Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Practice Sheet AIHL MS
Practice Sheet AIHL MS
1. EXN.2.AHL.TZ0.6
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
(b)
[2]
Markscheme
(c)
[2]
Markscheme
Let 𝑇 represent the total mass E(𝑇) = 5.2 A1 Var(𝑇) = 0.52 + 0.52 = 0.5
(M1)A1 𝑇 ∼ N(5.2, 0.5) P(𝑇 > 6.0) = 0.129 (0.1289 … ) A1 [4 marks]
(d)
[4]
Markscheme
0.52
Under H0 𝑋 ∼ N (2.6, 16
) A1 P(𝑋 > 𝑎) = 0.05 (M1) 𝑎 =
2.81 (2.805606 … ) (A1) Critical region is 𝑋 > 2.81 A1 [4 marks]
(e)
[3]
Markscheme
Let 𝑊 represent the new mass of the melons E(𝑊) = 1.1 × 2.6 = 2.86 A1
Standard deviation of 𝑊 = 1.1 × 0.5 (M1) = 0.55 A1 Note: award
M1A0 for Var(𝑊) = 1.12 × 0.52 = 0.3025 [3 marks]
2. EXM.2.AHL.TZ0.28
(a.i)
[5]
Markscheme
1×32+⋯+4×14
Mean = 100
M1A1
= 1.8 A1
4𝑝̂ = 1.8 ⇒ 𝑝̂ = 0.45 M1A1
[5 marks]
3. 22N.2.SL.TZ0.4
(a.i)
[1]
Markscheme
(𝑚 =) 54% A1
Note: Based on their 𝑛, follow through for parts (i) and (iii), but only if it does not
contradict the given information. Follow through for part (iv) but only if the total
is 100%.
[1 mark]
(a.ii)
[1]
Markscheme
(𝑛 =) 14% A1
Note: Based on their 𝑛, follow through for parts (i) and (iii), but only if it does not
contradict the given information. Follow through for part (iv) but only if the total
is 100%.
[1 mark]
(a.iii)
[1]
Markscheme
(𝑝 =) 22% A1
Note: Based on their 𝑛, follow through for parts (i) and (iii), but only if it does not
contradict the given information. Follow through for part (iv) but only if the total
is 100%.
[1 mark]
(a.iv)
[1]
Markscheme
(𝑞 =) 10% A1
Note: Based on their 𝑛, follow through for parts (i) and (iii), but only if it does not
contradict the given information. Follow through for part (iv) but only if the total is
100%.
[1 mark]
(b)
[1]
Markscheme
90 (%) A1
[1 mark]
(c.i)
[1]
Markscheme
54 27
0.54 (100 , 50
, 54%) A1
[1 mark]
(c.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
54 27
64
(0.844, 32
, 84.4%, 0.84375) A1A1
Note: Award A1 for a correct denominator (0.64 or 64 seen), A1 for the correct
final answer.
[2 marks]
(d.i)
[2]
Markscheme
[2 marks]
(d.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
[2 marks]
(d.iii)
[3]
Markscheme
[3 marks]
(e)
[1]
Markscheme
EITHER
the probability is not constant A1
OR
the events are not independent A1
OR
the events should be modelled by the hypergeometric distribution instead
A1
[1 mark]
4. 22N.2.AHL.TZ0.6
(a)
[5]
Markscheme
[5 marks]
(b)
[4]
Markscheme
E(𝑇) = 80 (A1)
Var(𝑇)(= 0.1156 × 8) = 0.9248 (M1)(A1)
𝑇 ∼ N(80, 0.9248)
P(𝑇 > 82) = 0.0188 (0.0187753 … ) A1
[4 marks]
(c)
[1]
Markscheme
6.93 mm (6.93428 … ) A1
[1 mark]
(d)
[2]
Markscheme
[2 marks]
5. 22M.2.SL.TZ1.5
(a)
[3]
Markscheme
Note: Using the distribution B(74, 0.1), to work with the 10% that do not arrive for
the flight, here and throughout this question, is a valid approach.
[3 marks]
(b)
[2]
Markscheme
72 × 0.9 (M1)
64.8 A1
[2 marks]
(c)
[2]
Markscheme
𝑛 × 0.9 = 72 (M1)
80 A1
[2 marks]
6. 21N.2.AHL.TZ0.3
(a.i)
[2]
Markscheme
[2 marks]
(a.ii)
[1]
Markscheme
(b)
[2]
Markscheme
[2 marks]
(c)
[2]
Markscheme
1 − (0.8143)3 (M1)
0.460 (0.460050 … ) A1
[2 marks]
(d.i)
[4]
Markscheme
[4 marks]
(d.ii)
[1]
Markscheme
[1 mark]
(d.iii)
[2]
Markscheme
[2 marks]
(d.iv)
[2]
Markscheme
P(5≤𝑌<8) 0.627788…
P(𝑌≥5)
(= 0.716650…) (M1)
= 0.876 (0.876003 … ) A1
[2 marks]
7. 21N.2.AHL.TZ0.7
(a.i)
[5]
Markscheme
Note: Do not accept “they are meeting target” for the A1. Accept use of
B(150, 0.95) and P(𝑊 ≤ 139) and any consistent use of a random variable,
appropriate 𝑝-value and significance level.
[5 marks]
8. 21M.2.SL.TZ2.4
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
A1A1
Note: Award A1 for a normal curve with mean labelled 6.1 or 𝜇, A1 for indication
of SD (0.5): marks on horizontal axis at 5.6 and/or 6.6 OR 𝜇 − 0.5 and/or 𝜇 + 0.5
on the correct side and approximately correct position.
[2 marks]
(b)
[2]
Markscheme
𝑋 ∼ N(6.1, 0.52 ) P(5.5 < 𝑋 < 6.5) OR labelled sketch of region (M1) =
0.673 (0.673074 … ) A1
[2 marks]
(c)
[3]
Markscheme
(d)
[3]
Markscheme
0.15 OR 0.85 (A1) P(𝑋 > 𝑥) = 0.15 OR P(𝑋 < 𝑥) = 0.85 OR labelled
sketch of region (M1) 6.62 (6.61821 … ) A1
[3 marks]
(e)
[4]
Markscheme
9. 20N.2.SL.TZ0.S_3
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor
differences in marking or structure.
evidence of summing probabilities to 1 (M1)
eg 𝑞 + 4𝑝 + 𝑝 + 0.7 − 4𝑝 = 1, 1 − 4𝑝2 − 𝑝 − 0.7 + 4𝑝2 𝑞 = 0.3 − 𝑝
2 2
A1
N2 [2 marks]
(b.i)
[3]
Markscheme
[1]
Markscheme
89
2.225 40 (exact), 2.23 A1 N1 [1 mark]
10. 20N.2.SL.TZ0.T_6
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor
differences in marking or structure.
(A1)(A1)
Note: Award (A1) for bell shaped curve with mean 𝑚 or 13.6 indicated. Award
(A1) for approximately correct shaded region.
[2 marks]
(b)
[2]
Markscheme
OR
(M1)
Note: Award (M1) for correct probability equation using 0.3 OR correctly shaded
diagram indicating 17.8. Strict or weak inequalities are accepted in parts (b), (c)
and (d).
13.6+17.8 17.8−13.6 17.8−13.6
2
(17.8 − 2
) OR (13.6 + 2
) (M1)
13.6+17.8 17.8−13.6
Note: Award (M0)(M1) for unsupported 2
OR (17.8 − 2
) OR (13.6 +
17.8−13.6
2
)
OR the midpoint of 13.6 and 17.8 is 15.7.
Award at most (M1)(M0) if the final answer is not seen. Award (M0)(M0) for using
known values 𝑚 = 15.7 and 𝜎 = 4 to validate P(𝑇 < 17.8) = 0.7 or P(𝑇 < 13.6) =
0.3.
15.7 (AG)
[2 marks]
(c.i)
[2]
Markscheme
OR
(M1)
Note: Award (M1) for correct probability equation OR correctly shaded diagram
indicating 13 and 18.
0.468 (46.8%, 0.467516 … ) (A1)(G2)
[2 marks]
(c.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
OR
(M1)
Note: Award (M1) for correct probability equation OR correctly shaded diagram
indicating 20.
0.141 (14.1%, 0.141187 … ) (A1)(G2)
[2 marks]
(d)
[2]
Markscheme
OR
(M1)
Note: Award (M1) for correct probability equation OR for a correctly shaded
region with 𝑥 indicated to the right-hand side of the mean.
16.7 (16.7133 … ) (A1)(G2)
[2 marks]
(e)
[3]
Markscheme
(f)
[2]
Markscheme
69
× 200 (M1)
102
Note: Award (M1) for correct probability multiplied by 200.
135 (135.294 … ) (A1)(G2)
[2 marks]
(g)
[2]
Markscheme
67
(98 × 200 =) 136.734 … (A1)
Note: Award (M1) for 137 or 136.734 … seen.
Emlyn is incorrect, 135 < 137 (135.294 … < 136.734 … ) (R1)
Note: To award the final (R1), both the conclusion and the comparison must be
seen. Award at most (A0)(R1)(ft) for consistent incorrect methods in parts (f) and
(g).
OR
67 69
(98 =) 0.684 (0.683673 … ) (102 =) 0.676 (0.676470 … ) (A1)
Note: Award (A1) for both correct probabilities seen.
Emlyn is incorrect, 0.676 < 0.684 (R1)
Note: To award the final (R1), both the conclusion and the comparison must be
seen. Award at most (A0)(R1)(ft) for consistent incorrect methods in parts (f) and
(g).
[2 marks]
11. 20N.2.AHL.TZ0.H_2
[4]
Markscheme
* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor
differences in marking or structure.
let 𝛸 be the random variable “number of books Jenna reads per week.”
then 𝛸 ∼ Po (2.6) $\text{P}\left( {Χ \geq 4} \right) = 0\operatorname{.264~}\left(
{0.263998\ldots} \right)$ (M1)(A1) 0.263998 … × 52 (M1) = 13.7 A1
Note: Accept 14 weeks.
[4 marks]
12. 20N.2.AHL.TZ0.H_5
(a.i)
[2]
Markscheme
(a.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
(b)
[3]
Markscheme
13. 20N.2.AHL.TZ0.H_9
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor
differences in marking or structure.
𝛸 ∼ N(102, 82 )
P(𝛸 < 100) = 0.401 (M1)A1
[2 marks]
(b)
[2]
Markscheme
(c)
[3]
Markscheme
(d)
[3]
Markscheme
EITHER
P(90 < 𝛸 < 114) = 0.866 … (A1)
OR
P(−1.5 < 𝑍 < 1.5) = 0.866 … (A1)
THEN
0.866 … × 500 (M1) = 433 A1
[3 marks]
(e)
[4]
Markscheme
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
(b)
[4]
Markscheme
15. 18N.2.SL.TZ0.S_9
(c)
[6]
Markscheme
correct work for P(group X and 𝑡 > 0.65) or P(group Y and 𝑡 > 0.65) (may be
seen anywhere) (A1)
eg P(group X) × P(𝑡 > 0.65|X), P(X ∩ 𝑡 > 0.65) = 0.0107 × 0.38(= 0.004075),
P(Y ∩ 𝑡 > 0.65) = 0.396 × 0.62
recognizing conditional probability (seen anywhere) (M1)
P(𝐴∩𝐵)
eg P(X|𝑡 > 0.65), P(𝐴|𝐵) = P(𝐵)
valid approach to find P(𝑡 > 0.65) (M1)
eg
, P(X and 𝑡 > 0.65) + P(Y and 𝑡 > 0.65)
correct work for P(𝑡 > 0.65) (A1)
eg 0.0107 × 0.38 + 0.396 × 0.62, 0.249595 correct substitution into conditional
probability formula A1
0.0107×0.38 0.004075
eg 0.0107×0.38+0.396×0.62, 0.249595
0.016327
P(X|𝑡 > 0.65) = 0.0163270 A1 N3
[6 marks]
(d)
[3]
Markscheme
16. 18N.2.AHL.TZ0.H_10
(a.i)
[2]
Markscheme
(a.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
[3]
Markscheme
(b.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
(c)
[1]
Markscheme
valid reason given to include the examples below R1 variance is 192 which is
not close to the mean (accept not equal to) standard deviation too high (using
parts (a)(ii) and (b)(ii))
relative frequency of 𝑋 ≤ 59 is 0.142 which is too high (using part (a)(i))
Poisson would give a frequency of roughly 14 for 80 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 89
Note: Reasons which do not use values found in previous parts must be backed
up with numerical evidence. [1 mark]
(d)
[3]
Markscheme
[5]
Markscheme
17. 18M.2.SL.TZ2.S_10
(a.i)
[2]
Markscheme
(a.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
(b)
[5]
Markscheme
finding standardized value for 93 or 119 (A1)
eg z = −2.32634, z = 2.32634
correct substitution using their z value (A1)
93−106 119−106
eg 𝜎
= −2.32634, 2.32634 = 𝜎
σ = 5.58815 (A1) 0.024508 P(X < 95) = 0.0245 A2 N3 [5 marks]
(c)
[3]
Markscheme
(d.i)
[3]
Markscheme
(d.ii)
[2]
Markscheme
18. 18M.2.AHL.TZ1.H_4
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor
differences in marking or structure.
P(L ≥ 5) = 0.910 (M1)A1
[2 marks]
(b)
[3]
Markscheme
19. 18M.2.AHL.TZ2.H_3
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor
differences in marking or structure.
normal curve centred on 50 A1
vertical lines at 𝑥 = 42 and 𝑥 = 54, with shading in between A1
[2 marks]
(b)
[2]
Markscheme
P(42 < X < 54) (= P(− 2 < Z < 1)) (M1) = 0.819 A1 [2 marks]
(c)
[2]
Markscheme
P(μ − kσ < X < μ + kσ) = 0.5 ⇒ P(X < μ + kσ) = 0.75 (M1) k = 0.674 A1
Note: Award M1A0 for k = −0.674. [2 marks]
20. 18M.2.AHL.TZ2.H_8
(a)
[2]
Markscheme
* This question is from an exam for a previous syllabus, and may contain minor
differences in marking or structure.
np = 3.5 (A1)
p ≤ 1 ⇒ least n = 4 A1 [2 marks]
(b)
[5]
Markscheme
(1 − p)n + np(1 − p)n−1 = 0.09478 M1A1 attempt to solve above equation with
np = 3.5 (M1)
7
n = 12, p = 24 (=0.292) A1A1
Note: Do not accept n as a decimal. [5 marks]