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Modelireba1 Modelirebis Metodi Ekonomikashi
Modelireba1 Modelirebis Metodi Ekonomikashi
modeli da modelireba
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modelisa da modelirebis saxeebi
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modelebi
determinirebuli stoxastikuri
statikuri dinamikuri
diskretuli uwyveti
materialuri idealuri
sqema 1.
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_ formalizaciis maTematikuri sqemebisa da struqturebis arseboba,
romlebic adekvaturad asaxavs realur obieqtebs Soris urTierTkav-
Sirebs.
araformalizebul modelirebas SeiZleba mivakuTvnoT sxvadasxva
problemaTa iseTi analizi, roca modeli, cxadi formalizebis nacvlad,
sinamdvilis azrobrivi asaxvaa, romelic safuZvelia msjelobisa da ga-
dawyvetilebis miRebisaTvis. maSasadame, nebismieri gansja (cxadia, igu-
lisxmeba, rom individs warmodgena aqvs obieqtze, romelzec igi msje-
lobs), romelic ar iyenebs formalizebul modelebs, SeiZleba CavTva-
loT araformalizebul modelirebad, radganac am SemTxvevaSi mkvlevars
(individs) gaaCnia gamosakvlevi obieqtis garkveuli saxe, romelic SeiZ-
leba davaxasiaToT rogorc sinamdvilis araformalizebuli modeli.
ekonomikuri procesebisa da movlenebis gamokvleva didi xnis ganmavlo-
baSi mxolod aseTi araformalizebuli modelebis safuZvelze mimdinare-
obda. amJamadac araformalizebuli modelireba ekonomikuri (da ara
marto) gamokvlevis Zalze gavrcelebuli meTodia.
maTematikuri modelireba
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_ obieqtis saZiebel anu gamosasvlel maxasiaTebelTa veqtori
Y = (y j ) ;
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aseT models dayvanili ewodeba. modelTa meore tipSi Y -is cxadi gamo-
saxva ar xerxdeba da adgili aqvs Semdeg damokidebulebas:
( A, X ,Y ) = 0 .
praqtikuli TvalsazrisiT gacilebiT advili gamosayenebelia pirveli
tipis modelebi. magram mravali amocanis SemTxvevaSi Y -is cxadi gamosa-
xva ar xerxdeba, ris gamoc saWiro xdeba specialuri algoriTmebis
SemuSaveba da modelis gamokvleva ricxviTi eqsperimentebis gamoyenebiT.
davaxasiaToT axla maTematikuri modelirebis meore saxe _ imita-
ciuri modelireba. modelirebis es saxe SeiZleba ganvixiloT rogorc
Taviseburi eqsperimentuli meTodi. Cveulebrivi eqsperimentuli meTodi-
sagan igi imiT gansxvavdeba, rom misi gamoyenebisas gamocdas eqvemdeba-
reba ara uSualod obieqti, aramed obieqtis kompiuterze realizebuli
modeli. es niSnavs, rom gamosakvlevi obieqtis funqcionirebis process
asaxavs kompiuteri, romelSic Seyvanilia specialuri programa. am prog-
ramis Sesabamisad kompiuteri axorcielebs abstraqtuli sistemis maxasi-
aTeblebis mniSvnelobebis bijobriv gansazRvras. aRniSnul specialur
programas modelirebad programas an modelirebad algoriTms uwodeben.
obieqtis imitaciuri modeli ewodeba ara kompiuters, masSi Seyva-
nili algoriTmiT, aramed TviTon modelirebad algoriTms. es imiT aixs-
neba, rom nebismieri imitaciuri modelis ageba daiyvaneba modelirebadi
programis SemuSavebaze, xolo kompiuteri, romelSic es programa rea-
lizdeba, mocemulad iTvleba da misi Seqmna ar Sedis modelis SemuSa-
vebis amocanebis wreSi. maSasadame, imitaciuri modelirebis dros kompi-
uteri ganixileba rogorc raime damxmare mowyobiloba, romelic uzrun-
velyofs imitaciuri modelis funqcionirebas.
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ekonomikur-maTematikuri modeli, rogorc modelis erT-erTi kerZo saxe,
gamoznulia mxolod ekonomikuri movlenebisa da obieqtebis Sesaswavlad.
ekonomikur-maTematikuri modelireba rTuli procesia. igi, nebismier
SemTxvevSi, gulisxmobs Sesaswavli obieqtis konceptualuri modelis Se-
qmnas, am ukanasknelis safuZvelze maTematikuri konstruqciis, anu mode-
lis agebas, dabolos, miRebuli modelis gamokvlevasa da gamoyenebas.
davaxasiaToT TanmimdevrobiT TiToeuli etapi.
konceptualur modelSi igulisxmeba gamosakvlevi obieqtis Tviseb-
rivi aRweriloba, romelic gulisxmobs gamokvlevis miznebis Camoyali-
bebas, obieqtis funqcionirebis pirobebis dadgenas, marTvadi cvladebis
Semadgenlobis gansazRvras, amocanis araformalizebul dasmas. koncep-
tualuri modelis safuZvelze igeba obieqtis maTematikuri modeli anu
dasmuli amocanis maTematikuri formalizacia. es niSnavs, rom obieqtis
maxasiaTebeli ekonomikuri, teqnikuri, teqnologiuri da sxva pirobebi da
moTxovnebi unda gamovsaxoT konkretuli maTematikuri damokidebule-
bebiT.
ekonomikuri amocanis maTematizacia garkveuli winaaRmdegobebis ga-
dalaxvas moiTxovs. erTi mxriv, ekonomikur-maTematikuri modeli rac
SeiZleba srulad unda asaxavdes obieqt-originals, magram rac srulia
asaxva, miT rTulia modeli; meore mxriv, modeli iseTi unda iyos, rom
misi Seswavla da gamoyeneba Sromisa da drois rac SeiZleba naklebi
danaxarjebiT ganxorcieldes. amerikeli mecnieris r. belmanis xatovani
gamoTqmiT, iZulebuli varT ~wavideT pirdapiri da viwro bilikiT
gamartivebis xafangebsa da garTulebebis Waobebs Soris~.
zogad SemTxvevaSi, ekonomikur-maTematikuri modelis agebisas gaiTva-
liswineba mravalferovani damokidebulebebi, SezRudvebi da pirobebi,
romlebic ganapirobebs warmoebis, gacvlis, ganawilebis da moxmarebis
procesebs da am procesebSi individebis, adamianTa jgufebis, institu-
tebis da sxva ekonomikuri da organizaciuli warmonaqmnebis qcevasa da
funqcionirebas. es damokidebulebebi, SezRudvebi da pirobebi SeiZleba
atarebdes wminda ekonomikur, teqnologiur, organizaciul, demografi-
ul, biologiur, fsiqologiur da a.S. xasiaTs. maTi aRwerisa da for-
malizaciisaTvis gamoiyeneba sxvadasxva gantolebisa da gamosaxulebis
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erToblioba, romelic, zogad SemTxvevaSi, SeiZleba Semdeg saxeebad da-
vajgufoT.
_Ddefiniciuri gantolebebi, romelTa saSualebiTac gamovsaxavT ama
Tu im maCveneblis an movlenis arss. magaliTad, umuSevrobis done gani-
sazRvreba umuSevarTa ricxvis SefardebiT samuSao Zalis raodenobasTan
da a.S.
_ Semadgenlobis gantolebebi ekonomikur maxasiaTeblebs warmoadge-
nen maTi Semadgeneli elementebis saxiT. aseTia, magaliTad, erToblivi
moTxovnis Semadgenlobis gantoleba, romelic gviCvenebs, rom mTliani
moTxovna warmadgens Sinameurneobebis, firmebis, saxelmwifosa da saga-
reo seqtoris moTxovnaTa jams;
_ ganawilebis gantolebebi – aRwers Sedegobrivi sidideebis gana-
wilebis mimarTulebebs. Aamis klasikuri magaliTia mTliani Semosavle-
bis ganawileba moxmarebasa da danazogebze;
_ sabalanso gantolebebi – miiReba Semadgnlobisa da ganawilebis
gantolebebis gaerTianebiT;
G_ gardaqmnis funqciebi _ aRwers kavSirs obieqtze (procesze) raime
zemoqmedebasa da am zemoqmedebis Sedegs Soris, kerZo SemTxvevaSi _
kavSirs danaxarjebsa da Sedegebs Soris. tipuri magaliTia sawarmoo
funqcia;
_ qcevisa da/an gadawyvetilebis miRebis funqciebi _ aRwers sxva-
dasxva ekonomikuri subieqtis an maTi erTobliobis qcevas, romlebsac
garkveuli miznebis misaRwevad gaaCniaT Tavisufleba arCevansa da gadawy-
vetilebis miRebaSi. aseTia, magaliTad, moxmarebis funqcia, erToblivi
moTxovnisa da erToblivi miwodebis funqciebi da a.S.
maTematikuri modelebis erT-erT mniSvnelovan Taviseburebaa maTi
gamoyenebis SesaZlebloba amocanaTa farTo klasisTvis, romlebic
erTmaneTis msgavsia raodenobrivi damokidebulebebiT, Tumca ekonomikuri
SinaarsiT ki sruliad gansxvavebulia. amitom, yovel konkretul SemT-
xvevaSi, axali maTematikuri modelis ageba mizanSewonili ar aris – unda
vecadoT ukve arsebuli da kargad Seswavlili modelebis gamoyenebas.
modelirebis momdevno etapi gulisxmobs Seqmnili maTematikuri
modelis gamokvlevas. imaze damokidebulebiT ra mizans emsaxureba Seq-
mnili modeli _ wminda Teoriuli daskvnebis gakeTebas, Tu konkretuli
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ricxviTi Sedegebis miRebas – da rogoria misi konstruqciis sirTulis
xarisxi, is SeiZleba gamovikvlioT analitikuri an gamoTvliTi (anu
eqsperimentuli) meTodiT. aRsaniSnavia, rom es meTodebi erTmaneTs ar
ewinaaRmdegeba da xSirad analitikuri gamokvleviT miRebuli daskvnebis
dadasturebisaTvis damatebiT mimarTaven eqsperimentalur gaangariSebebs.
modelis analitikuri gamokvleva maSinaa saWiro, roca Sesaswavli
obieqtisaTvis aigeba metnaklebad originaluri maTematikuri konstruq-
cia. aseTi gamokvleva ZiriTadad Teoriuli daniSnulebis modelebisTvis
xorcieldeba, magram aranakleb mniSvnelovania igi gamoyenebiTi saxis
modelebisTvisac. analitikuri gamokvlevis ZiriTadi mizania modelis
zogadi Tvisebebis gamovlena, romelTaganac gansakuTrebiT mniSvnelo-
vans dasmuli amocanis amonaxsnis arsebobis pirobebis dadgena da, Tu
SesaZlebelia, am amonaxsnis formulebis saxiT gamosaxva warmoadgens.
garda amisa, analizis procesSi unda gairkves iseTi sakiTxebi, rogori-
caa, magaliTad, erTaderTia Tu ara amonaxsni, ra sazRvrebSi icvleba
amonaxsnebi da rogoria maTi cvlilebis tendencia da a.S.
gamoyenebiT modelTa umralesoba saWiroebs Sesaswavli obieqtis
Sesaxeb monacemebis miRebas, gadamuSavebas da Sefasebas. ekonomikur-maTe-
matikuri modelirebis dros es yvelaze Sromatevadi da rTuli proce-
sia, romlis drosac TvalnaTliv gamovlindeba zemoqmedebis ori mimar-
Tuleba. erTi mxriv, maTematikuri modelis formirebisas orientacia
aiReba iseT faqtorebze da maCveneblebze, romelTa Sesaxeb monacemebi an
arsebobs, an advili SesaZlebelia maTi mopoveba. es garemoeba arsebiTad
ganapirobebs modelis konkretul agebulebas. meore mxriv, ekonomikur-
maTematikuri modelireba xels uwyobs axali saxis informaciis warmoq-
mnasa da miRebas. ekonomikaSi modelirebis meTodis gamoyenebis aucileb-
lobam mniSvnelovani cvlilebebi Seitana statistikuri aRricxvis praq-
tikaSi.
modelisTvis monacemebis momzadebis Semdeg logikurad dgeba imis
aucilebloba, rom SemuSavdes ekonomikur-maTematikuri amocanis amoxsnis
algoriTmi, Sedges misi Sesabamisi programa da Catardes uSualo gaanga-
riSebebi. amJamad kompiuteruli teqnikis maTematikuri uzrunvelyofa
imdenad maRalia, rom TiTqmis yvela maTematikuri amocanisTvis, romelic
ki SeiZleba gamoviyenoT ekonomikaSi, SemuSavebulia standartuli prog-
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ramebi. es garemoeba, calkeuli gamonaklisi SemTxvevis garda, aadvilebs
mravalvariantuli gaangariSebebis Catarebas da xels uwyobs ekonomikur-
maTematikuri modelebis analizSi gamoTvliTi meTodebis farTod gamo-
yenebas.
modelis gamokvlevis etapebi sruldeba miRebuli Sedegebis sizus-
tis SefasebiT, rac modelis adekvaturobis Semowmebas niSnavs. aseTi
Semowmebis aucileblobas ganapirobebs is, rom modeli obieqtis miax-
lobaa da igi obieqt-originalisaTvis damaxasiaTebel niSanTvisebebTan
erTad SeiZleba Seicavdes gansxvavebul niSnebsac. garda amisa, gamokvle-
vis procesSi unda gaviTvaliswinoT is faqtorebi da pirobebi, romle-
bic ama Tu im mizeziT ar aisaxa modelSi, magram SeiZleba mniSvnelovani
aRmoCndes saboloo gadawyvetilebis miRebis procesSi. unda iTqvas, rom
ekonomikur-maTematikuri modelis sizustis Sefasebis problema bolomde
gadawyvetili ar aris, Tumca SemuSavebulia calkeuli modgomebi, (gan-
sakuTrebiT, ekonometrikuli modelebisaTvis), romelTa safuძvelzec
SeiZleba konkretuli modelidan miRebuli Sedegebis statistikuri
mniSvnelovnebis Sefaseba.
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