.6; L ¼ 3, ΔNPV ¼ 122.6;
and L ¼ 5, ΔNPV ¼ 49. It is clear that the change of tax on profit rate affects
mostly the effectiveness of the projects, funded by equity capital only, and if you use
debt financing to finance the projects, the impact of the change of tax on profit rate
drops very substantially (up to ten times).
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ Sð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ : ð15:6Þ
k0 þ ðk0 kd ÞLðt 1Þ
It is seen from Fig. 15.9 that with the increase of the coefficient β value, NPV and
its optimal (maximum) values grow.
It follows from Fig. 15.10 that with the increase of the leverage level, ΔNPV
drops and either goes to the saturation (ΔNPV ¼ 0) or becomes negative
(ΔNPV < 0), and this means that there is an optimum (after ΔNPV > 0 at small
leverage level L).
15.5 At a Constant Value of Equity Capital (S ¼ Const) 295
NPV
5000.00
4000.00
3000.00
2000.00
1000.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
2
1000.00
500.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
–500.00
L
1500.00
1000.00
3
500.00
0.00 4
–500.00 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–1000.00
t
In Figs. 15.11 and 15.12, the dependencies of ΔNPV and NPV on tax on profit
rate at different leverage levels and at S ¼ 500 and β ¼ 0.8 are shown.
From Fig. 15.11, as well as from Fig. 15.9, it is seen that at fixed tax on profit rate,
NPV grows with leverage level. With the increase of tax on profit rate, NPV drops,
and curves, corresponding to the different leverage level, converge in one point at
t ¼ 100% and NPV ¼ S in accordance to Eq. (15.6). Change of ΔNPV with
increase of t also depends on the leverage level: with the growth of the leverage
296 15 Is It Possible to Increase Taxing and Conserve a Good Investment. . .
ΔNPV
2
–600.00
3
–800.00
–1000.00
t
level, it changes from constant (at L ¼ 0) and increasingly grows at t > 30–40% and
at L ¼ 1, 3, and 5.
Let us consider the case without the division of credit and investment flows. In this
case, both flows are discounted at the same rate, as which, obviously, WACC can be
chosen. In perpetuity limit (n ! 1), one has
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ : ð15:7Þ
WACC
Note, that formula (15.7) as well as other formulas for perpetuity limit could be
applied for analyzing the effectiveness of the long-term investment projects.
It should be noted that in contrast to the case with the division of flows, described
above, in a situation without the division of flows, NPV is growing with leverage
level. It is seen that while NOI increases by 1.5 times, NPV increases by 1.68 times
(Fig. 15.14).
15.6 Without Flow Separation 297
NPV
3000.00
2000.00
1000.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00 2
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
1000.00
0.00 4
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–1000.00
–2000.00
t
NPV rather quickly goes to the saturation; at L > 4, it varies weakly, and the
leverage level, at which the saturation of NPV(L ) takes place, practically does not
depend on NOI value (Fig. 15.15).
NPV falls down with growth of tax on profit rate at different leverage levels:
At L ¼ 0 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 1.74%.
At L ¼ 1 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 0.85%.
At L ¼ 3 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 0.43%.
At L ¼ 5 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 0.29%.
It is seen that with the rise of the tax on profit rate by 1%, NPV drops the less at
the higher leverage level. This confirms the conclusion, made in the previous
298 15 Is It Possible to Increase Taxing and Conserve a Good Investment. . .
ΔNPV
–800.00 3
–1000.00
–1200.00 2
–1400.00
1
–1600.00
t
S ¼ 500
20000.00
10000.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
section, that with the increase of the leverage level, a negative impact of the growth
of the tax on profit rate declines in a few times, allowing the regulator to establish the
differentiated tax on profit rates (as can be seen from Fig. 15.16, the founded
conclusions are true up to tax on profit rate values of 70–80%).
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ : ð15:9Þ
WACC
From Fig. 15.17, it follows that NPV grows linearly with leverage level and its
growth rate increases with growth of coefficient β.
From Fig. 15.18, it follows that ΔNPV practically does not depend on leverage
level L; at decrease of β-coefficient by 1.25 times (the transition from line 1 to line
15.6 Without Flow Separation 299
ΔNPV
S ¼ 500 2000.00
3
1500.00
1000.00
500.00
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
4000.00
3
2000.00
4
0.00
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–2000.00
t
2), ΔNPV is decreased by 1.28 times (practically so); and at decrease of β-coefficient
by 1.5 times (the transition from line 2 to line 3), ΔNPV is decreased by 1.59 times
(practically so).
As in the case of constant value of investments (I ¼ const), at constant equity
capital value (S ¼ const), NPV falls down with growth of tax on profit rate t at
different leverage levels L.
Let us take a look at the region of changes of tax on profit rates from 0% up to
60%. In this region:
At L ¼ 0 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 3.6%.
At L ¼ 1 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 1.23%.
At L ¼ 3 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 0.46%.
At L ¼ 5 at change of tax on profit rate of 1%, NPV falls down on 0.22%.
And so, with the increase of the tax on profit rates at 1%, NPV drops the less for
the higher leverage level. This correlates with the conclusion, made above and in the
previous section, that with the increase of the leverage level, a negative impact of the
growth of the tax on profit rate declines in a few times, allowing the regulator to
introduce differentiated tax on profit rate (as it can be seen from Figs. 15.19 and
15.20, the findings are true up to values of tax on profit rates 60%). At higher rates
(which, however, is a purely theoretical interest), the situation will be different.
300 15 Is It Possible to Increase Taxing and Conserve a Good Investment. . .
ΔNPV(t)
0.00 1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
–1000.00
2
ΔNPV –2000.00
3
–3000.00
–4000.00
–5000.00
t
Fig. 15.20 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at different leverage levels L (1, L ¼ 0;
2, L ¼ 1; 3, L ¼ 3; 4, L ¼ 5), S ¼ 500
15.7 Conclusions
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Chapter 16
Is It Possible to Increase the Investment
Efficiency by Increasing Tax on Profit Rate?
An Abnormal Influence of the Growth
of Tax on Profit Rate on the Efficiency
of the Investment
Within the modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a,
b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011) and
modern investment models created within this theory, the influence of the growth of
tax on profit rate on the efficiency of the investment is investigated. It has been shown
that for long-term investment projects, as well as for arbitrary duration projects, the
growth of tax on profit rate changes the nature of the NPV dependence on leverage at
some value t*: there is a transition from the diminishing function NPV(L), when
t < t*, to the growing function NPV(L). The t* value depends on the duration of the
project, cost of capital (equity and debt) values, and other parameters of the project.
At high leverage levels, this leads to a qualitatively new effect in investments:
growth of the efficiency of the investments with the growth of tax on profit rate.
Discovered effects take place under consideration from the point of view of owners
of equity capital as well as from the point of view of owners of equity and debt
capital.
Investigations will be done with the division of credit and investment flows; oper-
ating and finance flows are divided and discounted using different rates: operating
flows, by the rate equal to equity cost ke, depending on leverage, and credit ones, by
the rate equal to debt cost kd, which, until sufficiently large values of leverage levels,
remains constant and starts to grow only at sufficiently high leverage values L, when
a risk of bankruptcy will appear. The consideration has been done upon constant
value of investment capital I.
In this case, NPV is described by the following formula (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d;
Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011):
I 1 1
NPV ¼ 1 þ L ð1 t Þ 1 þ
1þL ð1 þ kd Þn ð1 þ k d Þn
ð16:1Þ
NOIð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
ke ð1 þ k e Þn
Using it, we calculate NPV and ΔNPV at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t.
Five-Year Project
For 5-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.1, 16.2, 16.3, 16.4, 16.5,
16.6, and 16.7; Figs. 16.1 and 16.2).
Table 16.1 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.3
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 5 800 0.18 751.22 4.922709
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.3 5 800 0.197488 756.14 36.8599
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 5 800 0.214367 719.28 44.7663
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.3 5 800 0.231082 674.51 46.126
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.3 5 800 0.24773 628.39 45.4549
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.3 5 800 0.264343 582.93 44.027
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 5 800 0.280937 538.90 42.3084
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.3 5 800 0.297518 496.60 40.4978
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 5 800 0.314091 456.10 38.6879
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.3 5 800 0.330658 417.41 36.9239
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 5 800 0.34722 380.49
Table 16.2 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.4
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 5 800 0.18 501.04 64.13345
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.4 5 800 0.189578 565.18 4.73089
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 5 800 0.19803 569.91 9.5017
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.4 5 800 0.206172 560.40 14.7815
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.4 5 800 0.214184 545.62 17.1025
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.4 5 800 0.22213 528.52 18.1709
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 5 800 0.230037 510.35 18.6246
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.4 5 800 0.23792 491.73 18.7461
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 5 800 0.245786 472.98 18.6762
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.4 5 800 0.253642 454.30 18.4911
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 5 800 0.261488 435.81
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 305
Table 16.3 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.5
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 5 800 0.18 250.87 116.0669
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.5 5 800 0.181448 366.94 41.1323
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 5 800 0.181065 408.07 22.57738
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.5 5 800 0.180162 430.65 15.19888
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.5 5 800 0.179041 445.84 11.52994
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.5 5 800 0.177806 457.37 9.446706
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 5 800 0.176505 466.82 8.154973
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.5 5 800 0.175162 474.98 7.302458
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 5 800 0.173792 482.28 6.713275
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.5 5 800 0.172401 488.99 6.291579
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 5 800 0.170996 495.28
Table 16.4 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.6
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 5 800 0.18 0.69 160.0655
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.6 5 800 0.173086 160.76 70.95083
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 5 800 0.163424 231.71 49.78654
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.6 5 800 0.15296 281.50 42.12961
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.6 5 800 0.142153 323.63 39.00243
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.6 5 800 0.131168 362.63 37.85743
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 5 800 0.120078 400.49 37.74625
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.6 5 800 0.108922 438.23 38.25211
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 5 800 0.097721 476.49 39.17065
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.6 5 800 0.086488 515.66 40.39427
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 5 800 0.075231 556.05
Table 16.5 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.7
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 5 800 0.18 249.48 195.3877
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.7 5 800 0.16448 54.09 92.40829
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 5 800 0.145057 38.32 69.68464
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.7 5 800 0.124461 108.00 63.19622
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.7 5 800 0.103355 171.20 62.43475
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.7 5 800 0.081982 233.63 64.46977
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 5 800 0.060453 298.10 68.26526
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.7 5 800 0.038822 366.37 73.42597
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 5 800 0.017124 439.79 79.82524
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.7 5 800 0.00462 519.62 87.47314
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 5 800 0.0264 607.09
306 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.6 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.8
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 5 800 0.18 499.65 221.1945
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.8 5 800 0.155616 278.46 103.2179
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 5 800 0.125907 175.24 78.69376
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.8 5 800 0.094544 96.55 73.65304
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.8 5 800 0.062454 22.89 76.11182
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.8 5 800 0.029979 53.22 82.93806
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 5 800 0.00272 136.16 93.28915
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.8 5 800 0.03557 229.45 107.1925
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 5 800 0.06852 336.64 125.1636
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.8 5 800 0.10154 461.80 148.1245
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 5 800 0.13462 609.93
Table 16.7 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.9
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 5 800 0.18 749.83 236.5329
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.9 5 800 0.14648 513.29 100.4127
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 5 800 0.105908 412.88 71.49601
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.9 5 800 0.063074 341.38 65.36206
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.9 5 800 0.019228 276.02 68.55205
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.9 5 800 0.02516 207.47 77.93497
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 5 800 0.06987 129.54 93.29474
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.9 5 800 0.11479 36.24 115.8841
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 5 800 0.15985 79.64 148.3017
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.9 5 800 0.20501 227.94 194.9563
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 5 800 0.25024 422.90
Fig. 16.1 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a 5-year
project
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 307
Fig. 16.2 Dependence of ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a 5-year
project
One can see from Fig. 16.1 that the nature of the NPV dependence on leverage at
t* ¼ 0.5 is changed: there is a transition from the diminishing function NPV(L )
when t < t* to the growing function NPV(L) at t > t*.
Ten-Year Project
For 10-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.8, 16.9, 16.10, 16.11,
16.12, 16.13, and 16.14; Figs. 16.3 and 16.4).
Perpetuity Limit
In perpetuity limit n ! 1 [Мodigliani and Мiller limit (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958,
1963, 1966)], the formula for NPV is as the following (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008):
Table 16.8 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.3
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 10 800 0.18 1516.69 51.935
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.3 10 800 0.19907 1464.75 101.47
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 10 800 0.217182 1363.28 104.843
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.3 10 800 0.235022 1258.44 100.263
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.3 10 800 0.252747 1158.18 93.8156
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.3 10 800 0.270413 1064.36 87.1129
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 10 800 0.288045 977.25 80.6768
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.3 10 800 0.305654 896.57 74.6812
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 10 800 0.323249 821.89 69.1705
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.3 10 800 0.340834 752.72 64.1369
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 10 800 0.358411 688.58
308 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.9 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.4
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 10 800 0.18 1157.16 61.10029
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.4 10 800 0.191455 1218.26 18.517
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 10 800 0.201083 1199.74 35.7995
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.4 10 800 0.210169 1163.95 41.1321
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.4 10 800 0.21902 1122.81 42.6427
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.4 10 800 0.22775 1080.17 42.6081
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 10 800 0.236408 1037.56 41.8669
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.4 10 800 0.24502 995.70 40.7844
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 10 800 0.253602 954.91 39.5386
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.4 10 800 0.262161 915.37 38.2228
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 10 800 0.270705 877.15
Table 16.10 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.5
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 10 800 0.18 797.63 44.2013
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.5 10 800 0.219687 753.43 104.707
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 10 800 0.255351 648.73 103.671
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.5 10 800 0.290005 545.06 93.6005
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.5 10 800 0.32421 451.45 82.6797
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.5 10 800 0.358168 368.78 72.7174
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 10 800 0.391982 296.06 64.0269
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.5 10 800 0.425702 232.03 56.5734
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 10 800 0.459362 175.46 50.1953
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.5 10 800 0.492979 125.26 44.7383
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 10 800 0.526564 80.52
Table 16.11 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.6
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 10 800 0.18 438.11 244.5668
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.6 10 800 0.175084 682.67 125.4304
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 10 800 0.165407 808.10 101.3662
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.6 10 800 0.154162 909.47 95.93652
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.6 10 800 0.142206 1005.41 97.02629
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.6 10 800 0.129869 1102.43 101.3309
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 10 800 0.117304 1203.76 107.7015
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.6 10 800 0.10459 1311.47 115.7055
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 10 800 0.091775 1427.17 125.2046
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.6 10 800 0.078888 1552.38 136.2059
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 10 800 0.065947 1688.58
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 309
Table 16.12 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.7
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 10 800 0.18 78.58 310.4744
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.7 10 800 0.166255 389.06 177.1979
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 10 800 0.145497 566.25 160.5402
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.7 10 800 0.122295 726.79 169.9063
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.7 10 800 0.097953 896.70 191.9196
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.7 10 800 0.072986 1088.62 224.1724
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 10 800 0.04764 1312.79 267.4019
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.7 10 800 0.022047 1580.19 323.9861
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 10 800 0.00372 1904.18 397.7601
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.7 10 800 0.0296 2301.94 494.3094
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 10 800 0.05558 2796.25
Table 16.13 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.8
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 10 800 0.18 280.95 355.2633
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.8 10 800 0.156938 74.32 204.8466
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 10 800 0.123925 279.16 198.4863
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.8 10 800 0.087223 477.65 232.7806
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.8 10 800 0.048741 710.43 297.8303
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.8 10 800 0.009262 1008.26 400.9259
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 10 800 0.03083 1409.19 560.3743
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.8 10 800 0.07133 1969.56 809.4944
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 10 800 0.11211 2779.06 1207.425
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.8 10 800 0.1531 3986.48 1861.112
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 10 800 0.19424 5847.59
Table 16.14 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.9
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 10 800 0.18 640.47 375.0978
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.9 10 800 0.147081 265.38 194.2145
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 10 800 0.100417 71.16 186.9461
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.9 10 800 0.048303 115.79 239.586
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.9 10 800 0.00655 355.37 356.4744
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.9 10 800 0.06297 711.85 583.6021
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 10 800 0.12039 1295.45 1032.383
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.9 10 800 0.17847 2327.83 1967.211
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 10 800 0.23701 4295.04 4054.338
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.9 10 800 0.2959 8349.38 9115.336
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 10 800 0.35504 17,464.72
310 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Fig. 16.3 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a 10-year
project
Fig. 16.4 Dependence of ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a
10-year project
NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ Dð1 t Þ: ð16:2Þ
ke
I NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ ð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ : ð16:3Þ
1þL ke
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 311
I NOIð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ ð1 þ Lð1 t ÞÞ þ , ð16:4Þ
1þL k0 þ ðk0 kd ÞLð1 t Þ
where L ¼ D/S is the leverage level, ke is the equity cost of a leverage company
(which uses the debt capital), and k0 is the equity cost of a financially independent
company.
In the transition from the Eq. (16.3) to Eq. (16.4), we have used the formula for
equity capital cost, received by Мodigliani and Мiller (1958, 1963, 1966):
For perpetuity (long-term) projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.15,
16.16, 16.17, 16.18, 16.19, 16.20, and 16.21; Figs. 16.5 and 16.6).
Table 16.15 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a perpetuity (long-term) project at t ¼ 0.3
L t k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 2111.111 268.803
1 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1842.308 269.426
2 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1572.881 226.669
3 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1346.212 188.404
4 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1157.808 157.808
5 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1000 133.662
6 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 866.3383 114.477
7 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 751.8617 99.0564
8 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 652.8053 86.509
9 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 566.2963 76.1777
10 0.3 0.18 0.14 1000 800 490.1186
Table 16.16 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a perpetuity (long-term) project at t ¼ 0.4
L t k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1666.667 113.725
1 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1552.941 181.011
2 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1371.93 167.168
3 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1204.762 145.631
4 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1059.13 125.797
5 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 933.3333 108.995
6 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 824.3386 95.0283
7 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 729.3103 83.4322
8 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 645.8781 73.7569
9 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 572.1212 65.6277
10 0.4 0.18 0.14 1000 800 506.4935
312 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.17 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a perpetuity (long-term) project at t ¼ 0.5
L t k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1222.222 27.77778
1 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1250 98.4848
2 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1151.515 109.848
3 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 1041.667 103.205
4 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 938.4615 93.2234
5 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 845.2381 83.3333
6 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 761.9048 74.4048
7 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 687.5 66.585
8 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 620.915 59.8039
9 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 561.1111 53.9341
10 0.5 0.18 0.14 1000 800 507.177
Table 16.18 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a perpetuity (long-term) project at t ¼ 0.6
L t k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 777.7778 154.8753
1 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 932.6531 23.2191
2 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 909.434 55.9252
3 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 853.5088 62.0334
4 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 791.4754 60.7062
5 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 730.7692 57.0632
6 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 673.706 52.8156
7 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 620.8904 48.596
8 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 572.2944 44.6401
9 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 527.6543 41.0233
10 0.6 0.18 0.14 1000 800 486.631
Table 16.19 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a perpetuity (long-term) project at t ¼ 0.7
t k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 333.3333 266.6667
1 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 600 43.13725
2 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 643.1373 7.02614
3 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 636.1111 23.4795
4 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 612.6316 29.2982
5 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 583.3333 30.9524
6 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 552.381 30.79
7 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 521.5909 29.8035
8 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 491.7874 28.4541
9 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 463.3333 26.9697
10 0.7 0.18 0.14 1000 800 436.3636
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 313
Table 16.20 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a perpetuity (long-term) project at t ¼ 0.8
L t k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 111.111 362.1749
1 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 251.0638 98.59603
2 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 349.6599 34.65386
3 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 384.3137 10.40326
4 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 394.717 0.77759
5 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 393.9394 6.47072
6 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 387.4687 9.50257
7 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 377.9661 11.1173
8 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 366.8488 11.9282
9 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 354.9206 12.2633
10 0.8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 342.6573
Table 16.21 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a perpetuity (long-term) project at t ¼ 0.9
L t k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 555.556 440.3382
1 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 115.217 140.7493
2 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 25.53191 66.13475
3 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 91.66667 36.4966
4 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 128.1633 21.83673
5 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 150 13.58543
6 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 163.5854 8.52995
7 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 172.1154 5.243106
8 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 177.3585 3.01188
9 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 180.3704 1.447811
10 0.9 0.18 0.14 1000 800 181.8182
Fig. 16.5 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a
perpetuity (long-term) project
314 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Fig. 16.6 Dependence of ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a
perpetuity (long-term) project
In this case, we use the following expression for NPV (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008):
Lt 1 NOIð1 t Þ 1
NPV ¼ I 1 1 þ 1 ð16:6Þ
1þL ð1 þ kd Þn ke ð1 þ k e Þn
Using it, we calculate the dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at
fixed levels of tax on profit rate t.
Five-Year Project
For 5-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.22, 16.23, 16.24, 16.25,
16.26, 16.27, and 16.28; Figs. 16.7 and 16.8).
Table 16.22 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.3
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 5 800 0.18 751.2158 4.922709
1000 1 0.14774 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.3 5 800 0.197488 756.1385 36.8599
1000 2 0.13679 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 5 800 0.214367 719.2786 44.7663
1000 3 0.13127 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.3 5 800 0.231082 674.5122 46.126
1000 4 0.12795 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.3 5 800 0.24773 628.3863 45.4549
1000 5 0.12572 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.3 5 800 0.264343 582.9313 44.027
1000 6 0.12413 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 5 800 0.280937 538.9044 42.3084
1000 7 0.12294 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.3 5 800 0.297518 496.596 40.4978
1000 8 0.12201 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 5 800 0.314091 456.0982 38.6879
1000 9 0.12127 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.3 5 800 0.330658 417.4103 36.9239
1000 10 0.12066 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 5 800 0.34722 380.4865
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 315
Table 16.23 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.4
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 5 800 0.18 501.0421 64.13345
1000 1 0.13679 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.4 5 800 0.189578 565.1755 4.73089
1000 2 0.12201 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 5 800 0.19803 569.9064 9.5017
1000 3 0.11454 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.4 5 800 0.206172 560.4047 14.7815
1000 4 0.11004 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.4 5 800 0.214184 545.6233 17.1025
1000 5 0.10702 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.4 5 800 0.22213 528.5208 18.1709
1000 6 0.10486 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 5 800 0.230037 510.3499 18.6246
1000 7 0.10324 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.4 5 800 0.23792 491.7254 18.7461
1000 8 0.10198 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 5 800 0.245786 472.9793 18.6762
1000 9 0.10096 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.4 5 800 0.253642 454.3031 18.4911
1000 10 0.10014 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 5 800 0.261488 435.812
Table 16.24 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.5
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 5 800 0.18 250.8684 116.0669
1000 1 0.12572 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.5 5 800 0.181448 366.9353 41.1323
1000 2 0.10702 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 5 800 0.181065 408.0676 22.57738
1000 3 0.09754 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.5 5 800 0.180162 430.645 15.19888
1000 4 0.09181 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.5 5 800 0.179041 445.8439 11.52994
1000 5 0.08797 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.5 5 800 0.177806 457.3738 9.446706
1000 6 0.08522 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 5 800 0.176505 466.8205 8.154973
1000 7 0.08315 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.5 5 800 0.175162 474.9755 7.302458
1000 8 0.08153 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 5 800 0.173792 482.278 6.713275
1000 9 0.08024 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.5 5 800 0.172401 488.9912 6.291579
1000 10 0.07918 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 5 800 0.170996 495.2828
Table 16.25 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.6
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 5 800 0.18 0.694727 160.0655
1000 1 0.11454 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.6 5 800 0.173086 160.7602 70.95083
1000 2 0.09181 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 5 800 0.163424 231.711 49.78654
1000 3 0.08024 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.6 5 800 0.15296 281.4976 42.12961
1000 4 0.07323 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.6 5 800 0.142153 323.6272 39.00243
1000 5 0.06853 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.6 5 800 0.131168 362.6296 37.85743
1000 6 0.06515 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 5 800 0.120078 400.487 37.74625
1000 7 0.06262 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.6 5 800 0.108922 438.2333 38.25211
1000 8 0.06064 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 5 800 0.097721 476.4854 39.17065
1000 9 0.05905 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.6 5 800 0.086488 515.656 40.39427
1000 10 0.05775 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 5 800 0.075231 556.0503
316 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.26 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.7
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 5 800 0.18 249.479 195.3877
1000 1 0.10324 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.7 5 800 0.16448 54.0913 92.40829
1000 2 0.07635 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 5 800 0.145057 38.31702 69.68464
1000 3 0.06262 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.7 5 800 0.124461 108.0017 63.19622
1000 4 0.05427 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.7 5 800 0.103355 171.1979 62.43475
1000 5 0.04866 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.7 5 800 0.081982 233.6326 64.46977
1000 6 0.04464 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 5 800 0.060453 298.1024 68.26526
1000 7 0.0416 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.7 5 800 0.038822 366.3677 73.42597
1000 8 0.03924 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 5 800 0.017124 439.7936 79.82524
1000 9 0.03734 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.7 5 800 0.00462 519.6189 87.47314
1000 10 0.03578 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 5 800 0.0264 607.092
Table 16.27 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.8
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 5 800 0.18 499.653 221.1945
1000 1 0.09181 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.8 5 800 0.155616 278.458 103.2179
1000 2 0.06064 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 5 800 0.125907 175.24 78.69376
1000 3 0.04464 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.8 5 800 0.094544 96.5465 73.65304
1000 4 0.03489 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.8 5 800 0.062454 22.8934 76.11182
1000 5 0.02833 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.8 5 800 0.029979 53.21839 82.93806
1000 6 0.02361 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 5 800 0.00272 136.1565 93.28915
1000 7 0.02005 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.8 5 800 0.03557 229.4456 107.1925
1000 8 0.01728 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 5 800 0.06852 336.6381 125.1636
1000 9 0.01505 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.8 5 800 0.10154 461.8017 148.1245
1000 10 0.01322 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 5 800 0.13462 609.9262
Table 16.28 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 5-year project at t ¼ 0.9
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 5 800 0.18 749.826 236.5329
1000 1 0.08024 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.9 5 800 0.14648 513.293 100.4127
1000 2 0.04464 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 5 800 0.105908 412.881 71.49601
1000 3 0.02627 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.9 5 800 0.063074 341.385 65.36206
1000 4 0.01505 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.9 5 800 0.019228 276.023 68.55205
1000 5 0.00747 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.9 5 800 0.02516 207.471 77.93497
1000 6 0.00202 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 5 800 0.06987 129.536 93.29474
1000 7 0.0021 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.9 5 800 0.11479 36.2409 115.8841
1000 8 0.0053 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 5 800 0.15985 79.64322 148.3017
1000 9 0.0079 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.9 5 800 0.20501 227.945 194.9563
1000 10 0.01 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 5 800 0.25024 422.9012
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 317
Fig. 16.7 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a 5-year
project
Fig. 16.8 Dependence of ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a 5-year
project
Ten-Year Project
For 10-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.29, 16.30, 16.31, 16.32,
16.33, 16.34, and 16.35; Figs. 16.9 and 16.10).
318 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.29 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.3
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 10 800 0.18 1516.688 51.935
1000 1 0.14854 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.3 10 800 0.19907 1464.753 101.47
1000 2 0.13773 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 10 800 0.217182 1363.283 104.843
1000 3 0.13226 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.3 10 800 0.235022 1258.441 100.263
1000 4 0.12895 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.3 10 800 0.252747 1158.178 93.8156
1000 5 0.12674 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.3 10 800 0.270413 1064.362 87.1129
1000 6 0.12515 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 10 800 0.288045 977.2493 80.6768
1000 7 0.12396 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.3 10 800 0.305654 896.5725 74.6812
1000 8 0.12303 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 10 800 0.323249 821.8913 69.1705
1000 9 0.12228 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.3 10 800 0.340834 752.7207 64.1369
1000 10 0.12167 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 10 800 0.358411 688.5839
Table 16.30 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.4
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 10 800 0.18 1157.161 61.10029
1000 1 0.13773 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.4 10 800 0.191455 1218.262 18.517
1000 2 0.12303 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 10 800 0.201083 1199.745 35.7995
1000 3 0.11554 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.4 10 800 0.210169 1163.945 41.1321
1000 4 0.111 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.4 10 800 0.21902 1122.813 42.6427
1000 5 0.10796 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.4 10 800 0.22775 1080.17 42.6081
1000 6 0.10577 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 10 800 0.236408 1037.562 41.8669
1000 7 0.10413 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.4 10 800 0.24502 995.6955 40.7844
1000 8 0.10284 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 10 800 0.253602 954.9111 39.5386
1000 9 0.10182 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.4 10 800 0.262161 915.3725 38.2228
1000 10 0.10097 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 10 800 0.270705 877.1497
Table 16.31 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.5
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 10 800 0.18 797.6345 44.2013
1000 1 0.14484 0.20056 0.14 0.5 0.5 10 800 0.219687 753.4333 104.707
1000 2 0.13178 0.20836 0.14 0.66667 0.5 10 800 0.255351 648.7259 103.671
1000 3 0.125 0.21253 0.14 0.75 0.5 10 800 0.290005 545.0552 93.6005
1000 4 0.12084 0.21513 0.14 0.8 0.5 10 800 0.32421 451.4547 82.6797
1000 5 0.11803 0.2169 0.14 0.83333 0.5 10 800 0.358168 368.775 72.7174
1000 6 0.116 0.21819 0.14 0.85714 0.5 10 800 0.391982 296.0576 64.0269
1000 7 0.11446 0.21917 0.14 0.875 0.5 10 800 0.425702 232.0307 56.5734
1000 8 0.11326 0.21994 0.14 0.88889 0.5 10 800 0.459362 175.4573 50.1953
1000 9 0.1123 0.22055 0.14 0.9 0.5 10 800 0.492979 125.262 44.7383
1000 10 0.11151 0.22106 0.14 0.90909 0.5 10 800 0.526564 80.52365
16.1 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Level L at Fixed Levels of Tax on Profit Rate t 319
Table 16.32 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.6
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 10 800 0.18 438.1076 244.5668
1000 1 0.11554 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.6 10 800 0.175084 682.6744 125.4304
1000 2 0.09247 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 10 800 0.165407 808.1048 101.3662
1000 3 0.08054 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.6 10 800 0.154162 909.471 95.93652
1000 4 0.07324 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.6 10 800 0.142206 1005.408 97.02629
1000 5 0.06831 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.6 10 800 0.129869 1102.434 101.3309
1000 6 0.06476 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 10 800 0.117304 1203.765 107.7015
1000 7 0.06207 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.6 10 800 0.10459 1311.466 115.7055
1000 8 0.05998 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 10 800 0.091775 1427.172 125.2046
1000 9 0.05829 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.6 10 800 0.078888 1552.376 136.2059
1000 10 0.0569 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 10 800 0.065947 1688.582
Table 16.33 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.7
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 10 800 0.18 78.58071 310.4744
1000 1 0.10413 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.7 10 800 0.166255 389.0551 177.1979
1000 2 0.0765 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 10 800 0.145497 566.253 160.5402
1000 3 0.06207 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.7 10 800 0.122295 726.7932 169.9063
1000 4 0.05319 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.7 10 800 0.097953 896.6995 191.9196
1000 5 0.04716 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.7 10 800 0.072986 1088.619 224.1724
1000 6 0.04281 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 10 800 0.04764 1312.791 267.4019
1000 7 0.03951 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.7 10 800 0.022047 1580.193 323.9861
1000 8 0.03692 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 10 800 0.00372 1904.18 397.7601
1000 9 0.03484 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.7 10 800 0.0296 2301.94 494.3094
1000 10 0.03313 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 10 800 0.05558 2796.249
Table 16.34 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.8
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 10 800 0.18 280.946 355.2633
1000 1 0.09247 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.8 10 800 0.156938 74.31716 204.8466
1000 2 0.05998 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 10 800 0.123925 279.1638 198.4863
1000 3 0.04281 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.8 10 800 0.087223 477.6501 232.7806
1000 4 0.03215 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.8 10 800 0.048741 710.4306 297.8303
1000 5 0.02488 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.8 10 800 0.009262 1008.261 400.9259
1000 6 0.0196 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 10 800 0.03083 1409.187 560.3743
1000 7 0.01558 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.8 10 800 0.07133 1969.561 809.4944
1000 8 0.01243 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 10 800 0.11211 2779.056 1207.425
1000 9 0.00989 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.8 10 800 0.1531 3986.481 1861.112
1000 10 0.0078 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 10 800 0.19424 5847.593
320 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.35 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate
t for a 10-year project at t ¼ 0.9
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 10 800 0.18 640.473 375.0978
1000 1 0.08054 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.9 10 800 0.147081 265.375 194.2145
1000 2 0.04281 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 10 800 0.100417 71.1609 186.9461
1000 3 0.02258 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.9 10 800 0.048303 115.7852 239.586
1000 4 0.00989 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.9 10 800 0.00655 355.3712 356.4744
1000 5 0.00117 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.9 10 800 0.06297 711.8456 583.6021
1000 6 0.0052 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 10 800 0.12039 1295.448 1032.383
1000 7 0.0101 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.9 10 800 0.17847 2327.831 1967.211
1000 8 0.0139 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 10 800 0.23701 4295.041 4054.338
1000 9 0.017 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.9 10 800 0.2959 8349.379 9115.336
1000 10 0.0195 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 10 800 0.35504 17,464.72
Fig. 16.9 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a 5-year
project
Fig. 16.10 Dependence of ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rate t for a
5-year project
16.2 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Fixed Leverage Levels L 321
Below we study the dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate at fixed leverage
levels L.
Five-Year Project
For 5-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.36, 16.37, 16.38, 16.39,
16.40, and 16.41; Figs. 16.11 and 16.12).
Table 16.36 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 0
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0 5 800 0.18 1501.74 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.1 5 800 0.18 1251.56 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.2 5 800 0.18 1001.39 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 5 800 0.18 751.22 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 5 800 0.18 501.04 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 5 800 0.18 250.87 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 5 800 0.18 0.69 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 5 800 0.18 249.48 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 5 800 0.18 499.65 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 5 800 0.18 749.83 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 1 5 800 0.18 1000.00
Table 16.37 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 5-year project
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 2 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0 5 800 0.26 1108.06 120.
1000 2 0.16577 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.1 5 800 0.245315 987.07 129.
1000 2 0.15137 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.2 5 800 0.230116 857.87 138.
1000 2 0.13679 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 5 800 0.214367 719.28 149.
1000 2 0.12201 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 5 800 0.19803 569.91 161.
1000 2 0.10702 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 5 800 0.181065 408.07 176.
1000 2 0.09181 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 5 800 0.163424 231.71 193.
1000 2 0.07635 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 5 800 0.145057 38.32 213.
1000 2 0.06064 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 5 800 0.125907 175.24 237.
1000 2 0.04464 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 5 800 0.105908 412.88 266.
1000 2 0.02833 0.18 0.14 0.66667 1 5 800 0.084989 679.58
322 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.38 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 4
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 4 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.8 0 5 800 0.34 808.33 51.044
1000 4 0.16291 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.1 5 800 0.31053 757.29 59.2842
1000 4 0.14556 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.2 5 800 0.279807 698.00 69.6148
1000 4 0.12795 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.3 5 800 0.24773 628.39 82.763
1000 4 0.11004 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.4 5 800 0.214184 545.62 99.7794
1000 4 0.09181 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.5 5 800 0.179041 445.84 122.217
1000 4 0.07323 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.6 5 800 0.142153 323.63 152.429
1000 4 0.05427 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.7 5 800 0.103355 171.20 194.091
1000 4 0.03489 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.8 5 800 0.062454 22.89 253.129
1000 4 0.01505 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.9 5 800 0.019228 276.02 339.472
1000 4 0.0053 0.18 0.14 0.8 1 5 800 0.02658 615.49
Table 16.39 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 6
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 6 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0 5 800 0.42 574.85 6.23744
1000 6 0.16168 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.1 5 800 0.375729 568.61 11.31
1000 6 0.14306 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.2 5 800 0.329434 557.30 18.3975
1000 6 0.12413 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 5 800 0.280937 538.90 28.5544
1000 6 0.10486 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 5 800 0.230037 510.35 43.5294
1000 6 0.08522 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 5 800 0.176505 466.82 66.3335
1000 6 0.06515 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 5 800 0.120078 400.49 102.385
1000 6 0.04464 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 5 800 0.060453 298.10 161.946
1000 6 0.02361 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 5 800 0.00272 136.16 265.692
1000 6 0.00202 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 5 800 0.06987 129.54 458.495
1000 6 0.0202 0.18 0.14 0.85714 1 5 800 0.14147 588.03
Table 16.40 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 8
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 8 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0 5 800 0.5 389.30 23.47489
1000 8 0.16099 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.1 5 800 0.440923 412.78 22.6083
1000 8 0.14167 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.2 5 800 0.379039 435.38 20.71462
1000 8 0.12201 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 5 800 0.314091 456.10 16.88106
1000 8 0.10198 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 5 800 0.245786 472.98 9.298693
1000 8 0.08153 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 5 800 0.173792 482.28 5.79258
1000 8 0.06064 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 5 800 0.097721 476.49 36.6918
1000 8 0.03924 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 5 800 0.017124 439.79 103.156
1000 8 0.01728 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 5 800 0.06852 336.64 256.995
1000 8 0.0053 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 5 800 0.15985 79.64 652.415
1000 8 0.0286 0.18 0.14 0.88889 1 5 800 0.25759 572.77
16.2 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Fixed Leverage Levels L 323
Table 16.41 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 10
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 10 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0 5 800 0.58 239.23 43.49836
1000 10 0.16056 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.1 5 800 0.506115 282.73 46.87962
1000 10 0.14078 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.2 5 800 0.428635 329.61 50.87829
1000 10 0.12066 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 5 800 0.34722 380.49 55.32552
1000 10 0.10014 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 5 800 0.261488 435.81 59.47085
1000 10 0.07918 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 5 800 0.170996 495.28 60.76747
1000 10 0.05775 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 5 800 0.075231 556.05 51.04171
1000 10 0.03578 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 5 800 0.0264 607.09 2.834166
1000 10 0.01322 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 5 800 0.13462 609.93 187.024
1000 10 0.01 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 5 800 0.25024 422.90 985.964
1000 10 0.034 0.18 0.14 0.90909 1 5 800 0.37429 563.06
Fig. 16.11 Dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 5-year project
Fig. 16.12 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 5-year project
324 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Ten-Year Project
For 10-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.42, 16.43, 16.44, 16.45,
16.46, and 16.47; Figs. 16.13 and 16.14).
Table 16.42 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 0
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0 10 800 0.18 2595.27 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.1 10 800 0.18 2235.74 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.2 10 800 0.18 1876.22 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 10 800 0.18 1516.69 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 10 800 0.18 1157.16 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 10 800 0.18 797.63 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 10 800 0.18 438.11 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 10 800 0.18 78.58 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 10 800 0.18 280.95 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 10 800 0.18 640.47 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 1 10 800 0.18 1000.00
Table 16.43 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 2
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 2 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0 10 800 0.26 1771.84 125.137
1000 2 0.16618 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.1 10 800 0.24654 1646.71 135.437
1000 2 0.1521 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.2 10 800 0.232299 1511.27 147.987
1000 2 0.13773 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 10 800 0.217182 1363.28 163.538
1000 2 0.12303 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 10 800 0.201083 1199.74 183.17
1000 2 0.10796 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 10 800 0.183875 1016.58 208.47
1000 2 0.09247 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 10 800 0.165407 808.10 241.852
1000 2 0.0765 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 10 800 0.145497 566.25 287.089
1000 2 0.05998 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 10 800 0.123925 279.16 350.325
1000 2 0.04281 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 10 800 0.100417 71.16 442.002
1000 2 0.02488 0.18 0.14 0.66667 1 10 800 0.074631 513.16
Table 16.44 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 4
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 4 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.8 0 10 800 0.34 1226.89 475.625
1000 4 0.18316 0.20056 0.14 0.8 0.1 10 800 0.411801 751.26 139.495
1000 4 0.17256 0.20836 0.14 0.8 0.2 10 800 0.414791 611.77 74.4553
1000 4 0.15772 0.21253 0.14 0.8 0.3 10 800 0.396579 537.31 54.8815
1000 4 0.14072 0.21513 0.14 0.8 0.4 10 800 0.367589 482.43 52.0879
1000 4 0.12227 0.2169 0.14 0.8 0.5 10 800 0.331331 430.34 60.1971
1000 4 0.10261 0.21819 0.14 0.8 0.6 10 800 0.289071 370.14 80.4792
1000 4 0.08181 0.21917 0.14 0.8 0.7 10 800 0.241069 289.66 120.753
1000 4 0.0598 0.21994 0.14 0.8 0.8 10 800 0.186991 168.91 202.021
1000 4 0.0364 0.22055 0.14 0.8 0.9 10 800 0.126013 33.11 382.685
1000 4 0.01135 0.22106 0.14 0.8 1 10 800 0.056769 415.80
16.2 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Fixed Leverage Levels L 325
Table 16.45 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 6
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 6 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0 10 800 0.42 847.62 37.06285
1000 6 0.16218 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.1 10 800 0.379295 884.68 42.53552
1000 6 0.14392 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.2 10 800 0.335473 927.22 50.03126
1000 6 0.12515 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 10 800 0.288045 977.25 60.31305
1000 6 0.10577 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 10 800 0.236408 1037.56 74.23617
1000 6 0.08569 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 10 800 0.179813 1111.80 91.96624
1000 6 0.06476 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 10 800 0.117304 1203.76 109.0267
1000 6 0.04281 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 10 800 0.04764 1312.79 96.39537
1000 6 0.0196 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 10 800 0.03083 1409.19 113.739
1000 6 0.0052 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 10 800 0.12039 1295.45 1669.51
1000 6 0.032 0.18 0.14 0.85714 1 10 800 0.22431 374.07
Table 16.46 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 8
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 8 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0 10 800 0.5 572.25 67.74227
1000 8 0.16152 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.1 10 800 0.445653 640.00 80.91054
1000 8 0.14255 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.2 10 800 0.386973 720.91 100.9849
1000 8 0.12303 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 10 800 0.323249 821.89 133.0198
1000 8 0.10284 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 10 800 0.253602 954.91 187.1372
1000 8 0.08188 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 10 800 0.17692 1142.05 285.1235
1000 8 0.05998 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 10 800 0.091775 1427.17 477.0078
1000 8 0.03692 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 10 800 0.00372 1904.18 874.876
1000 8 0.01243 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 10 800 0.11211 2779.06 1515.986
1000 8 0.0139 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 10 800 0.23701 4295.04 4645.92
1000 8 0.0426 0.18 0.14 0.88889 1 10 800 0.38375 350.88
Table 16.47 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 10
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 10 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0 10 800 0.58 365.08 85.01433
1000 10 0.16109 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.1 10 800 0.512008 450.10 103.8568
1000 10 0.14168 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.2 10 800 0.438456 553.96 134.6286
1000 10 0.12167 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 10 800 0.358411 688.58 188.5659
1000 10 0.10097 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 10 800 0.270705 877.15 292.3814
1000 10 0.07944 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 10 800 0.173857 1169.53 519.0512
1000 10 0.0569 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 10 800 0.065947 1688.58 1107.667
1000 10 0.03313 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 10 800 0.05558 2796.25 3051.344
1000 10 0.0078 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 10 800 0.19424 5847.59 11,617.12
1000 10 0.0195 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 10 800 0.35504 17,464.71 17,800.8
1000 10 0.0496 0.18 0.14 0.90909 1 10 800 0.54557 336.13
326 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Fig. 16.13 Dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 10-year project
Fig. 16.14 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 10-year
project
Perpetuity Limit
For perpetuity projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.48 and 16.49;
Fig. 16.15).
16.2 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Fixed Leverage Levels L 327
Table 16.48 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
perpetuity project at L ¼ 8
t L k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 32111.1 5003.72
0.1 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 37,114.8 7713.12
0.2 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 44,828 12,659.2
0.3 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 57,487.2 23,580
0.4 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 81,067.2 57,266.1
0.5 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 138,333 326,333
0.6 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 464,667 816,960.8
0.7 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 352,294.1 222,466
0.8 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 129,828.3 49,261
0.9 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 80,567.25 21,567.3
1 8 0.18 0.14 1000 800 59,000
Table 16.49 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
perpetuity project at L ¼ 10
t L k0 kd I NOI NPV ΔNPV
0 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 41,000 9090.91
0.1 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 50,090.9 15,909.1
0.2 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 66,000 32,692.3
0.3 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 98,692.3 99,450.5
0.4 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 198,143 8.6E + 19
0.5 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 8.6E + 19 8.65E + 19
0.6 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 202,750 99,632.4
0.7 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 103,117.6 33,006.5
0.8 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 70,111.11 16,374.3
0.9 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 53,736.84 9736.84
1 10 0.18 0.14 1000 800 44,000
Fig. 16.15 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a perpetuity
project
328 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Five-Year Project
For 5-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.50, 16.51, 16.52, 16.53,
16.54, and 16.55; Figs. 16.16 and 16.17).
Table 16.50 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 0
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0 5 800 0.18 1501.737 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.1 5 800 0.18 1251.563 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.2 5 800 0.18 1001.389 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 5 800 0.18 751.2158 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 5 800 0.18 501.0421 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 5 800 0.18 250.8684 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 5 800 0.18 0.694727 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 5 800 0.18 249.479 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 5 800 0.18 499.653 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 5 800 0.18 749.826 250.174
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 1 5 800 0.18 1000
Table 16.51 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 2
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 2 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0 5 800 0.26 1108.057 120.983
1000 2 0.16577 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.1 5 800 0.245315 987.0733 129.204
1000 2 0.15137 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.2 5 800 0.230116 857.869 138.59
1000 2 0.13679 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 5 800 0.214367 719.2786 149.372
1000 2 0.12201 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 5 800 0.19803 569.9064 161.839
1000 2 0.10702 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 5 800 0.181065 408.0676 176.357
1000 2 0.09181 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 5 800 0.163424 231.711 193.394
1000 2 0.07635 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 5 800 0.145057 38.31702 213.557
1000 2 0.06064 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 5 800 0.125907 175.24 237.64
1000 2 0.04464 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 5 800 0.105908 412.881 266.698
1000 2 0.02833 0.18 0.14 0.66667 1 5 800 0.084989 679.579
16.2 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Fixed Leverage Levels L 329
Table 16.52 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 4
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 4 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.8 0 5 800 0.34 808.3293 51.044
1000 4 0.16291 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.1 5 800 0.31053 757.2853 59.2842
1000 4 0.14556 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.2 5 800 0.279807 698.0011 69.6148
1000 4 0.12795 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.3 5 800 0.24773 628.3863 82.763
1000 4 0.11004 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.4 5 800 0.214184 545.6233 99.7794
1000 4 0.09181 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.5 5 800 0.179041 445.8439 122.217
1000 4 0.07323 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.6 5 800 0.142153 323.6272 152.429
1000 4 0.05427 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.7 5 800 0.103355 171.1979 194.091
1000 4 0.03489 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.8 5 800 0.062454 22.8934 253.129
1000 4 0.01505 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.9 5 800 0.019228 276.023 339.472
1000 4 0.0053 0.18 0.14 0.8 1 5 800 0.02658 615.495
Table 16.53 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 6
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 6 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0 5 800 0.42 574.8492 6.23744
1000 6 0.16168 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.1 5 800 0.375729 568.6118 11.31
1000 6 0.14306 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.2 5 800 0.329434 557.3019 18.3975
1000 6 0.12413 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 5 800 0.280937 538.9044 28.5544
1000 6 0.10486 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 5 800 0.230037 510.3499 43.5294
1000 6 0.08522 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 5 800 0.176505 466.8205 66.3335
1000 6 0.06515 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 5 800 0.120078 400.487 102.385
1000 6 0.04464 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 5 800 0.060453 298.1024 161.946
1000 6 0.02361 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 5 800 0.00272 136.1565 265.692
1000 6 0.00202 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 5 800 0.06987 129.536 458.495
1000 6 0.0202 0.18 0.14 0.85714 1 5 800 0.14147 588.03
Table 16.54 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 8
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 8 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0 5 800 0.5 389.3004 23.47489
1000 8 0.16099 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.1 5 800 0.440923 412.7753 22.6083
1000 8 0.14167 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.2 5 800 0.379039 435.3836 20.71462
1000 8 0.12201 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 5 800 0.314091 456.0982 16.88106
1000 8 0.10198 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 5 800 0.245786 472.9793 9.298693
1000 8 0.08153 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 5 800 0.173792 482.278 5.79258
1000 8 0.06064 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 5 800 0.097721 476.4854 36.6918
1000 8 0.03924 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 5 800 0.017124 439.7936 103.156
1000 8 0.01728 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 5 800 0.06852 336.6381 256.995
1000 8 0.0053 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 5 800 0.15985 79.64322 652.415
1000 8 0.0286 0.18 0.14 0.88889 1 5 800 0.25759 572.772
330 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.55 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
5-year project at L ¼ 10
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 10 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0 5 800 0.58 239.2302 43.49836
1000 10 0.16056 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.1 5 800 0.506115 282.7286 46.87962
1000 10 0.14078 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.2 5 800 0.428635 329.6082 50.87829
1000 10 0.12066 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 5 800 0.34722 380.4865 55.32552
1000 10 0.10014 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 5 800 0.261488 435.812 59.47085
1000 10 0.07918 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 5 800 0.170996 495.2828 60.76747
1000 10 0.05775 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 5 800 0.075231 556.0503 51.04171
1000 10 0.03578 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 5 800 0.0264 607.092 2.834166
1000 10 0.01322 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 5 800 0.13462 609.9262 187.024
1000 10 0.01 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 5 800 0.25024 422.9017 985.964
1000 10 0.034 0.18 0.14 0.90909 1 5 800 0.37429 563.062
Fig. 16.16 Dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 5-year project
Fig. 16.17 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 5-year project
16.2 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Fixed Leverage Levels L 331
Ten-Year Projects
For 10-year projects, we get the following results (Tables 16.56, 16.57, 16.58, 16.59,
16.60, and 16.61; Figs. 16.18, 16.19, 16.20, and 16.21).
Table 16.56 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 0
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0 10 800 0.18 2595.269 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.1 10 800 0.18 2235.742 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.2 10 800 0.18 1876.215 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 10 800 0.18 1516.688 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 10 800 0.18 1157.161 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 10 800 0.18 797.6345 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.6 10 800 0.18 438.1076 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.7 10 800 0.18 78.58071 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.8 10 800 0.18 280.946 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 0.9 10 800 0.18 640.473 359.527
1000 0 0.18 0.18 0.14 0 1 10 800 0.18 1000
Table 16.57 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 2
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 2 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0 10 800 0.26 1771.845 125.137
1000 2 0.16618 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.1 10 800 0.24654 1646.708 135.437
1000 2 0.1521 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.2 10 800 0.232299 1511.27 147.987
1000 2 0.13773 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 10 800 0.217182 1363.283 163.538
1000 2 0.12303 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 10 800 0.201083 1199.745 183.17
1000 2 0.10796 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 10 800 0.183875 1016.575 208.47
1000 2 0.09247 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.6 10 800 0.165407 808.1048 241.852
1000 2 0.0765 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.7 10 800 0.145497 566.253 287.089
1000 2 0.05998 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.8 10 800 0.123925 279.1638 350.325
1000 2 0.04281 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.9 10 800 0.100417 71.1609 442.002
1000 2 0.02488 0.18 0.14 0.66667 1 10 800 0.074631 513.163
332 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Table 16.58 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 4
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 4 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.8 0 10 800 0.34 1226.885 475.625
1000 4 0.18316 0.20056 0.14 0.8 0.1 10 800 0.411801 751.2601 139.495
1000 4 0.17256 0.20836 0.14 0.8 0.2 10 800 0.414791 611.7654 74.4553
1000 4 0.15772 0.21253 0.14 0.8 0.3 10 800 0.396579 537.3101 54.8815
1000 4 0.14072 0.21513 0.14 0.8 0.4 10 800 0.367589 482.4286 52.0879
1000 4 0.12227 0.2169 0.14 0.8 0.5 10 800 0.331331 430.3407 60.1971
1000 4 0.10261 0.21819 0.14 0.8 0.6 10 800 0.289071 370.1436 80.4792
1000 4 0.08181 0.21917 0.14 0.8 0.7 10 800 0.241069 289.6644 120.753
1000 4 0.0598 0.21994 0.14 0.8 0.8 10 800 0.186991 168.9112 202.021
1000 4 0.0364 0.22055 0.14 0.8 0.9 10 800 0.126013 33.1095 382.685
1000 4 0.01135 0.22106 0.14 0.8 1 10 800 0.056769 415.795
Table 16.59 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 6
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 6 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0 10 800 0.42 847.6197 37.06285
1000 6 0.16218 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.1 10 800 0.379295 884.6825 42.53552
1000 6 0.14392 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.2 10 800 0.335473 927.218 50.03126
1000 6 0.12515 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 10 800 0.288045 977.2493 60.31305
1000 6 0.10577 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 10 800 0.236408 1037.562 74.23617
1000 6 0.08569 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 10 800 0.179813 1111.799 91.96624
1000 6 0.06476 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.6 10 800 0.117304 1203.765 109.0267
1000 6 0.04281 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.7 10 800 0.04764 1312.791 96.39537
1000 6 0.0196 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.8 10 800 0.03083 1409.187 113.739
1000 6 0.0052 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.9 10 800 0.12039 1295.448 1669.51
1000 6 0.032 0.18 0.14 0.85714 1 10 800 0.22431 374.066
Table 16.60 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 8
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 8 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0 10 800 0.5 572.2536 67.74227
1000 8 0.16152 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.1 10 800 0.445653 639.9958 80.91054
1000 8 0.14255 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.2 10 800 0.386973 720.9064 100.9849
1000 8 0.12303 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 10 800 0.323249 821.8913 133.0198
1000 8 0.10284 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 10 800 0.253602 954.9111 187.1372
1000 8 0.08188 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 10 800 0.17692 1142.048 285.1235
1000 8 0.05998 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.6 10 800 0.091775 1427.172 477.0078
1000 8 0.03692 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.7 10 800 0.00372 1904.18 874.876
1000 8 0.01243 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.8 10 800 0.11211 2779.056 1515.986
1000 8 0.0139 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.9 10 800 0.23701 4295.041 4645.92
1000 8 0.0426 0.18 0.14 0.88889 1 10 800 0.38375 350.883
16.2 Dependence of NPV on Tax on Profit Rate at Fixed Leverage Levels L 333
Table 16.61 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a
10-year project at L ¼ 10
I L WACC k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
1000 10 0.18 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0 10 800 0.58 365.0841 85.01433
1000 10 0.16109 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.1 10 800 0.512008 450.0984 103.8568
1000 10 0.14168 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.2 10 800 0.438456 553.9552 134.6286
1000 10 0.12167 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 10 800 0.358411 688.5839 188.5659
1000 10 0.10097 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 10 800 0.270705 877.1497 292.3814
1000 10 0.07944 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 10 800 0.173857 1169.531 519.0512
1000 10 0.0569 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.6 10 800 0.065947 1688.582 1107.667
1000 10 0.03313 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.7 10 800 0.05558 2796.249 3051.344
1000 10 0.0078 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.8 10 800 0.19424 5847.593 11,617.12
1000 10 0.0195 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.9 10 800 0.35504 17,464.71 17,800.8
1000 10 0.0496 0.18 0.14 0.90909 1 10 800 0.54557 336.131
Fig. 16.18 Dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 10-year project
Fig. 16.19 Dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 10-year project
(more detailed)
334 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
Fig. 16.20 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 10-year
project
Fig. 16.21 Dependence of ΔNPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for a 10-year
project (more detailed)
It is seen from Fig. 16.19 that falling trend at L ¼ 0, 2, and 4 alternates by growing
trend at higher leverage levels L ¼ 6, 8, and 10.
The observed increase of NPV at high leverage levels (starting from L ¼ 6) with
growth of tax on profit rate t takes place at all values of t, which means that this is an
entirely new effect in investments, which can be applied in a real economic practice
for the optimization of the management of investments.
Let us consider more detailed figure.
References 335
Conclusions Within the modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO theory) and modern investment models created
within this theory, the influence of the growth of tax on profit rate on the efficiency of
the investment is investigated. It has been shown that for arbitrary duration projects
as well as for perpetuity projects, the growth of tax on profit rate changes the nature
of the NPV dependence on leverage at some value t*: there is a transition from the
diminishing function NPV(L ) when t < t* to the growing function NPV(L ) at t > t*.
The t* value depends on the duration of the project, cost of capital (equity and debt)
values, and other parameters of the project.
At high leverage levels, this leads to a qualitatively new effect in investments:
growth of the efficiency of the investments with the growth of tax on profit rate.
Discovered effects take place under consideration from the point of view of owners
of equity capital as well as from the point of view of owners of equity and debt
capital.
The observed increase of NPV at high leverage levels (starting from L ¼ 6) with
growth of tax on profit rate t takes place at all values of t, which means that this is an
entirely new effect in investments which can be applied in a real economic practice
for the optimization of the management of investments.
So, two very important qualitatively new effects in investments have been
discovered:
1. Change of the character of NPV dependence on leverage with growth of tax on
profit rate
2. Growth of the efficiency of the investments with growth of tax on profit rate
Both effects could be used in practice to optimize the investments.
References
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital
cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
336 16 Is It Possible to Increase the Investment Efficiency by Increasing. . .
In this chapter developed by the authors models on the evaluation of the dependence
of the effectiveness of investments on debt financing are applied for the analysis of
investments of one of the telecommunication company for 2010–2012 from the
point of view of optimal structure of investment. The analysis revealed that only in
2011, the company’s investment structure was close to the optimal.
17.1 Introduction
Investments in tangible and intangible assets play an important role in the activities
of any company. They are a necessary condition for structural adjustment and
economic growth and provide the creation of new and enhancement of existing
basic funds and industries. The role of investment, which is always one of the most
important, is increased many times at the current stage.
For example, in Russia a priority of budget will be the reduced of dependence of
the price of oil and gas. The main issue that helps at least to start the movement on
this way is, of course, investments. In this way, the role of investment at the present
stage is indeed increasing dramatically. In this regard, the role of the evaluation of
the efficiency of investment projects, which in the context of scarcity and limited
investment resources allows the realization of the most effective projects, increases.
Since virtually all investment projects use debt financing, the purpose of the study of
the impact of debt financing and capital structure on the efficiency of investment
projects, determining the optimal level leverage, is especially actual at the
present time.
The hope to determine the optimal capital structure, in which one or more
parameters of the efficiency of the project (NPV, IRR, etc.) are maximum, more
than half a century has encouraged researchers to deal with the issue. Some of the
major problems in the assessment of the effectiveness of the projects are the
following:
– What are financial flows and why are they necessary to take into account when
calculating parameters of efficiency of the project (NPV, IRR, etc.)?
– How many discount rates should be used for financial flows associated with
investments?
– How can these discount rates be accurately determined?
Discussion concerning the first two problems is ongoing. On the third issue, one
needs to note that, in recent years, there has been a significant progress in the
accurate determination of the cost of the equity capital of the company and its
weighted average cost, which are the discount rates when evaluating the NPV of
the project. The progress is associated with work performed by Brusov, Filatova, and
Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011), in which the
general theory of capital cost of the company (equity cost as well as weighted
average cost) was established and its dependence on leverage and on lifetime (age)
of company was found for the companies with arbitrary lifetime (age). The main
difference between their theory and theory by Modigliani and Miller is that the
former one waives from the perpetuity of the companies, which leads to significant
differences of a new theory from theory of Nobel laureates Мodigliani and Мiller
(1958, 1963, 1966).
The lack of modern methods of evaluation for effectiveness of investment pro-
jects with account of the debt financing, with the correct assessment of discount rate,
used in investment models, has identified the need for research. The establishment of
such modern models, considering problem from the point of view of equity capital
owners as well as from the point of view of equity and debt capital owners, with the
use of modern theory by Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova that assesses the equity
capital cost and weighted average cost of capital of the company (Мodigliani and
Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966), which play the role of discount rate in the investment
models, can significantly contribute to the problem of the assessment of investment
projects’ effectiveness.
Based on the method, developed by the authors (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov
et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008), let us analyze
the efficiency of investments of one of the leading companies in the telecommuni-
cation sector “Nastcom Plus” for 2010–2012 from the point of view of optimal
structure of investment. The source data for the analysis are presented in Table 17.1.
Quantity k0 is the equity cost of financially independent company (or equity cost
at zero leverage) and for “Nastcom Plus” is equal to 23.67% (Brusova 2011). Here
are also calculated dependence of weighted average cost of capital WACC and the
equity cost ke on leverage (Fig. 17.1).
17.2 Investment Analysis and Recommendations for Telecommunication Company. . . 339
K
60
Ke
50 Ke
40 4
5
6
30 Ke
1 WACC
2
20 3 WACC
WACC
10
L
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Fig. 17.1 Dependence of weighted average cost of capital WACC and the equity cost ke on
leverage: 1, 4 within Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory; 2, 5 within Modigliani–Miller theory; 3,
6 within traditional approach
Analysis of investment will be continued with use of the formula provided in the
works (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008):
340 17 Optimizing the Investment Structure of the Telecommunication Sector Company
1 1
NPV ¼ S 1 þ L ð1 t Þ 1 þ
ð1 þ k d Þn ð1 þ k d Þn
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 , ð17:1Þ
ke ð1 þ k e Þn
where:
NPV—net present value
S—equity capital amount
L—leverage level
t—tax on profit rate
kd—debt cost
n—project duration
β—return on investment for 1 year
ke—equity cost
Analysis of Investments in 2010 Using Nastcom Plus company’s data
(Table 17.1), we compute the WACC, ke, and NPV (Tables 17.2, 17.3, and 17.4;
Figs. 17.1 and 17.2).
In the company’s investment in 2010, equity capital accounted for 65%, and debt
35%, i.e., the leverage level was equal to L ¼ 0.54. The term for hardware
depreciation, into establishment of which investment was done, was 5 years.
Curve 2 (Fig. 17.2) corresponds to dependence of NPV on leverage level for the
5-year project. Optimum NPV is achieved when L ¼ 2. At this leverage level,
NPV ¼ 3624.5 million dollars.
The level leverage with which “Nastcom Plus” has carried out its investment
projects (L ¼ 0.54) was lying far from optimum and provided NPV ¼ 2979.2 million
dollars, which is approximately 645 million dollars less than the optimal value
of NPV.
Since the equipment can be operated, after depreciation, one can estimate the
NPV for a more long-term perspective. For example, for the 7-year project, the
optimal leverage value is L ¼ 2.0, when the NPV ¼ 4157.6 million dollars, which is
562.8 million dollars more than nonoptimal values of NPV ¼ 3594.8 million dollars,
obtained by the company. For the 10-year project, the optimal leverage level is
L ¼ 1.5, with NPV ¼ 4509.1 million dollars, which is 422.9 million dollars more
than nonoptimal values of NPV ¼ 4086.2 million dollars, obtained by the company
(Fig. 17.2; Tables 17.2, 17.3, and 17.4).
Analysis of Investments in 2011 Using company data, we compute the WACC, ke,
and NPV (Tables 17.5, 17.6, and 17.7; Fig. 17.3).
In the company’s investment in 2011, equity capital accounted for 50%, and debt
capital for 50% as well, i.e., the leverage level was equal to L ¼ 1. The term for
hardware depreciation, into establishment of which investment was done, was
5 years. Curve 2 (Fig. 17.3) corresponds to dependence of NPV on leverage level
17.2
NPV
5000
4000
4
3000 3
2
2000
1000
1
0 L
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Fig. 17.2 Dependence of NPV on leverage L at t ¼ 20% in 2010: 1 2-year income from
investments; 2 5-year income from investments (the term for hardware depreciation); 3 7 years of
investment income; 4 10 years of investment income
Table 17.7 Net present value, NPV, of the company in 2011, million dollars
Leverage level L
Project duration n 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
2 418.8 460.5 415.8 302.3 133.3 80.9 332.5 615.0 923.5 1254.0 1603.1
5 1704.2 2025.4 2131.8 2089.9 1943.2 1721.0 1443.5 1124.7 774.8 400.9 8.5
7 2203.4 2558.0 2650.5 2576.1 2392.2 2134.4 1825.6 1480.7 1105.7 715.0 309.8
10 2648.2 2982.3 3028.1 2907.1 2685.2 2399.5 2071.6 1715.0 1338.0 946.0 542.9
Investment Analysis and Recommendations for Telecommunication Company. . .
347
348 17 Optimizing the Investment Structure of the Telecommunication Sector Company
NPV
4000
3000
2000
1000
4
3
0 2 L
–1000
1
–2000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Fig. 17.3 Dependence of NPV on leverage L at t ¼ 20% in 2011: 1 for 2-year income from
investments; 2 for 5-year income from investments (the term for hardware depreciation); 3 for
7 years of investment income; 4 for 10 years of investment income
L ¼ 0.55, with NPV ¼ 3043.5 million dollars, which is 98 million dollars more than
nonoptimal values of NPV ¼ 2945.5 million dollars, obtained by the company.
Let us investigate the dependence of NPV on the equity capital value and coefficient
β (Tables 17.12, 17.13, 17.14, and 17.15; Figs. 17.6, 17.7, 17.8, and 17.9).
With increase of the equity value, optimum is observed for all of the values
S when leverage level is approximately equal to L ¼ 0.7, and the optimum value as
well as the NPV value is growing with increasing S, as long as the project remains
effective (up to the leverage level approximately L ¼ 3.7).
With the decrease of the return on investment (β ¼ 0.5), the dependence of the
NPV on leverage changes significantly: now NPV monotonically decreases with the
leverage at all values of equity capital S (Fig. 17.7).
With the increase of the return on investment (β ¼ 1.5), the NPV of the project
has an optimum at all values of equity capital S at leverage level L ¼ 1.5, and NPV
(L ) curve is going up with the increase in S until the project remains effective (up to
the leverage level approximately L ¼ 7). The optimum position (value L0) almost
does not depend on the equity value S (L0 ¼ 1.5). This means the possibility of a
17.2
NPV
5000
3000
1000
0 L
4
–1000 3
2
–3000
1
–5000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Fig. 17.4 Dependence of NPV on leverage L at t ¼ 20% in 2012: 1 for 2-year income from
investments; 2 for 5-year income from investments (the term for hardware depreciation); 3 for
7 years of investment income; 4 for 10 years of investment income
tabulation of obtained results by the known values k0 and kd for large values β 1,
when in dependence of NPV(L) there is an optimum.
With the further increase of the return on investment (β ¼ 2), NPV of the project
has an optimum for all values S at leverage level which is already approximately
equal to L ¼ 1.8, and the value of optimum as well as of NPV in general is growing
with increasing S, until the project remains an effective (up to leverage level of order
L ¼ 8.5, see Fig. 17.9).
In this way, the analysis of the dependence of NPV on the equity value S and on
the return on investment β allows us to conclude that in contrast to the parameters
I and NOI, the change of parameters S and β, both individually and simultaneously,
can significantly change the nature of the dependence of NPV on leverage level.
With the increase of return on investment (with the increased β), there is a
transition from the monotonic decrease of NPV of the project with leverage
(Fig. 17.7) to the existence of the optimum at all values of S (see Figs. 17.6 and
17.8). The growth of β leads to the growth of NPV as well as to the growth of the
limit leverage value, up to which the project remains effective.
This means the inability of tabulation of the results, obtained in the general case
of a constant value of equity capital; in this case, it is necessary to use the formulas
obtained by authors in their works (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a,
b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008) to determine the NPV at the
existing leverage level as well as for optimization of existing investment structure.
Tabulation is possible only in the case of large β values (β 1), when there is an
optimum in the dependence of NPV on the leverage level.
17.2
Table 17.11 Net present value, NPV, at leverage level from 0.5 up to 1.05 in 2012, million dollars
Leverage level L
Project duration n 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 1.05
2 200.9 188.3 174.8 160.2 144.8 128.4 111.1 92.9 73.9 54.1 33.4 12.0
5 1968.9 1977.0 1982.8 1986.3 1987.7 1987.0 1984.2 1979.5 1973.0 1964.6 1954.6 1942.8
7 2566.9 2574.2 2578.8 2580.6 2580.0 2576.9 2571.5 2563.9 2554.2 2542.5 2528.9 2513.5
10 3041.6 3043.5 3042.4 3038.5 3032.0 3023.1 3011.7 2998.2 2982.6 2965.0 2945.5 2924.3
Investment Analysis and Recommendations for Telecommunication Company. . .
353
354 17 Optimizing the Investment Structure of the Telecommunication Sector Company
NPV
4000
3000 4
2000 2
1000
1
0 L
0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2
Fig. 17.5 Dependence of NPV on leverage L at t ¼ 20% in 2012 in the vicinity of optimum: 1 for
2-year income from investments; 2 for 5-year income from investments (the term for hardware
depreciation); 3 for 7 years of investment income; 4 for 10 years of investment income
NPV
4000 4
5
2000
1 2 3
1000
–1000
–2000 L
1 2 3 4 5 6
Fig. 17.6 Dependence of NPV on leverage at different values of equity cost S at β ¼ 1.02, million
dollars: 1 S ¼ 1382.2 million dollars; 2 S ¼ 1000 million dollars; 3 S ¼ 1200 million dollars; 4
S ¼ 1600 million dollars; 5 S ¼ 1800 million dollars
NPV
1000
0
–1000
–2000
–3000
2
–4000 3
–5000 1
4
–6000
5
–7000 L
1 2 3 4 5 6
Fig. 17.7 Dependence of NPV on leverage at different values of equity cost S at β ¼ 0.5, million
dollars: 1 S ¼ 1382.2 million dollars; 2 S ¼ 1000 million dollars; 3 S ¼ 1200 million dollars; 4
S ¼ 1600 million dollars; 5 S ¼ 1800 million dollars
NPV
6000
5000
4000
3000
5
2000 4
1
3
1000 2
0 L
1 2 3 4 5 6
Fig. 17.8 Dependence of NPV on leverage at different values of equity cost S at β ¼ 1.5, million
dollars: 1 S ¼ 1382.2 million dollars; 2 S ¼ 1000 million dollars; 3 S ¼ 1200 million dollars; 4
S ¼ 1600 million dollars; 5 S ¼ 1800 million dollars
360 17 Optimizing the Investment Structure of the Telecommunication Sector Company
NPV
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0 L
1 2 3 4 5 6
Fig. 17.9 Dependence of NPV on leverage at different values of equity cost S at β ¼ 2, million
dollars: 1 S ¼ 1382.2 million dollars; 2 S ¼ 1000 million dollars; 3 S ¼ 1200 million dollars; 4
S ¼ 1600 million dollars; 5 S ¼ 1800 million dollars
2000.00
T=0.15
1500.00 T=0.2
NPV
T=0.25
1000.00
500.00
0.00
0 2 4 6
L
Fig. 17.10 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L for three values of tax on profit rate: T ¼ 15%,
20%, 25% for the 2-year project in 2010
T=0.15
2000.00
T=0.2
1500.00
T=0.25
1000.00
500.00
0.00
0 2 4 6
L
Fig. 17.11 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L for three values of tax on profit rate: T ¼ 15%,
20%, 25% for the 5-year project in 2010
17.3 Effects of Taxation on the Optimal Capital Structure of Companies in. . . 361
NPV
2500.00 T=0.15
2000.00 T=0.2
1500.00
T=0.25
1000.00
500.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
L
3000.00 T=0,15
T=0,2
2000.00
T=0,25
1000.00
0.00
0 2 4 6
L
T=0.15
–500.00
T=0.2
–1000.00 T=0.25
–1500.00
–2000.00
L
362 17 Optimizing the Investment Structure of the Telecommunication Sector Company
NPV
1500.00 T=0.15
1000.00 T=0.2
T=0.25
500.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
–500.00
L
2000.00
T=0.15
1500.00
T=0.2
1000.00 T=0.25
500.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
L
2000.00 T=0.15
1500.00 T=0.2
1000.00 T=0.25
500.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
L
17.3 Effects of Taxation on the Optimal Capital Structure of Companies in. . . 363
NPV
–1500.00
T=0.2
–2000.00
T=0.25
–2500.00
–3000.00
–3500.00
–4000.00
L
0.00 T=0.2
0 2 4 6 T=0.25
–500.00
–1000.00
–1500.00
–2000.00
L
1000.00
500.00 T=0.2
0.00 T=0.25
–500.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
–1000.00
–1500.00
–2000.00
L
364 17 Optimizing the Investment Structure of the Telecommunication Sector Company
NPV
1500.00
1000.00 T=0.2
500.00 T=0.25
0.00
–500.00 0 2 4 6
–1000.00
–1500.00
L
17.4 Conclusions
In 2010, the company “Nastcom Plus” worked at leverage level L ¼ 0.54 instead of
optimal value L ¼ 2.0. The NPV loss amounted to 645 million dollars.
In 2012, the company worked at leverage level L ¼ 1.0 instead of optimal value
L ¼ 0.7. The NPV loss amounted from 32 to 98 million dollars, depending on the
term of operation of equipment.
The authors have evaluated effectiveness of investment at existing level of debt
financing and have developed recommendations on the optimum level of leverage
for the Russian company “Nastcom Plus” in 2010–2012.
The results indicate that if in 2011 the financial structure of the investment of
“Nastcom Plus” was close to the optimal and NPV was only 2 million dollars less
than the optimal value, in 2010, when the leverage level was L ¼ 0.54, NPV was
645 million dollars less than optimal value (the optimal leverage level should be
equal to L ¼ 2).
In 2012 the leverage level, with which “Nastcom Plus” has carried out its
investment projects (L ¼ 0.1), did not correspond to optimum value (L ¼ 0.7) and
provided NPV ¼ 1954.6 million dollars, which is 31.7 million dollars less than the
optimal value of NPV (Tables 17.10 and 17.11; Figs. 17.4 and 17.5).
Since the equipment can be operated after depreciation, one can estimate the NPV
for a more long-term perspective. For example, for the 7-year project, the optimal
leverage value is L ¼ 0.65, when the NPV ¼ 2580.6 million dollars, which is 51.7
million dollars more than nonoptimal values of NPV ¼ 2528.9 million dollars,
obtained by the company. For the 10-year project, the optimal leverage level
L ¼ 0.55, with NPV ¼ 3043.5 million dollars, which is 98 million dollars more
than nonoptimal values of NPV ¼ 2945.5 million dollars, obtained by the company.
366 17 Optimizing the Investment Structure of the Telecommunication Sector Company
References
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Sol 34(76):36–42
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Financ and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital
cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Financ 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit – Modigliani – Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer International Publishing, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Chapter 18
The Golden Age of the Company (Three
Colors of Company’s Time)
18.1 Introduction
It is well known that the company goes through several stages in its development
process: adolescence, maturity, and old age. Within the modern theory of capital cost
and capital structure by Brusоv–Filаtоvа–Orekhоvа (BFO theory) (Brusov and
Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova
et al. 2008; Brusova 2011), it is shown that the problem of the company development
has an interpretation, which is absolutely different from the generally accepted one.
One of the most important problems in corporate finance is the problem of capital
cost and capital structure. Before 2008 there were just two kinds of valuations of cost
of capital: the first one was the first quantitative theory by Nobel Prize winners
Мodigliani and Мiller (1958, 1963, 1966), applicable to perpetuity (with infinite
lifetime) companies, and the second one was the valuation applicable to 1-year
companies by Steve Myers (1984).
So, before 2008, when the modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by
Brusоv–Filаtоvа–Orekhоvа (BFO theory) has been created (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008;
Brusova 2011), only two points in time interval have been known: 1 year and
infinity. At that time Steve Myers (1984) has supposed that the Modigliani–Miller
(MM) theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) gave the lowest assessment
for WACC and consequently, the highest assessment for company capitalization.
This means that the WACC monotonically descends with the time of life of
company, n, approaching its perpetuity limit (Fig. 18.1), and, consequently, com-
pany capitalization monotonically increases, approaching its perpetuity limit
(Fig. 18.3).
Created in 2008 the modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by
Brusоv–Filаtоvа–Orekhоvа (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov
et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova
2011) turned out to be able to make valuation of capital cost and company
BFO
MM
WACC
0 1 n
18.1 Introduction 369
capitalization for companies with arbitrary lifetime (of arbitrary age): this completes
the whole time interval from n ¼ 1 up to n ¼ 1. A lot of qualitative effects in
corporate finance, investments, taxations, etc. have been made within BFO theory.
In this chapter with BFO theory, it is shown that Steve Myers’ suggestion (Myers
1984) turns out to be wrong.
Choosing of optimal capital structure of the company, i.e., proportion of debt and
equity, which minimizes the weighted average cost of capital and maximizes the
company capitalization, is one of the most important tasks of financial manager and
the management of a company. The search for an optimal capital structure attracts
the attention of economists and financiers during many tens of years. And it is clear
why one can, nothing making but only by changing the proportion between the
values of equity capital and debt of the company, significantly enhance the company
capitalization, in other words fulfill the primary task, to reach the critical goal of
business management. Spend a little less of your own, loan slightly more (or vice
versa), and company capitalization reaches a maximum.
Before, the search for an optimal capital structure was made by studying the
dependence of WACC on leverage level in order to determine the optimal leverage
level L0, at which the WACC is minimal and capitalization V is maximal. Here we
apply an absolutely different method, studying the dependence of WACC on the time
of life (age) of company n. Note that before the appearance of BFO theory, study of
such kind of dependences was impossible due the absence of “time” parameter in
perpetuity Modigliani–Miller theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966).
As it is shown in this chapter, from the point of view of cost of capital, there are two
types of dependences of WACC on the time of life (age) of company n: monotonic
descending of WACC with n and descending of WACC with passage through
minimum, followed by a limited growth (Figs. 18.1 and 18.2) (Brusov et al. 2015a, b).
The first type of behavior is linked with the comment by Myers (1984) that the
Modigliani–Miller (MM) theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) gives the
lowest assessment for WACC that, as shown by us within the BFO theory, is,
BFO MM
WACC
WACC 0
0 1 n0 n
370 18 The Golden Age of the Company (Three Colors of Company’s Time)
CC, V
2'
V
V 1'
WACC 1
k0(1-wd t )
2
0 1 n0 n
Fig. 18.3 Two kinds of dependences of WACC and company capitalization, V, on the lifetime
(age) of the company n ¼ 1–10 , monotonic descending of WACC and monotonic increase of
company capitalization, V, with the lifetime of the company n ¼ 2–20 descending of WACC with
passage through minimum and then showing a limited growth and increase of V with passage
through maximum (at n0) and then a limited descending to perpetuity (MM) limit
In this section we study the dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at
different leverage levels.
For L ¼ 1 one has
For L ¼ 2 we have
For L ¼ 3 one has
For L ¼ 5 one has
For L ¼ 7 one has
The analysis in Tables 18.1, 18.2, 18.3, 18.4, and 18.5 and Fig. 18.4 allows us to
make the following conclusions:
1. In all examined cases (at all leverage levels), at current values of capital costs
(equity, k0, and debt, kd, ones), the second type of behavior of dependence of
WACC on the lifetime (age) of the company, n, takes place, namely, descending
of WACC with n with passage through minimum with subsequent limited
growth.
2. The minimum cost of attracting capital (WACC) is achieved at all leverage levels
at the same company’s age at n ¼ 6 (only when L ¼ 1, minimum is spread for
2 years (n ¼ 5 and n ¼ 6)).
3. The value of minimum WACC, at a fixed n, significantly depends on the level of
leverage, L, and, of course, decreases with increasing L.
18.3 Dependence of WACC on the Age of the Company n at Different. . . 373
WACC(n)
0.1900
0.1850
0.1800
L=1
WACC
0.1750
L=2
0.1700 L=3
0.1650 L=5
0.1600 L=7
0.1550
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
Fig. 18.4 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at different leverage levels
The analysis in Tables 18.6, 18.7, 18.8, and 18.9 and Figs. 18.5 and 18.6 allows us to
make the following conclusions:
1. The type of behavior of dependence of WACC on the age of the company, n, at
fixed leverage level significantly depends on values of capital costs (equity, k0,
and debt, kd). At the values of capital costs that are specific to developing
countries (including Russia) (k0 ¼ 20%, kd ¼ 15%), there is a second type of
dependence of WACC on the age of the company, n, namely, descending of
WACC with n with passage through minimum with subsequent limited growth.
And at the capital cost values, characteristic to the West (k0 ¼ 8%, kd ¼ 4%), there
374 18 The Golden Age of the Company (Three Colors of Company’s Time)
WACC(n)
0.2000
0.1800
0.1600
0.1400
WACC
0.1200
0.1000
0.0800 k0=0.2; kd=0.15
0.0600
k0=0.08, kd=0.04
0.0400
0.0000
0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
Fig. 18.5 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at different values of capital costs
(equity, k0, and debt, kd, ones) and fixed leverage level L ¼ 1
WACC(n)
0.2000
0.1500
WACC
0.1000
k0=0.2; kd=0.15
0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
Fig. 18.6 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at different values of capital costs
(equity, k0, and debt, kd) and fixed leverage level L ¼ 3
2. The same features are observed in both considering cases: at the leverage values
L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3.
Put L ¼ 3.
In this section we study the dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at
different values of debt capital cost, kd, and fixed equity cost, k0, and fixed leverage
levels.
376 18 The Golden Age of the Company (Three Colors of Company’s Time)
Put first L ¼ 1.
The analysis in Tables 18.10, 18.11, 18.12, 18.13, 18.14, 18.15, 18.16, and 18.17
and Figs. 18.7 and 18.8 allows us to make the following conclusions:
1. At fixed equity cost, k0, and at fixed leverage level, the type of behavior of
dependence of WACC on the age of the company, n, significantly depends on
value of debt capital cost, kd: with the growth of kd, it is changing from monotonic
descending of WACC with n to descending of WACC with n with passage
through minimum with subsequent limited growth.
2. At kd ¼ 10% and kd ¼ 12% (k0 ¼ 20%), the monotonic descending of WACC
with n is observed, while at higher debt costs, kd ¼ 15% and kd ¼ 17%
(k0 ¼ 20%), descending of WACC with n with passage through minimum with
subsequent limited growth takes place. The optimum age of the company is
378 18 The Golden Age of the Company (Three Colors of Company’s Time)
WACC(n)
0.1900
0.1880
0.1860
0.1840
WACC
kd=0.15
0.1820
0.1800 kd=0.12
0.1780 kd=0.17
0.1760 kd=0.1
0.1740
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
Fig. 18.7 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at different values of debt capital
cost, kd, and fixed equity cost, k0, and fixed leverage level L ¼ 1
18.5 Dependence of WACC on the Age of the Company n at Different. . . 379
WACC(n)
0.1850
0.1800
WACC
0.1750 kd=0.15
kd=0.12
0.1700
kd=0.17
0.1650 kd=0.1
0.1600
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
Fig. 18.8 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at different values of debt capital
cost, kd, and fixed equity cost, k0, and fixed leverage level L ¼ 3
In this section we study the dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at
different values of equity cost, k0, and fixed debt capital cost, kd, and fixed leverage
levels.
The analysis in Tables 18.18, 18.19, 18.20, 18.21, 18.22, and 18.23 and
Figs. 18.9 and 18.10 allows us to make the following conclusions:
1. At fixed debt capital cost, kd, and at fixed leverage level in all considered cases
(at all equity costs k0 and all leverage levels L ), the second type of dependence of
WACC on the age of the company, n, namely, descending of WACC with n with
passage through minimum with subsequent limited growth, takes place.
2. The “golden age” of the company slightly fluctuates under change of the equity
value k0; these fluctuations are described in Table 18.24 (age is in years).
Put L ¼ 3.
380 18 The Golden Age of the Company (Three Colors of Company’s Time)
Let us study the dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at high values of
capital cost (equity, k0, and debt, kd) and big age of the company.
18.6 Dependence of WACC on the Age of the Company n at High Values. . . 381
WACC(n)
0.2500
0.2000
WACC
0.1500
k0=0.2
0.1000
k0=0.18
0.0500 k0=0.22
0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
Fig. 18.9 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at different values of equity cost, k0,
and fixed debt capital cost, kd, and fixed leverage level L ¼ 1
WACC(n)
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500
WACC
k0=0.2
0.1000 k0=0.18
k0=0.22
0.0500
0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
n
Fig. 18.10 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at different values of equity cost,
k0, and fixed debt capital cost, kd, and fixed leverage level L ¼ 3
WACC(n)
0.3700
0.3600
0.3500 L=1
WACC
0.3400 L=2
L=3
0.3300
L=5
0.3200
L=7
0.3100
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.11 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at high values of capital cost
(equity, k0 ¼ 40%, and debt, kd ¼ 35%) at different leverage levels L (up to high values of lifetime
of the company)
Table 18.25 The difference between the optimal (minimal) value of WACC and its perpetuity
limit
L 1 2 3 5 7
ΔWACC, % 0.72 0.99 1.12 1.25 1.33
the company age, at which minimal value of attracting capital cost is achieved, is
shifted forward lower (younger) values. We just remind that at k0 ¼ 20% and
kd ¼ 15% (see above), the “golden age” was 6 years.
3. The shift of curves to lower values of WACC with increase of leverage level L is
associated with decrease of WACC with leverage.
4. An interesting thing is the analysis of the value of detected effect, i.e., how much
is the difference between the minimum of the attracting capital, found in the BFO
theory, and its perpetuity limit value, which has been considered as minimal value
up to now. In Table 18.25 the dependence of the difference between the minimum
of the attracting capital and its perpetuity limit value on leverage level L is shown.
Perpetuity limit value of WACC is calculated by using Modigliani–Miller for-
mula (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) with accounting of corporate taxes:
WACC ¼ k 0 ð1 wd t Þ ð18:1Þ
From Fig. 18.11, it is seen that at high values of age of company (n 30), the
WACC practically does not differ from its perpetuity limit.
From Table 18.25 it is seen that the gain value is from 0.7% up to 1.5% and grows
with the increase of the leverage level of company, L.
384 18 The Golden Age of the Company (Three Colors of Company’s Time)
WACC(n)
0.3700
0.3680
0.3660
0.3640
WACC
0.3620
0.3600
0.3580 kd=0.35
0.3560 kd=0.3
0.3540
0.3520
0.3500
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.12 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed high value of equity cost,
k0 ¼ 40%, and two values of debt cost, kd ¼ 30% and 35%, at leverage level L ¼ 1
WACC(n), k0=0.2
19.2000%
19.0000%
18.8000%
18.6000%
18.4000%
WACC
18.2000% Kd=0.18
18.0000% Kd=0.15
17.8000%
Kd=0.10
17.6000%
17.4000% Kd=0.08
17.2000%
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.13 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed value of equity cost,
k0 ¼ 20%, and at four values of debt cost, kd ¼ 8%, 10%, 15%, and 18%, at leverage level L ¼ 1
18.6 Dependence of WACC on the Age of the Company n at High Values. . . 385
minimum, followed by a limited growth (Tables 18.26, 18.27, 18.28, 18.29, and
18.30).
3. Under Change of the Equity Capital Cost, k0 (Tables 18.31, 18.32, 18.33,
18.34, 18.35, and 18.36)
Depth of gap, ΔWACC, is decreased with equity cost, k0 (Fig. 18.14).
4. Under Change of the Tax on Profit Rate, t (Tables 18.37 and 18.38)
The depth of gap in dependence of WACC on n, which is equal to 0.41% at t ¼ 0.2,
is increased in 2.2 times and becomes equal to 0.92% at t ¼ 0.4, i.e., it is increased in
2.2 times, when tax on profit rate is increased in two times (Fig. 18.15).
We see from Fig. 18.16 that at fixed capital costs, k0 ¼ 30% and kd ¼ 15%, and at
different values of tax on profit rate, t, there is no minimum in WACC at finite age of
WACC(n)
23.0000%
21.0000%
19.0000% Ko=0.25
WACC
Ko=0.22
17.0000% Ko=0.2
Ko=0.18
15.0000% Ko=0.16
13.0000%
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.14 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed value of debt cost,
kd ¼ 15%, and five values of equity cost, k0 ¼ 16%, 18%, 20%, 22%, and 25%, at leverage level
L¼1
WACC(n)
18.00%
17.00%
WACC
16.00%
15.00% t=0.2
t=0.4
14.00%
13.00%
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.15 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed capital costs, k0 ¼ 20%,
kd ¼ 15%, and two values of tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2 and t ¼ 0.4 and at leverage level L ¼ 2
WACC(n)
30.00%
29.00%
28.00%
27.00% t=0
WACC
26.00% t=0.1
25.00%
t=0.2
24.00%
t=0.3
23.00%
t=0.4
22.00%
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.16 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed capital costs, k0 ¼ 30% and
kd ¼ 15%, and different values of tax on profit rate t ¼ 0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, and 0.4 and at leverage level
L¼2
WACC(n)
23.4000%
23.2000%
23.0000%
22.8000%
WACC
22.6000%
22.4000%
22.2000% L=1
22.0000%
L=2
21.8000%
21.6000%
21.4000%
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.17 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed capital costs, k0 ¼ 25% and
kd ¼ 15%, and different values of leverage level L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 2
WACC(n)
22.6000%
22.5000%
22.4000%
22.3000%
22.2000%
WACC
22.1000%
22.0000% L=1
21.9000%
L=2
21.8000%
21.7000%
21.6000%
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.18 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed capital costs, k0 ¼ 25% and
kd ¼ 15%, and different values of leverage level L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 2 (larger scale)
WACC(n)
22.5300%
22.5250%
22.5200%
WACC
22.5150%
22.5100%
22.5050% L=1
22.5000% L=2
22.4950%
22.4900%
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 18.19 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at fixed capital costs, k0 ¼ 25% and
kd ¼ 15%, and different values of leverage level L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 2 (the largest scale)
from bigger values (remind that at the second type of WACC(n) behavior, the curve
WACC(n) tends to perpetuity limit from lower values). We have called this effect
“Kulik effect.” It gives a third type of dependence of WACC on the age of company
n, which is represented at Fig. 18.20.
18.8 Conclusions
In this chapter it is shown for the first time (Brusov et al. 2015a, b) within BFO
theory (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008) that valuation of WACC in the Modigliani–Miller
theory (Мodigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) is not minimal and valuation of the
392 18 The Golden Age of the Company (Three Colors of Company’s Time)
WACC
3
1
k0(1-wd t ) 2
0 1 n0 n1 n
(less than perpetuity limit) and the capitalization of companies becomes maximal
(above than perpetuity assessment) up to a specified time interval.
References
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Sol 34(76):36–42
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Financ and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital
cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Financ 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit – Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015a) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer International Publishing, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulik V (2015b) The golden age of the company. J Rev Global
Econ 4:21–42
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life–time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
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Chapter 19
A “Golden Age” of the Companies:
Conditions of Its Existence
A few years ago, we have discovered the effect of the “golden age” of the company
(Brusov et al. 2015a, b): it was shown for the first time that valuation of the weighted
average cost of capital, WACC, in the Modigliani–Miller theory (Modigliani and
Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) is not minimal and valuation of the company capitalization
is not maximal, as all financiers supposed up to this discovery; at some age of the
company, its WACC value turns out to be lower than in Modigliani–Miller theory,
and company capitalization V turns out to be greater than V in Modigliani–Miller
theory. It was shown that, from the point of view of cost of attracting capital, there
are two types of dependences of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the
company age n: monotonic descending with n and descending with passage through
minimum, followed by a limited growth. In practice there are companies with both
types of dependences of WACC on the company age n.
In this chapter we continue to study this problem and investigate which compa-
nies have the “golden age,” i.e., obey the latter type of dependence of WACC on
n (Brusov et al. 2018b). With this aim we study the dependence of WACC on the age
of company n at various leverage levels within a wide spectrum of capital costs
values as well as the dependence of WACC on leverage level L at fixed company age
n. All calculations have been done within modern theory of capital cost and capital
structure BFO by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov
et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015a, b, 2018a, b, c, d; Filatova et al.
2008).
We have shown that existence of the “golden age” of the company does not
depend on the value of capital costs of the company, but depends on the difference
between equity k0 and debt kd costs. The “golden age” of company exists at small
enough difference between k0 and kd costs, while at high value of this difference, the
“golden age” of the company is absent: curve WACC(n) monotonic descends with n.
For the companies with the “golden age,” curve WACC(L ) for perpetuity companies
lies between curves WACC(L) for company ages n ¼ 1 and n ¼ 3, while for the
companies without the “golden age,” curve WACC(L ) for perpetuity companies is
the lowest one.
In our paper (Brusov et al. 2015a, b), we have found also a third type of WACC
(n) dependence: descending with passage through minimum, which lies below the
perpetuity limit value, and then going through maximum followed by a limited
descending. We called this effect “Kulik effect.” In this chapter we have found a
variety of “Kulik effect”: descending with passage through minimum of WACC,
which lies above the perpetuity limit value, and then going through maximum
followed by a limited descending. We call this company age, where WACC has a
minimum, which lies above the perpetuity limit value, “a silver age” of the company.
Because the cost of attracting capital is used in rating methodologies as
discounting rate under discounting of cash flows, the study of WACC behavior is
very important for rating procedures. The account of effects of the “golden (silver)
age” could change the valuation of creditworthiness of issuers.
Remind that, since the “golden age” of company depends on the company’s
capital costs, by controlling them (e.g., by modifying the value of dividend payments
that reflect the equity cost), the company may extend the “golden age” of the
company, when the cost to attract capital becomes a minimal (less than perpetuity
limit) and capitalization of companies becomes maximal (above than perpetuity
assessment) up to a specified time interval. We discuss the use of opened effects in
developing economics.
19.1 Introduction
In this chapter we answer the following question: which companies have “a golden
age,” i.e., obey the following type of dependence of WACC on n: WACC(n)
descending with passage through minimum, followed by a limited growth. With
this aim we study the dependence of WACC on the age of company n at various
leverage levels within wide spectrum of capital costs values as well as the depen-
dence of WACC on leverage level L at fixed company age n. All calculations have
been done within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure BFO by
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c,
2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al. 2008). We make calculations for equity
cost k0 (at L ¼ 0) between 6% and 30% and debt cost kd between 4% and 28% for a
lot of pairs (k0, kd), accounting that the inequality k0 kd is always valid via the fact
that equity cost is more risky than debt one. We present in paper only some examples
of our calculations (one to two in each group), and readers should understand that
other results in each group give more or less qualitatively similar results.
We have shown that the existence of the “golden age” of company depends not on
the value of capital costs of the company, but on the difference between equity k0 and
debt kd costs. The “golden age” of company exists at small enough difference
between k0 and kd costs, while at high value of this difference, the “golden age” of
company is absent: curve WACC(n) monotonic descends with n. For the companies
with the “golden age,” curve WACC(L ) for perpetuity limit (n ¼ 1) lies between
curves WACC(L ) for 1-year (n ¼ 1) and 3-year (n ¼ 3) companies, while for the
19.2 Companies Without the “Golden Age” (Large Difference Between k0 and kd Costs) 397
companies without the “golden age,” curve WACC(L ) for perpetuity limit is the
lowest one.
The problem of the existence of the “golden age” of company is very important in
ratings because the discount rate (WACC value), used in discounting of cash flows
in ratings, depends on the existence or the nonexistence of the “golden age” of
company.
We study below the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on
the company age n at different leverage levels (L ¼ 1, 2, 3), using the BFO formula:
½1 ð1 þ WACCÞn ½1 ð1 þ k 0 Þn
¼ : ð19:1Þ
WACC k 0 ½1 ωd t ð1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ
Leverage level L is presented in BFO formula through the share of debt capital
wd ¼ L/(1 þ L ).
The results of our calculations are shown below in tables and figures.
For L ¼ 1, one has the following.
For L ¼ 2, we have the following.
For L ¼ 3, one has the following.
It is seen from Tables 19.1, 19.2, and 19.3 and Fig. 19.1 that 1 10 , behavior
(from Fig. 19.2), takes place: monotonic dependence of weighted average cost of
capital, WACC, and company capitalization, V, on the company age n for all
considered leverage levels (L ¼ 1, 2, 3); this means that the “golden age” of
company is absent. The ordering of curves is the following: the lower curve
corresponds the greater leverage level.
From Tables 19.4, 19.5, and 19.6 and Fig. 19.3, it is seen that the ordering of
curves WACC(L ) is the following: the lower curve corresponds the greater company
age n. We will see below that under the existence of the “golden age” of the
398 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
company, this ordering will be a different one. We keep here the case of n ¼ 45 as
the case which is closed to perpetuity limit. An alternative method is the use of
Modigliani–Miller formula
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 ωd t Þ, ð19:2Þ
WACC(n)
0.19500000
0.19000000
0.18500000
WACC
0.18000000
0.17500000
0.17000000
0.16500000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
n
L=1 L=2 L=3
Fig. 19.1 The dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the company age n at
different leverage levels (L ¼ 1, 2, 3)
As an example of companies with the “golden age” (with small difference between
k0 and kd costs), we present the calculations for equity cost k0 (at L ¼ 0) equals to
27% and debt cost kd equals to 25% (Fig. 19.4).
400 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
Fig. 19.2 Two kinds of dependences of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, and company
capitalization, V, on lifetime of the company n ¼ 1 10 , monotonic dependence of the weighted
average cost of capital, WACC, and company capitalization, V, on lifetime of the company n ¼
2 20 , showing descending of WACC with n, and with the passage through a minimum and then a
limited growth and increase of V with the passage through a maximum (at n0) and then a limited
descending
Table 19.4 Dependence of WACC on the leverage level at the company age n ¼ 1, k0 ¼ 20%,
kd ¼ 9%
n t L WACC(n ¼ 1) k0 kd wd A(n) БФО
1 0.2 0 0.19990871 0.2 0.09 0.00 0.833333 0.000063399
1 0.2 1 0.18989673 0.2 0.09 0.50 0.840271 0.000137715
1 0.2 2 0.18675471 0.2 0.09 0.67 0.842610 0.000024342
1 0.2 3 0.18504185 0.2 0.09 0.75 0.843784 0.000068187
1 0.2 4 0.18395964 0.2 0.09 0.80 0.844490 0.000133490
1 0.2 5 0.18323424 0.2 0.09 0.83 0.844961 0.000179952
1 0.2 6 0.18270822 0.2 0.09 0.86 0.845298 0.000218846
1 0.2 7 0.18230907 0.2 0.09 0.88 0.845551 0.000251369
1 0.2 8 0.18203277 0.2 0.09 0.89 0.845748 0.000252248
1 0.2 9 0.18178544 0.2 0.09 0.90 0.845906 0.000271780
1 0.2 10 0.18158213 0.2 0.09 0.91 0.846034 0.000288455
It is seen from Tables 19.7, 19.8, and 19.9 and Fig. 19.5 that 2 20 , behavior
(from Fig. 19.2), takes place: descending of WACC with n, and with the passage
through a minimum and then a limited growth and increase of V with the passage
through a maximum (at n0 4) and then a limited descending. This means the
19.3 Companies with the “Golden Age” (Small Difference Between k0 and kd Costs) 401
Table 19.5 Dependence of WACC on the leverage level at the company age n ¼ 3, k0 ¼ 20%,
kd ¼ 9%
n t L WACC(n ¼ 3) k0 kd wd A(n) БФО
3 0.2 0 0.19978349 0.2 0.09 0.00 2.106481 0.000714376
3 0.2 1 0.18521867 0.2 0.09 0.50 2.155589 0.000637220
3 0.2 2 0.18034194 0.2 0.09 0.67 2.172471 0.000611094
3 0.2 3 0.17789941 0.2 0.09 0.75 2.181012 0.000597961
3 0.2 4 0.17643254 0.2 0.09 0.80 2.186169 0.000590059
3 0.2 5 0.17545407 0.2 0.09 0.83 2.189620 0.000584783
3 0.2 6 0.17475488 0.2 0.09 0.86 2.192092 0.000581010
3 0.2 7 0.17423034 0.2 0.09 0.88 2.193950 0.000578178
3 0.2 8 0.17382227 0.2 0.09 0.89 2.195397 0.000575974
3 0.2 9 0.17349576 0.2 0.09 0.90 2.196556 0.000574210
3 0.2 10 0.17322858 0.2 0.09 0.91 2.197505 0.000572766
Table 19.6 Dependence of WACC on the leverage level at the company age n ¼ 45, k0 ¼ 20%,
kd ¼ 9%
n t L WACC(n ¼ 45) k0 kd wd A(n) БФО
45 0.2 0 0.19999699 0.2 0.09 0.00 4.998633 0.000075004
45 0.2 1 0.18035710 0.2 0.09 0.50 5.541296 0.000073385
45 0.2 2 0.17380207 0.2 0.09 0.67 5.749351 0.000072648
45 0.2 3 0.17052242 0.2 0.09 0.75 5.859349 0.000072233
45 0.2 4 0.16855385 0.2 0.09 0.80 5.927391 0.000071966
45 0.2 5 0.16724112 0.2 0.09 0.83 5.973638 0.000071780
45 0.2 6 0.16630328 0.2 0.09 0.86 6.007115 0.000071642
45 0.2 7 0.16559980 0.2 0.09 0.88 6.032471 0.000071536
45 0.2 8 0.16505258 0.2 0.09 0.89 6.052340 0.000071451
45 0.2 9 0.16461477 0.2 0.09 0.90 6.068330 0.000071382
45 0.2 10 0.16425654 0.2 0.09 0.91 6.081476 0.000071325
presence of the “golden age” of company. The ordering of curves is the following:
the lower curve corresponds the greater leverage level.
From Tables 19.10, 19.11, and 19.12 and Fig. 19.6 the quite new effect follows:
the ordering of curves WACC(L) is the following: the top curve corresponds to the
company age n ¼ 1, the middle one corresponds to perpetuity company n0 ¼ 1
(we use n ¼ 49 to approximate perpetuity limit), and bottom one corresponds to the
company age n ¼ 3. Thus, the curve WACC(L) for perpetuity company lies between
curves corresponding to the company age n ¼ 1 and n 3.
Note that this ordering is quite different from the case when the “golden age” of
company is absent: in that case the lower curve corresponds the greater company age
n, the top curve corresponds to the company age n ¼ 1, the middle one corresponds
to the company age n ¼ 3, and bottom one corresponds to the perpetuity company.
402 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
WACC(L)
0.21000000
0.20000000
0.19000000
0.18000000
WACC
0.17000000
0.16000000
0.15000000
0.14000000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L
WACC(n=1) WACC (n=3) WACC(n=45)
Fig. 19.3 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the leverage level at
different company age n (n ¼ 1, 3, 45)
WACC (n)
0.2500
0.2450
0.2400
0.2350
WACC
L=1
0.2300 L=2
0.2250 L=3
0.2200
0.2150
0 10 20 30 40 50
n
Fig. 19.4 The dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the company age n at
different leverage levels (L ¼ 1, 2, 3)
19.4 Companies with Abnormal “Golden Age” (Intermediate. . . 403
Table 19.7 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at L ¼ 1, k0 ¼ 27%, kd ¼ 25%
n t L WACC k0 kd wd A(n) BFO
1 0.2 1 0.2441 0.27 0.25 0.50 0.8035 0.000292
2 0.2 1 0.2381 0.27 0.25 0.50 1.4600 0.000038
3 0.2 1 0.2360 0.27 0.25 0.50 1.9928 0.000286
4 0.2 1 0.2357 0.27 0.25 0.50 2.4231 0.000046
5 0.2 1 0.2359 0.27 0.25 0.50 2.7688 0.000319
6 0.2 1 0.2363 0.27 0.25 0.50 3.0457 0.000877
7 0.2 1 0.2371 0.27 0.25 0.50 3.2668 0.000033
8 0.2 1 0.2377 0.27 0.25 0.50 3.4430 0.000070
9 0.2 1 0.2383 0.27 0.25 0.50 3.5830 0.000127
10 0.2 1 0.2389 0.27 0.25 0.50 3.6941 0.000204
20 0.2 1 0.2422 0.27 0.25 0.50 4.0755 0.000005
30 0.2 1 0.2429 0.27 0.25 0.50 4.1115 0.000009
40 0.2 1 0.2430 0.27 0.25 0.50 4.1149 0.000010
Table 19.8 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at L ¼ 2, k0 ¼ 27%, kd ¼ 25%
n t L WACC k0 kd wd A(n) BFO
1 0.2 2 0.2361 0.27 0.25 0.67 0.8090 0.000024
2 0.2 2 0.2274 0.27 0.25 0.67 1.4784 0.000164
3 0.2 2 0.2246 0.27 0.25 0.67 2.0275 0.000411
4 0.2 2 0.2239 0.27 0.25 0.67 2.4748 0.000753
5 0.2 2 0.2244 0.27 0.25 0.67 2.8370 0.000018
6 0.2 2 0.2251 0.27 0.25 0.67 3.1288 0.000026
7 0.2 2 0.2259 0.27 0.25 0.67 3.3630 0.000037
8 0.2 2 0.2267 0.27 0.25 0.67 3.5504 0.000046
9 0.2 2 0.2276 0.27 0.25 0.67 3.6999 0.000054
10 0.2 2 0.2284 0.27 0.25 0.67 3.8189 0.000063
20 0.2 2 0.2328 0.27 0.25 0.67 4.2301 0.000110
30 0.2 2 0.2338 0.27 0.25 0.67 4.2694 0.000124
40 0.2 2 0.2340 0.27 0.25 0.67 4.2731 0.000128
One example, which is different from two considered above cases, will be studied
below, where we present the calculations for equity cost k0 (at L ¼ 0) equals to 27%
and debt cost kd equals to 16%.
While in this case the “golden age” of the company is present, it is less pro-
nounced: the minimal WACC value (at some leverage value: in this case at L ¼ 1)
lies above the perpetuity WACC value. We call this situation the “silver age” of the
company (Table 19.13).
404 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
Table 19.9 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at L ¼ 3, k0 ¼ 27%, kd ¼ 25%
n t L WACC k0 kd wd A(n) BFO
1 0.2 3 0.2318 0.27 0.25 0.75 0.8118 0.000064
2 0.2 3 0.2219 0.27 0.25 0.75 1.4877 0.000412
3 0.2 3 0.2190 0.27 0.25 0.75 2.0453 0.000020
4 0.2 3 0.2183 0.27 0.25 0.75 2.5015 0.000044
5 0.2 3 0.2186 0.27 0.25 0.75 2.8723 0.000076
6 0.2 3 0.2193 0.27 0.25 0.75 3.1721 0.000112
7 0.2 3 0.2203 0.27 0.25 0.75 3.4133 0.000154
8 0.2 3 0.2212 0.27 0.25 0.75 3.6067 0.000195
9 0.2 3 0.2222 0.27 0.25 0.75 3.7612 0.000234
10 0.2 3 0.2231 0.27 0.25 0.75 3.8845 0.000271
20 0.2 3 0.2281 0.27 0.25 0.75 4.3120 0.000497
30 0.2 3 0.2293 0.27 0.25 0.75 4.3530 0.000570
40 0.2 3 0.2295 0.27 0.25 0.75 4.3569 0.000590
WACC (L)
0.2700
0.2600
0.2500
WACC
0.2400
n=1
0.2300 n=3
0.2200 n=49
0.2100
0.2000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
L
Fig. 19.5 The dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on leverage level L at
different company age n (n ¼ 1, 3, 49)
To be sure that the minimal WACC value at leverage level L ¼ 1 lies above the
perpetuity WACC value, we make more detailed calculations for this case (see
Table 19.16). We see that the minimal WACC value at n ¼ 8.2 is equal to
0.243095889, while perpetuity limit is equal 0.243 and lies below.
Let us study the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on
the leverage level at different company age n (n ¼ 1, 3, 1) (Fig. 19.7).
It is seen from Tables 19.14 and 19.15 and Fig. 19.6 that the following behavior
takes place for L ¼ 2 and 3: a third modification of dependences of the weighted
average cost of capital, WACC, on the company age n takes place—descending of
19.4 Companies with Abnormal “Golden Age” (Intermediate. . . 405
Table 19.10 Dependence of WACC on the leverage level at the company age n ¼ 1, k0 ¼ 27%,
kd ¼ 25%
n t L WACC k0 kd wd A(n) BFO
1 0.2 0 0.2697 0.27 0.25 0.00 0.7874 0.000188
1 0.2 1 0.2441 0.27 0.25 0.50 0.8035 0.000292
1 0.2 2 0.2360 0.27 0.25 0.67 0.8090 0.000064
1 0.2 3 0.2317 0.27 0.25 0.75 0.8118 0.000153
1 0.2 4 0.2290 0.27 0.25 0.80 0.8134 0.000216
1 0.2 5 0.2273 0.27 0.25 0.83 0.8146 0.000263
1 0.2 6 0.2260 0.27 0.25 0.86 0.8154 0.000298
1 0.2 7 0.2251 0.27 0.25 0.88 0.8160 0.000326
1 0.2 8 0.2243 0.27 0.25 0.89 0.8164 0.000349
1 0.2 9 0.2237 0.27 0.25 0.90 0.8168 0.000367
1 0.2 10 0.2232 0.27 0.25 0.91 0.8171 0.000382
Table 19.11 Dependence of WACC on the leverage level at the company age n ¼ 3, k0 ¼ 27%,
kd ¼ 25%
n t L WACC k0 kd wd A(n) BFO
3 0.2 0 0.2697 0.27 0.25 0.00 1.8956 0.000832
3 0.2 1 0.2361 0.27 0.25 0.50 1.9928 0.000174
3 0.2 2 0.2246 0.27 0.25 0.67 2.0275 0.000411
3 0.2 3 0.2188 0.27 0.25 0.75 2.0453 0.000542
3 0.2 4 0.2154 0.27 0.25 0.80 2.0561 0.000631
3 0.2 5 0.2131 0.27 0.25 0.83 2.0634 0.000694
3 0.2 6 0.2114 0.27 0.25 0.86 2.0687 0.000741
3 0.2 7 0.2102 0.27 0.25 0.88 2.0726 0.000778
3 0.2 8 0.2092 0.27 0.25 0.89 2.0757 0.000807
3 0.2 9 0.2084 0.27 0.25 0.90 2.0781 0.000830
3 0.2 10 0.2078 0.27 0.25 0.91 2.0802 0.000850
Table 19.12 Dependence of WACC on the leverage level at the company age n ¼ 49, k0 ¼ 27%,
kd ¼ 25%
n t L WACC k0 kd wd A(n) BFO
49 0.2 0 0.2700 0.27 0.25 0.00 3.7037 0.000037
49 0.2 1 0.2430 0.27 0.25 0.50 4.1152 0.000041
49 0.2 2 0.2340 0.27 0.25 0.67 4.2735 0.000159
49 0.2 3 0.2295 0.27 0.25 0.75 4.3572 0.000273
49 0.2 4 0.2268 0.27 0.25 0.80 4.4091 0.000368
49 0.2 5 0.2250 0.27 0.25 0.83 4.4444 0.000444
49 0.2 6 0.2237 0.27 0.25 0.86 4.4699 0.000505
49 0.2 7 0.2227 0.27 0.25 0.88 4.4893 0.000556
49 0.2 8 0.2220 0.27 0.25 0.89 4.5045 0.000598
49 0.2 9 0.2214 0.27 0.25 0.90 4.5167 0.000633
49 0.2 10 0.2209 0.27 0.25 0.91 4.5267 0.000664
406 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
0.248
0.243
WACC
0.238
0.233
0.228
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
n
Fig. 19.6 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the company age
n at different leverage levels (L ¼ 1, 2, 3)
Table 19.13 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at L ¼ 1, k0 ¼ 27%, kd ¼ 16%
n t L k0 kd wd WACC
1 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.252483428
2 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.247301552
3 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.245105573
4 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.244045922
5 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243511488
6 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243250247
7 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.24313388
8 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243097298
9 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243103247
10 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243130071
20 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243291667
30 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243146312
40 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243048121
1 0.2 1 0.27 0.16 0.5 0.243
WACC от L
0.27
0.26
0.25
WACC
n=1
n=3
0.24
n=∞
0.23
0.22
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L
Fig. 19.7 The dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the leverage level at
different company age n (n ¼ 1, 3, 1)
Table 19.14 Dependence of WACC on the age of the company n at L ¼ 2, k0 ¼ 27%, kd ¼ 16%
n t L k0 kd wd WACC
1 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.246644883
2 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.239710388
3 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.236752006
4 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.235311829
5 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.234578628
6 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.23421254
7 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.234046353
8 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.233991091
9 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.233996344
10 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.234032536
20 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.234316362
30 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.234174539
40 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.234059889
1 0.2 2 0.27 0.16 0.6(6) 0.234
From Tables 19.16, 19.17, 19.18, and 19.19 and Fig. 19.6, it is seen that for
L ¼ 1, the following behavior takes place: descending of WACC with passage
through minimum at n ¼ 8.2 (which is higher than perpetuity limit), followed by a
growth with passage through maximum at n ¼ 20, and finally with trend to
perpetuity limit from bigger values. This means that the “golden age” in its purest
form presents at leverage levels for L ¼ 2 and 3, while at L ¼ 1 one has different
effect: we call it “silver age.”
408 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
The ordering of curves is the following: the lower curve corresponds the greater
company age.
It turns out that at particular values of capital costs, for example, at k0¼27%;
kd¼16%, a third modification of dependences of the weighted average cost of
capital, WACC, on the company age n takes place: descending of WACC with
passage through minimum, followed by a growth with passage through maximum,
and finally with trend to perpetuity limit from bigger values [remind that at second
type of WACC(n) behavior, the curve WACC(n) tends to perpetuity limit from lower
values]. We have called this effect “Kulik effect.”
19.4 Companies with Abnormal “Golden Age” (Intermediate. . . 409
From Fig. 19.8 it is seen that with increase of debt cost, kd, the character of
dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the company age n is
changed from monotonic descending of WACC with n to descending of WACC
with n with passage through minimum, followed by a limited growth. It is seen from
Table 19.20 that the gap depth ΔWACC [the difference between the optimal
(minimal) value of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, and its perpetuity
limit] decreases with Δk ¼ k0 kd from 3.38% at Δk ¼ 0.02 up to 1.89% at
Δk ¼ 0.5. At Δk ¼ 0.10 and Δk ¼ 0.12, the minimum in dependence of WACC(n) is
absent (too big value of Δk ¼ k0 kd). This coincides with our conclusions in this
chapter.
The same conclusion could be made from Fig. 19.9 and Table 19.21 for higher
values of capital costs: it is seen that with increase of debt cost, kd, at fixed k0, i.e.,
with decrease Δk ¼ k0 kd, the gap depth ΔWACC is increased from 1.08% at
Δk ¼ 0.10 up to 1.85% at Δk ¼ 0.05. This as well coincides with our conclusions in
this paper.
WACC(n), k0=0.2
19.2000%
19.0000%
18.8000%
18.6000%
18.4000%
WACC
Kd=0,18
18.2000%
Kd=0,15
18.0000%
Kd=0,10
17.8000%
Kd=0,08
17.6000%
17.4000%
17.2000%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
n
Fig. 19.8 Dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on lifetime of the company
n at fixed value of equity cost, k0¼20%, and at four values of debt cost, kd¼8, 10, 15, and 18%, at
leverage level L ¼ 1
WACC(n)
0.3700
0.3680
0.3660
0.3640
0.3620
WACC
0.3600
kd=0,35
0.3580
kd=0,3
0.3560
0.3540
0.3520
0.3500
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
n
Fig. 19.9 Dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on lifetime of the company n at
fixed high value of equity cost, k0¼40%, and two values of debt cost, kd¼30% and 35%, at leverage
level L ¼ 1
From Fig. 19.10 and Table 19.22, it is seen that the gap depth ΔWACC [the
difference between the optimal (minimal) value of weighted average cost of capital,
WACC, and its perpetuity limit] decreases with Δk ¼ k0 kd from 0.55% at
Δk ¼ 0.01 up to 0.03% at Δk ¼ 0.10. This as well coincides with our conclusions
in this paper.
In conclusion we present at Fig. 19.11 both the cases of “Kulik” effect: “the
golden age” of the company and the “silver age” of the company.
19.6 Conclusions
In our previous paper a few years ago (Brusov et al. 2015a, b), we have discovered
the effect of the “golden age” of company: it was shown for the first time that
valuation of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, in the Modigliani–Miller
theory (Modigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) is not minimal and valuation of the
company capitalization is not maximal, as all financiers supposed up to this discov-
ery; at some age of the company, its WACC value turns out to be lower than in
Modigliani–Miller theory, and company capitalization V turns out to be greater than
V in Modigliani–Miller theory (see previous chapter). It was shown that, from the
412 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
WACC(n)
23.0000%
21.0000%
Ko=0,25
WACC
19.0000%
Ko=0,22
Ko=0,2
17.0000%
Ko=0,18
15.0000% Ko=0,16
13.0000%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
n
Fig. 19.10 Dependence of the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on lifetime of the
company n at fixed value of debt cost, kd¼15%, and five values of equity cost, k0¼16, 18, 20,
22, and 25%, at leverage level L ¼ 1
Fig. 19.11 Dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on company age of the
company n, which illustrate the presence of “the golden age” of the company (curve 1) and of “the
silver age” of the company (curve 2) under the existence of “Kulik” effect. Here n0 is “the golden
(silver) age” of the company, and n1 is the age of local maximum in dependence of WACC(n)
19.6 Conclusions 413
point of view of cost of attracting capital, there are two types of dependences of
weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the company age n: monotonic
descending with n and descending with passage through minimum, followed by a
limited growth. In practice there are companies with both types of dependences of
WACC on the company age n.
In this chapter we have continued the study of the effect of the “golden age” of
company and have investigated which companies have the “golden age,” i.e., obey
the latter type of dependence of WACC on n. With this aim we study the dependence
of WACC on the age of company n at various leverage levels within wide spectrum
of capital costs values as well as the dependence of WACC on leverage level L at
fixed company age n. All calculations have been done within modern theory of
capital cost and capital structure BFO by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and
Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b; Filatova et al.
2008).
We have shown that the existence of the “golden age” of company does not
depend on the value of capital costs of the company (as it was supposed in the
previous chapter), but depends on the difference value between equity, k0, and debt,
kd, costs. The “golden age” of company exists at small enough difference between k0
and kd costs, while at high value of this difference, the “golden age” of company is
absent: curve WACC(n) monotonic descends with company age n. For the compa-
nies with the “golden age,” curve WACC(L ) for perpetuity limit lies between curves
WACC(L ) at n ¼ 1 and n ¼ 3, while for the companies without the “golden age,”
curve WACC(L ) for perpetuity limit (n ¼ 1) is the lowest one. By other words, the
ordering of curves WACC(L) is different for the companies with the “golden age”
and without it.
In the previous chapter, we have found also a third type of WACC(n) depen-
dence: descending with passage through minimum, which lies below the perpetuity
limit value, and then going through maximum followed by a limited descending. We
called this effect “Kulik effect” (this is last name of student, who have discovered
this effect). In this paper we have found a variety of “Kulik effect”: descending with
passage through minimum of WACC, which lies above the perpetuity limit value,
then going through maximum followed by a limited descending. We call this
company age n, at which WACC has a minimum, which lies above the perpetuity
limit value, “the silver age” of the company. It takes place at intermediate difference
value between equity k0 and debt kd costs.
Because the cost of attracting capital is used in rating methodologies as
discounting rate under discounting of cash flows, the study of WACC behavior is
very important for rating procedures. The account of effects of the “golden (silver)
age” could change the valuation of creditworthiness of issuers.
Remind that, since the “golden age” of company depends on the company’s
capital costs, by controlling them (e.g., by modifying the value of dividend payments
that reflect the equity cost), the company may extend the “golden (silver) age” of the
company, when the cost to attract capital becomes a minimal [less (above) than
perpetuity limit)] and capitalization of companies becomes maximal [(above (below)
than perpetuity assessment] up to a specified time interval.
414 19 A “Golden Age” of the Companies: Conditions of Its Existence
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Chapter 20
The Role of the Central Bank
and Commercial Banks in Creating
and Maintaining a Favorable Investment
Climate in the Country
In this chapter we study the role of the Central Bank and commercial banks in
creating and maintaining a favorable investment climate in the country. Within the
framework of modern investment models created by the authors, the dependence of
the efficiency of investments on the level of debt financing within a wide range of
values of equity costs and debt capital costs under different project terms (long-term
projects as well as projects of arbitrary duration) and different investment profitabil-
ity coefficients β is investigated. The effectiveness of investments is determined by
Net Present Value, NPV. The study is conducted within the framework of invest-
ment models with debt repayment at the end of the project term.
It is found that NPV depends practically linearly on leverage level L, increasing or
decreasing depending on profitability coefficient β and credit rate values kd. The
cutoff credit rate values kd*, separating the range of increasing NPV(L) from range
of decreasing NPV(L ), are determined. The Central Bank should keep its key rate at
the level which allow commercial banks to keep their credit rates below the cutoff
credit rate kd* values in order to create and maintain a favorable investment climate
in the country.
20.1 Introduction
The investments play a very important role in an economy of each country. As a rule,
debt financing is always used in investments. In the current paper, we determine the
role of the Central Bank and commercial banks in creating and maintaining a
favorable investment climate in the country. Within the framework of modern
investment models created by the authors, the dependence of the efficiency of
investments on the level of debt financing within a wide range of values of equity
capital costs and debt capital costs under different project terms (long-term projects
as well as projects of arbitrary duration) and different investment profitability
coefficients β is investigated. The effectiveness of investments is determined by
Net Present Value, NPV. The study is conducted within the framework of invest-
ment models with debt repayment at the end of the project term.
It is found that NPV depends practically linearly on leverage level L, increasing or
decreasing depending on profitability coefficient β and credit rate values kd. The
cutoff credit rate values kd*, separating the range of increasing NPV(L) from range
of decreasing NPV(L ), are determined. The Central Bank should keep its key rate at
the level which allows commercial banks to keep their credit rates below the cutoff
credit rate values kd* in order to create and maintain a favorable investment climate
in the country.
The effectiveness of the investment project could be considered from two perspec-
tives: the owners of equity and debt and the equity holders only. For each of these
cases, NPV could be calculated in two ways: with the division of credit and
investment flows (and thus discounting of the payments using two different rates)
and without such a division (in this case, both flows are discounted using the same
rate, as which can be, obviously, chosen WACC). For each of the four situations, two
cases could be considered: (1) a constant value of equity S and (2) a constant value of
the total invested capital I ¼ S + D (D is value of debt funds).
As it was stated above, the effectiveness of the investment project is considered
from two perspectives: the owners of equity and debt and the equity holders only. In
the first case, the interest and duty paid by owners of equity (negative flows) returned
to the project because they are exactly equal to the flow (positive), obtained by
owners of debt capital. The only effect of leverage in this case is the effect of the tax
shield, generated from the tax relief: interest on the loan is entirely included into the
cost and thus reduces the tax base. After-tax flow of capital for each period in this
case is equal to
NOIð1 t Þ þ kd Dt ð20:1Þ
Here, for simplicity, we suppose that interest on the loan will be paid in equal
shares kd D during all periods. Note that principal repayment is made at the end of the
last period.
We will consider the case of discounting, when operating and financial flows are
not separated and both are discounted, using the general rate (as which, obviously,
the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) can be selected). In this case, for long-
term (perpetuity) projects, the Modigliani–Miller formula (Мodigliani and Мiller
1958, 1963, 1966) for WACC will be used, and for projects of finite (arbitrary)
duration, Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula will be used (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d;
Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011).
Note that debt capital is the least risky, because interest on credit is paid after
taxes in the first place. Therefore, the cost of credit will always be less than the equity
cost, whether of ordinary or of preference shares ke > kd; kp > kd. Here ke; kp is the
equity cost of ordinary or of preference shares consequently.
In this case operating and financial flows are not separated and are discounted, using
the general rate (as which, obviously, WACC can be selected).
The credit reimbursable at the end of the project (at the end of the period (n)) can
be discounted either at the same rate WACC or at the debt cost rate kd. Now we
choose a uniform rate and the first option.
X
n
NOIð1 t Þ kd Dð1 t Þ D
NPV ¼ S þ
ð1 þ WACCÞ i ð 1 þ WACC Þn
i¼1 ð20:3Þ
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ 1 D
¼ S þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn ð1 þ WACCÞn
Lk d ð1 t Þ 1 L
NPV ¼ S 1 þ 1 þ
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn ð1 þ WACCÞn
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 : ð20:5Þ
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ : ð20:6Þ
WACC
NOIð1 t Þ kd Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ ð20:7Þ
WACC
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð20:10Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ
20.3 Modigliani–Miller Limit (Long-Term (Perpetuity) Projects) 419
Let us start from the long-term projects. We will study the dependence of the
efficiency of investments on the level of debt financing L for the values of equity
costs k0 from 6 to 32% and for different debt capital costs and different investment
profitability coefficient β values.
Below we represent the results of calculations for equity costs k0 ¼ 0.2; debt capital
costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06; S ¼ 250; and tax on profit rate
t ¼ 0.2.
Results are shown in Tables 20.1, 20.2, and 20.3 and Figs. 20.1, 20.2, and 20.3.
1. β ¼ 0.1
From Table 20.1 and Fig. 20.1, it is seen that NPV depends practically linearly on
leverage level L, increasing or decreasing depending on credit rate value kd. NPV(L )
Table 20.1 The dependence of NPV on the level of debt financing L for the values of equity costs
k0 ¼ 0.2 and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1
NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV
L (kd ¼ 0.18) (kd ¼ 0.16) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.12) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 150.00 150.00 150.00 150.00 150.00 150.00 150.00
1 227.78 205.56 183.33 161.11 138.89 116.67 94.44
2 319.23 273.08 226.92 180.77 134.62 88.46 42.31
3 414.71 344.12 273.53 202.94 132.35 61.76 8.82
4 511.90 416.67 321.43 226.19 130.95 35.71 59.52
5 610.00 490.00 370.00 250.00 130.00 10.00 110.00
6 708.62 563.79 418.97 274.14 129.31 15.52 160.34
7 807.58 637.88 468.18 298.48 128.79 40.91 210.61
8 906.76 712.16 517.57 322.97 128.38 66.22 260.81
9 1006.10 786.59 567.07 347.56 128.05 91.46 310.98
10 1105.56 861.11 616.67 372.22 127.78 116.67 361.11
420 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
Table 20.2 The dependence of NPV on the level of debt financing L for the values of equity costs
k0 ¼ 0.2 and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.12
NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV
L (kd ¼ 0.18) (kd ¼ 0.16) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.12) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 130.00 130.00 130.00 130.00 130.00 130.00 130.00
1 183.33 161.11 138.89 116.67 94.44 72.22 50.00
2 250.00 203.85 157.69 111.54 65.38 19.23 26.92
3 320.59 250.00 179.41 108.82 38.24 32.35 102.94
4 392.86 297.62 202.38 107.14 11.90 83.33 178.57
5 466.00 346.00 226.00 106.00 14.00 134.00 254.00
6 539.66 394.83 250.00 105.17 39.66 184.48 329.31
7 613.64 443.94 274.24 104.55 65.15 234.85 404.55
8 687.84 493.24 298.65 104.05 90.54 285.14 479.73
9 762.20 542.68 323.17 103.66 115.85 335.37 554.88
10 836.67 592.22 347.78 103.33 141.11 385.56 630.00
Table 20.3 The dependence of NPV on the level of debt financing L for the values of equity costs
k0 ¼ 0.2 and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.14
NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV
L (kd ¼ 0.18) (kd ¼ 0.16) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.12) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 110.00 110.00 110.00 110.00 110.00 110.00 110.00
1 138.89 116.67 94.44 72.22 50.00 27.78 5.56
2 180.77 134.62 88.46 42.31 3.85 50.00 96.15
3 226.47 155.88 85.29 14.71 55.88 126.47 197.06
4 273.81 178.57 83.33 11.90 107.14 202.38 297.62
5 322.00 202.00 82.00 38.00 158.00 278.00 398.00
6 370.69 225.86 81.03 63.79 208.62 353.45 498.28
7 419.70 250.00 80.30 89.39 259.09 428.79 598.48
8 468.92 274.32 79.73 114.86 309.46 504.05 698.65
9 518.29 298.78 79.27 140.24 359.76 579.27 798.78
10 567.78 323.33 78.89 165.56 410.00 654.44 898.89
increases at credit rate kd ¼ 0.06 and kd ¼ 0.08. The cutoff credit rate kd* value,
separating the range of increasing NPV(L ) from range of decreasing NPV(L ) for
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1, is equal to 0.1. At higher credit rate kd
values, NPV(L ) represents decreasing function.
2. β ¼ 0.12
From Table 20.2 and Fig. 20.2, it is seen that NPV depends practically linearly on
leverage level L, increasing or decreasing depending on credit rate value kd. NPV(L )
increases at credit rate kd ¼ 0.06; kd ¼ 0.08 and kd ¼ 0.1. The cutoff credit rate value
kd*, separating the range of increasing NPV(L) from range of decreasing NPV(L ) for
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.12, is equal to 0.12. At higher credit rate kd
values, NPV(L ) represents decreasing function.
20.3 Modigliani–Miller Limit (Long-Term (Perpetuity) Projects) 421
NPV(L) at β=0,1
600,00
400,00
200,00
NPV (kd=0,14)
NPV (kd=0,12)
–400,00
NPV (kd=0,1)
–600,00 NPV (kd=0,08)
NPV (kd=0,06)
–800,00
–1000,00
–1200,00
L
Fig. 20.1 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 20% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1
NPV(L) at β=0,12
800,00
600,00
400,00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
–200,00 NPV (kd=0,12)
NPV (kd=0,1)
–400,00 NPV (kd=0,08)
NPV (kd=0,06)
–600,00
–800,00
–1000,00
L
Fig. 20.2 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 20% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.12
3. β ¼ 0.14
From Table 20.3 and Fig. 20.3, it is seen that NPV depends practically linearly on
leverage level L, increasing or decreasing depending on credit rate value kd. NPV(L )
increases at credit rate kd ¼ 0.06, kd ¼ 0.08, kd ¼ 0.1, and kd ¼ 0.12. The cutoff
credit rate kd* value, separating the range of increasing NPV(L) from range of
decreasing NPV(L ) for investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.14, is equal to
0.14. At higher credit rate kd values, NPV(L ) represents decreasing function.
422 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
NPV(L) at β=0,14
1000,00
800,00
600,00
NPV (kd=0,12)
0,00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NPV (kd=0,1)
–200,00 NPV (kd=0,08)
NPV (kd=0,06)
–400,00
–600,00
–800,00
L
Fig. 20.3 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 20% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.14
One can see that the cutoff credit rate kd* values separating the range of increas-
ing NPV(L ) from range of decreasing NPV(L ) strongly correlate with investment
profitability coefficient β and practically linearly depend on it.
For long-term projects (Modigliani–Miller limit), it was found that the cutoff
credit rate values kd* are proportional to investment profitability coefficients β: it
turns out that for equity capital cost k0 ¼ 0.2, the cutoff credit rate values kd*
separating the range of increasing NPV(L ) from range of decreasing NPV(L) are
approximately equal to investment profitability coefficient β; for investment profit-
ability coefficient β ¼ 0.1, kd* is equal to 0.1; for β ¼ 0.12 kd* is equal to 0.12; and
for investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.14 kd* is equal to 0.14. The slope of the
curve NPV(L) increases with investment profitability coefficient β for the same
value of credit rate kd.
Let us consider also the case of equity capital cost k0 ¼ 0.28 and debt capital cost
kd ¼ 6%, 8%, 10%, 12%, 14%, 16%, 18%, 20%, 22%, and 24%.
It is seen from Fig. 20.4 that the cutoff credit rate kd* value separating the range of
increasing NPV(L) from range of decreasing NPV(L ) is equal to 10%.
It is seen from Fig. 20.5 that the cutoff credit rate value kd*, separating the range
of increasing NPV(L ) from range of decreasing NPV(L ), is equal to 20%.
20.3 Modigliani–Miller Limit (Long-Term (Perpetuity) Projects) 423
Fig. 20.4 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 28% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 6%, 8%, 10%, 12%, 14%, 16%, 18%, 20%,
22%, and 24%; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1
Fig. 20.5 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 28% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 6%, 8%, 10%, 12%, 14%, 16%, 18%, 20%,
22%, and 24%; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; and investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2
424 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
From Figs. 20.4 and 20.5, it follows that for β ¼ 0.1, kd* is equal to 0.1, and for
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2, kd* is equal to 0.2.
We could come to a conclusion that in perpetuity limit for both cases for the
equity values k0 ¼ 20% and k0 ¼ 28%, it turns out that the cutoff credit rate kd*
values are equal to investment profitability coefficient β (and does not depend on the
equity values k0).
As we will see below, this statement is not valid for the projects of arbitrary
durations.
Let us consider now the projects of arbitrary durations. We will study the depen-
dence of the efficiency of investments on the level of debt financing L for the same
values of equity costs k0 from 6% to 32%, for different debt capital costs kd and
different investment profitability coefficient β values, as well as for different project
durations.
For arbitrary duration project calculations, we use formula (20.5) for NPV
Lk d ð1 t Þ 1 L
NPV ¼ S 1 þ 1 þ
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn ð1 þ WACCÞn
βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ 1
þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ :
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
Below we represent the results of calculations for equity costs k0 ¼ 0.2; debt capital
costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate
t ¼ 0.2; and project duration n ¼ 5. In the next part, we will compare the results for
project durations n ¼ 5 and n ¼ 3.
For arbitrary duration project calculations, we use formula (20.5) for NPV and
BFO formula for WACC (20.10).
Results are shown in Tables 20.4, 20.5, and 20.6 and Figs. 20.4, 20.5, and 20.6.
20.4 Projects of Finite (Arbitrary) Duration 425
Table 20.4 The dependence of NPV on the level of debt financing L for the values of equity costs
k0 ¼ 0.2 and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; β ¼ 0.325; and project duration n ¼ 5
NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV
L (kd ¼ 0.18) (kd ¼ 0.16) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.12) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 55.62 55.62 55.62 55.62 55.62 55.62 55.62
1 64.27 51.88 39.78 27.84 16.10 4.63 6.60
2 84.87 58.97 33.37 8.12 16.70 41.06 64.88
3 109.00 69.04 29.55 9.40 47.74 85.35 122.14
4 134.55 80.39 26.81 26.01 78.04 129.06 178.95
5 160.82 92.33 24.61 42.16 107.96 172.47 235.56
6 187.68 104.63 22.73 58.04 137.67 215.71 292.05
7 214.48 117.19 21.05 73.87 167.24 258.85 348.47
8 241.83 129.90 19.51 89.50 196.72 301.91 404.83
9 269.07 142.72 18.06 105.05 226.13 344.92 461.15
10 296.16 155.62 16.68 120.54 255.50 387.89 517.45
Table 20.5 The dependence of NPV on the level of debt financing L for the values of equity costs
k0 ¼ 0.2 and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; β ¼ 0.345; and project duration n ¼ 5
NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV
L (kd ¼ 0.18) (kd ¼ 0.16) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.12) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 43.66 43.66 43.66 43.66 43.66 43.66 43.66
1 38.96 26.63 14.64 2.83 8.77 20.08 31.15
2 46.07 20.39 4.97 29.97 54.50 78.55 102.02
3 56.74 17.11 22.02 60.58 98.47 135.61 171.89
4 68.82 15.10 37.99 90.29 141.71 192.09 241.28
5 81.62 13.68 53.42 119.54 184.58 248.28 310.49
6 94.98 12.63 68.53 148.51 227.22 304.31 379.58
7 108.32 11.83 83.45 177.41 269.74 360.22 448.59
8 122.17 11.18 98.22 206.13 312.16 416.07 517.55
9 135.93 10.64 112.91 234.77 354.52 471.86 586.48
10 149.58 10.18 127.53 263.36 396.83 527.61 655.38
Table 20.6 The dependence of NPV on the level of debt financing L for the values of equity costs
k0 ¼ 0.2 and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; β ¼ 0.365; and project duration n ¼ 5
NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV NPV
L (kd ¼ 0.18) (kd ¼ 0.16) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.12) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 31.70 31.70 31.70 31.70 31.70 31.70 31.70
1 13.65 1.39 10.49 22.18 33.65 44.80 55.69
2 7.27 18.20 43.32 68.06 92.30 116.03 139.16
3 4.48 34.82 73.59 111.76 149.21 185.87 221.64
4 3.08 50.20 102.79 154.56 205.39 255.13 303.62
5 2.41 64.96 131.45 196.91 261.19 324.10 385.43
6 2.27 79.37 159.80 238.99 316.78 392.90 467.11
7 2.17 93.53 187.94 280.94 372.24 461.60 548.72
8 2.50 107.54 215.96 322.76 427.60 530.22 630.28
9 2.79 121.44 243.87 364.50 482.91 598.80 711.81
10 3.01 135.26 271.73 406.18 538.16 667.33 793.30
426 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
NPV(L) at β=0,325
600,00
500,00
400,00
300,00
NPV (kd=0,18)
200,00 NPV (kd=0,16)
NPV (kd=0,14)
NPV
100,00
NPV (kd=0,12)
0,00 NPV (kd=0,1)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 NPV (kd=0,08)
–100,00
NPV (kd=0,06)
–200,00
–300,00
–400,00
L
Fig. 20.6 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 20% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.325; and project
duration n ¼ 5
1. β ¼ 0.325
From Table 20.4 and Fig. 20.6, it is seen that NPV depends practically linearly on
leverage level L, increasing or decreasing depending on credit rate value kd. NPV(L )
increases at credit rate kd ¼ 0.06, kd ¼ 0.08, kd ¼ 0.1, and kd ¼ 0.12. The cutoff
credit rate value kd*, separating the range of increasing NPV(L ) from the range of
decreasing NPV(L ) for investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.325, is equal to
0.14. At higher credit rates kd values, NPV(L ) represents decreasing function.
2. β ¼ 0.345
From Table 20.5 and Fig. 20.7, it is seen that NPV depends practically linearly on
leverage level L, increasing or decreasing depending on credit rate value kd. NPV(L )
increases at credit rates kd ¼ 0.06, kd ¼ 0.08, kd ¼ 0.1, kd ¼ 0.12, and kd ¼ 0.14. The
cutoff credit rate value kd*, separating the range of increasing NPV(L ) from range of
decreasing NPV(L ) for investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.345, is equal to
0.16. At higher credit rates kd values, NPV(L ) represents decreasing function.
3. β ¼ 0.365
From Table 20.6 and Fig. 20.8, it is seen that NPV depends practically linearly on
leverage level L, increasing or decreasing depending on credit rate value kd. NPV(L )
increases at credit rate kd ¼ 0.06, kd ¼ 0.08, kd ¼ 0.1, kd ¼ 0.12, kd ¼ 0.14, and
kd ¼ 0.16. The cutoff credit rate value kd*, separating the range of increasing NPV
(L ) from the range of decreasing NPV(L ) for investment profitability coefficient
β ¼ 0.365, is equal to 0.18. At higher credit rates kd values, NPV(L) represents
decreasing function.
20.4 Projects of Finite (Arbitrary) Duration 427
NPV(L) at β=0,345
700,00
600,00
500,00
NPV (kd=0,18)
400,00
NPV (kd=0,16)
300,00 NPV (kd=0,14)
NPV
–200,00
L
Fig. 20.7 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 20% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.345; and project
duration n ¼ 5
NPV(L) at β=0,365
900,00
800,00
700,00
600,00 NPV (kd=0,18)
500,00 NPV (kd=0,16)
NPV (kd=0,14)
NPV
400,00
NPV (kd=0,12)
300,00 NPV (kd=0,1)
200,00 NPV (kd=0,08)
NPV (kd=0,06)
100,00
0,00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
–100,00
L
Fig. 20.8 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 20% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06;
S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.365; and project
duration n ¼ 5
One can see that the cutoff credit rate values kd*, separating the range of
increasing NPV(L ) from the range of decreasing NPV(L ), strongly correlate with
investment profitability coefficient β and practically linearly depend on it: kd*
linearly increases with profitability coefficient β.
For arbitrary duration projects, results are as follows. The efficiency of invest-
ments strongly depends on project duration and increases with duration. One can see
that the slope of the curve NPV(L ) at project duration n ¼ 5 is always higher than for
428 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
Below at Figs. 20.9, 20.10, 20.11, and 20.12, we present the results of calculations of
the dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 28% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.24, 0.22, 0.20, 0.18, 0.16,
0.14, 0.12, 0.10, 0.08, and 0.06; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment
profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1; and project durations n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5.
From Figs. 20.9, 20.10, 20.11, and 20.12, one can make the following
conclusions:
n=3, β=0,1
0,00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
–500,00
NPV (kd=0,24)
NPV (kd=0,22)
–1000,00 NPV (kd=0,20)
NPV (kd=0,18)
NPV
NPV (kd=0,16)
–1500,00 NPV (kd=0,14)
NPV (kd=0,12)
NPV (kd=0,10)
–2000,00
NPV (kd=0,08)
NPV (kd=0,06)
–2500,00
L
Fig. 20.9 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 28% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.24, 0.22, 0.20, 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12,
0.10, 0.08, and 0.06; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1;
and project duration n ¼ 3
20.4 Projects of Finite (Arbitrary) Duration 429
n=3, β=0,2
0,00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
–200,00
NPV (kd=0,24)
–400,00
NPV (kd=0,22)
–600,00
NPV (kd=0,20)
–800,00
NPV (kd=0,18)
NPV
Fig. 20.10 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 28% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.24, 0.22, 0.20, 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12,
0.10, 0.08, and 0.06; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2;
and project duration n ¼ 3
n=5, β=0,1
0,00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
NPV (kd=0,24)
–500,00
NPV (kd=0,22)
NPV (kd=0,20)
NPV (kd=0,14)
–1500,00 NPV (kd=0,12)
NPV (kd=0,10)
NPV (kd=0,08)
–2000,00 NPV (kd=0,06)
–2500,00
L
Fig. 20.11 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 28% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.24, 0.22, 0.20, 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12,
0.10, 0.08, and 0.06; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1;
and project duration n ¼ 5
n=5, β=0,2
0,00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
–200,00
NPV (kd=0,24)
–400,00
NPV (kd=0,22)
NPV (kd=0,20)
–600,00
NPV (kd=0,18)
NPV
–1600,00
L
Fig. 20.12 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
value k0 ¼ 28% and for different debt capital costs kd ¼ 0.24, 0.22, 0.20, 0.18, 0.16, 0.14, 0.12,
0.10, 0.08, and 0.06; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2;
and project duration n ¼ 5
3. The cutoff value kd* has been reached at Figs. 20.9, 20.10, 20.11, and 20.12 only
at profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2 for a 5-year project and is equal to 6%; it will
increase with investment profitability coefficient β. Bigger values of β, and/or
longer durations n, and/or bigger values of equity capital S, are required in order
to demonstrate the presence of a cutoff value kd* for particular project.
We consider the case of equity cost (at L ¼ 0) k0 ¼ 14% and fixed value of debt cost
kd ¼ 0.04, 0.06, 0.08, 0.1, and 0.12 and compare the results for projects of different
durations: n ¼ 3 years and n ¼ 5 years (Tables 20.7, 20.8, 20.9, and 20.10 and
Figs. 20.13 and 20.14).
20.5 The Dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the Leverage Level. . . 431
Table 20.7 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.04; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2;
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1; and project duration n ¼ 3
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.2 3 0.1 0.14 203.57
250 1 13.34 0.14 0.04 0.50 0.2 3 0.1 0.23 346.60
250 2 13.11 0.14 0.04 0.67 0.2 3 0.1 0.33 491.78
250 3 13.00 0.14 0.04 0.75 0.2 3 0.1 0.42 637.53
250 4 12.94 0.14 0.04 0.80 0.2 3 0.1 0.52 783.49
250 5 12.89 0.14 0.04 0.83 0.2 3 0.1 0.61 929.57
250 6 12.86 0.14 0.04 0.86 0.2 3 0.1 0.71 1075.71
250 7 12.84 0.14 0.04 0.88 0.2 3 0.1 0.80 1221.89
250 8 12.82 0.14 0.04 0.89 0.2 3 0.1 0.90 1368.10
250 9 12.80 0.14 0.04 0.90 0.2 3 0.1 0.99 1514.33
250 10 12.79 0.14 0.04 0.91 0.2 3 0.1 1.09 1660.57
Table 20.8 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.04; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2;
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1; and project duration n ¼ 5
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.2 5 0.1 0.14 181.34
250 1 13.26 0.14 0.04 0.50 0.2 5 0.1 0.23 272.31
250 2 13.01 0.14 0.04 0.67 0.2 5 0.1 0.33 366.58
250 3 12.88 0.14 0.04 0.75 0.2 5 0.1 0.42 461.70
250 4 12.80 0.14 0.04 0.80 0.2 5 0.1 0.51 557.17
250 5 12.75 0.14 0.04 0.83 0.2 5 0.1 0.61 652.81
250 6 12.72 0.14 0.04 0.86 0.2 5 0.1 0.70 748.55
250 7 12.69 0.14 0.04 0.88 0.2 5 0.1 0.79 844.36
250 8 12.67 0.14 0.04 0.89 0.2 5 0.1 0.88 940.21
250 9 12.65 0.14 0.04 0.90 0.2 5 0.1 0.98 1036.09
250 10 12.64 0.14 0.04 0.91 0.2 5 0.1 1.07 1131.99
Table 20.9 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.04; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2;
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2; and project duration n ¼ 3
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.2 3 0.2 0.14 157.14
250 1 13.34 0.14 0.04 0.50 0.2 3 0.2 0.23 252.69
250 2 13.11 0.14 0.04 0.67 0.2 3 0.2 0.33 350.39
250 3 13.00 0.14 0.04 0.75 0.2 3 0.2 0.42 448.64
250 4 12.94 0.14 0.04 0.80 0.2 3 0.2 0.52 547.12
250 5 12.89 0.14 0.04 0.83 0.2 3 0.2 0.61 645.71
250 6 12.86 0.14 0.04 0.86 0.2 3 0.2 0.71 744.36
250 7 12.84 0.14 0.04 0.88 0.2 3 0.2 0.80 843.05
250 8 12.82 0.14 0.04 0.89 0.2 3 0.2 0.90 941.77
250 9 12.80 0.14 0.04 0.90 0.2 3 0.2 0.99 1040.51
250 10 12.79 0.14 0.04 0.91 0.2 3 0.2 1.09 1139.26
432 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
Table 20.10 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.04; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2;
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2; and project duration n ¼ 5
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.2 5 0.2 0.14 112.68
250 1 13.26 0.14 0.04 0.50 0.2 5 0.2 0.23 132.50
250 2 13.01 0.14 0.04 0.67 0.2 5 0.2 0.33 155.57
250 3 12.88 0.14 0.04 0.75 0.2 5 0.2 0.42 179.49
250 4 12.80 0.14 0.04 0.80 0.2 5 0.2 0.51 203.76
250 5 12.75 0.14 0.04 0.83 0.2 5 0.2 0.61 228.20
250 6 12.72 0.14 0.04 0.86 0.2 5 0.2 0.70 252.73
250 7 12.69 0.14 0.04 0.88 0.2 5 0.2 0.79 277.33
250 8 12.67 0.14 0.04 0.89 0.2 5 0.2 0.88 301.97
250 9 12.65 0.14 0.04 0.90 0.2 5 0.2 0.98 326.65
250 10 12.64 0.14 0.04 0.91 0.2 5 0.2 1.07 351.34
–400,00
–600,00
–800,00
NPV
–1000,00
–1200,00
–1400,00
–1600,00
–1800,00
L
NPV(n=3) NPV(n=5)
Fig. 20.13 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.04; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2;
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1; and two project durations n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5
20.5 The Dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the Leverage Level. . . 433
–400,00
NPV
–600,00
–800,00
–1000,00
–1200,00
L
NPV(n=3) NPV(n=5)
Fig. 20.14 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.04; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2;
investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2; and two project durations n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5
kd ¼ 0.1
One can see that at fixed credit rates k0, NPV increases with project duration. The
(negative) slope of NPV(L ) curves decreases with project duration (Tables 20.11,
20.12, 20.13, and 20.14 and Figs. 20.15 and 20.16).
Table 20.11 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.1; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment
profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2; and project duration n ¼ 3
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.10 0.00 0.2 3 0.1 0.14 203.57
250 1 12.51 0.14 0.10 0.50 0.2 3 0.1 0.17 377.91
250 2 12.01 0.14 0.10 0.67 0.2 3 0.1 0.20 557.74
250 3 11.76 0.14 0.10 0.75 0.2 3 0.1 0.23 739.00
250 4 11.61 0.14 0.10 0.80 0.2 3 0.1 0.26 920.85
250 5 11.51 0.14 0.10 0.83 0.2 3 0.1 0.29 1103.00
250 6 11.44 0.14 0.10 0.86 0.2 3 0.1 0.32 1285.31
250 7 11.39 0.14 0.10 0.88 0.2 3 0.1 0.35 1467.73
250 8 11.35 0.14 0.10 0.89 0.2 3 0.1 0.38 1650.23
250 9 11.31 0.14 0.10 0.90 0.2 3 0.1 0.41 1832.77
250 10 11.28 0.14 0.10 0.91 0.2 3 0.1 0.44 2015.35
434 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
Table 20.12 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.1; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment
profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1; and project duration n ¼ 5
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.10 0.00 0.2 5 0.1 0.14 181.34
250 1 12.41 0.14 0.10 0.50 0.2 5 0.1 0.17 317.91
250 2 11.88 0.14 0.10 0.67 0.2 5 0.1 0.20 462.97
250 3 11.61 0.14 0.10 0.75 0.2 5 0.1 0.22 610.30
250 4 11.45 0.14 0.10 0.80 0.2 5 0.1 0.25 758.57
250 5 11.34 0.14 0.10 0.83 0.2 5 0.1 0.28 907.31
250 6 11.26 0.14 0.10 0.86 0.2 5 0.1 0.31 1056.33
250 7 11.20 0.14 0.10 0.88 0.2 5 0.1 0.34 1205.52
250 8 11.16 0.14 0.10 0.89 0.2 5 0.1 0.36 1354.83
250 9 11.12 0.14 0.10 0.90 0.2 5 0.1 0.39 1504.22
250 10 11.09 0.14 0.10 0.91 0.2 5 0.1 0.42 1653.67
Table 20.13 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.1; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment
profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2; and project duration n ¼ 3
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.10 0.00 0.2 3 0.2 0.14 157.14
250 1 12.51 0.14 0.10 0.50 0.2 3 0.2 0.17 282.68
250 2 12.01 0.14 0.10 0.67 0.2 3 0.2 0.20 413.66
250 3 11.76 0.14 0.10 0.75 0.2 3 0.2 0.23 546.07
250 4 11.61 0.14 0.10 0.80 0.2 3 0.2 0.26 679.06
250 5 11.51 0.14 0.10 0.83 0.2 3 0.2 0.29 812.35
250 6 11.44 0.14 0.10 0.86 0.2 3 0.2 0.32 945.80
250 7 11.39 0.14 0.10 0.88 0.2 3 0.2 0.35 1079.36
250 8 11.35 0.14 0.10 0.89 0.2 3 0.2 0.38 1212.99
250 9 11.31 0.14 0.10 0.90 0.2 3 0.2 0.41 1346.67
250 10 11.28 0.14 0.10 0.91 0.2 3 0.2 0.44 1480.38
Table 20.14 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.1; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment
profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2; and project duration n ¼ 5
S L WACC (%) k0 kd wd t n β ke NPV
250 0 14.00 0.14 0.10 0.00 0.2 5 0.2 0.14 112.68
250 1 12.41 0.14 0.10 0.50 0.2 5 0.2 0.17 175.18
250 2 11.88 0.14 0.10 0.67 0.2 5 0.2 0.20 246.02
250 3 11.61 0.14 0.10 0.75 0.2 5 0.2 0.22 319.09
250 4 11.45 0.14 0.10 0.80 0.2 5 0.2 0.25 393.09
250 5 11.34 0.14 0.10 0.83 0.2 5 0.2 0.28 467.55
250 6 11.26 0.14 0.10 0.86 0.2 5 0.2 0.31 542.29
250 7 11.20 0.14 0.10 0.88 0.2 5 0.2 0.34 617.20
250 8 11.16 0.14 0.10 0.89 0.2 5 0.2 0.36 692.22
250 9 11.12 0.14 0.10 0.90 0.2 5 0.2 0.39 767.32
250 10 11.09 0.14 0.10 0.91 0.2 5 0.2 0.42 842.47
20.6 Conclusions 435
–1000,00
NPV
–1500,00
–2000,00
–2500,00
L
NPV(n=3) NPV(n=5)
Fig. 20.15 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.1; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment
profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.1; and two project durations n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5
–400,00
–600,00
NPV
–800,00
–1000,00
–1200,00
–1400,00
–1600,00
L
NPV(n=3) NPV(n=5)
Fig. 20.16 The dependence of the Net Present Value, NPV, on the leverage level L for the equity
cost value k0 ¼ 14% and for debt capital cost kd ¼ 0.1; S ¼ 250; tax on profit rate t ¼ 0.2; investment
profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.2; and two project durations n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5
20.6 Conclusions
We study the role of the Central Bank and commercial banks in creating and
maintaining a favorable investment climate in the country. Within the framework
of modern investment models created by the authors, the dependence of the
436 20 The Role of the Central Bank and Commercial Banks in Creating and. . .
efficiency of investments on the level of debt financing within a wide range of values
of equity capital costs and debt capital costs under different project terms (long-term
projects as well as projects of arbitrary duration) and different investment profitabil-
ity coefficients β is investigated. The effectiveness of investments is determined by
the Net Present Value (NPV). The study is conducted within the framework of
investment models with debt repayment at the end of the project term.
It is found that NPV depends practically linearly on leverage level L, increasing or
decreasing depending on profitability coefficient β and credit rate value kd. The
cutoff credit rate values kd* separating the range of increasing NPV(L) from range of
decreasing NPV(L ) are determined.
For long-term projects (Modigliani–Miller limit), it was found that the cutoff
credit rate values kd* are proportional to investment profitability coefficients β: it
turns out that for equity capital cost k0 ¼ 0.2, the cutoff credit rate value kd*
separating the range of increasing NPV(L ) from range of decreasing NPV(L ) is
approximately equal to investment profitability coefficient β; for investment profit-
ability coefficient β ¼ 0.1, kd* is equal to 0.1; for β ¼ 0.12, kd* is equal to 0.12; and
for investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.14, kd* is equal to 0.14. The slope of the
curve NPV(L) increases with investment profitability coefficient β for the same
value of credit rate kd.
We come to a conclusion that for long-term projects (in perpetuity limit) for both
cases for the equity values k0 ¼ 20% and k0 ¼ 28%, it turns out that the cutoff credit
rate values kd* are equal to investment profitability coefficient β (and does not
depend on the equity values k0). This statement is not valid for the projects of
arbitrary (finite) durations.
For arbitrary duration projects, results are as follows. The efficiency of invest-
ments strongly depends on project duration and increases with duration. One can see
that the slope of the curve NPV(L ) at project duration n ¼ 5 is always higher than for
project duration n ¼ 3. The efficiency of investments increases with project duration
and is less than for long-term (perpetuity) projects. Transition to increasing NPV(L )
behavior for finite duration projects requires much higher values of investment
profitability coefficient β than in case of long-term (perpetuity) projects, where kd*
is approximately equal to β: for example, for equity cost k0 ¼ 0.20 and 5-year
projects, the cutoff credit rate value kd* for investment profitability coefficient
β ¼ 0.325 is equal to 0.14; for investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.345, 0.16;
and for investment profitability coefficient β ¼ 0.365, 0.18. Thus, for finite duration
projects as well as for the long-term projects, cutoff credit rate values kd* turn out to
be proportional to investment profitability coefficients β, but investment profitability
coefficients β are approximately twice higher than kd*.
We develop a method of determination of the cutoff credit rate values kd*,
separating the range of increasing NPV(L ) from range of decreasing NPV(L ). We
have found the cutoff credit rate kd* values within a wide range of values of equity
costs k0 and debt capital costs kd under different project terms (long-term projects as
well as projects of arbitrary duration) and different investment profitability coeffi-
cients β. Obtained results will help the Central Bank to keep its key rate at the level,
References 437
which allows commercial banks to keep their credit rates below the cutoff credit rate
values kd* in order to create and maintain a favorable investment climate in the
country.
References
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Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
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Part IV
Ratings and Rating Methodologies
Chapter 21
Rating: New Approach
21.1 Introduction
The Chaps. 21, 22, and 23 suggest a new approach to rating methodology. Chapters
21 and 22 are devoted to rating of nonfinancial issuers, while Chap. 23 is devoted to
long-term project rating. The key factors of a new approach are (1) the adequate use
of discounting financial flows virtually not used in existing rating methodologies and
(2) the incorporation of rating parameters (financial “ratios”) into the modern theory
of capital structure (Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) theory) (Brusov et al. 2015)
(in Chap. 21 into its perpetuity limit). This on the one hand allows use of the
powerful tools of this theory in the rating, and on the other hand, it ensures the
correct discount rates when discounting financial flows. We discuss also the inter-
play between rating ratios and leverage level which can be quite important in rating.
All these create a new base for rating methodologies. New approach to ratings and
rating methodologies allows to issue more correct ratings of issuers and makes the
rating methodologies more understandable and transparent.
Rating agencies play a very important role in economics. Their analysis of issuer’s
state, generated credit ratings of issuers help investors make reasonable investment
decision as well as help issuers with good enough ratings get credits on lower rates, etc.
But from time to time, we listen about scandals that involved rating agencies and
their credit ratings: let us just remind the situation with sovereign rating of the USA
in 2011 and of the Russia in 2015.
Were these ratings an objective? And how objective could be issued credit ratings
in principal?
To answer this question, we need to understand how rating agencies
(RA) consider, evaluate, and analyze. But this is the secret behind the seven seals:
rating agencies stand to the death, but did not reveal their secrets, even under the
threat of multibillion-dollar sanctions.
Thus, rating agencies represent some “black boxes,” about which information on
the methods of work is almost completely absent.
One of the major flaws of all existing rating methodologies is a failure or a very narrow
use of discounting. But even in those rare cases where it is used, it is not quite correct,
since the discount rate when discounting financial flows is chosen incorrectly.
The need to take into account the time factor in terms of discounting is obvious,
because it is associated with the time value of money. The financial part of the rating
is based on a comparison of generated income with the value of the debt and the
interest payable. Because income and disbursement of debt and interest are separated
in time, the use of discounting when comparing revenues with the value of debt and
interest is absolutely necessary for assigning credit ratings for issuers.
This raises the question about the value of discount rate. This question has always
been one of the major and extremely difficult in many areas of finance: corporate
finance and investment; it is particularly important in business valuation, where a slight
change in the discount rate leads to a significant change in the assessment of company
capitalization that is used by unscrupulous appraisers for artificial bankruptcy of the
company. And the correct valuation of discount rate is extremely essential not only in in
business valuation, but as well in ratings.
21.5 Models 443
In the quantification of the creditworthiness of the issuers, the crucial role belongs to
the so-called financial “ratios,” which constitute direct and inverse ratios of various
generated cash flows to debt values and interest ones. We could mention such ratios
as DCF/Debt, FFO/Debt, CFO/Debt, FOCF/Debt, FFO/cash interest, EBITDA/
interest, Interests/EBITDA, Debt/EBITDA, and some others.
We incorporate these rating parameters (financial “ratios”) into the modern theory of
capital structure—BFO theory (Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b,
2018a, b, c; Brusov and Filatova 2011; Filatova et al. 2008) (for beginning into its
perpetuity limit) (Brusov et al. 2018d; Modigliani and Miller 1966). The importance of
such incorporation, which has been done by us for the first time, is in using this theory as
a powerful tool when discounting financial flows using the correct discounting rate in
rating. Only this theory allows to valuate adequately the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) and equity cost of capital ke used when discounting financial flows.
The use of the tools of well-developed theories in rating opens completely new
horizons in the rating industry, which could go from mainly the use of qualitative
methods of the evaluation of the creditworthiness of issuers to predominantly
quantitative evaluation methods that will certainly enhance the quality and correct-
ness of the rating.
Currently, rating agencies just directly use financial ratios, while the new meth-
odology will allow (knowing the values of these “relations” (and parameter k0)) to
determine the correct values of discount rates (WACC and ke) that should be used
when discounting the various financial flows, both in terms of their timing and
forecasting.
This has required the modification of the BFO theory (and its perpetuity limit—
Modigliani–Miller theory), as used in financial management the concept of “lever-
age” as the ratio of debt value to the equity value substantially differs from the
concept of “leverage” in the rating, where it is understood as the direct and inverse
ratio of the debt value to the generated cash flow values (income, profit, etc.). The
authors introduced some additional ratios, allowing to more fully characterize the
issuer’s ability to repay debts and to pay interest thereon.
Thus, the bridge is building between the discount rates (WACC, ke), used when
discounting financial flows, and “ratios” in the rating methodology. The algorithm
for finding the discount rates for the given ratio values is developed.
21.5 Models
t t1 t2
Here CF is the value of income for period; D is the debt value; t, t1, t2 the
moments of income, payment of interest, and payment of debt consequently; i is the
discount rate; kd is the credit rate; and kdD is the interest on credit.
Here CFj is the income for j-st period; Dj is the debt value in j-st period; tj, t1j, t2j is
the moments of income, payment of interests, and payment of debt consequently in
j-st period; ij is the discount rate in j-st period; and kdj is the credit rate in j-st period.
There are several options to work with these models:
1. One can check the creditworthiness of the issuer, knowing parameters CFj, Dj, tj,
t1j, t2j, kdj and defining discount rate i by the method described below.
2. When the preset Dj, tj, t1j, t2j, kdj, one can determine which income CFj the issuer
would require to ensure its creditworthiness.
3. When the preset Dj, tj, t1j, t2j, kdj, one can define an acceptable level of debt
financing (including the credit value Dj and credit rates kdj) when the issuer
retains its creditworthiness.
21.6 Theory of Incorporation of Parameters, Used in Ratings, into. . . 445
For the first time, we incorporate below the parameters, used in ratings, into perpetuity
limit of modern theory of capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO theory).
We’ll consider two kinds of ratios: coverage ratios and leverage ratios.
Let us start from the coverage ratios.
We will consider three kinds of coverage ratios: coverage ratios of debt, coverage
ratios of interest on the credit, and coverage ratios of debt and interest on the credit.
Here
i1 ¼ CF=D ð21:3Þ
Modigliani–Miller theorem for case with corporate taxes (Мodigliani and Мiller
1958, 1963) tells that capitalization of leveraged company, VL, is equal to the
capitalization of unleveraged company, V0, plus tax shield for perpetuity time, Dt:
V L ¼ V 0 þ Dt: ð21:4Þ
CF CF
¼ þ Dt
WACC k0
i1 i1
¼ þt
WACC k0 ð21:5Þ
i1 k 0
WACC ¼
i1 þ tk 0
This ratio (i1) can be used to assess of the following parameters used in rating,
DCF/Debt, FFO/Debt, CFO/Debt, FOCF/Debt, and some others. We will use the last
formula to build a curve of dependence WACC(i1).
446 21 Rating: New Approach
Here
i2 ¼ CF=k d D ð21:6Þ
V L ¼ V 0 þ Dt,
CF CF
¼ þ Dt
WACC k0
i2 i2 i2
¼ þ ð21:7Þ
WACC k 0 kd
i2 k 0 k d
WACC ¼
i2 kd þ tk 0
This ratio (i2) can be used to assess of the following parameters, used in rating,
FFO/cashinterest, EBITDA/interest, and some others. We will use the last formula
to build a curve of dependence WACC(i2).
Let us consider the coverage ratios of debt and interest on the credit simultaneously:
this is a new ratio, introduced by us for the first time here.
Here
CF
i3 ¼ ð21:8Þ
D ð1 þ k d Þ
Using the above the Modigliani–Miller theorem for case with corporate taxes
V L ¼ V 0 þ Dt,
CF CF
¼ þ Dt
WACC k0
i3 i3 t
¼ þ ð21:9Þ
WACC k0 1 þ kd
i 3 k 0 ð1 þ k d Þ
WACC ¼
i3 ð1 þ k d Þ þ tk 0
21.6 Theory of Incorporation of Parameters, Used in Ratings, into. . . 447
This ratio (i3) can be used to assess the following parameters used in rating,
FFO/Debt + interest, EBITDA/Debt + interest, and some others. We will use last
formula to build a curve of dependence WACC(i3).
Let us analyze the dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) on the coverage ratios on debt i1, on interest on the credit i2, and on
coverage ratios on debt and interest on the credit with the following data: k0 ¼ 12%;
kd ¼ 6%; t ¼ 20%; ij run from 0 up to 10.
The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on
the coverage ratio on interest on the credit i2 is presented at Fig. 21.3.
The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on
the coverage ratio on debt and interest on the credit i2 is presented at Fig. 21.4.
The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on
the coverage ratio on debt i1, on interest on the credit i2, and on debt and interest on
the credit i3 is presented at Fig. 21.5.
It is seen from the Figs. 21.2, 21.3, 21.4, and 21.5 that WACC(ij) is an increasing
function on ij with saturation around ij value of order 1 for ratios i1 and i3 and of order
4 or 5 for ratios i2. At saturation WACC reaches the value k0 (equity value at zero
leverage level). This means that for high values of ij, one can choose k0 as a discount
rate with a good accuracy. Thus, the role of parameter k0 increases drastically. The
method of determination of parameter k0 has been developed by Anastasiya Brusova
(2011). So, parameter k0 is the discount rate for limit case of high values of ij (see
however below for more detailed consideration).
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
i1
WACC(i3)
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
WACC
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
i3
Fig. 21.4 The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
coverage ratio on debt and interest on the credit i3
WACC(i)
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
WACC
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
I
Fig. 21.5 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
coverage ratio on debt i1, on interest on the credit i2, and on debt and interest on the credit i3
It is clear from the Figs. 21.2, 21.3, 21.4, and 21.5 that the case of low values of ij
requires more detailed consideration. Let us consider the situation with low values of
ij which seems to be the case of the most interest.
Below we consider the case of low values of ij with more details. ij will vary from
zero up to 1 with all other parameters to be the same (Fig. 21.6, 21.7, 21.8, and 21.9).
More detailed consideration leads us to the following conclusions:
21.6 Theory of Incorporation of Parameters, Used in Ratings, into. . . 449
WACC(i1)
0.1400
0.1200
0.1000
0.0800
0.0600 WACC(i1)
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Fig. 21.6 The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
coverage ratio on debt and interest on the credit i1
WACC(i2)
0.0900
0.0800
0.0700
0.0600
0.0500
0.0400 WACC(i2)
0.0300
0.0200
0.0100
0.0000
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Fig. 21.7 The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
coverage ratio on debt and interest on the credit i2
1. In the case of coverage ratio on debt and interest on the credit i3, WACC goes to
saturation very fast: with accuracy of 20% at i3 ¼ 0.15 and with accuracy of 5% at
i3 ¼ 0.5.
2. In the case of coverage ratio on debt i1, WACC practically linearly increases with
parameter i1 and goes to saturation at i1 ¼ 0.1.
3. In the case of coverage ratio on interest on the credit i2, WACC increases with
parameter i2 much more slowly than in the two previous cases and goes to
saturation at high values of i2: with accuracy of 10% at i2 ¼ 4.
450 21 Rating: New Approach
WACC(i3)
0.1400
0.1200
0.1000
0.0800
0.0600 WACC(i3)
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Fig. 21.8 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
coverage ratio on debt and interest on the credit i3
0.1400
0.1200
0.1000
0.0800
WACC(i1)
WACC(i2)
0.0600
WACC(i3)
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Fig. 21.9 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
coverage ratio on debt i1, on interest on the credit i2, and on debt and interest on the credit i3
Let us consider now the leverage ratios. We will consider three kinds of leverage
ratios: leverage ratios of debt, leverage ratios of interest on the credit, and leverage
ratios of debt and interest on the credit.
21.6 Theory of Incorporation of Parameters, Used in Ratings, into. . . 451
Here
l1 ¼ D=CF ð21:10Þ
As above for coverage ratios, we use the Modigliani–Miller theorem for case with
corporate taxes
V L ¼ V 0 þ Dt,
CF CF
¼ þ Dt
WACC k0
1 1
¼ þ l1 t ð21:11Þ
WACC k0
k0
WACC ¼
1 þ tl1 k 0
This ratio (l1) can be used to assess of the following parameters used in rating,
Debt/EBITDA and some others. We will use the last formula to build a curve of
dependence WACC(l1).
Here
l2 ¼ kd D=CF ð21:12Þ
We use again the Modigliani–Miller theorem for case with corporate taxes:
V L ¼ V 0 þ Dt:
CF CF
¼ þ Dt
WACC k0
1 1 l2 t
¼ þ ð21:13Þ
WACC k 0 kd
k0 kd
WACC ¼
k d þ tl2 k0
452 21 Rating: New Approach
This ratio (l2) can be used to assess of the following parameters used in rating,
Interests/EBITDA and some others. We will use the last formula to build a curve of
dependence WACC(l2).
Here
V L ¼ V 0 þ Dt,
CF CF
¼ þ Dt
WACC k0
1 1 l3 t
¼ þ ð21:15Þ
WACC k 0 1 þ kd
k 0 ð1 þ k d Þ
WACC ¼
1 þ k d þ tl3 k0
This ratio (l3) can be used to assess the following parameters used in rating,
Debt + interest /FFO, Debt + interest / EBIT, Debt + interest/EBITDA(R), and some
others. We will use the last formula to build a curve of dependence WACC(l3).
Let us analyze the dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) on the leverage ratios with the following data: k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ 6%;
t ¼ 20%; li runs from 0 up to 10.
The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on
the leverage ratio on debt l1 is presented at Fig. 21.10.
ratio on debt l1
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
l1
21.7 Equity Cost 453
WACC
ratio on interest on credit l2 0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
l2
Equity cost plays a very important role in economy and finance because it is the
essence of the dividend policy of companies, which should be accounted in rating. A
modern approach to the dividend policy of companies, based on the real value of
454 21 Rating: New Approach
WACC (l)
0.14
0.12
0.1
WACC
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
l
WACC1 WACC2 WACC3
Fig. 21.13 The dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
leverage ratio on debt, l1, on interest on credit, l2, and on debt and on interest on credit, l3,
simultaneously
Ke(i1)
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500
0.1000 L=1
0.0500 L=2
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-0.0500
-0.1000
-0.1500
Fig. 21.14 The dependence of equity cost ke on coverage ratio i1 at two leverage level values L ¼ 1
and L ¼ 2
Ke(i2)
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500
0.1000 L=1
0.0500 L=2
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-0.0500
-0.1000
-0.1500
Fig. 21.15 The dependence of equity cost ke on coverage ratio i2 at two leverage level values L ¼ 1
and L ¼ 2
Ke(i3)
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500
0.1000 L=1
0.0500 L=2
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-0.0500
-0.1000
-0.1500
Fig. 21.16 The dependence of equity cost ke on coverage ratio i3 at two leverage level values L ¼ 1
and L ¼ 2
Ke(I1)
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500 L=1
L=2
0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.17 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage ratio l1 at two leverage level values L ¼ 1
and L ¼ 2
Ke(I2)
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500 L=1
0.1000 L=2
0.0500
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-0.0500
Fig. 21.18 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage ratio l2 at two leverage level values L ¼ 1
and L ¼ 2
Ke(I3)
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500 L=1
L=2
0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.19 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage ratio l3 at two leverage level values L ¼ 1
and L ¼ 2
Let us discuss now the algorithm of valuation of the discount rate, if we know one or
a few ratios (coverage or leverage ones). The developed above method allows
estimate discount rate with the best accuracy characteristic for used theory of capital
structure (perpetuity limit).
21.9 Influence of Leverage Level 465
If one knows one ratio (coverage or leverage one), the algorithm of valuation of the
discount rate is as follows:
– Determination of the parameter k0.
– Knowing k0, kd, and t, one builds the curve of dependence WACC(i) or WACC
(l).
– Then, using the known value of coverage ratio (i0) or leverage ratio (l0), one finds
the value WACC(i0) or WACC(l0), which represents the discount rate.
If we know say m values of coverage ratios (ij) and n values of leverage ratios (lk),
– We find by the above algorithm m values of WACC(ij) and n values of WACC(lk)
first.
– Then we find the average value of WACC by the following formula:
" #
1 X
m X n
WACCav ¼ WACC i j þ WACCðlk Þ :
m þ n j¼1 k¼1
This found value WACCav should be used when discounting the financial flows
in rating.
We discuss also the interplay between rating ratios and leverage level which can be
quite important in rating.
1) i1 ¼ 1
2) i1 ¼ 2
1) i2 ¼ 1
2) i2 ¼ 2
1) i3 ¼ 1
2) i3 ¼ 2
466 21 Rating: New Approach
It is seen from Tables 21.22, 21.23, 21.24, 21.25, 21.26, and 21.27 and
Figs. 21.20, 21.21, and 21.22 that equity cost ke increases practically linearly with
leverage level for all coverage ratios i1, i2, and i3. For each of the two coverage ratios
i1 and i2, curves ke (L) for two values of ij (1 and 2) practically coincide. For
coverage ratio i3, curves ke (L) for value of i3 ¼ 2 lie above one for i3 ¼ 1, and
angle of inclination for value of i3 ¼ 2 is bigger.
Ke(L)
0.7800
0.6800
0.5800
0.4800 i1=1
0.3800 i1=2
0.2800
0.1800
0.0800
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.20 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level at two coverage ratio values i1 ¼ 1
and i1 ¼ 2
Ke(L)
0.9000
0.8000
0.7000
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000 i2=1
0.3000 i2=2
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.21 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level at two coverage ratio values i2 ¼ 1
and i2 ¼ 2.
Let us now study the dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level at two leverage
ratio values lj ¼ 1 and lj ¼ 2 for leverage ratios l1, l2, and l3.
1) l1 ¼ 1
2) l1 ¼ 2
1) l2 ¼ 1
2) l2 ¼ 2
1) l3 ¼ 1
2) l3 ¼ 2
It is seen from Tables 21.28, 21.29, 21.30, 21.31, 21.32, and 21.33 and
Figs. 21.23, 21.24, and 21.25 that equity cost ke increases practically linearly with
21.10 The Dependence of Equity Cost ke on. . . 469
Ke(L)
0.7000
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
i3=1
0.3000 i3=2
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.22 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level at two coverage ratio values i3 ¼ 1
and i3 ¼ 2
Ke(L)
0.9000
0.8000
0.7000
0.6000
0.5000
L1=1
0.4000
L1=2
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.23 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level at two leverage ratio values l1 ¼ 1
and l1 ¼ 2
leverage level for all leverage ratios l1, l2, and l3. For each of two leverage ratios l1,
l3, curves ke (L ) for two values of lj (1 and 2) practically coincide. For leverage ratio
l2, curves ke (L ) for value of l3 ¼ 1 lie above one for l3 ¼ 2, and angle of inclination
for value of l3 ¼ 1 is bigger.
472 21 Rating: New Approach
Ke(L)
0.5000
0.4500
0.4000
0.3500
0.3000
0.2500 L2=1
0.2000 L2=2
0.1500
0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.24 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level at two leverage ratio values l2 ¼ 1
and l2 ¼ 2
Ke(L)
0.9000
0.8000
0.7000
0.6000
0.5000
L3=1
0.4000
L3=2
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 21.25 The dependence of equity cost ke on leverage level at two leverage ratio values l3 ¼ 1
and l3 ¼ 2
21.11 Conclusion
The Chaps. 21, 22, and 23 suggest a new approach to rating methodology. This
chapter and the next one (Chap. 22) are devoted to rating of nonfinancial issuers,
while Chap. 23 is devoted to long-term project rating. The key factors of a new
approach are (1) the adequate use of discounting financial flows virtually not used in
existing rating methodologies and (2) the incorporation of rating parameters (finan-
cial “ratios”) into the modern theory of capital structure BFO (and its perpetuity
References 473
limit). This on the one hand allows use of the powerful tool of this theory in the
rating, and on the other hand, it ensures the correct discount rates when discounting
financial flows. Two models for accounting of discounting financial flows—one-
period and multi-period are discussed. An algorithm of valuation of correct discount
rate, accounting rating ratios is suggested. We discuss also the interplay between
rating ratios and leverage level which can be quite important in rating. All above
creates a new base for rating methodologies.
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Chapter 22
Rating Methodology: New Look and New
Horizons
22.1 Introduction
value to the generated cash flow values (income, profit, etc.). We introduce here
some additional ratios, allowing to more fully characterize the issuer’s ability to
repay debts and to pay interest thereon.
As we mentioned in the previous chapter, the bridge is building between the
discount rates (WACC, ke) used when discounting of financial flows, and “ratios” in
the rating methodology. The algorithm for finding the discount rates for given ratio
values is developed.
Application of BFO theory modified for rating purposes allows to adequately
produce the discounting of financial flows by using the correct discount rates taken
into account when discounting the magnitude of rating ratios and take into account
the time factor missing in perpetuity limit and being the vital, i.e., to take into account
the company age (in BFO-I theory) or the company lifetime (in the BFO-II theory).
The analysis of methodological and systemic deficiencies in the existing credit rating
of nonfinancial issuers has been conducted by us. We have analyzed the methodol-
ogy of the big three (Standard & Poor’s, Fitch and Moody’s) and Russian national
rating agency.
The closeness of the rating agencies has been discussed by us in a previous paper
(Brusov et al. 2018a, c, d) and is caused by multiple causes.
1. The desire to preserve their “know-how.” Rating agencies get big enough money
for generated ratings (mostly from issuers) to replicate its methodology.
2. The desire to avoid public discussion of the ratings with anyone, including the
issuer. It is very convenient position—rating agency “a priori” removes himself
from beneath any criticism of generated ratings.
3. The absence of any external control and external analysis of the methodologies is
resulted in the fact that shortcomings of methodologies are not subjected to
serious critical analysis and stored long enough.
22.2.2 Discounting
One of the major flaws of all existing rating methodologies is a failure or a very
narrow use of discounting. But even in those rare cases where it is used, it is not quite
22.2 The Analysis of Methodological and Systemic Deficiencies in the. . . 477
correct, since the discount rate when discounting financial flows is chosen
incorrectly.
The need to take into account the time factor in terms of discounting is obvious,
because it is associated with the time value of money. The financial part of the rating
is based on a comparison of generated income with the value of the debt and the
interest payable. Because income and disbursement of debt and interest are separated
in time, the use of discounting when comparing revenues with the value of debt and
interest is absolutely necessary for assigning credit ratings for issuers.
1. In existing rating methodologies, despite their breadth and detail, there are a lot of
shortcomings. One of the major flaws of all existing rating methodologies, as
mentioned in our previous paper, is a failure or a very narrow use of discounting.
But even in those rare cases where it is used, it is not quite correct, since the
discount rate when discounting financial flows is chosen incorrectly.
The need to take into account the time factor in terms of discounting is
obvious, because it is associated with the time value of money. The financial
part of the rating is based on a comparison of generated income with the value of
the debt and the interest payable. Because income and disbursement of debt and
interest are separated in time, the use of discounting when comparing revenues
with the value of debt and interest is absolutely necessary for assigning credit
ratings for issuers.
This raises the question about the discount rate. This question has always been
one of the major and extremely difficult in many areas of finance: corporate
finance and investment; it is particularly important in business valuation, where a
slight change in the discount rate leads to significant changes in estimates of
capitalization of the company, which is used by unscrupulous appraisers for
artificial bankruptcy of companies. As well it is essential in rating, and when
assigning a rating to an issuer, and forecasting.
Therefore, as soon as we are talking about financial flows, it is necessary to
account discounting; otherwise the time value of money does not take into
account, i.e., any analysis of financial flows should take account of discounting.
2. When we talk about using the rating reports for the three or five (GAAP) years,
assuming the behavior indicators beyond that period, “a flat” discounting must be
taken into account.
1. Dividend policy of the company must take into account (and account) when
rating, because the financial policy is taken into account in rating. However, the
existing methodologies for ranking estimate only the stability of the dividend
policy and do not estimate its reasonableness, how reasonable is the value of
478 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
dividend payouts and how do they relate to the economically reasonable dividend
values.
2. The reasonableness of dividend policy, its score, is determined by comparing the
values of paid dividends with their economically reasonable value, which is the
cost of equity capital ke of the company. The calculation of ke is a rather
difficult task.
BFO theory allows you to make the correct assessment of the value of the
equity capital cost of the company, and thus to compare values of the paid by
the company dividend to their economically reasonable value, it allows you to
assess the reasonableness of dividend policy, which is clearly linked to the
creditworthiness of the issuer.
3. For example, one of the varieties “cash flow,” taking into account the amount of
paid dividends [discretionary cash flow (DCF) S&P], should be compared with
the “economically reasonable dividend values, and this will affect the rating.”
1. Currently the rating agencies take into account the leverage level only from the
perspective of assessing of financial stability and risk of bankruptcy. In fact the
leverage level significantly affects the main financial indicators of the company’s
activity: the cost of equity capital, WACC, in other words, the cost of attracting of
capital, as well as the capitalization of the company. The failure of this effect in
the analysis of financial reports leads to incorrect conclusions based on it.
Evaluation (by the BFO method) of the influence of the debt financing level on
the effectiveness of investment projects for different values of capital costs can be
used in the rating of investment projects and investment programs of companies.
22.2.5 Taxation
1. Taxation affects the rating of the issuers. Evaluation (by the BFO method) of the
influence of taxation (tax on profit organization rate) on the financial performance
of the company and on the effectiveness of investment projects can be used when
rating companies and their investment programs and investment projects, as well
as in the context of change of tax on profits of the organization rate for forecast
predictions and in analysis of country risk.
2. Evaluation (by BFO the method) of the influence of the Central Bank base rate,
credit rates of commercial banks on the effectiveness of investment projects, and
creation of a favorable investment climate in the country can be used to forecast
predictions, as well as in country risk analysis.
22.2 The Analysis of Methodological and Systemic Deficiencies in the. . . 479
In existing rating methodologies taking into account the particularities of the issuer,
features of financial reports, and taxation, legal and financial system is neglected in
favor of achieving full comparability of financial reports; they smooth the distinc-
tions (see Moody’s rating methodologies).
1. A necessary and sufficient quantity and mix of financial ratios are not determined;
it appears that such questions are even not raised though valuation of the financial
risk, the financial condition of the issuer, largely depends on the quantity and
quality of financial ratios, their correlation, or independence.
2. Some financial ratios define ambiguously the state of the issuer. For example, the
ratio of cash flow/leverage is high at high cash flow value as well as at
low-leverage value. The question is how these two different states of the issuer,
which is attributed to one value of financial risk, is really equally related to
credit risk.
480 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
6. Tabulate of mixes of different ratios in determining the financial risk has been
done not quite correctly:
ratios at least not completely correlated but used as fully correlated. So, one can see
that the two lines
Minimal 60+ Less than More than More than More than 40+ 25+
1.5 13 15 50
Modest 45–60 1.5–2 9–13 10–15 35–50 25–40 15–25
do not allow mixing between parameters of lines, although such mixing can occur,
for example,
60+ 1.5–2 More than 13 More than 15 More than 50 40+ 25+
All these points are limiting the applicability of rating agencies methods. They
were introduced by the rating agencies for the purpose of simplifying the procedure
of ranking (with or without understanding), with a view of unification of methods to
different reporting systems and different countries and with the objective of compa-
rability of results.
Mentioned ambiguity of evaluations already occurred when S&P has assigned a
rating to Gazprom.
We will conduct below the modification of the BFO theory for companies and
corporations of arbitrary age for purposes of ranking, which proved much more
difficult than modification of its (BFO theory) perpetuity limit.
As it turned out, use of the famous formula BFO
½1 ð1 þ WACCÞn ½1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ ð22:1Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ
is not possible, since it no longer includes cash flows CF and debt value D, and the
leverage level L ¼ D/S (in the same sense as it is used in financial management) is
included only through the share of leveraged wd ¼ L/(L þ 1).
For the modification of the general theory of BFO for ranking purposes, one must
return to the initial assumptions under the derivation of the BFO formula.
Modigliani–Miller theorem in case of existing corporate taxes, generalized by us
for the case of finite company age, states that capitalization of leveraged company
(using the debt financing), VL, is equal to the capitalization of non-leveraged
company (which does not use the debt financing) and, V0, increased by the amount
of the tax shield for the finite period of time, TSn,
482 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
V L ¼ V 0 þ TSn : ð22:2Þ
CF
VL ¼ ð1 ð1 þ WACCÞn Þ; ð22:3Þ
WACC
CF
V0 ¼ ð1 ð1 þ k0 Þn Þ; ð22:4Þ
k0
Substituting Eqs. (22.3–22.5) into Eq. (22.2), we obtain Eq. (22.6), which will be
used by us in the future to modify the BFO theory for the needs of the ranking.
CF∗ð1 ð1 þ WACCÞn Þ CF
¼ ∗ð1 ð1 þ k0 Þn Þ þ t∗D∗ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
WACC k0
ð22:6Þ
Below we fulfill the incorporation of rating parameters (financial “ratios”) into the
modern theory of capital structure [Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (BFO) theory].
As we noted in a previous paper (Brusov et al. 2018a, c, d), in quantification of
the creditworthiness of the issuers, the crucial role belongs to the so-called financial
“ratios,” which constitute a direct and inverse ratios of various generated cash flows
to debt values and interest ones. We could mention such ratios as DCF/Debt,
FFO/Debt, CFO/Debt, FOCF/Debt, FFO/cashinterest, EBITDA/interest, Interests/
EBITDA, Debt/EBITDA, and some others.
Let us consider two kind of rating ratios: coverage ratios and leverage ratios.
We start from the coverage ratios and will consider three kinds of coverage ratios:
coverage ratios of debt, coverage ratios of interest on the credit, and coverage ratios
of debt and interest on the credit. Note that the last type of ratios has been introduced
by us for the first time for a more complete valuation of the issuer’s ability to repay
debts and to pay interest thereon.
22.4 Coverage Ratios 483
Here
i1 ¼ CF=D
i1 ¼ CF=D ð22:7Þ
i1 ∗ 1 ð1 þ WACCÞn i1 ∗ 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ þ t∗ð1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ ð22:8Þ
WACC k0
i1 ∗A ¼ i1 ∗B þ t∗C ð22:9Þ
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn
A¼ ; ð22:10Þ
WACC
1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
B¼ ; ð22:11Þ
k0
C ¼ ð1 ð1 þ kd Þn Þ; ð22:12Þ
This ratio (i1) can be used to assess the following parameters used in rating,
DCF/Debt, FFO/Debt, CFO/Debt, FOCF/Debt, and some others. We will use For-
mula (22.8) to study the dependence WACC (i1) and to build a curve of this
dependence.
Let us analyze the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
on debt coverage ratio i1. We consider the case k0 ¼ 8%; kd ¼ 4%; t¼20%; i1 is
changed from 1 up to 10, for two company ages n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5.
The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on the
coverage ratio on debt i1 is shown at Figs. 22.1 and 22.2.
Let us analyze now the dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) on the coverage ratio on interest on the credit i2.
Dividing both parts of the formula (22.6) by the value of the interest on the credit
kdD, enter the coverage ratio on interest on the credit i2 into the general BFO theory
484 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
0.078
0.077
0.076
0.075
0 5 10 15
Here
CF
¼ i2
D∗kd
t∗C
i2 ∗A ¼ i2 ∗B þ
kd
0.02
0
0 5 10 15
-0.02
-0.04
0.04
0.02
0
0 5 10 15
This ratio (i2) can be used to assess the following parameters used in rating,
FFO/cashinterest, EBITDA/interest, and some others. We will use the last formula to
build a curve of dependence WACC(i2).
Let us now study the dependence of the company’s weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) on the coverage ratios of debt and interest on the credit simultaneously i3:
this is new ratio introduced by us for the first time here for a more complete
description of the issuer’s ability to repay debts and to pay interest thereon.
Dividing both parts of the formula (22.6) by the value of the debt and interest on
the credit (1 þ kd)D, enter the coverage ratio on debt and interest on the credit i3 into
the general BFO theory
486 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
CF
¼ i3
D∗ð1 þ kd Þ
t∗C
i3 ∗A ¼ i3 ∗B þ
1 þ kd
0.076
0.075
0 5 10 15
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Fig. 22.7 Consolidated data of dependence of WACC on i1, i2, i3 at company age n ¼ 3
WACC( i1),(i2),(i3)
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
-0.02
-0.04
Fig. 22.8 Consolidated data of dependence of WACC on i1, i2, i3 at company age n ¼ 5
488 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
As we have derived above, the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) on debt coverage ratio (i1) in the BFO theory is described by the following
formula:
ð1 ð1 þ WACCÞn Þ ð1 ð1 þ k 0 Þn Þ
i1 ∗ i1 ∗ t∗½1 ð1 þ kd Þn ¼ 0,
WACC k0
Here
CF
i1 ¼ :
D
By using it, we get the following results, representing in Table 22.8 and Fig. 22.9
for company age n ¼ 3 and in Table 22.9 and Fig. 22.10 for company age n ¼ 5.
WACC (i1)
0.1400
0.1350
WACC
0.1300
0.1250
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
i1
Fig. 22.9 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital WACC on debt coverage ratio i1
at company age n ¼ 3
WACC (i1)
0.1400
0.1380
0.1360
WACC
0.1340
0.1320
0.1300
0.1280
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
i1
Fig. 22.10 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital WACC on debt coverage ratio
i1 at company age n ¼ 5
492 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
As we have derived above, the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) on interests on credit coverage ratio (i2) in the BFO theory is described by
the following formula:
Here
CF
i2 ¼ :
kd ∗D
By using it, we get the following results, representing in Table 22.10 and
Fig. 22.11 for company age n ¼ 3 and in Table 22.11 and Fig. 22.12 for company
age n ¼ 5.
WACC(i2) at n=3
0.1400
0.1200
0.1000
0.0800
WACC
0.0600
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
i2
Fig. 22.11 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on interests on credit
coverage ratio (i2) at company age n ¼ 3
22.5 Coverage Ratios (Different Capital Cost Values) 493
WACC(i2) at n=5
0.1500
0.1000
WACC
0.0500
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
i2
Fig. 22.12 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on interests on credit
leverage ratio (i2) at company age n ¼ 5
As we have derived above, the dependence of the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC) on debt and interests on credit coverage ratio (i3) in the BFO theory is
described by the following formula:
Here
CF
i3 ¼ :
ðkd þ 1Þ∗D
494 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
By using it, we get the following results, representing in Table 22.12 and
Fig. 22.13 for company age n ¼ 3 and in Table 22.13 and Fig. 22.14 for company
age n ¼ 5.
WACC(i3) at n=3
0.1400
0.1380
0.1360
0.1340
WACC
0.1320
0.1300
0.1280
0.1260
0.1240
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
i3
Fig. 22.13 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on debt and interests
on credit leverage ratio (i3) at company age n ¼ 3
WACC(i3) at n=5
0.1400
0.1380
0.1360
WACC
0.1340
0.1320
0.1300
0.1280
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
i3
Fig. 22.14 The dependence of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on debt and interests
on credit leverage ratio (i3) at company age n ¼ 5
It is seen from Tables 22.1, 22.2, 22.3, 22.4, 22.5, 22.6, 22.7, 22.8, 22.9, 22.10,
22.11, 22.12, and 22.13 and Figs. 22.1, 22.2, 22.3, 22.4, 22.5, 22.6, 22.7, 22.8, 22.9,
22.10, 22.11, 22.12, 22.13, 22.14, 22.15, and 22.16 that WACC(ij) is increasing
function on ij with saturation WACC ¼ k0 at high values of ij. Note that this
saturation for companies of finite age is a little bit more gradual than in case of
perpetuity companies: in latter case, the saturation takes place around ij value of
order 1 for ratios i1 and i3 and of order 4 or 5 for ratios i2. In perpetuity case as well as
in case of companies of finite age at saturation, WACC reaches the value k0 (equity
value at zero leverage level). This means that for high values of ij, one can choose k0
as a discount rate with a very good accuracy in perpetuity case and with a little bit
less accuracy in general case (companies of arbitrary ages). Thus the role of
parameter k0 increases drastically. The method of determination of parameter k0
0.1000
0.0800
0.0600
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
WACC (i1) 0.1298 0.1347 0.1365 0.1374 0.1379 0.1382 0.1385 0.1387 0.1388 0.1389
WACC (i2) 0.0285 0.0795 0.0985 0.1084 0.1145 0.1186 0.1216 0.1238 0.1256 0.1270
WACC (i3) 0.1303 0.1351 0.1367 0.1376 0.1380 0.1384 0.1386 0.1388 0.1389 0.1390
i
Fig. 22.15 Consolidated data of dependence of WACC on i1, i2, i3 at company age n ¼ 3
496 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
0.1000
0.0800
0.0600
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
WACC (i1) 0.1324 0.1362 0.1374 0.1381 0.1385 0.1387 0.1389 0.1390 0.1391 0.1392
WACC (i2) 0.0583 0.0957 0.1096 0.1169 0.1213 0.1244 0.1265 0.1282 0.1295 0.1305
WACC (i3) 0.1329 0.1364 0.1376 0.1382 0.1386 0.1388 0.1390 0.1391 0.1392 0.1393
i
Fig. 22.16 Consolidated data of dependence of WACC on i1, i2, i3 at company age n ¼ 5
has been developed by Anastasiya Brusova (Brusova 2011). So, parameter k0 is the
discount rate for case of high values of ij. In case of ratio i2 in general case as well as
in perpetuity case, the saturation of WACC(i2) takes place at higher values of i2.
In opposite to perpetuity case within BFO theory, one could make calculations for
companies of arbitrary age because a factor of time presents in this theory. Our
calculations show that curve WACC(ij) for company of higher age lies above this
curve for younger company. And with increase of ij value, the WACC values for
different company ages n become closer to each other.
Note that curves WACC(i1) and WACC(i3) are very close to each other at small
enough credit rates, but difference between them will become bigger at higher values
of credit rates.
Curve WACC(i2) turns out to be enough different from curves WACC(i1) and
WACC(i3).
ð1 ð1 þ WACCÞn Þ ð1 ð1 þ k0 Þn Þ
t∗½1 ð1 þ k d Þn ∗l1 ¼ 0,
WACC k0
Here
22.6 Leverage Ratios 497
D
l1 ¼ :
CF
Be reminded that here WACC is the weighted average cost of capital of the
company, l1 is the leverage ratios l1 for debt, t is the tax on profit rate for organiza-
tions (t ¼ 20%), k0 is the equity cost of financially dependent company, kd is the debt
capital cost, n is the company age, CF is the income value for one period, and D is
the debt capital value.
The ratio (l2) can be used to assess the following parameters used in rating:
Interests/EBITDA and some others.
By using the above equation, we get the following results, representing in
Table 22.14 and Fig. 22.17 for company age n ¼ 3 and in Table 22.15 and
Fig. 22.18 for company age n ¼ 5.
WACC(l1) at n=3
0.1000
0.0800
0.0600
WACC
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
l1
Fig. 22.17 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on debt
leverage ratio l1 at n ¼ 3
498 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
WACC(l1) at n=5
0.1000
0.0800
WACC
0.0600
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L1
Fig. 22.18 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital WACC on debt
leverage ratio at n ¼ 5
Here
kd ∗D
l2 ¼ :
CF
This ratio l2 can be used to assess the following parameters used in rating:
Interests/EBITDA and some others.
The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on
leverage ratios on debt and interests on credit l3 is described within BFO theory by
the following formula:
Here
ðkd þ 1Þ∗D
l3 ¼ :
CF
The ratio l3 can be used to assess the following parameters used in rating;
Debt þ interest/FFO, Debt þ interest/EBIT, Debt þ interest/EBITDA(R), and
some others.
By using it, we find the dependence WACC(l3) at company ages n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5.
Below we represent the consolidated data of dependence of WACC on l1, l2, l3 at
company age n ¼ 3 and n ¼ 5.
ð1 ð1 þ WACCÞn Þ ð1 ð1 þ k0 Þn Þ
t ∗ c∗ l1 ¼ 0
WACC k0
Here
D
l1 ¼ :
CF
Here
D∗ kd
l2 ¼
CF
Here
D ð1 þ k d Þ
l3 ¼
CF
It is seen from Tables 22.14, 22.15, 22.16, 22.17, 22.18, 22.19, 22.20, 22.21, 22.22,
22.23, 22.24 and 22.25 and Figs. 22.17, 22.18, 22.19, 22.20, 22.21, 22.22, 22.23,
22.24, 22.25, 22.26, 22.27, 22.28, 22.29, 22.30, 22.31, and 22.32 that WACC(lj) is
decreasing function on lj. WACC decreases from value of k0 (equity value at zero
22.7 Leverage Ratios (Different Capital Costs) 501
WACC(l2) at n=3
0.0000
-0.0500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-0.1000
-0.1500
WACC
-0.2000
-0.2500
-0.3000
-0.3500
-0.4000
L2
Fig. 22.19 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on leverage
ratio of interests on credit at company age n ¼ 3
WACC(l2)
0.0500
0.0000
-0.0500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-0.1000
WACC
-0.1500
-0.2000
-0.2500
-0.3000
L2
Fig. 22.20 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on leverage
ratio of interests on credit at company age n ¼ 3
22.7 Leverage Ratios (Different Capital Costs) 505
WACC(l3) at n=3
0.1000
0.0800
0.0600
WACC
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L3
Fig. 22.21 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on leverage
ratio on debt and interests on credit at company age n ¼ 3
WACC(l3)
0.1000
0.0800
0.0600
WACC
0.0400
0.0200
0.0000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L3
Fig. 22.22 The dependence of company’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) on leverage
ratio of debt and interests on credit at company age n ¼ 5
leverage level) practically linearly for WACC(l1) and WACC(l3) and with higher
speed for WACC(l2). In opposite to perpetuity case within BFO theory, one could
make calculations for companies of arbitrary age because a factor of time presents in
this theory. Our calculations show that curve WACC(li) for company of higher age
lies above this curve for younger company.
Note that curves WACC(l1) and WACC(l3) are very close to each other at small
enough credit rates, but difference between them will become bigger at higher values
of credit rates.
Curve WACC(l2) turns out to be enough different from curves WACC(l1) and
WACC(l3).
506 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
0.1000
0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
WACC
-0.1000
-0.2000
-0.3000
-0.4000
L
Fig. 22.23 Consolidated data of dependence of WACC on l1, l2, l3 at company age n ¼ 3
0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
WACC
-0.0500
-0.1000
-0.1500
-0.2000
-0.2500
-0.3000
l
Fig. 22.24 Consolidated data of dependence of WACC on l1, l2, l3 at company age n ¼ 5
22.7 Leverage Ratios (Different Capital Costs) 507
WACC
of debt l1 at company age
n¼3 0.05 WACC
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L1
-0.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
WACC
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
L2
0
company age n ¼ 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-0.1 WACC
-0.2
-0.3
L2
508 22 Rating Methodology: New Look and New Horizons
WACC
of debt and interests on
credit at company age n ¼ 3 0.05
WACC
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L3
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
L3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 WACC (L1)
-0.1
WACC (L2)
-0.2 WACC (L3)
-0.3
-0.4
L
22.8 Conclusions
References
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Chapter 23
Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New
Approach
Rating agencies play a very important role in economics. Via the analysis of issuer’s
state they generate credit ratings of issuers which help investors make reasonable
investment decision, as well as help issuers with good enough ratings get credits on
lower rates, etc.
The paper continues to create a new approach to rating methodology: in addition
to two papers, which have considered the creditworthiness of the non-finance issuers
(Brusov et al. 2018c, d), we develop here a new approach to project rating. We work
within investment models created by the authors. One of them describes the effec-
tiveness of investment project from the perspective of equity capital owners, while
the other model describes the effectiveness of investment project from the perspec-
tive of equity capital and debt capital owners.
The important features of current consideration as well as in previous studies are
(1) the adequate use of discounting financial flows virtually not used in existing
rating methodologies and (2) the incorporation of rating parameters (financial
“ratios”), used in project rating, into considered modern investment models.
Analyzing within these investment models with incorporated rating parameters
the dependence of NPV on rating parameters (financial “ratios”) at different values
of equity cost k0, at different values of credit rates kd, as well as at different values of
leverage level L, we come to a very important conclusion that NPV (in units of NOI)
(NPV NPV
NOI ) [as well as NPV (in units of D) ( D )] depends only on equity cost k0, on credit
rates kd, on leverage level L, as well as on one of the leverage ratios lj (on one of the
coverage ratios ij) and does not depend on equity value S, debt value D, and NOI.
This means that results on the dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV NOI) on leverage
ratios lj [as well as on the dependence of NPV (in units of D) (NPV D ) on coverage ratios
ij] at different equity costs k0, at different credit rates kd, and at different leverage
levels L carry the universal character: these dependencies remain valid for invest-
ment projects with any equity value S, debt value D, and NOI.
We work within investment models, created by the authors. One of them describes
the effectiveness of investment project from the perspective of equity capital owners,
while the other model describes the effectiveness of investment project from the
perspective of equity capital and debt capital owners.
In the former case, investments at the initial time moment T ¼ 0 are equal to –S
and the flow of capital for the period (in addition to the tax shields kdDt, it includes a
payment of interest on a loan kdD):
Here, for simplicity, we suppose that interest on the loan will be paid in equal
shares kdD during all periods. Note that principal repayment is made at the end of the
last period.
We will consider the case of discounting, when operating and financial flows are
not separated and both are discounted, using the general rate [as which, obviously,
the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) can be selected]. In this case for long-
term (perpetuity) projects, the Modigliani–Miller formula (Мodigliani and Мiller
1958, 1963, 1966) for WACC will be used, and for projects of finite (arbitrary)
duration, Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova formula will be used (Brusov and Filatova
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d;
Filatova et al. 2008; Brusova 2011).
Note that debt capital is the least risky, because interest on credit is paid after
taxes in the first place. Therefore, the cost of credit will always be less than the equity
cost, whether of ordinary or of preference shares ke > kd; kp > kd. Here ke, kp is the
equity cost of ordinary or of preference shares consequently.
In this case operating and financial flows are not separated and are discounted using
the general rate (as which, obviously, WACC can be selected).
The credit reimbursable at the end of the project [at the end of the period (n)] can
be discounted either at the same rate WACC or at the debt cost rate kd. Now we
choose a uniform rate and the first option.
23.1 Investment Models 513
X
n
NOIð1 t Þ kd Dð1 t Þ D
NPV ¼ S þ
i¼1 ð1 þ WACCÞ i ð1 þ WACCÞn
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ 1 D
¼ S þ 1 :
WACC ð1 þ WACCÞn ð1 þ WACCÞn
ð23:2Þ
NOIð1 t Þ k d Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ : ð23:5Þ
WACC
NOIð1 t Þ kd Dð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S þ ð23:6Þ
WACC
So, below we consider the long-term (perpetuity) projects and will use the
following formula for calculations:
2 3
Lkd ð1 t Þ 5 βSð1 þ LÞð1 t Þ
NPV ¼ S41 þ þ ð23:9Þ
k0 1 1þL
Lt
k0 1 1þL
Lt
Below we incorporate the financial coefficients, used in project rating, into modern
investment models, created by the authors. We will consider two kinds of financial
coefficients: coverage ratios and leverage coefficients. In each group of financial
coefficients, we incorporate three particular quantities.
For coverage ratios, we incorporate (1) coverage ratios of debt, i1 ¼ NPV D ;
(2) coverage ratios of interest on the credit i2 ¼ NPV kd D ; and (3) coverage ratios of
debt and interest on the credit i3 ¼ ð1þkNPV
d ÞD
.
For leverage ratios, we incorporate (1) leverage ratios of debt, l1 ¼ NPV D
; (2) lever-
age ratios of interest on the credit l2 ¼ NPV; and (3) leverage ratios of debt and interest
kd D
Let us first incorporate the coverage ratios, used in project rating, into modern
investment models, created by the authors. Dividing both parts of Eq. (23.9) by D,
one gets
NPV 1 ðk d i 1 Þð1 t Þ
¼ ð23:10Þ
D L k0 1 Lt 1þL
Here
23.2 Incorporation of Financial Coefficients, Used in Project Rating, into. . . 515
NPV
i1 ¼ ð23:11Þ
D
NPV 1 ð1 i 2 Þð1 t Þ
¼ ð23:12Þ
kd D Lkd k 0 1 Lt 1þL
Here
NPV
i2 ¼ ð23:13Þ
kd D
Here
NPV
i3 ¼ ð23:15Þ
ð1 þ kd ÞD
Analyzing the formulas (23.10, (23.12, and 23.14), we come to a very important
conclusion that NPV (in units of D) (NPV D ) depends only on equity cost k0, on credit
rates kd, on leverage level L, as well as on one of the coverage ratios ij and does not
depend on equity value S, debt value D, and NOI. This means that results on the
dependence of NPV (in units of D) (NPV D ) on coverage ratios ij at different equity costs
k0, at different credit rates kd, and at different leverage levels L carry the universal
character: these dependencies remain valid for investment projects with any equity
value S, debt value D, and NOI.
516 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
Now let us incorporate the leverage ratios, used in project rating, into modern
investment models, created by the authors.
Dividing both parts of Eq. (23.9) by NOI, one gets
Here
D
l1 ¼ ð23:17Þ
NPV
Here
kd D
l2 ¼ ð23:19Þ
NPV
Here
ð1 þ kd ÞD
l3 ¼ ð23:21Þ
NPV
23.3 Dependence of NPV on Coverage Ratios 517
Analyzing the formulas (23.16, 23.18, and 23.20), we come to a very important
conclusion that NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV
NOI) depends only on equity cost k0, on credit
rates kd, on leverage level L, as well as on one of the leverage ratios lj and does not
depend on equity value S, debt value D, and NOI. This means that results on the
dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV NOI ) on leverage ratios lj at different equity
costs k0, at different credit rates kd, and at different leverage levels L carry the
universal character: these dependencies remain valid for investment projects with
any equity value S, debt value D, and NOI.
We investigate below the effectiveness of long-term investment projects studying
the dependence of NPV on coverage ratios and on leverage ratios. We make
calculations for coefficients i1 and l1. Calculations for the rest of coefficients (i2, i3
and l2, l3) could be made in a similar way.
We start from the calculations of the dependence of NPV on coverage ratios. We
consider different values of equity costs k0, of debt costs kd, and of leverage level
L ¼ D/S. Here t is tax on profit rate, which in our calculations is equal to 20%.
Table 23.1 The dependence of NPV on coverage ratio on debt i1 at equity cost k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ 6,
10, 14, and 20%; and L ¼ 1
NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D
i1 L k0 t (kd ¼ 0.2) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 1 0.24 0.2 1.741 1.519 1.37 1.222
1 1 0.24 0.2 1.963 2.185 2.333 2.481
2 1 0.24 0.2 5.667 5.889 6.037 6.185
3 1 0.24 0.2 9.37 9.593 9.741 9.889
4 1 0.24 0.2 13.07 13.3 13.44 13.59
5 1 0.24 0.2 16.78 17 17.15 17.3
6 1 0.24 0.2 20.48 20.7 20.85 21
7 1 0.24 0.2 24.19 24.41 24.56 24.7
8 1 0.24 0.2 27.89 28.11 28.26 28.41
9 1 0.24 0.2 31.59 31.81 31.96 32.11
10 1 0.24 0.2 35.3 35.52 35.67 35.81
40
35
30
25
20
NPV/D
15
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-5
I1
Fig. 23.1 The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 at k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ 6,
10, 14, and 20%; and L ¼ 1
45
40
35
30
25
NPV/D
20
15
10
5
0
-5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
I1
Fig. 23.2 The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 at k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ 6,
10, 14, and 20%; and L ¼ 3
One can see from this table that the value of i1 above which the investment project
remains effective (NPV > 0) increases with credit rate kd; that means that effective-
ness of the investment project as well as its creditworthiness decreases with credit
rate kd.
Let us calculate the dependence of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt
i1 at k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ 6, 10, 14, and 20%; and L ¼ 3.
The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 at k0 ¼ 24%;
kd ¼ 6, 10, 14, and 20%; and L ¼ 3 is illustrated in Fig. 23.2.
Let us calculate the value of l1 above which the investment project remains
effective (NPV > 0).
One can see from this table that like the case of L ¼ 1, the value of i1 above which
the investment project remains effective (NPV > 0) increases with credit rate kd; that
means that effectiveness of the investment project as well as its creditworthiness
decreases with credit rate kd. Comparing the case of L ¼ 1, one can see that at bigger
leverage level (L ¼ 3), the investment project becomes effective (NPV > 0) starting
from smaller coverage ratio i1, so bigger leverage level favors to the effectiveness of
the investment project as well as its creditworthiness.
We see from the Tables 23.1 and 23.2 and Figs. 23.1 and 23.2 that NPV D increases
with i1 and that NPV
D values turn out to be very close to each other at all i 1 values. It is
520 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
Table 23.2 The dependence of NPV on coverage ratio on debt i1 at equity cost k0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ 6,
10, 14, and 20%; and L ¼ 3
NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D
i1 L k0 t (kd ¼ 0.2) (kd ¼ 0.14) (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.06)
0 3 0.24 0.2 1.118 0.882 0.725 0.569
1 3 0.24 0.2 2.804 3.039 3.196 3.353
2 3 0.24 0.2 6.725 6.961 7.118 7.275
3 3 0.24 0.2 10.65 10.88 11.04 11.2
4 3 0.24 0.2 14.57 14.8 14.96 15.12
5 3 0.24 0.2 18.49 18.73 18.88 19.04
6 3 0.24 0.2 22.41 22.65 22.8 22.96
7 3 0.24 0.2 26.33 26.57 26.73 26.88
8 3 0.24 0.2 30.25 30.49 30.65 30.8
9 3 0.24 0.2 34.18 34.41 34.57 34.73
10 3 0.24 0.2 38.1 38.33 38.49 38.65
seen as well that NPV increases with decreasing kd. This means that effectiveness of
the investment project as well as its creditworthiness decreases with credit rate kd.
Below we investigate the dependence of NPV D on i1 at different values of kd in more
details and will show the ordering of NPV
D ð i 1 Þ curves at different values of kd, as well
as at different leverage levels L.
We study here the dependence of NPV D on i1 at fixed equity cost k0 ¼ 12% and at
different values of kd in more details and will show the ordering of NPV D ði1 Þ curves at
different values of kd, as well as at different leverage levels L.
The results of calculations of the dependence of NPV on coverage ratio on debt i1
at equity cost k0 ¼ 12%, at different values of debt costs kd, and at L ¼ 1 are shown in
Table 23.3.
The results of calculations of the dependence of NPV on coverage ratio on debt i1
at equity cost k0 ¼ 12%, at different values of debt costs kd, and at L ¼ 3 are shown in
Table 23.4.
We see from Tables 23.3 and 23.4 that NPV (in units of D) (NPV D ) increases with i1
NPV
and that D values turn out to be very close to each other at all i1 values.
To show the difference in NPVD values in more detail, we show at the Fig. 23.3 the
dependence of NPV D on parameter i1 for range i1 from 1 to 2.
One can see that all NPV (i1) curves corresponding to L ¼ 3 lie above the curves
corresponding to L ¼ 1. This means that NPV increases with L (with increasing of
the debt financing). At fixed value L, NPV increases with decreasing the credit rate
kd. This means that effectiveness of the investment project as well as its creditwor-
thiness decreases with credit rate kd.
23.3 Dependence of NPV on Coverage Ratios 521
Table 23.3 The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 at k0 ¼ 12%;
kd ¼ 2, 4, 6, 8, and 10%; and L ¼ 1
NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D
i1 t k0 (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06) (kd ¼ 0.04) (kd ¼ 0.02)
0 0.2 0.12 1.741 1.593 1.444 1.296 1.148
1 0.2 0.12 5.667 5.815 5.963 6.111 6.259
2 0.2 0.12 13.074 13.222 13.370 13.519 13.667
3 0.2 0.12 20.481 20.630 20.778 20.926 21.074
4 0.2 0.12 27.889 28.037 28.185 28.333 28.481
5 0.2 0.12 35.296 35.444 35.593 35.741 35.889
6 0.2 0.12 42.704 42.852 43.000 43.148 43.296
7 0.2 0.12 50.111 50.259 50.407 50.556 50.704
8 0.2 0.12 57.519 57.667 57.815 57.963 58.111
9 0.2 0.12 64.926 65.074 65.222 65.370 65.519
10 0.2 0.12 72.333 72.481 72.630 72.778 72.926
Table 23.4 The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 at k0 ¼ 12%;
kd ¼ 2, 4, 6, 8, and 10%; and L ¼ 3
NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D NPV/D
i1 t k0 (kd ¼ 0.1) (kd ¼ 0.08) (kd ¼ 0.06) (kd ¼ 0.04) (kd ¼ 0.02)
0 0.2 0.12 1.118 0.961 0.804 0.647 0.490
1 0.2 0.12 6.725 6.882 7.039 7.196 7.353
2 0.2 0.12 14.569 14.725 14.882 15.039 15.196
3 0.2 0.12 22.412 22.569 22.725 22.882 23.039
4 0.2 0.12 30.255 30.412 30.569 30.725 30.882
5 0.2 0.12 38.098 38.255 38.412 38.569 38.725
6 0.2 0.12 45.941 46.098 46.255 46.412 46.569
7 0.2 0.12 53.784 53.941 54.098 54.255 54.412
8 0.2 0.12 61.627 61.784 61.941 62.098 62.255
9 0.2 0.12 69.471 69.627 69.784 69.941 70.098
10 0.2 0.12 77.314 77.471 77.627 77.784 77.941
Analyzing the obtained results, one should remember that NPV (in units of D)
(NPV
D ) depends only on equity cost k0, on credit rates kd, on leverage level L, as well as
on one of the coverage ratios ij and does not depend on equity value S, debt value D,
and NOI. This means that obtained results on the dependence of NPV (in units of D)
(NPV
D ) on coverage ratios ij at different equity costs k0, at different credit rates kd, and
at different leverage levels L carry the universal character: these dependencies
remain valid for investment projects with any equity value S, debt value D, and NOI.
522 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
15.500
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
13.500 (7)
(8)
(9)
(10)
NPV/D, L=1, Kd=0,1 (10)
NPV/D, L=1, Kd=0,08 (9)
5.500
1 2
Fig. 23.3 The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 at k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ 2,
4, 6, 8, and 10%; and L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3
Results are shown in Tables 23.5 and 23.6 and in Figs. 23.4 and 23.5.
Based on the above calculations, we plot the dependences of NPV/NOI on
leverage ratio on debt l1 at different leverage levels L.
From Tables 23.5 and 23.6 and Figs. 23.4 and 23.5, one can come to a conclusion
that the NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV/NOI) decreases with increasing of the leverage
ratio on debt l1. With the increasing of the cost of debt capital kd, curves of the
dependence of NPV/NOI (l1), outgoing from a single point at a zero value of l1, lie
below (i.e., the rate of decrease (or negative slope of curves) grows). Note that while
the dependences of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 lie very close to
each other (see above), the dependences of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio
on debt l1 are separated significantly more.
Also, Figs. 23.6, 23.7, 23.8, and 23.9 of the NPV/NOI dependence on l1 can be
plotted for fixed values of the debt cost kd and two values of the leverage level L ¼ 1
and L ¼ 3.
One can see that the rate of decrease of the ratio NPV/NOI decreases with an
increase of the leverage level L.
L¼1
L¼3
Based on the obtained data, we plot the dependences of NPV/NOI on l1 at
k0 ¼ 14%, at different values of debt cost kd, and at two different leverage levels
L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3 in Figs. 23.10 and 23.11.
From Tables 23.7 and 23.8 and Figs. 23.10 and 23.11, one can come to a
conclusion that the NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV/NOI) decreases with increasing
of the leverage ratio on debt l1. With the increasing of the cost of debt capital kd,
curves of the dependence of NPV/NOI (l1), outgoing from a single point at a zero
value of l1, fall below (i.e., the rate of decrease grows).
l1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
kd ¼ 0.10 7.407 5.667 3.926 2.185 0.444 1.296 3.037 4.778 6.519 8.259 10
kd ¼ 0.08 7.407 5.815 4.222 2.63 1.037 0.556 2.148 3.741 5.333 6.926 8.519
kd ¼ 0.06 7.407 5.963 4.519 3.074 1.63 0.185 1.259 2.704 4.148 5.593 7.037
kd ¼ 0.04 7.407 6.111 4.815 3.519 2.222 0.926 0.37 1.667 2.963 4.259 5.556
Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
23.4
l1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dependence of NPV on Leverage Ratios
kd ¼ 0.10 7.843 6.725 5.608 4.49 3.373 2.255 1.137 0.02 1.098 2.216 3.333
kd ¼ 0.08 7.843 6.882 5.922 4.961 4 3.039 2.078 1.118 0.157 0.804 1.765
kd ¼ 0.06 7.843 7.039 6.235 5.431 4.627 3.824 3.02 2.216 1.412 0.608 0.196
kd ¼ 0.04 7.843 7.196 6.549 5.902 5.255 4.608 3.961 3.314 2.667 2.02 1.373
525
526 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
0
Kd=8
-2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-4 Kd=6
-6 Kd=4
-8
-10
-12
l1
Fig. 23.4 The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ 4,
6, 8, and 10%; and L ¼ 1
6
Kd=10
NPV/NOI
4
Kd=8
2
Kd=6
0 Kd=4
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-2
-4
l1
Fig. 23.5 The dependence of NPV (in units of D) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 12%; kd ¼ 4,
6, 8, and 10%; and L ¼ 3
Using this formula, we calculate the dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV NOI )
on leverage ratio on debt l1 at equity cost k0 ¼ 0.26; at different values of kd ¼ 22,
16, 10, and 6%; and at two values of leverage levels L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3.
Let us start from the case at L ¼ 1 (Tables 23.9 and 23.10 and Fig. 23.12).
Let us calculate the value of l1 below which the investment project remains
effective (NPV > 0).
One can see from this table that the value of l1 below which the investment project
remains effective (NPV > 0) decreases with credit rate kd; that means that
23.4 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Ratios 527
5
NPV/NOI
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 L=1
-5 L=3
-10
-15
l1
Fig. 23.6 The dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 12%;
kd ¼ 10%; and L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3
2
0 L=1
-2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 L=3
-4
-6
-8
-10
l1
Fig. 23.7 The dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 12%;
kd ¼ 8%; and L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3
5
NPV/NOI
0 L=1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 L=3
-5
-10
l1
Fig. 23.8 The dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 12%;
kd ¼ 6%; and L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3
528 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
2
L=1
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 L=3
-2
-4
-6
-8
l1
Fig. 23.9 The dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 12%,
kd ¼ 4% and L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
NPV/NOI
-2
-4
-6
1
-8
2
-10 3
4
-12
Fig. 23.10 The dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 14%;
kd ¼ 6% (1), 8% (2), 10% (3), and 12% (4); and L ¼ 1
3
NPV/NOI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
-1 1
2
-3
3
4
-5
Fig. 23.11 The dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio on debt l1 at k0 ¼ 14%;
kd ¼ 6% (1), 8% (2), 10% (3), and 12% (4); and L ¼ 3
One can see from this table that like the case of L ¼ 1, the value of l1 below which
the investment project remains effective (NPV > 0) decreases with credit rate kd; that
means that effectiveness of the investment project as well as its creditworthiness
decreases with credit rate kd. Comparing the case at L ¼ 1, one can see that at bigger
leverage level (L ¼ 3), the investment project remains effective (NPV > 0) until
530 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
bigger leverage ratio l1, so bigger leverage level favors to the effectiveness of the
investment project as well as its creditworthiness.
Let us analyze also the dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV NOI ) on leverage
ratio on debt l1 at equity cost k0 ¼ 0.26 and each value of kd at two leverage levels
L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3 (Figs. 23.14, 23.15, 23.16, and 23.17).
Studying the dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV NOI ) on leverage ratio on debt
l1 at equity cost k0 ¼ 0.26 and each value of kd at two leverage levels L ¼ 1 and L ¼ 3
shows that the curve NPV NOI (l1) corresponding to bigger leverage level (L ¼ 3) lies
above the curve NPV NOI (l1 ) corresponding to smaller leverage level (L ¼ 1). The curve
NPV
NOI (l 1 ) corresponding to bigger leverage level (L ¼ 3) has smaller (negative) slope.
This means that debt financing of long-term projects favors effectiveness of the
investment project as well as its creditworthiness.
23.4 Dependence of NPV on Leverage Ratios 531
2.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
-2.00
-4.00
-6.00
-8.00
-10.00
-12.00
-14.00
-16.00
Kd = 0,22 Kd = 0,16 Kd = 0,1 Kd = 0,06
Analyzing the obtained results, one should remember that NPV (in units of NOI)
(NPV
NOI) depends only on equity cost k0, on credit rates kd, on leverage level L, as well as
on one of the leverage ratios lj and does not depend on equity value S, debt value D,
and NOI. This means that obtained results on the dependence of NPV (in units of
NOI) (NPV
NOI ) on leverage ratios lj at different equity costs k0, at different credit rates kd,
and at different leverage levels L carry the universal character: these dependencies
remain valid for investment projects with any equity value S, debt value D, and NOI.
532 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
4.00
2.00
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
-2.00
-4.00
-6.00
-8.00
-10.00
Kd = 0,22 Kd = 0,16 Kd = 0,1 Kd = 0,06
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
-2.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
-4.00
-6.00
-8.00
-10.00
-12.00
-14.00
L=1 L=3
-16.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
-2.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
-4.00
-6.00
-8.00
-10.00
-12.00
L=1 L=3
-14.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
-2.00
-4.00
-6.00
-8.00
-10.00
L=1 L=3
-12.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
-2.00
-4.00
-6.00
-8.00
L=1 L=3
-10.00
23.5 Conclusions
References
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capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
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of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
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tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
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abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
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perpetuity limit – Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
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taxation, monograph, 1st edn. Springer International Publishing, Berlin, 368pp
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its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
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horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
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536 23 Ratings of Long-Term Projects: A New Approach
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Solut 34(76):36–42
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Chapter 24
New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital
Structure Theory
24.1 Introduction
One of the main and the most important problems in corporate finance is the problem
of cost of capital, the impact of capital structure on its cost and capitalization of the
companies, and the problem of an optimal capital structure of the companies
(at which the company capitalization is maximal and weighted average cost of
capital WACC is minimal). The importance of these problems is connected to the
fact, that it is possible doing nothing, just by change the ratio between debt and
equity capital (by change the capital structure) to increase the capitalization of the
company, i.e. to solve the main task of the management of any company.
However, to date, even the question of the existence of an optimal capital
structure of the companies still remains open. Numerous theories and models,
including the first and the only one until recently quantitative theory by Nobel
laureates Modigliani and Miller (MM), not only does not solve the problem, but
also because of the large number of restrictions (such as, for example, theory of MM)
have a weak relationship to the real economy. Herewith the qualitative theories and
models, based on the empirical approaches, do not allow to carry out the necessary
assessment.
This special issue is devoted to recent development of capital structure theory and
its applications. Discussions will be made within both main theories: modern theory
by Brusov, Filatova, and Orekhova (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011;
Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d) and
its perpetuity limit, classical Modigliani–Miller (MM) theory, which will be com-
pared in details. From 2008 the BFO theory has replaced the famous theory of capital
cost and capital structure by Nobel laureates Modigliani and Miller. The authors of
BFO have moved from the assumption of Modigliani–Miller concerning the perpe-
tuity (infinite time of life) of companies and further elaborated quantitative theory of
valuation of core parameters of financial activities of companies of arbitrary age as
well as of arbitrary time of life.
Within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure (BFO theory), a lot of
qualitatively new results, described in this paper, have been obtained, among them:
– Bankruptcy of the famous trade-off theory has been proven. BFO theory has
destroyed some main existing principles of financial management: among them is
the trade-off theory, which was considered as keystone of formation of optimal
capital structure of the company during many decades.
It would be a great pity if the optimal capital structure of the company does not
exist in general; thus, BFO authors have suggested the mechanism of formation
of the company optimal capital structure, different from what is suggested by
trade-off theory.
– The qualitatively new effect in corporate finance has been discovered by BFO
authors: abnormal dependence of equity cost on leverage, which significantly
alters the principles of the company’s dividend policy.
– Existence of “A golden age” of the companies has been discovered. It was
shown for the first time that valuation of WACC in the Modigliani–Miller theory
is not minimal and valuation of the company capitalization is not maximal, as all
financiers supposed up to now: at some age of the company, its WACC value
turns out to be lower than in the Modigliani–Miller theory (in perpetuity limit),
and company capitalization V at some company age turns out to be greater than
company capitalization V in Modigliani–Miller theory.
– The inflation in both Modigliani–Miller and in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova
theories has been taken into account in explicit form, with the detected
non-trivial impact on the dependence of equity cost on leverage.
– The study of the role of taxes and leverage has been done, and obtained results
allow the regulator to set the tax on profit rate and businesses to choose the
optimal level of debt financing.
– Investigation of the influence of tax on profit rate on effectiveness of invest-
ment projects at different debt levels showed that increase of tax on profit rate
from one side leads to decrease of project NPV, but from the other side, it leads to
decrease of sensitivity of NPV with respect to leverage level. At high leverage
level L, the influence of tax on profit rate on effectiveness of investment projects
becomes significantly less.
– The influence of growth of tax on profit rate on the efficiency of the investment
as well has led to two qualitatively new effects in investments:
1. The growth of tax on profit rate changes the nature of the NPV dependence on
leverage L at some value t*: there is a transition from diminishing function
NPV(L ) at t < t* to growing function NPV(L ) at t > t*.
2. At high leverage levels, the growth of tax on profit rate leads to the growth of
the efficiency of the investments.
24.2 Comparison of Modigliani–Miller (MM) and Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova. . . 539
The traditional (empirical) approach told to businessmen that weighted average cost
of capital, WACC, and the associated company capitalization, V ¼ CF/WACC,
depend on the capital structure, the level of leverage. Debt cost always turns out to be
lower than equity cost, because the first one has lower risk, because in the event of
bankruptcy, creditor claims are met prior to shareholders’ claims.
As a result an increase in the proportion of lower-cost debt capital in the overall
capital structure up to the limit which does not cause violation of financial sustain-
ability and growth in risk of bankruptcy leads to lower weighted average cost of
capital, WACC.
The required profitability by investors (the equity cost) is growing; however, its
growth has not led to compensation benefits from use of more low-cost debt capital.
Therefore, the traditional approach welcomes the increased leverage L ¼ D/S and the
associated increase of company capitalization. The traditional (empirical) approach
has existed up to the appearance of the first quantitative theory by Modigliani and
Мiller (1958) (Fig. 24.1).
540 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
Fig. 24.1 Dependence of company capitalization, UL; equity cost, ke; debt cost, kd; and weighted
average cost of capital, WACC, in traditional (empirical) approach
Modigliani–Miller theory with taxes is based on the following three formulae for
capitalization V, WACC, and equity cost ke (Fig. 24.2):
V ¼ V 0 þ Dt,
WACC ¼ k0 ð1 wd T Þ,
ke ¼ k 0 þ Lð1 T Þðk 0 kd Þ:
One of the most important assumptions of the Modigliani–Miller theory is that all
financial flows are perpetuity.
This limitation was lifted out by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova in 2008, who have
created the BFO theory—modern theory of capital cost and capital structure for
companies of arbitrary age (BFO-I) and for companies of arbitrary lifetime (BFO-II)
(Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d)
(Fig. 24.3).
Note that before 2008, only two results for capital structure of company were
available:
Modigliani–Miller for perpetuity company and Myers for 1-year company (see
Fig. 24.4).
24.2 Comparison of Modigliani–Miller (MM) and Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova. . . 541
Fig. 24.2 Dependence of equity capital cost, debt cost, and WACC on leverage in Modigliani–
Miller theory without taxes (t ¼ 0) and with taxes (t 6¼ 0)
Fig. 24.3 Historical development of capital structure theory (here TA traditional (empirical)
approach, MM Modigliani–Miller approach, BFO Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory)
Fig. 24.4 MM theory describes perpetuity limit, and Myers paper describes 1-year company, while
BFO theory fills the whole numeric axis (from n ¼ 1 up to perpetuity limit n ¼ 1)
BFO theory has filled out the whole interval between t ¼ 1 and t ¼ 1. One got
the possibility to calculate capitalization V, WACC, and equity cost ke for companies
of arbitrary age (BFO-1) and for companies of arbitrary lifetime (BFO-2). BFO
theory has led to a lot of new meaningful effects in modern capital structure theory,
discussed in this paper.
BFO theory is based on famous formula
542 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
1 ð1 þ WACCÞn 1 ð1 þ k0 Þn
¼ : ð24:1Þ
WACC k0 ½1 ωd T ð1 ð1 þ k d Þn Þ
20.00%
19.50%
19.00%
18.50%
18.00%
WACC
We consider linear and quadratic growth of debt cost kd with leverage, starting
from some value (with different coefficients), at different values of k0 , and different
ages of the companies. Let us find WACC values (Table 24.3 and Fig. 24.6):
1. n ¼ 3; t ¼ 20 % ; L ¼ 0, 1, 2, ...10
0:07; at L 2
k 0 ¼ 24%; kd ¼ ð24:2Þ
0:07 þ 0:01ðL 2Þ2 ; at L > 2
Let us see how the growth of debt cost kd with leverage affects the equity cost ke
dependence on leverage. We will consider the same cases as above for the calcula-
tions of dependences WACC (L ) (Table 24.4 and Fig. 24.7).
The analysis of the well-known trade-off theory, conducted with the help of
modern theory of capital structure and capital cost by Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova,
has shown that suggestion of risky debt financing (and growing credit rate near the
bankruptcy) in opposite to waiting result does not lead to growing of WACC, which
still decreases with leverage. This means the absence of minimum in the dependence
of WACC on leverage as well as the absence of maximum in the dependence of
capitalization V on leverage. Thus, it seems that the optimal capital structure is
absent in the famous trade-off theory. The explanation to this fact has been done
within the same Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory by studying the dependence of
the equity cost ke with leverage. It turned out that the growth of debt cost kd with
leverage leads to decrease of equity cost ke with leverage, starting from some
24.4
k0 A 1.9813 2.0184 2.0311 2.0445 2.0703 2.1075 2.1520 2.1988 2.2438 2.2842 2.3186
0.24 WACC 0.2401 0.2279 0.2238 0.2195 0.2111 0.1997 0.1864 0.1730 0.1605 0.1496 0.1406
545
546 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
WACC(L)
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500
0.1000
0.0500
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
leverage level, which is higher than starting point of debt cost growth. This paradox
conclusion gives the explanation of the absence of the optimal capital structure in the
famous trade-off theory. This means, that competition of benefits from using of debt
financing and of financial distress cost (or a bankruptcy cost) are NOT balanced and
hopes, that trade off theory gives us the optimal capital structure, unfortunately, do
not realized.
The absence of the optimal capital structure in the trade-off theory questioned the
existence of an optimal capital structure of the company [but as authors have shown,
the optimal capital structure for the investment still exists (Brusov et al. 2011b, c)].
In the search for the “golden fleece,” one needs to switch to study of other mecha-
nisms for formation of the capital structure of the company, different from the ones
considered in the trade-off theory.
Ke(L)
0.8000
0.7000
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0.0000
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
L
One sees from Fig. 24.8 that position limit of dependence of cost of equity on
leverage L is in horizontal line 11 at T ¼ 1. Below we’ll see that in BFO theory, the
abnormal effect takes place (see Fig. 24.9) and dependence of cost of equity on
leverage L line could have a negative slope.
24.5 The Qualitatively New Effect in Corporate Finance 549
0.0000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
-0.0500
5
-0.1000
T
From Fig. 24.10 it is seen that dependence of cost of equity ke on leverage level
L with a good accuracy is linear. The tilt angle decreases with tax on profit rate like
the perpetuity case.
However, for the finite lifetime of companies along with the behavior ke(L ),
similar to the perpetuity behavior of the Modigliani–Miller case (Fig. 24.8), for some
sets of parameters n, k0, kd, there is an otherwise behavior ke(L ).
From the Fig. 24.10, it is seen that starting from some values of tax on profit rate T
∗
(in this case from T∗ ¼ 40%, although at other sets of parameters n, k0, kd critical
values of tax on profit rate T∗ could be lower), there is not the rise in the cost of
equity of the company with leverage but descending. Once again, the presence or the
absence of such an effect depends on a set of parameters k0, kd, n.
This effect has been observed above in the dependence of cost of equity ke on tax
on profit rate T at fix leverage level, but it is more clearly visible, depending on value
of cost of equity of the company on the leverage for various values of tax on profit
rate T.
Note that this is a new effect, which may take place only for the finite lifetime
company and which is not observed in perpetuity Modigliani–Miller limit.
It is easy to receive from the Modigliani–Miller formula for WACC
WACC ¼ ke we þ k d wd ð1 T Þ
formula for ke
ke ¼ k0 þ Lð1 T Þðk 0 kd Þ,
550 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
Ke Ke(L), at fix T
0.4000
0.3000 1
0.2000 2
0.1000 3
0.0000 4
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 1010.5
-0.1000
5
-0.2000
6
-0.3000
L
Fig. 24.10 Dependence of cost of equity ke on leverage level L at different tax on profit rate
T (n ¼ 5, k0 ¼ 10 % , kd ¼ 8%) (1—T ¼ 0; 2—T ¼ 0.2; 3—T ¼ 0.4; 4—T ¼ 0.6; 5—T ¼ 0.8; 6—
T ¼ 1)
from which one can see that at maximum value of tax on profit T ¼ 1(100%), cost of
equity ke does not change with leverage, ke ¼ k0, while at lower T values ke increases
with leverage. This means that there is no decreasing of ke with leverage at any tax on
profit rate T.
24.6 Conclusions
2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2018d; Filatova et al.
2008). It has been shown that the absence of the effect at some particular set of
parameters is connected to the fact that in these cases, T* exceeds 100% (tax on profit
rate is situated in a “nonfinancial” region).
In the future, the papers and monographs will be devoted to discussion of
discovered abnormal effect, but it is already now clear that we will have to abandon
some established views in corporate finance.
Table 24.5 kd, ke, and weighted average cost of capital, WACC, for companies with lifetimes
n ¼ 1, n ¼ 3, n ¼ 5, and n ¼ 10
L 0 0.5 1 1.1 1.3 1.6 2 3 4
kd 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.1188 0.1161 0.1107 0.1 0.04 0.14
WACC (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.211 0.207 0.206 0.205 0.206 0.206 0.214 0.252
ke (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.257 0.294 0.302 0.320 0.358 0.417 0.736 1.819
WACC (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.208 0.201 0.201 0.199 0.199 0.198 0.209 0.279
ke (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.252 0.281 0.291 0.307 0.340 0.395 0.716 1.955
WACC (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.206 0.200 0.199 0.197 0.197 0.196 0.207 0.301
ke (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.250 0.279 0.287 0.303 0.335 0.388 0.710 2.067
WACC 0.220 0.206 0.199 0.198 0.196 0.196 0.194 0.205 0.383
(n ¼ 10)
ke ( n ¼ 10) 0.220 0.249 0.277 0.285 0.301 0.332 0.383 0.699 2.474
552 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
0,0
0 1 2 3
L
0,0
0 1 2 3
L
Fig. 24.18 Dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the age of the company n,
showing descending with n and with the passage through a minimum and then a limited growth
Fig. 24.19 Two kinds of dependences of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, and company
capitalization, V, on the age of the company: n: 1–10 , monotonic dependence of weighted average
cost of capital, WACC, and company capitalization, V, on lifetime of the company; n: 2–20 ,
showing descending of WACC with n and with the passage through a minimum and then a limited
growth and increase of V with the passage through a maximum (at n0) and then a limited descending
Authors of BFO theory have investigated the dependence of attracting capital cost on
the age of company n at various leverage levels, at various values of capital costs,
with the aim of defining the minimum cost of attracting capital. All calculations have
24.8 “A Golden Age” of the Company 555
been done within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b,
2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2015, 2018d; Filatova et al. 2008).
It was shown for the first time that valuation of WACC in the Modigliani–Miller
theory (Modigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966) is not minimal and valuation of the
company capitalization is not maximal, as all financiers supposed up to now: at some
age of the company, its WACC value turns out to be lower than in Modigliani–Miller
theory, and company capitalization V turns out to be greater than V in Modigliani–
Miller theory. We call this effect “the golden age” of company.
It was shown that from the point of view of cost of attracting capital, there are two
types of dependences of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the time of life
of company n, monotonic descending with n and descending with passage through
minimum, followed by a limited growth. The conditions of existing second type of
behavior (existing of “the golden age” of company) have been investigated in
Chap. 19. It is interesting to note that since the “golden age” of company depends
on the company’s capital costs, by controlling them (e.g., by modifying the value of
dividend payments that reflect the equity cost), company may extend the “golden
age” of the company, when the cost to attract capital becomes minimal (less than
perpetuity limit) and capitalization of companies becomes maximal (above than
perpetuity assessment) up to a specified time interval.
We concluded that existed before our new calculations (within BFO theory) the
results of the theory of Modigliani–Miller (Modigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963, 1966)
in these aspects are incorrect. The conclusion made in Chaps. 18 and 19 for the first
time that the assessment of weighted average cost of capital of the company, WACC,
in the theory of Modigliani and Miller (MM) (Modigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963,
1966) is not minimal and capitalization is not maximal seems to be very significant
and important.
Below we show the dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on
the age of the company n at fixed value of equity cost, k0¼20%, and at four values of
debt cost.
From Fig. 24.20, it is seen that with increase of debt cost, kd, the character of
dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the age of the company
n is changed from monotonic descending of WACC with n to descending of WACC
with n with passage through minimum, followed by a limited growth.
It is important to note that “golden age” of company effect changes the depen-
dence of WACC on L: the curve WACC (L ) for perpetuity company turns out to be
not lowest for company with this effect—as it is seen from Tables 24.6, 24.7 and
24.8 and Fig. 24.21, the curve WACC(L ) for 3-year company lies below the
perpetuity curve.
In Chap. 19 authors have shown that existence of the “golden age” of company
does not depend on the value of capital costs of the company but depends on the
difference between equity k0 and debt kd costs. The “golden age” of company exists
at small enough difference between k0 and kd costs, while at high value of this
difference, the “golden age” of company is absent: curve WACC(n) monotonic
descends with n. For the companies with the “golden age,” curve WACC(L) for
556 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
WACCC(n), k0=0.2
19.2000%
19.0000%
18.8000%
18.6000%
18.4000%
WACC
Kd=0,18
18.2000%
Kd=0,15
18.0000%
Kd=0,10
17.8000%
Kd=0,08
17.6000%
17.4000%
17.2000%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
n
Fig. 24.20 Dependence of weighted average cost of capital, WACC, on the age of the company
n at fixed value of equity cost,k0¼ 20%, and at four values of debt cost, kd¼8%, 10%, 15%, and
18%, at leverage level L ¼ 1
Table 24.6 kd, ke, and weighted average cost of capital, WACC, for companies at ages n ¼ 1,
n ¼ 3, n ¼ 5, and n ¼ 10
L 0 0.5 1 1.1 1.3 1.6 2 3 4
kd 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.1188 0.1161 0.1107 0.1 0.04 0.14
WACC (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.211 0.207 0.206 0.205 0.206 0.206 0.214 0.252
ke (n ¼ 1) 0.220 0.257 0.294 0.302 0.320 0.358 0.417 0.736 1.819
WACC (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.208 0.201 0.201 0.199 0.199 0.198 0.209 0.279
ke (n ¼ 3) 0.219 0.252 0.281 0.291 0.307 0.340 0.395 0.716 1.955
WACC (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.206 0.200 0.199 0.197 0.197 0.196 0.207 0.301
ke (n ¼ 5) 0.220 0.250 0.279 0.287 0.303 0.335 0.388 0.710 2.067
WACC 0.220 0.206 0.199 0.198 0.196 0.196 0.194 0.205 0.383
(n ¼ 10)
ke (n ¼ 10) 0.220 0.249 0.277 0.285 0.301 0.332 0.383 0.699 2.474
perpetuity companies lies between curve WACC(L) for company ages n ¼ 1 and
n ¼ 3, while for the companies without the “golden age,” curve WACC(L ) for
perpetuity companies is the lowest one.
Brusov et al. (2015) have found also a third type of WACC(n) dependence:
descending with passage through minimum, which lies below the perpetuity limit
value, and then going through maximum followed by a limited descending. They
called this effect “Kulik effect.” In Chap. 19 authors have found a variety of “Kulik
effect”: descending with passage through minimum of WACC, which lies above the
perpetuity limit value, and then going through maximum followed by a limited
descending. We call this company age, where WACC has a minimum, which lies
above the perpetuity limit value, “a silver age” of the company.
24.9 Inflation in Modigliani–Miller and BFO Theories 557
Here we describe the influence of inflation on capital cost and capitalization of the
company within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure (Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova theory) (BFO theory) (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al.
2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2018d; Filatova et al. 2008) and within its
perpetuity limit—Modigliani–Miller theory (Modigliani and Мiller 1958, 1963,
1966). By direct incorporation of inflation into both theories, Brusov, Filatova,
and Orekhova have shown for the first time that inflation not only increases the
equity cost and the weighted average cost of capital, but also it changes their
dependence on leverage. In particular, it increases the growing rate of equity cost
with leverage. Capitalization of the company is decreased under accounting of
inflation.
558 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
21.00%
20.00%
19.00%
17.00%
16.00%
15.00%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fig. 24.21 The demonstration of the existence of the “golden age”: the curve WACC(L ) for
perpetuity company turns out to be not lowest for company with the effect of “golden age”—the
curve WACC(L ) for 3-year company lies below the perpetuity curve
and plus premium for risk, with value equal to production of difference (k0 kd)
on leverage level L, on tax shield (1–T), and on multiplier (1 + α) (Fig. 24.22).
We generalized a very important Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theorem under
accounting of inflation.
Generalized Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theorem
Under accounting of inflation without corporate taxing, the equity cost k ∗
0 and
the weighted average cost of capital WACC∗ do not depend on company
lifetime and are equal to
k∗ ∗ ∗ ∗
e ¼ k 0 þ L k 0 k d ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α þ Lðk 0 k d Þð1 þ αÞ
and
WACC∗ ¼ k∗
0 ¼ k 0 ð1 þ αÞ þ α: ð24:3Þ
consequently.
It is shown that inflation not only increases the equity cost and the weighted
average cost of capital, but also it changes their dependence on leverage. In partic-
ular, it increases the growing rate of equity cost with leverage. Capitalization of the
company is decreased under accounting of inflation.
560 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
The role of tax shields, taxes, and leverage is investigated within the theory of
Modigliani–Miller as well as within the modern theory of corporate finance by
Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova (Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c,
2012a, b, 2013a, b, 2014a, b, 2018d; Filatova et al. 2008). It is shown that equity cost
of the company and weighted average cost of capital decrease with the growth of tax
on profit rates. A detailed study of the dependence of weighted average cost of
capital WACC and equity cost of the company ke on tax on profit rates at fixed
leverage level (fixed debt capital fraction wd) as well as on leverage level (debt
capital fraction wd) at fixed tax on profit rate has been done. The dependences of
weighted average cost of capital WACC and equity cost of the company ke on
company lifetime have been investigated as well.
The concept “tax operating lever” has been introduced. For companies with finite
lifetime, a number of important qualitative effects that do not have analogues for
perpetuity companies have been detected.
One such effect—decreasing of equity cost with leverage level at values of tax on
profit rate T, which exceeds some critical value T*—is described in detail in Chap. 10
(at certain ratios between the debt cost and equity capital, discovered effect takes
place at tax on profit rate, existing in the Western countries and in Russia that
provides practical value effect). Its accounting is important in improving tax legis-
lation and may change dividend policy of the company.
24.12 Influence of Growth of Tax on Profit Rate 561
Table 24.9 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rates
t for 5-year project at t ¼ 0.3
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.3 5 800 0.18 751.22 4.922709
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.3 5 800 0.197488 756.14 36.8599
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.3 5 800 0.214367 719.28 44.7663
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.3 5 800 0.231082 674.51 46.126
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.3 5 800 0.24773 628.39 45.4549
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.3 5 800 0.264343 582.93 44.027
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.3 5 800 0.280937 538.90 42.3084
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.3 5 800 0.297518 496.60 40.4978
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.3 5 800 0.314091 456.10 38.6879
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.3 5 800 0.330658 417.41 36.9239
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.3 5 800 0.34722 380.49
Table 24.10 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit
rates t for 5-year project at t ¼ 0.4
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.4 5 800 0.18 501.04 64.13345
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.4 5 800 0.189578 565.18 4.73089
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.4 5 800 0.19803 569.91 9.5017
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.4 5 800 0.206172 560.40 14.7815
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.4 5 800 0.214184 545.62 17.1025
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.4 5 800 0.22213 528.52 18.1709
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.4 5 800 0.230037 510.35 18.6246
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.4 5 800 0.23792 491.73 18.7461
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.4 5 800 0.245786 472.98 18.6762
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.4 5 800 0.253642 454.30 18.4911
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.4 5 800 0.261488 435.81
Table 24.11 Dependence of NPV and ΔNPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit
rates t for 5-year project at t ¼ 0.5
L k0 kd wd t n NOI ke NPV ΔNPV
0 0.18 0.14 0 0.5 5 800 0.18 250.87 116.0669
1 0.18 0.14 0.5 0.5 5 800 0.181448 366.94 41.1323
2 0.18 0.14 0.66667 0.5 5 800 0.181065 408.07 22.57738
3 0.18 0.14 0.75 0.5 5 800 0.180162 430.65 15.19888
4 0.18 0.14 0.8 0.5 5 800 0.179041 445.84 11.52994
5 0.18 0.14 0.83333 0.5 5 800 0.177806 457.37 9.446706
6 0.18 0.14 0.85714 0.5 5 800 0.176505 466.82 8.154973
7 0.18 0.14 0.875 0.5 5 800 0.175162 474.98 7.302458
8 0.18 0.14 0.88889 0.5 5 800 0.173792 482.28 6.713275
9 0.18 0.14 0.9 0.5 5 800 0.172401 488.99 6.291579
10 0.18 0.14 0.90909 0.5 5 800 0.170996 495.28
24.12 Influence of Growth of Tax on Profit Rate 563
Fig. 24.23 Dependence of NPV on leverage level L at fixed levels of tax on profit rates t for 5-year
project
Fig. 24.24 Dependence of NPV on tax on profit rate t at fixed leverage level L for 10-year project
One can see from Figs. 24.23 and 24.24 the nature of the NPV dependence on
leverage at t* ¼ 0.5: there is a transition from diminishing function NPV(L ) when
t < t* to growing function NPV(L ) at t > t*.
Within modern theory of capital cost and capital structure by Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova (BFO theory) and created within this theory modern investment models
influence of growth of tax on profit rate on the efficiency of the investment is
investigated. It has been shown that for arbitrary duration projects as well as for
perpetuity projects, the growth of tax on profit rate changes the nature of the NPV
dependence on leverage at some value t*: there is a transition from diminishing
function NPV(L ) when t < t* to growing function NPV(L ). The t* value depends on
564 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
the duration of the project, cost of capital (equity and debt) values, and other
parameters of the project.
At high leverage levels, this leads to qualitatively new effect in investments:
growth of the efficiency of the investments with growth of tax on profit rate.
Discovered effects take place under consideration from the point of view of owners
of equity capital as well as from the point of view of owners of equity and debt
capital.
The observed at high leverage levels (starting from L ¼ 6) increase of NPV with
growth of the tax on profit rate t (Fig. 24.24) takes place at all values of t, that means
that this is an entirely new effect in investments which can be applied in a real
economic practice for optimizing of the management of investments.
So, two very important qualitatively new effects in investments have been
discovered:
1. Change of the character of NPV dependence on leverage
2. Growth of the efficiency of the investments with growth of tax on profit rate
Both effects could be used in practice to optimize the investments.
A new approach to rating methodology has been developed (see Chaps. 21, 22, and
23). Chapters 21 and 22 are devoted to rating of nonfinancial issuers, while Chap. 23
is devoted to long-term project rating. The key factors of a new approach are (1) the
adequate use of discounted financial flows virtually not used in existing rating
methodologies and (2) the incorporation of rating parameters (financial “ratios”)
into the modern theory of capital structure BFO (and its perpetuity limit). This on the
one hand allows use the powerful tool of this theory in the rating, and on the other
hand it ensures the correct discount rates when discounting financial flows. Two
models for accounting discounted financial flows—one-period and multi-period—
have been discussed. An algorithm of valuation of correct discount rate, accounting
ratios, is suggested. We discuss also the interplay between rating ratios and leverage
level which can be quite important in rating. All above creates a new base for rating
methodologies.
The most important feature of the suggested approach is the incorporation of rating
parameters, used in ratings, into modern theory of capital structure by Brusov–
Filatova–Orekhova and in its perpetuity limit.
24.13 New Approach to Ratings 565
dependence of NPV/NOI (l1), outgoing from a single point at a zero value of l1, lie
below (i.e., the rate of decrease (or negative slope of curves) grows). Note that while
the dependences of NPV (in units of D) on coverage ratio on debt i1 lie very close to
each other, the dependences of NPV (in units of NOI) on leverage ratio on debt l1 are
separated significantly more.
One can see that the value of l1 below which the investment project remains
effective (NPV > 0) decreases with credit rate kd, which means that effectiveness of
the investment project as well as its creditworthiness decreases with credit rate kd.
Studying the dependence of NPV (in units of NOI) (NPV NOI ) on leverage ratio on debt
l1 at fixed equity cost k0 and fixed credit rate kd at two leverage levels L ¼ 1 and
L ¼ 3, it was shown that the curve NPV NOI (l1) corresponding to bigger leverage level
(L ¼ 3) lies above the curve NPV (l
NOI 1 ) corresponding to smaller leverage level (L ¼ 1).
The curve NPV NOI (l1 ) corresponding to bigger leverage level (L ¼ 3) has smaller
(negative) slope. This means that debt financing of long-term projects favors effec-
tiveness of the investment project as well as its creditworthiness.
Investigations, conducted in the current paper, create a new approach to rating
methodology with respect to the long-term project rating. And this paper in combi-
nation with the two of our previous papers on this topic (Brusov et al. 2018c, d)
creates a new base for rating methodology as a whole.
In our future papers, we will consider rating methodology for investment projects
of arbitrary duration.
In conclusion, we remind again that the introduction of the new system of
evaluation of the parameters of financial activities of companies into the sys-
tems of financial reporting (IFRS, GAAP, etc.) would lead to lower risk of
global financial crisis.
References
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance and Credit 435:2–8
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory
of Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Appl Financ Econ 21
(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusov PP, Brusova N (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to
general theory of capital cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
568 24 New Meaningful Effects in Modern Capital Structure Theory
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13. https://doi.
org/10.1080/23322039.2014.946150
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit – Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer International Publishing, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Brusova A (2011) А comparison of the three methods of estimation of weighted average cost of
capital and equity cost of company. Financ Anal Prob Solut 34(76):36–42
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Modigliani F, Miller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391
Modigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Modigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Myers S (2001) Capital structure. J Econ Perspect 15(2):81–102
Chapter 25
Conclusion
financial flows is chosen incorrectly. In this book, a new approach to rating meth-
odology is suggested. Chapters 21 and 22 are devoted to rating of nonfinancial
issuers, while Chap. 23 is devoted to long-term project rating. The key factors of a
new approach are (1) the adequate use of discounting financial flows virtually not
used in existing rating methodologies and (2) the incorporation of rating parameters
(financial “ratios”) into the modern theory of capital structure [Brusov–Filatova–
Orekhova (BFO) theory]. This on the one hand allows use of the powerful tools of
this theory in the rating, and on the other hand, it ensures the correct discount rates
when discounting financial flows. We discuss also the interplay between rating ratios
and leverage level which can be quite important in rating. All these create a new base
for rating methodologies. New approach to ratings and rating methodologies allows
to issue more correct ratings of issuers and makes the rating methodologies more
understandable and transparent.
A distinctive feature of the book is the extensive and adequate use of mathematics
that allows the reader to count various financial and economic parameters, including
investment and taxation ones, up to the quantitative result.
Application of BFO theory in corporate finance, investments, taxation, business
valuation, and ratings as well as in other areas of economy and finance (Filatova et al.
2008; Brusov and Filatova 2011; Brusov et al. 2011a, b, c, 2012a, b, 2013a, b,
2014a, b, 2015, 2018a, b, c, d) allows to make correct assessment of main financial
parameters of the objects and the right managerial decisions. This will help to avoid
financial crises, like the global financial crisis of 2008, in the future.
And we can see similar influence of the obtained results in many areas of finance
and economy. Not all results, obtained by authors, found reflection in a book via its
limited volume. Readers should look for recent and coming papers by authors in
journals.
In conclusion, we mention the applications of BFO theory in corporate
finance, investments, business valuation, taxation, and ratings:
1. Companies and corporations
2. Rating agencies
3. Investment companies
4. Banks and credit organizations
5. Central banks
6. Ministry of finance
7. Business valuation
8. Insurance companies
9. Financial reports (ISFR, GAAP, etc.)
10. Fiscal organizations
References
Brusov PN, Filatova ТV (2011) From Modigliani–Miller to general theory of capital cost and
capital structure of the company. Finance Credit 435:2–8
References 571
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusova A (2011a) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Appl Financ Econ 21(11):815–824
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Brusov PP, Brusova N (2011b) From Modigliani–Miller to
general theory of capital cost and capital structure of the company. Res J Econ Bus ICT 2:16–21
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N et al (2011c) Influence of debt financing on the effectiveness of the
investment project within the Modigliani–Miller theory. Res J Econ Bus ICT (UK) 2:11–15
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012a) Influence of debt financing on the
effectiveness of the finite duration investment project. Appl Financ Econ 22(13):1043–1052
Brusov P, Filatova T, Eskindarov M, Orehova N (2012b) Hidden global causes of the global
financial crisis. J Rev Global Econ 1:106–111
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orekhova N (2013a) Absence of an optimal capital structure in the famous
tradeoff theory! J Rev Global Econ 2:94–116
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2013b) A qualitatively new effect in corporative finance:
abnormal dependence of cost of equity of company on leverage. J Rev Global Econ 2:183–193
Brusov P, Filatova P, Orekhova N (2014a) Mechanism of formation of the company optimal capital
structure, different from suggested by trade off theory. Cogent Econ Finance 2:1–13
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N (2014b) Inflation in Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova theory and in its
perpetuity limit – Modigliani–Miller theory. J Rev Global Econ 3:175–185
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Eskindarov M (2015) Modern corporate finance, investment and
taxation, 1st edn. Springer International Publishing, Berlin, pp 1–368
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V, Weil I (2018a) New meaningful effects in modern capital
structure theory. J Rev Global Econ 7:104–122
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018b) A “golden age” of the companies: conditions of
its existence. J Rev Global Econ 7:88–103
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018c) Rating methodology: new look and new
horizons. J Rev Global Econ 7:63–87
Brusov P, Filatova T, Orehova N, Kulk V (2018d) Rating: new approach. J Rev Global Econ
7:37–62
Filatova Т, Orehova N, Brusova А (2008) Weighted average cost of capital in the theory of
Modigliani–Miller, modified for a finite life-time company. Bull FU 48:68–77
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1958) The cost of capital, corporate finance, and the theory of investment.
Am Econ Rev 48:261–297
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1963) Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. Am
Econ Rev 53:147–175
Мodigliani F, Мiller M (1966) Some estimates of the cost of capital to the electric utility industry
1954–1957. Am Econ Rev 56:333–391