MS CE GDP Predicted GDP

1950 2021 207559 224786 300189

1951 1812 220752 230034 319269.8 SUMMARY OUTPUT
1952 1764 229660 236562 332153.3
1953 1828 243467 250960 352122.2 Regression Statistics
1954 1955 251454 261615 363673.6 Multiple R 0.994364
1955 2217 253858 268316 367150.5 R Square 0.988759
1956 2342 265088 283589 383392.2 Adjusted R 0.97181
1957 2413 259851 280160 375818.1 Standard E 139855.7
1958 2526 283706 301422 410319.1 Observatio 60
1959 2720 286933 308018 414986.3
1960 2869 303255 329825 438592.5 ANOVA
1961 3049 308425 340060 446069.8 df SS
1962 3317 312443 347253 451881 Regression 1 1.02E+14
1963 3752 324066 364834 468691.1 Residual 59 1.15E+12
1964 4080 343425 392503 496689.7 Total 60 1.03E+14
1965 4529 343729 378157 497129.4
1966 4951 348196 382006 503589.9 Coefficients
Standard Error
1967 5350 367895 413094 532080.2 Intercept 0 #N/A
1968 5779 377559 423874 546057.1 CE 1.446283 0.020076
1969 6536 391582 451496 566338.3
1970 7374 404880 474131 585571
1971 8323 412758 478918 596964.8
1972 9700 415523 477392 600963.8 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
1973 11200 425720 499120 615711.6
1974 11975 425399 504914 615247.3 Observation
Predicted GDPResiduals
1975 13325 449557 550379 650186.6 1 300189 -75403
1976 16024 458521 557258 663151.1 2 319269.8 -89235.84
1977 14388 495910 598885 717226.2 3 332153.3 -95591.33
1978 17292 526219 631839 761061.5 4 352122.2 -101162
1979 20000 514416 598974 743991.1 5 363673.6 -102059
1980 23424 560718 641921 810956.9 6 367150.5 -98834.48
1981 24937 583839 678033 844396.4 7 383392.2 -99803.24
1982 28535 588909 697861 851729 8 375818.1 -95658.06
1983 33398 635334 752669 918872.7 9 410319.1 -108897
1984 39915 651495 782484 942246.1 10 414986.3 -106968
1985 44095 680420 815049 984079.8 11 438592.5 -108768
1986 51516 698991 850217 1010939 12 446069.8 -106010
1987 58555 721499 880267 1043492 13 451881 -104628
1988 66786 769480 969702 1112886 14 468691.1 -103857
1989 81060 804428 1029178 1163430 15 496689.7 -104187
1990 92892 843556 1083572 1220021 16 497129.4 -118972
1991 114406 860869 1099072 1245060 17 503589.9 -121584
1992 124066 879689 1158025 1272279 18 532080.2 -118986
1993 150778 918944 1223816 1329053 19 546057.1 -122183
1994 192257 961346 1302076 1390378 20 566338.3 -114842
1995 214835 1018423 1396974 1472928 21 585571 -111440
1996 240615 1097390 1508378 1587136 22 596964.8 -118047
1997 267844 1122195 1573263 1623011 23 600963.8 -123572
1998 309068 1190267 1678410 1721463 24 615711.6 -116592
1999 341796 1257541 1786525 1818760 25 615247.3 -110333
2000 379450 1300494 1864301 1880882 26 650186.6 -99807.6
2001 422843 1377316 1972606 1991989 27 663151.1 -105893
2002 473581 1413594 2048286 2044457 28 717226.2 -118341
2003 578716 1501974 2222758 2172279 29 761061.5 -129223
2004 649790 1584690 2388768 2291910 30 743991.1 -145017
2005 826415 1692194 2616101 2447391 31 810956.9 -169036
2006 967955 1800874 2871120 2604573 32 844396.4 -166363
2007 1155837 1946780 3129717 2815595 33 851729 -153868
2008 1259707 2085582 3339375 3016342 34 918872.7 -166204
2009 1489301 2239317 3605108 3238686 35 942246.1 -159762
36 984079.8 -169031
37 1010939 -160722
38 1043492 -163225
39 1112886 -143184
40 1163430 -134252
41 1220021 -136449
42 1245060 -145988
43 1272279 -114254
44 1329053 -105237
45 1390378 -88302.28
46 1472928 -75953.76
47 1587136 -78758.39
48 1623011 -49748.43
49 1721463 -43052.8
50 1818760 -32235
51 1880882 -16581.23
52 1991989 -19382.57
53 2044457 3829.178
54 2172279 50478.7
55 2291910 96857.96
56 2447391 168709.8
57 2604573 266546.7
58 2815595 314122.4
59 3016342 323033.4
60 3238686 366422.1
 SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.862064
R Square 0.743154
Adjusted R 0.726205
Standard E 193217
Observatio 60

ANOVA
df SS
MS F Significance F Regression 1 6.37E+12
1.02E+14 5189.815 1.909E-58 Residual 59 2.2E+12
1.96E+10 Total 60 8.58E+12

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0% Intercept 0 #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Predicted 0.250564 0.019177
72.04037 3.276E-59 1.406111 1.486455 1.406111 1.486455

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted MSResiduals
1 75216.53 -73195.53
2 79997.49 -78185.49
3 83225.63 -81461.63
4 88229.1 -86401.1
5 91123.48 -89168.48
6 91994.65 -89777.65
7 96064.25 -93722.25
8 94166.43 -91753.43
9 102811.2 -100285
10 103980.6 -101261
11 109895.4 -107026
12 111769 -108720
13 113225.1 -109908
14 117437.1 -113685
15 124452.5 -120373
16 124562.7 -120034
17 126181.4 -121230
18 133320.1 -127970
19 136822.2 -131043
20 141903.9 -135368
21 146723 -139349
22 149577.8 -141255
23 150579.8 -140880
24 154275.1 -143075
25 154158.8 -142184
26 162913.3 -149588
27 166161.7 -150138
28 179711 -165323
29 190694.5 -173403
30 186417.3 -166417
31 203196.5 -179773
32 211575.2 -186638
33 213412.5 -184878
34 230236.3 -196838
35 236092.8 -196178
36 246574.9 -202480
37 253304.7 -201789
38 261461.3 -202906
39 278849 -212063
40 291513.7 -210454
41 305693.1 -212801
42 311967.1 -197561
43 318787.2 -194721
44 333012.7 -182235
45 348378.6 -156122
46 369062.5 -154228
47 397679.1 -157064
48 406668.1 -138824
49 431336.4 -122268
50 455715.6 -113920
51 471281.2 -91831.17
52 499120.4 -76277.41
53 512267.1 -38686.06
54 544294.8 34421.24
55 574269.9 75520.1
56 613227.9 213187.1
57 652612 315343
58 705486.3 450350.7
59 755786.3 503920.7
60 811497.7 677803.3
 MS F Significance F
6.37E+12 170.7098 6.304E-19
3.73E+10

t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
13.0656 4.592E-19 0.21219 0.288938 0.21219 0.288938
 MS CE GDP
1950 2021 207559 224786 SUMMARY OUTPUT
1951 1812 220752 230034
1952 1764 229660 236562 Regression Statistics
1953 1828 243467 250960 Multiple R 0.994364
1954 1955 251454 261615 R Square 0.988759
1955 2217 253858 268316 Adjusted R 0.97181
1956 2342 265088 283589 Standard E 139855.7
1957 2413 259851 280160 Observatio 60
1958 2526 283706 301422
1959 2720 286933 308018 ANOVA
1960 2869 303255 329825 df SS MS
1961 3049 308425 340060 Regression 1 1.02E+14 1.02E+14
1962 3317 312443 347253 Residual 59 1.15E+12 1.96E+10
1963 3752 324066 364834 Total 60 1.03E+14
1964 4080 343425 392503
1965 4529 343729 378157 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
1966 4951 348196 382006 Intercept 0 #N/A #N/A
1967 5350 367895 413094 pi 1 CE 1.446283 0.020076 72.04037
1968 5779 377559 423874
1969 6536 391582 451496
1970 7374 404880 474131
1971 8323 412758 478918 SUMMARY OUTPUT
1972 9700 415523 477392
1973 11200 425720 499120 Regression Statistics
1974 11975 425399 504914 Multiple R 0.862064
1975 13325 449557 550379 R Square 0.743154
1976 16024 458521 557258 Adjusted R 0.726205
1977 14388 495910 598885 Standard E 193217
1978 17292 526219 631839 Observatio 60
1979 20000 514416 598974
1980 23424 560718 641921 ANOVA
1981 24937 583839 678033 df SS MS
1982 28535 588909 697861 Regression 1 6.37E+12 6.37E+12
1983 33398 635334 752669 Residual 59 2.2E+12 3.73E+10
1984 39915 651495 782484 Total 60 8.58E+12
1985 44095 680420 815049
1986 51516 698991 850217 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
1987 58555 721499 880267 Intercept 0 #N/A #N/A
1988 66786 769480 969702 pi 2 CE 0.362386 0.027736 13.0656
1989 81060 804428 1029178
1990 92892 843556 1083572
1991 114406 860869 1099072 beta pi2/pi1 0.250564
1992 124066 879689 1158025
1993 150778 918944 1223816
1994 192257 961346 1302076
1995 214835 1018423 1396974
1996 240615 1097390 1508378
1997 267844 1122195 1573263
1998 309068 1190267 1678410
1999 341796 1257541 1786525
2000 379450 1300494 1864301
2001 422843 1377316 1972606
2002 473581 1413594 2048286
2003 578716 1501974 2222758
2004 649790 1584690 2388768
2005 826415 1692194 2616101
2006 967955 1800874 2871120
2007 1155837 1946780 3129717
2008 1259707 2085582 3339375
2009 1489301 2239317 3605108
 F Significance F
5189.815 1.909E-58

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
3.276E-59 1.406111 1.486455 1.406111 1.486455

F Significance F
170.7098 6.304E-19

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
4.592E-19 0.306887 0.417886 0.306887 0.417886