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CARSURIN

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September 2015

carsurin coal & minerals insider


September 2015

IN THE FIELD BY CARSURIN


Sumatra
• In Jambi, coal sales face difficulty because the falling prices. The piled up coal reserves at the Talang Duku port area,
many companies have been closed for a moment before the coal supply is ready to be distributed. (Tribun News)
• Coal mining activities in West Tanjung Jabung continued to decline. From a total of 31 companies operating in the
region, only 23 companies remaining in Ulu area, while 8 companies are closed. Many coal business have left because
they did not meet obligations to the state, such as not paying taxes and other administrative requirements. (Tribun
News)
• Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) states the realization of coal exports up to July 2015 has reached
186.8 million tons. It drop 18% compare to the same period last year amounted to 227.9 million tons. The fall in
exports occurred due to the declining global demand. (Antara)
• According Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) of Jambi Province, from a total of 77 coal companies
which have been declared clean and clear (CnC) in Jambi Province, only 11 companies are able to continue the
business operation. Although the others are able to operate, they are on stockpile activity waiting the coal prices to
bounce back. Only 11 companies are well operated as they have a definite market, for example, to supply the coal-fire
steam power plant (PLTU) and the gas power plant (PLTG). (Antara)

Kalimantan
• A total of approximately 125 coal mining companies in East Kalimantan has closed their operation. Apindo estimates
the number of 200 companies could close by year’s end. The most severe impact as a result of a decline in coal
demand in Kalimantan and Sumatra were caused by 3 external factors: slumped commodity prices in domestic and
international level; China’s slowing economic growth; and the strengthen US dollar exchange rate. (Tribun News)
• Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) reported from 3,000 holder Mining Permits (IUP) recorded in the Ministry
of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM), only 20% (700-800) of them are operating due to the drop in coal prices.
(Tribun News)
• Until August 2015, there were 83 coal Mining Permits (IUP) in North Kalimantan revoked by the Government as they
did not comply with the obligation (not create report, not pay non-tax revenues (PNBP) like royalty and fixed fees).
(Tribun News)

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September 2015

Coal Price Guide (HBA) - August 2015


Source: http://www.minerba.esdm.go.id/

HBA

US$ 58,21 per ton


HPB Coal Marker

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September 2015

Bukit Asam’s H1 Profit Plunges


on Falling Domestic Sales, Weak
Coal Prices
- 1 August 2015 -

Globe Asia, Jakarta - Indonesian state-controlled coal miner “Bukit Asam’s net profit in the first half is roughly in line with
Bukit Asam’s profit declined during the first half of the year, our expectations. We believe that the stronger performance
dragged by a decline in domestic sales and persistently weak in the second quarter is mostly due to lower operating costs
coal prices. compared to the first quarter, which have increased gross
and operational margin,” said Ariyanto Kurniawan an analyst
In a listing on the local stock exchange on Wednesday, Bukit from Mandiri Sekuritas, in a memo to investors on Tuesday.
Asam reported a 31 percent fall in profit to approximately Rp
795 billion ($59 million) in profit in the first half of the year “Even though there was stronger growth in the second
from Rp 1.2 trillion in the same period last year. quarter, we believe that [there is] outlook for revenue in the
short-term because of weak commodity prices,” he said,
The state miner’s revenue contributed equally by exports and recommending a “neutral” stance on Bukit Asam’s stocks.
domestic sales saw meager growth at 1.6 percent to Rp 6.5
trillion from Rp 6.4 trillion last year as sales volumes rose by Bukit Asam targets to boost sales volume by 33 percent to
a slight 2 percent to 9.03 million metric tons. 24 million ton by the end of the year. To achieve that goal,
the state miner recently increased the capacity of its port in
Much of the company’s woes during the six-month period Bandar Lampung, Lampung to 25 million ton from 13 million
stemmed from the continued decline of coal prices globally, ton last year.
which dragged the average selling price of Bukit Asam by 3
percent to Rp 703.005 per ton from Rp 726.766 per ton in the Joko Pramono, corporate secretary at the state miner, said
same period last year. in a statement on Wednesday that the company is also
working to grow its export sales, assessing countries such as
On top of that, Bukit Asam saw a steep decline in domestic Cambodia, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Vietnam
sales between January and June despite an increase in coal as potential export destinations.
exports volume. Domestic sales fell 10 percent to 4.62 million
ton, making up 51 percent of the miner’s total sales. In
comparison, exports which are mostly to Taiwan and Japan,
rose 20 percent to 4.41 million ton.

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September 2015

Indonesian coal miner Harum Energy


has bleak near-term outlook as H1
sales price falls 15%
- 5 August 2015 -

Platts, Singapore - Indonesian thermal coal miner PT Harum “The company has sold all its Q3 production and is in the
Energy posted a near 15% year-on-year slump in average process of selling its Q4 production,” said Harum.
sales price for first-half 2015, and said any recovery in prices
looked unlikely in the near term. Harum, which has cash and cash equivalents of $192.3
million as of June 30, 2015, said it is planning to reduce 25%
“The market remains over-supplied, with few cuts in output of its barging fleet starting in the third quarter to reduce
by producers outside of North America,” the company said fixed costs. The company produced 2.3 million mt of coal in
in its quarterly report. “Thermal coal prices remain at eight- the first half of the year, sliding 46.2% from last year. Sales
year lows.” volume slumped 38.5% year on year to 2.7 million mt in H1
2015.
The company’s quarterly report dated July 31 was available
on its website late Monday. The company said a reduction in Average sales prices for H1 2015 fell to $54.10/mt from
Chinese thermal coal imports this year had hurt Indonesian $63.60/mt FOB in the same period last year, the company
miners. added. Amid falling thermal coal prices, the company had
suspended activity at one of its mines -- Santan Batubara --
Chinese thermal coal imports slumped 44% year on year in March 2014.
in the first six months of 2015 on a number of factors
including price cuts from domestic Chinese producers; “SB is evaluating alternatives for conserving maximum value
more stringent regulatory scrutiny by the government; an in SB as their reserves have high quality coal. The activity will
industrial slowdown reducing power demand; and increased be restarting once coal prices increase,” the company had
competitiveness from the hydropower sector. said.

Harum said it sold about 44% of its volume in H1 2015 to The 90-day price of FOB Kalimantan 5,900 kcal/kg GAR coal
South Korea, followed by Taiwan at 16% and Malaysia at has dropped about 11% so far this year, Platts data showed.
15%. China accounted for only 11% of the sales volume, The SB mine accounted for a production of 400,000 mt in the
while India accounted for just 2%. first half of last year.

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September 2015

Coal Mining Companies Agree to Coal miners at risk of going out


Limit Mining Areas of business

- 5 August 2015 - - 5 August 2015 -

Tempo.co, Jakarta - Ten coal mining work contract (PKP2B) The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - The price of coal has continued
holders have agreed to all amendments set forth in their to slump, causing the majority of coal mining companies in
PKP2B. The amendments were made to adjust the contract Indonesia to stop operating and threatening to put them out
with the Mineral and Coal Mining Law. The Energy and Mineral of business. According to Indonesian Coal Mining Association
Resources (ESDM) Ministry claimed that the amendment deputy executive director Hendra Sinadia, up to 80 percent
would boost state revenue up to nine percent.
of coal mining companies in Indonesia have temporarily shut
down their operations.
“The amendment was based on a discussion between the
ten companies, the ESDM Ministry, local government, House
of Representatives Commission VII, and the Investment “The [production cost] margin is negative. Why should they
Coordinating Board (BKPM),” Bambang Gatot Ariyono, the continue operating?” said Hendra as quoted by tempo.co.
director general of mineral and coal at the ESDM Ministry,
said on Wednesday, August 5, 2015. Hendra said that from around 3,000 coal mining license
(IUP) holders, only 500 companies were currently operating.
Bambang added, 21 out of 31 articles in the contract were Companies that have had to shut down are generally small-
amended particularly those related to the limitation of scale companies in mining areas such as Kalimantan.
mining areas, the continuation of mining operation, state
revenue, the obligation of processing and refining in the
However, Hendra guaranteed that coal production would
country’s smelters, divestment obligations, as well as the
still remain sufficient to meet domestic demand thanks
obligations of the use of domestic goods and services.
to the high technology and large reserves owned by some
According to Gatot, the additional state revenue comes from larger companies. “Those big companies can still operate
13.5 percent of coal production fund (DHPB) agreed by each efficiently,” he explained.
company. However, he refused to provide the exact figure.
The average global for coal price was $64.48 per ton in June,
In addition, the amendment would result in limitations of while Indonesia’s coal-price reference (HBA) was $59.59 per
operational areas. ESDM Minister Sudirman Said explained ton in the same month. The price is lower than previous year,
that the move was aimed at developing sustainable coal where the average global price was $72.45 per ton. Last July,
mining. the HBA dropped again to $59.19 per ton. As a result, many
coal companies face bankruptcy as their production cost
“We don’t have much [coal] potential. But we become the
exceeds the selling price.
largest coal importer. That’s why we need further regulation,”
Sudirman said.
According to Hendra, the development of steam power plants
Sudirman added the mineral and coal industry must in Indonesia cannot sustain coal price due to the stagnant
be operated by companies willing to make long-term demand from the plants.
investments, instead of hit-and-run business owners.
To this date, the government is still negotiating contract
amendments with 34 mining contract holders. The process is
expected to be completed in October this year.

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September 2015

Indonesian Banks Boost Bad Bukit Asam Sets Aside $2.1b for
Loan Provisions, Fret About New Power Plants Through 2017
Mining Sector Impact
- 5 August 2015 - - 6 August 2015 -

The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - State-controlled coal miner


Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam will allocate up to $2.1 billion
through 2017 to build power plants as it looks to diversify its
revenue stream beyond coal exports.

The company plans to spend $600 this year, another $700


million next year, and $800 million the following year, said
Achmad Sudarto, the finance director at Bukit Asam.

“Some of the funds will be come from our internal cash, while
the remainder will come from bank loans or bond issues,”
Achmad said on Wednesday.
Reuters, Jakarta / Bengaluru - Several Indonesian big banks
have sharply hiked bad loan provisions, helping push Bukit Asam will start construction of a 1,240-megawatt coal-
combined first-half profits to their first decline in almost a fired power plant in Tanjung Enim, South Sumatra, by the
decade, as they fret about the impact of a troubled mining end of this year. The $1.59 billion plant, dubbed Sumsel 8,
will be built at the company’s mine mouth, which should cut
sector and weaker commodity prices on the economy.
transport costs and make the plant more efficient.
State-owned lender Bank Negara Indonesia nearly tripled its The Export-Import Bank of China is providing a loan for
provisions to Rp 6 trillion ($445 million) in the six months to three-quarters of the plant cost, while Bukit Asam will join
end-June, while net profit fell 51 percent. At Bank Mandiri, with Chinese power company China Huadian Hongkong to
the nation’s biggest lender by assets, provisions jumped 41 pay for the remainder of the project.
percent to Rp 4 trillion while net profit growth slowed to 3.5
percent from 16 percent in the same period a year earlier. Bukit Asam is also bidding to build two planned coal-fired
plants in South Sumatra: the 1,200 MW Sumsel 9 and the
“The economy may not recover quickly, so we need to have a 600 MW Sumsel 10, both commissioned by state utility PLN.
bigger piggy bank,” Budi Gunadi Sadikin, Mandiri’s president The company is competing with Adaro Energy, Baramulti
Suksessarana, Hanson International, Adi Coal, International
director, told reporters after its earnings last week.
Power GDF Suez (IP GDF Suez), and Mitsui of Japan.
“That’s why we don’t want as much profit – it’s better to have The winner of the tender will be announced by the end of
reserves.” He noted the lender has significant exposure to the this month, Achmad said. If Bukit Asam wins the bid, it plans
mining sector. to take a 45 percent stake in the projects, worth a combined
$2.16 billion, and look for an overseas partner for the
Combined first-half profits at Indonesia’s 10 biggest banks remainder.
fell 8.9 percent to Rp 37.6 trillion ($2.8 billion) from a year
earlier, the first fall in nine years, according to Thomson Bukit Asam currently operates the 200 MW Banjarsari power
Reuters data. Data on Wednesday also showed growth for plant in South Sumatra, which consumes up to 1.5 million
Southeast Asia’s largest economy was the slowest since metric tons of coal a year.
2009 in the second quarter, with commodity exports weak
The Sumsel 8 project will need 5.5 million tons, while Sumsel
and the government unable to push through badly needed
9 and Sumsel 10 will take a combined 8 million tons, Achmad
infrastructure projects. said. “If this projects goes through, we will secure up to 15
million tons a year for domestic supply,” he said.
Teguh Hartanto, analyst at Bahana Securities, said he expects
the banking sector’s non-performing loan ratio to increase to Bukit Asam’s power business is expected to account for 40
2.7 percent-2.8 percent this year from 2.4 percent now. percent of the company’s income by 2019.

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September 2015

10 coal miners agree


to amend operating
contracts
- 6 August 2015 -

The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - As many as 10 coal mining The ministry’s director general for minerals and coal,
companies have finally agreed to amend their operating Bambang Gatot Ariyono, said 22 out of 31 articles in the
contracts following prolonged renegotiations with the contract were amended, particularly those related to the
government. Under the amended contracts, the mining limitation of mining areas, the continuation of mining
companies will, among other things, have to adjust their operation and the amount of royalties that firms have to pay
royalty payments and mining areas in accordance with the to the government.
requirements stipulated in the 2009 Mining Law.
The amended points also include the obligation of processing
The 10 companies that agreed to amend their contracts are and refining in the country’s smelters, divestment as well
Indominco Mandiri, Jorong Barutama Greston, Trubaindo as the commitment to use domestic goods, services and
Coal Mining, Antang Gunung Meratus, Bahari Cakrawala workforces.
Sebuku, Borneo Indobara, Gunung Bayan Pratama Coal,
Kartika Selabumi Mining, Mandiri Intiprakasa and Indexim “Divestment obligation will help increase domestic shares
Coalindo. through state-owned enterprises and local entrepreneurs,”
Sudirman said.
The companies, which operate in various provinces in
Kalimantan, are relatively small in size compared to Bambang added the revised contracts would help create
Indonesia’s major coal mining firms such as Berau Coal, additional state revenue of between 6 and 9 percent as
Adaro Energy and Arutmin. all types of coal were subject to a 13.5 percent royalty.
Previously, coal miners were required to pay royalties of
Seventy-three coal contracts of works and 34 mineral between 3 percent to 13.5 percent depending on the calories
contracts of work are still in the process of renegotiation of coal they produced.
and are expected to be completed in October this year. Last
year, only nickel miner PT Vale Indonesia agreed to amend The renegotiation is mandated by Law No. 4/2009 on mining
its contract. as it aims to change the mining regime from “contract” to
“permit” to ensure the state will have a superior position.
“We hope this move can be followed by other coal mining Renegotiations should have been completed one year after
companies, which are expected to speed up the negotiation the law was passed. However, the target was frequently
process and sign the amendments of their contracts,” delayed because of the complexity of related issues, such as
Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Sudirman Said said financial obligations.
during the signing of the amended contracts in Jakarta on
Wednesday. Among terms regulated in the financial obligation formulation
are requirements that coal mining companies pay royalties in
“Three companies from our holding group have signed the advance and that an export tax may be imposed in the future.
amendment and one is still in the process of negotiation. We The two issues contributed to a standoff in the renegotiations
hope it will not take much longer,” said Leksono Poeranto, with coal mining firms, which saw the requirements as
corporate affairs director at publicly listed Indo Tambangraya disadvantageous to them.
Megah.

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September 2015

Mining companies return over Economy in brief: Govt making


9,000 ha use of BPPT in energy, mining

- 7 August 2015 - - 11 August 2015 -

The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - More than 9,000 hectares of The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - Among numerous other projects
coal mining land has been returned to the state following in the pipeline, the government has decided to utilize
the signing of 10 amended coal mining licenses (PKP2B). more qualifications of the Agency or the Assessment and
According to the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry’s Application of Technology (BPPT) to conduct studies and
director for coal Adhi Wibowo, the handover relates to the engineering planning.
2009 Mining Law that stipulates a maximum land use of
15,000 ha. From now on, BPPT will be involved in more projects,
particularly those related to the energy and mining sector.
“The land-use rights are part of the re-negotiated contract. Agreements highlighting the move were signed on Monday,
[These mining companies] have agreed to release some of involving BPPT, the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry
their mining territory,” said Adhi on Thursday as quoted by and state-owned oil and gas giant Pertamina.
kompas.com.
Based on the agreements, BPPT will be in charge to handle
Adhi added that any PKP2B holders who still occupied more various studies and projects — including the feasibility study
than 15,000 ha of land had already showed [the ministry] and front-end-engineering-design — which were previously
their long-term plans for up until their contracts expire. carried out by private consultants.

“Their long-term plans will also need supporting areas in “The government wants to strengthen the national
addition to production land,” said Adhi. engineering capacity and BPPT can be the backbone for this,”
Vice President Jusuf Kalla said after witnessing the signing
Adhi said that the 9,026 ha of returned land would be ceremony for the agreement.
listed as state reserve areas (WPN) and could be offered to
state-owned enterprises (BUMN) and provincially owned Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Sudirman Said
companies (BUMD) as well as private enterprises. revealed that the agreement would be immediately effective.

“Of course the offer will go through an auction and we will “For now, BPPT will do the project planning and prepare the
prioritize BUMN and BUMD. If they are not interested, we will engineering designs so that in October we can start the tender
then offer the land to private enterprises,” said Adhi. process for projects to be carried out in 2016,” Sudirman said.

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September 2015

Indonesia Lowers 2015


Coal Production Target
on Weak Global Context
- 10 August 2015 -

Indonesia Investments, Jakarta - The government of of the world’s electricity generation (these markets include
Indonesia lowered its coal production target for 2015 from Indonesia, Australia and South Africa). Some analysts expect
425 million tons to 400 million tons as most Indonesian coal coal prices to reach their bottom in 2016 provided that
miners have cut production targets amid low global demand capacity is removed from the market.
and weak prices. Domestic coal demand has also reduced
primarily due to lower demand from state-owned power One of the major causes for the coal supply glut is falling
company Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN). In the first half demand from China, the world’s second-largest economy
of 2015, Indonesia (the world’s top thermal coal exporter) and largest energy consumer. In the first six months of 2015
produced 204 million tons according to the Ministry of Energy China’s coal imports declined 37.5 percent (y/y) due to the
and Mineral Resources. country’s support for domestic producers, tighter quality
limits on seaborne coal imports, and environmentally driven
Indonesia is the world’s top thermal exporter and therefore causes. Energy consumption in China slowed to 0.7 percent
fluctuations in the country’s domestic coal production can (y/y) in the first half of 2015.
influence global prices. However, in the current context,
lower output in Indonesia is not expected to support global Last week, the Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) said
coal prices. that nearly 80 percent of Indonesian coal mining companies
have temporarily ceased production as the production cost
There are no signs that coal prices are to rebound on the margin has turned negative (meaning that the companies
short or middle term amid persistent concerns about a global lose money when they produce and sell coal). Particularly
supply glut in combination with expected declining coal for the smaller coal mining companies this is a problem
demand from China. In the first seven months of 2015, coal and bankruptcy is looming for many. There are currently
prices have slid around 10 percent, touching a near-decade approximately 3,000 Mining Business Permit (IUP) holders in
low, and causing financial pressures for markets that are Indonesia but only 500 are still active.
major exporters of the fossil fuel that accounts for about half

Source: Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI)

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September 2015

7 Nations Offer Their


Coal Mines to SCCL

- 19 August 2015 -

The Indian Express, Hyderabad - As many as seven countries “We are examining how much coal reserves the 13 mines
have expressed their willingness to lease out coal mines to have, the legal aspects of the ownership and financial
the Singareni Collieries Company Limited (SCCL) in response viability,” the source said.
its expression of interest for acquisition of thermal coal
abroad. Bringing coal from the USA could be very expensive due to
transportation costs and the SCCL is likely to prefer countries
The SCCL invited global expression of interest on the nearer India.
directive of chief minister K Chandrasekhar Rao to go in for
international coal mining. The cost of coal per tonne in international market is around
60 US dollars. “If SCCL leases mines outside the country
Currently, the committee constituted by SCCL is vetting the and operates on its own, its coal will be cheaper than the
bid offers from seven countries. “We are looking into legal, imported coal,” the sources said.
financial and technical aspects of the bids. Once the SCCL
board approves the bids, the company will acquire mines in The SCCL is planning to open 17 new mines in the coming
other countries,” sources said. three years, three of them this year.

The bids were received for 13 mines in seven countries. One mine will be at Ramagundam (RGOC-3) with a reserve of
According to sources, three bids each from Australia and 5 lakh tonnes, the second, an open-cast mine, at Bellampalli
Indonesia, two each from Mozambique and Botswana, and with 2 lakh-tonne reserves and the third, an underground
one bid each from South Africa, Namibia and USA were mine, will be at Kondapur in Khammam district.
received by SCCL.

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September 2015

Indonesia: Government
expects rising income from
coal despite weak output
- 22 August 2015 -

The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - The Energy and Mineral Resources delivered to the domestic market.
Ministry is expecting to see rising royalties and fees from
the mineral and coal sectors this year despite plunging The narrowing margin between production and cost has been
production due to low selling prices. seen as the main reason behind the output drop. Like other
coal miners in the world, Indonesian coal mining companies
According to the proposed state budget for 2016, the non-tax are currently under pressure due to the plunging commodity
income from minerals and coal is targeted to reach Rp 40.82 price. The plunge in prices is also caused by slowing demand
trillion (US$3 billion), roughly a 28 percent jump compared following weakening economic activities in countries that are
with this year’s target of Rp 31.7 trillion. Royalty payment the world’s main consumers of the commodity, such as China
from the coal industry usually dominates contribution to — with the yuan devaluation adding to the reasons for price
the total income from the mineral and coal sector. Although fluctuations.
income is expected to increase, the production plan is lower.
Expectation on the recovery of the coal price has also been
“The PNBP [non-tax income] for 2016 is based on a production shadowed by the current plunge in the price of crude oil,
plan of 400 million tons of coal,” said Adhi Wibowo, the which remains the main energy source in the world.
director for coal at the Energy and Mineral Resources
Ministry’s mineral and coal department. The output target is Indonesia, a major thermal local exporter, set its coal price
lower than the 425 million tons expected by the end of 2015. reference (HBA) for 6,322 kcal/kal coal at $59.14 per ton for
August, already 7.4 percent lower compared to a reference
For this year’s target, some argued that the figure would not price of $63.84 per ton set in January.
be achieved as production had been declining in the last few The global coal price has dropped around 10 percent this
months, meaning that the contribution target to the state year, extending losses after a bearish trend since late 2011,
income would also be lower than targeted. according to figures from Bloomberg. The benchmark
Newcastle contracts were at $58.35 per ton on Tuesday, data
“As of Aug. 15, the non-tax income from the mineral and coal from Reuters showed.
sector reached Rp 19.7 trillion,” said Sri Rahardjo, the director
for program development at the mineral and coal office. The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI) chairman
Pandu Sjahrir said that domestic coal production would
The total production during the January to July period of continue to drop further, between 17 and 25 percent by the
that year was 232.9 million tons, declining by approximately year’s end, due to weak prices and unfavorable regulations
15 percent compared with 274.9 million tons in the same in Indonesia. Therefore, he said, the total output would likely
period last year. Out of the total production, as many as be well below 400 million tons throughout this year.
186.8 million tons were exported and only 46.1 million were

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September 2015

Global coal prices seen


below $50 metric ton as
output fails to ease
- 28 August 2015 -

Financial Review / Bloomberg - Coal may drop below $US50 from Bloomberg Intelligence show. The boost may help turn
a metric ton this year as a supply glut combines with a slide in a 34 million ton shortfall in the seaborne market in 2014 to
emerging market currencies that supports exports. a surplus of 10 million tons this year, according to Deutsche
Bank. Oil’s decline to a six-year low also reduced operating
The US dollar’s gain to near its highest since at least 2005 costs at mines.
against a basket of 10 leading currencies shielded earnings
for producers from Australia to Colombia. China, the world’s After further slides in the next few months, European next-
biggest user, is turning to cleaner alternatives including year coal will stabilise and end the year at $US52.50, 1.3 per
hydroelectric dams to battle pollution that is killing 1.6 cent above Wednesday’s price, according to the median of
million people a year. Global seaborne supply will grow 1.2 seven analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. UK coal
per cent this year, while demand may shrink 2.8 per cent, imports in June fell to 1.3 million tons, the least since August
according to Deutsche Bank. 1999, according to Department of Energy data.

“Demand is falling everywhere, yet production is still rising Exports from Colombia slipped by 4.6 per cent to 38 million
in a lot of places,” Thomas Pugh, an economist in London at tons in the first half as restrictions on transporting the mineral
Capital Economics, said by phone August 20. “A lot of that by rail at night in some parts of the country interrupted the
is due to currency movement, due to the fall in oil prices, flow of coal to ports.
especially in places like Russia, Colombia, Australia.”
“It is possible Colombia will increase exports in the second
Benchmark next-year coal in Europe may drop as low as half of 2015 as nighttime rail bans are expected to end,” Ted
$US45 before rising to $US53 a ton by year-end, according to O’Brien, chief executive officer of Doyle Trading Consultants,
Diana Bacila, an analyst in Oslo at Nena. While prices below said by email August 18.
$US50 are “not sustainable”, they may fall below that level
before the end of the year, said Eugen Weinberg, an analyst Demand from China, the world’s largest consumer of raw
in Frankfurt at Commerzbank. materials, fell by 25 million tons, or 31 per cent, to 54 million
tons in the first half, the biggest drop since at least 2009.
Coal in Europe fell for an eighth week through August 21, While Indian imports rose by 23 million tons, or 35 per cent,
its longest losing streak since January, according to broker to 88 million tons in the six-month period, surging domestic
data compiled by Bloomberg. The contract rose 1.1 per cent output probably means demand will shrink, Coal Secretary
to $US52.40 a ton by 12.29pm London time on Thursday, Anil Swarup said August 12.
trimming its drop from a record in July 2008 to 76 per cent.
Global coal prices “can probably go quite a lot lower,” Pugh
The world’s five largest exporters increased sales in the first said. “A lot of it is the downward pressure from a lack of
half of this year, with combined shipments from Indonesia, demand in China, the US and Europe. India’s the most recent
Australia, Russia, Colombia and South Africa gaining 0.1 per one: everyone’s been banking on India to take up the slack
cent to 343 million tons, government data and estimates and it appears they’re just not doing that.”

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September 2015

Indonesia’s Timah Says Rule


Delays to Halt Tin Exports Until
Mid-Aug
- 1 August 2015 -

Reuters, Jakarta - Indonesia’s Timah will be unable to export May, also include the need for tin producers to hold “clean
tin for much of August due to bureaucratic delays in the and clear” (CnC) certification from Nov. 1 to show that the
implementation of new rules for shipments, a senior official tin ore they use originates from government-certified mines.
at the country’s top tin miner said on Thursday.
Government guidance for tin exporters was unclear, Jabin
Indonesia, the world’s top exporter of the solder material, is Sufianto, president of the Indonesian Association of Tin
introducing new rules for shipments from Aug. 1, but delays Exporters (AETI) told Reuters, adding that discrepancies
in the issuing of export documents by the mines ministry were found in separate trade and mines ministry tin decrees
could impede all exports. relating to the new rules.

“Earliest mid-August or latest by end of August,” Corporate “This will cause all exporters to not be able to export (from)
Secretary Agung Nugroho told Reuters in a text when asked Aug. 1,” Sufianto said about the delays, adding that his group
when Timah would be able to make shipments next month. had held two meetings with the mines ministry to discuss the
matter.
A new license that will track export volumes for individual
companies was still to be issued by the mines ministry, Coal and Minerals Director General Bambang Gatot told
said Nugroho, adding that it would likely be completed this reporters this week that the mines ministry was processing
week but then take a month to be rolled out. Indonesia is the registration of tin exporters “one by one”, but said he was
tightening its rules for tin shipments in a fresh bid to crack unable to say how many had been completed.
down on environmental damage and smuggling, and to
enforce payment of royalties and taxes on shipments. Benchmark tin hit $16,345 a tonne earlier this week, its
highest since May 6 and a gain of more than 20 percent since
The Southeast Asian country is concerned about the scale the contract hit a six-year low of $13,365 on June 30. Given
of illegal tin mining and smuggling, while green groups that tin suppliers have been ramping up exports ahead of
and electronics firms have expressed worries over the the change in rules, any impact on supply was likely to be
environmental damage it can cause. minimal for a disruption lasting less than three months, said
a Shanghai based trader.
The new government rules, which were first announced in

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September 2015

Steel Industries Ready


to Support Power
Transmission Project
- 1 August 2015 -

The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - National industries have been of 2.5 units of towers per kilometer, weighing 45 tons per
able to meet the government’s demand for steel for the kilometer. The 500-kilovolt transmission network will need
development of its 46,597-kilometer power transmission two units of towers per kilometer, weighing 80 tons per
project, according to Industry Minister Saleh Husin. kilometer. Besides electric towers, cables, and ceramic
insulators, the project will have other requirements, such as
“The development plan consists of power transmission fittings and accessories.
networks of 150 kilovolts, 275 kilovolts, and 500 kilovolts.
They will be built within a ten-year period from 2015 to 2024. Furthermore, Vice President Jusuf Kalla said on Thursday
The 150-kilovolt transmission network will be the longest of that the government will accelerate the implementation of
them all, covering a distance of up to 40,413 kilometers,” the the plan to build 46,000 kilometers of power transmission
minister told the press on Friday. networks, as part of its plan to build power generating plants
with a total capacity of 35,000 megawatts by 2019. The plan
Considering the length of the project, Husin predicted that was discussed during a meeting of related ministers led by
the transmission network will require a large number of Vice President Jusuf Kalla on Thursday.
components, which can be produced by industries at home.
“We met to discuss the plan to build power plants with a
“For instance, the 150-kilovolt transmission network will total capacity of 35,000 megawatts and 46,000 kilometers of
need three units of towers in a one-kilometer stretch. Each transmission networks,” Husin stated after the meeting.
tower will weigh 10 tons, which will bring the total to 30
tons per kilometer. So it is clear that the transmission power The transmission systems will be built with the involvement
project will boost the business of state-owned steelcompany of the private sector, he noted. A director of national power
PT Krakatau Steel and other steel industries in the country,” utility PLN Sofyan Basir pointed out that the transmission
he affirmed. systems will be completed within three to four years and
will be ready when the construction of the power plants is
Moreover, Husin pointed out that components for the towers completed.
will consist of 86 percent elbow L iron profile, 10 percent
plate iron profile, and 4 percent bolts. National component “All factors were taken into account, including standards and
producers will benefit from this project, such as cord the price of power. It will be of help to PLN to prevent problems
conductor and ceramic insulator producers. The need for in the field,” Basir remarked. The greatest challenges in the
these two components stands at 9.3 tons per kilometer and implementation of the power plant project are licensing and
346 units per kilometer, respectively. land clearing, he added.

The 275-kilovolt transmission network will be composed

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September 2015

Antam’s Sales Surge in H1 as Freeport’s Export Halted


Vale Indonesia’s Declines Due to Letter-of-Credit
Predicament
- 3 August 2015 - - 11 August 2015 -

Globe Asia, Jakarta - State-owned mining firm Aneka Tempo.co, Jakarta - Freeport Indonesia, the local unit of
Tambang’s unaudited net sales nearly doubled during the US mining giant Freeport McMoRan, has halted its copper
first half of 2015 on the back of a surge in gold sales in the concentrate export after its letter-of-credit suspension
country, boosting its stock price by 3.2 percent during the expired in July, the company’s spokesman said on Monday.
first trading session on Monday.
Riza Pratama, Freeport Indonesia’s spokesman, said that
In an official statement received by GlobeAsia on Monday, the company had attempted to get another extension of the
Aneka Tambang — better known as Antam — reported Rp letter-of-credit suspension from the Trade Ministry since last
7.89 trillion ($584 million) in unaudited net sales over the week. However, the ministry had not responded, he said.
January-June period this year, a 98-percent year-on-year
increase from the same period last year. “We are still waiting for the letter from the Trade Ministry,”
Riza said on Monday.
Gold sales at Antam rose by almost threefold to Rp 5.6
trillion, accounting for 72 percent of Antam’s total revenues. The government had previously issued the suspension to
By volume, the company sold 10,996 kilograms of gold, up Freeport for a six-month period, which expired on July 25.
180 percent compared to the same period last year. The suspension was intended to allow the miner to continue
its copper concentrate export. Riza refused to give details on
Ferronickel sales, which was the second-largest contributor the losses Freeport was suffering due to the stalled exports.
to Antam’s total sales, increased by 13 percent to Rp 1.97
trillion. The sales of ferronickel — an alloy of iron and nickel “We hope we can start exporting again soon,” he said,
— also saw an increase in terms of volume, climbing by 25 without giving details on the amount of concentrate waiting
percent to 9,443 tons of nickel contained in the ferronickel to be shipped abroad.
(TNi) alloy.
Riza said there is no obligation to use letters of credit under
Antam has not yet released the official audited figures of its Freeport’s current working contract with the government,
first-half financial results. Following the report, shares of but that the company wanted to make a point of strictly
Antam jumped 3.2 percent to Rp 490 each on the Indonesia complying with all of the ministry’s regulations. The
Stock Exchange (IDX), as of the first trading session. mechanism is based on a regulation that the Trade Ministry
issued in 2015 on the use of letters of credit for exports of
Vale Indonesia, a nickel miner, was not able to present a specific goods.
similarly rosy overall sales picture.
The regulation stipulates that exports of commodities, such
The local unit of Brazilian mining giant Vale booked a as mineral, coal, oil and gas and crude palm oil must use
38.5-percent decrease in profit in the first half of 2015 to letters of credit issued by a domestic foreign-exchange bank
$41.8 million as sales declined 15 percent to about $410 — lenders that are allowed by the central bank to perform
million. Nico Kanter, chief executive officer and president international transactions. The government wrote the
director at Vale Indonesia, attributed the fall to weak nickel regulation in an attempt to ensure exporters keep orderly
prices, which slumped 11 percent between April and June foreign-exchange records.
compared to the previous quarter.
Freeport secured a permit to export 775,000 tons of copper
The company’s cost of revenue dropped 7.84 percent in the concentrate for the next six months and had its export duties
first half 2015 to $328.96 million, while operating expenses decreased from 7.5 to 5 percent, following the construction
dropped 8.54 percent to $6.47 million. Other expenses — of its smelter facility in Gresik, East Java.
such as project development costs and foreign-exchange
adjustments — fell 36.15 percent to $13.11 million, dragged
down by a $7 million foreign-exchange loss.

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September 2015

Here is how Rio Tinto intends to


cut costs by $1 billion

- 6 August 2015 -

Mining.com - Mining giant Rio Tinto (LON, NYSE:RIO) shook The Melbourne-based company is also cutting overtime and
the market last week after announcing it was targeting pushing out truck equipment component life.
savings of $1bn in 2015, an increase of $250 million on its
previous goal, because of the tough market conditions. In the first six months of the year, Rio reported last week
underlying earnings of $2.9bn, down from $5.1bn over the
To achieve such goal, the miner is watching every single same period in 2014. This was driven by a 50% in underlying
expense, including those related to safety equipment. earnings from iron ore the company’s most important
division by far.
Rio has began placing safety glasses and gloves in vending
machines that require a staff access card to withdraw them. To give an idea of just how reliant it has become on the
In an interview with Australian Financial Review (subs. fortunes of the steel making material, Rio calculated that
required), the miner’s iron ore boss, Andrew Harding, every 10% movement in iron ore price has a $1 billion impact
revealed that Rio has began placing safety glasses and on Rio’s underlying earnings. The same ratio for copper is
gloves in vending machines that require a staff access card only $183 million.
to withdraw them.
Rio Tinto is also betting on lower energy prices and a further
“There is no restriction on them – it’s safety equipment,” weakening of the Australian and Canadian dollars to help it
Harding was quoted as saying. “But instead of someone reduce capital expenditure to $5.5bn this year and $6bn in
going ‘this is unlimited, what the hell’ kind of thinking, it 2016. Previous guidance was for spending of about $7bn in
reminds people that it’s an important item, contributing to both years.
cost reductions.”
Still, the figures represent less than half what Rio was
The plan has reduced safety equipment use between 15% spending as recently as 2012 as it looked to meet a seemingly
and 20% at some iron ore operations, Harding noted, while insatiable demand from China by bringing new projects on
almost halving usage of some items at others. “That saves stream.
Rio millions of dollars each year,” the executive said.

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news

September 2015

G-Resources Strikes H1 Gold Freeport still unable to export


Amid Price Slump concentrates

- 20 August 2015 - - 22 August 2015 -

Globe Asia, Jakarta - G-Resources Group, a Hong Kong-based The Jakarta Post, Jakarta - Copper and gold miner PT
gold and silver miner operating the Martabe mine in North Freeport Indonesia (PTFI), a subsidiary of US-based giant
Sumatra, reported robust profit growth in the first half of the mining firm Freeport McMoRan Inc., still may not export
year despite a price decline in both commodities, thanks to concentrates as it is not ready to implement a Trade Ministry
the company’s cost-trimming efforts in its Indonesian units. regulation on the mandatory use of letters of credits (L/C) for
mineral exports, an energy and mineral resources official has
Net profit at G-Resources rose 15 percent to $39 million said.
from $34 million in the same period last year, according to a
company statement released on Wednesday. The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry’s director general
for minerals and coal, Bambang Gatot Ariyono, said in
Earnings before taxes, interest, depreciation and general, Indonesia’s mining companies, especially Freeport,
amortization (Ebitda) reached $130 million, up 16 percent had not yet agreed on the mandatory use of L/C for their
from $112.5 million in 2014. overseas shipments.

“The strong operating and financial performance in these He said Freeport had submitted an L/C mandatory use delay
six months has been against the backdrop of weakening request letter to the Trade Ministry so the company could
gold and silver prices,” Tim Duffy, president director of immediately carry out concentrate shipments for its export
G-Resources Group’s local unit Agincourt Resources, said in markets.
the statement.
“Yes, it has not yet agreed [to the mandatory use of L/C). Most
During the first half of the year, production from the Martabe mining companies have not yet agreed to it; however, it is the
mine stood at 156,316 ounces of gold and about 1.3 million government’s policy that the application of L/C in mineral
ounces of silver, up 16 percent and 23 percent respectively and coal exports is required,” Bambang said as quoted by
from last year. Meanwhile, average gold prices stood at kompas.com on Saturday. He was speaking at the ministry’s
$1,207 per ounce during the first half of the year, compared mineral and coal directorate general on Friday.
to $1,284 per ounce in 2014.
Bambang said all mining companies must adhere to the
“The management team has continued to deliver on cost regulation although he acknowledged that the application of
reduction via the Martabe Improvement Program,” Duffy L/C in exports would lead to additional costs.
said, referring to a site-wide program aimed at increasing
volumes and reducing costs to maximize the operational Bambang said Freeport’s production activities still ran
results and competitive position of Martabe Gold Mine. normally although it could not yet export its concentrates.
However, a prolonged delay in exports would lead to the
The company managed to cut all-in sustaining cost sto $520 piling up of concentrates.
per ounce sold, from $695 per ounce sold in the same period
a year ago, he added. “I don’t know how long they will remain in production
because they have not yet communicated about it with us.
G-Resources owns Martabe gold and silver mine, which This indicates that the situation is not yet as bad as many
covers an area of about 1,639 square kilometers. The mining assume,” he said.
site started production in early 2013 with the annual capacity
to produce up to 25,000 ounces of gold and up to 3 million
ounces of silver.

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news

September 2015

RPT-Freeport says Indonesia


copper exports dry up on
payment impasse
- 25 August 2015 -

Reuters, Jakarta - Freeport-McMoran said exports of copper Freeport exports about 60 percent of the estimated 2 million
from its giant Indonesian mine have slowed to a trickle over tonnes of concentrate produced each year at Grasberg, one
the past month as it faces new rules on how buyers pay for of the world’s biggest mines, while the rest is smelted locally
metal, with the government showing no sign of handing it a into metal. Mines Ministry Coal and Minerals Director General
second waiver. Bambang Gatot said any fresh exemption for Freeport would
be decided by the trade ministry.
Freeport, which is one of Indonesia’s biggest tax payers, won
a six-month exemption from new rules introduced this year “Every company is supposed to comply with this regulation,”
making it compulsory for exports of coal, palm oil, oil and gas he said, adding that Newmont Mining Corp, Indonesia’s
and minerals to be transacted through letters of credit issued second largest copper miner, seemed to be complying with
by domestic banks. the new rules without problems.

The U.S. miner said almost all exports of copper concentrate Karyanto Suprih, acting director general for foreign trade at
from its Grasberg mine had been halted since the exemption the trade ministry, told Reuters: “So far, there is no instruction
expired on July 25 and it was currently in talks with both its to give an exemption on this LC obligation for mineral or coal
buyers and the Indonesian government. exports.” Operations at Freeport’s mine in remote Papua
were running normally, Albar Sabang, a senior official at a
“We are gradually working with our buyers to change their Freeport union said late last week.
method of payment,” Freeport Indonesia spokesman Riza
Pratama told Reuters on Tuesday. “Hopefully we will get Under normal conditions, Grasberg produces about 220,000
this matter resolved very soon. We are talking with the tonnes of copper ore per day, which is converted to copper
government so we can continue our exports.” concentrate. Freeport’s Pratama said the miner would need
more space for stockpiling “very soon” but could not give a
International buyers and traders often pay Freeport directly timeframe.
or in advance, without going through the Indonesian banking
system. The dispute is the longest disruption to shipments Rio Tinto has a joint venture with Freeport for a 40 per cent
since a seven-month stoppage last year when Indonesia share of Grasberg’s production above specific levels until
imposed an escalating tax on metal concentrates. 2021, and 40 per cent of all production after 2021.

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news

September 2015

Indonesia to keep ban on


nickel ore exports - govt
officials
- 31 August 2015 -

Reuters, Jakarta - Indonesia will keep its export ban on nickel The government has previously said it was looking to push
ore, contrary to recent media reports suggesting the country back a 2017 deadline banning copper concentrates exports
may relax curbs to prop up its slowing economy, senior and could ease its ban on bauxite exports. But according to
government officials said. Coal and Minerals Director General Bambang Gatot, there is
Indonesia banned exports of unprocessed metal ores in early no plan to provide an exception to the ban on unprocessed
2014 to force firms to develop smelters that would add value nickel or bauxite exports.
to the country’s resources and create jobs. But the curbs cost Indonesia is evaluating domestic smelter construction that it
the country billions of dollars in lost revenue last year. hopes to complete this month, he said. “We’ll see the results
of the evaluation first.”
While there are signs the government is trying to bring more
money back into resources, the Chief Economics Minister Economic growth in Indonesia is at a six-year trough, with the
Darmin Nasution warned against speculation that the rupiah at a 17-year low, as the country struggles with weaker
country would relax its nickel ore export ban. commodity prices and souring investor sentiment.
Indonesia will seek consistency in its mining policies, he said
on Tuesday, a view echoed by Mining Minister Sudirman Said. Before the ore ban, Indonesia was the world’s top exporter
of nickel ore and biggest supplier to China. Restarting nickel
“What we’re doing is looking for incentive to boost economic exports could erode the market share of other producers,
activities in nickel and bauxite business. How to help smelter such as in the Philippines, that stepped in to fill the supply
projects run smoothly and finish, as per our target,” Said said, gap. Leading nickel miners in Indonesia include Vale
adding there was no easing of the nickel ore export ban. Indonesia and PT Aneka Tambang.

On Monday, Bisnis Indonesia newspaper reported that the If exports were allowed now, nickel producers would not earn
country may relax export rules for both bauxite and nickel, much as global nickel prices are near multi-year lows, said
quoting Director of Coal at the Energy Ministry, Adhi Wibowo. Susantyo, chairman at the Indonesian Nickel Association.
Wibowo could not be reached for a comment on Tuesday. “Rumors of easing bans often come up but if there is a
relaxation, it would mean the government is not consistent.”

CARSURIN www.carsurin.com 19
Quality with Integrity
September 2015

Tips of
the Month

Calculation of Resource

Computer programs for resource calculation and assessment • Determine as best as possible geologically from surface
are very popular and time saving however the capacity to mapping or drilling where the seam sub-crop occurs not
make errors at this stage is quite real. Remember an earlier where the computer program might want to place it!
piece of advice “Computers can’t think, they just do as they
are told.” • If your company is assessing coal resources (for an
investment possibility) in an operating open cut mine,
One must always be mindful of pieces of instruction built calculate the remaining resources tonnages from the
into programs which may be forgotten or not known of. base of the current pit high wall and remaining sub-
Sometimes the program will want to project coal crop lines cropline down dip into the bulk of the deposit. Do
beyond reality. This then impacts on Measured, Indicated NOT use a computer generated sub-cropline as a start
and Inferred areas of influence. and then deduct advised resource tonnages mined
to date (deduced from RoM tonnages as “Reserves”,
Remember how in the very early days of computer to give a “Resources” figure). The company may have
simulations of surface contours, data was fed in and the started mining close to the crop line and back dumped
ground contours calculated. On occasions drill hole collar overburden on top of unmined coal. This will give a false
points were left standing in the air from a “best fit “ program! value of Resource tonnages available for future mining.

• Make sure that your computer program doesn’t show


Tips areas of influence projected beyond actual crop lines.
When your company is having an extensive drilling and This will certainly give fictitious results!
sampling program it is useful to consider the following points.
• Do your own manual down dip and along strike
correlation of coal seams to gain some idea of structure
of deposit. Note possible “washouts” particularly in
areas down dip from apparent seam crop. Note any hole
terminations in basement.

• When setting up your program make sure the computer Antony H. Osman
is aware of basement intersections (if not noted, FAusIMM (CP) MMICA MAIMVA (CMV) FGS
some work seen by this writer showed a false seam JORC and KCMI accredited
“continuity” through a drill site location, when an Senior Geological Adviser
inclusion of a basement high had been neglected. A member of PERHAPI, IAGI & MGEI

*****************

For a non-obligatory discussion of all your coal deposit exploration and evaluation matters, for expert opinions on the
content and presentation of your company’s report, please contact: coal.tech@carsurin.com or coal.ops@carsurin.com
at the CARSURIN Coal and Minerals Division.

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September 2015

Australasia October 2015 Public Holidays

Australia Indonesia India


- 14: Muharram / Islamic New year 15: Independence Day

China Japan Singapore


1: National Day 12: Sports Day -
2-7: National Day Golden Week

Hong kong Thailand South Korea


1: National Day of People’s 23: Chulalongkorn Day 3: National Foundation Day
Republic of China 9: Hangeul Proclamation Day
21: Chung Yeung Festival

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