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Fundametal and Technical Analysis of IT Sector - Wipro and TCS Final
Fundametal and Technical Analysis of IT Sector - Wipro and TCS Final
Fundametal and Technical Analysis of IT Sector - Wipro and TCS Final
ON
“FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF IT
SECTOR IN INDIA – WIPRO AND TCS”
SUBMITTED BY:
“Sanika Kulkarni”
ROLL NO: 094
BATCH: 2022 - 24
UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF
Prof. Sandip Chopde
MET IOM
i
A PROJECT REPORT ON
SUBMITTED BY:
SANIKA KULKARNI
ROLL NO: 094
FINANCE
BATCH: 2022-24
ii
SUMMER INTERNSHIP REPORT
“FINTECH EDUCATION”
PROJECT TITLE:
BY
FINANCE
BATCH: 2022-2024
iii
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Project titled Fundamental and technical analysis of IT sector
in India – Wipro and TCS is successfully completed by Sanika Prasad Kulkarni, in
partial fulfilment of the Master’s Degree of Management studies recognized by the
University of Mumbai for the academic year of 2022- 24. Bearing Roll No. 094.
This project work is original and was not submitted earlier for any award of any degree/
diploma or associated with any other institution /university.
Signature: Signature:
Company Guide Faculty Guide
Aniket Chandanshive Dr. Sandeep Chopde
iv
DECLARATION
I hereby declare that, this Project report submitted by me to the University of Mumbai is a
bonafide work undertaken by me and it is not submitted to any other University or Institution
for the award of any degree/ diploma/ certificate or published any time before.
Date:
v
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I wish to offer my thanks to Fintech Education for giving me a chance to be a part of their
regarded association and upgrade my insights by conceding authorization to do summer
internship under their direction.
I truly say thanks to Mr. Aniket Chandanshive, Founder & CEO at Fintech Education who
was genuine wellspring of help and furthermore I accept this open door to thank my
colleagues.
I express my gratitude to my guide Dr. Sandeep Chopde Sir, Associate Professor (Finance)
for giving his timely inputs and suggestions throughout my summer internship which has
contributed immensely in the making of this report.
I likewise thank Dr. Swati Lodha, Director, Dr. Nitin Kulkarni, Course Coordinator for their
help. An exceptional on account of our Placement Department for their help and guidance
and providing me the opportunity to embark on this project.
I would like to thank every one of them with whom I collaborated. Their due participation
and inspiration made the finish of this internship effective.
Regards,
Sanika Kulkarni
Date:
Place: Mumbai
vi
CERTIFICATE FROM COMPANY
vii
TABLE OF CONTENT
viii
List of Tables
ix
List of Charts
x
SR. NO. CONTENTS PAGE NO.
5.30 Chart showing Descending triangle pattern in Wipro Ltd. 41
5.31 Chart showing Ascending triangle pattern in TCS Ltd. 41
5.32 Chart showing Rectangle pattern in Wipro Ltd. 42
5.33 Chart showing Rectangle pattern in TCS Ltd. 42
5.34 Chart showing Rounding Bottom pattern in Wipro Ltd. 43
5.35 Chart showing Rounding Bottom pattern in TCS Ltd. 43
5.36 Chart showing Three White Soldiers pattern in Wipro Ltd. 44
5.37 Chart showing Three Black crows pattern in TCS Ltd. 45
5.38 Chart showing Support and Resistance Lines of Wipro Ltd. 46
5.39 Chart showing Support and Resistance Lines of TCS Ltd. 47
xi
Fundamental and technical analysis of IT sector in India – WIPRO and TCS
Chapter 1 - Introduction
For summer internship I had the opportunity to work with Fintech Education, Vasai. It is
an ecosystem where they train and develop skills of young generation in the field of stock
market and digital marketing. They offer their services to more than 110 B-schools across
India through free workshops and paid courses. They have more than 70 clients, some of
which are BPCL, D-Link, SBI life insurance.
During internship I gained some knowledge related technical analysis of stock market by
performing intraday activities in equity market. Therefore, the topic for my internship
project is related to analysis of stocks in IT sector of Nifty. For this report, I have selected
3 stocks or companies which are TCS and WIPRO.
Fundamental Analysis - The fundamental analysis examines the companies’ economic and
financial reports, including all qualitative and quantitative information, in order to
determine its value. While typically this method is used to evaluate the real value of traded
stocks, it can also be applied to any other kind of assets. More specifically, it comprises an
examination of the company’s financial reports (such as profit and loss accounts and
balance sheets) in order to analyse several financial indicators (such as, revenues, earnings,
liabilities, expenses and assets). The fundamental analysis is carried out with the aim of
predicting company’s future performance. It is based on the belief that the market price of
an asset tends to move towards its “real value” or its “intrinsic value”. Thus, if the intrinsic
value of an asset is higher than its market value, there may be a situation where it is time
to buy. Otherwise, investors should sell. While carrying out a fundamental analysis,
investors usually use either Top-down approach or Bottom-up approach.
everything, (2) prices move in trends and countertrends, and (3) price action is repetitive,
with certain patterns reoccurring.” It means technical analysis is an analysis methodology
for analysing and forecasting the direction of prices through the study of past market data,
primarily price and volume.
In 2016–2017, parent company Tata Sons owned 72.05% of TCS and more than 70% of
Tata Sons' dividends were generated by TCS. In March 2018, Tata Sons sold stocks of TCS
worth $1.25 billion in a bulk deal. As of 15 September 2021, TCS has recorded a market
capitalisation of US$200 billion, making it the first Indian IT firm to do so.
TABLE NO 1.1
Type Public
ISIN INE467B01029
Industry Information Technology
Consulting
Outsourcing
Founded 1968
Founders FC Kohli, J. R. D. Tata
Head quarters Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Area served World wide
Number of employees 614,795 (March 2023)
Parent Tata Group
Subsidiaries TRDDC
Website www.tcs.com
Source – TCS Wikipedia
Wipro Limited
Wipro Limited (formerly, Western India Palm Refined Oils Limited) is an Indian
multinational corporation that provides information technology, consulting and business
process services. Thierry Delaporte has served as CEO and managing director of Wipro
from July 2020. It is headquartered in Bangalore, Karnataka, India. Wipro's capabilities
range across cloud computing, cyber security, digital transformation, artificial intelligence,
robotics, data analytics, and other technology consulting services to customers in 67
countries.
TABLE NO 1.2
India's information technology (IT) industry is renowned for its outstanding performance
on the international market and has made a considerable economic contribution to the
nation. A thorough analysis of the major players is necessary to comprehend and assess the
dynamics of this industry. It is crucial in this situation to conduct research on Wipro and
TCS (Tata Consultancy Services), two of India's most well-known IT firms. The study is
important for economy, investment decisions, industry trends, risk management, policy
formulations, etc.
The scope of this report includes a detailed examination of the fundamental and technical
aspects of the IT sector in India with a specific focus on Wipro and TCS. It covers following
areas
1. Company Profiles: Detailed profiles of Wipro and TCS, including their history,
structure, share prices, trends, etc
2. Financial analysis
3. Technical analysis
4. Market trends
4. to assess how Wipro and TCS are positioned to benefit from upcoming
technologies by analysing technological advances and advancements inside India's
IT sector.
Chapter 4 - Methodology
Introduction
Research Design
Source of Data
Secondary data has been used in this study. Secondary data has been collected from various
sources to conduct fundamentals and technical analysis which includes BSE, NSE, IBEF,
articles, journals, research papers, companies’ annual reports, financial statements and
website etc.
Sample Size
For this study two IT companies are selected which are listed under Indian stock market.
Other data like balance sheet and profit and loss Account, etc. of last 5 years has been
considered for the study.
The Indian economy is one of the most dynamic and quickly expanding in the world. Over
the past few decades, it has undergone substantial development, fuelled by a number of
causes such as a sizable and youthful population, economic reforms, and globalisation.
2018: India's GDP reached $2.72 trillion in 2018 and increased by 6.81%.
2020: The COVID-19 pandemic strikes, leading to a large recession, $2.71 trillion GDP,
and a growth of
-7.03%.
2021: With a growth rate of 8.49%, the GDP recovered to $3.02 trillion as the country
started to recover from the pandemic.
2022: With a growth rate of 7.28%, the economy grew further in 2022, surpassing pre-
pandemic levels and reaching $3.24 trillion.
Chart 5.1
2. Inflation Rate:
Inflation rates have generally been moderate over the last five years, hovering around 4-
6%.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has employed various monetary policy tools to manage
inflation within a target range.
Chart 5.2
Inflation rate
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
1.00%
0.00%
2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
India's per capita income has been gradually increasing, but income inequality remains a
concern.
It was around $2,100 (nominal) in 2020 and has shown moderate growth in recent years.
4. Economic Reforms:
The Indian government has introduced several economic reforms, including the "Make in
India" initiative and the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) to simplify
the tax structure.
The 'Atmanirbhar Bharat' (Self-Reliant India) campaign was launched to boost domestic
production and reduce dependence on imports.
Industry analysis
With a considerable impact on the GDP and welfare of the nation, the IT & BPM sector has
emerged as one of India's most important economic drivers. In FY22, the IT sector
contributed 7.4% of India's GDP, and by 2025, it is anticipated to make up 10% of India's
GDP.
Due to the rising need for expertise and skill, the top three Indian IT businesses, TCS,
Wipro, and Infosys, anticipate creating 1.05 lakh job openings in FY22.
By 2025, it is anticipated that India's market for IT and business services will be worth
US$19.93 billion.
Indian IT firms have delivery centres all across the world. IT & BPM industry is well
diversified across verticals such as BFSI, telecom and retail.
In the Union Budget 2023-24, the allocation for IT and telecom sector stood at Rs.
97,579.05 crore (US$ 11.8 billion).
Chart 5.3
Chart 5.4
With a considerable impact on the GDP and welfare of the nation, the IT & BPM sector has
emerged as one of India's most important economic drivers. In FY22, the IT sector
contributed 7.4% of India's GDP, and by 2025, it is anticipated to make up 10% of India's
GDP.
IT spending in India is expected to increase to US$ 110.3 billion in 2023 from an estimated
US$ 81.89 billion in 2021.
According to a report published by Microsoft, consultancy firm Bain & Co, and industry
body Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI), India produces 16% of the entire
world’s AI talent pool – the third highest in the world. PwC India has also announced that
it is planning to hire 10,000 employees in the cloud and digital technologies space over the
next five years.
As an estimate, India’s IT export revenue rose by 11.4% in constant currency terms to US$
194 billion in FY23. Exports from the Indian IT industry stood at US$ 178 billion in FY22.
The IT industry added 2.9 lakh new jobs taking the industry’s workforce tally to 5.4 million
people in FY23.
The computer software and hardware sector in India attracted cumulative foreign
investment (FDI) inflows worth US$ 94.92 billion between April 2000-March 2023.
PE investments in the IT sector were US$ 23.4 billion in 2021. In 2021, private enterprises
in India's IT startup ecosystem got record investments totalling about US$ 36 billion, up
from US$ 11 billion in 2020.
In the Union Budget 2023-24, the allocation for IT and telecom sector stood at Rs.
97,579.05 crore (US$ 11.8 billion).
Company analysis
In this top to bottom fundamental approach, the last part is analysis of the companies. Here,
the researcher has taken basic financial ratios and analysed it to make it easy to understand
and compare the performance of the two companies for the last 5 years.
1. Solvency ratios
The ability of a corporation to pay its long-term debts and financial obligations is measured
by a financial indicator called the solvency ratio. It determines how much of a company's
assets, especially its long-term assets, can be used to pay off its long-term liabilities. Lower
financial risk is indicated by a higher solvency ratio because the company is better able to
pay its long-term debt and obligations.
A financial ratio called the debt-to-equity ratio assesses how much of a company's funding
originates from liabilities against equity (shareholders' equity). It is calculated by dividing
the total debt by the shareholders' equity.
Table No 5.1
Chart 5.5
TCS WIPRO
Interpretation - The above data shows that debt to equity ratio of TCS in the year 2019 is
0.03, in March 2020 it is 0.09, and in 2021 the ratio is 0.10, afterwards in March 2022 it is
0.08. For Wipro, debt equity ratio in the year 2019 was 0.17, then in the year 2020 it was
0.11. In the year 2021 it increased to 0.12, in the year 2022 it was 0.23 and in 2023 it came
down to 0.19.
It is observed that the Debt-to-Equity ratio of TCS in the year 2019 is 0.03 but from 2019
to 2021 it was increased because the company had borrowed capital but in 2022 it was
again decreased because the company has buy-back the share in the year 2022. In case of
Wipro, from 2019 to 2021 it was declining but in the year 2021, the company has buy-
backed their shares so in 2022 it has increased.
The times interest earned (TIE) ratio, commonly referred to as the interest coverage ratio,
assesses a company's capacity to make interest payments on its debt. It is determined by
dividing a company's earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by the interest expense. A
higher interest coverage ratio shows that the business is more likely to be able to pay its
interest debts, which translates to lesser financial risk.
Table No 5.2
Chart 5.6
TCS WIPRO
Interpretation - Interest Coverage Ratio of Wipro Ltd. drastically fell by to 18.97 this year.
Interest Coverage Ratio with value of 29.42 was highest in Year Mar-22 in last Five Years.
Interest Coverage Ratio with value of 16.66 was lowest in Year Mar-19 in last Five Years.
Latest Interest Coverage Ratio with value of 18.97 is lower than Average Interest Coverage
of 22.21 in last five years.
Interest Coverage Ratio of Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. with value of 80.5 indicates the
company does have sufficient profit to service its debt. Interest Coverage Ratio with value
of 210.91 was highest in Year Mar-19 in last Five Years. Interest Coverage Ratio with value
of 46.72 was lowest in Year Mar-20 in last Five Years. Latest Interest Coverage Ratio with
value of 80.5 is lower than Average Interest Coverage of 97.78 in last five years.
2. Valuation ratios
Financial indicators called valuation ratios are employed to evaluate how appealing a
company's stock is in relation to its market value. Investors can use these statistics to assess
whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. Price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S),
and price-to-book (P/B) ratios are among the popular valuation ratios.
A crucial financial indicator that evaluates a company's profitability per share is earnings
per share. It is computed by dividing the net income of a business by the total number of
outstanding common stock shares. Investors evaluate a company's profitability and track
its performance over time using its EPS.
Earnings per share = Net Profit after Tax and Depreciation / Outstanding Share
Table No 5.3
Chart 5.7
100
50
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
TCS WIPRO
Interpretation – EPS of TCS Ltd is increasing exponentially from 2019 to 2023. EPS of
2019 was 83.05. It increased to 86.19 in 2020. It didn’t increase much in 2021 i.e., 86.71
due to Covid but it increased to 103.62 in 2022 and in 2023 it is 115.19.
EPS Ratio of WIPRO has fallen Compared to previous Financial Year. EPS Ratio with
value of 22.37 was highest in Year Mar-22 in last Five Years. EPS Ratio with value of 14.99
was lowest in Year Mar-19 in last Five Years. Latest EPS Ratio with value of 20.73 is
Greater than Average EPS of 18.77 in last five years. It shows that even though the ratio
has decreased, it is not a bad indication.
B. Price-earnings ratio
The price-earnings ratio, or P/E ratio, is a valuation metric that contrasts the share price of
a firm with its earnings per share (EPS). It is determined by dividing the stock's current
market value by its EPS.
Price Earning Ratio = Market Prices per Share / Earning per Share
Table No 5.4
Chart 5.8
Price-Earning Ratio
40
30
20
10
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
TCS WIPRO
Interpretation - PE Ratio of WIPRO drastically fell this year. PE Ratio with value of 26.46
was highest in Year Mar-22 in last Five Years. PE Ratio with value of 11.80 was lowest in
Year Mar-20 in last Five Years. Latest PE Ratio with value of 18.89 is lower than Average
PE of 19.16 in last five years.
P/E Ratio of Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. with value of 29.1 shows that stock price is
high compared to company earnings and may be overvalued. PE Ratio of TCS drastically
fell by -19.37 % this year. PE Ratio with value of 36.65 was highest in Year Mar-21 in last
Five Years. PE Ratio with value of 21.19 was lowest in Year Mar-20 in last Five Years.
Latest PE Ratio with value of 29.1 is lower than Average PE of 29.43 in last five years.
3. Profitability ratios
A company's capacity to produce profits in relation to its revenue, assets, equity, or other
financial measurements is evaluated using profitability ratios. These ratios reveal
information about a company's financial health and how effectively it turns resources into
profits.
Table No 5.5
Chart 5.9
20
10
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
TCS WIPRO
Operating Margin Ratio of TCS Ltd. with value of 25.58 indicates that the company earns
enough money from its core business operations to cover the costs involved in maintaining
it. Operating Margin Ratio of TCS has fallen compared to previous Financial Year.
Operating Margin Ratio with value of 28.51 was highest in Year Mar-19 in last Five Years
and 25.58 was lowest in Year Mar-23 in last Five Years. Latest Operating Margin Ratio
with value of 25.58 is lower than Average Operating Margin of 27.35 in last five years.
Net profit margin is a profitability ratio that measures the amount of net income generated
as a percentage of revenue. It is calculated by dividing net income by revenue. A higher net
profit margin indicates that a company is more efficiently converting its revenue into profit.
Table No 5.6
Chart 5.10
TCS WIPRO
It has been observed that the TCS company’s net profit is going down from 2018 to 2022.
It is not efficient but still it is able to keep cost under control even it is declining every
year. And there is chance that the pricing of the services is not done properly. But
according to the standard ratio the company is performing better. In case of Wipro ratio is
fluctuating. TCS net profit is more than the industry standard as well as Wipro.
4. Returns
Returns is a general term that refers to the financial gain that an investor or business owner
realizes on an investment. It can be expressed in the form of percentage or monetary value.
Return on assets (ROA) measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate
profit. It is calculated by dividing net income by average total assets. A higher ROA
indicates that a company is more efficiently using its assets to generate profit.
Table No 5.7
Chart 5.11
Return on Assets
40
30
20
10
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
TCS WIPRO
ROA Ratio of Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. with value of 29.33 means good return on
Assets in trailing twelve months. ROA Ratio of TCS has grown by 8.33 % Compared to
previous Financial Year. ROA Ratio with value of 29.33 was highest in Year Mar-23 in last
Five Years. ROA Ratio with value of 24.80 was lowest in Year Mar-21 in last Five Years.
Latest ROA Ratio with value of 29.33 is Greater than Average ROA of 27.07 in last five
years.
Return on equity (ROE) measures how efficiently a company uses its shareholders' equity
to generate profit. It is calculated by dividing net income by average shareholders' equity.
A higher ROE indicates that a company is more efficiently using its shareholders' equity to
generate profit.
Table No 5.8
Chart 5.12
Return on Equity
50
40
30
20
10
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
TCS WIPRO
Interpretation - ROE Ratio of Wipro Ltd. with value of 15.96 means it generates profits
efficiently by using its Shareholders Fund. ROE Ratio of WIPRO drastically fell by -21.85
% this year. ROE Ratio with value of 20.5 was highest in Year Mar-22 in last Five Years.
ROE Ratio with value of 15.96 was lowest in Year Mar-23 in last Five Years. Latest ROE
Ratio with value of 14.61 is lower than Average ROE of 18.24 in last five years.
ROE Ratio of Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. with value of 47.26 means it generates profits
efficiently by using its Shareholders Fund. ROE Ratio of TCS has grown by 8.40%
compared to previous Financial Year. ROE Ratio with value of 47.26 was highest in Year
Mar-23 in last Five Years. ROE Ratio with value of 36.18 was lowest in Year Mar-19 in
last Five Years. Latest ROE Ratio with value of 47.26 is Greater than Average ROE of
40.94 in last five years.
Return on capital employed (ROCE) measures how efficiently a company uses all of its
capital, including debt and equity, to generate profit. It is calculated by dividing operating
profit by capital employed. A higher ROCE indicates that a company is more efficiently
using all of its capital to generate profit.
Table No 5.9
Chart 5.13
TCS WIPRO
ROCE Ratio of WIPRO has fallen by -14.66 % Compared to previous Financial Year.
ROCE Ratio with value of 24.10 was highest in Year Mar-21 in last Five Years. ROCE
Ratio with value of 17.46 was lowest in Year Mar-23 in last Five Years. Latest ROCE Ratio
with value of 17.46 is lower than Average ROCE of 20.74 in last five years.
ROCE Ratio of Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. with value of 57.63 shows generating high
operating income by using its Total Capital Employed. ROCE Ratio of TCS has grown by
8.62 % Compared to previous Financial Year. ROCE Ratio with value of 57.63 was highest
in Year Mar-23 in last Five Years. ROCE Ratio with value of 44.97 was lowest in Year Mar-
19 in last Five Years. Latest ROCE Ratio with value of 57.48 is Greater than Average ROCE
of 49.74 in last five years.
5. Liquidity ratio
A liquidity ratio is a financial metric that measures a company's ability to pay off short-
term liabilities with its current assets. Liquidity ratios are important for investors and
analysts to assess a company's financial health and risk profile.
A. Current ratio
The current ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to meet its short-
term obligations, or those due within one year. It is calculated by dividing a company's
current assets by its current liabilities.
Table No 5.10
Chart 5.14
Current ratio
5
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
TCS WIPRO
Interpretation - A current ratio greater than 1 indicates that a company has more than
enough current assets to cover its current liabilities. A current ratio of less than 1 indicates
that a company may have difficulty meeting its short-term obligations. Current Ratio of
Wipro with value of 2.67 was highest in Year Mar-19 in last Five Years. Current Ratio of
Wipro with value of 2.01 was lowest in Year Mar-22 in last Five Years. Latest Current
Ratio of Wipro with value of 2.47 is Greater than Average Current Ratio of 2.37 in last
five years.
Current Ratio of TCS has fallen by -1.01 % Compared to previous Financial Year. Current
Ratio with value of 4.17 was highest in Year Mar-19 in last Five Years. Current Ratio of
TCS trending down for at least three Years. Latest Current Ratio with value of 2.53 is
lower than Average Current Ratio of 3.10 in last five years but it is greater than 1.
The dividend payout ratio is a measure of how much of a company's net income is paid
out to shareholders in the form of dividends. It is calculated by dividing the total amount
of dividends paid out in a period by the company's net income for the same period.
Table No 5.11
Chart 5.15
100
50
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
TCS WIPRO
Interpretation - A high dividend payout ratio indicates that a company is returning a large
portion of its earnings to shareholders. A low dividend payout ratio indicates that a
company is retaining more of its earnings to reinvest in the business.
The assessment of dividend payout ratio depends on the point of view of the investor. If
the investor is looking for periodic returns, then the lower dividend payout ratio is
desirable. However, if the investor is looking for long-term capital appreciation rather
than periodic returns then the higher dividend payout ratio is preferrable. This is because
if the company is not paying out dividend, then it is reinvesting its profits which results in
growth for the company.
DPR Ratio with value of 26.82 was highest in Year Mar-22 in last Five Years. DPR Ratio
with value of 4.82 was lowest in Year Mar-23 in last Five Years. Latest DPR Ratio with
value of 4.82 is lower than Average DPR of 9.95 in last five years.
DPR for Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. indicates that the company is reinvesting less
money back into its business, and paying out its earnings as dividends. DPR Ratio of TCS
rose handsomely by 182.34 % this year. DPR Ratio with value of 116.36 was highest in
Year Mar-20 in last Five Years. DPR Ratio with value of 32.03 was lowest in Year Mar-
19 in last Five Years. Latest DPR Ratio with value of 98.10 is Greater than Average DPR
of 62.94 in last five years.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis of equity is the study of price and volume data to find patterns and trends
that can be used to forecast future price movements. Technical analysts use a number of
tools and approaches to spot patterns and trends because they believe that past price action
can be a reliable predictor of future price behaviour.
Charts - Technical analysts visualise price and volume data using charts. They might
employ a variety of graphs, including bar, line, and candlestick charts.
Indicators - Based on price and volume data, technical analysts employ indicators to
calculate mathematical values. Trends, momentum, and other elements can be detected
using these indicators.
Support and resistance levels - Technical analysts look at previous price movement to
determine support and resistance levels. Resistance levels are where the price has
historically encountered resistance and stopped increasing, whereas support levels are
where the price has usually found support and stopped declining.
It is possible to find both short-term and long-term trade opportunities using technical
analysis.
Trends
Uptrend -An uptrend is a market condition in which the price of an asset is rising over time.
This is characterized by higher highs and higher lows. In other words, the price is making
new highs and new lows that are higher than the previous highs and lows.
Sideway trend - A sideways trend is a market condition in which the price of an asset is not
moving in a clear direction. Instead, the price is moving in a range, with highs and lows
that are approximately the same. This is also known as a consolidation phase.
Chart 5.16
Chart 5.17
In both the charts, monthly data is taken into consideration and we can see uptrend over the
years.
Indicators
1. Bollinger Band
Bollinger Bands help traders identify price volatility and potential price reversals. When
the price is within the bands, it is considered normal volatility. When the price moves
outside the bands, it may indicate overbought (above the upper band) or oversold (below
the lower band) conditions.
Bollinger Bands are a volatility indicator developed by John Bollinger. They consist of
three lines -
A. The middle band, which is typically a 20-period simple moving average (SMA).
B. An upper band, which is usually set at two standard deviations above the middle band.
C. A lower band, set at two standard deviations below the middle band.
Chart 5.17
Interpretation - As we can see, the distance in upper and lower band is more from 2021 to
2022. It shows that there was more volatility in that year. All time high was on 14th Oct
2021, which was 739.
Chart 5.19
Interpretation - As we can see, the distance in upper and lower band is more from 2021 to
2023. It shows that there was more volatility in that year. Share price increased
exponentially. Daily all time high was on 18th Jan 2022 which was 4041, but it didn’t sustain
there for more than a day.
The Average True Range is a technical indicator that is frequently used in the financial
markets to measure an asset's volatility. It was created by J. Welles Wilder and calculates
the average difference between an asset's high and low prices during a given time frame.
greater volatility is indicated by a greater ATR value, whilst lesser volatility is suggested
by a lower ATR value. ATR is frequently used by traders to set stop-loss levels and
determine position sizing.
3. Heikin-Ashi
Using Heikin-Ashi and ATR both together gives more accurate results.
Chart 5.20
ATR with Heikin-Ashi and volume helps us to determine volatility in stock price. High
ATR represents high volatility. Heikin-Ashi help us to determine uptrend or downtrend of
the stock. Volume should also be high while buying or selling the stock as it represents that
there are a greater number of buyers and sellers interested in the stock, In the above chart,
we can see that in 2021 and 2022 the volume is more because new traders entered the
market in Covid 19.
Chart 5.21
ATR of TCS Ltd is currently high. The volume was more in the years 2020, 2021 and 2022
because of Covid 19.
The popular momentum indicator MACD is used in technical analysis to spot possible
shifts in momentum, trend changes, and overbought or oversold situations in the financial
markets. The 12-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is subtracted from the 26-
period EMA to compute it. The outcome is referred to as the MACD line. In order to
produce buy and sell signals, the MACD line is additionally subjected to a 9-period EMA
known as the signal line. These signals are frequently verified by the histogram, which is
produced from the difference between the MACD line and the signal line. Traders use the
MACD a lot to help them decide when to initiate or exit positions in different financial
instruments.
MACD line, which can function as a trigger for buy or sell signals. Traders may buy the
security when the MACD line crosses above the signal line and sell—or short—the security
when the MACD line crosses below the signal line.
Chart 5.22
In the above chart, we can see that in July 2020, MACD line is cutting the signal line from
below. This indicates bullish trend and buy signal. We can observe that the trend is actually
an uptrend for following months. Similarly in Feb 2022, the MACD line is cutting the
signal line from above. This indicates downtrend and bearish dominance. This is indicator
of selling the stock or short selling.
Chart 5.23
In the above chart, we can see that in August 2020, MACD line is cutting the signal line
from below. This indicates bullish trend and buy signal. We can observe that the trend is
actually an uptrend for following months. Similarly in March 2022, the MACD line is
cutting the signal line from above. This indicates downtrend and bearish dominance. This
is indicator of selling the stock or short selling.
Patterns
There are several common chart patterns that traders and analysts look for when conducting
technical analysis. Here are some of the most widely recognized patterns –
This is a reversal pattern that consists of three peaks – a higher peak (head) between two
lower peaks (shoulders). The pattern suggests a shift from an upward trend to a downward
trend.
Chart 5.24
Here, on 9th May 2022, the pattern of head and shoulders is formed. After the right shoulder,
the trend becomes downtrend. It is selling indicator.
A double top is a bearish reversal pattern, with two peaks at roughly the same price level,
signalling a potential trend reversal. A double bottom, on the other hand, is a bullish reversal
pattern with two troughs at approximately the same price level.
Chart 5.25
Here after the double top pattern, the trend becomes downtrend.
Chart 5.26
Here, after the bearish trend, double bottom pattern is formed and bullish trend reversal
occurred. This is the signal to buy the stock.
This is a bullish continuation pattern. It forms a "cup" shape followed by a "handle." The
handle is a consolidation phase before the price is expected to continue its upward move.
Here, after the formation of Cup and the handle pattern, the bullish trend became stronger.
This indicates buying signal.
Chart 5.27
These are short-term continuation patterns. A flag pattern forms a rectangular shape, while
a pennant forms a small symmetrical triangle. Both patterns suggest a brief consolidation
before the prior trend resumes.
Chart 5.28
Chart 5.29
Ascending triangles are bullish patterns characterized by a horizontal resistance line and a
rising support line. Descending triangles are bearish patterns with a horizontal support line
and a descending resistance line. These patterns typically resolve with a breakout in the
direction of the trend.
Chart 5.30
Chart 5.31
A rectangle pattern forms when the price moves between horizontal support and
resistance levels. It indicates a period of consolidation and indecision.
Chart 5.32
Chart 5.33
This is a reversal pattern that forms a "U" shape. It indicates a transition from a
downtrend to an uptrend.
Chart 5.34
Chart 5.35
Above charts show the change in trend with rounding bottom pattern. Before it, the trend
was downtrend but rounding bottom pattern formed and the bulls became dominant. It is
the signal to buy.
These are candlestick patterns that suggest potential reversals. Three black crows are
bearish, while three white soldiers are bullish.
Chart 5.36
In Three White Soldiers pattern, three green candles form and the trend becomes bullish. It
is bullish reversal pattern.
Chart 5.37
Opposite to three white soldiers pattern, Three Black Crows pattern is formed when three
red candles form creating bearish trend. This represents that bears have become dominant
force.
Support Line - A support line, also known as a "support level" or just "support," is a price
point where there has historically been a tendency for the price of an asset to stop declining
and maybe even reverse direction. It denotes a point on the chart where buyers are more
willing to intervene and stop future price drops due to increased demand for the asset.
Support levels are a useful tool used by investors and traders to find possible purchases. It
is seen as a favourable entry point when the price of an asset approaches or hits a support
level since it implies that there might be more buyers than sellers at that price, raising the
possibility of a price bounce or reversal.
Traders and investors utilise resistance levels to spot possible sell or short opportunities. It
is considered a possible exit or shorting point when the price of an asset approaches or
reaches a resistance level since it suggests that there might be more sellers than buyers at
that price, making it a difficult zone for the price to overcome.
Chart 5.38
In both the charts, Support line is represented by Pink colour and Resistance line is
represented by Blue colour.
Chart 5.39
The study is restricted to two companies based on fundamental and technical analysis
Detailed study of the topic was not possible due to limited time of the project.
Suggestions and conclusions are based on data analysis of past five years. The future
cash flow projection and DCF approach has not been considered.
Recommendations
A. By analysing the IT industry with the help of fundamental and technical analysis, it
has been revealed that this industry has a lot of potential to grow. So, recommending
investing in IT industry with no doubt is going to be a good and smart option
because this industry is booming like never before not only in India but all over the
world.
B. There are various factors which effects on stock market, so an investor must be
aware of all those.
C. Short term investors should look on various support and resistance of stocks to buy
or sell and make profit.
D. An investor must take research about stock of company and its previous data before
investing.
E. There are three factors which an investor must consider for selecting the right
stocks.
Business - An investor must look into what kind of business the company is doing,
visibility of the business, its past track record, capital needs of the company for
expansion etc.
Balance Sheet - The investor must focus on its key financial ratios such as earnings per
share, price earnings ratio, debt-equity ratio, dividends per share etc. and he must also
check whether the company is generating cash flows.
Historical data – The investor should study historical data like charts and ratios before
short term investment. Technical analysis is more important for short term investors.
F. The management of Wipro Ltd should pay more attention to the company as the
ratios in the recent years are not up to the industry standards.
Chapter 7 – Conclusion
Findings
13. Investing in TCS for long time could be a good option for the investor.
14. TCS overall performance is good so people can invest in the TCS Share.
Conclusion
Both prominent IT service providers Wipro and TCS have proven to be resilient and
adaptable in the face of external adversities. My fundamental study revealed sound
financial standing, long-term expansion plans, and a sizable clientele, all of which support
their competitive advantage.
On the technical front, I noticed that these companies' stock price performance and market
sentiment frequently follow larger market patterns, highlighting the importance of
macroeconomic issues. I was able to pinpoint potential entry and exit points for investors
and traders using technical analysis, which also included chart patterns and indicators,
indicating both short-term and long-term trading opportunities.
It's important to recognise the dynamic nature of the IT industry, which can be significantly
impacted by factors such as geopolitics, technical breakthroughs, regulatory changes, and
global economic situations. Therefore, investors in this industry must maintain a constant
eye and adapt to changing market conditions.
As a result of their solid foundations and dynamic technical patterns, Wipro and TCS
remain potential investments in the IT industry, according to the analysis.
Chapter 8 - Bibliography
(Sónia R. Bentes, 2013), Raúl Navas “The Fundamental Analysis: An Overview”, Int. J
Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc., Vol‐3 No. 1 March, 2013
(Himanshu Vasani, 2021), Dr. Vijay Gondaliya “A study on Fundamental and Technical
analysis on IT sector Companies”, JETIR May 2021, Volume 8, Issue 5
(Naved), “Technical Analysis of Indian Financial Market with the Help of Technical
Indicators”, International Journal of Science and Research (IJSR)
B. Mahesh Goud, Dr. N. Ramjaneyulu (2022),” A study on Equity analysis with special
reference to IT Industry Volume 8 Issue; 7 July 2022 Journal DOI: 10.36713/epra2013, ISI
Value 1.188
Webliography
www.nseindia.com
www.bseindia.com
www.ibef.com
www.moneycontrol.com
www.topstockresearch.com
www.um.edu.mt
Chapter 9 - Annexure
Balance Sheets of Wipro Ltd.