Experimental vs. Theoretical Probabiltiy

Republic of the Philippines
SAMAR STATE UNIVERSITY

Office of the Dean | College of Education
Detailed Lesson Plan

Grade 8 – Mathematics
SCHEDULE: Grade 8 – Patola Mon-Fri 8:30 – 9:30 AM DATE: Feb. 27, 2019
Grade 8 – Pechay Mon-Fri 1:00 – 2:00 PM
Grade 8 – Sitaw Mon-Fri 2:00 – 3:00 PM
I. OBJECTIVES
A. Content Standards The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of probability.
B. Performance Standards The learner is able to formulate and solve practical problems involving probability of simple
events.
C. Learning Competencies At the end of the lesson, each learner should be able to:
1) Differentiate theoretical and experimental probability.
2) Solve for the theoretical and experimental probability of an event.
II. CONTENT Theoretical Probability vs. Experimental Probability

III. LEARNING RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teacher’s Guide Pages
2. Learners’ Material
Pages
3. Textbook Pages
4. Additional Materials
from Learning Resource Portal
B. Other Learning Resources Visual aids, strips of paper, box of letters, box of numbers, box of chips, deck of cards
http://www.cobblearning.net/delcastillo/files/2018/03/Experimental-Probability-Vs-
2kpe4fr.pptx
https://www.bigideasmath.com/teachers/crosswalk/accelerated_10_3.pdf
http://www.softschools.com/math/topics/theoretical_vs_experimental_probability/
https://www.onlinemathlearning.com/theoretical-probability.html
IV. PROCEDURES Facilitator’s Activity Learners’ Activity

A. Reviewing previous “Good morning/afternoon class.” “Good morning/afternoon ma’am.”
lesson or presenting the new
lesson “Say present once your name is called.”
The teacher will call each names for the attendance. “Present.”
“What did we discuss last meeting?” “We have discussed about theoretical
probability wherein it is the
mathematical probability that we get
from solving.”
“It is the ideal probability, the
probability that should happen.”
“Excellent.”
B. Establishing a purpose “For this lesson, our objectives will be the following. A student will read the objectives
for the lesson Kindly read.” pasted on the board.
C. Presenting WARM-UP ACTIVITY: Charades

examples/instances of the “A volunteer student will go to the front and will The students will take turns until all 5
new lesson pick a paper. They will only act the experiment experiments are done, that means there
written on the paper and will strictly not say will be 5 volunteer students. All
anything. The other students will have to guess the students will participate in guessing the
experiment.” experiments.
Written on the papers are the following.

1) Rolling a die
2) Drawing a card
3) Tossing a coin
4) Picking a marble
5) Spinning a number
D. Discussing new concepts “Based on our past discussions, what is again an
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and practicing new skills #1 experimental probability?” “Experimental probability is the

probability of an event when an actual
experiment is done.”
“That’s right. So, how will you differentiate
experimental probability from theoretical
probability by giving an example?”
“For example in rolling a die, the
theoretical probability of getting 5 is 1/6
while the experimental probability
depends upon the result when I roll the
die once. If I roll a number that is not a
5, then the probability will be 0. But if I
roll a number 5, then the probability is
1.”
“Very well said.”
E. Discussing new concepts “What is again the formula for the theoretical number of favorable
and practicing new skills #2 probability?” outcomes_____
Theoretical Probability = number of possible
outcomes
number of event
“How about the formula for the experimental
occurrences__
probability?” Experimental Probability = total number of
trials
“Very good.”
F. Developing mastery “The class will be divided into 4 groups. Each group Each group will be playing different
(Leads to Formative will pick a piece of paper. Each paper has a different experiment at a time and will answer
Assessment 3) sets of events and they will find both the their corresponding questions. When
experimental probability and theoretical probability they are finished with the first
of the same event. There will be four experiments: experiment, they will switch
picking chips from a box, picking a number from experiments to the other groups until
numbers 1 to 20, picking a letter from the alphabet, all have played all the experiments.
and drawing a card from a standard deck of cards.”
Answers
The following are the set of events that each group The students’ answer will vary in the
will have to find. experimental probability.
GROUP 1 GROUP 1
 In picking a chip from a box, what is your Theoretical Probability:
probability of picking a blue chip?
 In picking a number from numbers 1 to 20,
what is your probability of picking an even
number?
 In picking a letter from the alphabet, what is
your probability of picking a consonant letter?
 In drawing a card from the standard deck of
cards, what is your probability of picking a
spade?
GROUP 2 GROUP 2
 In picking a chip from a box, what is your Theoretical Probability:
probability of picking a green chip?
what is your probability of picking a
composite number?
your probability of picking a vowel letter?
flower?
GROUP 3
 In picking a chip from a box, what is your GROUP 3
probability of picking a yellow chip? Theoretical Probability:

what is your probability of picking an odd
number?
your probability of picking a letter from the
word BEAUTIFULLY?
heart?
GROUP 4
 In picking a chip from a box, what is your GROUP 4
probability of picking a red chip? Theoretical Probability:
what is your probability of picking a prime
number?
your probability of picking a letter from the
word WONDERFULLY?
diamond?
TALLY SHEETS
The tally sheets will be written in a
Picking a chip from the box whole sheet of paper.
1st pick 2nd pick … 20th pick
Outcome
Theoretical Probability: _______
Experimental Probability: ______
Picking a number
Outcome
Picking a letter
Outcome
Drawing a card
1st draw 2nd draw … 20th draw
Outcome
G. Finding practical This applies in the examples during the discussion.

application of concepts and
skills in daily living
H. Making generalizations “Did you learn something from our activities and
and abstractions about the discussion today?” “Yes, ma’am.”
lesson “Do you still have any questions or clarifications?” “None, ma’am.”
“Okay. What is again the difference between

theoretical probability and experimental
probability?” “Theoretical probability is the

probability we get from solving while
the experimental probability is the
probability that we get when we
actually do the experiment.”
“Very well said.”
I. Evaluating Learning “Class, get one half sheet of paper and do the
following.”
Using 2 coins and flipping it 10 times, what is

the experimental probability and theoretical
probability of getting two heads?
1st flip 2nd flip … 10th flip

1st coin
2nd coin
Theoretical Probability: _______ The students’ answers will vary.
J. Additional activities or “Class, copy your assignment.” The students will copy their assignment.
application or remediation
ASSIGNMENT
Give an example of an event and give its
experimental and theoretical probability. Make your
example clear by adding a statement about the
experiment done.
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
1. No. of learners who
earned 80% on the formative
assessment

require additional activities for
remediation
3. Did the remedial lessons

work? No. of learners who
have caught up with the lesson

continue to require
remediation
5. Which of my teaching
strategies worked well? Why
did these work?
6. What difficulties did I

encounter which my
cooperating teacher can help
me solve?
Prepared by:
VANESSA G. MANGUILIMOTAN
Student Teacher
Checked and Observed:
Mrs. REGINA D. QUINABATO

Cooperating Teacher
Date: 02/27/2019

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Republic of the Philippines

SAMAR STATE UNIVERSITY

Detailed Lesson Plan

II. CONTENT Theoretical Probability vs. Experimental Probability

IV. PROCEDURES Facilitator’s Activity Learners’ Activity

C. Presenting WARM-UP ACTIVITY: Charades

Written on the papers are the following.

D. Discussing new concepts “Based on our past discussions, what is again an

and practicing new skills #1 experimental probability?” “Experimental probability is the

probability of picking a yellow chip? Theoretical Probability:

G. Finding practical This applies in the examples during the discussion.

“Okay. What is again the difference between

probability?” “Theoretical probability is the

Using 2 coins and flipping it 10 times, what is

1st flip 2nd flip … 10th flip

2. No. of learners who

3. Did the remedial lessons

4. No. of learners who

did these work?

6. What difficulties did I

Checked and Observed:

Mrs. REGINA D. QUINABATO

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