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06 Economic Cooperation Between Malaysia and Vietnam With China1
06 Economic Cooperation Between Malaysia and Vietnam With China1
06 Economic Cooperation Between Malaysia and Vietnam With China1
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Zaharul Abdullah
Universiti Malaysia Terengganu
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Zaharul Abdullah
Research Officer
Academy of Professors Malaysia
Email: encikzaharul@gmail.com
ABSTRACT
Since the launch of China’s Go Global strategy and its participation in
the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, China has succeeded
in integrating its economy deeply into the global economy particularly
through outbound investment. The integration is intensified with the launch
of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in 2013, a giant infrastructure
project to enhance China’s connectivity with almost 140 countries in terms
of policy coordination, infrastructure, trade, finance and people-to-people
connectivity. Through the support of several China-centred financial
institutions, BRI has offered various economic opportunities especially to
developing countries that require substantial infrastructure investments.
In the context of Malaysia and Vietnam, this development raises questions
about the autonomy and capacity of the two countries to enhance their
economic co-operation with China to capitalize on the latter’s economic
rise in general and the BRI in particular. Against the above setting, this
article argues that Malaysia and Vietnam have the policy space and capacity
to enhance their economic co-operation with China even though the two
countries have distinct capacities. This article also shows that Malaysia and
Vietnam’s national autonomy and state capacity are constrained in trying to
manage the trends and impacts resulting from their economic co-operation
with China to create a win-win situation for all parties.
Key words: China, Malaysia, Vietnam, Belt and Road Initiative (BRI),
national autonomy, state capacity
Economic Cooperation Between Malaysia and Vietnam with China 105
Introduction
Since the launch of China’s Go Global strategy and its participation in
the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, China has succeeded
in integrating its economy deeply into the global economy especially
through outbound foreign direct investment (OFDI). This strategy
has enabled China to emerge as the world’s largest trading nation in
2013, the world’s second largest source of investment in 2016 behind
the United States (US), one of the world’s providers of development
finance as well as a top source country of contractors. This trend is
intensified with the launch of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)
in 2013, a giant infrastructure project that includes the overland
Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road.
As of July 2019, the Chinese government has concluded 195 BRI
intergovernmental co-operation agreements with 136 countries and
30 international organizations to enhance five types of connectivity
namely policy coordination, infrastructure, trade, finance and people-
to-people relations.
To realize BRI’s objectives, China has established several new
financial institutions including the Asian Infrastructure Investment
Bank (AIIB) and the Silk Road Fund with a start-up capital of
USD100 billion and USD40 billion respectively. Prior to that, China
together with other BRICS countries namely Brazil, Russia, India and
South Africa had established a New Development Bank (NDB) with
a start-up capital of USD50 billion. The initiative is also supported by
existing Chinese financial institutions especially China Development
Bank (CDB) and Export-Import Bank of China (CHEXIM). Overall,
China is estimated to have spent a total of USD200 billion on all BRI
projects. According to Morgan Stanley, China’s total expenditure
throughout the BRI period will reach USD1.2-1.3 trillion by 2027
(CFR, 28 January 2020).
Supported by several China-centred financial institutions above,
BRI has offered economic and trade opportunities especially to
developing countries including Malaysia and Vietnam that are in
need of substantial infrastructure investments. According to the
Global Infrastructure Outlook (2020), Malaysia and Vietnam require
106 Zaharul Abdullah
High-Level Visits
In order to enhance economic co-operation with China, Malaysia
and Vietnam have exchanged high-level visits with their Chinese
counterparts to deepen their commitment to implement the
high-level consensus that have been made by both the parties and
countries. In addition, this mechanism serves to guide bilateral
relations, mend political relations, formulate co-operation agreements
and form institutions as basis of co-operations. During the period of
2009 to 2020, the Prime Minister of Malaysia made six official visits
to China while a total of 13 official visits to China had been made
by Vietnamese leaders comprising the President, Prime Minister
and Secretary General of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV)
(Zaharul 2021).
Although Vietnam’s official visits to China are more frequent
than Malaysia’s, the main purpose of the visit is to mend the strained
political relations caused by the incident of Chinese HYSY981 oil rig
placed in Vietnamese waters in 2014. In several high-level visits, both
Vietnam and China stressed that whatever differences concerning
the South China Sea dispute need to be addressed through open
consultations and discussions based on mutual perceptions and
agreements that have been agreed upon by the leaders of the two
countries. In the case of Malaysia, one main focus of the high-level
visits was also to mend allegedly strained political relations between
the two countries following the missing Malaysian plane MH370 and
the kidnapping of Chinese nationals in Sabah in 2014 during Prime
Minister Najib Razak’s administration (Kuik 2014). This focus was
also emphasized during the second-time Prime Minister Mahathir
Mohamad’s visit to China following negative rhetoric against Chinese
mega projects in Malaysia during the 14th General Election (GE14)
and the Pakatan Harapan (PH) government’s decision to suspend
three Chinese infrastructure projects in Malaysia after taking over
office after winning the election in May 2018 (Zaharul 2021).
Compared to Vietnam, Malaysia has been more active in
leveraging this mechanism to devise and ink economic co-operation
agreements with China. During Najib’s visit to China in 2016, 14
110 Zaharul Abdullah
Apart from the creation of BEZs and CBEZs, there are three
industrial parks in Vietnam owned and managed by China namely
Long Jiang Industrial Park in TienGiang province, Yun Zhong
Industrial Park in BacGiang province and Shenzhen Trade and
Economic Co-operation Park in HaiPhong. According to the Deputy
Director of Institute of World Economics and Politics at Vietnamese
Academy of the Social Sciences (VASS), Nguyen Binh Giang, these
three Chinese-backed parks are effective in attracting Chinese
investments while BEZs and CBEZs are ineffective due to strategic
locations of the former (Interview, 20 October 2020). The above
description shows that while both countries have policy space to set
up SEZs with China, Vietnam has higher coordination capacity than
Malaysia as it developed more SEZs with China whereas Malaysia has
only one, the MCKIP.
Special Investment Incentives
To further promote the inflow of Chinese FDI, Malaysia has enhanced
its negotiated capacity in customizing incentives to cater the needs
of Chinese investors. The Malaysian government offered customized
incentives to Chinese-backed projects including MCKIP, Bandar
Malaysia, Forest City, East Coast Rail Link (ECRL), Trans Sabah
Gas Pipeline (TSGP), Multi-Product Pipeline (MPP) and Kuantan
Port. According to Dr. Rebecca, special incentives are indeed given
to joint venture projects involving the Chinese government and
investors as these joint ventures are political and bilateral. In this
respect, the government has room to grant investment incentives
especially when Chinese investments are large in size. Nevertheless,
she stressed that providing special incentives is not something unique
because this practice has been done before with investors from other
countries (Interview, 22 October 2018). This view was also shared
by MIDA’s Assistant Director of Foreign Investment Promotion
Division, Khoo Siao Hooi. In her view, the government does not give
special treatment to Chinese investors, but Chinese investors have
been aggressive in demanding attractive incentive packages from the
government. They have the ability to do so because they bring large
financial flows into the country and implement entire projects such
118 Zaharul Abdullah
40
30
USD Billion
20
10
-10
-20
Year
Source: World Integrated Trade Solution & Malaysia External Trade Statistics Online
SITC 5 – Chemicals and related products, n.e.s. 2.39 1.32 1.60 1.77
SITC 6 – Manufactured goods by materials 1.69 0.93 1.45 0.74
SITC 7 – Machinery and transport equipment 0.69 1.21 1.16 0.98
SITC 8 – Miscellaneous manufactured articles 0.35 0.33 0.28 0.56
SITC 9 – Commodities and transactions not classified 1.08 0.40 0.42 0.51
elsewhere in the SITC
Primary commodities 1.81 0.87 0.93 1.15
All food items 2.17 1.19 1.07 0.69
Agricultural raw materials 3.36 2.03 2.07 2.52
Palm Oil 3.62 1.48 1.36 0.59
Textile fibres, yarn, fabrics and clothing 0.63 0.29 0.37 0.45
Manufactured goods 0.81 1.07 1.05 0.96
Electronic Non-PNC 0.27 0.89 0.83 0.60
E&E, PNC 0.83 1.52 1.46 1.21
Note:
a. Bilateral RCA = Malaysia export i product to China/Malaysia total export to China
Malaysia export of i product to World/Malaysia total export to World
A value above 1 represents that for i export, Malaysia has a revealed comparative advantage in
Chinese market compared to the rest of the world.
from 2005 to 2015 decreased from 15.7 per cent to 10.3 per cent while
China’s share increased from 10.1 per cent to 20.8 per cent.
Likewise, trade is also the most important aspect of Vietnam-
China economic co-operation. China has been Vietnam’s main
trading partner since 2004 – five years earlier than Malaysia – while
Vietnam is China’s largest trading partner in Southeast Asia in
2018. As shown in Figure 2, imports from China to Vietnam always
outperformed Vietnam’s exports to China from 2001 to 2019. Since
the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008, imports from China
grew rapidly from USD16.67 billion to USD75.45 billion from 2009
to 2019. Meanwhile, Vietnam’s exports to China grew slowly from
USD5.4 billion in 2009 to USD21.95 billion in 2016, before soaring
to USD35.39 billion in 2017 and USD41.41 billion in 2019. This surge
was contributed by the full implementation of the ASEAN-China Free
Trade Area (ACFTA) among the four newer ASEAN countries and
China in 2015. In terms of trade balance, Vietnam recorded a large
trade deficit with China from USD0.19 billion to USD34.04 billion
from 2001 to 2019.
100
80
60
USD Billion
40
20
-20
-40
Year
A value above 1 represents that for i export, Vietnam has a revealed comparative advantage in
Chinese market compared to the rest of the world.
Source: UN COMTRADE
9000
8000
7000
6000
USD Million
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Year
2020). A huge parcel of land had also been sold to two consortia
each comprising Chinese companies to develop Melaka Gateway
and Bandar Malaysia respectively although the latter project did not
materialize during the Barisan Nasional (BN) government. All these
projects share similar characteristics namely freehold ownership of
land by China and the preference of employing Chinese companies
and workers rather than local ones, thereby indicating that the BN
government was not committed and firm in its negotiation to protect
Malaysia’s national interests and autonomy.
100
90
80
70
Percentage (%)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2006 2008 2010 2011 2012 2014
in 2010, the Chinese FDI flow into Vietnam has increased to take
advantage of the TPP market (Nguyen 2016) as China is not a
member of the TPP. Although the TPP had been transformed into
a Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific
Partnership (CPTPP) following the US withdrawal in 2017, China
continues to seek to access the CPTPP market through Vietnam
(Thanh 2019). The Chinese FDI flow into Vietnam is intensified by
the US-China trade war that is resulting in the relocation of foreign
investors including Chinese to Vietnam to avoid US tariff on Chinese
imports. This is leading to increased competition between Vietnamese
domestic companies and Chinese companies to obtain good land and
local workers, causing domestic companies to close down (Tran Toan
Thang, interview, 27 April 2018).
The third and the last impact is the increased competition among
the provinces in Vietnam to attract Chinese FDI. Since Vietnam is
made up of 63 provinces and cities that are relatively close to each
other, there is an increased competition among the provinces to
seize the Chinese FDI in order to provide more jobs to the locals and
generate incomes to the government (Do Tien Sam & Van Hong Thi
Ha, interview, 4 May 2018). Existing Chinese companies are aware
of such competition and they are also informed that small-scale
projects worth less USD5 million only require approvals from the
provincial governments. This led the Chinese companies to relocate
their projects from one province to another that can provide more
incentives. This situation leads to the increased environmental
pollutions as competing provincial governments would lower the
environment regulation and standard which are vague and subject
to the provincial government’s interpretation (Nguyen Binh Giang,
interview, 10 October 2020). This shows the Vietnamese government’s
limited capacity in coordinating efforts to attract FDI between the
Ministry of Planning and Investment and the provincial Department
of Planning and Investment, and Investment Promotion Centres in
several cities.
Economic Cooperation Between Malaysia and Vietnam with China 131
Conclusion
Based on the research questions posed, this article has three main
findings. First, Malaysia and Vietnam have been able to capture
Oriental Globalization to some extent by enhancing their policy space
and coordination capacities in their strategies to enhance economic
co-operations with China. Out of the five strategies discussed,
Malaysia has a higher coordination capacity than Vietnam in signing
economic co-operation agreements during high-level visits, export
and investment promotion programmes and investment incentives
while Vietnam has a higher coordination capacity than Malaysia in
the establishment of special institutions and special economic zones.
The discussions also show that both countries have policy space to
formulate and implement economic strategies towards China.
Second, in terms of the trends of economic co-operation with
China, Malaysia and Vietnam’s exports to China generally show
an increasing trend. This demonstrates the effectiveness of export
promotion programmes organized by both countries in China.
However, imports from China to both countries show a higher
increasing trend than exports thus increasing Malaysia and Vietnam’s
trade deficits with China. The article also shows that both countries’
exports of manufactured goods generally are at bilateral comparative
disadvantages in China. Nevertheless, both countries’ export of
primary commodity and agricultural raw materials generally have
bilateral comparative advantages while only Vietnam’s export of
all food items has comparative advantage in China. Both countries
– especially Vietnam – also show increasing dependence on
Chinese inputs for their domestic exports. In terms of investment
co-operation, China is not the top investor in both Malaysia and
Vietnam. However, Chinese FDI flow into both countries generally
shows an increasing trend especially after the launch of the BRI
in 2013 and following the US-China trade war since early 2018.
Although external circumstances play an important role, both
countries’ capacities to attract Chinese FDI have been buttressed by
the establishment of special economic zones.
132 Zaharul Abdullah
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134 Zaharul Abdullah