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M 2 Capm
M 2 Capm
(CAPM)
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Portfolio
• A collection of tradable/Investment
Securities
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Efficient Portfolio
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In-Efficient Portfolio
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Systematic Risk/ Non Diversifiable Risk
• Arises on account of the economy wide
uncertainties and the tendency of individual
securities to move together with changes in the
market
• Cannot be reduced through diversification
• Also called as Market Risk
• Eg: Interest rate changes, Inflation rate
increase, Taxation rate changes, Forex
changes, Govt. Policies, Central bank policies
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Un-Systematic Risk/Diversifiable Risk
• Arises from unique uncertainties of individual
securities
• Also called as unique risk
• Uncertainties here are diversifiable if a large number of
securities are combined to form well-diversified
portfolios
• Uncertainties of individual securities in a portfolio
cancel out each others risk
• Eg: Firm Specific -Strike by workers, competition
among companies, Raw material related changes,
Company bidding losses for a project/deal etc
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Total Risk of Individual Security
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INTRODUCTION-CAPM
A widely-used valuation model, known as the
Capital Asset Pricing Model, seeks to value
financial assets by linking an asset's return and
its risk.
It has two inputs
-- The market's overall expected return and an
asset's risk compared to the overall market.
-- The CAPM predicts the asset's expected return
and thus a discount rate to determine price.
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Capital Asset Pricing Model
CAPM is an framework for determining the
equilibrium expected return for risky assets.
Relationship between expected return and
systematic risk of individual assets or
securities or portfolios.
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Capital Asset Pricing Model
The general idea behind CAPM is that
investors need to be compensated in two ways:
time value of money and risk
William F Sharpe developed the CAPM
He emphasized that risk factor in portfolio
theory is a combination of two risks:
Systematic Risk
Unsystematic risk
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ASSUMPTIONS
• Market Efficiency
-The Capital Market efficiency implies that share
prices reflect all available information
-Individual investors are not able to affect price of
securities
-Large number of investors holding a small amount
of wealth
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ASSUMPTIONS
• Risk Aversion and Mean Variance Optimization
- Investors are risk averse
- Evaluation of a securities return based on ER
(Expected Return) and Variance or S.D. by investors
- Investors prefer highest ER for a given level of risk
- Investors- Mean-Variance optimizers , forming
efficient portfolios
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ASSUMPTIONS
Homogeneous expectations
- Common expectations for all investors for ER
and risks of securities
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ASSUMPTIONS
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• The CAPM, despite its theoretical elegance, makes
some heady assumptions.
• It assumes prices of financial assets (the model's
measure of returns) are set in informationally-
efficient markets.
• It relies on historical returns and historical
variability, which might not be a good predictor of the
future.
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CHARACTERISTICS - CAPM
To work with the CAPM we have to understand
three things.
(1)The kinds of risk implicit in a financial asset
(namely diversifiable and non-diversifiable
risk)
(2) An asset's risk compared to the overall market
risk -- its so-called beta coefficient (β)
(3) The linear formula (or security market line)
that relates return and β.
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How is the CAPM derived?
• The CAPM begins with the insight that
financial assets contain two kinds of risk.
• There is risk that is diversifiable - it can
be eliminated by combining the asset with
other assets in a diversified portfolio.
• And there is non diversifiable risk - risk that
reflects the future is unknowable and cannot be
eliminated by diversification.
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Implications and Relevance of CAPM
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BETA (β)
A measure of the volatility, or systematic risk, of a security or
a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole.
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CAPM Formula
CAPM - Rs = Rf + β (Rm – Rf)
Rs = Expected Return/ Return required on the investment
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ADVANTAGES - CAPM
There are numerous advantages to the application
of CAPM,
Ease-of-use: CAPM is a simplistic calculation that
can be easily tested to derive a range of possible
outcomes to provide confidence around the required
rates of return.
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Drawbacks - CAPM
Risk-free Rate (Rf): The commonly accepted rate
used as the Rf is the yield on short-term government
securities.
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Ability to Borrow at a Risk-free Rate: The minimum
required return line might actually be less steep
(provide a lower return) than the model calculates.
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Limitations of CAPM
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