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Today's World Fertility - Oliquino (BSM 1a)
Today's World Fertility - Oliquino (BSM 1a)
Fertility
The answer is that the governments of the countries with very low
fertility rates are evidently not celebrating the prospect that a
somewhat lower global population would be achieved as a result of
a major population decline in their countries. That is, while some
people like to think in terms of common global humanity, most
people and most governments care more about the future viability
of their own families and countries.
Low fertility has the drawback of reducing
population size only among the young, rather
than across the board. If the population is to
be demographically sustainable, low fertility
will eventually result in an age structure that
builds momentum for further population
decline. Additionally, populations with low
fertility may experience a sharp decline in size.
The longer low fertility persists, the more
challenging it is to stop population decline.
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Wanting more leisure time and personal freedom; not having a partner yet; and
being unable to afford child-care costs were the top reasons given by young
adults for not wanting or being certain they wanted children, according to a new
Morning Consult survey for The New York Times. These reasons exist not only in
America, but throughout the world, and choosing not to have children is
acceptable. Not everyone is ready or capable of starting a family. However, with
realization comes a set of consequences that affect the entire world. There is a
population decline due to low fertility rates. The longer low fertility persists, the
more difficult it is to reverse population decline. Countries that want to avoid
this situation must strive for higher levels of fertility while their age structures
continue to provide momentum for population growth.
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At the same time that governments work to increase birth rates, they must deal with the more immediate consequences
of low fertility, namely shrinking labor forces. If current demographic trends continue, Japan's labor force will decline
from 68 million to 46 million between 1999 and 2050, Italy's from 23 million to 14 million, and Germany's from 41 million to
28 million. Although increases in labor productivity over the next half-century are likely to be sufficient to maintain the
size of any one country's economy, capital will flow to countries with relatively high fertility and immigration, such as the
United States, in a global economy fixated on rates of economic growth.
With all of this information, and based on my observations, making the world a better place for all of us, particularly
children, will encourage many more people to have children. Supporting parental leave at the birth of children,
encouraging leave sharing, allowing employees to switch to part-time work with the right to return to full-time work,
providing quality, affordable child care, including after-school care, and recognizing the costs of children in the tax
system are all policy options.
Thank you!
Do you have any questions?
Credits.
Bloomberg - Are you a robot? (n.d.). Bloomberg - Are You a Robot? Retrieved December 7, 2022, from
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-31/korea-to-triple-baby-payments-in-bid-to-tackle-
fertility-crisis#:~:text=South%20Korea%20plans%20to%20provide,the%20world’s%20lowest%20fertility%20rate
Fertility - Wikipedia. (2019, March 1). Fertility - Wikipedia. Retrieved December 7, 2022, from
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fertility#:~:text=Fertility%20is%20the%20capability%20to,lifetime%20and%20is%20
quantified%20demographically
Low Fertility Not Politically Sustainable. (2001, September 1). Low Fertility Not Politically Sustainable | PRB.
Retrieved December 7, 2022, from https://www.prb.org/resources/low-fertility-not-politically-sustainable/
Population and Demographic Variables. (n.d.). Population and Demographic Variables. Retrieved December 7,
2022, from https://www.cliffsnotes.com/study-guides/sociology/population-and-urbanization/population-and-
demographic-variables
Roser, M. (n.d.). Fertility Rate. Our World in Data. Retrieved December 7, 2022, from
https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate