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GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Evaluation of the accumulations
Generalities
Data Acquisition
Volumetric calculations
Dynamic calculations
Beware
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Temperature
H I C P estimate
HCIP*= RV.N/G.φ.(1-SW)/FVF
2 D or 3 D seismic Interpretation
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Deterministic approach
N/G Rock Type KO B M - C enoma nien - Fam illes P ressions C apillaires
K > 5 00 m D 10 0< K <5 00 20 < K <10 0 1 0< K <20 1< K < 10 K < 1 mD
4,5
A B
4
3,5
3
A B
2,5
1,5
0,5
0
0 0 ,2 0 ,4 0 ,6 0 ,8 1 1,2
S a tura tio ns S W
0 1
phi Sw
One value
0 .4 0 1
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Seismic Data
Acquisition Interpretation
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Map at the top RESERVOIR
Shoreface
Offshore
Coastal plain
LITHOSTRATIGRAPHY
SEQUENCE STRATIGRAPHY
TIM
E
LIN
ES
Offshore
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Industrie - BmD. rights reserved
Training
Shoreface
FormationIndustrie
Offshore
Coastal plain
2006 ENSPM
Copyright©2003. Formation
ENSPM
GOOD SEDIMENTOLOGY BUT WRONG CORRELATIONS !
GRE 2006
©
TVD
TVD
MD
TVDSS
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Petrophysic data from the cores
(Phi, K, ρb, Pc)
Data from the Core
Log k versus
Ø
shale
Bottom
WELL
Logs, cores, tests
Detail
Reservoir characterization
RESERVOIR
Copyright©2003.
© 2006 ENSPM ENSPM
Formation Industrie - BmD.
FormationIndustrie - IFPAll rights reserved
Training
Weighting parameters
On Reservoir section
α= ∑Hu 16.5
= = 0,786
Ht 21
Φ=
∑Hu.Φ 3,13
= = 0,19
∑Hu 16.5
S =
∑Hu.Φ.(1−Sw) 1,1,38
=
38
= 0,44
o
∑Hu.Φ 31,93 ,13
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Accumulation in standard condition
•Hydrocarbon volume in standard condition:
Rock volume Vr = Ht x S
θ Shrinkage factor = 1/ B
Oil (Bo) : Bo varied from 1.0 to 1.8 (higher for light oil)
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Hydrocarbon rock volume
Quick evaluation of the volumes
G/O
W/O
( Spherical cap )
the top
W/O at
om
W/O at the bott
G/O at the top
Spherical cap )
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
GRE 2006
Accumulation
Surface depth planimetering
Copyright©2003.
© 2006 ENSPM ENSPM
Formation Industrie - BmD.
FormationIndustrie - IFPAll rights reserved
Training
Volume
Calculations
Calculations
Z Z Z
Z
To
p
Bo Vpj by
tto Sw j
m slides
Surface Rock volume VR Pore Volume
Water Saturation (VR x Φ x ntg)
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
GRE 2006
HC in place uncertainties geometry
Copyright©2003.
© 2006 ENSPM ENSPM
Formation Industrie - BmD.
FormationIndustrie - IFPAll rights reserved
Training
RFT Application Multiple reservoirs
R F T Application
Well 1 Well 2
Depth Multiple reservoirs
R F T plot
GWC
GWC
Well 2
Presure
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
BI LAN M ATI ÈRE
Copyright©2003.
© 2006 ENSPM ENSPM
Formation Industrie - BmD.
FormationIndustrie - IFPAll rights reserved
Training
Abbreviation / Definitions
Units
Volumes in standard conditions
STOOIP Stock Tank Original Oil in Place (STB, std m3)
IGIP Initial Gas in Place (scft or m3 std)
HIP Hydrocarbons in Place (bbl)
Accumulation evaluation:
• Deterministic method
• Statistic method (Monte Carlo): Mini, most likely, Maxi
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
Why the probabilistic approach?
• The deterministic evaluation do not take in account
the risk between different projects. The evaluation
depends of the geoscientist team, would be :
pessimistic, neutral or optimistic.
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
STRUCTURE
Seismic interpretation 2D or 3D
Shape Extension
Time to depth conversion
Faults sealing or communicating displacement
UNCERTAINTIES Compartmentilization different pressure regimes
Gross thickness
Net thickness N/G
FLUIDS
Properties : gas oil water
PVT : Bo, Bg, Rs
PETROPHYSICS
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
UNCERTAINTY= SCALE CHANGE + HETEROGENEITY
Pore scale
Core Scale
1-100 µ Well scale
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
UNCERTAINTIES
Monte Carlo
Simulation
Principle :
If something happens then
what is the range of possible outcomes ?
Simulation :
Each input parameter is randomly sample
Individual values multiplied together
Sampling of each parameter is repeated many times
to 100000
End result is a new distribution curve :
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OUTPUT
Industrie - BmD.
FormationIndustrie
Formation
Probability distribution of Cum. Prob. Distribution of reserves
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Volume Calculations
P : Proved volume
PP : Probable volume
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
OOIP
déterministe
Quantification = 26.4
des incertitudes
géologiques
.225
n=500 n=1000
moy=11.57 moy=12.63
sigma=1.001 sigma=1.308
Copyright©2003.
© 2006 ENSPM ENSPM
Formation Industrie - BmD.
FormationIndustrie - IFPAll rights reserved
Training
© 2006 ENSPM Formation Industrie - IFP Training
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
P
P10
P50
P90
POSSIBLE Reserves not yet discovered with less chance to be produced (20%
(P + P + P) chance)
Economics risks +
Possible
Proved
-
- Technical risk +
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved
The concept of Reserves - Definition (s)
• What means the word ”Reserves” ?
In the Oil industry this word has different meaning:
in explorations = used for the prospects
in engineering = related to the field production
for the financial = company value
for the government = the entire volume in the country
Data
collection
calculation DETERMINISTIC
Specify input probability distributions
φ, N/G, BRV etc.
GRE 2006 Copyright©2003. ENSPM Formation Industrie - BmD. All rights reserved