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Fragility Curves
Fragility Curves
Fragility Curves
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Keywords: This study aims to overcome previous limitations and derive fragility curves for three RC (reinforced concrete)
Fragility curves buildings with different number of stories under multiple earthquakes. As-recorded seismic sequences in
Fiber-based modeling different regions around the world are employed and fiber-based modeling approach that captures degradation
Multiple earthquakes in concrete and reinforcing steel materials is used. The results indicate that considering damage from previous
RC frames
events, number of stories, and earthquake region significantly affect fragility curves.
Degradation
1. Introduction MDOF structure than the equivalent SDOF system is observed. One of
the important parameters employed in their study to compare hystere-
Multiple earthquakes occur frequently all over the world. Structural tic models was q-factor (behavior factor). This factor can be used to
damage from multiple earthquakes have been reported in many recent approximate nonlinear dynamic analyses results from an elastic analy-
seismic sequences including Tohoku (Japan, 2011), Christchurch (New sis. In a study by Amadio et al. [36] the accuracy of N2 method and
Zealand, 2010–2011), Chile (2010), Chile (2014), Chile (2015), and equivalent linearization procedure for different hysteretic models were
Nepal (2015). Hence, it is necessary to consider the effect of the damage evaluated. These methods are used to obtain the inelastic spectra.
from an event and its impacts on the nonlinear behavior of structures Results of this study showed a more accurate approximation of inelastic
under subsequent events. Since usually the time spans between spectra when using N2 method which is obtained by a reduction in
successive seismic events (in one earthquake sequence) are short, hence elastic spectra using the q-factor. Rinaldin et al. [3] studied the
it is usually hard to retrofit a damaged structure due to preceding behavior of non and partially re-centering structures under seismic
shaking to withstand succeeding ground motions. Therefore, structures sequences. They employed nonlinear SDOF systems to evaluate the
suffer from significant stiffness degradation and strength deterioration effect of repeated ground motions on the structures with different
as a result of accumulated damage in a seismic sequence. hysteretic behavior and proposed some design rules for the buildings
An important aspect of seismic investigation of the structures is under multiple earthquakes in seismic regions. Hatzigeorgiou and
deriving fragility curves to determine the damage probability under Liolios [4] studied nonlinear behavior of RC frames under repeated
different earthquake intensities. Fragility relationships are a required strong ground motions. They employed 45 seismic sequences to
input for commercial loss assessment software. They are useful for investigate the inelastic behavior of eight RC frames including both
identifying the levels of damage reached in a structure under a regular and vertically irregular structures. The results of this study
spectrum of earthquake intensities. This makes fragility curves an showed that the response and design of RC frames are significantly
important tool for probabilistic assessment of RC structures [1]. affected by seismic sequences. They also proposed an empirical
In recent years some researchers have investigated the effect of expression to estimate the ductility demands under multiple earth-
multiple earthquakes on different aspects of nonlinear behavior of quakes using a simple combination of ductility demands under single
structures [1–35]. Amadio et al. [2] investigated nonlinear behavior of earthquakes. Efraimiadou et al. [5] investigated the effect of aftershock
SDOF systems under multiple earthquakes. They employed different polarity analytically and studied structural pounding between adjacent
hysteretic models and showed that multiple earthquakes can cause buildings under strong earthquakes. They proposed that the inelastic
significant damage accumulation. They also indicated that the most seismic behavior of the structures is strongly affected by aftershock
vulnerability is related to the elastic-perfect plastic systems and hence polarity and the sign of the ground motions should be considered in
they can be considered as the controlling system. In this study, a generating artificial sequences. Abdelnaby [6] and Abdelnaby and
moment resisting steel frame was also analyzed under seismic se- Elnashai [7,8] studied the effects of multiple earthquakes on degrading
quences. Findings showed a more reduction in behavior factor for the RC structures. They used fiber based models to investigate the nonlinear
⁎
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: fhssnpur@memphis.edu (F. Hosseinpour).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2017.04.013
Received 25 February 2017; Received in revised form 9 April 2017; Accepted 17 April 2017
0267-7261/ © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
include different degrading features in concrete and steel reinforce- multiple earthquakes. To evaluate the effect of the earthquake region,
ments, fiber based modeling approach is used. Fragility curves are then the fragility curves are also derived for each region separately. The
developed and compared for different performance levels considering effect of the building height on fragility curves is also examined and 3, 7
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Fig. 2. (continued)
and 12 story RC buildings are designed and modeled to represent low, acceleration) and Sa (spectral acceleration) are used as the intensity
mid, and high-rise buildings. The other important aspect of this study is measurements as well and the results are evaluated based on the
deriving fragility curves considering the vertical earthquake compo- coefficient of determination.
nent. To see the effect of the intensity type, both PGA (peak ground
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Table 2 quake characteristics are highly affected by the site condition, using
Natural periods of the first three modes. random sequences from uncorrelated events doesn’t seem to be reliable
as well. Employed as-recorded sequences in many present studies are
3-story 7-story 12-story
also limited to a small number of sequences and certain regions. This
T1 (s) T2 (s) T3 (s) T1 (s) T2 (s) T3 (s) T1 (s) T2 (s) T3 (s) study aims to use a wide range of real seismic sequences from different
parts of the world. For this purpose, 464 recorded sequences from Chile
0.4567 0.1553 0.1058 0.9576 0.3495 0.1998 1.4892 0.5531 0.3190
2010, Chile 2014, Chile 2015, Tohoku (Japan) 2011, Christchurch
(New Zealand) 2010–2011, and Kumamoto (Japan) 2016 are used.
Table 1 shows a brief description of the events and number of the
employed sequences. It should be noted that since so many aftershocks
(more than 2000) in different regions were considered in this study, the
aftershocks information are not provided in Table 1. Based on the
occurrence time, the records were put in sequences (see Fig. 1).
3. Models
1 ⎛ GMI ⎞
P(Exceedance i /GMI) = Φ[ ln ⎜ ⎟]
βi ⎝ LSi ⎠ (1)
2. Ground motions
where P is the probability of exceedance of ith limit state based on
Most of the present studies on nonlinear behavior of structures ground motion intensity (GMI), Φ is the probability density function of
under multiple earthquakes used either artificial or a limited number of normal distribution, βi is the normalized log-normal standard deviation,
as-recorded sequences. Employed artificial sequences include replicate and LSi is the median value that represented a GMI that has 50%
and random earthquakes from uncorrelated events. Since the charac- probability for occurrence of the ith limit state [1].
teristics of the mainshock and aftershock are different in terms of Fragility curves are derived based on four limit states in this study.
duration, frequency content, and magnitude, using replicate earth- The limit states are considered according to Vision 2000, SEAOC
quakes may lead to unreliable results. Furthermore, since the earth- standard [46] and are based on maximum drifts as shown in Table 3.
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Fig. 4. Fragility curves for different cases (a) 3 story building (b) 7 story building (c) 12 story building.
Regarding the damage from previous events, four cases are considered and aftershocks are considered in this case. In the third case, the curves
in this study. In the first case, the curves are derived based on are derived based on aftershocks only without considering the damage
mainshock only (Mainshock), which has been considered in previous from previous events (Aftershock (UD)). By getting fragility curves in
studies. In the second case, the curves are derived for mainshock- the first three cases, the difference between the mainshock and after-
aftershocks (Sequence). To get the maximum intensity, both mainshock shock characteristics can be investigated and highlighted and also their
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Fig. 4. (continued)
effect on whole sequence can be evaluated. The last case includes the smaller than that of 3 story building (see Fig. 4(b,c)). This might be
fragility curves based on aftershocks only, with considering the damage because of higher story displacements that taller buildings experienced
due to the previous events (Aftershock (D)). As it was mentioned under a single event, resulting in a lower increase in demands under
earlier, most of the current buildings have been designed for a single subsequent events. In other words, subsequent events had lower effects
event and due to the small time span between multiple earthquakes, on taller buildings. However, as it can be seen for most intensities in 7
there might not be enough time to retrofit the buildings. Therefore the and 12 story buildings, Aftershock (D) and Aftershock (UD) still have
last case can be considered as the most important case to see the effect the highest and lowest probability of exceedance respectively.
of subsequent events on a damaged building and hence most of the
results in this study are shown based on this case. 6. Effect of vertical earthquake component on fragility curves
Fragility curves are also derived and compared both for earthquakes
applied in horizontal and horizontal-vertical directions. To investigate Most of the previous studies in the field of earthquake engineering
the effect of the earthquake region, the sequences are divided into 3 have neglected the effects of vertical ground motion and are usually
regions including Japan, Chile, and New Zealand and fragility curves guided by horizontal motion. The main reason for this practice is found
are derived for each region separately. The results are also examined for in circumstances that engineering structures are intended primarily for
3, 7, and 12 story buildings to see the effect of number of stories on the vertical load transfer and thereby it is implied that they have sufficient
probability of exceedance from different damage states. Both PGA (peak resistance to dynamic forces caused by vertical motion [47].
ground acceleration) and Sa (spectral acceleration) are also employed to The effect of vertical earthquake component on fragility curves,
study the effect of the earthquake intensity type on fragility curves. regarding multiple earthquakes, is another deficit needing more atten-
tion. For this purpose, in the present study, the fragility curves were
5. Effect of previous events on fragility curves derived and compared for structures under only horizontal earthquake
direction and both horizontal and vertical earthquake directions. The
Fragility curves were derived for different cases, as explained in the results indicated that the fragility curves remain almost unaffected by
previous section, and are shown in Fig. 4. As it can be seen in Fig. 4(a), vertical earthquake component (see Fig. 5).
Aftershock (D) is the most critical case in all limit states in 3 story Since the vertical component of the earthquake mostly affects the
building. Fig. 4(a) also indicates that the difference between fragility vertical responses such as axial forces and number of plastic hinges in
curves generally increases as the damage state changes from Fully columns [10], to thoroughly investigate vertical earthquake component
Operational to Near Collapse. In all damage states, the Aftershock (UD) effect on fragility curves, damage parameters related to vertical
has the lowest probability of exceedance. It can be clearly seen that responses should also be considered. This is confirmed by some
there is a significant difference between Mainshock and Aftershock previous studies [48–50]. Kim et al. [48] investigated the effect of
(UD) fragility curves. This highlights different characteristic of the vertical earthquake component on RC bridge piers analytically and
mainshocks and aftershocks and can be because aftershocks usually concluded that considering vertical earthquake component can cause a
contain a lower range of frequencies and have smaller durations. This significant increase in the axial force variation leading to a reduction of
also causes the Sequence fragility curves be much closer to the the shear capacity. Hatzigeorgiou and Pnevmatikos [49] also studied
Mainshock fragility curves. Results also showed that the difference the effect of vertical component of the earthquake on the seismic
between fragility curves for all cases in 7 and 12 story buildings is pounding of adjacent planar RC frames and observed that the inter-
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Fig. 5. Aftershock (D) fragility curves considering vertical earthquake direction (a) 3 story building (b) 7 story building (c) 12 story building.
story drift ratios of the frames are slightly affected by the vertical vertical ground motion. They showed that the fluctuation of axial
earthquake component, however the structural damage (considered as compression resulting from the vertical earthquake component in the
Park- Ang damage index [51] in this study), is moderately affected by pier-columns of the bridge substructure can lead to higher straining on
the vertical earthquake component. Wilson et al. [50] conducted a the concrete and rebar and therefore a reduction in pier-columns
numerical analysis on a typical curved and skewed RC bridge under capacity to resist shear and moment demands.
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Fig. 5. (continued)
Table 4
Coefficients of determination based on PGA and Sa.
Aftershock (UD) Fully operational 0.977 0.997 0.896 1.000 0.937 0.988
Operational 0.922 0.930 0.895 1.000 0.486 0.969
Life safe 0.911 0.946 0.744 0.978 0.263 1.000
Near Collapse 0.880 0.921 0.442 0.903 0.267 1.000
Aftershock (D) Fully operational 0.890 0.997 0.946 1.000 0.944 0.979
Operational 0.958 0.982 0.841 0.979 0.862 0.925
Life safe 0.927 0.992 0.723 0.978 0.126 1.000
Near collapse 0.919 0.964 0.723 0.858 0.103 1.000
7. Fragility curves based on earthquake intensity and number of worst and best fits respectively. As it can be seen in Table 4, considering
stories PGA as the earthquake intensity generally works well for the 3 story
building. However considering a lognormal behavior for fragility
Fragility curves are derived based on different earthquake intensi- curves, PGA is not a good intensity measurement especially for Life
ties. The most widely used intensities include PGA and Sa. Since PGA is Safe and Near Collapse levels in 7 and 12 story buildings. As it can be
not related to the structural characteristics and is the same for all seen considering Sa as the earthquake intensity shows good results and
buildings in a certain earthquake, it may cause unreliable results. For coefficients of determination are generally close to 1 for all buildings.
this purpose, fragility curves were derived based on both PGA and Sa in Therefore, it can be concluded that considering PGA as the intensity
this study. The results were compared based on the coefficient of measurement for taller buildings may lead to unreliable results.
determination to evaluate how good the fitted lognormal distribution To see the effect of the earthquake intensity from another point of
function predicts the probability of exceedance based on earthquake view and also along with the effect of number of stories, fragility curves
intensity. The coefficient of determination is between 0 and 1 for the for different buildings were also derived and compared in the same
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Fig. 6. Aftershock (D) fragility curves for different number of stories based on Sa.
Fig. 7. Aftershock (D) fragility curves for different number of stories based on PGA.
plots and based on both Sa and PGA. Fig. 6 indicates that considering Sa function of many parameters which are directly related to the structural
as the intensity measurement, structural vulnerability increases as the properties as well as earthquake characteristics.
number of stories increases. Fig. 7 also shows the fragility curves based
on PGA. As it can be seen, considering PGA as the intensity measure- 8. Fragility curves for different regions
ment shows completely different results and 3 and 12 story buildings
show the highest and lowest vulnerability in most intensities. These Many of the previous studies on fragility curves (considering both
facts emphasize that fragility curves are very sensitive and are as a single and multiple earthquakes) employed limited as-recorded or
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Fig. 8. Aftershock (D) fragility curves for different regions (a) 3 story building (b) 7 story building (c) 12 story building.
artificial earthquake data from a certain region. Since earthquake and New Zealand (Christchurch 2010–2011). The fragility curves were
characteristics are highly affected by the earthquake region, this may derived for each region separately. Fig. 8 shows fragility curves in
cause unreliable results. To see the effect of the earthquake region, the different regions. As it can be seen the curves are highly affected by the
earthquakes were divided into three regions including Japan (Tohoku earthquake region in most limit states and significant differences even
2011 and Kumamoto 2016), Chile (Chile 2010, Chile 2014, Chile 2015), around 100% are observed especially for Life Safe and Near Collapse
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F. Hosseinpour, A.E. Abdelnaby Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 98 (2017) 222–234
Fig. 8. (continued)
limit states. It should be noted that to have more reliable results stories.
concerning the effect of earthquake region, the data should be related – Fragility curves are highly affected by earthquake region and
to a certain seismological setting and the reason that this study therefore earthquake characteristics should be thoroughly evaluate
employed different events for a certain region was because of the before deriving fragility curves.
scarcity of the as-recorded seismic sequences for a certain seismological
setting. It should be noted that the findings of this study are based on
structures with a certain design type. The fragility curves were also
9. Conclusion derived based on maximum inter-story drifts. To thoroughly investigate
fragility curves regarding seismic sequences, structures with different
Fragility curves for RC frames under as-recorded seismic sequences characteristics and design types as well as different structural demands
were evaluated in this study. The employed frames were modeled using considering structural responses in all directions should be employed.
fiber based modeling approach considering different degrading features
in materials. The effect of different parameters including damage from References
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