Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(E BOOK) PassiveIncomeInvestingGrowYourP100,000withDividendStocks&REITs
(E BOOK) PassiveIncomeInvestingGrowYourP100,000withDividendStocks&REITs
2
01 | Passive Income
Passive income is akin to putting your money While passive income might evoke images of
to work while you take a back. Instead of relying lounging on the beach sipping cocktails, it’s not
solely on the traditional 9-to-5, you’re placing synonymous with leisure. It’s a strategic move, an
your trust in your assets to generate returns. investment in your financial future that requires
Be it dividend stocks or Real Estate Investment upfront effort. Passive income investing entails
Trusts (REITs), these financial instruments become making well-informed decisions, understanding
your partners in the pursuit of financial growth. the market dynamics, and selecting the right
However, it’s important to acknowledge that assets that will work tirelessly to grow your wealth.
success in passive income investing requires an It is similar to planting the seeds of financial
initial investment of not just your money, but your independence – it demands care and attention
time and effort as well. to ensure a positive outcome.
Consider this chart: Eric deposits ₱3,000 per year for 20 years into a savings account with a 1%
interest rate, while Mark invests the same amount annually in a portfolio that averages a 6% return.
The key difference lies in the potential for growth. While savings provide security, investments have
the potential to significantly multiply your wealth over the long haul.
3
01 | Passive Income
02 | What is a dividend?
Dividends are a portion of the profit that a company decides to share with the people who own its stock.
When a company makes money, it can choose to give some of that money back to its stockholders as a
way of sharing its success. It’s like getting a small piece of the money the company earned.
The best dividend stocks are those that pay dividends on a regular basis and increase their dividend
payouts over time.
4
02 | What is a dividend?
5
02 | What is a dividend?
Preferred Stocks
Preferred stocks are assets that share the characteristics
of both common stocks and bonds. Investors who hold
preferred stocks are prioritized when it comes to the payment
of dividends and the claiming of company assets during
liquidation. One significant advantage of preferred stocks
is that they usually offer fixed dividends. Companies pay
dividends to preferred shareholders at regular intervals, and
these dividends have a predetermined rate or percentage.
This feature makes preferred stocks attractive to income-
oriented investors looking for a more stable income stream.
Some of the advantages of investing in REITs over an outright purchase of a property are:
• Lower investment minimum: The ability to buy • Diversification: REITs invest in a variety of
a single share of stock makes REIT investing a properties so you are not exposed to the risk of
more accessible investment vehicle. a single property underperforming.
• REITs are required to pay out at least 90% of • Liquidity: REITs trade on a stock exchange
their taxable income to shareholders in the form allowing you to quickly enter or exit an
of dividends, providing investors with a potential investment.
stream of steady income.
• Professionally managed: REITs are managed by
experienced professionals who are responsible
for selecting and managing properties in the
portfolio.
6
02 | What is a dividend?
7
02 | What is a dividend?
8 Things You Need to Know about Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
8
03 | Dividend Champs & Titans
Dividend Champs and Titans are terms used to describe a special type of dividend-paying stock listed on
the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). The criteria for identifying a Dividend Champ and Titan are based
on our research and assessment of the Philippine stock market.
The two most defining criteria for a Dividend Champ and Dividend Titan are that it has consistently
distributed dividends every year and has a record of increasing dividend payouts over a 15-year and
20-year period, respectively. The other criteria include the company’s minimum market capitalization of
₱5 billion during the review of eligible Dividend Champs and Titans and the 15 and 20 years it has been
listed on the PSE.
9
03 | Dividend Champs & Titans
We want to disclose that our initial review for Dividend Champs covers 15 years from 2005 to 2019, and
for Dividend Titans covers 20 years from 2000 to 2019. This action was taken to avoid the effects of the
pandemic, which significantly impacted the financial health of many companies. But looking forward, the
next review will include more recent years as the year ends and we see better growth.
This illustrates the growth of your initial ₱100,000 investment over a 15- or 20-year period when
reinvesting dividends in any of the Dividend Champs. Notably, ICTSI, Jollibee Foods Corp., and SM
Investments Corp. emerge as standout long-term investment options. Over 15 years, SM Investments
Corp. delivered an attractive 12.38% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) and generated ₱53,153.65
in dividends. Meanwhile, ICTSI outperformed with an impressive 27.01% CAGR and ₱1.83 million in
dividend earnings over 20 years.
As a disclaimer, these Dividend Champs and Titans may not necessarily be the best dividend-paying and
performing stocks for dividend investors right now. Our intention is not to assert that these are the only
dividend-paying stocks to consider. Instead, the Dividend Champs and Titans are examples of exemplary
stocks that have consistently provided shareholders with reliable dividends and higher dividend payouts
over a specified period. For a broader selection of dividend-paying stocks with higher yields, you can
utilize the DragonFi Dividend Screener.
10
03 | Dividend Champs & Titans
If we look at ICTSI’s chart, your initial investment of ₱100,000 would have grown to ₱12.18 million at the
end of your 20-year investment period. This is 58% higher than the ₱7.67 million you would have amassed
if you chose not to reinvest any dividends.
ICTSI’s dividend grew an annual average of 22.53% from 2003 to 2022. In 2003, the annual dividend stood
at ₱0.30 per share, while the stock was trading around ₱3.19 per share. Fast forward to 2022, the annual
dividend amounted to ₱5.56 per share, a remarkable 74.29% higher compared to the ₱3.19 share price
in 2003. The dividend yield, relative to the acquisition cost of ₱3.19/share, soared from 9.40% in 2003
to 174.29% by 2022. This accomplishment is nothing short of surreal; the dividend stream distributed by
ICTSI has repaid your initial investment many times over.
To emphasize this point, consider a scenario where you acquired 1 million shares of ICTSI in 2003 at
₱3.19 per share, resulting in an initial investment of ₱3.19 million. In 2003, you received dividends
totaling a respectable ₱300,000. Given the latest annual dividend of ₱8.56 per share, your annual income
in 2023 generated solely from ICTSI dividends is an astounding ₱8.56M! And oh by the way, on Sept
14, 2023, ICT closed at ₱210 per share, 6483% higher than your ₱3.19 per share cost basis. This is what
passive income dreams are made of!
11
03 | Dividend Champs & Titans
As for Ayala Land, Inc., its performance in comparison to ICTSI falls short in terms of both dividend growth
and price appreciation. However, the point is that by reinvesting your dividends, your returns will be
higher than if you chose not to reinvest. At the end of your 20-year investment period, your ₱100,000 has
grown to ₱583,725.00, 19.44% higher than ₱488,700.00. Finally, your cumulative dividend earnings would
equate to ₱97,962.30 compared to ₱88,079.11 if you did not reinvest any dividends.
In the examples illustrated, the dividends were reinvested on the payment date. Furthermore, to account
for the board lot sizes, dividend payments were accrued until they reached the minimum board lot size for
reinvestment.
12
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection
with DragonFi Screener
13
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener
14
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener
15
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener
On the most basic level, the Gordon Growth Model computes the maximum price or the fair value of a
dividend paying stock given its current or projected dividend, the stock’s required rate of return and the
projected long term sustainable dividend growth rate.
Dividend yield represents the percentage of dividends a company pays relative to its stock price. The ideal
dividend yield falls within the range of 4% to 7%. Yields higher than this range often prove unsustainable
and may signal deteriorating company fundamentals, which are reflected in a declining share price.
Conversely, when yields are lower, in the range of 1 to 3 percent, the stock becomes heavily dependent
on dividend growth to meet our required rate of return.You can find the Dividend Yield (TTM or Trailing
Twelve Months) in the Dividend Screener.
When seeking a return on your dividend stock, it is advisable not to settle for anything lower than the
long-term average return of the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi). For the PSEi return, we will
use 9% as a proxy for the market return as different 20 year periods from 2000-2022 have yielded a
compounded annual growth rate of anywhere from 8.13% to 10.21%. However, our goal is to outperform
the PSEi; otherwise, we should simply invest in the entire PSEi instead of attempting to pick individual
stocks.
Dividend Yield + Dividend Growth = Total Return + Margin of Safety = Required Return
16
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener
Below is a sample template that you can use to help you determine the required return,
which we will then use to arrive at the appropriate price to pay for our dividend-paying security.
Remember we fixed the the sum of the Dividend Yield (1st Column) and the Dividend Growth Rate
(2nd column ) at 9% (3rd column), which represents the approximate average long term returns of the
PSEi. We then add the margin of safety (4th column) to embed our higher total return requirement.
Notice that for stocks with dividend yields of 4%-7% (the sweet spot), we only applied a margin of safety
of 1%, reflecting the lower inherent risk associated with stocks in this yield spectrum. However, for stocks
whose yields find themselves on the opposite ends of the sweet spot, we increased the margin of safety
accordingly.
It’s worth noting that every individual investor has their own unique risk profile. If you lean toward a more
risk-averse approach, you have the flexibility to increase the margin of safety according to your preference.
17
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener
Now we are ready to take the above concept for a test drive with a real-world example. Let’s say you took
a look at your DragonFi Dividend Screener and was attracted to Globe’s current Dividend Yield of 5.71.
Taking a look at the dividend history of GLO, you You may be wondering: What price should I be
also projected total dividends for the fiscal year willing to pay for GLO, considering my required
2023 to end up at ₱100/share. In addition, given rate of return is 10%, and I anticipate that GLO
the 5yr, 10yr, and 15yr dividend growth rate of will be paying ₱100 per share in dividends this
GLO and your analysis of the company’s other year and sustaining a 3% dividend growth rate
fundamental drivers, you estimate GLO’s long term indefinitely?
sustainable dividend growth rate to be roughly
around 3.5%. You calmly whip out the DragonFi Price Finder
(Gordon Growth Model Calculator), and you input
You astutely point out that the sum of GLO’s the aforementioned figures and the Price Finder
dividend yield of 5.71% and dividend growth rate arrives at a price of ₱1538.46 per share, 12.2%
of 3.5% is below the 10% minimum required return below the current market price of ₱1752 as of
for stocks whose yields are between 4% to 7% (see September 18, 2023.
Required Return Table above).
18
04 | Blueprint for Dividend Stock Selection with DragonFi Screener
1. It imparts discipline and fosters effective risk management within the investment process. In the
above real-world example, it would have definitely kept you out of Globe’s 51.29% decline from its
November 24, 2021 high of ₱3611. Why is this a certainty? Because the dividend yield at higher
prices would have been much lower (2.94% at P3611), forcing you to increase the required return
figure. At the same time, the 5 and 10-year dividend growth rate at that point in time would not have
been appreciably higher than our 3.5% estimate.
2. By assessing stocks based on safety, growth, and return, the investor gains a holistic view of the
investment opportunity.
3. The flexibility of the model allows it to accommodate investors with varying risk profiles. More risk-
averse investors can simply increase the margin of safety, thereby raising the required rate of return.
Similarly, we can mitigate uncertainty surrounding our growth estimate by adjusting the margin of
safety input.
It’s important to note that while Gordon Growth Model is a potent tool, it is not a silver bullet
(because there is no such thing). Treat the Gordon Growth Model as just another data point in the
investment process.
19
05 | Putting It All Together:
The Dividend Harvest Strategy
Establish
Your Portfolio
Research
The first and most critical step in your passive income journey is thorough research. Begin by
following the Blueprint for Stock Selection process outlined above.
1. Use the Dividend Screener to identify stocks with the right balance of yield and growth.
• Filter for stocks with a Dividend YIeld (TTM) of 4%-7%. The Sweet Spot!
• Verify that the company has a history of consistent dividend payments.
* The Dividend Screener displays 10 fiscal years’ worth of dividend data per stock.
* Check the 5, 10, and 15 year Dividend Growth Rate. Look for firms that increase their
dividends at a healthy pace.
• Ensure that the fundamental drivers of dividend safety, such as Return on Equity, Interest Coverage
Ratio, Debt to Equity, and Payout Ratio are in place.
3. Use the Dividend Screener’s Price Finder to arrive at a fair value for the stock.
• Estimate the expected dividend, required return, and dividend growth of the stock and input the
figures into the Price Finder.
• Instead of a single price, perform a sensitivity analysis using varying figures for the required
return and dividend growth to establish a price range. To see how to do this, refer to the example
provided for Meralco in the Stock Picks section.
4. Create a list of potential names along with their corresponding actionable price ranges.
20
05 | Putting It All Together: The Dividend Harvest Strategy
Execution
1. Time to deploy capital.
You’ve done your research. Now it’s time to keep your eye on the prize. Once a stock in your
opportunity set reaches an actionable price, buy in tranches. Don’t feel obliged to put all your money
to work overnight. Holding onto cash while conducting further research or waiting for more favorable
prices often results in better decisions. In one of our stock picks, that will be detailed at the tail end
of this book, Jon performed a sensitivity analysis on AREIT and arrived at an actionable price range of
P24 to P31. In such a scenario, you may choose to deploy 25% of the allocated funds for AREIT in four
tranches as the stock price declines.
Nurture
Your Portfolio
1. Regular Contributions
Build your investment portfolio over time. Patience is key in dividend investing. Regular contributions
allow you to steadily build your investment portfolio over the years. Even with modest contributions,
your investments can accumulate into a substantial portfolio over time.
2. Reinvest Dividends
Harness the power of compounding by reinvesting cash dividends. By purchasing shares of stocks that
meet the stock selection criteria with your dividends, you benefit from the magic of compounding.
As you accumulate more shares over time, your dividend income grows, and you may also see potential
capital appreciation.
21
05 | Putting It All Together: The Dividend Harvest Strategy
Harvest
The timing of dividend harvesting is a matter of personal preference. Some investors prefer to enjoy
the fruits of their investment early in life. However, it’s important to note that this approach reduces the
compounding effect of one’s investment. Our recommended strategy is for investors to reap the benefits
of their dividend income during their retirement years when their income capacity typically diminishes or
disappears.
06 | Stock Picks
2. Meralco’s high ROE allows it to use less capital to produce a specific level of earnings, enabling growth
even at high payout ratios.
22
06 | Stock Picks
Dividends
Meralco’s dividend history reveals a robust pattern of consistent growth over the past 5, 10, and 15 years.
Additionally, given the prevailing power challenges in the country, it is highly plausible that Meralco will
exhibit growth above 6% for the foreseeable future. Furthermore, consensus EPS estimates point toward a
positive outlook, suggesting the potential for either dividend growth or the stability of dividend payments.
Technicals
According to the sensitivity analysis table,
Meralco is attractive even at its current levels.
With a conservative dividend per share estimate
of ₱18.42, a 15.5% decline to ₱307.00/share
from ₱363.00/share last September 11, 2023,
would imply a dividend yield of 6%. Additionally,
a potential long-term dividend growth rate north
of 5% would represent an opportunistic entry
point. Therefore, I consider Meralco as a buy
between ₱307.00/share and ₱368.40/share.
23
06 | Stock Picks
AREIT, Inc.
Fundamentals
I just wanted to briefly touch on AREIT to expound on the dividend characteristics of a typical REIT. REITs
are an alluring investment vehicle because they allow investors to invest in real estate without the sticker
shock of purchasing real property outright. The asset class often offers a high yield because REITs are not
taxed at the corporate level as long as they distribute at least 90% of their taxable income as dividends.
However, it is also on account of this that REITs feature moderate dividend growth. Noticed how Dividend
Per Share Growth ( DPS Growth) for AREIT, quickly levels off after each round of property-for -share swap
This aligns with the average dividend growth rate of REITs in the US from 1972 to 2019, which typically
ranged between 4-5%. You won’t typically see the extraordinary 20-year average dividend growth rates
of 22.53% achieved by companies like ICT from 2003 to 2022. This isn’t to say that I don’t appreciate the
overall dividend profile of AREIT. It undoubtedly has significant growth potential, thanks to the superior
property portfolio provided by its sponsor, Ayala Land.
24
06 | Stock Picks
Technicals
However, I would caution against overloading your dividend portfolio entirely with REITs solely for their
high current income. Remember that future value appreciation is often tied more to dividend growth than
current yield. For investors with a long-term time horizon, it’s advisable to maintain REITs at around 20%
to 30% of your dividend portfolio. For individuals nearing retirement, increasing the allocation of REITs in
your portfolio can provide higher current income.”
Specific to AREIT, I conducted a sensitivity analysis with different dividend growth and required return
combinations and arrived at an investable price range between $24.11 and $31. I plan to enter the market
gradually as AREIT trades within this price band, buying more of my target allocation as it declines.
25
06 | Stock Picks
Alexis Cabel
DragonFi Research Head
26
06 | Stock Picks
Dividends
AP has a dividend policy of distributing 50% of its previous year’s income as cash dividends to common
shareholders. With the stock price of ₱33.75/share, the ttm 2023 dividend yield stands at 5.6%. Looking
ahead to the estimated cash dividend on the ex-date in March 2024, which is projected to be ₱2.23/share,
the yield at the stock price of ₱33.75/share would rise to 6.9%. That surpasses the PH10YTN of 6.5% and
is close to the 7% average dividend yield of Philippine REITs.
27
06 | Stock Picks
Marvin Germo
Renowned Financial Educator
28
06 | Stock Picks
CREIT implements a rent escalation strategy, averaging 10-12% every 5 years. Notably, its net income has
surged from P225.88 million in 2021 to a robust P1.25 billion in 2022. Furthermore, CREIT demonstrated
growth in both Q1 and Q2 of 2023 when compared to the same periods in 2021.
29
06 | Stock Picks
Franco Fernandez
DragonFi Research Associate
Fundamentals
ICTSI’s profitability has significantly improved since the reopening of the economy, with net income
reaching P31.09 billion in 2022. Furthermore, the high ROE suggests that ICTSI possesses an economic
moat or competitive advantage.
3. ICTSI’s current 34 terminals across 20 countries create a network effect, attracting shipping lines
and clients due to its established global presence.
30
06 | Stock Picks
Dividends
Over the last 20 years, ICTSI has demonstrated robust dividend growth. Impressively, they have
maintained a consistent dividend distribution since 2005, without any reduction in payout since then.
Based on the sensitivity analysis table, I believe ICTSI can be considered as a conservative buy between
P140.61/share and P168.24/share. Notably, P168.24/share is within a significant support area when you
look at its price chart.
31
Investing Club
SCAN TO JOIN
Follow DragonFi in our
Official Social Media Channels:
facebook.com/dragonfihq
@DragonFiHQ
linkedin.com/company/dragonfi