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Chapter 7 - How To Detect Progression in Glauc - 2015 - Progress in Brain Resear
Chapter 7 - How To Detect Progression in Glauc - 2015 - Progress in Brain Resear
Abstract
Detecting glaucoma progression remains one of the most challenging aspects of glaucoma
management, since it can be hard to distinguish disease progression from exam variability
and changes due to aging. In this review article, we discuss the use of perimetry, confocal scan-
ning laser tomography and optical coherence tomography to detect glaucoma progression, and
the techniques available to evaluate change with these modalities. Currently, there is no con-
sensus on the best technique or criteria to detect glaucoma progression, or what amount of
change would be clinically meaningful. New techniques have been developed to assess glau-
coma progression, which make more comprehensive and complex use of data. They have the
potential of detecting progression with better accuracy, with shorter follow-up periods, and
generating better prognostics. Further validation of these new techniques is still required,
but their incorporation into clinical practice is likely to yield significant benefits.
Keywords
Glaucoma, Progression, Rate of change, Perimetry, Confocal scanning laser tomography,
Optical coherence tomography, Aging, Optic nerve head, Retinal nerve fiber layer
1 INTRODUCTION
Detecting progression is an essential task that helps clinicians make appropriate
treatment and follow-up decisions to minimize the likelihood of glaucoma-related
visual disability. At the same time, it remains one of the most challenging aspects
of glaucoma management. Progression due to glaucoma can be hard to distinguish
from variability or changes due to aging and media opacities. Additionally, while
several examination methods and criteria for progression have been used to define
progression, there is no consensus on a best method or magnitude of change that rep-
resents meaningful clinical change. Results in the literature are frequently conflicting
and research in glaucoma progression has been poorly translated for the clinician.
Progress in Brain Research, Volume 221, ISSN 0079-6123, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/bs.pbr.2015.04.011
© 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
135
136 CHAPTER 7 How to detect progression in glaucoma
2 GENERAL CONCEPTS
2.1 EVENT- VERSUS TREND-BASED ANALYSES
Methods used to detect glaucoma progression, either with functional or structural
testing, can be grouped in two categories according to the type of analysis: event-
based or trend-based. In event-based analysis, each new measurement is compared
with a baseline. Changes are considered significant if they exceed the expected test–
retest variability in the absence of clinical progression, or another predefined
threshold. This technique has the advantage of possibly detecting change faster than
trend-based analysis (Casas-Llera et al., 2009; Vesti et al., 2003). One example is the
guided progression analysis (GPA) of the Humphrey field analyzer (HFA, Carl Zeiss
Meditec, Dublin, CA).
In trend-based analysis, a series of measurements are evaluated with linear or
other form of regression analysis to estimate rates of change and statistical signifi-
cance. Thresholds for the magnitude of the rate of change and/or its statistical
significance are used to define significant change. The main advantage of this
technique, for example, Progressor (Medisoft Ltd., Leeds, UK) is that it utilizes
all measurements and provides a rate of change estimate.
3 FUNCTIONAL PROGRESSION
3.1 STANDARD AUTOMATED PERIMETRY
3.1.1 Guided Progression Analysis
The GPA of the HFA (Carl Zeiss Meditec, Dublin, CA) is a widely used software tool
for detecting visual field progression. It is based on the criteria employed by the
Early Manifest Glaucoma Trial (Heijl et al., 2003). The GPA compares each new
test result, point by point, with values from two baseline tests. Points with a loss
of sensitivity, as measured by change in pointwise pattern deviation by more than
138 CHAPTER 7 How to detect progression in glaucoma
the expected variability, are flagged. If such changes occur at three or more points in
two consecutive follow-up tests, the GPA raises an alert of “possible progression”; if
they occur in three consecutive tests, an alert of “likely progression” is raised. The
expected variability values are derived from a population of stable glaucoma
patients, and account for initial defect depth, test point location, and general level
of visual field damage (Heijl et al., 2003).
The GPA cannot analyze visual field points with low sensitivity at baseline for
which the expected test–retest variability limit includes 0 dB (Nouri-Mahdavi,
2014). Furthermore, analysis of visual fields with advance damage at baseline
(MD lower than 15 dB) cannot be performed (Wesselink et al., 2009). The GPA
is based on pattern deviation values to avoid the influence of cataracts, which
frequently cause generalized sensitivity loss. However, glaucoma can also induce
generalized sensitivity loss, and the GPA may not detect this pattern of progression
(Artes et al., 2005b). A recent study, in which visual field tests taken 12 times by
stable glaucoma patients were randomly reordered, estimated that the mean false-
positive rate for the “possible progression” alert was 18.5%, and for the “likely
progression” alert was 2.6% (Artes et al., 2014). However, it is important to note that
patients with more variability in the visual field and worse reliability indexes had
significantly more false-positives alerts—up to 80% for “possible progression”
and 20% for “likely progression.”
FIGURE 1—Cont’d
140 CHAPTER 7 How to detect progression in glaucoma
FIGURE 1—Cont’d
Example of Humphrey field analyzer guided progression analysis printout. A significant
rate of progression in the visual field index (VFI) is observed (white arrow, panel A). With
pointwise analysis, several locations present significant reduction in sensitivity, indicated with
triangles. The triangles are half-filled when the reduction is present in two consecutive
examinations and filled when it is present in three consecutive examinations (black arrow,
panel B). When three points present significant reduction in three consecutive examinations,
a “likely progression” alert is raised according to the criteria employed in the Early
Manifest Glaucoma Trial.
3 Functional progression 141
for shorter periods of a few years (Nouri-Mahdavi and Caprioli, 2014). The simple
linear model assumes a constant additive rate of sensitivity loss, meaning that for
each year (or any other time interval) the same amount of sensitivity is lost. The ex-
ponential model assumes a constant multiplicative rate of sensitivity loss, meaning
that for each year a same percentage of the sensitivity is lost. Some reasons for better
fit using exponential models might be the use of a logarithm scale for the measure-
ments of sensitivity (dB) and the presence of a floor effect due to the measurable
range of the perimeter (Pathak et al., 2013). However, the difference between the
exponential and linear model is essentially just a mathematical transformation,
and the low signal-to-noise ratio of SAP is maintained. It is not clear if using expo-
nential models would result in better precision of rates of change estimates and
ultimately better detection of glaucoma progression.
of these new techniques to carry out external validation and comparison studies.
The performance of these techniques depends on the similarity between the evalu-
ated patient and the training dataset. Most of these studies carried out performance or
validation analyses using patients from the same center as the ones included in the
training dataset, therefore likely to present similar characteristics. The performances
reported may be overestimated, when compared to use in a wider population.
FDT had higher signal-to-noise ratio (Artes and Chauhan, 2009). Theoretically,
these attributes should have resulted in more accurate and efficient detection of
perimetry.
There are still very few longitudinal studies with the Matrix FDT. In glaucoma
suspects, Meira-Freitas et al. (2014) reported that faster rates of increase of FDT pat-
tern deviation were related to higher chance of progression in SAP, and Liu et al.
(2014b) reported that approximately the same number of suspects developed repro-
ducible defects in FDT or in SAP. In glaucoma patients, Liu et al. (2014a) identified
more progressing patients with FDT than SAP; however, Redmond et al. (2013)
identified more progressing patients with SAP than FDT. While some studies suggest
that FDT may be useful to evaluate progression of glaucoma functional damage,
further research is required to better assess its additional value to SAP, before recom-
mending frequent clinical use.
4 STRUCTURAL PROGRESSION
4.1 CONFOCAL SCANNING LASER TOMOGRAPHY
The Heidelberg retina tomograph (HRT; Heidelberg Engineering GmbH, Heidelberg,
Germany) has been used to image and monitor the optic nerve head (ONH) since the
early 1990s. One advantage of the device is the backward compatibility with earlier
versions allowing evaluations of a long follow-up. Two methods for progression
assessment are available in the current HRT software: a trend analysis of stereometric
parameters (Strouthidis and Garway-Heath, 2008) and the topographic change anal-
ysis (TCA; Chauhan et al., 2000).
The trend analysis available in the device software presents changes of the stereo-
metric parameters using normalized values, obtained with the ratio of the difference
between follow-up measurement and baseline to the difference between average
measurement in a normal eye and in an eye with advanced glaucoma (Strouthidis
and Garway-Heath, 2008), without testing for statistical significance of the changes.
We did not find any published report using the device trend analysis, but several
studies evaluate the linear regression of rim area measured with HRT.
Patients with progressive damage observed in visual field and/or optic disc
photos present faster reduction rates of rim area than stable ones (Medeiros et al.,
2014; Zangwill et al., 2013). However, a wide range of rim area reduction rates
has also been observed in healthy subjects (Alencar et al., 2010; See et al., 2009),
with magnitude that could be similar to glaucoma patients with progressive visual
field damage (Alencar et al., 2010), what can lead to difficulty in differentiating
age-related loss from glaucomatous loss. Nevertheless, some studies classified all
statistically significant negative slopes of rim area (rate of change less than 0) as
glaucoma progression (Leung et al., 2011b; O’Leary et al., 2010), while a criterion
of slope faster than 1%/year has also been used to avoid incorrect classification of
patients presenting age-related loss (Strouthidis et al., 2006).
4 Structural progression 145
The measurement of rim area with HRT depends on a reference plane used to
define “rim,” the structures above it, and “cup,” the structures below it, both within
an operator-delineated optic disc margin contour. The standard positioning of the
reference plane is 50 mm posterior to the temporal disc margin, and this position
is estimated for each examination. Variability in the reference plane height is related
to variability in the rim area measurements (Strouthidis et al., 2005; Tan et al., 2003),
and other algorithms to define the position of the reference plane have been evaluated
(Poli et al., 2008). The Moorfields reference plane, which consists in estimating the
standard reference plane for the baseline examination and keeping the plane position
fixed for follow-up examinations, presented the best performance for longitudinal
evaluation of rim area (Asaoka et al., 2009; Poli et al., 2008).
The TCA is a pointwise event-based method to evaluate change in the topo-
graphic height of the ONH and peripapillary region (Chauhan et al., 2000). The
topography image is grouped into 96 96 superpixels (1 superpixel ¼ 4 4 pixels),
and the first exam is used as baseline reference. For each superpixel, the height in
subsequent exams is compared to the baseline with an analysis of variance. Such
analysis does not require a contour line to define the optic disc margin or a refer-
ence plane to define the dimensions of the neuroretinal rim. Instead, the expected
variability is modeled from the individual baseline, not relying on normative var-
iability databases from other patients. The TCA printout presents the ONH image
with an overlay where superpixels with statistically significant elevation are
marked in green, and depression in red. It is also possible to evaluate the area,
depth, volume, and statistical significance of the observed changes with the super-
pixel clusters.
Similar to other pointwise analyses, several criteria to detect progression with the
TCA have been described, from more conservative to more liberal (Chauhan et al.,
2009). In research settings or with access to the device software, a possible moderate
criterion (specificity of 94%) is the presence of a cluster of superpixels with statis-
tically significant depression in which area is more than 1% of the disc area and mean
change depth is more than 50 mm (Chauhan et al., 2009). In clinical settings, the
result of the TCA is frequently limited to the printout, which must be evaluated sub-
jectively by the physician. To date, there is no consensus on the optimal progression
criteria for the TCA (Fig. 2).
Recent studies in experimental glaucoma in nonhuman primates found ONH
surface depression before a reduction in retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness
(Fortune et al., 2012, 2013; He et al., 2013; Strouthidis et al., 2011). Xu et al. (2014)
investigated this temporal relationship in glaucoma patients with the HRT TCA
and Cirrus OCT GPA of RNFL (GPA, Cirrus HD-OCT; Carl Zeiss Meditec AG,
Dublin, CA). They found that 45.7% of eyes had ONH depression at the detection
of RNFL thinning, whereas only 7% of eyes had RNFL thinning at detection of
ONH depression. Also, from the eyes that presented both changes during the study
follow-up, 82.6% had ONH surface depression detected before RNFL thinning.
The results of these studies suggest that changes in the connective tissues of the
ONH (such as the lamina cribrosa and non-axonal components of the neuroretinal
146 CHAPTER 7 How to detect progression in glaucoma
FIGURE 2
Example of Heidelberg retina tomograph topographic change analysis (TCA) printout.
Clusters of superpixels with significant reduction in topographic height, highlighted in red
(dark gray in the print version), can be seen at the temporal superior (white arrow) and
temporal inferior (black arrow) optic nerve head neuroretinal rim, suggesting progression of
glaucomatous damage.
4 Structural progression 147
rim and prelaminar tissue) may precede the loss of axons during development
or progression of glaucoma.
One caveat of the assessment of glaucoma progression with HRT is the ONH sur-
face change induced by intraocular pressure (IOP; Alencar et al., 2010). Increase in
the rim area and reduction of the cup depth measured with HRT have been reported
after surgical (Irak et al., 1996; Lesk et al., 1999) or clinical (Bowd et al., 2000; Tan
and Hitchings, 2004) reduction of IOP in glaucoma patients. These changes in HRT
parameters are probably only significant if the magnitude of IOP reduction is higher
than 7 mmHg or 40% (Bowd et al., 2000; Lesk et al., 1999; Nicolela et al., 2006), and
in such cases, new baselines for assessment of progression should be acquired.
RNFLT measured with OCT is not significantly altered by IOP (Chang et al.,
2007; Rebolleda et al., 2007) and, in this aspect, may be a more robust parameter
for long-term glaucoma follow-up. However, since the usual question of interest
is if the patient is undergoing progression with the current treatment, new baselines
for any progression evaluation should be obtained whenever there is a treatment
change.
FIGURE 3
Example of Cirrus HD-OCT guided progression analysis printout. A significant reduction in
the retinal nerve fiber layer thickness (RNFLT) map is indicated with yellow-colored pixels
(light gray in the print version) in the first follow-up examination (white arrow). Pixels
highlighted in purple (dark gray in the print version) indicate increase in RNFLT. Additionally,
the Cirrus GPA printout also presents evaluation of changes in the RNFLT profile (arrow,
dashed line), and trend analyses of average and sectoral indexes (black arrows).
6 Conclusion 149
Medeiros et al., 2009; Miki et al., 2014; Wessel et al., 2013), healthy subjects also
have significant age-related loss of RNFLT (Leung et al., 2012). There is no consen-
sus on thresholds to separate age-related decline from glaucoma progression.
A possible approach could be using rate of change normative limits estimated from
age-related change observed in longitudinal cohorts of control subjects (Leung et al.,
2013), but potentially long and expensive studies are required to define and evaluate
the performance of such limits.
SD-OCT macular thickness measurements have potential for the detection of
glaucoma progression (Na et al., 2012, 2013; Naghizadeh et al., 2014). In advanced
glaucoma (MD < 10 dB), average macular thickness may identify progressing
patients better than RNFLT (Sung et al., 2012). However, changes in macular
parameters due to early age-related macular degeneration are similar to those due
to glaucoma (Garas et al., 2012), limiting utility in patients with these common
morbidities.
6 CONCLUSION
Several different devices and analyses are currently available to evaluate change in
structural and functional measurements. At the moment, there is no consensus on a
best technique or criteria to detect glaucoma progression, or what amount of change
would be clinically meaningful. Considering this uncertainty in interpreting the re-
sult of some techniques and the cost to perform each examination, clinicians should
appraise which tests provide the most useful information for their specific decision.
Assessment of glaucoma progression is frequently problematic because of test
150 CHAPTER 7 How to detect progression in glaucoma
variability that leads to imprecision in rate estimates. Examinations whose results are
unlikely to influence clinical decisions should be replaced with more frequent exam-
inations of tests that do influence clinical decisions. It is unlikely that any theoretical
merit of one test over another outweighs the benefits of frequent examinations
with a single test, even it is proven to be less meritorious than an infrequently
performed test.
New techniques have been developed to assess glaucoma progression, which
make more comprehensive and complex use of data. They have the potential of
detecting progression with better accuracy, with shorter follow-up periods, and gen-
erating better prognostics. Further validation of these new techniques is still required,
but their incorporation into clinical practice is likely to yield significant benefits.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Supported by Grant MOP-11357 from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (B.C.C.) and
the Mathers Fellowship (J.R.V.).
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