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Life-Course/Developmental vein is credited with identifying a small portion

of the criminal population that can be considered


Theories the chronic or high-rate offenders, and some of
the earliest research identifying these individuals
WESLEY G. JENNINGS has reported that this group of offenders make
up roughly 5% of the population of offenders
The origin of developmental/life-course criminol- but are responsible for committing the lion’s
ogy research can be traced back to the emergence share of the offenses, particularly the serious and
of the criminal career paradigm, which Blum- violent offenses (Tracy, Wolfgang, & Figlio, 1990;
stein, Cohen, Roth, and Visher (1986, p. 12) Wolfgang, Figlio, & Sellin, 1972). This group
summarize as the “characterization of the lon- of chronic offenders has been replicated and
gitudinal sequence of crimes committed by an observed in a host of studies in the decades that
individual offender.” This statement highlights have followed this initial research, with estimates
the longitudinal/developmental or life-course of the prevalence of chronic offenders ranging
focus of this perspective and suggests that there from 2% to 14% of the offending population
are initiation points for criminal activity along (Jennings, 2006).
with points of termination. For instance, some Additional criminal career dimensions include
individuals may have an earlier onset age for the notion of specialization or versatility and
criminal behavior such that they begin their offense escalation. In this regard, a considerable
offending career in late childhood/early adoles- amount of research has involved investigations
cence, whereas others may not begin offending of notions of specialization in one type of crime
into mid/late adolescence or may have an adult (e.g., sex offenses; Jennings, Zgoba, Donner,
onset. Similarly, other individuals may com- Henderson, & Tewksbury, in press) or in one
mit crime at one developmental phase of the type of loosely related or correlated offenses (e.g.,
life-course and desist from crime in this same violent crimes, drug crimes, property crimes, etc.;
developmental phase; others may continue to Piquero, Jennings, & Barnes, 2012). Most of this
participate in crime in several developmental research suggests that the majority of offenders
phases of the life-course before desisting at some are generally versatile, especially the frequent or
point later in life (if at all). This assumption of a chronic offenders, indicating that their criminal
point of initiation and termination of criminal repertoire is varied and is not limited to only one
activity implies that the length or duration of an specific type of crime (although there may be
individual’s criminal career can be determined some tendency to specialize in certain types of
and calculated as well. offenses such as computer crime; for example, see
Beyond these criminal career elements, there Khey, Jennings, Lanza-Kaduce, & Frazier, 2009).
are a series of other dimensions that are rel- Relatedly, most research suggests that while
evant to the criminal career framework. For some escalation in offending may occur over the
example, participation (or “yes/no involvement life-course such as starting with property crimes
in offending”) is considered along with offending and then moving to drug crimes and then moving
frequency. In other words, the participation or to violent crimes, this scenario is not typically
prevalence rate of offending refers to the per- the norm. Rather, the norm is that active, and
centage of individuals who are criminally active particularly frequent, offenders’ criminal histo-
during any one time point, whereas the frequency ries are diverse and display patterns of versatility
of offending refers to the total number of offenses and crime switching versus specialization only
that have been committed by those individuals in violence or escalating to the point of violence
who participated in offending during that specific and desisting from all other crimes other than
time point that is being assessed. Research in this violence (Piquero et al., 2012).

The Encyclopedia of Crime and Punishment, First Edition. Edited by Wesley G. Jennings.
© 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Published 2016 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
DOI: 10.1002/9781118519639.wbecpx152
2 L I F E-C O U R S E/ D E V E L O P M E N TA L T H E O R I E S

While detailed reviews of developmental/life- their life start to observe the social status and
course theoretical frameworks do exist (Farrring- related rewards or popularity that some of their
ton, 2003; Thornberry, 1997), it is important life-course–persistent peers are achieving due
to review two of the more widely recogniz- to their truancy, shoplifting, and/or marijuana
able and empirically tested developmental/ use. It is at this point where some of these previ-
life-course theoretical frameworks. The first of ously nondelinquent youth may begin to become
these perspectives, and arguably the most central involved in some of these offenses in an effort
to this framework, is Moffitt’s (1993) taxonomy to attain this desired social status and power in
of adolescent-limited and life-course–persistent the eyes of their peers. Similarly, previously non-
offending. delinquent youth in adolescence may also begin
For Moffitt (1993), life-course–persistent offen- to participate in other deviant behaviors such as
ders are those individuals who begin/initiate premarital sex and drinking alcohol because of
their problem behavior early on in childhood and their perception of a maturity gap where they
continue their antisocial/delinquent/criminal believe themselves to be physically mature or
activity throughout their life-course. For “adult enough” to participate in these types of
instance, the life-course–persistent offenders activities but society does not. Nevertheless,
are the ones who are biting and hitting in despite the delinquent/criminal activity of the
early childhood, become truant in late child- adolescent-limited offenders, their offending pat-
hood/early adolescence, steal cars and use drugs terns are relatively brief and erratic and generally
in mid-adolescence, commit serious and vio- do not include crimes of violence. In addition,
lent crimes in late adolescence/early adulthood, as mentioned, their career begins and terminates
and then may expand into fraud or domestic in adolescence, and as such, this offender type
violence–related crimes in later adulthood. In this usually goes on to enter college, join the work-
characterization, there is essentially little belief force, get married, etc., and become productive
that these individuals will one day completely members of society.
desist from criminal activity, although there may Loeber (1996) has also proposed an offender
be times of inactivity over their life-course. This taxonomy, which he considers as a three-pathway
type of offender closely resembles Wolfgang et al.’s model for offending. One key distinction in
(1972) description of chronic offenders, and Mof- Loeber’s pathway model is the assumption that
fitt (1993) similarly argues that this offender behavior occurs in a logical and ordered devel-
typology comprises a very small segment of the opmental process, or what he likens to stepping
offending population (about 5% to 10%). The ori- stones. In other words, an individual is believed
gins of life-course–persistent offenders are rooted to progress to the higher-order steps only through
in neurodevelopmental and cognitive deficiencies first progressing through the lesser-order steps,
and adverse environmental life circumstances. not vice versa. The first pathway described by
In contrast, Moffitt’s adolescent-limited offend- Loeber is the overt pathway in which the ordered
ers represent the majority of the offending progression is illustrated by an initiation of
population, yet their delinquent/criminal behav- involvement in minor acts of aggression, fol-
ior is confined to adolescence (Moffitt, 2006; lowed by fighting, and then on to the commission
Piquero, Diamond, Jennings, & Reingle, 2013). of more serious and violent crimes. In compar-
In this regard, these individuals do not come ison, the second pathway or the covert pathway
from adverse environments or evince any neuro- is defined as the progression of behavior from
developmental impairments or early childhood minor acts of deviance to property damage to
conduct problems. Rather, their offending career more serious types of criminal activity. Finally,
only activates in adolescence and terminates soon the authority–conflict pathway represents the
thereafter. For Moffitt (1993), adolescent-limited third pathway in Loeber’s typology, and this
offenders’ delinquent criminal activity is a particular pathway is largely confined to minor
result of two factors: social mimicry and the and stubborn acts of deviance and defiance such
maturity gap. Social mimicry refers to the pro- as running away. Although Loeber does specify
cess where youth who are not/have not been that there is an ordered logic in the progres-
involved in delinquency/crime as of yet in sion of behavior, his pathways model allows for
L I F E-C O U R S E/ D E V E L O P M E N TA L T H E O R I E S 3

individuals to move across pathways rather than 9. Why are there between-individual differ-
being solely confined to one pathway. In this vein, ences in offending?
he suggests that the more frequent and chronic 10. What are the key risk factors for onset and
offenders are likely to be disproportionately con- desistance, and how can they be explained?
centrated among youth, who illustrate multiple 11. Why are there within-individual differences
pathways of behavior, and most notably among in offending?
those youth who are identifiable in both the overt a. Long term (over life)
and covert pathways. b. Short term (over time and place)
In recognition of this developmental/life- 12. What are the main motives and reasons for
course theoretical framework, Farrington (2003, offending?
p. 230) accurately summarized the key theo- 13. What are the effects of life events on offend-
retical research questions/issues that pertain to ing?
developmental/life-course criminological theo-
ries as follows: Relying on these lists of the theoretically
relevant developmental/life-course issues along-
1. What is the key construct underlying side the understanding of the empirically relevant
offending? research questions that developmental/life-course
2. What factors encourage offending? research considers, Farrington (2003, pp.
3. What factors inhibit offending? 223–224) was led to make what he believed
4. Is there a learning process? to be a list of the 10 most widely accepted con-
5. Is there a decision-making process? clusions concerning the development of criminal
6. What is the structure of the theory?
offending over the life-course that have been
7. What are operational definitions of theoret-
generated through rigorous developmental and
ical constructs?
empirical research:
8. What does the theory explain?
9. What does the theory not explain?
1. The prevalence of offending peaks in the late
10. What findings might challenge the theory?
teenage years.
(Can the theory be tested?)
2. The peak age of onset of offending is
11. Crucial tests: How much does the theory
between 8 and 14, and the peak age of
make different predictions from another
desistance from offending is between 20
theory?
and 29.
Similarly, Farrington (2003, pp. 229–230) also 3. An early age of onset predicts a relatively
delineated the following serial list of what he con- long criminal career duration.
siders to be the key empirical research questions/ 4. There is marked continuity in offending and
issues that are germane to developmental/life- antisocial behavior from childhood to the
course research and theorizing: teenage years and to adulthood.
5. A small fraction of the population (the
1. Why do people start offending? “chronic offenders”) commits a large frac-
2. How are onset sequences explained? tion of all crimes.
3. Why is there continuity in offending from 6. Offending is versatile rather than special-
adolescence to adulthood? ized.
4. Why do people stop offending? 7. The types of acts defined as offenses are
5. Why does prevalence peak in the teenage elements of a larger syndrome of antisocial
years? behavior.
6. Why does an early onset predict a long crim- 8. Most offenses by those aged up to the late
inal career? teenage years are committed with others,
7. Why is there versatility in offending and whereas most offenses from by those aged
antisocial behavior? 20 and older are committed alone.
8. Why does co-offending decrease from ado- 9. The reasons given for offending up to
lescence to adulthood? the late teenage years are quite variable,
4 L I F E-C O U R S E/ D E V E L O P M E N TA L T H E O R I E S

including utilitarian, for excitement or Jennings and Reingle (2012) recently provided
enjoyment, or because people get angry. the most comprehensive meta-review to date of
10. Different types of offenses tend to be first 105 empirical studies that used trajectory models
committed at distinctively different ages. and reported a number of summary statements
regarding the state of this literature. For instance,
Provided with this theoretical backdrop and Jennings and Reingle indicated that the number
summary of some of the empirical “truths” that of trajectory groups identified ranged from two
have emerged from developmental/life-course to seven trajectory groups, but the most com-
research, it is particularly important to briefly monly identified number of trajectory groups
discuss the considerable contributions of was three or four. Regarding the shape or type of
offending trajectory-based research to the trajectory groups, Jennings and Reingle reported
developmental/life-course criminological lit- that most of the 105 studies identified trajecto-
erature. In the early 1990s, Nagin and Land ries that resembled Moffitt’s (1993) taxonomy
(1993) and Nagin (1999, 2005) developed a of adolescent-limited and life-course–persistent
particularly useful analytic technique to esti- offenders or chronic offenders, but other tra-
mate group-based trajectories of offending. In jectory groups were also apparent, such as
essence, this type of analytic strategy permits the low-level chronic offenders, escalators, desisters,
user/modeler to arrive at the most optimal and and late-onset offenders. Furthermore, both
best-fitting model by navigating the modeling the number and shape of the identified trajec-
space through the use of a variety of parametric tory groups tended to vary across the studies
and functional forms for the trajectories and depending on the sample, operationalization
by varying the number of trajectory groups in and measurement of the outcome variable,
order. In the end, and after considering a series of developmental/life-course phase that was being
relevant statistical criteria for evaluating model fit evaluated, length of observation/follow-up, and
such as the Bayesian Information Criteria and on geographical context.
examination of the mean posterior probabilities What was apparent from Jennings and Reingle’s
for group assignment, the modeler is left with a (2012) meta-review was that there were only a
trajectory model that has assigned individuals to handful of studies in existence that used con-
mutually exclusive trajectory groups by using a siderably lengthy follow-ups that have been able
maximum-likelihood procedure and has done so to account for much of the actual life-course of
with precision (Nagin, 2005). individuals and their offending behavior. This
Following the determination of the most opti- reality was even further evidenced in a recent
mal and best-fitting trajectory model, researchers study conducted by Jennings et al. (2013). Specif-
typically use the trajectory group membership ically, Jennings et al. estimated the life-course
variable as an outcome, or what is commonly offending trajectories of a cohort of 375 Hispanic
referred to as the classify–analyze approach. men ranging in age from 18 to 50 years, which
In this fashion, researchers can use the tra- represents the longest follow-up of Hispanics
jectory group membership variable, estimate to date using a trajectory-based approach. The
a multinomial logistic regression model (with authors were able to identify four distinct trajec-
the nonoffenders as the reference category), and tory groups: very low-rate offenders, high-rate
determine what risk and protective factors signifi- late-onset escalators, initially high-rate desisters,
cantly distinguish the offending trajectory groups and high-rate chronic offenders. Further, using
from one another. The reference trajectory group the traditional classify–analyze approach, Jen-
can also be changed to contrast any particular nings et al. illustrated that Hispanic immigrants
trajectory group with one another (Jennings, were significantly less likely to be in either of
Maldonado-Molina, & Komro, 2010a; Jennings the high-rate trajectory groups relative to their
et al., 2010b; Maldonado-Molina, Jennings, low-rate counterpart trajectory groups. Collec-
& Komro, 2010; Maldonado-Molina, Piquero, tively, Jennings et al.’s (2013) comprehensive
Jennings, Bird, & Canino, 2009; Reingle, Jennings, life-course analysis with Hispanics revealed a
& Maldonado-Molina, 2011a, 2011b; Reingle, number of key results relative to the handful
Maldonado-Molina, Jennings, & Komro, 2012). of other studies in existence with a similarly
L I F E-C O U R S E/ D E V E L O P M E N TA L T H E O R I E S 5

lengthy follow-up in terms of the trajectory warrants consideration as making a valuable


groups identified in Jennings et al.’s study. These contribution to the criminological literature.
important findings are summarized next: 2. [F]uture trajectory-based research should
seek to unpack the nature of the influence of
1. [T]he very low-rate offenders mirror the risk and protective factors on different trajec-
very low-rate chronic offenders identified by tory groups. For instance, do the same risk
Piquero, Farrington, and Blumstein (2007) and protective factors that distinguish nonof-
and the sporadic offenders identified by fenders from life-course persistent offenders
Blokland, Nagin, and Nieuwbeerta (2005). also distinguish adolescent-limited offenders
2. [T]he initially high-rate desisters resemble from life-course persistent offenders, or does
the moderate-rate desisters identified by both this same set of risk and protective factors
Sampson and Laub (2003) and Blokland et al. have a differential effect across trajectory
(2005), and the high-rate chronic offenders groups? In this same vein, perhaps there is
are similar to the high-rate chronic offenders a unique set of risk and protective factors
identified by Piquero et al. (2007) and Samp- that explain adolescent-limited offending,
son and Laub and the high-rate persisters life-course persistent offending, low-level
identified by Blokland et al. chronic offending, late-onset offending, etc.
3. The high-rate late-onset escalator group 3. [R]ecognizing the costs and time involved
has been the focus of recent discussion in conducting longitudinal research, par-
in other life-course research (Eggleston & ticularly prospective longitudinal research,
Laub, 2002; Gomez-Smith & Piquero, 2005; scholars should make an effort to initiate
Kratzer & Hodgins, 1999; Zara & Farring- their developmental study early on in the
ton, 2009, 2010). Still, it is interesting to life-course (childhood) and continue this
note that among these prior studies, which follow-up into late adulthood. Furthermore,
included data from adolescence, Piquero multiple observations should be performed
et al. were the only researchers to identify over time across a host of data sources
an adolescent-limited group resembling (child/youth reports, parent reports, teacher
Moffitt’s taxonomy, whereas the other two reports, director observer reports, official
(offender-based) studies identified groups records, etc.) in order to ensure the best
of sporadic offenders, desisters, and chronic triangulation of data sources to inform the
offenders or persisters (similar to [Jennings trajectory models and aid in identifying
et al.’s 2013] study) (Jennings et al., 2013, relevant risk and protective factors.
p. 637). 4. [T]here is a considerable need for policy-
relevant trajectory-based research. While
Ultimately, based on the results from Jen- prior applications of the trajectory method-
nings and Reingle’s (2012, p. 486) recent ology are numerous, there has been less
meta-review on trajectory-based research, attention or discussion on the policy implica-
they conclude with offering the following five tions of the results that have been produced
main recommendations concerning future through the utilization of this statistical
developmental/life-course research focusing on technique. On one end of the spectrum, it
trajectories specifically: is possible to imply that these studies point
toward the need for selective incapacitation
1. “[I]t is important that future research move of those who are identified as ‘life-course
beyond using phrases such as ‘This is the persistent or chronic offenders.’
first study to ever estimate trajectories on 5. [A]pplications of trajectory methods to
this sample or on this type of offenders’ dependent variables other than violence,
as the sole justification for their research. aggression, and delinquency specifically
We as a field are far more advanced theo- (e.g., victimization, victim-offender overlap,
retically than to consider applying a fancy mental health, and psychometric scales)
statistical technique on some dataset and just are becoming more commonplace in crim-
because we are the first to do it think that this inology (Higgins, Jennings, Tewksbury, &
6 L I F E-C O U R S E/ D E V E L O P M E N TA L T H E O R I E S

Gibson, 2009; Jennings et al., 2010, 2012a; out from traditional criminological theories and
Reingle et al., 2012). As this literature con- to embrace interdisciplinary constructs in order
tinues to emerge, it will certainly lead to to develop and/or further hone in on what are
recognition of the more ‘global’ applicability the necessary elements and key ingredients of
of the trajectory model framework beyond a well-balanced developmental/life-course the-
merely a focus on offending.” ory. Similarly, criminologists should be open to
expanding their outcome of interest beyond just
Taken together, developmental/life-course the- crime, to include an array of seemingly relevant
ories and developmental/life-course research can indicators of a more general underlying syndrome
still be considered to be in its relative infancy of problem behavior. Finally, in the spirit of Loe-
compared with more-traditional criminolog- ber’s (1996) stepping-stone approach, researchers
ical theories such as social bonding (Hirschi, interested in developmental/life-course criminol-
1969) and social learning (Akers, 1973) theo- ogy and theorizing should collectively embark
ries. Nevertheless, there is now a considerable on an empirical journey to identify the essen-
interest in criminological theorizing and in tial and relevant “stones” that contribute to
empirical applications to be focused through behavior and the developmental progression of
a developmental/life-course lens. This interest said behavior and to leave no “stone” unturned
has ushered in a number of methodologically in this effort. Only at the point in time when
sophisticated and important contributions thus a saturation may be observed through multi-
far. Having said this, there is certainly room for ple replications and empiricism can the best
this theoretical perspective to grow, as well as a developmental/life-course theoretical perspective
place for continued empirical assessments on the be solidified.
validity of developmental/life-course theories.
Developmental/life-course criminology rese- SEE ALSO: Criminology; Longitudinal Research;
arch has its broader appeal and rightful place in Research Methods.
a number of related disciplines, including psy-
chology, epidemiology, and public health. In this
regard, it is logical to assume that developmental References
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to some degree. Further, an argument can easily (Eds.). (1986). Criminal careers and “career crim-
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familial, peer, environmental, etc.), which may all
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