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Monte Carlo Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment For Cement Workers Exposed To Heavy Metals in Cement Dust
Monte Carlo Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment For Cement Workers Exposed To Heavy Metals in Cement Dust
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10653-023-01611-x
ORIGINAL PAPER
Received: 14 January 2023 / Accepted: 5 May 2023 / Published online: 17 May 2023
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2023
Abstract This study assessed the carcinogenic and in the cement mill. Individual metals’ cancer risk
non-carcinogenic health risks of cement plant work- exceeded the 1E–4 threshold in ascending order of
ers exposed to chromium (Cr), arsenic (As), cadmium Cd < As < Cr. The mean cancer risk of Cr ranged
(Cd), and lead (Pb) in cement dust using a probabil- from 835E-4 (in raw mill) to 2870E-4 (in pre-heater
istic approach. Air samples were collected according and kiln). Except for Cd, the non-cancer risk of met-
to NIOSH 7900 and OSHA ID-121 methods and ana- als exceeded the standard (hazard index, HQ = 1) in
lyzed by an graphite furnace atomic absorption spec- the ascending order of Pb < As < Cr. The mean HQ
trometer. The EPA inhalation risk assessment model of Cr ranged from 162.13 (in raw mill) to 558.73 (in
and Monte Carlo simulation were utilized to assess pre-heater and kiln). After adjusting for control fac-
the health risks. Sensitivity analysis was used to tors, the cancer and non-cancer risks remained over
determine the influencing parameters on health risk. the respective recommended levels. Sensitivity analy-
The average concentrations of As and Pb exceeded sis revealed that the concentration of Cr was the most
the occupational exposure limit (OEL), reaching a influential parameter on both carcinogenic (78.5%)
maximum of 3.4 and 1.7 times the OEL, respectively, and non-carcinogenic (88.06%) risks. To protect
the health of cement factory employees, it is recom-
mended to minimize cement dust emissions, imple-
Supplementary Information The online version ment job rotation, and use raw materials with low lev-
contains supplementary material available at https://doi.
org/10.1007/s10653-023-01611-x.
els of heavy metals.
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process in kilns, C r+3 is oxidized to C r+6. However, presented as a probability distribution (Cheng et al.,
after this process, the amount of Cr+6 gradually 2022; Sultana et al., 2022). As a result of using the
declines over time. The International Agency for PRA method, the risk estimate is more realistic and
Research on Cancer (IARC) classified hexavalent reasonable (Sahihazar et al., 2022).
chromium as a definite human carcinogen (Group I), Some previous studies have investigated the inha-
affecting the lung and sinonasal regions (Monographs lation health risks of heavy metals using PRA in work
on the evaluation of carcinogenic risks to humans., environments (Table 1). According to Table 1, heavy
1990). Inhalation of cement dust has been discovered metals pose notable risks of both carcinogenic and
to cause serious respiratory health effects in cement non-carcinogenic effects on the health of individu-
workers (Gizaw et al., 2016). Therefore, to provide als who are exposed to them. For instance, workers
information about the risks posed to cement plant employed in steelmaking plants (Dehghani et al.,
workers, a quantitative health risk assessment may be 2021) and cement industry (Kamaludin et al., 2020)
beneficial. are at risk of unacceptable cancer and non-cancer
Many international authorities such as the World health effects due to some heavy metals. Exposure
Health Organization (WHO), the United States to heavy metals is known to have detrimental effects
Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), and on human health, and it is essential to evaluate the
the United States Food and Drug Administration associated health risks. The cement industry, being
(USFDA) base regulatory decisions on quantita- a heavily polluted industry, is a common source of
tive risk assessment (QRA). Typically, cancer risk heavy metal emissions, posing a risk to workers’
is evaluated using lifetime cancer risk (LCR), which health in the work environment. Given the limited
is the probability of developing cancer due to a cer- research conducted on human health risk assessment
tain exposure (Gupta & Gupta, 2022; Ramírez et al., in the cement industry in Iran and worldwide, as well
2012). The non-cancer risk is shown as a hazard ratio as the significance of Quantitative Risk Assessment
(HR), which is the ratio of the amount of a chemical (QRA) in identifying possible human risks and pro-
that a person could be exposed to the amount at which viding a scientific basis for management and deci-
no adverse health effects are expected (Zheng et al., sion-making, the current study aims to address this
2020). There are two methods for conducting a QRA: research gap by conducting a study on employees at
deterministic and probabilistic approaches (Sahi- a cement factory in West Azerbaijan, Iran, with the
hazar et al., 2022). In the deterministic approach, following objectives in mind: (1) Determine the expo-
each exposure parameter (input) in the risk equation sure levels of cement workers to Cr, AS, Cd, and Pb;
is given a single representative value, producing a (2) Evaluate the health risks imposed by Cr, AS, Cd,
unique risk value (output). Individual attributes, such and Pb by PRA method using Monte Carlo simula-
as breathing rate and body weight, and environmen- tion; (3) Perform a sensitivity analysis to identify the
tal parameters, such as pollutant concentration, vary influence of input parameters on health risks. It is
greatly between work situations; hence, a single-point expected that the results of this study could aid in the
value is typically not representative (Tong et al., development of pollution control policies and proce-
2019a). This condition leads to an overestimation of dures for the cement industry by giving information
the calculated risk, which leads to conservative deci- on exposure levels and health issues related to the
sions and a greater cost of remediation. Probabilistic examined heavy metals.
risk assessment (PRA) uses stochastic methods such
as Monte Carlo simulations to determine the degree
of variability and uncertainty associated with each Materials and methods
parameter in the risk equation (Rivera Velasquez
et al., 2013; Sakizadeh et al., 2019). Monte Carlo Study area and production process
simulation, which incorporates the variability of input
data, is a valuable tool for assessing health risks. In This was a cross-sectional study conducted at a
this method, the health risk equation’s input distribu- cement plant in Urmia, West Azerbaijan Province,
tion is established at first, and then, randomly selected Iran. Figure 1 depicts the location map of the fac-
variables are used multiple times. The outcome is tory. This cement plant is one of the major plants
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Table 1 Probabilistic health risk assessment studies of heavy metals in various work environments
Pollutants Exposure Results References
PM2.5-bound heavy metals (V, Cr, Vehicle Inspection Unacceptable non-cancer risk due to (1)
Mn, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, Cd and Pb) exposure to Cr and Mn
Unacceptable, but not high potential
cancer risk
PM2.5-bound heavy metals (V, Cr, highway toll station significant adverse non-carcinogenic (2)
Mn, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, Cd and Pb) and carcinogenic risk
Pb, Fe, Mn, Cu, and Zn steelmaking plant Unacceptable non-cancer risk due to (3)
exposure to Pb and Mn
Unacceptable cancer risk due to expo-
sure to Pb
As, Cr Cement industry Unacceptable cancer and non-cancer (4)
risks due to exposure to As and Cr
PM2.5-bound heavy metals (Zn, Se, E-waste recycling zone, Unacceptable non-cancer risk for (5)
Pb, Sb, As, and Cd) adults and children due to all metals
Unacceptable cancer risk for adults
and children due to exposure to
Cr, Co, Ni, As, and Cd
As, Cd, Co, Cr, Pb, Mn, and Ni Taxi drivers Unacceptable non-cancer risk due to (6)
exposure to As, Cd, Mn, and Ni
Unacceptable cancer risk due to expo-
sure to As and Cd
Cr and Ni Welding of pipeline construction, Unacceptable cancer risk of Cr and (7)
pressure container manufacturing, Ni in the order of pipeline construc-
and shipyard building tion > pressure container manufac-
turing > shipyard building
PM2.5 and PM10-bound heavy metals traffic policemen in roadside locations Acceptable non-cancer and cancer (8)
(Cr, Mn, Ni, Zn, As, and Cd) risks for all metals
(1) Li P–H, Kong S-F, Geng C-M, Han B, Lu B, Sun R-F, et al. Assessing the hazardous risks of vehicle inspection workers’ expo-
sure to particulate heavy metals in their work places. Aerosol and Air Quality Research. 2013;13(1):255–65
(2) Li P–h, Yu J, Bi C-l, Yue J-j, Li Q-q, Wang L, et al. Health risk assessment for highway toll station workers exposed to PM2.
5-bound heavy metals. Atmospheric Pollution Research. 2019;10(4):1024–30
(3) Dehghani F, Omidi F, Fallahzadeh RA, Pourhassan B. Health risk assessment of occupational exposure to heavy metals in a steel
casting unit of a steelmaking plant using Monte–Carlo simulation technique. Toxicology and industrial health. 2021;37(7):431–40
(4) Kamaludin NH, Jalaludin J, Tamrin SBM, Akim AM, Martiana T, Widajati N. Exposure to Silica, Arsenic, and Chromium (VI)
in Cement Workers: A Probability Health Risk Assessment. Aerosol and Air Quality Research. 2020;20:2347–70
(5) Fang W, Yang Y, Xu Z. PM10 and PM2. 5 and health risk assessment for heavy metals in a typical factory for cathode ray tube
television recycling. Environmental science & technology. 2013;47(21):12,469–76
(6) Sepahi Zoeram F, Ebrahimi AA, Mehrparvar AH, Sarsangi Aliabad A, Fallah Zadeh H, Mehri H, et al. Health risk assessment of
inhalational exposure to heavy metals in drivers working in an urban desert city in the Middle East. Environmental monitoring and
assessment. 2022;194(8):1–9
(7) Yang SY, Lin JM, Lin WY, Chang CW. Cancer risk assessment for occupational exposure to chromium and nickel in weld-
ing fumes from pipeline construction, pressure container manufacturing, and shipyard building in Taiwan. Journal of occupational
health. 2018;60(6):515–24
(8) Fandi NFM, Jalaludin J, Latif MT, Abd Hamid HH, Awang MF. BTEX Exposure assessment and inhalation health risks to traffic
policemen in the klang valley region, Malaysia. Aerosol and Air Quality Research. 2020;20(9):1922–37
in the province and produces Portland cement. Near to cement packaging (Fig. 2). As depicted in Fig. 2,
the factory, there is adequate mountain rock soil for quarrying is the initial stage in which raw materials
use as a source of raw materials for cement produc- such as limestone is extracted from the mine close
tion. Similar to other factories, this one produces to the factory and brought to the crushing unit by
cement in stages, from quarrying the raw materials trucks. The crusher reduces the raw materials to
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Sample collection and analysis including the air pollution health risk assessment
(AP-HRA) (Hassan Bhat et al., 2021), the semi-
Air samples were collected throughout the course of quantitative risk assessment method (SQRA)
four months, from March to June 2022. Sixty-two air (Zeverdegani et al., 2023), the chemical risk man-
samples were collected utilizing the similar exposure agement self-assessment model (Chem-SAM)
groups as a guide (Leidel et al., 1977). Air sampling (Karimi Zeverdegani et al., 2016), and the non-
and analysis were carried out in accordance with cancer and cancer health risk assessment method
OSHA and NIOSH standard methods. Cr, Cd, and developed by the USEPA (Hosseinzadeh et al.,
Pb were sampled and analyzed using OSHA ID-121 2023; Tong et al., 2019b). The USEPA method is
(Method & ID-121, 2002). The NIOSH 7900 was the only tool that can separately evaluate the risk
used for As sampling and analysis (NIOSH, 2003). of carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic effects. This
Dust samples were collected with a cassette filter technique is comprehensive and focuses on quan-
holder containing a 37-mm cellulose ester membrane titatively assessing the health effects caused by
filter (0.8-micron pore size). The filter cassette was chemical exposure. It has been frequently utilized
placed within the workers’ breathing zone and con- to evaluate cancer and non-cancer risks in differ-
nected to a personal air sampling pump (SKC Ltd, ent workplaces (Fandi et al., 2020; Jiménez-López
Deluxe 224-PCMTX8, UK). The pump’s flow rate & Hincapié-Llanos, 2022; Khoshakhlagh & Morais,
was adjusted to 2 L/min using an electronic calibra- 2022; Mazaheri Tehrani et al., 2020; Rostami et al.,
tor (BIOS DryCal DC-Lite, US). Each personal sam- 2021; Sahihazar et al., 2022; Tran et al., 2022).
pling session lasted four hours. Each participant read A framework for assessing health risks was devel-
and signed an informed consent form prior to air oped using the USEPA-recommended inhalation risk
sampling. model (USEPA 2009) and Monte Carlo simulation
During each sampling session, two field blank (Fig. 3). Hazard identification, dose–response assess-
samples were obtained by exposing the filter media ment, exposure assessment, and risk characterization
to the surrounding environment without drawing are the four steps in risk assessment. The primary
any air through it. These blank samples were trans- goal of hazard identification is to detect compounds
ported along with the main samples to the sampling that may be hazardous to human health (Shomar &
sites and stored in the laboratory during the storage Rashkeev, 2021). In this study, the concentration of
period. Before analysis, a media blank was also eval- heavy metals was quantified in five parts of a cement
uated to determine the extent of background contami- factory, including crusher, raw mill, prep-heater and
nation in the filter media. The values obtained from kiln, cement mill, and packing plant.
the blank samples were subtracted from the sample There are three ways to be exposed to environ-
concentrations. Air filters were digested with the mental pollutants: inhalation, skin contact, and inges-
appropriate acid solutions in order to extract metals. tion. Because heavy metals can be absorbed through
A graphite furnace atomic absorption spectrometer breathing, inhalation was chosen as the primary
(Perkin Elmer 5100 AAS) was used to measure the exposure route in this investigation. Inhalation of
concentration of Cd, Cr, Pb, and As in air samples. heavy metals such as Cr, Cd, As, and Pb could result
To determine the limit of detection (LOD), we added in adverse outcomes such as lung cancer and several
the average concentration of each heavy metal in the non-cancer health effects in the exposed popula-
blank samples to three times the standard deviation. tion (Ali et al., 2021; Proctor et al., 2021; Sah et al.,
The concentration LOD of heavy metals was obtained 2019). Therefore, the carcinogenic and non-carcino-
0.10, 0.16, 0.008, and 0.20 µg.m−3 for Pb, Cr, Cd, and genic health effects of these heavy metals were evalu-
As, respectively. The concentration of heavy metals ated. Carcinogenic risk is defined as the possibility
in the dust filters was above the LOD. of developing any type of cancer during one’s life-
time (70 years) if exposed to a certain concentration
Human health risk assessment of carcinogenic substance. Non-carcinogenic risk is
defined as the possibility of human exposure to non-
There are various methods available for assess- carcinogenic pollutants that may cause chronic dis-
ing the risk associated with exposure to chemicals, eases or injuries (Tong et al., 2019c).
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Fig. 3 The research framework used to assess the health risk of heavy metals
The non-cancer risk of As, Cd, Cr, and Pb, as well total non-cancer risk associated with all heavy metals
as the cancer risk of As, Cd, Cr, and Pb, was calcu- evaluated. HI ≤ 1, indicates no adverse health effects;
lated in this study. Equation (1) was used to define the HI > 1, indicates the possibility of adverse health
health risk model for cement workers. effects. RfD is the reference dose in mg.Kg−1.day−1,
which is an estimate of the daily exposure to a sub-
C ⋅ IR ⋅ t ⋅ Ef ⋅ ED
( )
AAD∕LADD = (1) stance that could pose a risk to human health over the
BW ⋅ AT
course of a lifetime (Schiavo et al., 2022).
where ADD = the average amount of heavy met- The cancer risk (R) was calculated using Eqs. (4)
als exposure through inhalation, in mg.Kg−1. and (5)
day−1, LADD = lifetime average daily dose of expo-
R = LADD × CSF (4)
sure to heavy metals via inhalation in mg.Kg−1.
day−1, C = concentration of heavy metals (mg.m−3), ∑
IR = inhalation rate (m3.h−1), t = exposure time Rt = R (5)
(h·day−1), Ef = exposure frequency (day·year−1),
ED = exposure duration (year), BW = body CSF represents the slope factor in mg·kg−1.day−1,
weight of workers (kg), AT = averaging time which is defined as a plausible upper-bound estimate
(day); AT = ED × 365 (for non-cancer risk), and of the probability of a response per unit intake of a
AT = 70 × 365 (for cancer risk). chemical over a lifetime (USEPA, 1991). Rt is the
The non-cancer risk was calculated using Eqs. (2) total cancer risk of all heavy metals that can be calcu-
and (3) lated by adding the individual risks (R).
R ≤ 1E-6 is an acceptable carcinogenic risk,
ADD between 1E-6 and 1E-4 are considered potential for
( )
HQ = (2)
RfD carcinogenesis and R ≥ 1E-4 indicates an unaccepta-
ble carcinogenic risk (Kamal et al., 2015).
The reduction of prevention and control measures
∑
HI = HQ (3)
(RPC) in reducing total cancer risk (Rtc) and total
The hazard quotient (HQ) represents the amount non-cancer risk (HIc) was computed, respectively,
of non-cancer risk associated with individual heavy using Eqs. (6) and (7). We utilized the RPCs for a
metals, whereas the hazard index (HI) shows the ventilation system, two types of respiratory masks,
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(1) Kamaludin NH, Jalaludin J, Tamrin SBM, Akim AM, Martiana T, Widajati N. Exposure to Silica, Arsenic, and Chromium (VI)
in Cement Workers: A Probability Health Risk Assessment. Aerosol and Air Quality Research. 2020;20:2347–70
(2) Wang F, Wang J, Han M, Jia C, Zhou Y. Heavy metal characteristics and health risk assessment of PM2. 5 in students’ dormito-
ries in a university in Nanjing, China. Building and Environment. 2019;160:106,206
(3) Wang F, Wang J, Han M, Jia C, Zhou Y. Heavy metal characteristics and health risk assessment of PM2.5 in students’ dormito-
ries in a university in Nanjing, China. Building and Environment. 2019;160:106,206
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parameters is listed in Table 2. The arithmetic mean impact of the parameter on the model’s output (Tong
of the parameters was entered into the equation for et al., 2019c).
calculating potential health risks.
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lowest and highest concentrations of As, Cd, and Pb, pollutants and, thus, the higher incidence of adverse
respectively. The lowest and greatest concentrations health effects among cement workers, particularly in
of Cr were measured in raw mill and pre-heater and the cement mill. Cement workers, particularly those
kiln stations, respectively. The air monitoring results who operate in a cement mill, are therefore advised to
suggested that As and Pb may be major heavy metal take engineering and personal protection measures to
pollution in cement production and that air pollution reduce suspended dust and protect themselves.
management measures should be actively performed
to lower dust levels. In a comparable study conducted Health risk assessment for workers
in a cement industry in Iran, the mean concentra-
tion of Cd, Pb, and Cr in the respirable dust sam- Carcinogenic risk assessment
ples was 2.41, 10.39, and 1.36 µg.m−3 (Pouransari,
2020). These concentrations are not comparable to Arsenic, cadmium, and chromium have carcinogenic
ours because they collected the respirable fraction of effects. Therefore, the USEPA method was utilized
the suspended dust. However, similar to our findings, to evaluate the cancer risk associated with inhaling
the mean concentration of Pb was much greater than these heavy metals. To estimate the cancer risk for
the concentrations of Cd and Cr in the air samples. arsenic, cadmium, and chromium, the Monte Carlo
It is revealed that the metal content concentrations in simulation method was run by the Oracle Crystal
cement dust are factory dependent (Ogunbileje et al., ball software with 10,000 iterations. The findings of
2013). The mean concentrations of As and Cr in the the simulations of cancer risk are shown in Table 4
breathing zone of workers in a Malaysian cement and Supplementary materials (Fig. S1). According
industry (Kamaludin et al., 2020) were 0.1 ± 0.02 and to Table 4, the mean cancer risk of individual met-
1.53 ± 2.47 mg.m−3 which were much higher than the als in all sections of the cement factory exceeded the
concentrations obtained in this investigation. A recent acceptable level of 1E-4. The cancer risk of metals
investigation in Indonesia showed that the mean con- was in the ascending order of Cd < As < Cr. The mean
centration of fine particulate matter (23.68 µg.m−3) in cancer risk of Cr ranged from 835E-4 (in raw mill)
the cement factory exceeded the air quality guidelines to 2870E-4 (in pre-heater and kiln), indicating that
of the World Health Organization (Mallongi et al., all workers face a definite cancer risk. A comparable
2023). The findings of the current study and similar investigation in Malaysia (Kamaludin et al., 2020)
ones demonstrated that the inhalation exposure of revealed a lifetime cancer risk of 4707E-4 in cement
cement workers to heavy metals could be above the industry workers owing to Cr exposure, which is more
environmental and occupational standard levels, mak- than the risk assessed by the current study. In addi-
ing air pollution control in the cement factories a tion, the cancer risk of Cr for manufacturing workers
global concern. in an e-waste factory in Shanghai, China, was 3.45
The working units of the cement factory are not times the acceptable limit of 1E-4 (Fang et al., 2013).
completely separated from one another. Therefore, During pipeline construction, manufacturing of pres-
the wind might transport the suspended dust from one sure containers, and shipyard constructing, the aver-
area of production to another. In the present research, age incremental lifetime cancer risk due to Cr expo-
the concentration of metals in the cement mill, which sure was 4.2, 1.1E-1, and 3.4E-3, respectively (Yang
crushes clinker into a fine powder, was higher than et al., 2018). In Nigerian auto-panel workshops, the
in other areas of the factory. Gizaw et al. found that ILCR for adults owing to inhalation of chromium in
cement mill employees were more likely than raw scrap car paint dust ranged from 1.09 E-3 to 1.37 E-3,
mill employees to develop chronic respiratory prob- which was 10.9 to 13.7 times the EPA-recommended
lems (OR = 3.72, 95% CI = 1.92, 7.21) (Gizaw et al., threshold (Widziewicz et al., 2016).
2016). Meo et al. discovered that cement mill workers The mean cancer risk of As ranged from 297E-4
had significantly higher levels of fractional exhaled (in the packing plant) to 556E-4 (in the cement mill),
nitric oxide (FENO) than their non-exposed coun- which was 297 and 556 times the acceptable health
terparts (31.71 ± 2.963 ppb vs. 25.39 ± 2.46 ppb) risk (1E-4), showing that cement workers are at a
(Meo et al., 2014). These studies and our findings high risk of developing cancer. Similarly, Kamalu-
indicate the higher probability of exposure to air din et al. observed that the As cancer risk for cement
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plant workers was 734.87E-4, which is approxi- level of 1E-4 (Sepahi Zoeram et al., 2022). In their
mately 735 times the acceptable recommended level study of the health effects of PM2.5-bound heavy met-
(Kamaludin et al., 2020). The mean risk of As-related als in Karaj, Iran, Kermani et al. reported that Cd has
cancer among taxi drivers in Yazd, Iran, was 5.7E- the highest risk of cancer among heavy metals, at
4, or 5.7 times the acceptable level (Sepahi Zoeram 4.81E-4 (Kermani et al., 2021). Because of the sig-
et al., 2022). It reveals that the cancer risk of As may nificant quantities of this heavy metal in the air, it
exceed the EPA standard even in occupational catego- appears that Cd poses a cancer risk in occupational
ries that are not exposed to high dust pollution levels. and outdoor contexts.
In Poland, urban individuals’ lifetime carcinogenic According to Table 4, the total cancer risk of
risk from exposure to total As (from PM2.5 particles) As, Cr, and Cd ranged from 1240E-4 (in the raw
varied from 0.51E-6 (in summer) to 2.0E-6 (in win- mill) to 3190E-4 (in the preheater and kiln), which
ter) (Widziewicz et al., 2016). Wang et al. examined is much more than the recommended limit of 1E-4.
the exposure of traffic officers in Tianjin, China, to In other words, between 1,420 and 3,190 out of
roadside trace elements and found that the cancer risk every 10,000 workers in a cement production fac-
of arsenic bound to PM2.5 and PM10 was greater than tory who are exposed to As, Cr, and Cd without
1E-6 (Wang et al., 2020). engineering or personal protection are anticipated
The mean cancer risk of Cd was smaller than to develop cancer. The potential effect of employ-
both Cr and As and ranged from 0.755E-4 (in pack- ing the ventilation system, two types of mask, and
ing plant) to 2.43E-4 (cement mill), demonstrating a the combination of the ventilation system and the
definite cancer risk for cement workers. Taxi drivers masks on reducing the total cancer risk ( Rtc) is pre-
in Yazd, Iran, had an average excess cancer risk of sented in Table 5. According to Table 5, total can-
Cd of 1.1E-4, which is slightly above the acceptable cer risks were not lowered below the recommended
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Table 5 Cancer and non-cancer risks after adjusting for control factors
Type of risk Job tasks Rt Rtc
Ventilation system Mask Comfort mask Ventilation sys- Ventilation
with filter tem + Mask with system + Comfort
dust filter dust mask
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organs of the exposed population, as determined by controls demonstrate greater efficacy in reducing
the USEPA. HQ values linked to silica exposure to levels below
Table 5 summarizes the possible effect of using the 1 compared to masks (Sahihazar et al., 2022). The
ventilation system, different masks, and the combina- ineffectiveness of protection and control measures in
tion of the ventilation system and masks on reducing reducing the non-cancer effects of cement workers
non-cancer risks (HIc). According to Table 5, when again advises the planning for administrative controls
a ventilation system or its combination with masks and utilizing low-content polluted raw material to
was used, none of the HI were lowered to less than protect cement workers from non-cancer risks.
the standard level of 1. In other words, the simulta- In general, the Rt and HI values indicated defi-
neous use of the ventilation system and mask with nite cancer risks and undesirable non-carcinogenic
filter dust, as the most efficient combination, dropped effects for cement workers. The pre-heater and kiln
the HI from 187.75 to 11.26 in the raw mill which is posed the greatest health risks in cement produc-
again larger than the standard threshold. In a compa- tion, followed by the cement mill, packing plant,
rable study conducted in a cement industry (Kamalu- crusher, and raw mill. In other words, the manufac-
din et al., 2020), the adoption of protective and pre- turing units (from kiln to packaging plant) posed
ventative measures in reducing the non-cancer effects greater health risks than the preparation operations
was not effective and the HQ of As and Cr dropped (crusher and raw mill). Therefore, the implementa-
from 109.17 to 1.64 and from 5235.41 to 78.53, tion of a health risk control program for cement fac-
respectively. In a foundry plant setting, engineering tory workstations could be prioritized and classified
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as follows: pre-heater and kiln > cement mill > pack- incidence of lung cancer among the group at risk
ing plant > crusher > raw mill. To protect and moni- (Smith et al., 2009). Our findings indicate that special
tor the health of cement workers exposed to cement attention should be paid to controlling the exposure to
dust, it is strongly recommended to implement pre- chromium and arsenic in cement workers in order to
ventative measures, such as engineering and admin- reduce the associated health risks.
istrative controls, and to conduct health surveillance
examinations. Powdered Portland cement has an Sensitivity analysis
aerodynamic diameter between 0.05 and 5 µm, allow-
ing it to reach the alveoli of the lungs (Schuhmacher A sensitivity analysis was undertaken to determine
et al., 2004). During the kiln-baking process, Cr6+ is which input parameters contribute the most to the
oxidized to produce. Thus, following this procedure, risk. Figure 4a depicts the results of a sensitivity
cement will include C r6+. Long-term C r6+ inhala- analysis performed on parameters related to carcino-
tion may result in carcinogenesis, immunological genic risk values. The sensitivity of the parameters
dysfunction, and fibrosis (Kamaludin et al., 2020). differed among workers at various cement production
The International Agency for Research on Cancer units. Concentration of Cr, concentration of As, body
(IARC) has designated Cr6+ as a human carcinogen weight (BW), daily exposure time (t), and exposure
(Group I) with a focus on the lungs and sinonasal frequency (Ef) were the significant contributors to
cavities (Monographs on the evaluation of carcino- variance in carcinogenic risk, with the mean sensitiv-
genic risks to humans., 1990). It was discovered that ity of 78.5%, 8.4%, -8.14, 4.66%, 0.32%, respectively.
inhalation and ingestion of As greatly enhanced the Cancer risks were most affected by the concentration
Fig. 4 Sensitivity analyses in different units of cement factory for total cancer risk (a) and hazard index (b)
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Environ Geochem Health (2023) 45:5961–5979 5975
of Cr, which ranged from 64.8% (in the pre-heater and assessment model was used to evaluate the health
kiln) to 86.8%. (in packing plant). Figure 4b depicts risks of heavy metals and their contributing factors.
the findings of a sensitivity analysis of non-carci- Exposure to chromium, arsenic, and cadmium posed
nogenic risks. Among all exposure characteristics, a definite cancer risk to all cement manufacturing
88.06% of the variance in non-carcinogenic risk was workers. Chromium had a higher cancer risk than the
attributable to the concentration of Cr. In addition, other heavy metals, with a mean cancer risk ranging
body weight (-6.9%) and daily exposure time (3.9%) from 835E-4 (in raw mill) to 2870E-4 (in pre-heater
were second and third, respectively. Analyses of sen- and kiln). The mean cancer risk of Cd was lower than
sitivity found that the concentration of Cr may have the risks of both Cd and As, and its cancer risk was
a considerable effect on both carcinogenic and non- somewhat higher than the standard level of 1E-4,
carcinogenic risks for cement workers. These results except for the packing plant. Heavy metal cancer risk
show that the health risks of cement workers could be was considerably higher than the recommended limit
substantially decreased by limiting the concentration of 1E-4 and was not reduced below this level when
of Cr and, to a lesser extent, by reducing their daily the ventilation system or its combination with masks
work hours. Similar to our results, the concentration were used. Except for Cadmium, the non-cancer haz-
of heavy metal was the most influential parameters on ard quotients of three other heavy metals exceeded 1.
the health risk of workers. For instance, the concen- Cr had the highest mean HQ at 558.73 (in pre-heater
tration of lead (Pb) was found to contribute to 83% and kiln), As at 28.63 (in cement mill), and Pb at
of the cancer risk among workers in the steelmaking 5.99 (cement mill). The mean HI calculated by add-
industry (Dehghani et al., 2021). The concentration of ing the HQ of individual heavy metals ranged from
cobalt (99.14%) and cadmium (99.31%) were found 89.02 (in raw mill) to 249.13 (in cement mill), indi-
to have a significant impact on the uncertainty of the cating a significant risk of non-carcinogenic effects.
health risk assessment for traffic policemen (Wang When the dust control efficiency of the ventilation
et al., 2020). Similarly, in health risk assessments system or its combination with masks was consid-
conducted for volatile organic compounds (VOCs) ered in the calculations, the non-cancer risks could
in various work environments, the concentration of not be reduced to less than the standard level of 1.
VOCs was identified as the critical parameter affect- Therefore, to protect cement workers from cancer and
ing the variances of health risks. For example, the non-cancer risks, administrative controls such as job
contribution of BTEX concentrations in non-cancer rotation and the use of raw materials with minimal
risks of workers in composite manufacturing ranged heavy metal contamination, especially Cr and As, are
from 80.7% to 96.5% (Khoshakhlagh et al., 2023). recommended in addition to engineering controls and
According to Hosseinzadeh et al., the concentration personal protection.
of ethylbenzene (51.7% to 93.7%) contributed the Our findings may have significant implications
most to the variance in carcinogenic risk in different for strengthening the practice of industrial hygiene
workshops of a paint manufacturing plant (Hossein- in the cement industry. Previous research focused
zadeh et al., 2023). on heavy metal contamination in the soil around
the cement factory (Jafari et al., 2019; Rahmanian
& Safari, 2020; Solgi & Khodabandelo, 2016), par-
Conclusions ticulate matters pollution in the cement industry
(Mallongi et al., 2023), and the health effects on
This study was conducted on cement factory work- the cement workers (Koh et al., 2011, 2013; Zeleke
ers to better understanding of cancer and non-cancer et al., 2010). There has been a lack of research on
risks associated with heavy metals in the cement dust. the health risk assessment of occupational expo-
Among the four heavy metals studied, the mean con- sure to heavy metals from cement dust. There-
centration of As and Pb exceeded the OEL. Cement fore, the current study quantified the health risks
mill was identified as the most polluted part of the of occupational exposure to heavy metals from the
factory. Workers in cement mill were exposed to As cement industry using the PRA model based on
and Pb, 3.4 and 1.7 times the OELs, respectively. Monte Carlo simulation. The uncertainty of tradi-
The Monte Carlo-based probabilistic health risk tional health risk assessment methodologies has
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