ITB - 2023 Dekarbonisasi Pupuk 31 Oktober-1

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Kementrian Perindustrian

Oktober 31th 2023

Roadmap Dekarbonisasi Pupuk Indonesia


“Progress Activity: GHG Inventory dan Baseline Mitigasi Emisi
GRK”

Retno Gumilang DEWI


INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI BANDUNG
OUTLINE

1. Perubahan Iklim dan Paris Agreement


2. Inventarisasi Emisi GRK
3. Mitigasi dan Penghitungan Reduksi Dekarbonisasi Emisi GRK
4. Penyusunan Road Map Dekarbonisasi Emisi GRK

2
Perubahan Iklim dan Paris Agreement
LTS LCCR, NZE, dan ENDC
E-NDC, LTS LCCR, NZE

Enhanced NDC 2030 NZE (Net Zero Emissions) 2060


GHG Emission GHG Emission Level 2030 GHG Emission Reduction
Sector Level 2010 MTon CO2e MTon CO2e % of Total BaU LCCP: Peaking 5 sector in
(Mton CO2e) BaU CM1 CM2 CM1 CM2 CM1 CM2 2030 with net sink FOLU
1. Energy* 453.2 1,669 1,311 1,223 358 446 12.5% 15.5%
2. Waste 88 296 256 253 40 43.5 1.4% 1.5%
3. IPPU 36 69.6 63 61 7 9 0.2% 0.3%
4. Agriculture 110.5 119.66 110 108 10 12 0.3% 0.4%
5. FOLU** 647 714 214 -15 500 729 17.4% 25.4%
TOTAL 1,334 2,869 1,953 1,632 915 1,240 31.9% 43.2%

*Including fugitive; **Including peat fire; CM1 = unconditional, CM2 = conditional

NZE (Net Zero Emissions) 2060, MTon CO2e


Sector 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
• CPOS (Current Policy)
Energy* 453 638 1030 960 572 129 • TRNS (Transition)
IPPU 35 55 62 55 50 45 • LCCP (Low Carbon Scenario Compatible with PA target)
Agriculture 84 88 94 98 102 101
FOLU** 470 98 -140 -246 -304 -362 NZE2060 will be achieved through LCCP, where the remaining
Waste 89 139 198 170 120 87 GHG emissions target of energy sector is 129 MTon CO2e,
Net Emissions 1,131 1,018 1,244 1,037 540 0 where the peak of energy emissions is 2035 (national is
2030).
*Including fugitive; **Including peat fire; CM1 = unconditional, CM2 = conditional 44
Inventarisasi Emisi GRK Sektor Industri:
Energi dan IPPU
National GHG Emissions (Direct)
GHG Emissions of Energy Sector
700 637
591 1.B Fugitive Emission
600 533
509 512 515
466 479 1A5 Non-Specified (ACM)

Million Ton CO2e


500 424 442
1A4 Other Sectors
400 (Residential & Commercial)
1A3 Transportation
300
1A2 Manufacturing
200 Industries
1A1 Energy Industries
100
Total
-
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

GHG Emissions from Energy Use in Manufacture GHG Emissions of IPPU 2.H.2 Food&Beverages Industry

140 2.H.1 Pulp&Paper Industry

60 2.D.2 Paraffine Wax Use


Iron and Steel
120 2.D.1 Lubricant Use

Chemical 50 2.C.6 Zinc Production


100 2.C.5 Lead Production

Million Ton CO2e


Pulp, Paper, and Print 40 2.C.3 Aluminum Production
MTon CO2e

80
2.C.1 Iron&Steel Production
Food Processing, Beverages, Tobacco 30 2.B.8 Petrochemicals&Carbon Black Production
60
2.B.5 Carbide Production
Non-Metallic Minerals 20 2.B.2 Nitric Acid Production
40
2.B.1 Ammonia Production
Non-specified Industry 10
2.A.4 Other Process Uses of Carbonates
20
2.A.3 Glass Production
Total -
- 2.A.2 Lime Production
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
2.A.1 Cement Production
Cakupan Emisi GRK
UNFCCC - IPCC2006

 UNFCCC (IPCC2006 dan Refinement 2019), Emisi GRK mencakup:


CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6, NF3, SF5CF3, C4F9OC2H5, CHF2OCF2OC2F4OCHF2, CHF2OCF2OCHF2,
and halocarbon substances that are not included in Montreal Protocol (CF3I, CH2Br2, CHCl3,
CH3Cl, CH2Cl2).
 Kategori Utama (Semua Sumber):
CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6.
 Energi:
CH4, N2O, CO2, and Precursors (CO, NOx, NMVC, SOx, )
 IPPU (Industrial Processes & Product Use):
CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, dan SF6.
 Pengelolaan Limbah:
CH4, N2O, dan CO2.
Global Warming Potential
CO2e Dari Penyediaan dan Penggunaan Energi
GHG Emissions (Ton CO2e/year) = Fuel Consumption (TJ/year) x
(GWP CO2 x EF CO2 + GWPCH4 x EF CH4 + GWP N2O x EF N2O)

Sumber:
AR4 values: https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch2s2-10-2.html
AR5 values: https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessmentreport/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter08_FINAL.pdf (p. 73-79)

GWP bisa refer ke 2nd AR IPCC2006 atau 5th AR IPCC2006


Ketentuan Penyusunan IGRK Pada
Enhanced Transparency Framework (ETF)

• Menggunakan Pedoman IPCC 2006 dan Pedoman Yang Diakui Oleh UNFCCC
• Tahun pelaporan IGRK adalah T-2
• Penghitungan ulang tahun sebelumnya diperlukan - harus (shall) melaporkan
konsisten seri data dari tahun 1990)
• Analisis Katagori Kunci Diperlukan
• Pengaturan Kelembagaan Penyusunan IGRK diperlukan
• Harus (shall) menyusun dan melaporkan rencana QA/QC
• Harus (shall) melaporkan 7 jenis GRK (CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6, NF3) dengan
menggunakan nilai GWP AR5
• Harus (shall) menyampaikan nilai kuantitatif uncertainty (ketidakpastian) emisi GRK
Kontribusi Sektor Industri Terhadap Emisi GRK Nasional
dan Target LTS LCCR & NZE 2060
GHG Protocol:
GHG Emissions Inventory
Across the Value Chain

 Scope1:
Direct emissions from sources that are
owned or controlled by a company, such as
its production and product transportation.
 Scope 2:
Indirect emissions from generation of
purchased or acquired energy (electricity,
steam, heat) consumed by the company.
 Scope 3:
All other indirect emissions from upstream
operations in a company’s supply chain
and from downstream activities by the
company’s customers and end-user.
Nasional hanya mencakup scope 1
Sub-Nasional/Kota/Kabupaten mencakup scope 1 dan 2
Kawasan (Industri/Perusahaan/Perumahan) mencakup scope 1, 2 dan 3
IPPU

Lead Zinc
2.H.2 Food&Beverages Paraffine Pulp&Paper
Production Production
Industry Wax Use Industry
65,000 0.650 2.H.1 Pulp&Paper Industry 0.1% 0.1%
Lubricant Use
6.6% 0.2% Food&Beverages Industry 2019
0.4% 0.0%
2.D.2 Paraffine Wax Use Aluminum
Production Iron&Steel Cement
55,000 0.600 2.D.1 Lubricant Use 0.7% Production Production
11.6% 51.0%
2.C.6 Zinc Production
Petrochemicals&Ca
45,000 0.550 2.C.5 Lead Production rbon Black
Production…

Intesnity (CO2e/ton production)


2.C.3 Aluminum Production
GHG Emission (Gg CO2e)

Carbide
2.C.1 Iron&Steel Production Production
35,000 0.500
0.1%
2.B.8 Petrochemicals&Carbon
Black Production
2.B.5 Carbide Production Nitric Acid
25,000 0.450 Production
2.B.2 Nitric Acid Production 3.1%
Other Process
2.B.1 Ammonia Production Ammonia Uses of Lime
Carbonates Production CH4 N2O CF4
15,000 0.400 Production Glass 3% 0.001
2.A.4 Other Process Uses of 4.1% 0.2% 0.002
16.4% Production
Carbonates
0.0%
2.A.3 Glass Production
5,000 0.350
2.A.2 Lime Production

2.A.1 Cement Production


2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019

-5,000 0.300 Intensity

CO2
97%
GAP Estimasi Capaian Reduksi
Nasional IPPU
6
Emisi GRK Indonesia Target Achievement Claim (only cement)
5.03
2,500

GHG Emission (MTon CO2e)


5
Million ton CO2e

4.54

2,000 4 3.79
Waste 3.15
1,500 2.80 2.86
LULUCF (Inc. Peat Fire) 3
2.51
2.68
2.44 2.29
1,000
Agriculture
2
IPPU 1.45
0.97
500 Energy 1

- -
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019

ENERGI
25%
Target 22.4%
Achievement 20.6%
20%
17.8%
% GHG emission reduction

15% 13.7%
16.317
11.0% (penambahan reduksi
10% 8.8% 8.8% dari pemanfaatan EFB)
8.2%
6.6% 6.6% 7.3%

4.4%
5%

0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019
The IPPU emissions reduction potential of each mitigations by type of gases

2017 2018 2019

Industry CO2 CH4 N 2O CF4 CO2e CO2 CH4 N 2O CF4 CO2e CO2 CH4 N 2O CF4 CO2e
(Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg)

Cement 1,271 1,271 2,334 2,334 3,216 3,216

Ammonia 1,241 1,241 1,848 1,848 1,458 1,458

Nitric acid 0.35 107 0.35 107 0.35 107

Iron steel - - - - - - - - -

Aluminum 88 11 98 97 12 109 94 11 106

Total 2,600 - 0.35 11 2,718 4,279 - 0.35 12 4,398 4,768 - 0.35 11 4,887
PROFIL EMISI GRK INDUSTRI PUPUK DI INDONESIA (tCO2e/Tahun)
Tahun IPPU Energi Total BAU Reduksi

2010 5,78 3,53 9,54 13,62 4,08


2011 5,83 4,07 10,18 13,41 3,23
2012 5,95 4,04 10,34 13,48 3,14
2013 5,39 4,37 10,15 12,75 2,60
2014 6,33 4,96 11,74 14,27 2,52
2015 7,66 5,04 13,13 16,31 3,18
2016 7,07 5,10 12,41 15,76 3,35
2017 6,60 4,99 11,82 15,00 3,18
2018 7,81 5,34 13,15 17,81 4,67
2019 10,32 6,21 16,53 20,25 3,72

Termasuk emisi GRK dari


penggunaan listrik yang disuplay
pihak ke 3

15
Ammonia Plant
12,000 0.00080 2,500

0.00070

10,000
0.00060
2,000

0.00050
8,000
GHG EMISSION (GG CO2E)

0.00040

Emission reduction (Gg CO2e)


1,500

INTENSITY
6,000 0.00030

0.00020

1,000
4,000
0.00010

0.00000
2,000
500
-0.00010

- -0.00020
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019
Baseline emission Inventory emission Baseline intensity Inventory intensity
GHG in Industry by Industry Group EMisi GRK
600 Penyediaan dan
Mton CO2e

Cement
500 Iron & Steel Penggunaan Energi
400 Other Manufacture & Construction
Chemicals
300
Textile, leather & footwear
200
Fertilizer
100 Pulp & Paper
- Agriculture & Mining
GHG in Industry by Type of Energy
-100
600

Mton CO2e
-200 NZE Biomass ccs
500
Natural Gas ccs
400 Oil ccs
Coal ccs
300
Biofuel
200 Electricity
Biomass
100
H2
- Natural Gas

2010
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
Oil
-100
Coal
-200 NZE 17
Sektor IPPU
IPPU Sector
80,000
Baseline
GHG Emission Level
70,000
Target emission level (CM1)

60,000
GHG Emission (Gg CO2e)

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

0
2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030
Industrial Process and Product Use (IPPU) GHG Emissions
100 0.7 Process Use Carbonate Industries

Intensity, ton CO2e/ton Product


Lime Production
Emisi GRK, Juta Ton CO2e

0.6
80 Petrochem, Carbon Black, Carbide

0.5 Zinc Production

Lead Production
60
0.4
Aluminum Production

Nitric Acid Production


0.3
40
Iron and Steel Production

0.2 Ammonia-Urea Production

20 Cement Production
0.1
CPOS Intensity

- 0.0 Transition Intensity


2010
2014
2018
2022
2026
2030
2034
2038
2042
2046
2050
2012
2016
2020
2024
2028
2032
2036
2040
2044
2048
2010
2014
2018
2022
2026
2030
2034
2038
2042
2046
2050
LCCP Intensity

CPOS Transition LCCP


Target Reduksi Emisi GRK – IPPU
75

Tingkat Emisi GRK,


Target Unconditional 60

Juta Ton CO2e


(Skenario CM1) 45
30
2,75 Juta Ton CO2e (2030)
15
0
Base Year BaU CM1 CM2
Semen Ammonia 2010 2030
1,725 Juta Ton CO2e 1,03 Juta Ton CO2e Industri Lainnya 4.36 5.63 5.63 5.62
Aluminum 0.53 0.58 0.58 0.54
Asam Nitrat 0.09 0.75 0.75 0.69
Besi Baja 4.16 13.12 13.12 13.06
Ammonia 7.46 11.82 10.79 10.62
Target Conditional Semen 19.46 37.73 36.01 35.83
(Skenario CM2) 3.5

Target pengurangan, Juta Ton CO2e


3,25 Juta Ton CO2e (2030) 3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
Semen Ammonia Besi Baja Asam Nitrat Aluminium 0.0
CM1 CM2
1,9 Juta Ton CO2e 1,2 Juta Ton CO2e 0,07 Juta Ton CO2e 0,054 Juta Ton CO2e 0,035 Juta Ton CO2e 2030
Aluminum - 0.03
Asam Nitrat - 0.05
Besi Baja - 0.07
Ammonia 1.03 1.20
Semen 1.73 1.90
Pabrik Ammonia-Urea
3.0

Pengurangan emisi IPPU, Juta Ton


42.0 15.0
2.5
Intensitas Kebutuhan Gas Alam GJ/Ton

41.5
12.5 2.0
41.0

Emisi GRK IPPU, Juta Ton CO2e

CO2e
1.5
10.0 100,0%
40.5 1.0
40.0 7.5 0.5 38,5% 45,0%
NH3

39.5 0.0
5.0
39.0
Potensi Implementasi
2.5 100% potensi Skenario CM1 Skenario CM2
38.5

38.0 0.0 20 14
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Kapasitas produksi, Juta Ton

Tingkat Emisi GRK, Juta Ton CO2e


12
Inventarisasi Intensitas Gas Alam Proyeksi Intensitas Gas Alam
Baseline Intensitas Gas Alam Inventarisasi Emisi IPPU 15
10

8
10
6

4
5
2

0 -
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
realisasi produksi urea proyeksi produksi urea realisasi produksi amonia
proyeksi produksi amonia Baseline Emisi IPPU Inventarisasi Emisi IPPU
proyeksi Emisi IPPU
SECTOR: IPPU
2030
No. Mitigation Actions

GHG emission reduction target GHG emission reduction


1 Cement Industry
is 2.75 Mton CO2 target is 3.25 Mton CO2
Increase blended cement by
increasing the portion of 81% clinker to
70% clinker to cement ratio 65% clinker to cement ratio
alternative material for reducing cement ratio
clinker to cement ratio1
GHG emission reduction target GHG emissions reduction
2 Ammonia Plant
is 3.95 Mton CO2 target is 4.65 Mton CO2
no renewal or plant Construction of 3 new plants2
improvement Further plant improvement, Proyeksi baseline dengan
Projects for ammonia plant to replace old plants (specific
with specific natural gas
revitalization to reduce natural (specific natural natural gas consumption base year 2010, proyeksi
consumption 35 GJ/ton
gas consumption intensity gas consumption decreases from 45 to 40
NH3 in 2030 target diambil rata-rata
45 GJ/ton NH3) GJ/ton NH3 in 2030)
Revamping of ammonia plants
Revamping of several Additional plants for
teknologi yang achievable
(increase plant efficiency & no revamping
reduce IPPU emissions)
ammonia plants revamping oleh ammonia plant di 2030
no CO2 emissions CO2 utilization as feedstock Further enhancement in
CO2 utilization
utilization for Na2CO3 production the CO2 utilization
Maintain improved plants
operation (automation of feeding
CWPB (center work system / hardware improvement
3 Aluminum Industry -
pre-bake cell tech.) from CWPB to bar-brake tech).
GHG emissions reduction
target is 0.1 Mton CO2e
Technology improvement (with
no mitigation for
EF 8 - 9 Kg N2O/ton HNO3)
N2O and continue Additional Installation of
and installation non-selective
using existing catalyst for N2O
catalyst reduction (NSCR) for
4 Nitric acids industry technology used destruction.
N2O destruction (EF 2.5 Kg
since 2010 (with EF GHG emissions reduction
N2O/ton HNO3).
10-19 Kg N2O per target is 0.2 Mton CO2e)
GHG emissions reduction
ton HNO3)
target is 0.1 Mton CO2e)
Further mitigation activities
Improvement of smelter in process improvement of
processes and scrap smelter and scrap
5 Iron and Steel Industry no mitigation
utilization. Both will result in utilization. Both will result
low GHG emissions intensity in further GHG emissions
reduction
Total IPPU Emissions
6.9 Mton CO2e 8.1 Mton CO2e
Reduction, Mton CO2
SECTOR: IPPU
2030
No. Mitigation Actions
BaU CM1 CM2
1 Cement Industry GHG emission reduction target is 2.75 Mton CO2 GHG emission reduction target is 3.25 Mton CO2
Increase blended cement by
increasing the portion of
81% clinker to cement ratio 70% clinker to cement ratio 65% clinker to cement ratio
alternative material for reducing
clinker to cement ratio1
2 Ammonia Plant GHG emission reduction target is 3.95 Mton CO2 GHG emissions reduction target is 4.65 Mton CO2

Projects for ammonia plant no renewal or plant improvement Construction of 3 new plants2to replace old plants
Further plant improvement, with specific natural
revitalization to reduce natural (specific natural gas consumption (specific natural gas consumption decreases from 45 to
gas consumption 35 GJ/ton NH3in 2030
gas consumption intensity 45 GJ/ton NH3) 40 GJ/ton NH3in 2030)
Revamping of ammonia plants
(increase plant efficiency & no revamping Revamping of several ammonia plants Additional plants for revamping
reduce IPPU emissions)
CO2 utilization no CO2 emissions utilization CO2 utilization as feedstock for Na2CO3production Further enhancement in the CO2 utilization
Maintain improved plants operation (automation of
CWPB (center work pre-bake cell feeding system / hardware improvement from CWPB
3 Aluminum Industry -
tech.) to bar-brake tech).GHG emissions reduction target is
0.1 Mton CO2e
no mitigation for N2O and Technology improvement (with EF 8 - 9 Kg N2O/ton
Additional Installation of catalyst for N2O
continue using existing technology HNO3) and installation non-selective catalyst reduction
4 Nitric acids industry destruction. GHG emissions reduction target is 0.2
used since 2010 (with EF 10-19 Kg (NSCR) for N2O destruction (EF 2.5 Kg N2O/ton HNO3).
Mton CO2e)
N2O per ton HNO3) GHG emissions reduction target is 0.1 Mton CO2e)
Further mitigation activities in process
Improvement of smelter processes and scrap
improvement of smelter and scrap utilization. Both
5 Iron and Steel Industry no mitigation utilization. Both will result in low GHG emissions
will result in further GHG emissions reduction. The
intensity. The reduction target is 0.12 MTon CO2e
reduction target is 0.12 MTon CO2e

Total IPPU Emissions


6.9 Mton CO2e 9.0 Mton CO2e
Reduction, Mton CO2
Proyeksi Kapasitas Produksi Industri Sumber IPPU

125
Histories Projection Carbonate Utilization
Petrochemicals-CarbonBlack-Carbide
100 Lime Production
Zinc Production
Production Capacity, MTon CO2e

Lead Production
75 Aluminum Production
Iron&Steel Production
Nitric Acid Production
50 Urea Production
Ammonia Production
Other Carbonate Used Industries
25 Cement Production
Total Production

-
2023

2028
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

2024
2025
2026
2027

2029
2030
Proyeksi dan Intensitas GRK Sektor IPPU

80 0.80

70 0.70

60 0.60

Intensitas Emisi, Ton CO2e/Ton Produk


Tingkat Emisi GRK (Juta Ton CO2e)

50 0.50
Industri Lainnya
Produksi Alumunium
40 0.40 Produksi Asam Nitrat
Produksi Besi dan Baja
Produksi Amonia
30 0.30
Produksi Semen
Intensitas

20 0.20

10 0.10

- -
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030

2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030

2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
Baseline CM1 CM2
Baseline dan Target Penurunan Emisi GRK
Sektor IPPU

Sub Sektor Industri Ammonia

CM1 Alokasi CM2


Keterangan
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2030
Sub Sektor Industri Ammonia
Tingkat Emisi Baseline 11.925 12.177 12.177 12.177 12.177 12.177 12.177 12.177 12.177 12.177 14.004 9.000
Tingkat Emisi Mitigasi 9.891 9.738 9.738 9.738 9.738 9.738 9.738 9.738 9.738 9.738 11.199
Penurunan Emisi GRK
- Ammonia Plant Improvement 2.034 2.439 2.439 2.439 2.439 2.439 2.439 2.439 2.439 2.439 2.805

Sub Sektor Industri Asam Nitrat


CM1
Keterangan
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Tingkat Emisi Baseline 922 922 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019
Tingkat Emisi Mitigasi 922 922 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019 1.019
Penurunan Emisi GRK 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Aksi Mitigasi Sub Sektor Industri Ammonia

Intensitas Kebutuhan Gas Alam pada Ammonia Plant


Aksi Mitigasi Sub Sektor Industri Asam Nitrat
Progress Roadmap Dekarbonisasi
Baseline Pupuk Indonesia
Baseline Analysis
Target reduksi emisi GRK PI Grup sebesar 1,5 juta ton CO2e (2030) dan
4,4 juta ton CO2e (2060) yang teridentifikasi…
Benchmark Konsumsi Gas Alam Ammonia Plant
PIM
Natural Gas Intensity, GJ/t NH3
PKC1C (PKC1A)

60 PKC 1B
PKG
PKT1

50 PKT2
PKT3
PKT4

40 PKT1A
PKT5 (PKT1)
PUSRI1B

30 PUSRI2B (2)
PUSRI3
PUSRI4

20 Highest Intensity
High Intensity
Indonesia Average

10 World Average
EU Average
Lowest Intensity

0 BAT
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Baseline

34
60
Natural Gas Intensity, GJ/t NH3
Highest Intensity
50 High Intensity

40 Baseline

Indonesia Average
30
World Average
20
EU Average

10 Lowest Intensity

BAT
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

35
Projects for Revitalization of Ammonia and Urea Industry
New Plant Capacity Substituted Plant Additional
Start of Plant Capacity (tpy)
New Plant (tpy) Capacity (tpy)
Operation substituted
urea ammonia urea ammonia urea ammonia

Kaltim 5 2015 Kaltim 1 1,150,000 825,000 700,000 595,000 450,000 230,000

Pusri 2B 2016 Pusri 2 907,500 660,000 552,000 262,000 355,500 398,000

Panca
Amara 2017 none 0 700,000 0 0 0 700,000
Utama
Amurea II
2018 none 570,000 660,000 0 0 570,000 660,000
PKG

Kujang 1C 2020 Kujang 1A 1,155,000 520,000 570,000 0 585,000 520,000

Amoniak-
Urea 2020 none 2,300,000 1,320,000 0 0 2,300,000 1,320,000
Bintuni

Source: Indonesia Fertilizer Companies and PT Pupuk Indonesia Holding Company


36
Baseline Data Fertilizer (Ammonia – Urea)

Natural Gas Intensity, GJ/ton ammonia PIM

60 PKC1C (PKC1A)

PKC 1B

PKG

50 PKT1

PKT2

PKT3

40 PKT4

PKT1A

PKT5 (PKT1)
30
PUSRI1B

PUSRI2B (2)

PUSRI3
20
PUSRI4

High Intensity (Baseline)

Indonesia Average
10
World Average

EU Average

0 Lowest Intensity

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 BAT
Baseline IPPU Intensity, ton CO2/t ammonia
PIM

2.0 PKC 1A

PKC 1B
1.8
PKG

PKT1
1.6
PKT2

1.4 PKT3

PKT4
1.2
PKT1A

1.0 PKT5

PUSRI1B
0.8 PUSRI2

PUSRI3
0.6
PUSRI4

0.4 High Intensity

Indonesia Average
0.2
World Average

EU Average
0.0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 BAT

38
Projection Baseline Intensitas Konsumsi Gas Alam
60

50 Natural Gas Intensity, GJ/t NH3

40

30

High Intensity

20 Baseline
Indonesia Average
World Average
10 Lowest Intensity
EU Average
BAT
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

39
Hasil awal perhitungan emisi (berdasarkan data yg terkumpul) - energi

Intensitas Emisi Energi Langsung *, Intensitas Emisi Energi Langsung**,


ton CO2/t ammonia ton CO2/t ammonia PIM

PKC
1A/1D
PKC 1B

PKG

KPI

PKT2

PKT3

PKT4

PKT5
(PKT1)
PUSRI1B

PUSRI2B
(2)
PUSRI3

PAU

BACBIE

IGCC PKT

Baseline

Average

* Intensitas emisi termasuk emisi dari coal gasifier ** Intensitas emisi tidak memasukkan emisi dari coal gasifier
Sumber : Kajian ini, 2018
Hasil awal perhitungan emisi (berdasarkan data yg terkumpul) - IPPU

Intensitas emisi GRK-IPPU * ton CO2/t ammonia Intensitas emisi GRK-IPPU **, ton CO2/t ammonia

Baseline IPPU dengan IGCC Baseline

IPPU tanpa IGCC

•Intensitas emisi termasuk emisi dari coal gasifier ** Intensitas emisi tidak memasukkan emisi dari coal gasifier
Hasil sementara perhitungan baseline
Skenario 1: Emisi GRK dengan beroperasinya coal gasifier di tahun 2022-2030
IGCC PKT
BACBIE
PAU
PUSRI4
PUSRI3
PUSRI2
PUSRI1B
PKT5
Emisi CO2 eq (Ton/tahun)

PKT1A
PKT4
PKT3
PKT2
PKT1
PKG
PKC 1B
PKC 1A
PIM
KPI
High Intensity
Lowest Intensity
Indonesia Avrg (2)
World Avrg
EU Avrg
BAT
Baseline
Hasil sementara perhitungan baseline
Skenario 2: Emisi GRK industri pupuk tanpa beroperasinya coal gasifier
Gasif PKC
IGCC PKT
BACBIE
PAU
PUSRI4
PUSRI3
Emisi CO2 eq (Ton/tahun)

PUSRI2
PUSRI1B
PKT5
PKT1A
PKT4
PKT3
PKT2
PKT1
PKG
PKC 1B
PKC 1A
PIM
KPI
High Intensity
Lowest Intensity
Indonesia Avrg (2)
World Avrg
EU Avrg
BAT
Baseline
Hasil sementara perhitungan baseline
Skenario 1: Emisi GRK dengan beroperasinya Skenario 2: Emisi GRK industri pupuk tanpa
coal gasifier di tahun 2022-2030 beroperasinya coal gasifier
Emisi CO2 eq (Ton/tahun)

Emisi CO2 eq (Ton/tahun)


Rata-rata Indonesia Rata-rata Indonesia
Baseline Baseline
Gumilang, Mariati , 2016 Gumilang, Mariati, 2016

Pada tahun 2030 di skenario 1, prediksi Pada tahun 2030 di skenario 2, prediksi
penurunan emisi GRK dibandingkan baseline penurunan emisi GRK dibandingkan baseline
yang dimodifikasi sebesar 40,12% sebesar 23,59%
Thank You - Terimakasih
gelangdewi@gmail.com

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