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JCM 2847133 Peer Review v2
JCM 2847133 Peer Review v2
Eike J Röhrig 1, Henning Schenkat 2, Nadine Hochhausen 1 , Anna B Röhl 1 , Matthias Derwall 1 , Rolf Rossaint 1 and 6
Felix Kork 1,* 7
Abstract: Patients’ comorbidities play an immanent role in perioperative risk assessment. It is un- 13
known how Charlson Comorbidity Indices (CCIs) from different sources compare. In this prospec- 14
tive observational study, we compared the CCIs of patients derived from patients’ self-report and 15
from physicians’ assessment with hospital administrative data. The data of 1,007 patients was ana- 16
lyzed. Agreement between the CCI from patients’ self-report compared to administrative data was 17
fair (kappa0.24;[95%CI 0.2–0.28]) and patients overestimated their comorbidities by half a point 18
(mean difference 0.39;limits of agreement -3.70–4.48). Agreement between physicians’ assessment 19
and the administrative data was also fair (kappa0.28[95%CI 0.25–0.31]), physicians overestimated 20
the CCI by one point (mean difference0.74; limits of agreement -3.19–4.68). Physicians’ assessment 21
and patients’ self-report had the best agreement (kappa0.33[95%CI 0.30–0.37]) and physicians over- 22
estimated comorbidities compared to patients by less than half a point (mean difference 0.34;limits 23
of agreement -3.25–3.95). The CCI calculated from the administrative data showed the best predict- 24
ability for in-hospital mortality (AUROC0.86[95%CI 0.68–0.91]), followed by equally good predic- 25
tion from physicians’ assessment (AUROC0.80[95%CI 0.65–0.94]) and patients’ self-report (AU- 26
ROC0.80[95%CI 0.75–0.97]). CCIs derived from patient’s self-report, physicians’ assessment and ad- 27
ministrative data perform equally well in predicting postoperative in-hospital mortality. 28
Citation: To be added by editorial
staff during production.
Keywords: outcome, frailty, perioperative care 29
30
Academic Editor: Firstname Last-
name
evaluate the risk of perioperative morbidity and mortality like the American Society of 44
Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status. [7] or the Elixhauser Comorbidity Score [8-10]. A 45
good compromise due to the poor interrater reliability or complexity of the scores could 46
be the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). The CCI was originally designed by Charlson 47
et al. in 1987 to predict the mortality of hospitalized patients [11]. While initially designed 48
for the general hospital population, the CCI has been frequently used in surgical contexts 49
[12-18]. Although sometimes the score has been calculated through a self-report question- 50
naire [19,20], it has more commonly been calculated from patients’ administrative data 51
[8,9] using one of the existing administrative data adaptations [21,22]. When calculated 52
from administrative data, the CCI is often used in retrospective analyses to account for 53
patients’ comorbidities. However, very little scientific data exist on the validity of the CCI 54
in the perioperative setting in general, but moreover, whether the CCI calculated from 55
administrative data is a suitable instrument to describe and control for comorbidities ret- 56
rospective analyses. 57
We therefore conducted a prospective observational study comparing (1) the pro- 58
spective CCI from patients’ self-report before and (2) anesthesiologists’ assessment after 59
the consultation with the anesthesiologist in our pre-procedural evaluation center to (3) 60
the CCI calculated from our hospital’s administrative data after patients’ discharge. Sec- 61
ondary aim of our study was to compare the predictive capability for perioperative mor- 62
tality of these different CCIs. 63
64
3. Results 133
During the study period, a total of 1,580 patients 18 years and older visited our pre- 135
procedural evaluation centre, a total of 1,114 were approached for participation in our 136
study, 63 declined to participate, and 1,051 were successfully recruited for inclusion in 137
our study. After the exclusion of 44 incomplete datasets, the data of 1,007 patients were 138
analyzed (Figure S1). 139
Patients were 52.1% (n = 525) female and the had a median age of 57 [IQR 39 to 58; Table 140
1]. 141
142
143
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 4 of 14
Table 1. Characteristics of the study population. Patients (n = 1,007) were assessed in our pre-anesthetic evaluation 144
clinic before elective surgery. 145
Participants (n = 1,007)
Characteristics
n, median (%), [IQR]
Type of Surgery
Outcome
148
149
150
151
152
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 5 of 14
42.3% (n = 426) of the study population underwent outpatient surgery while more than 153
half of the patients (54.1%; n = 581) underwent inpatient surgery. In-hospital mortality 154
was 0.9% (n = 5) in the inpatient population. According to the CCI derived from the 155
administrative data, “Malignancy without metastases” was the most common 156
comorbidity with 18.1% (n = 182) in our study cohort, followed by “Congestive heart 157
failure” and “Peripheral vascular disease” with 6.5% (n = 65) each. The least common 158
comorbidities were “Moderate or severe liver disease” with 0.4% (n = 4), “Peptic ulcer 159
disease” with 0.2% (n = 2), and “Dementia” with 0.1% (n = 1). No patient with “HIV or 160
AIDS” was included in our study (Table 1). 161
162
First, the numerical scores of the CCI obtained by the anesthesiologists’ assessment 164
(CCIphysician), the patients’ self-report (CCIpatients) and the calculations from the 165
administrative data (CCIadministrative) were compared. Correlation between the 166
anesthesiologists’ assessment and the administrative data was moderate ‘r = 0.59 (95% 167
CI 0.55 to 0.63); p < 0.001; Figure 1A)’ and the agreement was fair ‘kappa 0.28 0.25 to 168
0.31)’. The Bland-Altman-Analyses revealed that anesthesiologists overestimated the 169
CCI score by approximately one point ‘mean difference 0.74 (limits of agreement -3.19 to 170
4.68); Figure 1B)’. Similarly, patients’ self-report correlated moderately with the 171
administrative data ‘r = 0.52 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.57); p < 0.001; Figure 1C’, the agreement 172
was fair ‘kappa 0.24 (95%CI 0.21 to 0.28)’ and patients overestimated their comorbidities 173
half a point compared to the administrative data ‘mean difference 0.39 (limits of 174
agreement -3.70 to 4.48); Figure 1D’. Anesthesiologists’ assessment and patients’ self 175
report correlated best ‘r = 0.67 (95%CI 0.63 to 0.70); p = 0.001; Figure 1E’ had the best 176
agreement ‘kappa 0.33 (95%CI 0.30 to 0.37)’ and anesthesiologists overestimated 177
comorbidities compared to patients by less than half a point ‘mean difference 0.34 (limits 178
of agreement -3.25 to 3.95)’; Figure 1F, see also Table S3). 179
180
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 6 of 14
181
Figure 1. Pairwise comparison of Charlson Comorbidities Indices (CCIs) from anesthesiologists’ assessment (CCIphysician), pa- 182
tients’ self-report (CCIpatient) and administrative data (CCIadministrative) in 1,007 surgical patients. On the left, heat maps of cor- 183
relation and on the right, heatmap Bland-Altman plots of CCIs derived from (A, B) anesthesiologists’ assessment and administra- 184
tive data, (C, D) patients’ self-report and administrative data, and (E, F) anesthesiologists’ assessment and patients’ self-report. 185
186
187
Frequency of the individual CCI items from anesthesiologists’ assessment and 189
patients’ self-report are displayed in Table 2, from the administrative data in Table 1. 190
The agreement of these individual CCI items between anesthesiologists’ assessment, 191
self-report and administrative data are shown in Table 2. Overall, most items only show 192
a fair to moderate agreement. 193
194
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 7 of 14
Table 2. Frequency of Charlson Comorbidity Index items in anesthesiologists’ and patients’ questionnaires in 1,007 pre-anesthesio- 195
logic consultations. 196
198
When comparing physician’s assessment with the administrative data, agreement was 199
only moderate: “Congestive Heart Failure” ‘kappa 0.54 (95%CI 0.44 to 0.53)’, “Metastatic 200
solid tumor” ‘Cohen’s kappa 0.54 (95%CI 0.43 to 0.66)’ and “Malignancy without 201
metastases” ‘kappa 0.51 (95%CI 0.44 to 0.57)’ showed the best agreement. In contrast, 202
“Peptic Ulcer Disease”, “Dementia” and “AIDS” showed no agreement (Table 3). 203
204
Table 3. Agreement for physicians’ assessment, patients’ self-report and administrative data for 205
each item of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (Cohen’s kappa with 95%CI) in 1,007 surgical pa- 206
tients. 207
Malignancy without metastases 0.51 (0.44 – 0.57) 0.46 (0.38 – 0.53) 0.50 (0.43 – 0.57)
Congestive heart failure 0.54 (0.44 – 0.63) 0.46 (0.21 – 0.42) 0.50 (0.40 – 0.59)
Peripheral vascular disease 0.34 (0.24 – 0.43) 0.46 (0.09 – 0.26) 0.32 (0.23 – 0.40)
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 8 of 14
Chronic pulmonary disease 0.37 (0.28 – 0.46) 0.39 (0.29 – 0.49) 0.49 (0.41 – 0.57)
Diabetes without complication 0.41 (0.30 – 0.51) 0.42 (0.32 – 0.53) 0.63 (0.55 – 0.72)
Renal disease 0.46 (0.36 – 0.55) 0.40 (0.30 – 0.51) 0.62 (0.53 – 0.70)
Metastatic solid tumor 0.54 (0.43 – 0.66) 0.46 (0.34 – 0.58) 0.63 (0.52 – 0.73)
Cerebrovascular disease 0.28 (0.16 – 0.39) 0.10 (-0.02 – 0.21) 0.11 (0.01 – 0.21)
Mild liver disease 0.16 (0.02 – 0.30) 0.12 (-0.01 – 0.24) 0.28 (0.13 – 0.44)
Myocardial Infarction 0.29 (0.18 – 0.40) 0.32 (0.20 – 0.45) 0.70 (0.62 – 0.79)
Hemiplegia 0.24 (0.01 – 0.47) 0.09 (-0.09 – 0.26) 0.25 (0.01 – 0.49)
Diabetes with chronic complication 0.40 (0.19 – 0.61) 0.22 (0.00 – 0.44) 0.34 (0.15 – 0.53)
Rheumatic disease 0.27 (0.12 – 0.42) 0.16 (0.04 – 0.28) 0.30 (0.18 – 0.42)
Moderate or severe liver disease 0.10 (-0.03 – 0.24) 0.18 (0.00 – 0.36) 0.44 (0.28 – 0.60)
Peptic Ulcer Disease 0.00 (-0.01 – 0.00) 0.00 (-0.01 – 0.00) 0.30 (0.15 – 0.46)
Dementia 0.00 (0.00 – 0.00) 0.28 (-0.15 – 0.72) 0.15 (-0.12 – 0.42)
AIDS 0.00 (0.00 – 0.00) 0.00 (0.00 – 0.00) 0.00 (0.00 – 0.00)
AIDS: acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; CI: Confidence interval 208
209
The comparison between the patients’ self-report with the administrative data revealed 210
poorer agreement: Similar to the comparison of the physician’s assessment compared 211
with the administrative data, the best agreement was also found for the two items 212
“Malignancy without metastases” ‘kappa 0.46 (95%CI 0.38 to 0.53)’ and “Metastatic solid 213
tumor” ‘kappa 0.46 (95%CI 0.34 to 0.58)’, followed by “Diabetes without complication” 214
‘kappa of 0.42 (95%CI 0.32 to 0.53)’ and “Renal Disease” ‘kappa of 0.40 (95%CI 0.30 to 215
0.51)’ with moderate agreement. No agreement was found for the items “Peptic Ulcer 216
Disease” and “AIDS” (Table 3). 217
The best agreements were found when comparing the anesthesiologists’ assessment 218
with the patients’ self-report. Substantial agreement was found for the item “Myocardial 219
infarction” ‘kappa of 0.70 (95%CI 0.62 to 0.79)’, “Diabetes without complication” ‘kappa 220
0.63 (95%CI 0.55 to 0.72)’, “Metastatic solid tumor” ‘kappa 0.63 (95%CI 0.55 to 0.72)’ and 221
“Renal Disease” ‘kappa 0.63 (95%CI 0.52 to 0.73)’. Again, there was no agreement for the 222
item “AIDS/HIV” (Table 3). 223
224
Figure 2 shows the predictive capabilities of the numerical CCIs for in-hospital 226
mortality in the subgroup of 581 surgical inpatients. The CCI calculated from the 227
administrative data showed the best predictability for in-hospital mortality ‘AUROC 228
0.80 (95%CI 0.66 to 0.94)’. The predictive capabilities by the CCIs from the 229
anesthesiologists’ assessment and the patients’ self-report were equally good in 230
predicting in-hospital death ‘CCIphysician AUROC 0.75 (95%CI 0.62 to 0.88) and 231
CCIpatient AUROC 0.77 (95%CI 0.61 to 0.93), p = 0.88’, but both were inferior compared 232
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 9 of 14
to the predictive capabilities of the administrative data, although not reaching statistical 233
significance (p > 0.58). 234
235
236
237
238
Figure 2. Prediction of surgical in-hospital mortality by three differently derived Charlson Comor- 239
bidity Indices (CCIs) in 581 surgical in-patients. The CCI calculated from the administrative data 240
(CCIadministrative) showed the best (AUROC 0.86) predictability for in-hospital mortality. Pre- 241
dictions by the CCIs from the anesthesiologists’ assessment (CCIphysician AUROC 0.80) and the 242
patients’ self-report of comorbidities (CCIpatient AUROC 0.80) equally good but inferior to the 243
CCI calculated from the administrative data. Pairwise comparison of the ROC curves was not sta- 244
tistically significant (p >0.18). 245
246
247
4. Discussion 248
In this prospective observational study, we compared three differently collected ver- 249
sions of the CCI in the perioperative setting: one from anesthesiologists’ during pre-pro- 250
cedural assessment, one from patients’ self-report before pre-procedural assessment, and 251
one calculated from the hospitals’ administrative data after patients’ discharge. Regarding 252
the numerical CCI, we found that there was only fair agreement between the anesthesiol- 253
ogists’ assessment and the patients’ self-report when compared with the administrative 254
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 10 of 14
data. Both the anesthesiologists and the patients overestimated the CCI by 1 and 0.5 255
points, respectively. Best agreement was found between anesthesiologists’ assessment 256
and patients’ self-report. When comparing the individual items, “tumor without metasta- 257
ses”, “metastatic solid tumor” and “congestive heart failure” showed the best agreements 258
in all pair-wise comparisons. Surprisingly, and despite the poor agreement of the three 259
CCIs, all three presented themselves to be equally good predictors of in-hospital mortal- 260
ity. 261
One strength of our prospective observational study is the sample size of 1,007 with 262
a fairly even split between in- and outpatients (58% vs. 42%) as well as females and males 263
(52% vs. 48%). We explicitly designed the data acquisition in a way that filling out the 264
questionnaires by patients and anesthesiologists did not coincide. However, we cannot 265
rule out that patients filling out the questionnaire while waiting for consultation with the 266
anesthesiologist influenced patients’ behavior and reporting in their subsequent 267
pre-anesthesiologic consultation. 268
A high rate of 90% of the approached patients were included in the study, but we 269
could only approach 71% of eligible patients. This has most likely introduced bias in our 270
study. In addition, we only approached patients who were scheduled for elective surgery 271
who were able to come to our evaluation center either by foot or in a wheelchair. This fact 272
most likely skewed our study population, especially the inpatient subgroup, towards 273
younger and/or physically fitter patients resulting in lower CCI scores and a lower mor- 274
tality rate in in-patients. Additionally, as the questionnaires were in German, non-Ger- 275
man-speakers were not included. It is possible that a different set of comorbidities may be 276
more prevalent in this group and could lead to different agreements. In addition, gener- 277
alizability of these results may be limited because a higher proportion of comorbid pa- 278
tients are treated in German tertiary care university hospitals compared to hospitals of 279
lower care. 280
Misclassification bias for comorbid conditions may have happened because of inac- 281
curate diagnosis coding. Therefore, administrative data would rather underestimate pa- 282
tients’ comorbidities than misclassified. This goes in line with the fact, that anesthesiolo- 283
gists and patients underestimated the numerical CCI compared to administrative data. 284
Altogether, we therefore assume high data quality. 285
Our study has two unique aspects compared to other studies. First, we compared 286
three differently collected CCIs while most other studies compared either patients’ self- 287
report with administrative data [25-28] or anesthesiologists’ assessment with administra- 288
tive data [29]. Furthermore, only few studies compared anesthesiologists’ assessment with 289
patients’ self-report [29]. We are not aware of any study comparing three different CCIs 290
in a diverse surgical patient population, especially not in a pre-procedural anesthesia eval- 291
uation center. Subject of most comparable studies were population-based analyses [27,30], 292
emergency patients [25], or patients with arthritis [29]. 293
We found that anesthesiologists’ assessment overestimated the CCI from adminis- 294
trative data by approximately one point. This fact may be explained by differing patient 295
perception of different CCI sources: While the paper-based questionnaire was filled out 296
by anesthesiologists, the ICD diagnosis codes were added to the administrative data on 297
the surgical wards. It is likely that anesthesiologists rather focus on the cardiopulmonary 298
fitness, whereas surgeons rather focus on the surgical reason for admission. This conjec- 299
ture is supported by the fact that the agreement of particular items of the CCI differ. While 300
agreement between the anesthesiologists’ assessment with administrative data on surgical 301
aspects such malignancies with or without metastases were rather high, agreement was 302
poorer on comorbidities (Table 3) that are well known to be associated with poorer cardi- 303
opulmonary fitness and therefore with adverse perioperative outcomes, i.e. diabetes 304
[31,32], renal disease [33,34], and liver disease [13,35]. 305
A similar effect could explain the CCI overestimation of patients’ self-report when 306
compared to administrative data – or undercoding in the administrative data compared 307
to patients’ self-report. In fact, other studies have demonstrated similar results. For 308
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 11 of 14
example, one study found fair to poor agreement when comparing patients’ self-reported 309
CCI with the CCI calculated from administrative data in 520 emergency room patients 310
[25]. The authors explain their findings solely by the high age in their study population 311
and the unreliable report of comorbidities by the elderly. The median age in our study 312
was indeed lower but most likely had a similar effect to the one described above: The 313
predominantly surgically driven diagnoses coding for the administrative data could have 314
led to ‘undercoding’ of certain ‘non-surgical’ comorbidities while in contrast, patients and 315
anesthesiologists were more meticulous when reporting or detecting these comorbidities. 316
Two facts support this notion: First, single “non-surgical” items with great impact on the 317
numerical CCI score had poor agreement, e.g. diabetes with complications (2 points) or 318
moderate to severe liver disease. Second, anesthesiologists and patients came closest 319
when assessing these comorbidities especially in contrast to the comparison of either as- 320
sessment with the administrative data. As a matter of fact, while only 55 patients had 321
diabetes with complications (2 points as item of the CCI) coded in the administrative data, 322
88 patients reported this comorbidity and anesthesiologists detected it in 92 patients (Ta- 323
ble 1 and Table 2). The magnitude of this effect is even more pronounced for moderate to 324
severe liver disease (3 points as item of the CCI): Only four patients had diabetes with 325
complications coded in the administrative data, while 28 patients reported it, and anes- 326
thesiologists detected it in 33 patients. In addition, these two examples also demonstrate 327
why patients’ self-report and anesthesiologists’ assessment had the best agreement. 328
The CCI, established in 1987 by Charlson and colleagues as a tool for classifying 329
comorbid conditions [11], has since been validated to assess and adjust for comorbidities 330
in various patient populations [8,19,36]. With the possibility to calculate the CCI automat- 331
ically from administrative data, it became an easy-to-use popular tool used in a multitude 332
of studies [9]. However, the CCI has not been validated for all types of patients. To our 333
knowledge, there is no validation for surgical patients. In this manner, we have found that 334
adjusting the weights of the CCI in a sample of 180,000 surgical patients largely improves 335
the predictability of in-hospital mortality in a general surgical population [13]. The ques- 336
tion remained, whether anesthesiologists’ assessment or patients self-report of CCI items 337
were better compared to administrative data in surgical patients. The results of this study 338
are limited by the small number of events and the in part very poor agreement on single 339
items between the different CCI sources. However, the predictability for in-hospital mor- 340
tality was surprisingly good for all three CCI scores (AUROC ≥0.80). This is well in line 341
with results from a few other studies. A just recently published systematic review found 342
26 studies that predicted mortality from the CCI with an AUROC from 0.66 to 0.90 [37]. 343
Notably, none of the included studies were conducted in surgical patients, most studies 344
investigated patients on internal medicine wards and acute geriatric wards. Despite the 345
limitations in our surgical patient sample, the CCI from patients’ self-report, anesthesiol- 346
ogists’ assessment or hospital administrative data appears to be equally well suited for 347
the prediction of in-hospital mortality and can therefore be used equally well when ad- 348
justing for comorbidities. 349
In addition to facilitating research in perioperative patient population, our findings 350
may also have an impact on clinical practice in the future. An automated comorbidity 351
assessment by self-report or from administrative data may improve and expedite the pre- 352
operative assessment processes. Anesthesiologists could already be presented with a de- 353
tailed comorbidity profile of the patient at first consultation, allowing them to faster plan 354
a tailored anesthesiologic and perioperative treatment. Moreover, together with infor- 355
mation on the planned surgery and a self-learning model form retrospective hospital data, 356
anesthesiologists and surgeons could be presented with detailed risk estimates for indi- 357
vidual patients allowing them to take individually tailored pre-, intra-, and postoperative 358
interventions or safety measures to improve patient’s outcome. 359
5. Conclusions 360
J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, x FOR PEER REVIEW 12 of 14
patient’s self-report with administrative data, and patients’ self-report with 362
and anaesthesiologists’ assessment reached the best agreement. When assessing the 364
predictive capacity of these three CCI, all performed equally well in predicting in-hospital 365
mortality with a slight advantage when calculated from administrative data. Self-report, 366
anaesthesiologists’ assessment as well as administrative data can therefore be used equally 367
well to assess or control for comorbidities in surgical patient populations when researching 368
perioperative outcomes and could also expedite assessment processes and improve patient 369
care in the future when automated and integrated reasonably in routine patient care. 370
Supplementary Materials: The following supporting information can be downloaded at: 371
www.mdpi.com/xxx/s1, Table S1: Patients questionnaire; Table S2: Anesthesiologists questionnaire; 372
Table S3: Pairwise comparison of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), Figure S1: Flow chart of 373
patient inclusion. 374
Author Contributions: “Conceptualization, F.K.; methodology, H.S., N.H., A.B.R. and F.K..; formal 375
analysis, E.J.R. and F.K.; investigation, E.J.R..; resources, H.S. and M.D.; writing—original draft 376
preparation, E.J.R.; writing—review and editing, N.H., A.B.R., M.D., R.R. and F.K.; visualization, 377
E.J.R. and F.K.; supervision, R.R..; project administration, F.K. All authors have read and agreed to 378
the published version of the manuscript.” 379
Institutional Review Board Statement: The study was conducted in accordance with the Declara- 381
tion of Helsinki and approved by the Ethics Committee of the Medical Faculty, RWTH Aachen Uni- 382
versity (EK 056/17 on 1 March 2017). 383
Informed Consent Statement: Informed consent was obtained from all subjects involved in the 384
study. 385
386
Data Availability Statement: Data is contained within the article or supplementary material. 387
Acknowledgments: The authors thank Adrijana Kolar for her patience and logistic support in our 388
pre-procedural evaluation center. 389
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