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Lects 15
Lects 15
% u v _ u u1 t-- uv
-
wVSVE >V?VS [UYTYVF E> G[?RUE F[TRE >[UYVV@ F=Z==?@=E =}RSY=YHXXA\E [?
A[ES GQYQ^@?XXY=FB SQY E]Y]] G[FRU F[TRE >[UY[[ARUS @QESQFB HVASVV?RUE
E]Y]]YYRUS [EVYVFB ]]? FQQ?QEA EW }R_RF =?S\S AR@`?@RUE _RE}YVYA =^T
[>AVS; KX?_RYH=EA E]Y]]Y} GXU S=A==A E]FY[[ARUS Å=aHQ? GX~X F[TRE
>[UY SV} EV?YVEV; KXF=UYG=YB t B =HZQ@Å`?RUE A=?=YHB H=H=YY\E F[TB
HQEQS H]F]]?]Z}RUE H]?]Y SVF ZVH `?]EFRU F[TRE >[UY[[AVV@ S=AE= HXF=UE
0
þþ X - t J u v 1 u . % u v _ u u1 t--
2
:Z=? EVS =^HQZ=H _XS=Z\E @XX?W Z=_REXXA AVV? R}RY H]?YRUE A`H=YXXA
[UYA^V?YVAVS SV`; %==_A\E GQYQ^@?XXY=YH\S >]^ H]Y]^Y]FRUE HXYA @XX?W
Z=_RE G[? AXEA=} FVZ}VV EW FQQ?QEAQQ R}RY G=UF A`H=YRXA S=?S=} T=A=}
G=UE= XX&B [S[U ~X& SVASRUS ZVAVF _==?AY=S=H=U; DEV HQFRQYAQYA A`H=Y\E
AXEA=} FVZ}VVEA E]Y]]Y]F [EA@VE F[TRE >[UY EW HVASVV?RUS [UYA^V?YV}
GXU @XX?W Z=_REXXA ~Z;
KVS^VY VEVF[[ F[TRE >[UY A`H=Y\E AXEA=} FVZ}VVEA FR? RF E]Y]]Y} G=UE=
^V& DEV F[TRE >[UYRUE E]Y]]S =?RYS=} GQYQF XX& SV@VE =@XXAY\S @QER?FQ}
GQYEQ; MXX?W Z=_RE G[? AVV? [UYA^V?YV@VE A`H=Y\E FVZ}VV FV^RUE H=?½
F=YHH=U G]S]]A HVE[[ AR@`?@HVU SV`;
= =
m HQQE\ @XX?W Z _REH U SV^VY GRAERU @QER?F@QE F[TRE >[UY m E>\E XHS
=
=^T GQYQF XT?==@ m½H[^_REHVU SV@VE [S; i½Y H[^_RE G[? AVV? n (i = 1, m)
=}RSY=YH FRU^VY ERUH =}RSY=YH\E HQQ N = n + n + · · · + n GQYQF G=
i
FYG=?\S GQAQ} H[^_RE G[? AVV? R}RYFVE n XA== =}RSY=YH FRU@VE SV`;
1 2 m
= =
i½? H[^_ERU }RSY YH\E AXEA}RUS x SV} HVZAVSYV^VYi
xi =
1X
n
xij £; ¥
n j=1
GQYQF G= VEVF[[ AXEA}RUS G[YSRUE AXEA=} SV} EV?YVEV; wRUH =}RSY=Yb
H\E =?RÅZ`HRa AXEA=} EW `?]EFRU AXEA}RUE £µ½RUE¥ [EVYVYH GQYEQ; DEV
[EVYVYHRUS X SV} HVZAVSYVVA ==_RA =}RSY=YH\E `?]EFRU AXEA=} SV} EV?b
YV`;
X=
1 XX
x =
m
1 X
n
x ij
£;¡¥ m
i
N m
K[[^?RUE VY`Z`EH[[A G= X AXEA}RUE YS=^?\E a^=A?=HXXA\E ERUYGV?
i=1 j=1 i=1
Q=
m X
X n
(xij − X)2 £;¥
i=1 j=1
¢]?]]? FVYGVY2
Q = Q1 + Q2 . £;®¥
Q1 = n
m
X
(xi − X)2 £;«¥
£;«¥ ERUYGV?RUS G[YVS FQQ?QEA\E F=>=UYH\E a^=A?=HXXA\E ERUYGV? SV}
i=1
S B G[YVS AQHQ?FR AR@`?@ GX~X [YAVSAVY AR@`?@ S ½RUS HX@ HX@ QY} GQYEQ 2
2
2 2
1 2
S2 =
1 XX m n
(xij − X)2 £;¬¥
mn − 1 i=1 j=1
S12 =
1 X
m
(xi − X)2 =
Q1 £;8¥
m − 1 i=1 m−1
S22 =
1 XXm n
(xij − xi )2 =
Q2 £;¥
m(n − 1) i=1 j=1 m(n − 1)
γ F[TRE >[UYRUE E]Y]]S HQAQ?FQUYQF\E HXYA ]S]SA@]E RHSVF H[^_RE α½RUE
FX^WAB AXEA=} XHSXXA EW F[TRE >[UYRUE H[^_RE G[? AVV? HVE[[ G=UF HXF=U
H Z SY=Y\S _=YS=F ·@HQU; ¼V?V^ γ F[TRE >[UYRUE E]Y]] H[^_RE G[? AVV?
== =
R}RY G=U^=Y S G= S EW `?]EFRU AR@`?@RUE [EVYVYH[[A GQYEQ; LUZVV@
2
1
2
2
H :S =S 0
2
1
2
2
£;7¥
SV@VE H==Z=SY=Y\S _=YS=F=A F=ES=YHH=U; [ERU HXY
F =
S 1
2
£; ¥
S22
SV@VE _RE}[[?RUS @QESQE =^E=; 3EFE\ H==Z=SY=Y [EVE [`A @=E=Z@=?S[U
FVZ}RSAVF[[E F EW k = m−1 G= k = m(n−1) T]Y]]ERU >V?VS G[FRU ÌR_`?b
RUE H=?F=YHH=U G=UE=; ÌR_`?RUE H=?F=YH\E H=GYR==@ α, k , k ½XHSXXA=A
1 2
1 2
5
@VA F=?WXXY@=E F=?W==S==? γ F[TRE >[UY FR? F[THVU E]Y]]Y} GXUS HQSb
HQQEQ; K[^_RE G[? AVF HX?_RYH\E HQQ EW R}RY G=UF EVS F[TRE >[UYH AR@b
`?@RUE _RE}RYSVVERU [? A[ES A=?==F F[@EVSHVEA EVSHSVE F=?XXY=^;
AR@`?@ a^ =A?=HXXA\E T]Y]]ERU AXEA=} AR@`?@RUE
ERUYGV? >V?VS a^èA? =H [EVYVYH
P
F[TRE (x − X) i
2
i P
(xij − xi )2
[YAVSAVY P
(xij − xi )2 m(n − 1)
i,j
S22 =
Q2
i,j m(n − 1) m(n−1)
P
(xij − X)2
`?]EFRU P
(xij −X)2 = Q mn−1
ij
S2 =
Q
ij mn − 1 mn−1
¼@QEVARUSVV? FYG=?\S GQAQ} H[^_RE G[? AVF HX?_RYH\E HQQS R}RY SV} HQQb
T SV@VE £;¥÷ £;9¥ HQZ¶·QSQQ? ERUYGV?[[ARUS QYQF EW H[^VSHVU G=UA=S;
¿?=aHRaH RFV^TYVE H[[^?RUE XHSXXA==? Q G= Q ERUYGV?RUS QY} Q ½\S
HVASVV?RUE YS=^?==? =^A=S; £;¥ G= £;«¥ HQZ¶·QS FX^R?S=^=Y A=?==F 1 2
FVYGV?HVU GQYEQ;
" m #2
Q=
m X
X n
x2ij
−
1 XX
n
xij £;¡¥
i=1 j=1
mn i=1 j=1
" m #2
Q1 =
1 XX 2
m n
xij −
1 XX
n
xij £;¥
n i=1 j=1 mn i=1 j=1
P
n
x2ij = Ri , Li =
P
n
xij SV} HVZAVSYV^VY £;¡¥B £;¥ HQZW·Q2
j=1 j=1
!2
Q=
m
X
Ri −
1
m
X
Li £;®¥
i=1
mn i=1
!2
Q1 =
1X 2
Li −
m
1 £;«¥ m
X
Li
n i=1 mn
FVYGV?HVU GQYEQ; K[[^?RUE ]S]SAY[[AVV@ F=Z==?T G=S= HQQEXXA AVV? =}RYb
i=1
FRU} FYG=?TRY} GQYEQ; [EAB C ½VV? `?]EFRU AXEA}RUE Q?TRZ G=UF G[FVY
HQQS @QESQE =^E=; KVS^VY £;®¥ G= £;«¥ HQZW·QS A=?==F G=UAY==? GRTR}
GQYEQ; !
£;9¥
m m 2
X 1 X
Q= P − i T i
i=1
N i=1
!2
Q1 =
1X 2
Ti −
m
1
m
X
Ti £;¬¥
n i=1 N i=1
[EA B N = mn, P = y ,P
n
2
T = y , (i = 1, m)
P
n
!2
Q1 =
Xm
1
Ti −
1
m
X
Ti £;78¥
i=1
ni N i=1
GQYQF G= P , T ERUYGV?[[A P =
P
ni
yij2 , Ti =
P
ni
yij FVYGV?HVU GQYEQ;
K[[^?RUE AR@`?@[[A
i i i
j=1 j=1
S2 =
Q
; S12 =
Q1
; S22 =
Q2 £;7¥
N m−1 N −m
GQYEQ;
<X@=A HQZW·QEXXA FV^VV? F=AS=Y=SA=E=; £;9¥½ £;78¥ HQZW·QS FV?FVE =_RS½
Y=F\S A=?==F }R_VVSVV? [>[[YW`;
#Ô$ ¢S]SA@]E H[[^?RUE XHSXXA==? âF[TRE >[UYRUE AXEA=}
XHSXXA HVE[[ â SV@VE H==Z=SY=Y\S RHSVF H[^_RE α = 0.05 [`A _=YS=;
KX?_RYH\E ¼[TRE >[UYRUE H[^_RE
HQQ 7 ¡
−19 −31 −35 −31
7 −28 −33 −32 −27
¡ −39 −35 −26 −28
−36 −25 −35 −35
® −44 −28 −30 −40
−39 −31 −17 −31
7
`?]EFRU AXEA=} x = −31.5 GQYEQ; C = −31 SV} @QESQE =^T A=?==F F[@b
EVSHRUS >QFRQ`;
[TRE >[UYRUE H[^_RE
i ¼ 7 ¡ P
j
7 ¡¡ 8 y 8 −4 ® y 8 y 8
2 2 2 2
y j1 y y
j1 j2 y j2y j3 j3 j4 j4
7 ¬ −2 ¡ −1 ¡ ®
®¡ ® 7 ¬
¡ −8
7 ® ® −4 16 −4 ®
−4
−5
®¬ ¬ −9 9
® −13
®¡ 8 8 ¡ ®¬ 8
−8
T i
®8;
−19
7 ¡« ; 8;
7 7
−6
® 9«;¬
−11
® ¬«
2
T /n
77 77
i
121 121
Q = 917 − = 912.0, Q1 = 87.9 − = 82.9, Q2 = 893.1
24 24
ÖAQQ £;8¥½ £;¥ HQZ¶·QSQQ? AR@`?@[[ARUE [EVYVYHRUS QY¶·;
82.9 829.1
S12 = = 27.63; S22 = = 41.46
4−1 24 − 4
£; ¥ ·@QQ? _RE}[[?RUE XHS= EW F = 27.63 = 0.67 GQYEQ; O=E=U HQFb
RQYAQYA α = 0.05, k = 3, k = 20 XTR?41.46 H=GYR==@ F = 3.10 SV}
QYAQEQ ; 1 2 0.05,3,20
== = = == =
F < 3.10 XT? @ _RE}[[?RUE XHS a?RHRa ZX}RA F ?W Y SA FS[U GQY}
L
=EFE\ H==Z=SY=Y\S [S[U@SVF [EAV@S[U GQYEQ; ESVFYVV? =^T [>V} GXU F[TRE
>[UYRUE E]Y]]S HQQQFS[U G=U} GQYEQ; KX?_RYH\E [? A[ES[[A R}RY AR@b
`?@ G[FRU FV^RUE H=?F=YH=U G=UF ·@HQU XT?==@ =EF==?=YH=U F=EA=} HQAQ?b
FQU _=YS=YH EQHQYSQQE AVV? [EAV@YVE V@RUE A[SEVYHVV S=?S=F _==?AY=b
S=H=U GQYQF\S HVZAVSYV`;
þþ1 '] Ju v 1 u . % u v _u u19
`t - -
V?V^ HX?_RYH\E [? A[EA FVA FVAVE F[TRE >[UY >V?VS E]Y]]Y} G=U^=Y QYQE
¼F[TRE >[UYH AR@`?@RUE _RE}RYSVV FRUF _==?AY=S=H=U G]S]]A VEV HQFRQY½
AQYA F[TRE >[UY FQQ?QEA\E F=?RY=E [UYTYVYRUS HQQQF XT?==@ EVS F[TRE
>[UYH _RE}YVYVV@ QEYQS YS==H=U;
8
wVSVE >V?VS [UYTYVF FQ·? F[TRE >[UYRUE E]Y]]S HQQQF GQAYQSQ =^T [>W`;
[ERU HXYA R}RY H]?YRUE FVA FVAVE @XX?W Z=_REB EVS H]?YRUE FVA FVAVE
FV@VS H[[FRU VA G=UA=S SV`; DASVV? @XX?W Z=_RE GQYQE H[[FRU VARUE FV@b
S[[A [UYA^V?YVE S=?S=} GXU G[HVVSAVF[[ERU T=E=?H E]Y]]Y} GXU V@VF HXF=U
GQAYQSQ EW FQ·? F[TRE >[UYH AR@`?@RUE _RE}YVYRUE ERUHYVS GQAYQS\E
EVS GQYEQ; ¤R@`?@RUE _RE}YVY FRUF [EA@VE _==?AY=SXXA GR`YVSA@VE SV}
@=E=; MXX?W Z=_REXXA==@ [>[[YVF E]Y]]S A F[TRE >[UYB H[[FRU VARUE
E]Y]]S B F[TRE >[UY GQYSQE @QESQ} =^W; r HQQE\ @XX?W Z=_REB v H]?b
YRUE H[[FRU VA G=UA=S SV^VY A F[TRE >[UY r H[^_REHVUB B F[TRE >[UY v
H[^_REHVU GQYEQ;
3}RSY=YH\E Z=H?R\S A=?==F F[@EVSHVV? [>[[YV^; (i, j)½Y E[AVEA A G= B
F[TRE >[UY[[ARUE F=?S=Y>=E i G= j ½? H[^_ERU =}RSY=SA@=E XHS= x ½S G=U?b
YXXY@=E GQYEQ; ij
=
B Å aHQ?\E H[^_RE
=
A Å aHQ?\E
H[^_RE B 1 B 2···B ··· B jx v i∗
x =µ+γ +g +e £;77¥
[EAB µ−`?]EFRU AXEA=}B
ij i j ij
==
γ −A F[TRE >[UYRUE i½? H[^_ERU E]Y]]S]]? [[@VF F > UYHB
i
==
g −B−F[TRE >[UYRUE j ½Y H[^_ERU E]Y]]S]]? [[@VF F > UYHB
j
= = = == = = =
e − x XHS\E }RSY YH\E YA £>]^F]E S E x }RSY YH\E [`A Yb
=
A== HVSHVU HVE[[¥; ¼[TRE >[UYRUE F=?RY=E [UYTYVYRUS HQQQQS[U £;77¥
ij ij ij
X=
r
1 XX
v
x ij
£;7 ¥
rv i=1 j=1
9
xi∗ =
1X
v
xij , i = 1, r £;7¡¥
v j=1
x∗j =
1X
r
£;7¥
xij , j = 1, v
r i=1
¼Q·?=
F[TRE >[UYH AR@`?@RUE _RE}RYSVVEAB H[[^?RUE `?]EFRU AR@`?@RUS
=
G B F[TRE >[UY HX@ G[?RUE E]Y]]HVU XYA@ E FV@S[[AB Z]E HQQQSAQQS[U
[YA@VE GX@ A @ E Z@ ?S[U F[TRE >[UYRUE E]Y]]HVU XYA@=E FV@VS SV@VE SX?b
A
= = = =
^=E EVZVSAVF[[EA >=A=YA=S; ¢]?]]? FVYGVY £;®¥ HQZ¶·Q A=?==F FVYGV?HVU
GQYEQ2
Q=Q +Q +Q £;7®¥
[EA 2
1 2 3
Q =v
X
(x − X)1
r
£;7«¥
i∗
2
= = = =
Q EW Z]?RUE AXEA}XXA G `?]EFRU AXEA}RUE YS ^?\E a^ A? HXXA\E ERUYb
i=1
Q2 = r
v
X
(x∗j − X)2 £;79¥
j=1
S12 =
v X
r
(xi∗ − X)2 =
Q1 £; ¥
r − 1 i=1 r−1
S22 =
r X
v
(x∗j − X)2 =
Q2 £; 7¥
v − 1 j=1 v−1
S32 =
1 XX r v
(xij − xi∗ − x∗j + X)2 =
Q £; ¥
(r − 1)(v − 1) i=1 j=1 (r − 1)(v − 1)
10
F[TRE
B P
v
(x∗j − X)2
Q2
S22 =
>[UYRUE Q2 = r ·
j=1
v−1
v−1
YAVSAVY Q3 =
P
r P
v
(xij −xi∗ −x∗j +X)2 (r−1)(v−1) S32 =
Q3
(r−1)(v−1)
q?]EFRU
i=1 j=1
Pr P v Q
Q= (xij − X)2 rv − 1 S2 =
i=1 j=1 rv − 1
A1 1 2 3 2
A2 5 6 10 7
x∗j 3 4 6.5 4.5
O=E=U HQFRQYAQYA r = 2, v = 3, n = rv = 6 GQYEQ; ¼[@EVSHRUE @[[YRUE
G=S=E= G= Z]?RUE VY`Z`EH[[ARUS GQAQ} QY@QE GQYEQ; KXF=UYG=Y2 A Å=aHQb
?\E A H[^_ERU FX^WA £Z]?RUE AXEA=}¥ i = 2, j = 1, 3 HXY
= 7 SVF ZVH
; q?]EFRU AXEA=} X = 4.5 £;7«¥÷ £;7¬¥
2
5 + 6 + 10
x =
HQZ¶·QSQQ? 3Q , Q , Q ERUYGV?[[ARUS QYGQY2 Q = 37.5, Q = 3, Q = 53.5
2∗
37.5 13 3
S12 = = 37.5; S22 = = 6.5, S32 = = 1.5
1 2 1·2
11
B F[TRE ;8 ®;
>[UYRUE 7
YAVSAVY ;8 ;
AR@`?@ 7
q?]EFRU ; 8;«
AR@`?@
ÖAQQ F B F _RE}[[?RUE XHSXXA\S GQAW·;
A B
= 19.0 GQYEQ
; LUEF[[ F > F ; F < F F=?W== GR`Y} G=US==
α,A
F[TRE >[UYRUE E]Y]]S HQQQFS[U G=U} GQYEQ SV@VE A[SEVYHRUS S=?S=} GQYEQ;
<RA FQ·? F[TRE >[UYH AR@`?@RUE _RE}RYSVVERU HXF=UE HQFRQYAY\S
=^T [>YVV; <[? `?]EFRU HQFRQYAQYA A F[TRE >[UYRUE i½? H[^_REB B F[TRE
>[UYRUE j ½Y H[^_RE AVV? FRU@VE HX?_RYH\E HQQ ££x , x ¥FQ@ XHS\E HQQ¥ EVS
GR_ FVA FVA G=U} GQYQF\E S=AE= VASVV? HQQEXXA ]]? ]]? G=U} GQYEQ; LUZ i j
FVYGV?HVU GQYEQ;
[EA 2
Q=
r X
X v X
n
(xijk − X)2 £; ®¥
i=1 j=1 k=1
Q1 = nv
r
X
(xi∗∗ − X)2 £; «¥
i=1
Q2 = nr
Xn
(x∗j∗ − X)2 £; 9¥
j=1
Q3 = n
r X
X v
(xij∗ − xi∗∗ − x∗j∗ + X)2 £; ¬¥
i=1 j=1
Q4 =
r X
X v X
n
(xijk − xij∗ )2 £;¡8¥
= = = = =
Q EW A G B F[TRE >[UYRUE F ?RY E [UYTYVYRUS [EVYVF a^ A? HXXA\E
i=1 j=1 k=1
ERUYGV?
3
= = =
Q EW GX@ A F[TRE >[UY[[ARUE E]Y]]S [EVYVF a^ A? HXXA\E ERUYGV? ~Z
4
;
x =
1 P
x − (i, j) H[^_ERU
n
FQ@ AVV?F
>V?VSVV HX?_RYH\E AXEA=}
ij∗ ijk
n k=1
Z]?RUE AXEA =}
£;¡¥
1P v
x =i∗∗ x − ij∗
v
== =
j=1
x − G S E\ AXEA }
1P r
x =
∗j∗ ij∗
r
X=
1 PP
x − `?]EFRU
i=1
r v
AXEA = }
rv
ij∗
¼F==?XXY
?S=Y>=F AR@`?@[[ARUE [EVYVYH G= T]Y]]ERU >V?SRUS A=?==F F[@EVSHVA
i=1 j=1
=^;
¤R@`?@ N^=A?=HXXA\E ERUYGV? Ï]Y]]ERU ¤R6`Y6[[ARUE
>V?VS [EVYVYH
F[TRE P
>[UYRUE
r Q
A 2 2 1
Q = v · n (x − X)
1 r−1 i∗∗ S =
B F[TRE
1
i=1 r−1
P
>[UYRUE
v Q 2 2 2
Q = r · n (x − X) v−1 S =
=?RY=E
2 ∗j∗ 2
v−1
¼
j=1
PP r v
[UYTYVYRUE Q = n (x −x −x +X) (v−1)(r− 1) S =
Q 2 2 3
YAVSAVY
3 ij∗ i∗∗ ∗j∗ 3
i=1 j=1 (r−1)(v−1)
PPP r v n
AR@`?@ Q = (x − x ) rv(n − 1) S =
Q 2 2 4
q?]EFRU
4 ijk ij∗ 4
i=1 j=1 k=1 rv(n − 1)
PPP r v n
AR@`?@ Q= (x − X)
i=1 j=1 k=1
rvn − 1ijk S =
Q
2
rvn − 1
2
13
G=UE=; Q ERUYGV? EW (i, j) H[^_ERU FQ@ AVV? FVA FVAVE >V?VSVV HX?_RYH
ij ij∗
A1
8 7 77 7 7 ¬8 788
A
A
2
¬8 9 ¬ ¬ 8 «8 8 «8 98
O=_RE\ HQFR?XXYS\E H[^_RE G[?A H[[FRU VARUE FV@VS G[?VV@ H=^ H=^\S
3
GQYEQ;
S42 = 931.7, S 2 = 944, 4.
_RE}[[?RUE FX^WA
T]Y]]ERU >V?S[[A EW HXY
FA = 2686.7/931.7 = 2.88, FB = 240/931.7 = 0.26 FA
RHSVF H[^_REHVU [`A
B _RE}[[?RUE H=GYR\E XHS=
k1 = 1, k2 = 24 α = 0.05
G= α = 0.05
[`A
Fα,A = 4.26 FB
; LUEF[[ =
XTR? Z _RE\ HQFR?XXYS\E
k1 = 2, k2 = 24
H[^_RE G H[[FRU VARUE FV@VS EW XH H F T==Y=YA E]Y]]Y]FS[U SV@VE
=
Fα,B = 3, 40
=@ =@? = =
Fa < Fα,A ; FB < Fα,B
A[SEVYHVEA F[?T G=UE=;
3}RSY=YH\E Z=H?R\E >=?RZ E[AE[[A HVE[[ GR_ HQQE\ VY`Z`EHHVU
[`AB ]]?]]? FVYGVY FQ@ H[^_RE G[? AVV? YS==H=U HQQE\ >V?VSVV HX?_RYH
FRU@VE E]F]YA AR@`?@RUE _RE}YVY AVV? =^T [>@VEVV@ YS==H=U =?S= G=?R½
Y==? S[UVHSVSAVEV; 3}RSY=YH\E Z=H?R\E >=?RZ E[AE[[A FQQ@QE G=UF [`A
T ]]?RUE QEYQS YS==H=U G]S]]A VEV FV@VSH AVV?F 7 HQFRQYAY\S =^T [>VVS[U
GQYEQ;