The Russian government plays a dominant role in the Russian economy, with estimates that it controls over 60% of the economy. Some signs of this include government expenses as a share of GDP growing to 35% in 2021, and state-owned companies receiving 25% of government tenders in 2018. Additionally, the government influences the economy through maintaining a high interest rate to control inflation, even though this limits business growth, and relies heavily on revenue from oil and gas exports. Overall, while the government intervenes in areas like social policy and infrastructure, its substantial role is not always beneficial to economic development.
The Russian government plays a dominant role in the Russian economy, with estimates that it controls over 60% of the economy. Some signs of this include government expenses as a share of GDP growing to 35% in 2021, and state-owned companies receiving 25% of government tenders in 2018. Additionally, the government influences the economy through maintaining a high interest rate to control inflation, even though this limits business growth, and relies heavily on revenue from oil and gas exports. Overall, while the government intervenes in areas like social policy and infrastructure, its substantial role is not always beneficial to economic development.
The Russian government plays a dominant role in the Russian economy, with estimates that it controls over 60% of the economy. Some signs of this include government expenses as a share of GDP growing to 35% in 2021, and state-owned companies receiving 25% of government tenders in 2018. Additionally, the government influences the economy through maintaining a high interest rate to control inflation, even though this limits business growth, and relies heavily on revenue from oil and gas exports. Overall, while the government intervenes in areas like social policy and infrastructure, its substantial role is not always beneficial to economic development.
After the privatization of the 1990s, the government dramatically reduced its participation in the economy. But since the beginning of the 2000s public sector has started growing, and the process, which was accelerated after 2014. Nowadays analysts have different estimations of the government's role in the economy, but the majority of them admit that this role is excessive and impedes modernization and faster development. I will look at the main characteristics of state participation in the economy and outline the positive and negative effects of the situation. At first, some indicators create a false image of the state’s role in the economy. Government expenses as a share of GDP are constantly growing: from 26,8% in 2000 to 35% in 2021[1]. This amount is comparable to the developed countries, the average of OECD countries in 2021 was above 40%[2]. Moreover, the number of state-owned companies was relatively small, about 2,5% of the total[3]. Nevertheless, we must take into consideration that state participation in the Russian economy takes different forms. In many cases, the government owns only a minor share of a company or controls the golden share. Another form is private government companies such as Rostech that are also to be counted. On the whole, the experts of FAS say that state participation in the economy reached above 60% in 2018[4]. All in all, state presence in the economic field is not only palpable but plays a dominant role. One of the brilliant illustrations of such a role is government tenders. In Russia, they are to be transparent, clear and competitive, which makes this indicator easy to analyze. The share of government and municipal companies that received tenders achieved 25% in 2018, with this proportion growing in some sectors up to 53% in healthcare and 77% in financial services[5]. This situation leads to ineffectiveness and low competitiveness of state companies and damages the whole economy. Moving on to indirect forms of state participation, I will start with credit policy and then proceed with a budget and fiscal one. Credit policy is conducted by the Central Bank of Russia, an independent institution, whose main purpose is to stabilize the national currency – the ruble. In pursuing this goal Central Bank maintains a high key interest rate to contain the growth of inflation. Since 2013 this indicator has rarely been lower than 6%, surging up to 20% in March 2022[6]. At the same time, developed countries maintained in the same period much lower key rates: about 0,5% in European Union and 1% in the USA. On the one hand, this policy achieved its main purpose, inflation rates in Russia remained on average at the 6%-level. On the other hand, with an underdeveloped stock exchange market (39% of GDP[7]) and a lack of own resources barring companies, especially SMEs from developing, expensive banks credits cannot provide capital for businesses. Consequently, access to budget finance assumes crucial importance, which expands government control of the economy. The budget policy may be analyzed in two parts: revenues and spending. The structure of state revenues marks key elements of Russian fiscal policy until 2022. The major sources of revenue for the Russian consolidated budget were insurance payments, income taxes, oil and gas taxes and value-added taxes. The first two sources were responsible for more than 1/3 of all revenues, but they were paid by companies and not by workers themselves. Oil and gas taxes made up about 20% of revenues and VAT – 16%[8]. So, first, we can see that the Russian budget is highly dependent on oil and gas exports, which have grown in recent two years. Second, most taxes are deducted in a way that is not visible to most workers. So, the government puts additional responsibility on firms and obscures the fact that the biggest part of the budget is formed by people and not by oil and gas exports. Approaching the state expenses can be divided into three main destinations: social policy, military goals, and national economy (infrastructure). Every part corresponds to about 25-30% of expenses[9]. The most important part, of social policy, includes pensions and benefits for socially endangered groups such as poor or large families. Here the government assumes the paternalist role, though its fight against poverty is not very effective as its share remains stable – about 12%. All in all, we can see that in all spheres the government plays a significant role, though its interference is not always beneficial for economic development.
[1] Россия в цифрах 2021, Росстат
[2] OECD data [3] Россия в цифрах 2021, Росстат [4] Доклад ФАС «О состоянии конкуренции в 2018 г.» [5] Ibid. [6] https://www.cbr.ru/hd_base/KeyRate/ [7] Сайбель Н.Ю., Ковальчук А.В. Фондовый рынок России: проблемы и перспективы развития // Финансы и кредит. 2018. №3 (771). [8] minfin.gov.ru [9] Ibid.