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ITB - 2023 Dekarbonisasi Pupuk 31 Oktober-1
ITB - 2023 Dekarbonisasi Pupuk 31 Oktober-1
ITB - 2023 Dekarbonisasi Pupuk 31 Oktober-1
2
Perubahan Iklim dan Paris Agreement
LTS LCCR, NZE, dan ENDC
E-NDC, LTS LCCR, NZE
GHG Emissions from Energy Use in Manufacture GHG Emissions of IPPU 2.H.2 Food&Beverages Industry
80
2.C.1 Iron&Steel Production
Food Processing, Beverages, Tobacco 30 2.B.8 Petrochemicals&Carbon Black Production
60
2.B.5 Carbide Production
Non-Metallic Minerals 20 2.B.2 Nitric Acid Production
40
2.B.1 Ammonia Production
Non-specified Industry 10
2.A.4 Other Process Uses of Carbonates
20
2.A.3 Glass Production
Total -
- 2.A.2 Lime Production
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
2.A.1 Cement Production
Cakupan Emisi GRK
UNFCCC - IPCC2006
Sumber:
AR4 values: https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch2s2-10-2.html
AR5 values: https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessmentreport/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter08_FINAL.pdf (p. 73-79)
• Menggunakan Pedoman IPCC 2006 dan Pedoman Yang Diakui Oleh UNFCCC
• Tahun pelaporan IGRK adalah T-2
• Penghitungan ulang tahun sebelumnya diperlukan - harus (shall) melaporkan
konsisten seri data dari tahun 1990)
• Analisis Katagori Kunci Diperlukan
• Pengaturan Kelembagaan Penyusunan IGRK diperlukan
• Harus (shall) menyusun dan melaporkan rencana QA/QC
• Harus (shall) melaporkan 7 jenis GRK (CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6, NF3) dengan
menggunakan nilai GWP AR5
• Harus (shall) menyampaikan nilai kuantitatif uncertainty (ketidakpastian) emisi GRK
Kontribusi Sektor Industri Terhadap Emisi GRK Nasional
dan Target LTS LCCR & NZE 2060
GHG Protocol:
GHG Emissions Inventory
Across the Value Chain
Scope1:
Direct emissions from sources that are
owned or controlled by a company, such as
its production and product transportation.
Scope 2:
Indirect emissions from generation of
purchased or acquired energy (electricity,
steam, heat) consumed by the company.
Scope 3:
All other indirect emissions from upstream
operations in a company’s supply chain
and from downstream activities by the
company’s customers and end-user.
Nasional hanya mencakup scope 1
Sub-Nasional/Kota/Kabupaten mencakup scope 1 dan 2
Kawasan (Industri/Perusahaan/Perumahan) mencakup scope 1, 2 dan 3
IPPU
Lead Zinc
2.H.2 Food&Beverages Paraffine Pulp&Paper
Production Production
Industry Wax Use Industry
65,000 0.650 2.H.1 Pulp&Paper Industry 0.1% 0.1%
Lubricant Use
6.6% 0.2% Food&Beverages Industry 2019
0.4% 0.0%
2.D.2 Paraffine Wax Use Aluminum
Production Iron&Steel Cement
55,000 0.600 2.D.1 Lubricant Use 0.7% Production Production
11.6% 51.0%
2.C.6 Zinc Production
Petrochemicals&Ca
45,000 0.550 2.C.5 Lead Production rbon Black
Production…
Carbide
2.C.1 Iron&Steel Production Production
35,000 0.500
0.1%
2.B.8 Petrochemicals&Carbon
Black Production
2.B.5 Carbide Production Nitric Acid
25,000 0.450 Production
2.B.2 Nitric Acid Production 3.1%
Other Process
2.B.1 Ammonia Production Ammonia Uses of Lime
Carbonates Production CH4 N2O CF4
15,000 0.400 Production Glass 3% 0.001
2.A.4 Other Process Uses of 4.1% 0.2% 0.002
16.4% Production
Carbonates
0.0%
2.A.3 Glass Production
5,000 0.350
2.A.2 Lime Production
CO2
97%
GAP Estimasi Capaian Reduksi
Nasional IPPU
6
Emisi GRK Indonesia Target Achievement Claim (only cement)
5.03
2,500
4.54
2,000 4 3.79
Waste 3.15
1,500 2.80 2.86
LULUCF (Inc. Peat Fire) 3
2.51
2.68
2.44 2.29
1,000
Agriculture
2
IPPU 1.45
0.97
500 Energy 1
- -
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019
ENERGI
25%
Target 22.4%
Achievement 20.6%
20%
17.8%
% GHG emission reduction
15% 13.7%
16.317
11.0% (penambahan reduksi
10% 8.8% 8.8% dari pemanfaatan EFB)
8.2%
6.6% 6.6% 7.3%
4.4%
5%
0%
2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019
The IPPU emissions reduction potential of each mitigations by type of gases
Industry CO2 CH4 N 2O CF4 CO2e CO2 CH4 N 2O CF4 CO2e CO2 CH4 N 2O CF4 CO2e
(Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg) (Gg)
Iron steel - - - - - - - - -
Total 2,600 - 0.35 11 2,718 4,279 - 0.35 12 4,398 4,768 - 0.35 11 4,887
PROFIL EMISI GRK INDUSTRI PUPUK DI INDONESIA (tCO2e/Tahun)
Tahun IPPU Energi Total BAU Reduksi
15
Ammonia Plant
12,000 0.00080 2,500
0.00070
10,000
0.00060
2,000
0.00050
8,000
GHG EMISSION (GG CO2E)
0.00040
INTENSITY
6,000 0.00030
0.00020
1,000
4,000
0.00010
0.00000
2,000
500
-0.00010
- -0.00020
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Baseline emission Inventory emission Baseline intensity Inventory intensity
GHG in Industry by Industry Group EMisi GRK
600 Penyediaan dan
Mton CO2e
Cement
500 Iron & Steel Penggunaan Energi
400 Other Manufacture & Construction
Chemicals
300
Textile, leather & footwear
200
Fertilizer
100 Pulp & Paper
- Agriculture & Mining
GHG in Industry by Type of Energy
-100
600
Mton CO2e
-200 NZE Biomass ccs
500
Natural Gas ccs
400 Oil ccs
Coal ccs
300
Biofuel
200 Electricity
Biomass
100
H2
- Natural Gas
2010
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
Oil
-100
Coal
-200 NZE 17
Sektor IPPU
IPPU Sector
80,000
Baseline
GHG Emission Level
70,000
Target emission level (CM1)
60,000
GHG Emission (Gg CO2e)
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Industrial Process and Product Use (IPPU) GHG Emissions
100 0.7 Process Use Carbonate Industries
0.6
80 Petrochem, Carbon Black, Carbide
Lead Production
60
0.4
Aluminum Production
20 Cement Production
0.1
CPOS Intensity
41.5
12.5 2.0
41.0
CO2e
1.5
10.0 100,0%
40.5 1.0
40.0 7.5 0.5 38,5% 45,0%
NH3
39.5 0.0
5.0
39.0
Potensi Implementasi
2.5 100% potensi Skenario CM1 Skenario CM2
38.5
38.0 0.0 20 14
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
8
10
6
4
5
2
0 -
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
realisasi produksi urea proyeksi produksi urea realisasi produksi amonia
proyeksi produksi amonia Baseline Emisi IPPU Inventarisasi Emisi IPPU
proyeksi Emisi IPPU
SECTOR: IPPU
2030
No. Mitigation Actions
Projects for ammonia plant no renewal or plant improvement Construction of 3 new plants2to replace old plants
Further plant improvement, with specific natural
revitalization to reduce natural (specific natural gas consumption (specific natural gas consumption decreases from 45 to
gas consumption 35 GJ/ton NH3in 2030
gas consumption intensity 45 GJ/ton NH3) 40 GJ/ton NH3in 2030)
Revamping of ammonia plants
(increase plant efficiency & no revamping Revamping of several ammonia plants Additional plants for revamping
reduce IPPU emissions)
CO2 utilization no CO2 emissions utilization CO2 utilization as feedstock for Na2CO3production Further enhancement in the CO2 utilization
Maintain improved plants operation (automation of
CWPB (center work pre-bake cell feeding system / hardware improvement from CWPB
3 Aluminum Industry -
tech.) to bar-brake tech).GHG emissions reduction target is
0.1 Mton CO2e
no mitigation for N2O and Technology improvement (with EF 8 - 9 Kg N2O/ton
Additional Installation of catalyst for N2O
continue using existing technology HNO3) and installation non-selective catalyst reduction
4 Nitric acids industry destruction. GHG emissions reduction target is 0.2
used since 2010 (with EF 10-19 Kg (NSCR) for N2O destruction (EF 2.5 Kg N2O/ton HNO3).
Mton CO2e)
N2O per ton HNO3) GHG emissions reduction target is 0.1 Mton CO2e)
Further mitigation activities in process
Improvement of smelter processes and scrap
improvement of smelter and scrap utilization. Both
5 Iron and Steel Industry no mitigation utilization. Both will result in low GHG emissions
will result in further GHG emissions reduction. The
intensity. The reduction target is 0.12 MTon CO2e
reduction target is 0.12 MTon CO2e
125
Histories Projection Carbonate Utilization
Petrochemicals-CarbonBlack-Carbide
100 Lime Production
Zinc Production
Production Capacity, MTon CO2e
Lead Production
75 Aluminum Production
Iron&Steel Production
Nitric Acid Production
50 Urea Production
Ammonia Production
Other Carbonate Used Industries
25 Cement Production
Total Production
-
2023
2028
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2024
2025
2026
2027
2029
2030
Proyeksi dan Intensitas GRK Sektor IPPU
80 0.80
70 0.70
60 0.60
50 0.50
Industri Lainnya
Produksi Alumunium
40 0.40 Produksi Asam Nitrat
Produksi Besi dan Baja
Produksi Amonia
30 0.30
Produksi Semen
Intensitas
20 0.20
10 0.10
- -
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
Baseline CM1 CM2
Baseline dan Target Penurunan Emisi GRK
Sektor IPPU
60 PKC 1B
PKG
PKT1
50 PKT2
PKT3
PKT4
40 PKT1A
PKT5 (PKT1)
PUSRI1B
30 PUSRI2B (2)
PUSRI3
PUSRI4
20 Highest Intensity
High Intensity
Indonesia Average
10 World Average
EU Average
Lowest Intensity
0 BAT
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Baseline
34
60
Natural Gas Intensity, GJ/t NH3
Highest Intensity
50 High Intensity
40 Baseline
Indonesia Average
30
World Average
20
EU Average
10 Lowest Intensity
BAT
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
35
Projects for Revitalization of Ammonia and Urea Industry
New Plant Capacity Substituted Plant Additional
Start of Plant Capacity (tpy)
New Plant (tpy) Capacity (tpy)
Operation substituted
urea ammonia urea ammonia urea ammonia
Panca
Amara 2017 none 0 700,000 0 0 0 700,000
Utama
Amurea II
2018 none 570,000 660,000 0 0 570,000 660,000
PKG
Amoniak-
Urea 2020 none 2,300,000 1,320,000 0 0 2,300,000 1,320,000
Bintuni
60 PKC1C (PKC1A)
PKC 1B
PKG
50 PKT1
PKT2
PKT3
40 PKT4
PKT1A
PKT5 (PKT1)
30
PUSRI1B
PUSRI2B (2)
PUSRI3
20
PUSRI4
Indonesia Average
10
World Average
EU Average
0 Lowest Intensity
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 BAT
Baseline IPPU Intensity, ton CO2/t ammonia
PIM
2.0 PKC 1A
PKC 1B
1.8
PKG
PKT1
1.6
PKT2
1.4 PKT3
PKT4
1.2
PKT1A
1.0 PKT5
PUSRI1B
0.8 PUSRI2
PUSRI3
0.6
PUSRI4
Indonesia Average
0.2
World Average
EU Average
0.0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 BAT
38
Projection Baseline Intensitas Konsumsi Gas Alam
60
40
30
High Intensity
20 Baseline
Indonesia Average
World Average
10 Lowest Intensity
EU Average
BAT
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
39
Hasil awal perhitungan emisi (berdasarkan data yg terkumpul) - energi
PKC
1A/1D
PKC 1B
PKG
KPI
PKT2
PKT3
PKT4
PKT5
(PKT1)
PUSRI1B
PUSRI2B
(2)
PUSRI3
PAU
BACBIE
IGCC PKT
Baseline
Average
* Intensitas emisi termasuk emisi dari coal gasifier ** Intensitas emisi tidak memasukkan emisi dari coal gasifier
Sumber : Kajian ini, 2018
Hasil awal perhitungan emisi (berdasarkan data yg terkumpul) - IPPU
Intensitas emisi GRK-IPPU * ton CO2/t ammonia Intensitas emisi GRK-IPPU **, ton CO2/t ammonia
•Intensitas emisi termasuk emisi dari coal gasifier ** Intensitas emisi tidak memasukkan emisi dari coal gasifier
Hasil sementara perhitungan baseline
Skenario 1: Emisi GRK dengan beroperasinya coal gasifier di tahun 2022-2030
IGCC PKT
BACBIE
PAU
PUSRI4
PUSRI3
PUSRI2
PUSRI1B
PKT5
Emisi CO2 eq (Ton/tahun)
PKT1A
PKT4
PKT3
PKT2
PKT1
PKG
PKC 1B
PKC 1A
PIM
KPI
High Intensity
Lowest Intensity
Indonesia Avrg (2)
World Avrg
EU Avrg
BAT
Baseline
Hasil sementara perhitungan baseline
Skenario 2: Emisi GRK industri pupuk tanpa beroperasinya coal gasifier
Gasif PKC
IGCC PKT
BACBIE
PAU
PUSRI4
PUSRI3
Emisi CO2 eq (Ton/tahun)
PUSRI2
PUSRI1B
PKT5
PKT1A
PKT4
PKT3
PKT2
PKT1
PKG
PKC 1B
PKC 1A
PIM
KPI
High Intensity
Lowest Intensity
Indonesia Avrg (2)
World Avrg
EU Avrg
BAT
Baseline
Hasil sementara perhitungan baseline
Skenario 1: Emisi GRK dengan beroperasinya Skenario 2: Emisi GRK industri pupuk tanpa
coal gasifier di tahun 2022-2030 beroperasinya coal gasifier
Emisi CO2 eq (Ton/tahun)
Pada tahun 2030 di skenario 1, prediksi Pada tahun 2030 di skenario 2, prediksi
penurunan emisi GRK dibandingkan baseline penurunan emisi GRK dibandingkan baseline
yang dimodifikasi sebesar 40,12% sebesar 23,59%
Thank You - Terimakasih
gelangdewi@gmail.com