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RIDM (RD30011) - CRDIST - PKS - Week 5-6
RIDM (RD30011) - CRDIST - PKS - Week 5-6
By :
Dr. P. K. Singh
Assistant Professor
CRDIST, IIT KGP
ARF lab: https://arflab.co.in/
Takeaway concepts_ Session 8-9-10
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Perspective
Food
Input Agriculture Producers Whole seller/ Marketing
Processor Retailer Consumers
Supply Production Group Distributer Companies
C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
Agro Processing
Producer Centre
Rate of Return (i)
Group/Start [300 Lakhs] 0 1 2 3 4 5 years
Up/Govt/Private
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Financial Statements
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Three Important Financial Statements
◼ The Balance Sheet:
◼ Provides a snapshot view of a
company’s assets and liabilities
◼ The Balance Sheet is as of a ◼ The Cash Flow Statement:
particular date. ◼ Is an analysis of the sources and uses
of cash by the firm over an
◼ The Income Statement: accounting period
◼ Provides a summary of a firm’s ◼ Summarizes operating, investing, and
revenues and expenses financing cash flows
◼ The Income Statement is over a
specific accounting period, usually a
quarter or a year.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Integrated Financial Statements
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
The Balance Sheet
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
The Balance Sheet (contd.)
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
The Income Statement (P/L Account)
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Sample Condensed Income Statement
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Cash Flow Analysis
◼ Net Income does not equal ◼ Cash Flow represents all income
cash flow. realized in cash form.
◼ Net income contains non- ◼ Adjusting net income for non-cash
cash items. items yields Operating Cash Flow.
◼ Non-cash items are income ◼ Investment Cash Flow includes
and expenses not realized in any purchases or sales of fixed
cash form. assets and investments.
◼ Depreciation can be a ◼ Financing Cash Flow includes
significant non-cash item. funds raised by issuing securities,
or expended by repurchasing
outstanding securities.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Sample Condensed Cash Flow Statement
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
What is Cash flow analysis?
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Cash flow analysis (contd.)
◼ It's crucial to balance these two figures and maintain a reasonable balance of cash at all
times.
◼ An effective cash flow system will help you manage funds to cover operational costs and
bills and help you foresee potential problems in the future.
◼ Profit and loss statements/income statements can be used to determine projections for
future cash flow trends of your business.
◼ These financial documents are instrumental in making cash flow projections. However, a
cash flow statement serves an important and independent purpose - it accounts for non-
cash items and expenses to adjust profit figures.
◼ Cash flow analysis statements display not only changes over time, but also available net
cash.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Cash flow analysis statements are generally
separated into three parts:
Operating activities: This section evaluates net income and loses of a business. By assessing sales and
business expenditures, all income from non-cash items is adjusted to incorporate inflows and outflows of
cash transactions to determine a net figure.
Investment activities: This section reports inflows and outflows from purchases and sales of long-term
business investments such as property, assets, equipment, and securities. For example - if your bakery
business purchases an additional piece of kitchen equipment, this would be considered an investment
and accounted for as an outflow of cash. If your business then sold equipment that was no longer
needed, this would be considered an inflow of cash.
Financing activities: This section accounts for the cash flow trends of all money that is related to
financing your business. For example: if you received a loan for your small business, the loan itself
would be considered an inflow of cash. Loan payments would be considered an outflow of cash, and both
would be recorded in this part of the cash flow analysis statement.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
How are these three financial
statements inter-related?
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
STARTING CASH
X crores CASH AND BANK BALANCE, 2008, B/S
BALANCE
ENDING CASH
Y crores CASH AND BANK BALANCE, 2009 B/S
BALANCE
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Cash Flow from Investment
Activities
Financeability
Profitability
Liquidity
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Example
Net Income
Cash Flow
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Capital Budgeting Instruments
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Perspective
Food
Input Agriculture Producers Whole seller/ Marketing
Processor Retailer Consumers
Supply Production Group Distributer Companies
C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
Agro Processing
Producer Centre
Rate of Return (i)
Group/Start [300 Lakhs] 0 1 2 3 4 5 years
Up/Govt/Private
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Payback Period
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Payback Period
The payback period of a project is expressed in years and is computed using the
following formula:
Formula of payback period:
According to this method, the project that promises a quick recovery of initial
investment is considered desirable. If the payback period of a project computed by
the above formula is shorter than or equal to the management’s maximum desired
payback period, the project is accepted otherwise it is rejected.
For example, if a company wants to recoup the cost of a machine within 5 years of purchase,
the maximum desired payback period of the company would be 5 years. The purchase of
machine would be desirable if it promises a payback period of 5 years or less.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Payback Period
Payback 3.75
◼ It will take 3 years to recover 7000 and the 3/4th of the 4th year to recover the remaining
3000. Therefore the payback in this example is 3.75 year
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Example
Due to increased demand, the management of X Agro Company is considering to purchase a new
equipment to increase the production and revenues. The useful life of the equipment is 10 years and the
company’s maximum desired payback period is 4 years. The inflow and outflow of cash associated with
the new equipment is given below:
✓ The initial cost of equipment $37,500
✓ Annual cash inflow:
✓ Sales $75,000
✓ Annual cash outflow:
✓ Cost of ingredients $45,000
✓ Salaries expenses $13,500
✓ Maintenance expenses $1,500
✓ Non cash expenses:
✓ Depreciation $5,000
Required: Should X Agro Company purchase the new equipment? Use payback method for your answer.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Step 1: In order to compute the payback period of the equipment, we need to workout the net annual
cash inflow by deducting the total of cash outflow from the total of cash inflow associated with the
equipment.
Step 2: Now, the amount of investment required to purchase the equipment would be divided by the
amount of net annual cash inflow (computed in step 1) to find the payback period of the equipment.
◼ = $37,500/$15,00 =?
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Example 2
◼ An investment of $200,000 is expected to generate the following cash flows in six years:
◼ Should the investment be made if management wants to recover the initial investment in 3
years or less?
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Advantages
▪ An investment project with a short payback period promises the quick inflow of
cash. It is therefore, a useful capital budgeting method for cash poor firms.
▪ A project with short payback period can improve the liquidity position of the
business quickly. The payback period is important for the firms for which liquidity is
very important.
▪ An investment with short payback period makes the funds available soon to invest in
another project.
▪ A short payback period reduces the risk of loss caused by changing
economic conditions and other unavoidable reasons.
▪ Payback period is very easy to compute.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Disadvantage
◼ The payback method does not take into account the time value of money.
◼ It does not consider the useful life of the assets and inflow of cash after payback period.
◼ For example, If two projects, project A and project B require an initial investment of $5,000.
Project A generates an annual cash inflow of $1,000 for 5 years whereas project B generates
a cash inflow of $1,000 for 7 years. It is clear that the project B is more profitable than project
A. But according to payback method, both the projects are equally desirable because both
have a payback period of 5 years ($5,000/$1,000).
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Net Present Value
◼ In simple terms NPV is the sum of discounted cash inflows from a project- the projects
initial outlay
◼ Net present value method (also known as discounted cash flow method) is a popular
capital budgeting technique that takes into account the time value of money. It uses net
present value of the investment project as the base to accept or reject a proposed
investment in projects like purchase of new equipment, purchase of inventory, expansion or
addition of existing plant assets and the installation of new plants etc.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
❑ Net present value (NPV):
Net present value is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of
cash outflows that occur as a result of undertaking an investment project. It may be positive, zero or
negative. These three possibilities of net present value are briefly explained below:
❑ Positive NPV:
If present value of cash inflows is greater than the present value of the cash outflows, the net present
value is said to be positive and the investment proposal is considered to be acceptable.
❑ Zero NPV:
If present value of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash outflow, the net present value is said
to be zero and the investment proposal is considered to be acceptable.
❑ Negative NPV:
If present value of cash inflow is less than present value of cash outflow, the net present value is said
to be negative and the investment proposal is rejected.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ The summary of the concept explained so far is given below:
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Example
NPV $16,489.00
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Example
An Agro based company must decide whether to introduce a new product line. The
company will have immediate costs of 100,000 at t = 0. Recall, a cost is a negative for
outgoing cash flow, thus this cash flow is represented as -100,000.
The company assumes the product will provide equal benefits of 10,000 for each of 12
years beginning at t = 1. For simplicity, assume the company will have no outgoing cash
flows after the initial 100,000 cost. This also makes the simplifying assumption that the net
cash received or paid is lumped into a single transaction occurring on the last day of each
year.
At the end of the 12 years the product no longer provides any cash flow and is
discontinued without any additional costs. Assume that the effective annual discount
rate is 10%.
The present value (value at t = 0) can be calculated for each year:
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Year Cash flow Present value {NPV} =- 100,000+68,136.92
T =0 100,000/{(1+0.10)^{0} −100,000
{NPV} =-31,863.08
T =1 {10,000}/{(1+0.10)^{1} 9,090.91
T =2 {10,000}/{(1+0.10)^{2} 8,264.46
T = 11 {10,000}/{(1+0.10)^{11} 3,504.94
T = 12 {10,000}/{(1+0.10)^{12} 3,186.31
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Exercise
Year 1 2 3 4
Cash inflow $95,000 $80,000 $60,000 $55,000
Compute net present value of the project if the minimum desired rate of return is 12%. NPV?
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Assumptions: The net present value method is based on two assumptions. These are:
❑ The cash generated by a project is immediately reinvested to generate a return at a rate that is
equal to the discount rate used in present value analysis.
❑ The inflow and outflow of cash other than initial investment occur at the end of each period.
❑ The basic advantage of net present value method is that it considers the time value of
money.
❑ The disadvantage is that it is more complex than other methods that do not consider present
value of cash flows.
❑ Furthermore, it assumes immediate reinvestment of the cash generated by investment
projects. This assumption may not always be reasonable due to changing economic
conditions.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Perspective
Food
Input Agriculture Producers Whole seller/ Marketing
Processor Retailer Consumers
Supply Production Group Distributer Companies
C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
Agro Processing
Producer Centre
Rate of Return (i)
Group/Start [300 Lakhs] 0 1 2 3 4 5 years
Up/Govt/Private
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Internal Rate of Return
◼ Discount rate that equates the present value of inflows with the present value of outflows. In
simple terms it reflects the rate of return for a project
◼ The term internal refers to the fact that its calculation does not incorporate environmental
factors (e.g., the interest rate or inflation).
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Initial Outlay -3817
Excel has a very handy
Year 1 Cash Inflow 1000 function that calculates the
Year 2 Cash Inflow 2000 IRR. Make sure you enter the
whole range of
Year 3 Cash Inflow 3000 values including the initial
outlay, which is entered
as a negative value.
IRR 22%
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ Given a collection of pairs (time, cash flow) involved in a project, the internal rate of
return follows from the net present value as a function of the rate of return. A rate of return
for which this function is zero is an internal rate of return.
◼ Given the (period, cash flow) pairs ( n, Cn) where n is a positive integer, the total
◼ number of periods N, and the {NPV} , (net present value); the IRR is given by r in:
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Example: IRR
◼ If an investment may be given by the sequence of cash flows:
◼ In this case, the answer is 5.96% (in the calculation, that is, r = .0596).
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Minimum acceptable rate of return (MARR)
◼ If the IRR is equal to or greater than the hurdle rate, the project is likely to be
approved, but if not, it is typically rejected.
◼ The hurdle rate is the minimum rate that the company or manager expects to earn
when investing in a project
◼ The IRR, on the other hand, is the interest rate at which the net present value, or NPV, of
all cash flows, both positive and negative, from a project is equal to zero
◼ the hurdle rate is equal to the company's costs of capital, which is a combination of the
cost of equity and the cost of debt
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Internal Rate of Return
◼ In such a case, each new capital project must produce an IRR that is higher than the
company's cost of capital.
◼ Once this hurdle is surpassed, the project with the highest IRR would be the wiser
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Issues With IRR
More than one IRR can be found for projects with alternating positive and negative cash
flows, which leads to confusion and ambiguity
IRR is sometimes misapplied, under an assumption that interim positive cash flows are
reinvested at the same rate of return as that of the project that generated them. This is
usually an unrealistic scenario and a more likely situation is that the funds will be
reinvested at a rate closer to the firm's cost of capital. The IRR therefore often gives an
unduly optimistic picture of the projects under study. Generally for comparing projects
more fairly, the weighted average cost of capital should be used for reinvesting the
interim cash flows.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Modified Internal Rate of Return [MIRR]
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ Solution
MIRR:
◼ First Step: To calculate the MIRR, we will assume a finance rate of 10% and a reinvestment
rate of 12%. First, we calculate the present value of the negative cash flows (discounted at
the finance rate):
◼ Second Step:
◼ Third Step: The calculated MIRR (17.91%) is lower than IRR (25.48%)
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
What is Capital Budgeting?
◼ Capital budgeting is the decision making process through which firms decide which projects
get the funding
◼ Financial plans for most projects are based on the capital budgeting analysis using cash flows
◼ Working-Capital Requirements
◼ Incremental Expenses
◼ Opportunity Costs
o A benefit that a person could have received, but gave up, to take another course of action
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Mutually Exclusive Projects; Independent Projects
Example:
Assume a company has a budget of $50,000 for expansion projects. If available projects A
and B each cost $40,000 and project C costs only $10,000, then Projects A and B are
mutually exclusive
◼ If the company pursues A, it cannot afford to also pursue B, and vice versa.
Project C, however, is independent;
◼ Regardless of which other project is pursued, the company can still afford to pursue C as well.
The acceptance of either A or B does not impact the viability of C, and the acceptance of C
does not impact the viability of either of the other projects.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Takeaway concepts
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Perspective
Food
Input Agriculture Producers Whole seller/ Marketing
Processor Retailer Consumers
Supply Production Group Distributer Companies
C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
Agro Processing Centre
Producer [Rural Infra Project]
Rate of Return (i)
Group/Start [300 Lakhs] 0 1 2 3 4 5 years
Up/Govt/Private
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Break Even Point
◼ The point at which total cost and total revenue are equal
If , P is Unit Sale Price, V is Unit Variable Cost and X is total number of units
◼ Total income= P*X (It may also include total savings)
◼ Fixed cost+ V*X=P*X
◼ X = TFC/ {P-V}
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ (P-V) = Unit Contribution Margin (C)
◼ C: it is the marginal profit per unit, or alternatively the portion of each sale that contributes to
Fixed Costs.
◼ Thus the break-even point can be more simply computed as the point where Total
Contribution = Total Fixed Cost
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ By inserting different prices into the formula, you will obtain a number of break-even points,
one for each possible price charged.
Given :X = TFC/ (P-V),
TFC= $ 1000, P= $2, V= $.6,
Then X= 715
◼ If the firm changes the selling price for its product, from $2 to $2.30, in the example above,
then it would have to sell only 1000/(2.3 - 0.6)= 589 units to break even, rather than 715.
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Limitations
◼ It assumes that fixed costs (FC) are constant (holds for only short run; scale of production is
likely to cause fixed costs to rise)
◼ It assumes that the quantity of goods produced is equal to the quantity of goods sold –
Where is the inventory variation i.e. inventory at the time of beginning and at the time of
end
◼ In multi-product companies, it assumes that the relative proportions of each product sold
and produced are constant (i.e., the sales mix is constant).
◼ Prob: A farmer wants to buy a new combine rather than hire a custom harvester. The total
fixed costs for the desired combine are $21,270 per year. The variable costs (not counting
the operator’s labor) are $8.75 per hour. The farmer can harvest 5 acres per hour. The
custom harvester charges $16.00 per acre. How many acres must be harvested per year to
break-even?
◼ Ans:
◼ Fixed cost+ V*X=P*X
◼ X = TFC/ {P-V}
◼ Fixed costs (F) = $21,270;
◼ Savings (S) = $16/A;
◼ Variable costs (V) = $8.75/ hr / 5 A/hr = $1.75/A;
◼ BE = $21,270 / ($16/A - $1.75/A) = $21,270 /$14.25/A = 1,493 Acres
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ Break-even analysis can be easily extended to consider other changes.
◼ If the farm operator can save two additional bushels of wheat per acre more
than the custom harvester, what would be the breakeven point if wheat is worth
$4/bushel?
❑ Additional income = $4/bu * 2 bu/A = $8/A;
❑ BE = $21,270 / ($16/A + $8/ A - $1.75/A) = $21,270 / $22.25/A = 956 Acres
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ A farmer raising 1,200 acres of wheat per year considers purchasing a combine. How
much additional return (to land, capital labor, management and risk) would result?
◼ Additional return = (savings or additional income) - (fixed costs + variable costs);
◼ Additional profit = [[$16/A + ($4/bu * 2 bu/A) ] x 1200 A ] -$21,270 -[ ($8.75/hr / 5
A/hr) x 1200 A] = $28,800-$23,370 = $5,430
◼ Thus, the farmer would generate another $5,430 in additional return by purchasing
the combine.
◼ A farmer harvesting only 900 acres would probably choose not to buy the combine
because the acreage is below the break-even point of 956 acres. The farmer may
want to evaluate the purchase of a smaller or used combine
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
◼ Additional Situations- Two additional situations are presented as follows:
◼ Problem 1.
❑ If the fixed costs for the combine are $12,000 per year, no additional yield is expected, variable costs
are $7 per hour and the farmer can combine 4 acres per hour, what is the new break-even point?
◼ Problem 2.
❑ If 900 acres are harvested, what is the effect on the farmer’s profits?
◼ Solutions:
◼ Fixed costs = $12,000 Savings = $16/A; Variable costs = $7/hr / 4 A/hr = $1.75/A
◼ Problem 1: BE = $12,000 / ($16/A - $1.75/A) = $12,000 / $14.25/A = 842 Acres
◼ Problem 2: Additional profit = ($16/A x 900 A) - [$12,000 + ($7/hr / 4 A/hr x 900 A) ]= $825 increase
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24
Thank you
Center for Rural Development and Innovative Sustainable Technology (CRDIST); Dr. P.K.Singh 9-Feb-24