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JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC ISSUES
Vol. XLIX No. 1 March 2015
DOI 10.1080/00213624.2015.1013880
Vladislav Valentinov
it. I argue that Boulding has undersold his true contributions to evolutionary
economics by trying to embed them into the ecological approach. I endeavor to
overcome this discrepancy by differentiating between two types of evolutionary
change analyzed in Boulding’s writings: ecological change and civilizational change.
In contrast to ecological change, civilizational change entails the possibility for the
evolving system to overstrain the carrying capacity of the environment, thus
suggesting the precarious relationship between civilizational complexity and
sustainability. This argument sheds new light on Boulding’s theory of “social
organizers,” such as exchange, threat, and the integrative system. Boulding’s
understanding of civilizational change envisages the key role of threat and exchange
in enabling civilizational complexity, while the integrative system is called upon to
make this complexity sustainable.
Vladislav Valentinov is a research associate at the Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition
Economies. The author is grateful to Christopher Brown and the anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments. This
research is supported by the Volkswagen Foundation.
71
behaviors. At the same time, it is becoming increasingly clear that societal and
ecological sustainability presents another type of major problem critically requiring an
evolutionary understanding (e.g., Adkisson 2009; Hayden 2006). Boulding’s
contribution to disentangling the nature of civilizational change is in suggesting that
the evolutionary trajectories of civilizational complexity, on one hand, and
sustainability challenges, on the other, are inherently interconnected. This is a point
that he forcefully makes in The Organizational Revolution, placing particular emphasis
on the societal sustainability of business. The book presents a discerning analysis of
the way in which the rise of large-scale organizations, spurred by technological
progress, overstrains the societal tissue and thus gives rise to what Boulding called
“corrective” organizations (such as those of the labor movement and the farm
movement). This argument lays a foundation for an evolutionary theory of
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of human niche through the production of artifacts, and it is this expansion that
ultimately leads to global sustainability problems. “In terms of their own evolution
humans have been well adjusted to expansion for probably 100,000 years and very
well adjusted to it for the last 10,000 years. The habits and institutions, and
technologies and ideologies that have had survival value have been those well adapted
to an age of expansion. Now that the age of expansion is coming to a close, a whole
set of new ideas and institutions that have not previously adapted well to survival will
become necessary for survival, and man’s whole future depends on whether he can
make this adjustment rapidly enough” (Boulding 1981c, 131). The concomitant
sustainability problems manifest themselves in “evolutionary traps” related to wars,
failure of economic development, population growth, and entropy (Boulding 1964).
The growing complexity of human civilization must be maintained by adequate
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In the preceding section, I showed that Boulding did have a macroevolutionary vision,
which encompasses a number of secular trends, such as that of the growing
civilizational complexity. Contrary to Khalil’s (1996, 96) remark, this vision is by no
means limited to fluctuations around trends, even though Khalil is right in pointing
out that the ecological perspective advocated by Boulding is more concerned with
fluctuations rather than with trends themselves. It seems, therefore, that there is a
discrepancy between Boulding’s macroevolutionary vision and his ecological
perspective. To help disentangle this discrepancy, in the following subsections I
reconstruct Boulding’s understanding of the ecological perspective and discuss the
way in which this perspective has to be extended in order to accommodate his
macroevolutionary vision.
Kenneth Boulding’s Theories of Evolutionary Economics 75
Ecological Change
population and the population of each of the other species with which it
interacts” (Boulding 1991, 10). The ecological interaction led Boulding to
conceptualize “the ecological equilibrium” as “a situation in which the population of
each of the interacting species occupies a niche. That is, it is neither rising nor
falling,” even though he explicitly acknowledged that any real-world evolution “never
exhibits a true equilibrium but is always subject to constant change” (Boulding 1981b,
100).
Given the possibility of interpreting the ecological interaction in terms of
equilibrium-seeking forces, it is not surprising that Boulding regarded this interaction
to be essentially consistent with the neoclassical theory of market equilibrium. “The
connecting link here is that the relative price structure under given conditions of
demand is a function of the relative stocks of the different commodities” (Boulding
1981b, 35). This led Boulding to see the relative price structure as the mediator of the
ecological interaction between “commodity species” (1981b, 56) and to identifying the
biological equivalents of the price structure, such as food shortages, housing
shortages, predation, and maternal care (1981b, 88). Along these lines, Boulding
developed a generic evolutionary and systems-theoretic interpretation of the central
neoclassical concepts, such as opportunity costs, terms of trade, and supply price. For
example, he argued that systems, regardless of their specific nature, might withdraw
their performance if they do not receive adequate “supply prices” from their
environment, or, in other words, if their terms of trade become too unfavorable
(Boulding 1988, 20).
The central implication of the ecological perspective for any evolving system is
that the external environment of that system is bound to constrain its development
beyond a certain point (Boulding 1981c, 131), with space being the ultimate
environmental constraining factor (Boulding 1992). Illustrations of this central
implication include “the law of diminishing returns in economics” (Boulding 1981b,
11) and “the principle of increasingly unfavorable environment” for formal
organizations (Boulding 1984, 22). It seems, however, that the validity of this
implication extends beyond the ecological perspective itself. It is undoubtedly true
that the environment may constrain the ongoing expansion of the system through the
mediating mechanisms, such as the price structure or its functional equivalents.
76 Vladislav Valentinov
through resource depletion and ecological degradation. Both examples are similar in
that the evolving system is defined in such a generic way that no more than one
system of the respective kind is conceivable. A good illustration of such a generic
definition is provided by Luhmann’s concept of world society. “[I]f all social systems
today belong to one single world society, the theory of evolution faces a new kind of
problem: the level of sociocultural evolution is presented by one system
only” (Luhmann 1982, 135). To emphasize its difference from ecological evolution,
the evolution of “one system only” will be referred to as civilizational. The next section
summarizes Boulding’s insights into the nature of civilizational evolution and its
major differences from ecological evolution.
Civilizational Change
The idea of the civilizational evolution critically hinges on the above mentioned
difference in the material nature of evolving systems and their environments. In the
ecological perspective, systems and environments have the same nature, and it must
be for this reason that systems continually experience the environmental pressure to
evolve toward “ecological equilibrium.” Civilizational evolution is similar to ecological
one in that the carrying capacity of the environment remains limited. Yet, in contrast
to ecological evolution, civilizational evolution is not necessarily guided by forces that
seek to bring it into the state of what could be called “civilizational equilibrium.”
Civilizational evolution does presuppose that evolving systems face environmental
constraints, but it does not presuppose that systems are sensitive to these. While
ecological evolution is effectively governed by the structure of alternative costs, which
is “an important property of all ecosystems” (Boulding 1981b, 58), there seems to be
no comparable self-regulation mechanism for civilizational evolution.
As a result, the main problem of civilizational evolution is markedly different
from that faced by ecological evolution. This problem no longer consists of reaching
equilibrium. Rather, it is about attaining sustainability, simply understood as the
prospect for an indefinitely long existence of the all-encompassing system in a given
environment (cf. Valentinov 2014a, 2014b). In order to be sustainable, the all-
encompassing system must not overstrain the carrying capacity of its environment,
which does not necessarily impose “preventive checks” on the system, as would likely
Kenneth Boulding’s Theories of Evolutionary Economics 77
happen in many instances of ecological evolution. Boulding’s major concern was that
attaining this sustainability presents a major practical challenge of utmost importance
for the mankind. Indeed, he argued that “at the moment the economic system is what
may be described as a throughput economy. We extract ores and fossil-fuels; we
process these into commodities and in doing so produce negative outputs of
pollutants, that is, undesirable products of human activity with a negative value.
These we dispose of in pollutable reservoirs, which might almost be called negative
mines. This one-way street of the economic system clearly cannot maintain traffic
forever” (Boulding 1988, 42).
The very fact that this traffic has already been maintained for a considerable
length of time, and could be continued in the future with catastrophic consequences,
highlights the basic difference in the ecological and civilizational types of evolution.
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The concepts of both “throughput economy” and its opposite “spaceship economy”
are conceivable only at the civilizational level. To revert to an earlier example,
Boulding argued that in an ecological setting individual populations might withdraw
their performance if they do not receive an adequate “supply price” — that is, if they
perceive themselves as exploited by their environment. By contrast, civilization
evolution entails a probability that exploitation happens the other way around:
Systems may exploit the environment and pay the price in terms of their lacking
sustainability. The stabilizing effect of alternative costs at the ecological level
(Boulding 1981b, 58) gives way to the continual accumulation of “social costs,” in
Karl William Kapp’s (1977, 2011) sense, at the civilizational level, without effective
preventive checks.
Is there any positive chance that the current trajectory of societal evolution
would be effectively reoriented toward the goal of sustainability? According to
Boulding, if there is any, there are no automatic equilibrium-seeking forces that could
be relied upon to use it. “[T]he achievement of a society compatible with the human
race’s evolutionary potential is not something that will come automatically of itself
but something that will demand an intellectual and moral effort of an intensity of
which the human race is undoubtedly capable but has not yet achieved” (Boulding
1981c, 136). It is evident that among the three types of social organizers discussed by
Boulding — exchange, threat, and the integrative system — this effort is undertaken
within the integrative system. Backed by the threat system, exchange continually
generates civilizational complexity that, as Boulding argued, is not necessarily
sustainable. It is up to the integrative system to secure this sustainability in regard to
both societal and natural environments. In the next section, I reconstruct the way
Boulding’s theory of “organizational revolution” illuminates this effect of the
integrative system.
referred to several secular societal trends which, according to Khalil (1996), cannot be
accommodated into the ecological perspective. One of these trends is captured by the
book’s title. The organizational revolution “consists in a great rise in the number, size,
and power of organizations of many different kinds, and especially of economic
organizations” (Boulding 1984, xi). Boulding attributed this revolution to another
secular trend — that of the technological progress, particularly the tremendous
advance in the transportation technology which resulted in “the immense reduction
in the limitation imposed on man by space” (1984, 25). Another trend is the
progressive marginalization of a number of social groups other than those occupying
positions of power in large organizations. The last trend regards the members of these
groups that create nonprofit organizations and protest movements to suppress the
emerging power imbalances. All in all, these trends fit well into the overall scheme of
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Evolution of Complexity
Many of the dilemmas are created by the fact that organization is on the
one hand an expression of solidarity within the organized group, and on
the other hand an expression of a lack of solidarity with those outside the
organization. Organization, in other words, may tend to accentuate the
division between an “in-group” and an “out-group.” Almost every
80 Vladislav Valentinov
overstraining with the example of lowering the relative status of workers and farmers,
who respectively seek redress through the labor- and farm organization movements.
This worker example is particularly instructive. “The rise of the labor movement is
closely related to the fact that business enterprises by their very nature cannot provide
the worker with adequate status in them” (Boulding 1984, 19). Just as Luhmann
believes people to be in the environment of social systems, Boulding argued that
“workers are part of the environment of the enterprise rather than part of the
enterprise itself … Their relationship with the enterprise is continually limited by the
fact that they can quit at any time and try to get a job in some other
enterprise” (Boulding 1984, 19).
At the same time, the relegation of the workers to a lower environment is just a
specific manifestation of how corporations achieve their (technological) complexity by
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A Systems-Theoretic Note
The final point that seems worth mentioning is that Boulding considered his
ecological approach not just an approach to evolutionary economics. In a
foundational article on the general systems theory, he argued that concepts, such as
populations and ecosystems, cut across a wide variety of scientific disciplines, thus
holding substantial promise for their unification (which Boulding saw as a central task
for the general systems theory to address) (Boulding 1956). Very likely, it is precisely
the systems-theoretic significance of these concepts that led Boulding to use them in a
way that is much more encompassing and abstract than what the concept of ecology
would normally allow. More specifically, Boulding’s ecological approach is by no
means limited to studying the relations of organisms or living things with their
environment. Rather, he stated that “the most fundamental concept of the universe is
that of a species or a population [which is] a set of individuals or objects each of
Kenneth Boulding’s Theories of Evolutionary Economics 83
which conforms to a common definition” (Boulding 1981a, 11), with ecosystem being
a “system of interrelated populations” (Boulding 1988, 23).
The systems-theoretic significance and value of Boulding’s ecological approach
are well illuminated by Luhmann’s distinction between the two philosophical
traditions of systems thinking — the part-whole paradigm and the system-environment
paradigm (cf. Luhmann 1991, 37; 1999a, 171ff; 1999b, 23). Simply put, the part-
whole paradigm, which Luhmann finds deficient, seeks to show in what ways the
whole is more complex than the part, without being concerned with the whole’s
environment. The system-environment paradigm, which Luhmann endorses,
underscores the potentially precarious relations between the whole and its
environment (without disagreeing that the whole may be indeed more complex than
the part). It is evident that Boulding’s ecological approach falls in line with the part-
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whole paradigm as this approach is geared toward analyzing the patterns of complex
interaction among individual populations within an ecosystem, and does not have
clear conceptual tools for investigating the potentially precarious relations between
the ecosystem itself and its encompassing environment. Indeed, some of Boulding’s
statements seem to consciously relativize the very concept of environment. “There is
no such thing as an ‘environment,’ if by this we mean a surrounding system that is
independent of what goes on inside it … Everything is the environment of everything
else” (Boulding 1981a, 31).
The proposed distinction between ecological change and civilizational change
corresponds to a rethinking of Boulding’s ecological approach in terms of the system-
environment paradigm. This paradigm assumes the relevant ecosystems to exhibit
operational closure — i.e., the qualitative difference between the nature of inputs and
outputs, on one hand, and the nature of intra-systemic operations, on the other (cf.
Valentinov 2014a, 2014b). Ecological change reflects the dynamics of interaction
patterns of individual populations within the relevant ecosystem. Civilizational
change encompasses the repercussions of ecological change on the ecosystem’s
environment, as well as any environmental happenings that might affect the dynamics
of interaction patterns of individual populations within the ecosystem. The condition
of operational closure logically holds because the environmental effects and
determinants of ecological change are qualitatively distinct from ecological change.
The substantive effect of operational closure is that the ecosystem may not have the
channels or organs for registering environmental happenings, and thus may fail to
react to these happenings in a way that ensures its own sustainability.
The divergence between ecological change and civilizational change can be seen
to arise from the combination of the condition of operational closure with the
condition of the causal interdependence between the ecosystem and its environment
(cf. Luhmann 1999a, 195). For example, in the case of ecological interaction between
Boulding’s “commodity species,” ecological change takes the form of these species’
allocation and circulation, whereas civilizational change includes the effects of this
allocation on the societal and natural environment. These effects may include socio-
economic deprivation, climate change, and depletion of natural resources. Or, in the
example of Boulding’s “organizational revolution,” the relevant ecological change is
84 Vladislav Valentinov
to be “the protective response” to the market system. “The protective response,” — i.e.
public regulations aimed at limiting the extent of market self-regulation — does not
interfere with the ability of the market system “to ensure the freedom of the
consumer, to indicate the shifting of demand, to influence producers’ income, and to
serve as an instrument of accountancy.” However, it does prevent this system from
being “an organ of economic self-regulation” (Polanyi 2001, 260). Paraphrasing
Boulding, the enhanced sensitivity of the ecosystem does not interfere with its
internal self-regulation, but it does expand the range of this self-regulation by making
it more receptive to its environmental consequences.
Concluding Remarks
My overall conclusion in this paper is that Boulding likely undersold his eminent
contributions to evolutionary economics by trying to embed them into the ecological
perspective. While this perspective is undoubtedly valuable in explaining the
dynamics of the interaction between populations, it can hardly incorporate
macroevolutionary scenarios, particularly the scenario of declining natural and
societal sustainability which was of major concern to Boulding. I identified the
specific gap between Boulding’s actual evolutionary story and his ecological
perspective as the concept of civilizational change which differs from ecological
change in several respects. Civilizational change is experienced by one all-
encompassing system (comparable to Luhmann’s “world society”) that differs from the
environment in its material nature, and it is not exposed to “preventive checks” that
would automatically prevent it from overstraining the carrying capacity of the
environment. As a result, the time arrow of the increasing civilizational complexity
(Boulding 1981a, 32) potentially transforms into the time arrow of the deteriorating
natural and societal sustainability of human civilization. The main contribution of
civilizational change is in pointing out the precarious relationship between complexity
and sustainability.
This contribution certainly has important precursors. Boulding himself
repeatedly refered to Joseph A. Schumpeter’s (1993) theory of societal unsustainability
of capitalism. In various ways, Galbraith (1967) and Kapp (1977, 2011) drew
86 Vladislav Valentinov
organizers, such as exchange, threat, and the integrative system. He made it clear that
ensuring the sustainability of civilizational complexity is the central task of the
integrative system, while exchange and threat serve primarily to bring the complexity
into existence. He went to great lengths to demonstrate the importance of nonprofit
organizations in the integrative system. The challenge for further research will be to
explore the feedback mechanisms, which could transform “social costs” (reflecting the
overstraining of the societal and natural environment in the course of civilizational
change) into “alternative costs,” thereby guiding the effective adjustment of
populations to their environment in the ecological change framework.
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