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2020RBF - Social Comparison
2020RBF - Social Comparison
2020RBF - Social Comparison
https://www.emerald.com/insight/1940-5979.htm
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how social comparison and motivation to compete
account for elevated risk-taking in fund management corroborated by asset market experiments when
performance depends on rank-based incentives.
Design/methodology/approach – In two laboratory experiments, university students (n1 5 240/n2 5 120)
make choices between risky and certain outcomes of hypothetical sums of money. Both experiments
investigate in which direction risky choices in an individual condition (individual risk preference) are shifted
when participants compare their performance to another participant’s performance (social comparison), being
instructed or not to outperform the other (incentive to compete).
Findings – In the absence of incentives to compete, participants tend to minimize the differences between
expected outcomes to themselves and to the other, but when provided with incentives to compete, they tend to
maximize these differences. An independent additional increase in risk-taking is observed when participants
are provided with incentives to compete.
Originality/value – Original findings include that social comparison does not evoke motivation to compete
unless incentives are offered and that increases in risk-taking depend both on what the other chooses and the
incentives.
Keywords Mutual fund industry, Performance evaluation, Financial risk-taking, Social comparison,
Competition
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
It is common that companies in the mutual fund industry seek to improve investment
managers’ performance by offering performance-based compensation (Ma et al., 2019).
Higher salaries are paid to those whose performance ranks highest, and at the same time,
those whose performance ranks lowest run the risk of demotion or even losing their jobs
(Chevalier and Ellison, 1999; Kempf et al., 2009). The rank-based personnel policies are
believed to motivate investment managers to compete for better performance. A drawback of
these policies is that they also tend to induce managerial risk-taking. The existing literature
has identified various conditions under which rank-order tournaments induce managerial
risk-taking, both in actual markets (Brown et al., 1996; Chevalier and Elison, 1997) and in
experimental asset markets (e.g. Fang et al., 2017; Kirchler et al., 2019) [1]. Our aim is to
investigate how social comparison and motivation to compete affect risk-taking.
This research was financially supported by Grant No. 2010-02449 to the Centre for Finance, School of
Business, Economics, and Law, University of Gothenburg, G€oteborg, Sweden, from the Swedish
Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems (VINNOVA), and Grant No. 2015-01713 to Martin
Holmen from the Swedish Research Council. Review of Behavioral Finance
The paper was presented at the Behavioral Finance Working Group conference at Queen Mary © Emerald Publishing Limited
1940-5979
University of London, June 12-13, 2017. We thank a discussant and other participants for comments. DOI 10.1108/RBF-11-2019-0153
RBF G€arling et al. (2019) review research of the relations between financial risk-taking, social
comparison and competition. In the next section, we derive hypotheses based on a selective
summary of the reviewed research. We then report two experiments that investigate how
social comparison and motivation to compete influence risk-taking. In the experiments, the
frequency of choices of a risky option made by participants individually is compared to the
frequency of their choices of the same risky option when information is disclosed about
another participant’s choices. The main results provide qualified support for the hypotheses
that social comparison (information about the other participant’s choices) shifts the
individual risk preference in the direction of minimizing the differences between the expected
outcomes to the participant and to the other, whereas motivation to compete (instructions to
outperform the other participant) shifts the individual risk preference in the direction of
maximizing the differences between expected outcomes. Whether risk-taking increases or
decreases thus depends on the other’s choices and the motivation to compete. An additional
independent increase in risk-taking is observed when participants are motivated to compete.
2. Hypotheses
2.1 Social comparison
An individual risk preference is recognized to be an important determinant of differences in
trading in asset market experiments (Noussair and Tucker, 2013; Palan, 2013; Powell and
Shestakova, 2016). In line with this, we propose Hypothesis H1 that the individual risk
preference is a baseline from which social comparison and motivation to compete may cause
shifts.
Comparing oneself to others provides performance feedback (Garcia et al., 2013, 2020).
Since social comparison frequently evokes the goal of not differing from others (Hodges, 2017;
Karau and Williams, 1993), the performance feedback may reduce motivation to compete.
This is observed in asset markets when investors make the same choices as others do
(Spyrou, 2013). This kind of herding may result from direct influences as when investors
imitate others because they trust the others’ knowledge more than they trust their own
knowledge (Andersson et al., 2009, 2014). Herding may also reflect motivation to cooperate
(Bowden, 2013). In herding investors copy others’ choices believing the outcome is beneficial,
whereas in cooperation others’ choices are copied only if the joint expected outcome is
beneficial.
We propose Hypothesis H2 that information about others’ choices shifts the individual
risk preference in the direction that minimizes the differences between the expected outcomes
to oneself and to others. If the expected outcomes are not known [2], the choices are instead
proposed to be aligned with the others’ choices. Possible motives include reliance on others’
knowledge to reduce uncertainty (Andersson et al., 2009, 2014) or willingness to cooperate
(Balliet et al., 2009; Savikin and Sheremeta, 2013).
Gibbons and Buunk (1999) develop a self-report measure (INCOM) to assess individual
differences in social comparison orientation. INCOM has two correlated subscales, one that
measure the tendency to make social comparison with respect to ability, the other with
respect to opinion [3]. We propose Hypothesis H3 that the stronger the social comparison
orientation with respect to ability, the larger the shifts of the individual risk preference in the
direction of minimizing the differences between the expected outcomes to oneself and to
others, or more frequently aligning choices with the others’ choices.
2.2 Competition
In previous empirical research investigating competition, participants only experience the
presence of others when working on some common task (the “mere physical presence” effect,
e.g. Guerin, 1986), are instructed to outperform physically or virtually present others without Financial
being offered monetary rewards or punishments (see review of psychological research by risk-taking
Murayama and Elliot, 2012), or are incentivized by monetary rewards or punishments
depending on their performance compared to others (as in all-pay auctions, lottery contests or
tournament experiments in economics, see review by Dechenaux et al., 2015).
If financial risk-taking has some competitive context (e.g. trading in asset markets, betting
on soccer games or horse races), people with knowledge may feel more confident and take
more risk even though objectively their knowledge does not increase their probability of
success (Fox and Tversky, 1995; Heath and Tversky, 1991). People may in contests increase
risk-taking because they perceive that the competitors are less skilled or lucky (Fox and
Weber, 2002). G€arling et al. (2019) propose that in risk-taking tournaments social comparison
is susceptible to a motivated-reasoning bias of being more skilled than the competitors which
induces overconfidence resulting in increased risk-taking.
Avoiding risk should in asset markets be preferred to taking risk if a safe option (not
investing) is more likely to be beneficial and the reverse if a risky option (investing) is more
likely to be beneficial. Whether this occurs in risk-taking tournaments is questioned by
observations of elevated risk-taking in experiments conducted by Eriksen and KvalØy (2017)
and Schedlinsky et al. (2016). When participants compete in groups for a prize to the winner,
acting as if risk-taking is believed to be a winning strategy, they choose to invest despite that
the expected value is negative and the dominant strategy is to not invest. Financial risk-
taking also increases for participants lagging behind (Eriksen and KvalØy, 2017;
Schedlinsky et al., 2016). In a similar vein, Schoenberg and Haruvy (2012) show that
upward social comparisons with the highest ranked competitor result in more overpricing of
assets than downward social comparisons with the lowest ranked competitor. Kuziemko et al.
(2014) find that risk-taking is more frequent if participants are ranked last than in other
positions.
Kirchler et al. (2019) conduct an experiment in which financial professionals invest more in
a risky asset when ranks are disclosed even if not payment-related. In the same asset market
experiment with reduced stakes, students invest more in the risky asset only when ranks are
payment-related. Rank information per se is thus sufficient to increase professionals’ risk-
taking, whereas payments need to be added to increase students’ risk-taking. The latter
finding is however inconsistent with the results of an experiment by Dijk et al. (2014) in which
students construct portfolios from stocks with positively (more risky) or negatively (less
risky) skewed return distributions. Information about ranks after each period has similar
effects on risk-taking no matter whether or not payments are associated with the ranks.
The reviewed studies suggest that both monetary and nonmonetary incentives may
increase risk-taking in risk-taking tournaments. We propose Hypothesis H4 that when
comparing oneself to others, monetary or nonmonetary incentives to compete make the
individual risk preference shift in the direction that maximizes the differences between the
expected outcomes to oneself and to other competitors, or by aligning choices away from
the others’ choices.
A meta-analysis by Murayama and Elliot (2012) finds no significant relationship between
performance and competition. In the studies included in the meta-analysis, competition is
operationalized as dispositional competiveness, nonmonetary incentives to compete or
monetary incentives to compete. Only dispositional competitiveness yields a significant
although weak effect. A proposed explanation of the null result is the operation of two
opposing mediating processes, pursuit of performance-approach goals facilitating
performance and pursuit of performance-avoidance goals undermining performance.
Dispositional competitiveness is defined as a desire to win contests. Houston et al. (2002a)
and Harris and Houston (2010) develop a self-report measure referred to as the Competiveness
Index (CI) [4]. Houston et al. (2002b) observe a significant positive correlation between CI and a
RBF measure of need for achievement, thus suggesting that dispositional competitiveness
increases the pursuit of performance-approach goals that shifts the individual risk
preference. But since Hypothesis H4 implies that social comparison provides performance
feedback, we propose Hypothesis H5 that both dispositional competiveness and social
comparison orientation strengthen shifts of the individual risk preference in the direction that
the differences between the expected outcomes to oneself and to others are maximized, or that
choices are more frequently aligned away from others’ choices.
3. Method
In order to investigate whether social comparison and motivation to compete cause shifts
in the individual risk preference as proposed in Hypothesis H1, in one condition the
individual risk preference is measured following Dohmen et al.’s (2011) procedure of
observing choices between a fixed risky monetary option and varying safe monetary
options. The choices in this individual condition are then repeated to investigate shifts
caused by information about others’ choices. The participants are informed about the
choices ostensibly made before them by a single other participant facing the same choices.
Providing information about the choices of a single participant would likely make the
influence maximally strong (Garcia and Tor, 2009; Tor and Garcia, 2010). The other
participant is not physically present to minimize influences of physical presence on risk-
taking (Chou and Nordgren, 2017).
In one between-groups condition referred to as social comparison, following the
measurement of individual risk preference, the participants are presented information
about the other’s choices. The purpose is to investigate whether according to Hypothesis H2
the differences between the expected outcomes are minimized. In another between-groups
condition, referred to as competition, the participants are instructed to outperform the other.
The purpose is to investigate whether according to Hypothesis H4 the differences between
the expected outcomes are maximized.
In Experiment 1 and in one condition of Experiment 2, minimizing the differences between
the expected outcomes is achieved by aligning the choices with the other’s choices and
maximizing the differences by aligning the choices away from the other’s choices. In another
condition of Experiment 2, the reverse pattern of choices in the social comparison and
competition conditions minimizes, respectively, maximizes the differences between the
expected outcomes, thus investigating whether the participants minimize (maximize) the
expected outcomes when they align their choices with (away from) the other’s choices.
Investigating whether risk-taking differs whether the other takes risk or not, the other
participant chooses the safe options in Experiment 1 and the risky option in Experiment 2.
University students recruited as participants are expected to have a stronger motivation
to compete than the general population (Kirchler et al., 2019). To investigate Hypotheses H3
and H5, we use a measure based on INCOM (Gibbons and Buunk, 1999) to assess social
comparison orientation, and a measure based on CI (Harris and Houston, 2010) to assess
dispositional competitiveness.
Model 1 Model 2
Df MS F p Df MS F p
Df MS F p
7 7
Same Outcomes Reversed Outcomes
6 6
5
Adjusted Mean Risk Taking
4 4
3 3
2 2
1 1
Figure 1.
Adjusted mean choices
of risky option in
0 0
experiment 2
Social Comparison Competition Social Comparison Competition
RBF SCO ratings on the first component, for the three DC ratings on the second component
(correlating r 5 0.26 with the first component), and for the rating of importance of financial
success (IFS) on the third component (correlating r 5 0.07 with both the first and second
components). Indexes of the first two components are constructed by averaging the ratings
with high loadings (SCO: mean 5 4.34, 95% CI[4.19, 4.50]), α 5 0.86; DC: mean 5 3.95, 95%
CI[3.78, 4.12]), α 5 0.89). The SCO and DC indexes correlate 0.32 (p < 0.001), IFS (M 5 3.39,
95% CI[3.19, 3.52]) correlates r 5 0.21 (p < 0.001) with SCO and r 5 0.12 (p 5 0.028) with DC,
the rating of importance of social comparison correlates r 5 0.45 (p < 0.001) with SCO and
r 5 0.03 (p 5 0.596) with DC, and the rating of importance of competition correlates r 5 0.23
(p < 0.001) with the rating of importance of social comparison, r 5 0.35 (p < 0.001) with DC,
and r 5 0.38 (p < 0.001) with SCO. Adding the importance ratings to the SCO and DC
indexes decreases αs. Analyses of variance performed separately on the SCO index, DC
index and IFS rating yield no significant effects (p > 0.05) of the experimental treatments,
thus failing to show any reverse carry over.
In order to make possible to use all the data in the same correlation analyses, choices of the
risky option are reverse coded in Experiment 2 when the outcomes to the participant and the
other are the same. The choices then always maximize the differences between the expected
outcomes. Table 3 shows that when controlling for the individual risk preference, in
agreement with Hypothesis H3 the correlation with the SCO index is negative in the social
comparison conditions, and in agreement with Hypothesis H5 both the correlations with the
SCO index and the DI index are positive in the competition conditions. However, the only
significant correlation is between the rating of IFS and the maximal differences between the
expected outcomes in the competition condition.
Social comparison 0.05 (0.267) 0.06 (0.225) 0.01 (0.453) 0.02 (0.377) 0.05 (0.259) 0.17 (0.014)
or competition
condition
Table 3. Note(s): Correlations between the number of risky choices maximizing differences between expected
Product moment outcomes in experiments 1 and 2, social comparison orientation (SCO) index, dispositional competitiveness (DC)
correlations (one-tailed index and rating of influence of financial success (IFS) in social comparison and competition conditions.
p values in (Adjustments are made for the correlations with the number of choices of the risky option in the individual
parentheses) condition and the correlations with the other indexes are partialled out, and adjustments)
a minority of the participants retrospectively report that they are influenced by the other’s Financial
choices, fewer in the social comparison than in the competition condition. The results for both risk-taking
experiments displayed in Figure 2 substantiate the important role of the individual risk
preference in that close to half of the choices when the other’s choices are disclosed (in
Experiment 1 choices of the safe option and in Experiment 2 choices of the risky option with
the same or reversed outcomes) do not differ from those made when the other’s choices are not
disclosed. This is consistent with the finding in Linde and Sonnemans (2012, 2015) that
individual risk preference is strongly affected by the information about others’ choices.
Figure 2 shows that consistent with Hypotheses H2 and H4, we observe that more
frequently in the competition condition than in the social comparison condition participants
shift the individual risk preference in the direction that maximizes the differences in the
expected outcomes compared to the other’s expected outcomes. These differences in both
experiments are however only statistically significant in Experiment 2. The results of
Experiment 1 are similar compared to the results in the condition of Experiment 2 in which
the outcomes are the same to the participant and the other, thus suggesting that it makes little
difference whether the other takes risk or not. However, when in Experiment 2 the risky
outcomes are reversed, the choices are no longer aligned with the other’s choices in the social
comparison condition or away from the other’s choices in the competition condition. In the
former condition, the safe options tend to be chosen instead of the same risky option as the
other chooses. When it is not possible to attain the same outcomes, the participants thus tend
to prefer a possible relative loss to foregoing an absolute gain. This is additional evidence for
that social comparison alone does not evoke motivation to compete. The main effect of
competition in Experiment 2, which accounts for the lower percent of choices of maximizing
the differences between the expected outcomes in Figure 2, suggests that when motivated to
compete, participants increase risk-taking. This is thus observed in our choice experiments as
in the trading-like experiments conducted by Eriksen and KvalØy (2017) and Schedlinsky
et al. (2016).
It may be argued that the weak effect of social comparison is the result of inattention to the
relative outcomes. Although this possibility cannot by fully ruled out, the results for explicit
Yes
Maximizing
differences No
between the Social comparison: 66.0%, [56.9%, 75.1%]
expected Competition: 43.0%, [32.9%, 53.1%]
outcomes?
Figure 2.
Yes
Percent choices and
Social comparison: 34.0%, [24.9%, 43.1%] 95% confidence
Competition: 57.0%, [46.9%, 67.1%]
intervals
RBF descriptions in Experiment 1 suggest that relative outcomes are attended. Explicitly
described outcomes still reduce risk-taking when absolute and relative outcomes are added.
This is an indication of that explicit vs implicit descriptions play some role, as has been found
in other choice experiments (Soman, 2004).
Another finding is the demonstration of the role of absolute losses compared to losses
relative to the other’s outcomes. The results of Experiment 1 show in accordance with loss
aversion in Prospect Theory (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979) that risk-taking decreases when
there are absolute losses, implying that absolute losses are weighed more than absolute gains.
The decrease in risk-taking is slightly larger than in the individual condition when the other’s
choices are disclosed, failing to support that relative gains are weighed more than relative
losses (Dijk, 2017; Linde and Sonnemans, 2012). It also highlights that in the experiments by
Eriksen and KvalØy (2017) and Schedlinsky et al. (2016), normal returns may have an effect
independent of the relative outcomes. For instance, Schedlinsky et al. (2016) show that the
outcomes’ expected values influences risk-taking.
In analyzing the results of Experiments 1 and 2 together, SCO and DC influence
differences between the expected outcomes to the participant and to the other in the
hypothesized direction (Hypotheses H3 and H5) but fail to reach significance. Only the
correlation with importance of financial success is significant. It is conceivable that
the results are different than in previous studies (e.g. Garcia et al., 2013, 2020; Gibbons and
Buunk, 1999) because in contrast to these studies, financial risk-taking is investigated. The
correlation with the importance of financial success may reflect individual differences in the
desire to participate in contests about money.
In concluding, our research shows that an important influence on increased risk-taking is
incentives that increase motivation to compete. Only information about another’s choices is
not sufficient. Yet, in Experiment 1 risk-taking in the competition condition is not as high as
expected. The reason may be that increasing risk-taking also increases the possibility of
losing, augmented by the fact that losses are both absolute and relative. Thus, fear of losing
may also play a role. In Experiment 2 when the other takes risk and the outcomes are
reversed, the possibility to lose relative to the other is the same whether increasing or
decreasing risk-taking, whereas increasing risk-taking may result in a higher relative gain. In
line with G€arling et al. (2019), that the other chooses risk may in the competition condition
boost motivation to compete due to overconfidence if social comparison is biased in the
direction of being more skilled or lucky than the other. Although the results in the competition
condition of Experiment 2 are similar to the results of Eriksen and KvalØy (2017) and
Schedlinsky et al. (2016), the explanation by G€arling et al. differs from theirs.
The results of this research cannot be directly generalized to how social comparison and
motivation to compete affect actual fund management but call for future research that moves
toward such generalizations. One research topic is to identify factors that induce asset market
participants with tournament incentives to cooperate instead of to compete (cf. Fang et al.,
2017; Savikin and Sheremeta, 2013). The role of overconfidence caused by rank-order
incentives is another topic worth investigating (G€arling et al., 2019). Of several available
definitions and methods of measuring overconfidence (Glaser et al., 2007), studies should use
measures of beliefs of how one’s own skill compares to others’ skill.
Notes
1. A vast number of rank-order tournament experiments (for a review, see Dechenaux et al., 2015)
investigate optimal effort choices by observing contestants choosing between outcome distributions
with different means associated with costly effort. As noted by Nieken and Sliwka (2010), choices
between outcome distributions with different variances (e.g. risky and safe outcomes) have been
investigated less frequently. We primarily focus on such risk-taking tournaments, which arguably
are the most relevant for applications to mutual fund managements.
2. In asset market experiments with rank-based incentives, the expected outcomes to oneself and Financial
competitors may not be sufficiently transparent to be known. Traders may then align their choices
with (away from) others’ choices to minimize (maximize) the difference between the expected outcomes. risk-taking
3. In INCOM agreement ratings are made of 11 statements. The instructions read: “Most people
compare themselves from time to time with others. . . . There is nothing particularly good or bad
about this type of comparison . . . We would like to find out how often you compare yourself to other
people. . . .” An example of statements about self-other comparisons of ability is “I always pay a lot of
attention to how I do things compared to how others do things”. Psychometric analyses reported in
Gibbons and Buunk (1999) yielded satisfactory reliability (αs ranging from 0.77 to 0.85), temporal
stability (test-retest rs ranging from 0.60 to 0.72) and convergent and discriminant validity.
4. CI consists of agreement ratings of 14 statements forming two orthogonal subscales labeled
Enjoyment of Competition (e.g. “I enjoy competing against an opponent”) and Contentiousness (e.g. “I
try to avoid arguments”). Both subscales have high reliability (αs of 0.93 and 0.82 and test-retest rs of
0.85 and 0.78).
5. In a review of 74 studies, Camerer and Hogarth (1999) are unable to demonstrate substantial effects
of real monetary incentives on average performance in judgment and decision-making tasks.
Another study shows that large fictitious monetary outcomes (as in the present experiments) may be
stronger incentives than small real monetary outcomes (K€ uhberger et al., 2002).
6. In order to increase the statistical power, the results for these questions combined with the results for
the same questions in Experiment 2 are reported below in a separate section.
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RBF
Appendix.
Instructions to experiment 1
Social comparison and competition conditions/no absolute losses and absolute losses
Imagine that you again can make the same choices between a specified sum of money (A) and a 50%
chance of receiving a larger sum of money or /nothing/losing a smaller sum/ (B). /You are informed about
the choices made before you by another participant to whom you may compare yourself. This
participant always chooses A. /Another participant before you always chooses A when making these
choices. Since it is a competition, you should try to outperform this participant. /If you choose A, you
both receive the specified sum of money. If you instead choose B, you have a 50% chance of receiving the
larger sum or nothing. Which one you receive is determined after all choices are made. Make your choice
as you expect you will do if the money is real.
The other participant chooses A. Click on your choice of A or B.
(A) SEK 300/SEK 600/SEK 900/SEK 1,200/SEK 1,500/SEK 1,800/SEK 2,100;
(B) A 50% chance to receive SEK 4,800 or nothing/SEK 6,000 or losing SEK 1,200/.
Corresponding author
Tommy G€arling can be contacted at: tommy.garling@psy.gu.se
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