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Ceres WaterToolkit ExpectationSheets 040318 2
Ceres WaterToolkit ExpectationSheets 040318 2
Water Risk
Investor risks related to water. Water is one of the most critical global
risks in terms of both probability and impact, according to the
World Economic Forum. Risks arise from growing competition
for water between communities, industry and agriculture; lack
Tear Sheet industrial activities; social license risks and weak government
oversight of water in many regions.
B.2 USE METRICS AND DATA TO A.1 HEAT-MAP PORTFOLIOS AND PRIORITIZE WATER RISKS
SUPPORT BUY/SELL ANALYSIS
Study water risks at the portfolio level. Even if each of a portfolio’s
Recognize that no one metric or corporate policy will provide individual securities has only low or moderate water risk, in
a complete view of water risks. To gain a comprehensive view aggregate, the portfolio may have high exposure to geographic
of water risk exposure, analyze data and information consistent regions or industries of high water risk. Use the four steps
with the Water Risk Dashboard framework, looking at water recommended in prioritizing portfolio water risks including:
dependency, security and response. Firms should also take
an approach consistent with traditional financial risk analysis, ˝ Create a heat-map or footprint portfolio water risk
relying on point-in-time metrics, future forecasts and contextual ˝ Conduct an investor influence assessment (e.g. % ownership
indicators (regional water issues). Many government, NGO, and ability to influence change)
private databases, tools and research resources are available, ˝ Conduct regional risk mitigation analysis, looking at where
and the Toolkit provides guidance on when to use what resource. an investor owns clusters of assets and how mitigating risks
in one asset may lower water risks in another
˝ Identify the holdings that need further water risk analysis, use
B.3 USE STRESS-TESTING, SCENARIO ANALYSIS
AND IMPACT ASSESSMENT the Dashboard, stress testing or scenario analysis to assess
water risks at the individual security level and assess whether
Apply stress-testing and scenario analysis to gain critical to change buy, sell or hold decisions.
insights into potential future financial impacts of regional water
security risks. Study potential water-related tipping points such
as over-allocation of existing supplies and regional water quality A.2 ANALZYE WATER RISKS ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
degradation trends which may cause future high regulatory,
Integrate water risk analysis as part of strategic asset
physical or social water risks. Recognize that investor-driven
allocation decisions. Recognize that many water risks are
corporate water analysis should resemble a dashboard of
broad and systemic in nature—e.g. increasing competition
financial, resource and community impact information.
for water; increasing water cycle variability (longer, bigger
droughts and floods); and the over-reliance in many regions
B.4 WATER DUE DILIGENCE FOR PRIVATE EQUITY DEALS on declining groundwater resources. Map the water
vulnerabilities related to particular asset classes (e.g. real
Use the water due diligence decision tree for new private equity estate, agriculture or commodities) and analyze the regions
projects. Community concerns and social license risks related where assets are concentrated to help develop strategies
to water are the first step in due diligence because these can to manage those risks in the region.
be the hardest to overcome. Next, analyze physical security of
water supplies and steps to mitigate these risks. Finally, assess
the water risks and resilience of the project itself. Detailed
questions for each due diligence step are in the Toolkit.
Water Engagement
B.5 FIXED INCOME: WATER-RISK FRAMEWORK
FOR MUNICIPAL WATER AND WASTEWATER