Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Par Avion Business Model v8
Par Avion Business Model v8
1
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Annual Summary 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PRESS RUN
Subscription Copies 82,079 134,006 211,899 261,639 290,244
Single Copy Draw 75,450 68,400 62,550 56,475 51,008
Office/Promo Copies 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Bad Debt Copies 2,187 2,553 4,061 4,323 4,629
TOTAL PRESS RUN 162,716 207,959 281,510 325,437 348,880
PAID CIRCULATION
Subscription File 82,079 134,006 211,899 261,639 290,244
SC Sell-through 20,783 18,878 17,336 15,666 14,162
TOTAL PAID CIRCULATION 102,861 152,883 229,235 277,305 304,406
ADVERTISING PAGES
Paid Ad Pages 256 280 296 312 328
House & Comp 12 10 8 6 4
TOTAL AD PAGES 268 290 304 318 332
INCOME
Advertising 2,388,378 4,058,376 6,657,336 8,862,454 10,491,802
Subscription 1,615,351 2,223,491 3,759,134 4,392,621 4,922,148
Single Copy 299,502 272,667 251,630 227,600 205,973
TOTAL INCOME $4,303,230 $6,554,534 $10,668,100 $13,482,674 $15,619,922
EXPENSES
Advertising 1,131,211 1,559,910 2,212,956 2,772,944 3,196,285
Circulation 1,835,345 2,248,074 3,788,607 3,944,424 3,915,929
Editorial/Design 1,872,000 1,908,600 1,947,030 1,987,382 2,029,751
Production/Distribution 2,021,108 2,425,621 3,041,632 3,435,700 3,673,514
General/Administrative 287,078 301,432 316,504 332,329 348,945
TOTAL EXPENSES $7,146,742 $8,443,638 $11,306,728 $12,472,778 $13,164,423
Annual Summary
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Advertising Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
RATE CARD
Rate Base 100,000 150,000 225,000 275,000 300,000
Net Paid Circ 102,861 152,883 229,235 277,305 304,406
Rate Card CPM $140.00 $145.00 $150.00 $155.00 $160.00
Effective Discount 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Net Advertising CPM $112.00 $116.00 $120.00 $124.00 $128.00
Full Page Rate 11,200 17,400 27,000 34,100 38,400
AD PAGES/YEAR
Paid Ad Pages 256 280 296 312 328
House & Comp 12 10 8 6 4
TOTAL PAGES/YEAR 268 290 304 318 332
ANNUAL AD REVENUE
Paid Ad Pages 2,867,200 4,872,000 7,992,000 10,639,200 12,595,200
Discounts & Allowances 15.00% (430,080) (730,800) (1,198,800) (1,595,880) (1,889,280)
Bad Debt Allowance 2.00% (48,742) (82,824) (135,864) (180,866) (214,118)
TOTAL ANNUAL REVENUE $2,388,378 $4,058,376 $6,657,336 $8,862,454 $10,491,802
Advertising Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Circulation Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
NEW SUB REVENUE
BAD DEBT COPIES 1 1 1 1 1
CONVERSION RATE
INSERT CARDS 30.00%
SC Quantity/Year 83,130 75,510 69,345 62,663 56,648
SC Gross Response 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%
SUB Quantity/Year 319,967 435,570 720,536 834,453 923,817
SUB Gross Response 0.35% 0.25% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15%
% Payup 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00%
% Net Response 0.52% 0.33% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15%
TOTAL INSERT CARD ORDERS 2,087 1,666 1,331 1,409 1,464
PROMOTION COSTS
Design Creative 5,000 5,000 10,000 10,000 10,000
Printing CPM 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00
Premium Cost/Net Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL PROMOTION COSTS $15,077 $17,777 $29,747 $32,428 $34,512
FULFILLMENT COSTS
Return Postage Cost/Order 0.50 0.50 0.35 0.35 0.35
Process & Billing Cost/Order 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.75
Fulfillment Cost/Order 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.10
TOTAL FULFILLMENT COSTS $4,487 $3,582 $2,661 $2,817 $1,757
CONVERSION RATE
DIRECT MAIL 30.00%
Efforts/Year 2 2 2 2 2
Quantity/Effort 1,203,000 1,400,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000
% Gross Response 3.00% 2.90% 2.75% 2.75% 2.75%
% Payup 90.00% 90.00% 90.00% 90.00% 90.00%
% Net Response 2.70% 2.61% 2.48% 2.48% 2.48%
TOTAL DIRECT MAIL ORDERS 64,962 73,080 123,750 123,750 123,750
PROMOTION COSTS
Design Creative/Effort 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 25,000
Printing & Postage CPM/Effort 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00
List Rental CPM/Effort 95.00 95.00 95.00 95.00 95.00
Premium Cost/Net Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL PROMOTION COSTS $1,481,570 $1,716,000 $3,025,000 $3,025,000 $3,025,000
FULFILLMENT COSTS
Return Postage Cost/Order 0.50 0.50 0.35 0.35 0.35
Process & Billing Cost/Order 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.75
Fulfillment Cost/Order 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.10
TOTAL FULFILLMENT COSTS $148,763 $167,353 $264,825 $251,831 $152,831
Circulation Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Circulation Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
DIRECT MAIL P/(L) ($104,376) ($166,704) ($382,938) ($369,944) ($270,944)
CONVERSION RATE
Public Place 0.00%
Net Orders/Year 10,000 15,000 22,500 27,500 30,000
Revenue/Order $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
TOTAL Public Place REVENUE $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
FULFILLMENT COSTS
Return Postage Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Process & Billing Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Premium Cost/Net Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fulfillment Cost/Order 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.10
TOTAL FULFILLMENT COSTS $4,000 $6,000 $9,000 $11,000 $3,000
CONVERSION RATE
Sponsored - Museum Partners 3.00%
Net Orders/Year 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Revenue/Order $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
TOTAL Sponsored - Museum Partnership $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
FULFILLMENT COSTS
Return Postage Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Process & Billing Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Premium Cost/Net Order 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35
Fulfillment Cost/Order 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40
TOTAL FULFILLMENT COSTS $2,250 $2,250 $2,250 $2,250 $2,250
CONVERSION RATE
OPEN SOURCE 0.00%
Gross Orders 0 0 0 0 0
% Payup 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
TOTAL OPEN SOURCE ORDERS 0 0 0 0 0
PROMOTION COSTS
Design Creative/Effort 0 0 0 0 0
Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Premium Cost/Net Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL PROMOTION COSTS $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
FULFILLMENT COSTS
Return Postage Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Process & Billing Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fulfillment Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL FULFILLMENT COSTS $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Circulation Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Circulation Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
NEW SUB REVENUE (cont)
CONVERSION RATE
Web Conversions 30.00%
Efforts/Year 12 12 12 12 12
Quantity/Effort 348,138 640,180 853,573 1,280,359 1,781,833
% Gross Response 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05%
% Payup 60.00% 60.00% 60.00% 60.00% 60.00%
% Net Response 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03%
TOTAL Web Conversions ORDERS 1,253 2,305 3,073 4,609 6,415
PROMOTION COSTS
Design Creative/Effort 0 0 0 0 0
Printing & Postage CPM/Effort 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
List Rental CPM/Effort 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Premium Cost/Net Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL PROMOTION COSTS $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
FULFILLMENT COSTS
Return Postage Cost/Order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Process & Billing Cost/Order 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.75
Fulfillment Cost/Order 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40
TOTAL FULFILLMENT COSTS $2,243 $4,125 $5,500 $8,251 $8,275
CONVERSION RATE
Email Conversions 30.00%
Efforts/Year 12 12 12 12 12
Quantity/Effort 32,349 96,027 153,643 256,072 392,003
% Gross Response 0.20% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15%
% Payup 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
% Net Response 0.20% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15%
TOTAL Email Conversions ORDERS 776 1,728 2,766 4,609 7,056
PROMOTION COSTS
Design Creative/Effort 500 500 500 500 500
Printing & Postage CPM/Effort 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00
List Rental CPM/Effort 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
TOTAL PROMOTION COSTS $6,776 $8,305 $9,687 $12,146 $15,408
FULFILLMENT COSTS
Return Postage Cost/Order 0.50 0.50 0.35 0.35 0.35
Process & Billing Cost/Order 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.75
Fulfillment Cost/Order 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.10
TOTAL FULFILLMENT COSTS $1,778 $3,958 $5,918 $9,380 $8,714
Circulation Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Circulation Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
RENEWAL REVENUE
One Year Price 75.00% $24.99 $24.99 $24.99 $24.99 $24.99
Two Year Price 25.00% $34.99 $34.99 $34.99 $34.99 $34.99
Three Year Price 0.00% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
TOTAL RENEWAL REVENUE $0 $378,797 $688,501 $1,241,028 $1,669,566
NEWSSTAND REVENUE
Draw/Issue 75,000 67,500 60,750 54,675 49,208
NS Sell-through 27.50% 27.50% 27.50% 27.50% 27.50%
NS Copies Sold 20,625 18,563 16,706 15,036 13,532
Revenue/Copy 40.00% $3.60 $3.60 $3.60 $3.60 $3.60
ANNUAL NEWSSTAND REVENUE $296,670 $267,003 $240,303 $216,272 $194,645
NEWSSTAND PROMOTION
Retail Display Allowance 0 0 0 0 0
Display Promotion 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000
Consumer Advertising 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL NEWSSTAND PROMOTION $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000
Circulation Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Production Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PRESS RUN
Subscription Copies 82,079 134,006 211,899 261,639 290,244
Single Copy Draw 75,450 68,400 62,550 56,475 51,008
Office/Promo Copies 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Bad Debt Copies 2,187 2,553 4,061 4,323 4,629
TOTAL PRESS RUN 162,716 207,959 281,510 325,437 348,880
FOLIO/ISSUE
Ad Pages/Issue 67 73 76 80 83
Edit Requirements 97 91 86 81 80
Ad/Edit Ratio 41% 44% 46% 48% 51%
AVERAGE FOLIO/ISSUE 164 164 164 164 164
PREPERATORY PRODUCTION
Edit Pre-press/Page 200.00 19,400 18,200 17,200 16,200 16,000
Printer Pre-press/Page 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL PREP PRODUCTION $19,400 $18,200 $17,200 $16,200 $16,000
Production Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Production Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
INK CHARGES
Four Color Pages 0 0 0 0 0
Two Color Pages 0 0 0 0 0
Black & White Pages 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL INK CHARGES $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
BINDING
Inserts/Copy 1 1 1 1 1
Blow-ins/Copy 2 2 2 2 2
Perfect Binder Set-up 2,400.00 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400 2,400
Perfect Binder Run 20.00 3,254 4,159 5,630 6,509 6,978
Additional Pocket Run 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Saddle Stitch Set-up 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Saddle Stitch Run 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Additional Pocket Run 0.00 0 0 0 0 0
Insert Pocket Set-up 100.00 100 100 100 100 100
Insert Pocket Run 1.75 285 364 493 570 611
Blow-in Pocket Set-up 100.00 200 200 200 200 200
Blow-in Pocket Run 1.25 407 520 704 814 872
TOTAL BINDING COST $6,646 $7,743 $9,527 $10,592 $11,160
PRODUCTION COST/ISSUE
Edit Pre-press/Page 19,400 18,200 17,200 16,200 16,000
Printer Pre-press/Page 0 0 0 0 0
Printing & Distribution 229,528 293,274 393,314 454,715 488,906
TOTAL PRODUCTION COST/ISSUE $248,928 $311,474 $410,514 $470,915 $504,906
Production Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Expense Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
ADVERTISING SALES
Ad Sales Director 125,000 131,250 137,813 144,703 151,938
Account Executive 1 85,000 89,250 93,713 98,398 103,318
Account Executive 2 85,000 89,250 93,713 98,398 103,318
Account Executive 3 85,000 89,250 93,713 98,398 103,318
Account Executive 4 85,000 89,250 93,713 98,398 103,318
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Bonuses & Commissions 20.00% 477,676 811,675 1,331,467 1,772,491 2,098,360
Payroll Factor 188,535 259,985 368,826 462,157 532,714
Overhead Factor $0 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Marketing & Promotion 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL AD EXPENSES $1,131,211 $1,559,910 $2,212,956 $2,772,944 $3,196,285
CIRCULATION SALES
Sales Representative 38,000 39,900 41,895 43,990 46,189
Circulation Manager 58,000 60,900 63,945 67,142 70,499
Circulation Analyst 36,000 37,800 39,690 41,675 43,758
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Open Position 0 0 0 0 0
Payroll Factor 26,400 27,720 29,106 30,561 32,089
Overhead Factor $0 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Open Expense 0 0 0 0 0
Sub Promo & Fulfillment 1,666,945 2,071,754 3,603,971 3,751,056 3,713,393
Single Copy Promotion 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000
TOTAL CIRC EXPENSES $1,835,345 $2,248,074 $3,788,607 $3,944,424 $3,915,929
Expense Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Expense Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EXPENSES (cont)
Expense Worksheet
PAR AVION 3/12/2024
Expense Worksheet 6:13 AM
Frequency 4 4 4 4 4
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EXPENSES (cont)
Expense Worksheet
$20,000,000
Income
Expenses
$15,000,000 Cum Profit/Loss
$10,000,000
$5,000,000
$0
($5,000,000)
($10,000,000)
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
par-avion.com
Web Model
2016
par-avion.com
INCOME STATEMENT (p&l)
% revenue
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Traffic
Unique visitors/month 348,138 640,180 853,573 1,280,359 1,781,833
Page Views/month 1,247,418 2,496,700 3,456,970 5,569,563 8,274,833
Net Revenue
Advertising
Site, Mobile, Video Ad Revenue $394,223 $887,318 $1,646,439 $3,299,960 $5,344,585 89% 91% 91% 91% 90%
E-Newsletters $48,530 $88,572 $166,612 $320,463 $624,177 11% 9% 9% 9% 10%
Print Products $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mobile Application $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E-Commerce 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Affiliate $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Exclusive Products $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other Revenue 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Premium Membership $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Expenses
Advertising & Marketing Costs
Audience Development $34,959 $10,115 $12,008 $9,785 $8,926 8% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Ad Serving $4,491 $8,988 $12,445 $20,050 $29,789 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%
Commisions $26,019 $58,563 $108,665 $217,797 $352,743 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
Public Relations $21,000 $20,000 $20,000 $19,000 $20,000 5% 2% 1% 1% 0%
Other $7,884 $17,746 $32,929 $65,999 $106,892 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Total Advertising & Marketing $94,353 $115,412 $186,047 $332,632 $518,350 21% 12% 10% 9% 9%
Editorial
Text $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Images $63,000 $63,000 $63,000 $63,000 $63,000 14% 6% 3% 2% 1%
Video $42,000 $42,000 $42,000 $42,000 $42,000 9% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Other $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Total Editorial Expense $105,000 $105,000 $105,000 $105,000 $105,000 24% 11% 6% 3% 2%
Technology
Total Technology Expense $20,425 $21,770 $24,621 $38,383 $45,568 5% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Other Costs
Staff $844,300 $869,629 $895,718 $922,589 $950,267 191% 89% 49% 25% 16%
General Administrative Costs $412,123 $439,763 $446,772 $454,299 $462,391 93% 45% 25% 13% 8%
Total Other Costs $1,256,423 $1,309,392 $1,342,490 $1,376,888 $1,412,658 284% 134% 74% 38% 24%
TOTAL EXPENSES $1,476,200 $1,551,574 $1,658,157 $1,852,903 $2,081,576 333% 159% 91% 51% 35%
Net Income Before Taxes ($1,033,447) ($575,684) $154,893 $1,767,520 $3,887,186 -233% -59% 9% 49% 65%
15
par-avion.com
VOLUME ASSUMPTIONS
MARKET SIZING
Competitors Avg. Monthly Unique Visitors
Insert Rows & copy formulas to add competitors
1 Fodors.com 3,193,417 3,193,417 3,193,417 3,193,417 3,193,417 3,193,417 3,193,417 3,193,417 3,193,417
2 LonelyPlanet.com 2,654,482 2,654,482 2,654,482 2,654,482 2,654,482 2,654,482 2,654,482 2,654,482 2,654,482
3 TravelandLeisure.com 2,176,059 2,176,059 2,176,059 2,176,059 2,176,059 2,176,059 2,176,059 2,176,059 2,176,059
4 CNTraveler.com 1,662,058 1,662,058 1,662,058 1,662,058 1,662,058 1,662,058 1,662,058 1,662,058 1,662,058
5 Frommers.com 983,646 983,646 983,646 983,646 983,646 983,646 983,646 983,646 983,646
Total Competitor's Traffic (Average Monthly) 2,133,932 2,133,932 2,133,932 2,133,932 2,133,932 2,133,932 2,133,932 2,133,932 2,133,932
% Competitive Traffic Achieved 11% 13% 15% 19% 19% 30% 40% 60% 84%
Total Traffic Projected 234,733 277,411 320,090 400,112 400,112 640,180 853,573 1,280,359 1,781,833
Traffic Composition
Search 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 23% 29% 36% 38%
Keyword Search - (SEM - Google) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Direct - Typed/ Bookmarked (visitor types url into browser) 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9%
Newsletter Referrals 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 15% 18% 20% 22%
Paid Content Syndication (Outbrain) 39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 27% 16% 10% 3%
Content Syndication Partnerships/ Links 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10% 9% 5% 5%
Banner Ads on Third Party Sites 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Social Referrals (Facebook and Twitter) 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 18% 20% 21% 23%
Total Referrals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Avg. Page Views per Visitor 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
% Registered Users 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
VOLUME CALCULATIONS - AVERAGE MONTHLY Year 1 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Search 44,599 52,708 60,817 76,021 58,536 147,241 247,536 460,929 677,097
Keyword Search - (SEM - Google) - - - - - - - - -
Direct - Typed/ Bookmarked (visitor types url into browser) 45,773 54,095 62,418 78,022 60,077 44,813 68,286 102,429 160,365
Newsletter Referrals 24,647 29,128 33,609 42,012 32,349 96,027 153,643 256,072 392,003
Paid Content Syndication (Outbrain) 91,546 108,190 124,835 156,044 120,154 172,848 136,572 128,036 53,455
Content Syndication Partnerships/ Links 26,994 31,902 36,810 46,013 35,430 64,018 76,822 64,018 89,092
Banner Ads on Third Party Sites - - - - - - - - -
Social Referrals (Facebook and Twitter) 31,689 37,451 43,212 54,015 41,592 115,232 170,715 268,875 409,822
Average Monthly Uniques 265,248 313,475 361,702 452,127 348,138 640,180 853,573 1,280,359 1,781,833
Average Monthly Visits 265,248 376,170 434,042 587,765 409,062 832,233 1,152,323 1,856,521 2,758,278
Average Monthly Page Views 795,743 1,128,509 1,302,126 1,763,295 1,247,418 2,496,700 3,456,970 5,569,563 8,274,833
Composition by Ad Type
% of impressions
ad type Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Category Composition
Luxury Auto Finance Fashion/Luxury Travel Programmatic Remnant
Ad Compostition by category Yr 1 25% 15% 25% 20% 5% 10% 100%
Ad Compostition by category Yr 2 25% 15% 25% 20% 5% 10% 100%
Ad Compostition by category Yr 3 25% 15% 25% 20% 5% 10% 100%
Ad Compostition by category Yr 4 25% 15% 25% 20% 5% 10% 100%
Ad Compostition by category Yr 5 25% 15% 25% 20% 5% 10% 100%
List Size 50,952 99,113 154,684 224,148 262,701 321,429 424,184 571,812
Newsletter Cost $ 5,500 $ 500 $ 500 $ 500 $ 2,000 $ 2,000 $ 2,000 $ 2,000
Total Audience Dev. Expenses $ 10,889 $ 6,868 $ 7,747 $ 9,455 $ 10,115 $ 12,008 $ 9,785 $ 8,926
par-avion.com
AUDIENCE DEVELOPMENT EXPENSE ASSUMPTIONS
Year 1 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 12 12 12 12 12
Search
Traffic Generated 133,798 158,124 182,451 228,064 702,437 1,766,896 2,970,433 5,531,152 8,125,159
Consulting $ $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Keyword Search - (SEM - Google)
Keyword Search Volume - - - - - - - - -
Cost per Acquisition $ 0.50 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 $ 0.50
Paid Search Expense $ $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Direct - Typed/ Bookmarked (visitor types url into browser)
Traffic Generated 137,319 162,286 187,253 234,066 720,922 537,751 819,430 1,229,145 1,924,380
Total Cost $ 16,976 $ 21,065 $ 25,522 $ 33,497 $ 97,060 $ 199,204 $ 278,886 $ 439,246 $ 641,848
Total Audience Dev. Expenses $ 101,480 $ 63,894 $ 73,343 $ 99,756 $ 338,472 $ 1,732,154 $ 942,112 $ 1,034,613 $ 959,697
par-avion.com
SALES & MARKETING EXPENSE ASSUMPTIONS
PR and Events (including launch) $ 5,250 $ 5,250 $ 5,250 $ 5,250 $ 21,000 $ 20,000 $ 20,000 $ 19,000 $ 20,000
Media Marketing $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 7,884 $ 17,746 $ 32,929 $ 65,999 $ 106,892
Sales Commissions
% of Direct Sales 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%
% Rep Firm 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Staff Commission % 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Rep Firm Commission % 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%
Total Sales & Marketing Expenses $ 12,471 $ 12,770 $ 12,927 $ 13,342 $ 59,394 $ 105,297 $ 174,039 $ 322,847 $ 509,424
par-avion.com
STAFF COSTS
Assumptions
Annual Salary Growth 3.0%
Estimated Pension & Benefits Percentage 23%
Freelancers
Researcher $ 25,000 1/1/2014 $6,250 $6,250 $6,250 $6,250 $25,000 $25,750 $26,523 $27,318 $28,138
Researcher $ 25,000 1/1/2014 $6,250 $6,250 $6,250 $6,250 $25,000 $25,750 $26,523 $27,318 $28,138
Copy Editor $ 27,000 1/1/2014 $6,750 $6,750 $6,750 $6,750 $27,000 $27,810 $28,644 $29,504 $30,389
Copy Editor $ 27,000 1/1/2014 $6,750 $6,750 $6,750 $6,750 $27,000 $27,810 $28,644 $29,504 $30,389
Art Assistant $ 35,000 1/1/2014 $8,750 $8,750 $8,750 $8,750 $35,000 $36,050 $37,132 $38,245 $39,393
Content Writer $ 26,000 1/1/2014 $6,500 $6,500 $6,500 $6,500 $26,000 $26,780 $27,583 $28,411 $29,263
Content Writer $ 26,000 1/1/2014 $6,500 $6,500 $6,500 $6,500 $26,000 $26,780 $27,583 $28,411 $29,263
Content Writer $ 26,000 1/1/2014 $6,500 $6,500 $6,500 $6,500 $26,000 $26,780 $27,583 $28,411 $29,263
Position 9 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 10 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 11 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 12 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 13 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 14 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 15 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 16 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 17 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 18 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 19 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Position 20 $ - 1/1/2014 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Total Freelancers $ 217,000 $54,250 $54,250 $54,250 $54,250 $217,000 $223,510 $230,215 $237,122 $244,235
Staff Headcount 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Free Lance Headcount 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Total Personnel 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18
Total Personnel Expense (including benefits) $211,075 $211,075 $211,075 $211,075 $844,300 $869,629 $895,718 $922,589 $950,267
par-avion.com
Site Editorial Contributor Assumptions
# of Images per Article 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
# of Images per Slideshow 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0
Total Images Acquired 1,050.0 1,050.0 1,050.0 1,050.0 4,200.0 4,200.0 4,200.0 4,200.0 4,200.0
Avg Cost Per Image $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00 $ 15.00
Avg Cost Per Article (Text) $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Video Assumptions
# Videos 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0 48.0
Cost/ Video $ 750 $ 750 $ 750 $ 750 $ 750 $ 750 $ 750 $ 750 $ 750
% Produced In-house 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
% Freelanced 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%
Programming Fixed costs/video $ 500.00 $ 500.00 $ 500.00 $ 500.00 $ 500.00 $ 500 $ 500 $ 500 $ 500
Assumptions
Annual growth tech. expense (non-personnel) 4%
Contingency 10%
Cost per dedicated stream $0
Average number of streams as a percent of traffic 5%
Video Streaming $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $10,000 $10,400 $10,816 $11,249 $11,699
Contingency Costs $363 $438 $438 $438 $1,675 $1,790 $2,042 $3,285 $3,930
Total Technology (non-personnel) Cost $4,488 $5,313 $5,313 $5,313 $20,425 $21,770 $24,621 $38,383 $45,568
Assumptions
Computer costs per person $3,000
Furniture costs per person $3,000
Misc G & A (% of salaries) 10.0%
Computer Depreciable Life (yrs) 3
Furniture Depreciable Life (yrs) 5