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What | feel about the ‘Bharat narrative’ in India - By Zang Jiadong
India's domestic and foreign situation have changed tremendously
compared to four years ago. India has achieved outstanding results in
economic development and social governance, and its great power
strategy has moved from dream to reality. However, potential risks
and crises have also begun to unfold.
India has made great achievements in economic development and
social governance. Its economy has gained momentum and is on
track to becoming one of the fastest-growing major economies.
Meanwhile, New Delhi has made progress in urban governance. The
public environment in New Delhi has improved somewhat.
The attitude of Indian representatives toward Chinese scholars is now
more relaxed and moderate, instead of being stubborn at times. For
example, when discussing the "trade imbalance" between China and
India, Indian scholars used to primarily focus on China's measures to
reduce the trade imbalance. But now they are placing more emphasis
on India's export potential, actively seeking to reduce the trade
deficit with China by taking the initiative and increasing Chinese
imports from India.
Furthermore, with its rapid economic and social development, India
has become more strategically confident and more proactive in
creating and developing a "Bharat narrative."In the diplomatic sphere, India has rapidly shifted toward a great
power strategy. Since Prime Minister Narendra Modi assumed power,
he has advocated for a multi-alignment strategy, promoting India's
relations with the US, Japan, Russia and other countries and regional
organizations. Now, India's strategic thinking in foreign policy has
undergone another change and is clearly moving toward a great
power strategy.
Regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, India has distanced itself from
the West and aligned itself more closely to the developing world. At
the same time, India's reservations about Western powers have
significantly diminished, and its activities within Western countries
have become more frequent, extending beyond organizing
large-scale diaspora events.
In the political and cultural spheres, India has moved from
emphasizing its democratic consensus with the West to highlighting
the "Indian feature" of democratic politics. Currently, there is even
more emphasis on the Indian origins of democratic politics.
In December 2023, the Indian Council for Cultural Relations organized
the first "Knowledge India Visitors Programme," which brought
together more than 77 scholars from 35 countries. Indian External
Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar emphasized the
importance of building a strong "Bharat narrative" and explained the
"Bharat narrative" in terms of economics, development, politics, and
culture. Obviously, India no longer only regards cultural tradition as a
channel to achieve its own interests or as a symbol to attract foreign
tourists, but also sees it as one of the pillars of India's status as a
great power.India has always considered itself a world power. However, it has only
been less than 10 years since India shifted from multi-balancing to
multi-alignment, and now it is rapidly transforming toward a strategy
of becoming a pole in the multipolar world. The speed of such
changes is rarely seen in the history of international relations.
India is indeed a major power, and rapid changes in internal and
external strategies pose challenges to both itself and the
international community. It appears that a transformed, stronger, and
more assertive India has become a new geopolitical factor that many
countries need to consider.
What I feel about the ‘Bharat narrative’ in India - By Zang Jiadong
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India to become largest economic superpower by end of century:
CEBR- By Ruchika Chitravanshi
India will emerge as the largest economic superpower by the end of
the century, with gross domestic product (GDP) 90 per cent larger
than China’s and 30 per cent larger than the US, Centre for
Economics and Business Research (CEBR) said in its latest World
Economic League Table report.
The report said that India will sustain robust growth, averaging 6.5
per cent from 2024 to 2028, to surpass Japan and Germany as the
world’s third-largest economy by 2032.
“India is expected to overtake both China and the US after 2080,
based on demographic estimates and projections,” the report added
The country’s large and youthful population, a growing middle class,
a dynamic entrepreneurial sector, and increasing global economic
integration will be some key drivers of growth.
India recorded a strong GDP growth of 7.2 per cent in 2022-23. CEBR
anticipates a slight moderation in growth at 6.4 per cent for 2023-24,
resulting in output surpassing pre-pandemic levels by 17.2 per cent.
eThe CEBR report has projected the inflation to close at around 5.5 per
cent in 2023, despite robust output growth due to food and energy
price shocks.
The report also said that 2024 holds significance for India with the
upcoming general elections expected to shape the country's political
trajectory for the next five years.
India to become largest economic superpower by end of century:
CEBR- By Ruchika Chitravanshi
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India To Remain Fastest-Growing Economy In 2024 - Mohammad
Haris
Despite the global economy facing widespread pessimism amid a
worsening geopolitical situation, the Indian economy withstood the
headwinds in 2023 and remained as the world’s fastest-growing
major economy.
The country was able to grow at the fastest pace among the major
economies in the world on the back of growing demand, moderate
inflation, stable interest rate regime and robust foreign exchange
reserves.
India recorded a gross domestic product (GDP) expansion of 6.1 per
cent in the March 2023 quarter. The growth moved up to 7.8 per cent
in the June 2023 quarter and was 7.6 per cent in the September 2023
quarter.
For the first six months of this fiscal, the growth was 7.7 per cent. The
growth momentum is expected to sustain in the December quarter,
making India the fastest-growing major economy in the world much
ahead of China.
According to the latest growth projections of the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), which appear
conservative, India will record a growth of 6.3 per cent in 2023,ahead of China and Brazil at 5.2 per cent and 3 per cent, respectively.
For 2024, the OECD expects India to grow at 6.1 per cent.
On the other hand, major economies, including the US, UK and
Japan, are likely to witness either deceleration or very nominal
increase in economic growth rates in the coming year. India’s
performance on the economic front in 2023 appears even better
when viewed from a global perspective.
As per the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic
Outlook, global growth is estimated to decelerate from 3.5 per cent
in 2022 to 3 per cent in 2023 and further to 2.9 per cent in 2024.
Also on the external front, the current account deficit showed
remarkable improvement, and it narrowed sharply to 1 per cent of
GDP in the September 2023 quarter against 3.8 per cent in the
year-ago period.
Global Headwinds In 2023 Fail To Stop India's Growth Trajectory;
India To Remain Fastest-Growing Economy In 2024 - Mohammad
Haris
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From UK to Peru, every nation wants to sign FTA with India to gain
access to growing market, says report
India's rapidly growing market and economy have made it a lucrative
option for developed as well as developing countries for free-trade
agreements (FTAs), and countries such as Oman, Peru, Europe, and
the UK are keen on signing the pact, according to a report by
economic think tank Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI).
The economic think tank said that a trade deal with India would let
countries get access to the Indian market with less or no import
duties on substantial trade, GTRI said in its report.
The agreement will also give their companies an advantage over
getting access to the Indian market. Another reason that makes FTA
an appealing option for other countries is the import India does from
other countries without a trade agreement. The report highlighted
that India does over 75% of imports from other countries without
FTA.
The report stated that countries such as the UK and Canada could
benefit more from the FTAs, as they will be able to sell their products
in India without the high duties that it imposes on other nations.
“To reduce the impact of FTA on local businesses, the report
mentioned six steps the government can take while negotiating these
déals. These steps include the creation of a common exclusion list formerchandise trade negotiations, and focusing on obtaining real
market access on the ground.
Another suggestion focuses on sectoral agreements with poor and
developing nations instead of trade deals involving goods, services,
and investments.
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access to growing market, says report
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UPI transactions cross 100-billion mark in 2023
Transactions through the unified payments interface (UPI) platform
crossed the 100 billion-mark in calendar year 2023 to close at around
118 billion, as per the data shared by the National Payments
Corporation of India (NPCI).
This marks a 60 percent growth as compared to 74 billion UPI
transactions recorded in 2022.
During August 2023, UPI had crossed the milestone of 10 billion
transactions a month for the first time and continued to do so in the
following months. In December, UPI recorded 12 billion transactions
with a cumulative value of Rs 18.23 lakh crore.
The total value of UPI transactions in 2003 stood at around Rs 182
lakh crore, higher by 44 percent as compared to Rs 126 lakh crore in
2022.
The per-day UPI transactions recorded in December numbered
around 387 million, as per the NPCI data.
UPI is expected to surpass Mastercard's daily transaction volume of
440 million sometime this year going by the 60 percent growth rate.
Visa, the world's largest card network, processes an average of 750
million transactions per day.While there are around 9.6 crore credit cards in India, the value of
transactions on the platform is around Rs 1.6 lakh crore, which is less
than a tenth of what UPI does in a month. There are more than 300
million UPI payment users in the country.
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store for New Year?- By Amit Mudgill
One out of every three PSU stocks on the BSE PSU index delivered
over 100 per cent return in a year marked by a dream run for
battered PSU names, buoyed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi's
push for infrastructure capex, defence indigenisation and 'Make in
India’ in manufacturing, resulting in a re-rating on PSUs as a pack on
strong future prospects.
If one go by analysts,RSU-shares'still have foam for further upside.
Shares of power sector lenders REC and Power Finance Corporation
have climbed 252 per cent and 241 per cent, respectively, in 2023, so
far.
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd, which is engaged in raising
financial resources for railways expansion, climbed 197 per cent
during the same period.
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd, which is among leading defence
public sector undertaking shipyard, surged 195 per cent while lignite
producer NLC India jumped 193 per cent during the same period.
ITI Ltd, Ircon International Ltd, SJVN Ltd, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd and
Cochin Shipyard Ltd soared 154-190 per cent while Mangalore
Refinery And Petrochemicals Ltd, Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd,
Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd, Housing & Urban DevelopmentCorporation Ltd, Hindustan Copper Ltd, Engineers India Ltd and NBCC
(India) Ltd were some other stocks delivering multibagger returns in
2023.
Mishra Dhatu Nigam Ltd, Bharat Dynamics Ltd, NTPC Ltd, Oil India Ltd
and Bharat Electronics Ltd gained 80-90 per cent in 2023.
Banks such as Punjab National Bank, Bank Of Maharashtra, Union
Bank Of India, Indian Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Canara Bank,
Punjab & Sind Bank, UCO Bank, Bank of India and Bank of Baroda
delivered 25-62 per cent returns for the year.
Modi premium: Every 3rd PSU stock up 100% in 2023, what's in
store for New Year?- By Amit Mudgill
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India becomes stock market superpower; NSE cross $4 trillion mark
after 25% growth- By Vaishnawi Sinha
Despite geopolitical disturbances and the impact of the Covid
pandemic over the last couple of years, the Indian stock market has
achieved a new feat by crossing the $4 trillion valuation mark
recently, closing in on the value of the Hong Kong stock exchange.
Now, India has joined the ranks of stock market superpowers across
the world, a title which was only held by the United States, China,
and Japan. Being the fifth highest stock market in the world, India
now only ranks behind these through countries.
The Indian stock market has been up by around 25 percent this year,
crossing the overall market valuation of $4.16 trillion. Meanwhile,
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index has plunged nearly 19% this year, likely
to fall behind India soon.
India is the fifth largest economy in the world, and its stock market
valuation is currently only behind US, China, Japan and Hong Kong,
joining the ranks of superpower in the financial world. India's market
growth in 2023 is the sharpest it has ever seen in the last three years.
India's two stock market exchanges - Nifty and Sensex - have shown
stellar growth this year, touching new highs. Nifty has shown a
growth of 18.5 percent this year while the benchmark Sensex has
grown by 17.3 percent in 2023.A report by Ernst and Young shows that the Indian stock market had
over 150 listings of new companies in first nine months, while Hong
Kong had just 42.
While US and India saw a boost in their stock exchanges by over 20
percent each, the second largest market in the world - China - fell by
around 9 percent in 2023, as the economy of the country struggled to
cope with the Covid pandemic.
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after 25% growth- By Vaishnawi Sinha
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Milestone unlocked: Annual passenger vehicle sales in India surpass
4 million mark in CY23- By Sharmistha Mukherjee
Sales of cars, sedans and utility vehicles ended on a strong note last
month helping annual volumes breach the four million mark for the
first time in 2023.
As per industry estimates about 4.1 million passenger vehicles were
sold in the local market in the last calendar year, which is an increase
of around 8.2% over 3.79 million units sold in the same period the
year before.
Carmakers reported a growth of 4.4% to dispatch 287,904 units from
factories to dealerships last month, highest-ever reported for the
month of December, historically. Retail sales were substantially
higher at 442,800 units helping bring down stocks in the industry.
Carmakers started the new year with an inventory of 176,500 units in
the channel.
Maruti Suzuki - which registered cumulative sales (domestic and
exports) of more than 2 million units for the first time in 2023 - has a
share of over 20% in this fast-evolving segment.
Overall, carmakers expect demand momentum in the market to
remain healthy and sales to go up in single-digits, on a high base, in
2024.Honda Cars India sold 7,902 units last month, an increase of 12%
over Dec 2022. Meanwhile, at Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) sales
last month went up by 24% to 35,171 units.
For the full calendar year, Japanese auto major Toyota Kirloskar
Motor (TKM) too reported best-ever domestic sales of 221,356 units.
At MG Motor India, retails grew 18% to 56,902 units in the same
period.
In the two-wheeler segment, sales remained healthy last month.
Chennai-based TVS Motor Company grew volumes by a third to sell
214,988 units in the local market in December. Sales of commercial
vehicles remained subdued, declining by 1% at market leader Tata
Motors to 32,668 units.
Milestone unlocked: Annual passenger vehicle sales in India surpass
4 million mark in CY23- By Sharmistha Mukherjee
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STS HY AST TreT Ae Hr FAHY 1% TEA 32,668 Alele TE ATSBusiness Standard
India fastest growing premium smartphone market globally in 2023:
Report
China, India, Middle East and Africa regions, and Latin America are
likely to see a new record for premium market sales, with India being
the fastest-growing premium ‘market globally, noted the industry
tracker Counterpoint in its repoft-an global premium smartphone
market in 2023. According to the ‘report, it is the ultra-premium
segment that is driving the growth ~ $1,000 and above price segment
has captured over one-third of the total premium market sales in
2023.
Top Smartphone OEMs’ Share in Premium Market, 2022 vs 2023
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Report
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Indian real estate in 2023 saw highest investment inflows since
2020- By Raghav Agarwal
In 2023, Indian real estate witnessed the highest level of investment
inflows since 2020, according to real estate consultancy Colliers.
These inflows in 2023 were $5.4 billion, 10 per cent higher as
compared to 2022. In the sector, the office sector continued to be
the most significant contributor for 2023 with a 56 per cent share in
total inflows.
The leading sources of foreign capital in Indian real estate were
Canada and Singapore. These two countries accounted for 78 per
cent of the global real estate inflows into India during 2023.
Moreover, inflows from Asia-Pacific countries have been rising every
year and have surged to 3.6 times in 2023 compared to 2020.
"Investors continue to view India favourably, owing to strong
economic performance, improved regulatory framework, and
sustained demand across various real estate segments," it said.
In 2023, India also witnessed the highest allocation towards office
space. It accounted for $3 billion out of the total $5.4 billion
investments in the sector.
The second-highest inflows were witnessed in the industrial and
warehousing asset class. As compared to $421.8 million in 2022, the
inflows in the segment were up 108 per cent in 2023 at $877.6
million. This has been attributed to the expansion of the industrial
sector, thriving on heightened consumption levels.The third-highest allocations were made towards the residential
asset class. At $788-9 million in 2023, the inflows were 20 per cent
higher as compared to $655.6 million in 2022.
Indian real estate in 2023 saw highest investment inflows since
2020- By Raghav Agarwal
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65.56 FAIS STA HHTTS 20 Wher gre HHA |FPIs Inject Rs 1.7 Lakh Crore into Indian Equities in 2023- By
Mohammad Haris
In a remarkable comeback, foreign portfolio investors (FPls) have
pumped Rs 1.7 lakh crore into the Indian equity markets in 2023,
propelled by confidence in the country’s robust economic
fundamentals amid a challenging global landscape. The year 2023
has witnessed massive investment by FPls, thanks to the sharp uptick
in inflows of Rs 66,134 crore in December.
In 2023, FPls made a net investment of Rs 1.71 lakh crore in equities
and Rs 68,663 crore in the debt markets. Together, they infused Rs
2.4 lakh crore into the capital market, as per the data available with
the depositories. The latest flow came after Indian equities witnessed
a worst net outflow of Rs 1.21 lakh crore by FPIs in 2022 on
aggressive rate hikes by the central banks globally, Before the
outflow, FPls invested money in the last three years.
Of Rs 1.71 lakh crore inflow this year, more than Rs 66,000 crore has
been invested in December, following the enhanced political stability,
owing to the BJP’s success in recent elections across three significant
states.
This landmark inclusion, scheduled for June 2024, is anticipated to
benefit India by attracting around USD 20-40 billion in the
subsequent 18 to 24 months.In terms of sectors, FPIs preferred the financial, IT, pharma, and
energy sectors, owing to the country’s strength in technology and
healthcare and commitment to sustainable development contributed
to the appeal for foreign investors.
FPIs Inject Rs 1.7 Lakh Crore into Indian Equities in 2023- By
Mohammad Haris
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wreftearn cy, Fafa Caeitcitoh six career Bar al eer aA arenat sik
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arena fareBusiness Standard
Foreign investments into Indian bonds reached six-year high in 2023
Foreign investment in Indian government bonds saw a remarkable
jump in the last three months of 2023, with JPMorgan's decision to
add the debt to its indexes boosting inflows to a six-year high.
Overseas investors net bought government bonds worth 350 billion
rupees ($4.2 billion) in October-December, pushing the full-year tally
to 598 billion rupees, the highest since 2017, clearing house data
showed.
Fund managers expect more inflows in the New Year.
In September, JPMorgan announced it will include some Indian bonds
in the Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets and its index suite
from June. This should lead to incremental inflows of around $25
billion into bonds, according to analysts.
Indian bonds under the so-called fully accessible route received the
bulk of flows late last year, with foreign holdings in them more than
doubling from a year earlier to 1.3 trillion rupees, clearing house data
showed.
Foreign investments into Indian bonds reached six-year high in 2023
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ferder st dat qalel g, oft Be let h ToT TA RK ET TSI