BATTLEGROUND SURVEY

OF HISPANIC VOTERS

March 2-10, 2024

 M ETHODOLOGY
The following battleground survey was conducted by OnMessage Inc.
in AZ and NV. Live Caller interviews were conducted on March 2-10,
2024.

This survey consists of 500 likely general election Hispanic voters and
was offered in both Spanish and English. This survey was stratified to
reflect historical turnout and the margin of error for is +/- 4.38% for
the total sample and 6.20% for each state.
Political Environment
 4

If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress were held today, for whom would you
vote, the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate?

Battleground AZ NV

GENERIC
B A L LOT
44 46 42
37 40 34
19 18
11
Republican Democrat Undecided Republican Democrat Undecided Republican Democrat Undecided
Candidate Candidate Candidate Candidate Candidate Candidate
 5

Do you think the country is headed in the right direction or have we gotten
off on the wrong track?

Battleground AZ NV

RIGHT
D I R E CT IO N
/WRONG
64 64 64
T R ACK
COUNTRY
30 31 29

Right Direction Wrong Track Right Wrong Right Wrong

Direction Track Direction Track
 6
From the following list of issues, please tell me which one is most important to you in
deciding your vote for Congress.

Battleground

3 5 2 Inflation and Jobs

3 Immigration
8 38
Political Corruption
Abortion

MOST 7 Crime
Healthcare Costs
Education Reform
I M PO R TA N T 8 National Defense
I S S UE 10 16
Other
DK/Refused
C LO SE D E N D

AZ NV

62 53
43 33
8 8 38
38
6 7
6 9
9 10 14
18
 7
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable AZ
Very Unfavorable
Donald Trump Joe Biden
Net: -6 Net: -9

Battleground
44 43
30 22
Donald Trump Joe Biden 14 21
Net: -7 Net: -10 6 17
44 35

I M AG E T E S T S 44 43 50 52

29 21
NV
15 22 Donald Trump Joe Biden
8 Net: -8 Net: -10
17

43 44 44
36
28 20
16 24

51 53
9
43
16
38

52 54
 8

AZ
Battleground

46 46

8
PRESIDENTIAL Trump Biden Undecided

B A L LO T
T W O C A N D I D AT E R A C E 43 44 NV

13

Trump Biden Undecided 40 42

18
Trump Biden Undecided
 9

AZ

Battleground
40 37
17
6
Trump Biden Kennedy Undecided

PRESIDENTIAL
B A L LO T 38 37 NV
T H R E E C A N D I D AT E
R ACE 15
9
Trump Biden Kennedy Undecided

37 37

14 12
Trump Biden Kennedy Undecided
 10

Thinking about the job Joe Biden has done as President with regards to
immigration, would you say you approve or disapprove of the job he has
done?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve

Battleground AZ Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly Disapprove
Net: -31
Net: -29
32
BIDEN 9
23
I M MI GR AT I ON 32 18
9 45
JOB 23
63
A PP R OVA L 18

43 NV
Net: -29
33
61 10
23
21
41

62
 11

Who do you trust more on the issue of immigration, Donald Trump and Republicans,
or Joe Biden and Democrats? Strongly Trust GOP
Somewhat Trust GOP
Strongly Trust Dems
Somewhat Trust Dems

Battleground AZ
48 45
9
46 44 24
39
10
I M MI GR AT I ON 21
21

TRUST Trump and GOP Biden and Dems

36
NV
23
44 44
10
18
Trump and GOP Biden and Dems
34
26

Trump and GOP Biden and Dems

 12
As you may know, last year had more illegal border crossings than any year in history. Border
patrol leaders say as many as 80 percent of those caught crossing the border seeking asylum are
released into the United States by the Biden Administration and transported by the government
to communities all over the country. With this in mind, which one of the following policies would
you support to deal with this influx of migrants.
Requiring anyone seeking Continuing to resettle these
Deporting anyone caught Detaining all those who cross
asylum in the United States to asylum seekers in
crossing the border back to the border in a detention
remain in Mexico or another communities around the
their home country center until courts process
country while their petition is country while they wait on the
immediately. their claims.
heard by a court. courts.

Battleground AZ
I M MI GR AT I ON
37
R E F OR M 25 23
11
Deport Remain in Detain Continue to
35 Mexico Resettle

22 25 NV
13
32 26
20 16
Deport Remain in Detain Continue to
Mexico Resettle
Deport Remain in Detain Continue to
Mexico Resettle
Trans Issues
 14
As you may have heard, a number of states across the country have passed laws that prohibit
biological males who identify as transgender women from participating in girls’ sports programs
both in kindergarten through high school and at the college level. Do you support or oppose
laws that prohibit biological men from competing in women’s sports?
Strongly Support
Somewhat Support
Strongly Oppose
Battleground AZ Somewhat Oppose

TRANS
64
60 14
W O ME N
14
28
SPORTS BAN 50 8
34 20
Support Oppose
11 NV
46
55
23
12 40
14
Support Oppose 43
26
Support Oppose
 15
As you may have heard, there is a national debate taking place over the idea of children and
transgenderism. Some states have proposed banning puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones,
and physical sex-change surgeries for children under the age of 18 who identify as transgender.
Would you support or oppose this kind of ban?
Strongly Support
Somewhat Support
Strongly Oppose
Battleground AZ Somewhat Oppose

Y O UT H 61
M E D I CAL
57 13
32
12 12
T R A N S I T I ON 36
48
20
BAN Support Oppose
12
45
NV
53
24
11 39
12
Support Oppose 42
27

Support Oppose
 16
There have been a number of reports of public schools hiding from parents that their child is
identifying as transgender while at school. Would you support a law requiring public schools to
notify parents if their child is identifying as transgender?

Strongly Support
Somewhat Support
Strongly Oppose
Battleground AZ Somewhat Oppose

70
R E QU I R E 64 14
PA R E N T 12 26
N OTI FI C AT I O N 56
10
31 Support
16
Oppose
52 11 NV
58
20 11 36
12
Support Oppose 47
24
Support Oppose
 17
Thinking again about policies around children who want to transition from boy to girl or girl to
boy, please tell me which of the following comes closest to your opinion.
Some people say it is wrong to push children into a sex
Other people say that allowing transgender children to begin
change. They say that children are not able to make a
gender transitions at early ages is life-saving medical
permanent life altering decision before they are at least 18,
treatment, and that studies show that denying them access
and that many often regret it later in life. They also say that
to this type of treatment could result in suicide. They say that
even the early stages of transitioning cause permanent
people who oppose this practice are only doing so out of
physical changes and bodily harm, including sterilization and
transphobia and bigotry.
other medical complications.

Battleground AZ
YOUTH T RANS
CARE
61
H EAD- TO- H EAD
20
Wrong to Push Life-Saving Care

59
NV
21
58
Wrong to Push Life-Saving Care
23
Wrong to Push Life-Saving Care
 18
There have been a number of reports of public schools hiding from parents that their child is
identifying as transgender while at school. Would you support a law requiring public schools to
notify parents if their child is identifying as transgender?

Strongly Support
Somewhat Support
Strongly Oppose
Battleground AZ Somewhat Oppose

70
R E QU I R E 64 14
PA R E N T 12 26
N OTI FI C AT I O N 56
10
31 Support
16
Oppose
52 11 NV
58
20 11 36
12
Support Oppose 47
24
Support Oppose
 19
Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement. Many public schools in
America are failing and our children are falling behind the rest of the world.

Battleground Strongly Agree

Somewhat Agree

79 AZ
Strongly Disagree
Somewhat Disagree

78
P U BL IC 26
28
S C HO O L S
FA L L I N G 52
18
10
8
BEHIND Agree Disagree

51 17 NV
8
79
9 30
Agree Disagree
49
17
7
10
Agree Disagree
Abortion
 21

Generally speaking, regarding the issue of abortion, would you say that you are Pro-
Life or Pro-Choice?
Strongly Pro-Life
Somewhat Pro-Life
Strongly Pro-Choice
Somewhat Pro-Choice

Battleground AZ

A B OR TI O N 52 48 50
S E L F - ID 44 16 14
15
13 32 36

Pro-Life Pro-Choice

31
37 NV
53
41 16
Pro-Life Pro-Choice
11
30 37

Pro-Life Pro-Choice
 22
How, if at all, did the overturning of Roe v. Wade impact your stance on abortion?
Would you say it… ?

AZ
Battleground
46
30
13

D O BB S I M PACT Made Me More Made Me More No Difference

Pro-Life Pro-Choice

43
30 NV
13

Made Me More Made Me More No Difference 40

Pro-Life Pro-Choice 30
14
Made Me More Made Me More No Difference
Pro-Life Pro-Choice
 23
Now I’m going to read you a few versions of abortion laws that have been proposed in
different states. For each one, please tell me if you would support or oppose it being
implemented in your state.
Oppose Support

A law that would limit all abortions, except when necessary to save
the life of the mother. 47 35 12 15 33 48

A B OR TI O N A law that would limit abortions after the baby develops a

L I M I T S S CA L E
heartbeat, with exceptions for complications threatening the life
of the mother, pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, and
severe birth defects where the baby won’t survive.
30 19 11 23 41 64
AMONG
B AT T L E G R O U N D A law that would limit abortions after 12 weeks of pregnancy, with
exceptions for complications threatening the life of the mother,
pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, and severe birth defects 28 16 12 25 42 67
where the baby won’t survive.

A law that would allow unlimited abortion, for any reason,

up to the moment of live birth. 68 56 12 12 14 26
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Support Strongly Support
 24
Now I’m going to read you a few versions of abortion laws that have been proposed in
different states. For each one, please tell me if you would support or oppose it being
implemented in your state.
Oppose Support

A law that would limit all abortions, except when necessary to save
the life of the mother. 42 31 11 19 34 53

A B OR TI O N A law that would limit abortions after the baby develops a

L I M I T S S CA L E
heartbeat, with exceptions for complications threatening the life
of the mother, pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, and
severe birth defects where the baby won’t survive.
28 14 14 26 40 66
AMONG AZ
A law that would limit abortions after 12 weeks of pregnancy, with
exceptions for complications threatening the life of the mother,
pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, and severe birth defects 27 14 13 21 45 66
where the baby won’t survive.

A law that would allow unlimited abortion, for any reason,

up to the moment of live birth. 68 54 14 14 11 25
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Support Strongly Support
 25
Now I’m going to read you a few versions of abortion laws that have been proposed in
different states. For each one, please tell me if you would support or oppose it being
implemented in your state.
Oppose Support

A law that would limit all abortions, except when necessary to save
the life of the mother. 51 39 12 12 32 44

A B OR TI O N A law that would limit abortions after the baby develops a

L I M I T S S CA L E
heartbeat, with exceptions for complications threatening the life
of the mother, pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, and
severe birth defects where the baby won’t survive.
33 24 9 20 41 61
AMONG NV
A law that would limit abortions after 12 weeks of pregnancy, with
exceptions for complications threatening the life of the mother,
pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, and severe birth defects 28 18 10 28 39 67
where the baby won’t survive.

A law that would allow unlimited abortion, for any reason,

up to the moment of live birth. 68 58 1010 17 27
Strongly Oppose Somewhat Oppose Somewhat Support Strongly Support
Cultural Leftism
 27

Do you favor or oppose the use of Latin-X or LaTinks to describe Hispanic Americans?

Strongly Favor
Somewhat Favor
Strongly Oppose

Battleground AZ Somewhat Oppose

59
19

L AT I N - X
57 19
40
11 22
16 8
Favor Oppose DK/Refused

18 41
NV
10 25 55
8 12

Favor Oppose DK/Refused

17 43
9 28
8
Favor Oppose DK/Refused
 28

Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.

The left has gone too far on social issues like race and transgender issues.
Strongly Agree
Somewhat Agree
Strongly Disagree
Battleground AZ Somewhat Disagree

70 71
18
L EFT’S 21 26
53
S O CI A L I S S U E 13
13
O V E R ST E P 26 Agree Disagree

NV
49
11 69
23
15
26
Agree Disagree 46 9
17
Agree Disagree
 29

Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.

American culture is changing too quickly, and we need to fight to protect the values
that made America successful in the first place.
Strongly Agree
Somewhat Agree
Strongly Disagree
Battleground AZ Somewhat Disagree

72 74
26
C U LTU R E I S 27 25
48
C H A N GI N G 10
15
TOO Q U I CKLY 26 Agree Disagree

45 70 NV
10

16 28
28
Agree Disagree 42 10
18
Agree Disagree
 30

Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.

The reason for America’s success is the ability to work hard and succeed without the
government getting in the way.
Strongly Agree
Somewhat Agree
Strongly Disagree
Battleground AZ Somewhat Disagree
79
78
30
S U CCE S S 29 18
49
WI T H OU T 11
7
G OV ’ T Agree Disagree

I N TR U S I ON 77 NV
49 19 27
10
50
21
9
10
Agree Disagree 11
Agree Disagree
 31
Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Entrepreneurial spirit and hard work have allowed many in the Hispanic community to
succeed in America and most government regulations simply get in the way.
Strongly Agree
Somewhat Agree
Strongly Disagree

76 Battleground 77 AZ Somewhat Disagree

31
H I S PA N I C 31
E NTREPRENEURIAL 46
20
8
SPIRIT 12
Agree Disagree

45 19 76 NV
10 32
9
Agree Disagree 44
18
8
10
Agree Disagree
 32

Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.

Many in America are too focused on race and this only divides us and causes social tension.

Strongly Agree
Battleground Somewhat Agree

79 81 AZ
Strongly Disagree
Somewhat Disagree

22
23
T O O R ACE
59 17
F O CU S E D 7
10
Agree Disagree
56 19 77 NV
8 27
11
50
21
Agree Disagree
10
11
Agree Disagree
 33
Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Public schools teach too many controversial topics and should instead stick to the
basics and leave issues like sex and racial issues to the parents.
Strongly Agree
Somewhat Agree
Strongly Disagree
Battleground AZ Somewhat Disagree

67 68
P U BL IC 24
S C HO O L 23 28
44 10
S O CI A L 18
O V E R ST E P 30 Agree Disagree

10 NV
44 67
20 23
30
Agree Disagree 44 9
21
Agree Disagree
 34
Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Much of the success of the Hispanic community in America is the result of our shared
family values and work ethic.
Strongly Agree
Somewhat Agree
Strongly Disagree
Battleground AZ Somewhat Disagree
93
H I S PAN I C 89
28

F A M I LY 65
VA L U E S 29 5
23
Agree Disagree

NV
60
87
7 31
3
4
Agree Disagree
56 10
4
6
Agree Disagree
 35
Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement.
President Biden and Democrats in Congress are leading America towards socialism.

Strongly Agree
Somewhat Agree
Strongly Disagree
Battleground AZ Somewhat Disagree

PAT H 52
42
T O WAR D S 52 18
16
S O CI A L I S M 42 34 26
19
16 Agree Disagree

NV
33
26 52 43
20
17
Agree Disagree
32 26
Agree Disagree
BATTLEGROUND SURVEY
OF HISPANIC VOTERS

March 2-10, 2024