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Passive Income Investing &

The Power of Dividends Unveiled


Passive income comes in all shapes and sizes. It can take the
form of rental income from a real estate property that you
own, interest from your savings account, or royalties from
content that you created. For the purpose of this e-book
however, we will focus solely on dividend paying securities,
which in our view is the most optimal form of passive income
from a wealth creation standpoint.

2
01 | Passive Income
Passive income is akin to putting your money While passive income might evoke images of
to work while you take a back. Instead of relying lounging on the beach sipping cocktails, it’s not
solely on the traditional 9-to-5, you’re placing synonymous with leisure. It’s a strategic move, an
your trust in your assets to generate returns. investment in your financial future that requires
Be it dividend stocks or Real Estate Investment upfront effort. Passive income investing entails
Trusts (REITs), these financial instruments become making well-informed decisions, understanding
your partners in the pursuit of financial growth. the market dynamics, and selecting the right
However, it’s important to acknowledge that assets that will work tirelessly to grow your wealth.
success in passive income investing requires an It is similar to planting the seeds of financial
initial investment of not just your money, but your independence – it demands care and attention
time and effort as well. to ensure a positive outcome.

Did you know?


Investing vs Saving
Investing is the art of making your money work for you, with the primary objective of growing
your wealth over time.

Consider this chart: Eric deposits ₱3,000 per year for 20 years into a savings account with a 1%
interest rate, while Mark invests the same amount annually in a portfolio that averages a 6% return.

The key difference lies in the potential for growth. While savings provide security, investments have
the potential to significantly multiply your wealth over the long haul.

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01 | Passive Income

Keeping up with Inflation


One of the key goals of investing is to maintain the value of your capital and
exceed the pace of inflation. Consider this chart: Your ₱50,000 today will only
be able to purchase ₱27,684 worth of goods after 20 years.

02 | What is a dividend?
Dividends are a portion of the profit that a company decides to share with the people who own its stock.
When a company makes money, it can choose to give some of that money back to its stockholders as a
way of sharing its success. It’s like getting a small piece of the money the company earned.

The best dividend stocks are those that pay dividends on a regular basis and increase their dividend
payouts over time.

8 Things You Need to Know About Dividends


Dividends are a meaningful portion Dividends are different from capital gains.
of stock returns. Dividends represent earnings distributed
Dividends are a significant part of stock to shareholders, while capital gains result
returns, contributing substantially to overall from selling stocks at a higher price, with the
market gains, and reinvesting them can former authorized by the board of directors
boost your long-term wealth. In the S&P500, and the latter tied to stock price fluctuations.
dividends have contributed approximately
40% of total return since 1930. Dividends can protect from inflation.
Investing in dividend-paying stocks, especially
Dividends come in various frequencies. those with consistent increases, helps protect
Dividends vary in frequency, with companies against inflation, ensuring a steady income
paying them quarterly, semi-annually, or stream. During periods of high inflation,
annually, so understanding the schedule is stocks that have increased their dividends the
crucial for effective investment planning. most have outperformed the overall market.

4
02 | What is a dividend?

Dividend stocks are usually less volatile


compared to non-dividend stocks.
Dividend stocks tend to be less volatile, providing
stability and acting as a cushion during market
downturns. Dividend growth stocks in particular
tend to be of higher quality than those of the
broader market in terms of earnings quality and
leverage.

Dividend stocks can be found across


different sectors.
Dividend stocks can be found in various sectors,
allowing investors to diversify their portfolios
for risk management and better returns.

Dividend paying stocks are


not immune to market downturns.
Although more stable, dividend-paying stocks
may reduce or eliminate payouts during economic
crises when companies face financial challenges.
This fact emphasizes the need to continually
assess the dividend safety and growth of the
dividend-paying stock in your portfolio.

Three types of dividend-paying securities are


common shares, preferred shares, or REITs.
Dividends can be received from common stocks,
preferred stocks, or Real Estate Investment Trusts
(REITs), each with distinct characteristics and
benefits.

Key Dates to Remember


Ex-Dividend Date Example:
The date when shareholders are Ex-Dividend Date – August 15 (Tuesday)
no longer qualified to receive the dividend.
Payment Date – August 30
Payment Date In order to qualify for the dividend,
The date when dividends will be paid you must own the stock by August 14 (Monday).
and distributed to all eligible shareholders.

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02 | What is a dividend?

Three Types of Dividend Paying Securities


Common Stocks
Common stocks are the most well-known type of equity
investment. When you purchase common stocks of a company,
you become a partial owner and have a claim to the company’s
assets and earnings. As an owner, you have the potential to benefit
from both capital appreciation and dividends. However, common
stock dividends are not fixed and can vary based on the company’s
performance. In good times, companies may distribute higher
dividends to shareholders, but in challenging periods, they may
reduce or even omit dividend payments. Make sure to check the
stock’s dividend history before investing.

Preferred Stocks
Preferred stocks are assets that share the characteristics
of both common stocks and bonds. Investors who hold
preferred stocks are prioritized when it comes to the payment
of dividends and the claiming of company assets during
liquidation. One significant advantage of preferred stocks
is that they usually offer fixed dividends. Companies pay
dividends to preferred shareholders at regular intervals, and
these dividends have a predetermined rate or percentage.
This feature makes preferred stocks attractive to income-
oriented investors looking for a more stable income stream.

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)


Real Estate Investment Trusts are relatively new in the Philippine
Stock Market. Although they have been recognized globally
for many years, it wasn’t until 2020 when the first ever REIT by
Ayala Land made its way onto the PSE. REITs offer investors an
opportunity to participate in the real estate industry without the
need to directly purchase physical properties. They operate around
income-generating real estate assets like malls, condominiums, and
office spaces. What makes REITs attractive is that they are required
to pay 90% of their earnings to shareholders as dividends.

Some of the advantages of investing in REITs over an outright purchase of a property are:

• Lower investment minimum: The ability to buy • Diversification: REITs invest in a variety of
a single share of stock makes REIT investing a properties so you are not exposed to the risk of
more accessible investment vehicle. a single property underperforming.

• REITs are required to pay out at least 90% of • Liquidity: REITs trade on a stock exchange
their taxable income to shareholders in the form allowing you to quickly enter or exit an
of dividends, providing investors with a potential investment.
stream of steady income.
• Professionally managed: REITs are managed by
experienced professionals who are responsible
for selecting and managing properties in the
portfolio.

6
02 | What is a dividend?

8 Things You Need to Know about


Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
In the Philippines, the primary obstacle hindering real estate investments are soaring
property prices, substantial taxes, and challenges associated with liquidating assets.
Luckily, with the country introducing its first Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) back
in 2020, becoming a real estate investor isn’t as difficult anymore.

What is a REIT? can aid in reducing the risks linked to regional


Real Estate Investment Trusts, otherwise known economic fluctuations or particular property
as REITs, serve as an alternative investment sectors.
option for those seeking an indirect approach
to invest in real estate properties. These Financial Health
publicly traded companies possess a diverse Financial health does not only apply to REITs,
portfolio of income-generating properties but other types of assets as well. It is crucial to
across various sectors. dive deep into the financial statements of any
company and to examine their debt levels and
Property Diversification liquidity. A robust and healthy balance sheet is
Property diversification is one of the main indicative of a stable REIT.
considerations before investing in REITs. It is
important to look for REITs with a diversified
portfolio across different geographical regions
and property types. The process of diversifying

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02 | What is a dividend?

8 Things You Need to Know about Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

REIT Management Market Conditions and Economic Outlook


Since its rise in popularity in 2020, many Before investing in REITs, it is important to
real estate companies have been offering look at the economy as a whole. The economy
their own REITs. Therefore, it is important affects different industries in different ways.
to do thorough research on who manages During economic recessions, REITs do not only
these REITs. Assess the expertise and past face the challenge of having low occupancy
performance of these real estate companies, rates, but also the challenge of existing
as a competent company can profoundly occupants paying rent on time. Having high
impact the REITs overall value. vacancy rates and low rental income can
significantly impact the value of the REIT.
Occupancy Rate
Since most REITs are composed of Tax Regulations on Dividends
condominiums, commercial spaces, and When investing in REITs, it is important to
offices, it is important to know the occupancy know the tax implications that come with
rate of these properties. A high occupancy them. When you receive dividends as a
rate suggests that the properties owned by Filipino citizen, they are subject to a 10% tax.
the REIT are in strong demand, resulting in a
consistent flow of rental income. Conversely, Dividend Yield
REITs with lower occupancy rates indicate less One of the attractive aspects of REITs is that
attractive properties and therefore lower rental unlike physical properties, they are required
income being generated by the management. to pay annual dividends. REITs are required to
distribute at least 90% of their taxable income
to shareholders in the form of dividends.

8
03 | Dividend Champs & Titans

Dividend Champs and Titans are terms used to describe a special type of dividend-paying stock listed on
the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). The criteria for identifying a Dividend Champ and Titan are based
on our research and assessment of the Philippine stock market.

The two most defining criteria for a Dividend Champ and Dividend Titan are that it has consistently
distributed dividends every year and has a record of increasing dividend payouts over a 15-year and
20-year period, respectively. The other criteria include the company’s minimum market capitalization of
₱5 billion during the review of eligible Dividend Champs and Titans and the 15 and 20 years it has been
listed on the PSE.

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03 | Dividend Champs & Titans

We want to disclose that our initial review for Dividend Champs covers 15 years from 2005 to 2019, and
for Dividend Titans covers 20 years from 2000 to 2019. This action was taken to avoid the effects of the
pandemic, which significantly impacted the financial health of many companies. But looking forward, the
next review will include more recent years as the year ends and we see better growth.

This illustrates the growth of your initial ₱100,000 investment over a 15- or 20-year period when
reinvesting dividends in any of the Dividend Champs. Notably, ICTSI, Jollibee Foods Corp., and SM
Investments Corp. emerge as standout long-term investment options. Over 15 years, SM Investments
Corp. delivered an attractive 12.38% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) and generated ₱53,153.65
in dividends. Meanwhile, ICTSI outperformed with an impressive 27.01% CAGR and ₱1.83 million in
dividend earnings over 20 years.

As a disclaimer, these Dividend Champs and Titans may not necessarily be the best dividend-paying and
performing stocks for dividend investors right now. Our intention is not to assert that these are the only
dividend-paying stocks to consider. Instead, the Dividend Champs and Titans are examples of exemplary
stocks that have consistently provided shareholders with reliable dividends and higher dividend payouts
over a specified period. For a broader selection of dividend-paying stocks with higher yields, you can
utilize the DragonFi Dividend Screener.

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03 | Dividend Champs & Titans

If we look at ICTSI’s chart, your initial investment of ₱100,000 would have grown to ₱12.18 million at the
end of your 20-year investment period. This is 58% higher than the ₱7.67 million you would have amassed
if you chose not to reinvest any dividends.

ICTSI’s dividend grew an annual average of 22.53% from 2003 to 2022. In 2003, the annual dividend stood
at ₱0.30 per share, while the stock was trading around ₱3.19 per share. Fast forward to 2022, the annual
dividend amounted to ₱5.56 per share, a remarkable 74.29% higher compared to the ₱3.19 share price
in 2003. The dividend yield, relative to the acquisition cost of ₱3.19/share, soared from 9.40% in 2003
to 174.29% by 2022. This accomplishment is nothing short of surreal; the dividend stream distributed by
ICTSI has repaid your initial investment many times over.

To emphasize this point, consider a scenario where you acquired 1 million shares of ICTSI in 2003 at
₱3.19 per share, resulting in an initial investment of ₱3.19 million. In 2003, you received dividends
totaling a respectable ₱300,000. Given the latest annual dividend of ₱8.56 per share, your annual income
in 2023 generated solely from ICTSI dividends is an astounding ₱8.56M! And oh by the way, on Sept
14, 2023, ICT closed at ₱210 per share, 6483% higher than your ₱3.19 per share cost basis. This is what
passive income dreams are made of!

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03 | Dividend Champs & Titans

As for Ayala Land, Inc., its performance in comparison to ICTSI falls short in terms of both dividend growth
and price appreciation. However, the point is that by reinvesting your dividends, your returns will be
higher than if you chose not to reinvest. At the end of your 20-year investment period, your ₱100,000 has
grown to ₱583,725.00, 19.44% higher than ₱488,700.00. Finally, your cumulative dividend earnings would
equate to ₱97,962.30 compared to ₱88,079.11 if you did not reinvest any dividends.

In the examples illustrated, the dividends were reinvested on the payment date. Furthermore, to account
for the board lot sizes, dividend payments were accrued until they reached the minimum board lot size for
reinvestment.

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04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection
with DragonFi Screener

When choosing stocks to include in your dividend


portfolio, you should address three key questions:
1. Is the dividend safe?
2. Is it growing?
3. What’s the return?

13
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener

Is the Dividend Safe?


It goes without saying that we want to modest dividend growth since they are required
invest in financially stable companies that to distribute 90% of their taxable income as
will provide us with a reliable income dividends. Outside of REITs, it’s generally advisable
stream for the foreseeable future. Focus to steer clear of stocks with payout ratios that
on these 4 key metrics in the DragonFi approach or exceed 100%. As a rule of thumb,
Dividend Screener to ascertain dividend safety: look for payout ratios below 50%. However,
mature companies that are natural monopolies can
1. Return on Equity (ROE) sustain high payout ratios in excess of 50% without
Assesses a company’s efficiency in generating encountering significant issues.
profits in relation to the capital invested by its
shareholders. All else being equal, a company 3. Debt to Equity
with a high ROE requires less capital to achieve Measures the proportion of a company’s financing
the same level of returns as a company with a that comes from debt (borrowed funds) compared
low ROE. This enables the firm to expand and to equity (investor-owned funds). It provides insight
distribute more dividends. Companies that into a company’s capital structure and financial
consistently maintain a high ROE over time,relative leverage, helping investors assess the level of risk
to their industry peers, typically possess what is associated with the company’s use of debt to fund
known as a sustainable competitive advantage or its operations and growth initiatives.
an economic moat. This advantage allows them
to mitigate the impact of competition and sustain 4. Interest Coverage
returns that exceed the industry norm. Look for This ratio provides insights into the company’s
companies with a long track record of achieving capacity to comfortably cover its interest payments
double digit ROEs. from its operating income. Generally, a higher
interest coverage ratio indicates a healthier
2. Payout Ratio financial position and a lower risk of default
The portion of a company’s earnings distributed on debt obligations. For instance, if a company
to shareholders in the form of dividends. As an generates an operating income of ₱3 million while
example, if the company earnings per share having interest expense of ₱1 million, its interest
(EPS) is ₱2/share and it pays out ₱1/share as coverage would be ₱3M/₱1M, showing that it can
a dividend, the payout ratio is ½ or 50%. The cover its interest expense three times over with its
payout ratio serves as a gauge of the margin of operating income.
safety. For instance, a 50% payout ratio suggests
that earnings can decline by approximately 50%, It is important to note that it is appropriate to
leaving the dividend fully funded. Therefore, compare any financial metric against industry
while higher payout ratios often result in larger benchmarks and relative to the company’s own
dividends, an excessively high ratio leaves little historical trends. What is considered a high
room for unforeseen challenges. There is also a ratio for one industry may not be the case when
tradeoff between a high payout ratio and future benchmarked versus another industry. Moreover,
dividend growth. The higher the payout the a specific ratio in one fiscal year is not as insightful
less the company retains for growth initiatives. as one that is compared to a company’s historical
This explains why REITs historically exhibit performance.

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04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener

Is the Dividend Growing?


Most stocks derive the majority 2. Compounded Annual
of their value not from the current Dividend Growth Rate
dividend levels but from the The screener presents the 5, 10, and 15-year
potential for future dividend growth. compounded annual dividend growth rate per
A sustained rise in dividends makes stock. Combined with the dividend history, this
the stock more attractive to investors. In the data will help you identify emerging or sustained
short run, stock prices and dividend growth dividend growth. Give more weight to recent
may appear disconnected. However, in the data.
long run,for companies with strong economic
fundamentals, dividend growth and share prices 3. Earnings Estimates and
will move in tandem – a correlation that becomes Management Guidance
stronger as time passes. To forecast a company’s The growth of dividends relies on the company’s
dividend growth potential, pay close attention to ability to consistently generate earnings. As a
the following: dividend growth investor, stay informed about
the company’s fundamentals by following their
1. Dividend History earnings announcements and reading DragonFi’s
Look for companies with a track record of research reports.
consistently increasing dividends over time.
The DragonFi Dividend Screener displays the last
10 years of dividend data.

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04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener

What’s the Return?


This part gets a bit complicated, but we encourage you to power through as we prepared a
shorthand method to simplify its application. To arrive at the return that we will require for
our investment, we turn to the most popular method for valuing dividend paying stocks, the
Gordon Growth Model.

On the most basic level, the Gordon Growth Model computes the maximum price or the fair value of a
dividend paying stock given its current or projected dividend, the stock’s required rate of return and the
projected long term sustainable dividend growth rate.

Its formula is as follow:


Price of a Stock= Dividend/(Required Rate of Return – Dividend Growth)

Doing a little bit of algebra, we derive the following:


Required Rate of Return= Dividend Yield + Dividend Growth

Dividend yield represents the percentage of dividends a company pays relative to its stock price. The ideal
dividend yield falls within the range of 4% to 7%. Yields higher than this range often prove unsustainable
and may signal deteriorating company fundamentals, which are reflected in a declining share price.

Conversely, when yields are lower, in the range of 1 to 3 percent, the stock becomes heavily dependent
on dividend growth to meet our required rate of return.​You can find the Dividend Yield (TTM or Trailing
Twelve Months) in the Dividend Screener.

When seeking a return on your dividend stock, it is advisable not to settle for anything lower than the
long-term average return of the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi). For the PSEi return, we will
use 9% as a proxy for the market return as different 20 year periods from 2000-2022 have yielded a
compounded annual growth rate of anywhere from 8.13% to 10.21%. However, our goal is to outperform
the PSEi; otherwise, we should simply invest in the entire PSEi instead of attempting to pick individual
stocks.

To account for this, we incorporate a margin of safety,


essentially requiring a higher total return for our investment.

Dividend Yield + Dividend Growth = Total Return + Margin of Safety = Required Return

In other words, Required Return = PSEi Return (9%) + Margin of Safety.

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04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener

Below is a sample template that you can use to help you determine the required return,
which we will then use to arrive at the appropriate price to pay for our dividend-paying security.

Remember we fixed the the sum of the Dividend Yield (1st Column) and the Dividend Growth Rate
(2nd column ) at 9% (3rd column), which represents the approximate average long term returns of the
PSEi. We then add the margin of safety (4th column) to embed our higher total return requirement.

Notice that for stocks with dividend yields of 4%-7% (the sweet spot), we only applied a margin of safety
of 1%, reflecting the lower inherent risk associated with stocks in this yield spectrum. However, for stocks
whose yields find themselves on the opposite ends of the sweet spot, we increased the margin of safety
accordingly.

It’s worth noting that every individual investor has their own unique risk profile. If you lean toward a more
risk-averse approach, you have the flexibility to increase the margin of safety according to your preference.

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04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener

Real World Example: Globe Telecom

Now we are ready to take the above concept for a test drive with a real-world example. Let’s say you took
a look at your DragonFi Dividend Screener and was attracted to Globe’s current Dividend Yield of 5.71.

Taking a look at the dividend history of GLO, you You may be wondering: What price should I be
also projected total dividends for the fiscal year willing to pay for GLO, considering my required
2023 to end up at ₱100/share. In addition, given rate of return is 10%, and I anticipate that GLO
the 5yr, 10yr, and 15yr dividend growth rate of will be paying ₱100 per share in dividends this
GLO and your analysis of the company’s other year and sustaining a 3% dividend growth rate
fundamental drivers, you estimate GLO’s long term indefinitely?
sustainable dividend growth rate to be roughly
around 3.5%. You calmly whip out the DragonFi Price Finder
(Gordon Growth Model Calculator), and you input
You astutely point out that the sum of GLO’s the aforementioned figures and the Price Finder
dividend yield of 5.71% and dividend growth rate arrives at a price of ₱1538.46 per share, 12.2%
of 3.5% is below the 10% minimum required return below the current market price of ₱1752 as of
for stocks whose yields are between 4% to 7% (see September 18, 2023.
Required Return Table above).

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04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener

Benefits of this Stock Selection Strategy


Screening for dividend growth stocks with the methodology described above has several advantages:

1. It imparts discipline and fosters effective risk management within the investment process. In the
above real-world example, it would have definitely kept you out of Globe’s 51.29% decline from its
November 24, 2021 high of ₱3611. Why is this a certainty? Because the dividend yield at higher
prices would have been much lower (2.94% at P3611), forcing you to increase the required return
figure. At the same time, the 5 and 10-year dividend growth rate at that point in time would not have
been appreciably higher than our 3.5% estimate.

2. By assessing stocks based on safety, growth, and return, the investor gains a holistic view of the
investment opportunity.

3. The flexibility of the model allows it to accommodate investors with varying risk profiles. More risk-
averse investors can simply increase the margin of safety, thereby raising the required rate of return.
Similarly, we can mitigate uncertainty surrounding our growth estimate by adjusting the margin of
safety input.

It’s important to note that while Gordon Growth Model is a potent tool, it is not a silver bullet
(because there is no such thing). Treat the Gordon Growth Model as just another data point in the
investment process.

19
05 | Putting It All Together:
The Dividend Harvest Strategy

Establish Nurture Harvest


The Dividend Harvest Strategy aims to establish, nurture, and harvest a stream of income through
high-quality dividend-paying securities. It shifts the attention from stock price volatility, appreciation,
and capital gains and instead focusses only on the dividend stream its size, its safety, and its growth.
The dividend stream and not price appreciation becomes the paramount reward and success benchmark.

Establish
Your Portfolio

Research
The first and most critical step in your passive income journey is thorough research. Begin by
following the Blueprint for Stock Selection process outlined above.

1. Use the Dividend Screener to identify stocks with the right balance of yield and growth.
• Filter for stocks with a Dividend YIeld (TTM) of 4%-7%. The Sweet Spot!
• Verify that the company has a history of consistent dividend payments.
* The Dividend Screener displays 10 fiscal years’ worth of dividend data per stock.
* Check the 5, 10, and 15 year Dividend Growth Rate. Look for firms that increase their
dividends at a healthy pace.
• Ensure that the fundamental drivers of dividend safety, such as Return on Equity, Interest Coverage
Ratio, Debt to Equity, and Payout Ratio are in place.

2. Evaluate the company’s fundamentals.


Check DragonFi’s company-specific research where we will detail the company’s dividend prospects as
well as the overall fundamental drivers of the company.
• Visit the investor relations site of the specific company where you can listen to analyst briefings and
read corporate disclosures and management commentary regarding the firm’s fundamental health.
• Efficiently examine the company’s fundamentals in the DragonFi stock page. Here you will be able
to dive deeper into the company’s financial and valuation metrics, providing valuable insights into a
stock’s suitability for your portfolio.

3. Use the Dividend Screener’s Price Finder to arrive at a fair value for the stock.
• Estimate the expected dividend, required return, and dividend growth of the stock and input the
figures into the Price Finder.
• Instead of a single price, perform a sensitivity analysis using varying figures for the required
return and dividend growth to establish a price range. To see how to do this, refer to the example
provided for Meralco in the Stock Picks section.

4. Create a list of potential names along with their corresponding actionable price ranges.

20
05 | Putting It All Together: The Dividend Harvest Strategy

Establish Your Portfolio

Execution
1. Time to deploy capital.
You’ve done your research. Now it’s time to keep your eye on the prize. Once a stock in your
opportunity set reaches an actionable price, buy in tranches. Don’t feel obliged to put all your money
to work overnight. Holding onto cash while conducting further research or waiting for more favorable
prices often results in better decisions. In one of our stock picks, that will be detailed at the tail end
of this book, Jon performed a sensitivity analysis on AREIT and arrived at an actionable price range of
P24 to P31. In such a scenario, you may choose to deploy 25% of the allocated funds for AREIT in four
tranches as the stock price declines.

2. Diversify your portfolio.


Aim for a well-diversified portfolio by investing in different industries and sectors. We can’t emphasize
enough the importance of diversification in managing risk. Over allocation in one industry makes you
susceptible to the common economic forces among the stocks within the same industry or sector.
Target at least 5 dividend growth stocks in the short term (1-3 years) and attempt to increase this to
10-15 within 3-5 years.

Nurture
Your Portfolio
1. Regular Contributions
Build your investment portfolio over time. Patience is key in dividend investing. Regular contributions
allow you to steadily build your investment portfolio over the years. Even with modest contributions,
your investments can accumulate into a substantial portfolio over time.

2. Reinvest Dividends
Harness the power of compounding by reinvesting cash dividends. By purchasing shares of stocks that
meet the stock selection criteria with your dividends, you benefit from the magic of compounding.

3. Monitor your portfolio


Regularly monitor your existing holdings using the same dividend safety and growth criteria that we
described earlier in the book. Is the dividend rising at least as fast as you originally anticipated? Are
the dividend safety metrics improving or deteriorating? We recommend keeping tabs of your portfolio
companies’ quarterly earnings report to evaluate their financial standing.

4. When to sell, When to swap


• Sell when dividend safety is potentially impaired. By now you know the drill. Check the Dividend
Screener for the stock’s ROE, Interest Coverage, Debt to Equity, and Dividend Payout for signs of
deterioration.
• Swaps fall into two camps.
* Can I trade up in yield? Can I purchase a stock with a higher dividend yield with the same
dividend growth prospect?
* Can I trade up in growth? Can I purchase a stock with the same yield with a higher growth
prospect?

As you accumulate more shares over time, your dividend income grows, and you may also see potential
capital appreciation.

21
05 | Putting It All Together: The Dividend Harvest Strategy

Harvest

The timing of dividend harvesting is a matter of personal preference. Some investors prefer to enjoy
the fruits of their investment early in life. However, it’s important to note that this approach reduces the
compounding effect of one’s investment. Our recommended strategy is for investors to reap the benefits
of their dividend income during their retirement years when their income capacity typically diminishes or
disappears.

06 | Stock Picks

Jon Carlo Lim


DragonFi CEO & Co-Founder

Manila Electric Co. (Meralco)


Fundamentals

Economic Moat/Sustainable Competitive Advantage


1. Meralco holds a monopoly as the stole electric power distributor in Metro Manila with a franchise area
of 9,685 sq km, accounting for 55% of the country’s electric output.

2. Meralco’s high ROE allows it to use less capital to produce a specific level of earnings, enabling growth
even at high payout ratios.

22
06 | Stock Picks

Jon’s Stock Picks

Dividends

Meralco’s dividend history reveals a robust pattern of consistent growth over the past 5, 10, and 15 years.
Additionally, given the prevailing power challenges in the country, it is highly plausible that Meralco will
exhibit growth above 6% for the foreseeable future. Furthermore, consensus EPS estimates point toward a
positive outlook, suggesting the potential for either dividend growth or the stability of dividend payments.

Technicals
According to the sensitivity analysis table,
Meralco is attractive even at its current levels.
With a conservative dividend per share estimate
of ₱18.42, a 15.5% decline to ₱307.00/share
from ₱363.00/share last September 11, 2023,
would imply a dividend yield of 6%. Additionally,
a potential long-term dividend growth rate north
of 5% would represent an opportunistic entry
point. Therefore, I consider Meralco as a buy
between ₱307.00/share and ₱368.40/share.

23
06 | Stock Picks

Jon’s Stock Picks

AREIT, Inc.
Fundamentals

I just wanted to briefly touch on AREIT to expound on the dividend characteristics of a typical REIT. REITs
are an alluring investment vehicle because they allow investors to invest in real estate without the sticker
shock of purchasing real property outright. The asset class often offers a high yield because REITs are not
taxed at the corporate level as long as they distribute at least 90% of their taxable income as dividends.
However, it is also on account of this that REITs feature moderate dividend growth. Noticed how Dividend
Per Share Growth ( DPS Growth) for AREIT, quickly levels off after each round of property-for -share swap
This aligns with the average dividend growth rate of REITs in the US from 1972 to 2019, which typically
ranged between 4-5%. You won’t typically see the extraordinary 20-year average dividend growth rates
of 22.53% achieved by companies like ICT from 2003 to 2022. This isn’t to say that I don’t appreciate the
overall dividend profile of AREIT. It undoubtedly has significant growth potential, thanks to the superior
property portfolio provided by its sponsor, Ayala Land.

24
06 | Stock Picks

Jon’s Stock Picks

Technicals

However, I would caution against overloading your dividend portfolio entirely with REITs solely for their
high current income. Remember that future value appreciation is often tied more to dividend growth than
current yield. For investors with a long-term time horizon, it’s advisable to maintain REITs at around 20%
to 30% of your dividend portfolio. For individuals nearing retirement, increasing the allocation of REITs in
your portfolio can provide higher current income.”

Specific to AREIT, I conducted a sensitivity analysis with different dividend growth and required return
combinations and arrived at an investable price range between $24.11 and $31. I plan to enter the market
gradually as AREIT trades within this price band, buying more of my target allocation as it declines.

25
06 | Stock Picks

Alexis Cabel
DragonFi Research Head

Aboitiz Power Corp. (AP)


Fundamentals

The charts above display Aboitiz Power Corp.’s remarkable performance.

1. A 5-year CAGR ttm 2023 revenue growth of 10.6%, outperforming the


Philippine GNI 5-year CAGR of 5%.

2. A 29% surge in Gwh sales in H1-2023 compared to H1-2022.

3. A ttm 2023 ROA at 7% and ttm 2023 ROE at 20% that


exceeds the 5% and 15% benchmark, respectively.

4. A current ratio 1.6x and a net debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93x as of H1-2023.

At the current share price of ₱33.75/share, it is trading at a 20% discount


relative to its market valuation of ₱42.37.

26
06 | Stock Picks

Alexis’ Stock Pick

Economic Moat/Sustainable Competitive Advantage


1. Electricity is a basic need.
2. AP has a stable mix of various power capacities from Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao.
3. It has 81% of baseload power from coal and oil to pursue renewable energy
4. It contributes 18% of Philippine power capacity.

Dividends
AP has a dividend policy of distributing 50% of its previous year’s income as cash dividends to common
shareholders. With the stock price of ₱33.75/share, the ttm 2023 dividend yield stands at 5.6%. Looking
ahead to the estimated cash dividend on the ex-date in March 2024, which is projected to be ₱2.23/share,
the yield at the stock price of ₱33.75/share would rise to 6.9%. That surpasses the PH10YTN of 6.5% and
is close to the 7% average dividend yield of Philippine REITs.

27
06 | Stock Picks

Marvin Germo
Renowned Financial Educator

Citicore Energy REIT Corp. (CREIT)


When it comes to evaluating REITs, I ask myself 5 questions. These questions serve as essential checks to
assess whether a particular REIT is a promising investment opportunity.

What is the long-term outlook in the sector?


I believe renewable energy is here to stay, with growing demand expected in the years ahead.
Additionally, as the Philippines undergoes further development, energy demand will persist. CREIT
remains resilient, unaffected by POGOs, BPOs, or shifts in the retail market. Since its initial public offering
(IPO), CREIT has increased its gross leasable area (GLA) from 1.65 million sqm to 5.96 million sqm, which
consists of geographically diverse assets from Luzon to Mindanao.

Who are the tenants?

28
06 | Stock Picks

Marvin’s Stock Pick

How long are they staying?

How good, stable, and predictable are the earnings?

CREIT implements a rent escalation strategy, averaging 10-12% every 5 years. Notably, its net income has
surged from P225.88 million in 2021 to a robust P1.25 billion in 2022. Furthermore, CREIT demonstrated
growth in both Q1 and Q2 of 2023 when compared to the same periods in 2021.

What dividend yield am I getting?


In 2022, CREIT distributed an annual dividend of P0.167/share and is expected to grow to P0.189/share
at the end of 2023, assuming the Q4 dividend is at P0.049/share. With a stock price of P2.59/share, this
translates to a 7.29% dividend yield for the current year. While the yield remains comfortably above my 5%
threshold, it’s worth noting that the stock has been consolidating near its recent high for some time now.
The best and cheapest time to acquire it would have been several months ago.

29
06 | Stock Picks

Franco Fernandez
DragonFi Research Associate

International Container Terminal Services, Inc. (ICTSI)

Fundamentals

ICTSI’s profitability has significantly improved since the reopening of the economy, with net income
reaching P31.09 billion in 2022. Furthermore, the high ROE suggests that ICTSI possesses an economic
moat or competitive advantage.

Economic Moat/Sustainable Competitive Advantage

1. ICTSI is the world’s largest independent terminal operator across 6 continents.

2. Its port partnership agreements cover long-term concessions of an average of 25 years.

3. ICTSI’s current 34 terminals across 20 countries create a network effect, attracting shipping lines
and clients due to its established global presence.

30
06 | Stock Picks

Franco’s Stock Pick

Dividends

ICTSI’s increasing free


cash flow (FCF) indicates
the completion of its
capital investment
cycle and provides an
assurance and protective
cushion for dividend
distribution and growth.

Over the last 20 years, ICTSI has demonstrated robust dividend growth. Impressively, they have
maintained a consistent dividend distribution since 2005, without any reduction in payout since then.

Based on the sensitivity analysis table, I believe ICTSI can be considered as a conservative buy between
P140.61/share and P168.24/share. Notably, P168.24/share is within a significant support area when you
look at its price chart.

31
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