Theoretical and Experimental Probability

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Grade level:8

THEORETICAL AND EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY

PART A
• Toss a coin ten times. Record the results of each toss in the table
trial 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Head
or
Tail

1. How many times did the coin land with the tail side up?
…………………………………………………………………………………
………..
2. Compute the experimental probability of the coin landing tail side up.

…………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………

3. What is the theoretical probability of the coin landing tail side up ?


…………………………………………………………………………………
………………

4. Is the experimental probability the same as the theoretical probability?


Why or why not?

…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………

• Now, get together with 4 other groups in the class. Record their data also
in your table.
5. Including your first 10 tosses, how many times did the coin land tail side
up?
...........................................................................................................................
6. How many times did you expect the coin to land tail side up?
…………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………

,
Grade level:8

7. What is the experimental probability for 50 tosses?


…………………………………………………………………………….......

8. What is the theoretical probability for 50 tosses?


…………………………………………………………………………………
9. Is the experimental probability for 50 tosses the same as the theoretical

probability for 50 tosses?


…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………

10. Now, observe the relationship between experimantal and theoretical


probability. Explain why experimantal probability converges to the
theoretical probability as number of data increase?

…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………….

PART B

• Roll a dice 12 times. Record your results in the given table below.
Face 1 2 3 4 5 6
Frequency

Now choose any face and answer the questions below according to it.

1. How many times did the face 1 come side up?


………………………………………………………………………………..
2. Compute the experimental probability of the dice landing face1 side up.
………………………………………………………………………………..

,
Grade level:8

3. What is the theoretical probability of the dice landing face 1 side up ?


…………………………………………………………………………………
………………

4. Is the experimental probability the same as the theoretical probability?


Why or why not?

…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………

• Now, get together with 4 other groups in the class. Record their data also
in your table.
5. Including your first 12 throwing, how many times did the dice land face1
side up?
...........................................................................................................................
6. How many times did you expect the dice to land face 1 side up?
…………………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………

7. What is the experimental probability for 60 dices?


…………………………………………………………………………….......

8. What is the theoretical probability for 60 dices?


…………………………………………………………………………………
9. Is the experimental probability for 60 dices the same as the theoretical

probability for 60 dices?


…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………

10. Now, observe the relationship between experimantal and theoretical


probability. Explain why experimantal probability converges to the
theoretical probability as number of data increase?

…………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………
………………………………………………………………………………

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