Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PVRINOX Financial Report
PVRINOX Financial Report
PVRINOX Financial Report
☑ Change in Estimates | ☑ Target | Reco PVR-Inox reports best ever quarterly performance with pre-IND AS EBITDA
margin of 21.4%.
Change in Estimates
Current Previous ATP/SPH was highest ever at Rs276/Rs136 with an occupancy of 32.3%.
FY24E FY25E FY24E FY25E
Rating BUY BUY
Target Price 1,984 1,862 In a blockbuster quarter, PVR-Inox reported better than expected
Sales (Rs.m) 65,510 75,276 64,027 73,926 performance with footfalls of 48.4mn (PLe 47mn) and pre-IND AS EBITDA
% Chng. 2.3 1.8
EBITDA (Rs.m) 21,605 24,980 21,440 25,281
margin of 21.4% (PLe 19.2%). Though ad-revenue recovery is delayed,
% Chng. 0.8 (1.2) synergy benefits from the merger have started playing out thereby boosting
EPS (Rs.) 27.5 50.3 29.3 55.0
% Chng. (6.3) (8.6)
EBITDA by Rs1,240mn to Rs1,430mn in 1HFY24. Following strong
performance in 2QFY24, PVR-Inox’s BS strength has improved with net debt
reduction of Rs3,276mn and now the company is on track to be FCFF positive
Key Financials - Consolidated
Y/e Mar FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
in FY24E. While the current quarter performance may be difficult to replicate
Sales (Rs. m) 37,507 65,510 75,276 85,376 content pipeline for near term is healthy with movies like Animal, Tiger-3,
EBITDA (Rs. m) 10,477 21,605 24,980 28,151 Dunki, Salaar, and Leo in pipeline. We expect footfalls of 157mn/172mn with
Margin (%) 27.9 33.0 33.2 33.0
pre-IND AS EBITDA margin of 16.3%/17.6% for FY24E/FY25E respectively.
PAT (Rs. m) (3,243) 2,693 4,935 7,014
EPS (Rs.) (33.1) 27.5 50.3 71.5 Retain ‘BUY’ on the stock with a TP of Rs1,984 (earlier Rs1,862) after
Gr. (%) NA NA 83.2 42.1 assigning EV/EBITDA of 14x (earlier 14.5x) as we roll-forward to Sep-25E.
DPS (Rs.) - - 2.5 2.5
Yield (%) - - 0.1 0.1
RoE (%) NA 3.5 6.1 8.0 Proforma revenue up 88.6% YoY: Top-line increased 191.2% YoY to
RoCE (%) 2.0 6.6 8.3 9.7
Rs19,999mn (PLe Rs18,944mn) due to consolidation impact with Inox Leisure.
EV/Sales (x) 6.6 3.8 3.3 2.9
EV/EBITDA (x) 23.6 11.6 9.9 8.7 However, proforma revenue (assuming consolidation in base quarter) was up
PE (x) NA 63.5 34.7 24.4 88.6% YoY. Proforma footfalls were up 64.0% YoY to 48.4mn (PLe of 47mn).
P/BV (x) 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0
Proforma ATP/SPH was up 25%/15% YoY to Rs276/Rs136 respectively, while
occupancy stood at 32.3%.
Key Data PVRL.BO | PVRINOX IN
52-W High / Low Rs.1,925 / Rs.1,336 Pre Ind-AS EBITDA margin of 22.1%: Proforma pre Ind-AS EBITDA (including
Sensex / Nifty 65,629 / 19,625
Market Cap Rs.171bn/ $ 2,057m other income) increased to Rs4,473mn (PLe Rs3,895mn includes other income)
Shares Outstanding 98m with a margin of 22.1%. Pre-IND AS PAT stood at Rs2,073mn (PLe Rs1,691mn)
3M Avg. Daily Value Rs.1281.97m
versus proforma pre-IND AS loss of Rs784mn in 2QFY23.
Other revenue from operations 1,218 724 68.2% 934 30.4% 1,015.0 20.0%
As a % of total 6.1% 10.5% 7.2% 9.6%
Source: Company, PL Note: Performance is not comparable on YoY basis due to consolidation of Inox Leisure. Proforma figures are
given to enable better comparison.
Ind-AS Adjusted EBITDA 4,273 (23) NM 805 430.6% (4,545) (2,331) 3,194 10,695 13,269 15,499
Ind-AS Adjusted EBITDA
21.4% NM 6.2% NM NM 8.5% 16.3% 17.6% 18.2%
margin
Ind-AS Adjusted PAT 2,073 (567) NM (441) NM (6,656) (4,189) (2,429) 4,261 6,352 8,024
Ind-AS Adjusted PAT margin 10.4% NM NM NM NM NM 6.5% 8.4% 9.4%
Source: Company, PL
Gross ATP trend over the last few quarters Gross SPH trend over the last few quarters
Gross ATP (Rs) Net ATP (Rs) Gross SPH (Rs) Net SPH (Rs)
276
136
134
250
133
132
246
131
244
130
300 160
130
242
129
129
128
128
239
239
126
124
231
122
224
119
119
115
212
210
207
140
206
205
204
203
201
198
197
250
191
100
182
183
175
99
169
120
168
96
96
166
95
95
164
94
92
90
152
151
200
134
100
150 80
100 60
40
50 20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
2QFY20*
3QFY20*
4QFY20*
1QFY21*
2QFY21*
3QFY21*
4QFY21*
1QFY22*
2QFY22*
3QFY22*
4QFY22*
2QFY23*
3QFY23*
4QFY23*
1QFY24*
2QFY24*
2QFY20*
3QFY20*
4QFY20*
1QFY21*
2QFY21*
3QFY21*
4QFY21*
1QFY22*
2QFY22*
3QFY22*
4QFY22*
2QFY23*
3QFY23*
4QFY23*
1QFY24*
2QFY24*
1QFY23*
1QFY23*
Source: Company, PL *Including SPI Cinema's Source: Company, PL *Including SPI Cinema's Note: Net SPH
is NM due to sale of other traded goods
Footfalls are volatile, driven by content F&B GM is in the steady range of ~73-77%
77.9%
77.4%
77.3%
77.1%
76.1%
76.0%
75.8%
75.1%
73.4%
73.1%
72.7%
71.3%
100.0%
NA
NA
37.8%
33.6%
33.4%
32.3%
80.0%
30.6%
29.0%
60.0 50.0%
24.0%
22.3%
22.2%
40.0 30.0%
30.0 40.0%
5.8 7.2%
3.23.9%
20.0%
1.8%
1.2%
0.0%
0.0%
20.0
29.3
25.9
14.5
14.3
22.0
30.5
33.9
48.4
19.5
25.0
18.0
20.0%
0%
0%
0.0
1.0
1.5
0.0
10.0 10.0%
0.0 0.0% 0.0%
2QFY20*
3QFY20*
4QFY20*
1QFY21*
2QFY21*
3QFY21*
4QFY21*
1QFY22*
2QFY22*
3QFY22*
4QFY22*
1QFY23*
2QFY23*
3QFY23*
4QFY23*
1QFY24*
2QFY24*
2QFY20*
3QFY20*
4QFY20*
1QFY21*
2QFY21*
3QFY21*
4QFY21*
1QFY22*
2QFY22*
3QFY22*
4QFY22*
1QFY23*
2QFY23*
3QFY23*
1QFY24*
2QFY24*
4QFY23*
Source: Company, PL *Including SPI Cinema's Note: Occupancy Source: Company, PL *Including SPI Cinema's
calculated based on 4-5 shows per day with no caps
Premium screens
Central East
Premium screens as a % of total screens (RHS)
13% 8%
13.7%
13.4%
12.8%
12.8%
11.9%
11.9%
11.9%
11.9%
11.8%
West
11.3%
11.3%
11.2%
11.2%
11.1%
11.1%
10.7%
10.0%
20% 250 16.0%
14.0%
200 12.0%
150 10.0%
8.0%
100 6.0%
South
4.0%
103
116
217
229
233
101
102
102
102
50
80
88
94
94
94
94
94
94
32% 2.0%
0 0.0%
North
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
4QFY21
1QFY22
2QFY22
3QFY22
4QFY22
1QFY23
2QFY23
3QFY23
4QFY23
1QFY24
2QFY24
27%
Financials
Income Statement (Rs m) Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m)
Y/e Mar FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E Y/e Mar FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
EBIT 2,944 10,205 13,180 15,951 Capital Work In Progress 2,473 2,473 2,473 2,473
Margin (%) 7.8 15.6 17.5 18.7 Goodwill 57,428 57,428 57,428 57,428
Non-Current Investments 4,628 5,568 6,398 7,257
Net Interest 5,716 7,650 7,800 7,900 Net Deferred tax assets 4,735 4,020 3,007 2,247
Other Income 791 1,030 1,200 1,300 Other Non-Current Assets 2,312 2,562 3,142 3,496
(Rs)
No. Date Rating TP (Rs.) Share Price (Rs.)
2200
1 04-Oct-23 BUY 1,862 1,715
Oct - 21
Apr - 21
Apr - 22
Oct - 22
Apr - 23
Oct - 23
7 19-Jan-23 BUY 1,983 1,678
8 06-Jan-23 BUY 2,005 1,633
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
(Indian Clients)
We/I, Mr. Jinesh Joshi- MS(Finance) and CFA, Ms. Stuti Beria- MBA Finance Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views
expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or
indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
(US Clients)
The research analysts, with respect to each issuer and its securities covered by them in this research report, certify that: All of the views expressed in this research report accurately
reflect his or her or their personal views about all of the issuers and their securities; and No part of his or her or their compensation was, is or will be directly related to the specific
recommendation or views expressed in this research report.
DISCLAIMER
Indian Clients
Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd, Mumbai, India (hereinafter referred to as “PL”) is engaged in the business of Stock Broking, Portfolio Manager, Depository Participant and distribution for
third party financial products. PL is a subsidiary of Prabhudas Lilladher Advisory Services Pvt Ltd. which has its various subsidiaries engaged in business of commodity broking,
investment banking, financial services (margin funding) and distribution of third party financial/other products, details in respect of which are available at www.plindia.com.
This document has been prepared by the Research Division of PL and is meant for use by the recipient only as information and is not for circulation. This document is not to be reported
or copied or made available to others without prior permission of PL. It should not be considered or taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The information contained in this report has been obtained from sources that are considered to be reliable. However, PL has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness
of the same. Neither PL nor any of its affiliates, its directors or its employees accepts any responsibility of whatsoever nature for the information, statements and opinion given, made
available or expressed herein or for any omission therein.
Recipients of this report should be aware that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and value of investments can go down as well. The suitability or
otherwise of any investments will depend upon the recipient's particular circumstances and, in case of doubt, advice should be sought from an independent expert/advisor.
Either PL or its affiliates or its directors or its employees or its representatives or its clients or their relatives may have position(s), make market, act as principal or engage in transactions
of securities of companies referred to in this report and they may have used the research material prior to publication.
PL may from time to time solicit or perform investment banking or other services for any company mentioned in this document.
PL is a registered with SEBI under the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014 and having registration number INH000000271.
PL submits that no material disciplinary action has been taken on us by any Regulatory Authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.
PL or its research analysts or its associates or his relatives do not have any financial interest in the subject company.
PL or its research analysts or its associates or his relatives do not have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month
immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report.
PL or its research analysts or its associates or his relatives do not have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report.
PL or its associates might have received compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months.
PL or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months or mandated by the subject company for any
other assignment in the past twelve months.
PL or its associates might have received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months.
PL or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject
company in the past twelve months
PL or its associates might have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report.
PL encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. PL or its analysts did not receive any compensation or
other benefits from the subject Company or third party in connection with the preparation of the research report. PL or its Research Analysts do not have any material conflict of interest
at the time of publication of this report.
It is confirmed that Mr. Jinesh Joshi- MS(Finance) and CFA, Ms. Stuti Beria- MBA Finance Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies
mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
The Research analysts for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its
or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
The research analysts for this report has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company PL or its research analysts have not engaged in market making activity
for the subject company
Our sales people, traders, and other professionals or affiliates may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients that reflect opinions that are contrary
to the opinions expressed herein, and our proprietary trading and investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed
herein. In reviewing these materials, you should be aware that any or all o the foregoing, among other things, may give rise to real or potential conflicts of interest.
PL and its associates, their directors and employees may (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, and buy or sell the securities of the subject company or (b) be engaged
in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the subject company or act as an
advisor or lender/borrower to the subject company or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.
US Clients
This research report is a product of Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd., which is the employer of the research analyst(s) who has prepared the research report. The research analyst(s)
preparing the research report is/are resident outside the United States (U.S.) and are not associated persons of any U.S. regulated broker-dealer and therefore the analyst(s) is/are
not subject to supervision by a U.S. broker-dealer, and is/are not required to satisfy the regulatory licensing requirements of FINRA or required to otherwise comply with U.S. rules or
regulations regarding, among other things, communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
This report is intended for distribution by Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. only to "Major Institutional Investors" as defined by Rule 15a-6(b)(4) of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Act,
1934 (the Exchange Act) and interpretations thereof by U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in reliance on Rule 15a 6(a)(2). If the recipient of this report is not a Major
Institutional Investor as specified above, then it should not act upon this report and return the same to the sender. Further, this report may not be copied, duplicated and/or transmitted
onward to any U.S. person, which is not the Major Institutional Investor.
In reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the Exchange Act and interpretations thereof by the SEC in order to conduct certain business with Major
Institutional Investors, Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. has entered into an agreement with a U.S. registered broker-dealer, Marco Polo Securities Inc. ("Marco Polo").
Transactions in securities discussed in this research report should be effected through Marco Polo or another U.S. registered broker dealer.