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Argus Asia-Pacific Products (2024!02!09)
Argus Asia-Pacific Products (2024!02!09)
Argus Asia-Pacific Products (2024!02!09)
Copyright © 2024 Argus Media group Available on the Argus Publications App
Licensed to: Pierre Yves RIGAUX, Interasia Energy
Argus Asia-Pacific Products Issue 24-29 | Friday 9 February 2024
GASOLINE
Singapore 92R gasoline prices increased by more than Ice Singapore $/bl
Brent crude values as the crack spread rose for the second Diff to Mops
consecutive session. Indian state-controlled refiner MRPL Low High Low High ±
South Africa's Engen Petroleum emerged to buy a cargo 97R gasoline 28.75 28.73 +0.02
for March loading. It sought 37,000t (313,000 bl) of 95R for 95R gasoline 27.50 27.48 +0.02
10-12 March loading from Singapore or Malaysia, 14-16 March
92R gasoline 23.85 23.08 +0.77
for loading from India or the Mideast Gulf or 3-5 March load-
ing from the Mediterranean. The pricing basis will be 50pc Singapore 95R gasoline swap $/bl
Singapore spot 95R assessments and 50pc Mediterranean
Low High ±
gasoline price assessments. The tender closed on 8 February
and remains valid until 9 February. Engen last sought 37,000t Feb 101.45 101.65 +1.65
of non-oxygenated gasoline for 11-13 February loading from Mar 100.05 100.25 +1.75
Singapore or Malaysia, 15-17 February loading from India or Apr 98.55 98.75 +1.90
from the Mideast Gulf, as well as 4-6 February loading from
the Mediterranean. The cargo will have a minimum Ron rat-
Singapore 92R gasoline swap $/bl
ing of 95 and a maximum sulphur content of 500ppm. Pricing
Low High ±
will be based on the whole-month average of January's
Mediterranean and Singapore spot gasoline assessments on a Feb 96.90 97.10 +1.90
50:50 basis. The tender closed on 17 January. Mar 95.65 95.85 +1.90
Shipping fixtures show Phillips 66 placing the Oriental
Apr 94.20 94.40 +1.90
Aquamarine on subjects to load 35,000t of gasoline on 19
February from Sikka, India to move towards Singapore or the
Gasoline East-West Spread $/bl
US for WS370 or $4.125mn respectively.
East-west Feb spread -0.80
East-west Mar spread -2.55
NAPHTHA
First-half April delivery naphtha prices rose by more than Singapore $/bl
Ice Brent crude values, as margins strengthened for the Diff to Mops
fifth consecutive session. Taiwanese private-sector refiner Low High Low High ±
Formosa Petrochemicals concluded its tender to buy March- Naphtha 1.55 1.75 73.45 73.55 +1.33
delivery spot cargoes.
Northeast Asia $/t
The March swap was discussed stronger at $671.75/t
Diff to Mopj
compared with $662.25/t on 8 February. The February-March
Low High Low High ±
spread was discussed stronger at $12/t in backwardation,
Japan 15.75 17.75 687.50 696.25 +16.38
compared with $11.50/t in backwardation in the previous
session. The March east-west spread was discussed weaker South Korea 14.75 16.75 699.50 701.50 +11.25
sources, which added that the offered premiums had a very Low High ±
wide range. The price was done below expected market Feb 683.25 684.25 +10.00
levels and the cargo was not of Russian origin, said a trader. Mar 671.25 672.25 +9.50
Formosa's 1.2mn t/yr No.3 cracker came on line around late Apr 658.75 659.75 +10.00
and No.3 crackers are running at around 85pc operating Mar 71.10 71.30 +1.90
Apr 69.70 69.90 +1.95
rates, according to sources.
Singapore's light distillate stocks fell to a three-week low NWE naphtha swaps $/t
of 12.97mn bl in the week to 7 February because of a plunge Low High ±
in naphtha imports, which fell by 9.8pc on the week to
Feb 658.90 659.10 +12.00
1.76mn bl. Russia was the top supplier of naphtha to Singa-
Mar 646.65 646.85 +12.25
pore at 493,000 bl. But imports from Qatar and Saudi Arabia, Apr 635.90 636.10 +11.50
which were the top suppliers the previous week at 666,000
bl and 489,000 bl respectively, fell to zero in the latest Naphtha arbitrage $/t
week. Naphtha exports also grew to 862,000, nine times East-west Feb spread 24.750
that of exports last week, with cargoes going out mainly to East-west Mar spread 25.000
China and Malaysia. Japan Mar vs NWE Feb 12.750
Japan Apr vs NWE Feb 0.250
JET-KEROSINE
Singapore’s jet fuel swaps rose by less than Dubai crude Singapore $/bl
values, weakening crack spreads. Indonesia’s state-owned Diff to Mops
refiner Pertamina bought jet A-1 fuel for March delivery. Low High Low High ±
The February-March spread narrowed slightly to about Jet-kerosine 0.50 0.70 104.90 105.10 +1.10
$0.50/bl in backwardation, from last session’s $0.55/bl. The
March swap rose to $104.15/bl from last session’s $102.95/bl.
Pertamina bought March-delivery cargoes of jet A-1 fuel,
after the close of a spot tender on 6 February. The refiner South Korea $/bl
bought two 200,000 bl cargoes at a premium of about $5/ Diff to Mops
bl to the average of either Argus’ or Platts’ Singapore spot Low High Low High ±
assessments for jet A-1 fuel, whichever is lower. The cargoes Jet-kerosine -3.00 -2.80 101.40 101.60 +1.10
should be delivered into Jakarta between 1-5 March and 9-11
March. This was at similar levels to the refiner’s previous
purchase of jet A-1 fuel, which it had concluded at a pre-
mium of around $5.50/bl to the Singapore spot assessments. Mideast Gulf $/bl
That cargo is to be delivered into Jakarta between 15-19 Diff to Mopag
Low High Low High ±
February, and the sale was concluded after the close of the
spot tender on 26 January. Jet-kerosine 3.75 3.95 98.70 98.90 +1.20
Bad weather is affecting refinery operations in the US
west coast, and pushing up jet fuel prices in the region.
Prompt Los Angeles jet fuel cash differentials rose by almost
Fujairah $/bl
three times from the start of this week to a premium of 58¢/
Diff to Mopag
USG to the March Nymex contract on 8 February. The stron- Low High Low High ±
ger prices could be helping to widen arbitrage opportunities
Jet-kerosine 3.75 3.95 101.90 102.10 +1.35
between northeast Asia and the US west coast, despite con-
tinuing strong Medium Range freight rates. Jet fuel supplies
in northeast Asia are ample in late February, which could be
Japan $/bl
enabling this arbitrage flow, after the influx of more Febru-
ary-loading Chinese cargoes in the market over the previous Low High ±
5.00
0.00
Singapore jet-kerosine swaps $/bl
Low High ±
-5.00
Feb 104.55 104.75 +1.15
hhhhhhh
-10.00 Mar 104.05 104.25 +1.20
GASOIL
Singapore’s March gasoil swaps rose by slightly less than Singapore $/bl
Dubai crude values, narrowing the crack spread slightly. The Diff to Mops
Gasoil EFS widened to a more than one-year low. Low High Low High ±
The February-March spread was assessed at about $1.45/ Gasoil 0.5% -1.60 -1.40 106.30 106.50 +1.30
bl in backwardation on 9 February, from around $1.50/bl in Gasoil 0.25% -1.50 -1.30 106.40 106.60 +1.30
the last session. The March swap rose to $107.20/bl from last Gasoil 0.05% (500ppm) -0.65 -0.45 107.25 107.45 +1.30
session’s $105.85/bl. Gasoil 0.005% (50ppm) 0.80 1.00 108.70 108.90 +1.30
The Asian gasoil market is gaining strength, with mar- Gasoil 0.001% (10ppm) 1.20 1.40 109.10 109.30 +1.30
gins surging to around $27/bl by the close of the week
South Korea $/bl
from about $25/bl on 5 February. This strength could be
Diff to Mops
west-led, with the February EFS — or the Singapore 10ppm Low High Low High ±
sulphur gasoil swaps against Ice gasoil futures — widening
Gasoil 0.05% -4.10 -3.90 103.80 104.00 +1.30
even further on 9 February to around -$76.72/t, from around Gasoil 0.001% (10ppm) -2.80 -2.60 105.10 105.30 +1.40
-$68.42/t on 8 February, and plunging from about -$50/t at
Mideast Gulf $/bl
the start of the week. Europe is due to feel more tightness Diff to Mopag
in supplies, both from upcoming maintenance works, and Low High Low High ±
from the slowdown in import flows from India and the Mid-
Gasoil 0.2% 0.55 0.75 101.05 101.25 +1.40
east Gulf because of the Red Sea tensions. But the widening
Gasoil 0.05% (500ppm) 0.90 1.10 101.40 101.60 +1.40
EFS spread could help to improve the east-west arbitrage Gasoil 0.005% (50ppm) 0.95 1.15 101.45 101.65 +1.40
economics, and fuel more trade flows on that route. Gasoil 0.001% (10ppm) 2.05 2.25 102.55 102.75 +1.40
Supplies in Asia will likely tighten in March as well.
Fujairah $/bl
Few offers have emerged for March-loading cargoes, with
Diff to Mopag
northeast Asian traders largely away for the lunar new year
Low High Low High ±
holidays. But overall gasoil offers should slow in March, with
Gasoil 0.001% (10ppm) 2.05 2.25 103.00 103.20 +1.40
maintenance works planned that would take at least 590,000
b/d of refining capacity off line in South Korea and Taiwan Japan $/bl
alone. Low High ±
The UAE’s state-owned marketer Emarat is seeking Gasoil 0.005% (50ppm) 109.80 110.00 +1.35
March-delivery cargoes of 10ppm sulphur gasoil. Emarat is
Durban $/t
seeking a 15,000t (112,000 bl) cargo for delivery into Jebel
Low High ±
Ali between 1-2 March. The spot tender closes on 14 Febru-
ary. Emarat had earlier sought supplies in the spot market to Gasoil 0.05% (500ppm) 815.17 815.37 +7.18
buy 14,000t of 10ppm sulphur gasoil for delivery to Jebel Ali Gasoil 0.005% (50ppm) 815.54 815.74 +7.18
across 3-4 February. The spot tender closed on 17 January
Gasoil 0.001% (10ppm) 823.75 823.95 +7.18
although results of that tender could not be determined yet.
Kuwait’s state-owned refiner KPC concluded the sale of Singapore gasoil swaps $/bl
a March-loading cargo of 10ppm sulphur gasoil. The refiner Low High ±
sold the 80,000t cargo of ultra-low sulphur diesel likely Feb 108.55 108.75 +1.30
around or below a premium of $2/bl to the Mideast Gulf Mar 107.10 107.30 +1.35
spot assessments for 10ppm sulphur gasoil, said traders Apr 105.50 105.70 +1.30
after the close of a spot tender on 6 February, although the 2Q24 104.05 104.25 +1.70
exact price level is yet to be fully determined. The cargo is 3Q24 100.70 100.90 +1.50
to load from Kuwait between 21-23 March. Traders said the 4Q24 98.30 98.50 +1.30
larger size of the refiner’s latest spot offer, is because of the
Gasoil arbitrage $/t
higher operating rates of Kuwait’s al-Zour refinery, which is
running at maximum capacity of 615,000 b/d. KPC previously East-west Feb spread -76.72
offered spot cargoes in 40,000t or 60,000t sizes. East-west Mar spread -64.29
Singapore Feb vs ICE Mar gasoil -53.47
Singapore Feb vs ICE Apr gasoil -25.72
RESIDUAL FUELS
The Singapore March 0.5pc sulphur marine fuel swap rose Singapore $/t
Diff to Mops
by more than Dubai crude values as the crack spread rose.
Low High Low High ±
Saudi Arabia’s state-controlled PetroRabigh sold February-
HSFO 180cst -3.00 -2.00 453.00 454.00 +11.00
loading vacuum gasoil (VGO).
HSFO 380cst -2.75 -1.75 435.25 436.25 +10.25
The March 0.5pc sulphur marine fuel swap traded at
HSFO 180cst 2% sulphur - - 463.25 464.25 +11.25
$602/t, higher than the $587/t on 8 February. The Singapore
Marine Fuel 0.5%S 4.25 5.25 610.00 611.00 +15.75
0.5pc sulphur marine fuel February-March backwardation
Marine Fuel 0.5%S (Diff to
widened to $8/t from $7.75/t. The March 380cst HSFO east- 380cst)
172.00 173.00 - - -
PetroRabigh suffered an unplanned shutdown at its high- HSFO 180cst 472.55 473.55 +11.00
olefins fluid catalytic cracker (HOFCC) unit in late December
Indonesia $/t
last year, which prompted it to offer 300,000-400,000 bl
Diff to Mops
of straight-run fuel oil for 28-29 December 2023, 1-2 Janu-
Low High Low High ±
ary and 5-6 January loading. But the refiner did not end up
0.45%S fuel oil V-1250 -25.10 -24.90 580.75 580.95 +15.15
awarding the tenders and chose to absorb the volumes inter-
nally. The HOFCC unit is still having repairs but the mainte- Singapore $/t
nance is expected to be completed soon, said a source close HSFO 180cst swaps Low High ±
to the company. Additional details, including the start-up Feb 455.25 456.25 +10.75
date of the unit, could not be confirmed. Mar 455.75 456.75 +10.25
Apr 455.75 456.75 +9.25
Indian private-sector refiner Reliance Industries (RIL) sold
2Q24 453.75 454.75 +9.50
40,000t of carbon black feedstock (CBFS) for 25 February 3Q24 441.50 442.50 +8.25
loading from Sikka through a tender that closed earlier this 4Q24 424.50 425.50 +7.50
week. CBFS is residual material from the refinery’s fluid
Singapore $/t
catalytic cracker. RIL last sold to Shell a 40,000t CBFS cargo
HSFO 380cst swaps Low High ±
for 4-5 February loading.
Feb 436.25 437.25 +9.75
Singapore onshore fuel oil inventories fell to around a Mar 438.75 439.75 +9.50
two-week low of 21.8mn bl for the week ending 7 February Apr 440.50 441.50 +9.50
because of increased exports and fall in imports, accord- 2Q24 438.50 439.50 +8.50
3Q24 426.00 427.00 +7.50
ing to Enterprise Singapore data. Imports fell to 5.62mn bl, 4Q24 408.00 409.00 +7.00
down from 7.7mn bl the previous week. China, Hong Kong
Singapore $/t
and South Korea emerged as the top destinations, driven by
Marine Fuel 0.5%S Swaps Low High ±
heightened bunker demand in the region. Imports from the
UAE rose to 913,000 bl this week, marking the first time Sin- Feb 609.50 610.50 +15.25
Mar 601.50 602.50 +15.00
gapore received volumes from the UAE this year. Singapore’s Apr 591.50 592.50 +14.50
fuel oil stocks still remains higher compared with a five-year
Fuel Oil East-West spread $/t
average and above year-earlier levels.
380cst Fuel oil east-west March spread -9.50
0.5%S Fuel oil east-west March spread 48.50
Shandong private-sector refiners cut operations to run down Bohai fob 7,080 96.76
stocks during the 10-17 February lunar new year holiday, Yangtze River Delta (YRD) ex tank 7,303 99.30
Bohai-YRD freight 120 2.25
when transportation of hazardous chemicals will be banned
YRD-freight-Bohai (arbitrage) 103 0.29
on high-speed roads.
Singapore fob NA 109.20
Traders south of China left the Bohai bay market for holi- Singapore-Bohai (arbitrage) exc.
NA 12.44
days, with few offers from local refiners. Argus-assessed fob freight
92R gasoline and diesel prices were stable at 8,275 yuan/t
and Yn7,080/t respectively on 9 February. 92R Gasoline
Yn/t (inc. tax) $/bl (exc. tax)
Shandong refiners cut their runs by over 3 percentage
points this week, refinery sources said. They raised their Bohai fob 8,275 91.10
trucked gasoline and diesel prices further on 9 February giv- Yangtze River Delta (YRD) ex tank 8,465 92.70
Bohai-YRD freight 120 1.98
en low inventories, with gasoline stocks below 20pc of stor-
YRD-freight-Bohai (arbitrage) 70 -0.38
age capacity. But state-controlled refiners plan to raise their
Singapore fob NA 97.35
crude runs to maximise gasoline production this month. Singapore-Bohai (arbitrage) exc.
NA 6.25
Higher supply since January weighed on gasoline and freight
diesel prices, cutting crack margins. The Bohai gasoil crack
spread was at $16.30/bl on 8 February, down from $20.40/ South China fuel oil fob yuan/t
Low High ±
bl a month earlier, and that for gasoline was at $10.70/bl,
down from $14.20/bl. Weak domestic crack spreads opened HSFO 180cst barge ex-terminal 4,590 4,610 +80.00
A sole 750t very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) deal in Ulsan/Busan/Yeosu 487.50 492.50 490.00 +5.00
Shanghai port was concluded at $632/t. Spot VLSFO demand Fujairah - - 433.00 +13.00
Hong Kong 455.00 465.00 460.00 +10.00
was muted in Zhoushan port with its assessed price also at
Shanghai 445.00 455.00 450.00 +10.00
$632/t.
Qingdao 445.00 455.00 450.00 +10.00
A 250t marine gasoil deal in Zhoushan was fixed at
$830/t.
Bunkers 500cst $/t
Mid ±
FREIGHT ROUTES
The full range of tanker freight assessments, news & analysis and exclusive tools is available in Argus Tanker Freight.
For more details, please e-mail: FreightTeam@argusmedia.com
Singapore HSFO 380cst vs 180cst$/t Singapore 92R gasoline vs Singapore Marine fuel 0.5%S$/t
5 225 Marine Fuel 0.5%S = 0
0 200
-5
175
-10
150
-15 hhhhhhh hhhhhhh
125
-20
-25 100
-30 75
9 Nov 23 11 Dec 23 11 Jan 24 9 Feb 24 9 Nov 23 11 Dec 23 11 Jan 24 9 Feb 24
20
10
hhhhhhh
0
-10
-20
1 Dec 23 26 Dec 23 18 Jan 24 9 Feb 24
Argus Freight
METHODOLOGY
Argus Asia-Pacific products price assessments represent the
market over the course of the entire trading day. Argus believes
that a fair and representative price will include trade through-
out the day. If the market shows high intra-day volatility, Argus
will weight the assessments towards trading activity at the end
of the working day. We have launched clean tanker freight
Price assessments rely on a wide variety of sources and plat- assessments for exports of Russian
forms for information, including discussion with refiners, market- petroleum products from the Black and
ers, importers, traders and brokers, to reflect a daily consensus
the Baltic Seas on key international routes.
on the price of the day.
Argus works to verify all deal prices, counterparties, and These are available in Argus Tanker Freight
volumes. Argus values transparency, so we publish as much
price, volume, and specification information as we discover.
For more information please contact:
This allows you to cross-check and verify the deals against the
FreightTeam@argusmedia.com
published prices.
The details of our methodology are available at: www.argus- or to request trial access to Argus Tanker Freight,
media.com or by calling any Argus office. please fill out this short form here
Deals done
Seller Buyer Product Volume Diff Basis Price $ Timing
Trafigura Gunvor Gasoil 0.001% Singapore 220,000 bl Mops +1.40 28 Feb-03 Mar
Vitol BP Gasoil 0.001% Singapore 150,000 bl Mops +1.30 26 Feb-01 Mar
Vitol Unipec Gasoline 92R Singapore 50,000 bl 97.55 01 Mar-05 Mar
PTT Trading Petrochina Gasoline 92R Singapore 50,000 bl 97.47 02 Mar-06 Mar
Saudi Aramco PTT Trading Gasoline 95R Singapore 50,000 bl 101.02 29 Feb-04 Mar
Unknown Pertamina Jet Fuel 200,000 bl Argus/Platts +5.00 01 Mar-11 Mar
Vitol BP Naphtha open spec Japan c+f 25,000t 688.00 16 Apr-30 Apr
Issued tenders
Issuer Trade Timing fob/cfr location Close Valid
PSO Buy 165,000t of 92R gasoline gasoline 1 Apr - 30 Jun cfr Karachi 19 Mar 19 Mar
Ceypetco Buy 4x300000bl of 92R gasoline 1 Mar - 31 Jul dap Colombo 16 Jan 16 Mar
Ceypetco Buy 4x300000bl of 92R gasoline 1 Mar - 31 Jul dap Colombo 16 Jan 16 Mar
Ceypetco Buy 300,000bl of 92R Oxy gasoline 23-24 Mar dap Colombo 13 Feb 15 Feb
EGPC Buy 34,000t of 95R Non oxy gasoline 13-15 Mar cfr Suez 13 Feb 15 Feb
EGPC Buy 34,000t of 95R Non oxy gasoline 3-5 Mar cfr Suez 13 Feb 15 Feb
EGPC Buy 31,500t of 95R Non oxy gasoline 15-17 Mar cfr Alexandria 13 Feb 15 Feb
Pertamina Buy 200,000bl of 2500ppm sulphur gasoil 4-6 Mar IBT Pulau Laut 13 Feb 15 Feb
Pertamina Buy 500,000bl of 2500ppm sulphur gasoil 1-3 Mar STS kotabaru 13 Feb 15 Feb
Pertamina Buy 500,000bl of 2500ppm sulphur gasoil 1-3 Mar Tuban 13 Feb 15 Feb
Pertamina Buy 200,000bl of 2500ppm sulphur gasoil 1-3 Mar Baubau 13 Feb 15 Feb
Emarat Buy 15,000t of 10ppm sulphur gasoil 1-2 Mar cfr Jebel Ali 14 Feb 14 Feb
Balongan or fob Singa-
KPI Buy 200,000bl of naphtha 1-30 Apr 07 Feb 13 Feb
pore/Malaysia/Brunei
MRPL Sell 40000/60000t of A-1 jet fuel 4-6 Mar fob New Mangalore 13 Feb 13 Feb
MRPL Sell 35,000t of reformate gasoline 7-9 Mar fob New Mangalore 13 Feb 13 Feb
MRPL Sell 40,000t of 10ppm sulphur gasoil 2-3 Mar fob New Mangalore 13 Feb 13 Feb
Pertamina Buy 500,000bl of 92R HOMC gasoline 1 Apr - 30 Jun cfr Balikpapan 06 Feb 09 Feb
NEWS
Venezuela returns to threats against drilling Independent ARA stocks on 7 February 000t
± week-on- ±% week-on-
Venezuela is threatening to use force against US major Product Stocks
week week
ExxonMobil over planned offshore Guyana drilling, violat- Gasoil 1,887 -71 -3.6
ing an agreement reached in December to not make such Fuel oil 1,318 -79 -5.7
threats. Gasoline 1,069 121 12.8
ExxonMobil announced plans this week to drill two Naphtha 281 -23 -7.6
exploratory wells west of its existing Liza and Payara pro-
Jet 652 -54 -7.6
duction operations in the Stabroek block. A decades-long
Total 5,207 -106 -2.0
disagreement over Guyana's
— Insights Global
Essequibo province has prevented the two countries from
agreeing on a maritime border, which puts Stabroek in the
middle of the dispute. sultancy Insights Global, on the back of lower imports and
ExxonMobil's plan drew a strong response from Venezu- steady demand across the barrel.
ela's defense minister Vladimir Padrino this week. The decline was driven by a steep 5.7pc drop in fuel oil
“If ExxonMobil operates in the maritime space that by stocks to 1.32mn t, the lowest in five weeks. Higher bun-
right belongs to Venezuela, supported by its private security kering demand in west Africa pulled more fuel oil from the
company represented by the US Southern Command, it will ARA, as more vessels were travelling around the Cape of
receive a proportional, forceful and legal response,” Padrino Good Hope, avoiding the Red Sea.
warned on 7 February. Fuel oil cargoes arrived from Germany, Sweden and the
Such threats were supposed to be off limits following a UK and departed into the Mediterranean and west Africa.
meeting in December between Guyana and Venezuela of- Gasoil stocks fell by 3.6pc to 1.89mn t on the week,
ficials to cool tensions Essequibo province. mostly on lower arrivals from east of Suez, according to
ExxonMobil Guyana president Alistair Routledge said Insights Global. To fill the supply gap, the ARA market pulled
the company believes local and international law sup- more gasoil cargoes from the Mediterranean. Demand in
ports its rights to move forward with the drilling plan, but Germany, the main diesel consumer in northwest Europe,
Venezuelan vice president Delcy Rodriguez characterized remained low, according to the consultancy. Jet stocks were
Exxon's statements as "threatening," saying the company was also reduced by lower imports and more demand from the
protecting its "illicit operations... under the warmongering UK.
mantle of the US in complicity with Guyana." Tankers carrying gasoil came from northwest Europe and
The foreign ministers of both countries have met since Turkey, while gasoil exports were seen heading to France,
December's summit to continue discussions on the border Germany, Spain and the UK. There were no jet imports on
dispute and to prepare for another meeting of the presi- the week, with only the UK receiving cargoes from ARA.
dents, with the most recent occurring two weeks ago. Gasoline stocks rose by another 12.8pc to 1.07mn t in
Earlier this week US national security advisor Jon the week to 7 February, the highest reading in two months.
Finer traveled to Guyana to meet with President Irfaan The rise comes as the arbitrage route into the US remains
Ali to reaffirm the US' "...unwavering support for Guyana’s unworkable, while the contango structure in the market
sovereignty, territorial integrity, and defense capabilities," encourages participants to store gasoline. Market partici-
according to the White House. pants were anticipating higher exports from ARA into the US
Guyana has asked the UN's International Court of Justice sometime in March to April, according to Insights Global.
(ICJ) to determine the merits of Venezuela’s claim to Esse- Naphtha stocks declined by 7.6pc to 281,000t on the
quibo but Venezuela has rejected the ICJ’s role. It is seeking week with higher gasoline blending activity and firm pet-
direct bilateral talks on the dispute, which Guyana refuses. rochemical sector demand. Gasoline blending economics
By Canute James remained favourable for naphtha, encouraging more naph-
tha to be incorporated into the blend. Demand for naphtha
ARA stocks retreat on slower imports from the petrochemical sector rose during the week, mainly
Independently-held oil product stocks at the Amsterdam- because of delayed polymers imports from east of Suez, ac-
Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 2pc on the cording to market participants.
week to reach 5.21mn t on 7 February, according to con- By Mykyta Hryshchuk
Nigerian gasoline price rise not imminent: NNPC California refining throughputs and storage
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) said that Commodity 2-Feb-23 26-Jan-23 ±
Seasonal adjustments are employed by the BTS to reduce US targets shippers over Russian crude
the variance introduced by differences in the number of US sanctions enforcers today announced penalties against
weekends from month to month as well as holidays and three UAE-based shippers for allegedly violating price cap
seasonal activity. rules affecting Russian crude shipments.
Seasonally unadjusted passenger traffic reached 77.7mn The US Treasury Department has sanctioned Zeenit Sup-
passengers in November. International flights accounted for ply and Trading, Talassa Shipping and Oil Tankers SCF Mgmt
9.3mn passengers, up by 13pc from a year earlier, and do- — all of them tied to the NS Leader tanker that in November
mestic flights carried 68.4mn passengers, up by 7.4pc from allegedly carried Russian crude priced at over $80/bl. Trea-
November 2022. sury also imposed sanctions against Liberia-based NS Leader
As air traffic and fuel consumption expanded in Novem- Shipping, which is the registered owner of the NS Leader.
ber, falling fuel prices kept airlines' total fuel below year- The G7 countries and Australia allow trading firms,
earlier levels. US airlines consumed 1.50bn USG of jet fuel in brokers and providers of maritime insurance and financial
November, a 7.1pc year-over-year increase, while total fuel services in their countries to facilitate Russian sales to third
expenditures fell 2.4pc over the same period to $4.53bn, ac- countries, as long as the loaded price is at or below $60/bl
cording to a separate BTS report. The price of jet fuel fell to for crude. There are no penalties or price caps for Russian
$3.01/USG in November, down by 9.4pc from a year earlier. sales shipped or facilitated by companies outside the G7. In
By Hannah Borai the case of the NS Leader, the Russian cargo priced above
the price cap relied on a western service company, accord-
Mideast Gulf clean tanker rate begins to cool ing to Treasury.
Slowing demand for Middle East naphtha among Asian Treasury's announcement today also shows how quickly
importers has pulled clean tanker rates on the route down the exporters of Russian crude have adjusted to the western
from recent highs gained after intensifying ship attacks in sanctions pressure. Oil Tankers SCF Mgmt, which Treasury
the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden forced tanker operators to says is owned by major Russian shipper Somcovflot, took
reroute westbound voyages under the longer Cape of Good over management of the NS Leader from SUN Ship Manage-
Hope route. ment D in September 2023, after the latter became a target
Since 26 January, Mideast Gulf-Japan long range (LR2) of US sanctions. Oil Tankers SCF Mgmt also operates the Li-
product tanker rates have dropped by 21pc from their four- govsky Prospect, the Kazan, the NS Century, the NS Champi-
year high to $67.32/t as traders shift away from naphtha on and the Viktor Bakaev, all of which were placed on the US
in favor of LPG to feed Asian crackers. LR1 tanker rates on sanctions list late last year over Russia price cap violations.
the same route fell by 13pc to $74.66/t from their one-year
highs.
Naphtha supplies tightened after the Red Sea and Gulf of
Aden attacks delayed shipments from Mediterranean and Rus-
sian exporters, causing Asian importers to opt for more read-
ily available propane and butane, carried on LPG carriers. West African and European
January’s run-up in Mideast Gulf clean tanker rates
began months after the attacks started, when their rising gasoline markets:
frequency and intensity forced oil shippers to send cargoes big changes in 2024
that would normally go via the Suez Canal on the longer and
costlier Cape of Good Hope route. Join on 17 January 2024
While eastbound Mideast Gulf-loading voyages do not 9:00am GMT | 10:00am WAT Live Q&A
transit the Suez Canal, once westbound cargo diversions be-
gan, eastbound shippers in the region had to compete with
higher-earning rerouted voyages, thus driving eastbound
rates higher. Prior to December 2023, tanker reroutings Register
to avoid the Red Sea were minimal and tanker rates were
today
largely unaffected.
Suez Canal toll revenues have fallen by 40pc since the
end of November 2023, illustrating the transit decline.
By Nicholas Watt, John Ollett and Sean Zhuang
Russian medium sour Urals cargoes shipped from Baltic The Nymex front-month March crude contract was at
ports have held above the $60/bl since 9 January. The US $76.28/bl, up by 6¢/bl from its settlement on 8 February
overall continues to consider the price cap scheme to be when the contract ended $2.36/bl higher.
successful. "Russia’s own top energy official admits that the Venezuela is threatening to use force against ExxonMobil
coalition’s price cap and our sanctions have led to widening over planned offshore Guyana drilling, violating an agree-
discounts on Russian oil, limiting the revenue the Kremlin ment reached in December to not make such threats.
relies on for its illegal war" in Ukraine, Treasury under secre- ExxonMobil announced plans this week to drill two
tary Brian Nelson said today. exploratory wells west of its existing Liza and Payara pro-
But western sanctions enforcers have vowed to focus duction operations in the Stabroek block. A decades-long
more closely on trying to make it costlier for Russia to ex- disagreement over Guyana's Essequibo province has prevent-
port its crude, and by extension, pressuring sales prices and ed the two countries from agreeing on a maritime border,
the government's tax receipts. which puts Stabroek in the middle of the dispute.
The cost of operating Russia's shadow fleet reached an "If ExxonMobil operates in the maritime space that by
estimated £2.25bn ($2.84bn) in 2023, UK Treasury's sanctions right belongs to Venezuela, supported by its private secu-
office OFSI head of oil price enforcement Olga Dimitrescu rity company represented by the US Southern Command,
said this week in a podcast hosted by P&I company North it will receive a proportional, forceful and legal response,"
Standard. "This further diminishes Russia's profits from oil Venezuela's defense minister Vladimir Padrino warned on 7
exports, even if indirectly," Dimitrescu said. February.
The US, UK and the EU are also introducing new attesta- In the Middle east, a US drone strike that killed the
tion rules for shippers involved in Russian oil trade beginning senior commander of an Iran-backed militia in Baghdad on
on 19 February. The new rules require shippers to make 7 February has compelled Iraq to end the presence of US
attestations on the price of the cargo every time they load troops in the country, said Iraqi armed forces spokesman
Russian oil, to counter sanctions evasion. Those transport- Yehia Rasool.
ing Russian oil will also have to share itemized information "Even more concerning is that the [Global Coalition Forc-
across the supply chain on their ancillary costs, such as es, headed by the US] consistently deviates from the reasons
insurance and freight. and objectives for its presence on our territory," Rasool said
The new rules aim to make the underlying price for Rus- in the first official Iraqi reaction to the US drone strike.
sian crude more transparent to crack down on evasion, while Israel's rejection of a Gaza ceasefire offer implies no im-
preserving the intent to keep Russian oil in global markets, mediate end in sight to prolonged tensions in the Middle East.
Dimitrescu said. "These changes have been designed to Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu on 7 Febru-
ensure a balance between enforceability and maintaining ary rejected Hamas' latest offer for a ceasefire and return
incentives to continue trading." of hostages held in Gaza, according to reports. But US
Stricter enforcement measures already have had some secretary of state Tony Blinken said there was still room for
effects, including by hastening the exodus of Greek shipown- negotiation toward an agreement.
ers from the Urals trade. The cost of shipping Russian crude By Rhalain Reyes
through the Suez Canal to India's west coast and to China
rose sharply late last month. Discounts for Urals have wid-
ened in recent months because of difficulties in processing
payments and organizing shipments.
By Haik Gugarats
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