SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.96456463
R Square 0.93038493
Adjusted R S 0.92168305
Standard Erro 4.60977223
Observations 10

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2272 2272 106.917647 6.60903E-06
Residual 8 170 21.25
Total 9 2442

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 80 3.07534494 26.0133421 5.12002E-09 72.9082419 87.0917581
X Variable 1 4 0.38684349 10.340099 6.60903E-06 3.10793731 4.89206269
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
72.9082419 87.0917581
3.10793731 4.89206269
Years of Annual Sales ($1000)
1 80 Chart Title
3 97 160
4 92 140
4 102 f(x) = 4 x + 80
120
6 103 R² = 0.93038493038493

8 111 100

10 119 80
10 123 60
11 117
40
13 136
20

0
0 2 4 6 8 10

a y=4x +80
b 6.60903E-06 (sheet4 - pvalue)
art Title

8 10 12 14

significantly related
 𝑦 ̂_𝑖
〖 (𝑥 〗 _𝑖− 〖𝑥 ̅ ) 〗 ^2 (𝑦_𝑖 − 𝑦 ̂_𝑖 )^2
Years of Annual
Experienc Sales
e ($1000)
1 80 36 84 16
3 97 16 92 25
4 92 9 96 16
4 102 9 96 36
6 103 36 104 1
8 111 1 112 1
10 119 9 120 1
10 123 9 120 9
11 117 16 124 49
13 136 36 132 16

qs c
x bar 7 𝑠^2 𝑠_(𝑦 ̂^∗)^2 𝑠_(𝑦 ̂^∗)^
〖𝑡 _(𝛼/2) 〗
𝑥 ̅
(𝑥∗−𝑥 ̅ )^2 4 21.25 2.605225989 1.614071246 _2.306004135
^
〖∑ (𝑥 〗 _𝑖− 177 E(Y) 116
〖𝑥 ̅ ) 〗 ^2 CI_lower 112.277945
CI_upper 119.722055

qs d
〖𝑠 _𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑑^2=𝑠〖𝑠 _𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑑^
〗
22.86407125 〗
4.781638971
^2+𝑠_(𝑦 ̂^∗)^ ^
2
^ 𝐸(𝑦^∗ )=𝐸(𝑌) 116
CI_lower 104.9735208
CI_upper 127.0264792

qs e
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9791271
R Square 0.95868988
Adjusted R S 0.94836235
Standard Erro 241.522946
Observations 6

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 5415000 5415000 92.8285714 0.00064897
Residual 4 233333.333 58333.3333
Total 5 5648333.33

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 1246.66667 464.159934 2.68585583 0.05489367 -42.0479105 2535.38124
X Variable 1 7.6 0.78881064 9.6347585 0.00064897 5.40991057 9.79008943
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-42.0479105 2535.38124
5.40991057 9.79008943
 x y 𝑦 ̂_𝑖 ̅ ) 〗 ^2
〖 (𝑥 〗 _𝑖− 〖𝑥 (𝑦_𝑖 − 𝑦 ̂_𝑖 )^2
400 4000 30625 4286.66666667 82177.78
450 5000 15625 4666.66666667 111111
550 5400 625 5426.66666667 711.1111
600 5900 625 5806.66666667 8711.111
700 6400 15625 6566.66666667 27777.78
750 7000 30625 6946.66666667 2844.444
 7.6 1246.66667
a equation: y = 7.6x+1246.7
b point estimate 5046.7
c 𝑥 ̅ 575
(𝑥∗−𝑥 ̅ )^2 5625
〖∑ (𝑥 〗 _𝑖− 93750
〖𝑥
𝑠^2 ̅ ) 〗 ^2 58333.3333
𝑠_(𝑦 ̂^∗)^2 13222.2222
𝑠_(𝑦 ̂^∗)^ 114.987922
〖𝑡 _(𝛼/2) 〗 4.60409487
_n^ 6
alpha 0.99
E(Y) 5046.7
CI_lower 4517.2847
CI_upper 5576.1153

d 〖𝑠 _𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑑^2=𝑠 58448.3213
〗
〖𝑠^2+𝑠_(𝑦 ̂^∗)^
_𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑑^ 241.760876
2^ 𝐸(𝑦^∗ )=𝐸(𝑌)
〗^ 5046.7
CI_lower 3933.60999
CI_upper 6159.79001
month per
1 80 3m 4m
2 82 82
3 84 83 82.25
4 83 83.3333333 83
5 83 83.3333333 83.5
6 84 84 83.75
7 85 84.3333333 84
8 84 83.6666667 83.75
9 82 83 83.5
10 83 83 83.25
11 84 83.3333333 83
12 83
 Chart Title
85

84

83

82

81

80

79

78
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Year Price ($10mv3 mv4
1990 130
1991 121 123.666667 C
1992 120 122.666667 124.5 300
1993 127 125.333333 124.25
250
1994 129 130 127.5
1995 134 134.333333 132.5 200
1996 140 141.333333 138.25
1997 150 146 143 150
1998 148 152.633333 149.475
100
1999 159.9 156.833333 155.125
2000 162.6 165.9 161.425 50
2001 175.2 174.966667 171.2
2002 187.1 183.933333 178.6 0
1985 1990 1995
2003 189.5 199.633333 193.525
2004 222.3 216.033333 208.8
2005 236.3 238.533333 226.275 a
2006 257 245.266667 239.525 b
2007 242.5 248.633333 245.55 c
2008 246.4 236.033333 241.275
2009 219.2 224.633333 229.1
2010 208.3 217.4 224.65
2011 224.7
 Chart Title
00

50

00

50

00

50

0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

the trendline is going up as of housing bubble in 2003

yes, using moving average
need more months during the year to predict