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Probability
Probability
�
a. Pn(k,p) = ( � )( �)� (1 − �)�−�
�!
P(x) = �!(�−�)! �� (1 − �)�−�
4 4!
�4 (0,0.3) =( 0 ) (0,3)0 (0,7)4 = 0!(4−0)! (0,3)0 (0,7)4−0 = (1)(1)(0,2401) = 0,2401
4!
b. �4 (1, 0.3) = 1!(4−1)! (0,3)1 (0,7)3 = (4)(0,3)(0,343) = 0,4116
4 4 4!
c. �4 (≥ 2, 0.3) = 1-�4 ( ≤ 1, 0.3) = 1 − � =2 0
(0,3)0 (0,7)4−0 = 0!(4−0)! (1)(0,2401) =
0,7599
1 4 4!
�4 (≤ 1,0.3) = �=0 0 (0,3)� (0,7)4−� = 0!(4−0)! (0,3)0 (00,7)4 = (1)(1)(0,2401) = 0,2401
Exercise 2
The probability that she will get the answer to any one of the questions correctly is 1/4 be
there are 4 balls and only one of the balls will determine the correct answer each time.
P= 1/4 = .25
q= 1-p = 3/4 = .75
P(x) = �� . �(�−�) .c(n,x)
n x p q �� �(�−�) C(n,x) P(x)
5 0 0,25 0,75 1 0,23730469 1 0,23736469 P(0)
5 1 0,25 0,75 0,25 0,31640625 5 0,39550781 P(1)
5 2 0,25 0,75 0,0625 0,421875 10 0,26367188 P(20
5 3 0,25 0,75 0,015625 0,5625 10 0,08789062 P(3)
5 4 0,25 0,75 0,00390625 0,75 5 0,01464844 P(4)
5 5 0,25 0,75 0,00097656 1 1 0,000976565 P(5)
Exercise 3
P = 65%= 0.65
Exercise 4
a. Probability that six or more people state a preference for brand A= P(X≥6)
10
p(x=6) = 6
.16 .(1-1)10−6 = 0
10
P(x=7) = 7
. 17 .(1 − 1)10−7 = 0
10
P(x=8) = 8
. 18 . (1 − 1)10−8 = 0
10
P(x=9) = 9
. 19 . (1 − 1)10−9 = 0
10
P(x=10) = 10
. 110 . (1 − 1)10−10 = 1
Probability p(x≥6)= 0+0+0+0+1= 1, so probability that six or more people state preference for brand A,
assuming the companys claim is correct
b. Probability that fewer thab six people state a preference brand A= P(x<6)
10
P(x=0)= 0 . 10 . (1 − 1)0 = 1
10
P(x=1)= . 11 . (1 − 1)1 = 10.0.1= 0
1
10
P(x=2)= 2
. 12 . (1 − 1)2 = 45.0.1= 0
10
P(x=3)= 3
. 13 . (1 − 1)3 = 120.0.1= 0
10
P(x=4)= 4
. 14 . (1 − 1)4 =210.0.1= 0
10
P(x=5)= . 15 . (1 − 1)5 = 252.0.1= 0
5
Probability p(x<6)= 1+0+0+0+0+0= 1, so probability fewer that six people state a preference brand A,
assuming the companys claim is correct
Exercise 5
�−ƛ ƛ �
P(x) = �!
ƛ = 2,4 �(−2,4) = 0,0907 x= 1,2,3,4…
x P(x)
0 0,0907 0,0907 9(2,4)0
0!
1 0,2177 0,0907 (2,4)1
1!
2 0,2613 0,0907 (2,4)2
2!
3 0,2090 0,0907 (2,4)3
3!
4 0,1254 0,0907 (2,4)4
4!
Exercise 6
�−ƛ ƛ �
P(x) = �!
ƛ= 6,0 �−(6) = 0,002478 = 0,0025
x P(x)
0 0,0025 0,0025 (6)0
0!
1 0,0149 0,0025 (6)1
1!
2 0,0446 0,0025 (6)2
2!
3 0,0892 0,0025 (6)3
3!
4 0,1339 0,0025 (6)4
4!
5 0,1606 0,0025 (6)5
5!