9:16 A

E Chegg ) EN-IN ¼

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a post office experience a seasonal pattern of

daily mail volume every week. The following
data for two representative weeks are
expressed in thousands of pieces of mail.

Day Week 1 Week 2

Sunday 5 8

Monday 20 15

Tuesday 30 32

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Wednesday 35 30

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Friday 70 70

Saturday 15 10

Total 224 210

Calculate a seasonal factor for each day of the

week?

If we assume 230000 pieces of mail to be

sorted next week, forecast the volume for
each day of the week?

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 9:17 A

C% accessedu.sk/the-pilot-short +

1) Thave solved this in Excel.The screenshot is attached

below. Let me explain the method:

In the question,there are 2 samples for 7 days( a week) each.

First, calculate the average for each day for these two
samples e.g. for Sunday, (5+8)/2 =13/2 = 6.5 is the average of
the samples. In the same manner, calculate average for each
day.(row 4 in the attached image)

Now,sum up all these averages for these 7 days and you will
get the value of 217 (cell 14).

Toget the seasonality factor, divide the average for each day
by the average of total (i.e 217/7=31 because there are 7 days
here).

So, 6.5/31 = youget the seasonality factor for Sunday, 17.5/31

= youget seasonality factor for Monday and so on.

This way, youwill get seasonality for all| 7 days.

2)To estimate the volume for each day for next week,

total mails to be sorted = 230,000

Tocalculate mails to be sorted on Sunday, multiply 230,000

with Sunday's seasonality factor and divide by sum total of
seasonality (cell15).

Forexample, for Sunday, = 0.21*230,000/7 =6,889 and so on

for all the other days.

Refer the image below for all the calculations,

A C D F G

1 Day Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Total Average per day
2 Week 1 20 3C 35 49 70 15 224 32.0
 9:17 A
FIIS, Calcurate ne average ror eacn day Tornese WO
samples e.g. for Sunday, (5+8)/2 =13/2 =6.5 is the average of
the samples. In the same manner, calculate average for each
day. (row 4 in the attached image)

Now, sum up all these averages for these 7 days and you will
get the value of 217 (cell 14).

To get the seasonality factor, divide the average for each day
by the average of total (i.e 217/7=31 because there are 7 days
here).

So,6.5/31 = youget the seasonality factor for Sunday, 17.5/31

= youget seasonality factor for Monday and so on.

This way, you will get seasonality for all 7 days.

2) To estimate the volume for each day for next week,

total mails to be sorted = 230,000

To calculate mails to be sorted on Sunday, multiply 230,000

with Sunday's seasonality factor and divide by sum total of
seasonality (cell 15).

For example, for Sunday, = 0.21*230,000/7 =6,889 and so on

for all the other days.

Refer the image below for allthe calculations,

A C D E G
B F H

1 Day Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Total Average per day
Week 1 20 30 35 49 15 224 32.0
Week 2 8 15 32 30 45 70 10 210 30.o
Average of 2 weeks 6. 75 31 32. 4 12.5 217 31.0

Seasonality factor for each day of week 0.21 0.56 1.00 1.05 1.52 2.26 0.40 7.00

6
Total mails to be sorted next week (estimated) 230,000
Day of the week Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Total
Mails to be sorted 6.889 18.548 32,857 49.816 74.194 13,249 230,000

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