Emergency Management Leadership in 2030 - Shaping The Next Generation Meta-Leader

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JEM

Emergency management leadership in 2030:


Shaping the next generation meta-leader

Carol L. Cwiak, JD, PhD


Ronald Campbell, CEM, MEP
Matthew G. Cassavechia, MPS, EFO, CEM
Chuck Haynes, MS
Lanita A. Lloyd, MS, CEM
Neil Brockway, BS
George O. Navarini, MA, CEM
Byron E. Piatt, MPA, CEM
Mary Senger, BS

ABSTRACT Key words: emergency management, meta-leader-


The complexities, interdependencies, and ambigu- ship, training, education, competencies, next generation
ity that face next generation emergency management
meta-leaders in an ever-evolving global community INTRODUCTION
heighten the expectation and need for competencies Vince Lombardi once said, “Leaders aren't born,
that far exceed those common in practice today and they are made. And they are made just like anything
necessitate the ability to move seamlessly through else, through hard work.” It is with an appreciation of
the dimensions of meta-leadership (ie, the person, the the truth in Lombardi's words that this effort exam-
situation, and connectivity) while utilizing scientific- ines the skills and attributes next generation emer-
based evidence, information, resources, processes, and gency management meta-leaders will need.
tools. The objective of this effort was to examine the This effort specifically looks at the next gen-
recently developed next generation emergency man- eration emergency management core competencies1
agement competencies through a meta-leadership within the dimensions presented in the meta-lead-
lens by juxtaposing the competencies and the meta- ership model2 to further the dialog about the trends,
leadership model. This resulted in a new framing of drivers, and challenges that will affect the practice
the skills and attributes within the meta-leadership of emergency management in 2030 and beyond and
model as they are relevant to each competency. what that will mean for next generation emergency
Selected trends, drivers, and challenges were used management meta-leaders. “Meta-leaders are able to
to provide examples within each competency area imaginatively and effectively leverage system assets,
of the utility of meta-leadership to next generation information, and capacities”3(p128) that are critical to
emergency management practice. This effort also the advancement of the evolving emergency manage-
offers training and education implications for next ment mission. Meta-leadership incorporates dimen-
generation emergency management meta-leaders. The sions across the leadership spectrum that are inte-
examination of the new framing created in this effort grally tied to the identity and principles of emergency
is intended to prompt dialog and research within management.
the emergency management practice and academic “Emergency management seeks to promote safer,
communities that furthers the practice and study of less vulnerable communities with the capacity to
emergency management. cope with hazards and disasters.”4 In practice, it is

DOI:10.5055/jem.2017.0317
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defined as a “managerial function charged with creat- that advances the collective emergency management
ing the framework within which communities reduce community's directives.
vulnerability to hazards and cope with disasters” by
“coordinating and integrating all activities necessary NEXT GENERATION EMERGENCY
to build, sustain, and improve the capability to miti- MANAGEMENT CORE COMPETENCIES
gate against, prepare for, respond to, and recover from The next generation emergency management
threatened or actual natural disasters, acts of terror- core competencies were developed through a mul-
ism, or other man-made disasters.”4 The Principles tistage process under the auspices of the Federal
of Emergency Management detail the underpinnings Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Higher
of effective practice in stating that emergency man- Education Program. The process began with a 2-day
agement must be: comprehensive, progressive, risk focus group wherein the participants “debated the
driven, integrated, collaborative, coordinated, flexible, drivers of future disasters” and the “foundations
and professional.4 an emergency manager of 2030 and beyond might
The expectations for the effective practice of require.” 1(p2) The core competencies were “built
emergency management clearly require an ability to on existing emergency management purview and
lead across a variety of spectrums. Indeed, the meta- competencies” and took into consideration a review
leadership model's value in regard to emergency of global disaster risk trends.1(p3) Once consensus
preparedness activities has been previously noted3; was reached, draft competencies were created and
however, the meta-leadership model has not been a two-cycle Delphi study was used to analyze and
previously used in conjunction with established emer- refine the competencies.1(p2) The 12-core competen-
gency management competencies or next generation cies that resulted from the aforementioned process
competencies to identify the skills and attribute are grouped into four categories: broad knowledge
needs of next generation emergency management base, organizational acumen, problem solvers, and
meta-leaders. This effort not only examines those emergency management leadership. The competen-
skills and attributes that emerge from a juxtaposition cies and their explanative narrative are presented in
of the next generation core competencies and meta- their entirety below.1
leadership model, but also makes recommendations
regarding training and education of those skills and Broad knowledge base
attributes. Scientific literacy. Emergency management profes-
In addition, this effort pulls from other literature sionals must possess a fundamental understanding
sources to highlight selected trends, drivers, and of the natural, social, fiscal, and applied sciences as
challenges that will be relevant to the practice of they impact the local, regional, national, and global
emergency management in 2030 and beyond within community. Scientific literacy is “the capacity to use
the 12 competencies delineated in the next genera- scientific knowledge, to identify questions and draw
tion emergency management core competencies.1 This evidence-based conclusions to understand and help
allows for a richer and more salient examination of make decisions about the natural world and the
next generation opportunities and challenges. The changes made to it through human activity.”5(p123) The
trends, drivers, and challenges noted herein are scientific process provides an objective means to work
addressed only cursorily but serve as a launch point through complex problems, enhance decision making,
for future dialogs and research within the emergency and interact with multiple stakeholders. Scientific
management practice and academic communities. literacy helps emergency management professionals
Likewise, the identified skills and attributes and understand and interpret the scientific evidence as it
recommendations for training and education that are relates to hazards, risks, and vulnerabilities so it can
offered in this effort are not intended to be the end of be effectively communicated to policy makers and the
the discussion, but instead, the beginning of a dialog public.

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Geographic literacy. Emergency management profes- systems, understand and manage interconnections,
sionals must possess a foundational understanding and recognize interdependencies to reduce risk. The
of the geographic configurations of hazards, vulner- nonlinear and emergent characteristics of complex
ability, and risk. This comprehensive understanding systems can bring about unexpected outcomes that
better enables emergency managers to determine exacerbate risk. The world is increasingly intercon-
the day-to-day risks they are addressing. Geographic nected and interdependent, and the ability to read
literacy is evident in the ability to conceptualize the and understand complex systems is necessary to suc-
interconnections, interactions, and implications of cessfully address newly developing hazards, vulner-
complex environments, as well as, the ability to uti- abilities, risks, and opportunities in the social, built,
lize available analysis and technological tools to track and physical environments.
environmental changes that result in changing risk
profiles. Risk governance. The emergency management profes-
sional must be able to advocate for risk awareness,
Sociocultural literacy. Emergency management pro- assessment, measurement, and reduction across a
fessionals must recognize the ways in which sociocul- broad spectrum of stakeholders. The way in which
tural factors contribute to population vulnerability. risk is managed is referred to as risk governance, and
Sociocultural literacy provides the lens to examine includes all levels. The complexity of risk governance
and understand human behavior, and the ways in in a global community requires recognition that risk
which humans, both individually and collectively, may is inherent in interdependencies, risk governance
increase their vulnerability to risk. An understand- spans individuals’ ownership of risk, and the present
ing of sociocultural dynamics, such as the rules and and future risk implications are inherent in stake-
unwritten nuances of social groups and subgroups, holders’ decisions and activities.
economic disparities, the importance of trust, empa-
thy, and respect both within and across groups, dif- Problem solvers
ferential impacts based on needs, gender, age, ability, Critical thinking. The emergency management pro-
etc, population movement, and increasing pluralism, fessional must be a critical thinker. Critical think-
is necessary for enhancing community capacity, capa- ing is a disciplined intellectual process that involves
bility, and resilience. innovative thinking that is fundamental in decision
making in complex environments. Critical thinkers
Incorporate evolving technologies. Emergency man- identify, analyze, synthesize, apply, and evaluate data
agement professionals must be able to exercise infor- from all sides of an issue with a focus on improving
mal influence across organizational boundaries with problem solving and informing actions. Critical think-
public, private, nonprofit, and academic partners to ing places emphasis on the importance of finding and
harness and incorporate converging and emerging recognizing relevant evidence, making clear the rela-
technologies. Doing so requires an understanding tionships between potential causes and effects, and
of available technology, recognition of the expertise understanding the relationship between sometimes
needed to utilize such technology, and a grasp of the complex variables before making decisions.
security measures necessary to protect the technol-
ogy and an ability to recognize and evaluate the Professional ethics. The emergency management pro-
value of technological solutions to emergency man- fessional must be ethical. Professional ethics are
agement. framed by standards that delineate expected and
appropriate conduct, principles, and moral and ethical
Organizational acumen values that guide practice in the face of both known
Understanding complex systems. Emergency manage- and emerging issues. Emergency management profes-
ment professionals must be able to work in global sionals must both abide by and champion professional

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ethics, to ensure professionalism and address power empowering others, establishing communication capa-
inequities. bilities across varied networks, and creating an out-
come-oriented environment for continual improvement.
Continual learners. The emergency management pro-
fessional must be a continual learner. Operating in META-LEADERSHIP MODEL
a dynamic and continually evolving risk environ- The meta-leadership model was designed with the
ment requires more than the simple acquisition of intent of integrating and framing existing “leadership
new skills and fact accumulation. Continual learners analysis, practice, and scholarship” within dimensions
develop and nurture a frame of mind that values and that are easier for leaders to conceptualize and use.2(p9)
utilizes curiosity, reflection, and the development of The goal of the model is “to help leaders effectively navi-
new capabilities. gate complex situations.”2(p9) The model utilizes three
dimensions that capture the broad themes in the leader-
Emergency management leadership ship literature: the person, the situation, and connectiv-
Operate within the emergency management frame- ity.2 These dimensions both stand-alone and intertwine
work and principles. The emergency management with each other to produce a capable meta-leader.
professional must utilize a proactive, anticipatory, “The person” focuses on the importance of meta-
and innovative approach for guiding public policy leaders “knowing themselves and the impact they
and in the application of the emergency management have on others.”2(p10) This requires a “high degree of
framework and principles. Emergency management emotional intelligence” as evidenced in attributes
seeks to promote safer and more resilient communi- such as: “self-awareness, self-regulation, motivation,
ties. All necessary actions are employed to mitigate empathy, and social skills.”2(p10) Meta-leaders under-
against, prepare for, respond to, and recover from stand how to “build, manage, and maintain trust”;
threatened or actual hazards. Emergency manage- the value of role modeling, “composure, balance, and
ment activities must be comprehensive, progressive, appropriate perspective”; the importance of intellec-
risk driven, integrated, collaborative, coordinated, tual curiosity; the ways in which “subconscious biases
flexible, and professional.4 and heuristics shape how an individual perceives
and evaluates other people and phenomena”; and the
Facilitate community risk understanding and owner- necessity of being able to “view situations as com-
ship. The emergency management professional must plex, adaptive systems where patterns of connection,
communicate, promote, and support the need for dependence, and interdependence are better sources
individuals, families, businesses, and organizations of understanding system behavior than is a focus on
to “own” the risks to which they are exposed within the individual components or actors.”2(pp10-13)
their discreet communities. Therefore, the ability to “The situation” focuses on the meta-leader's
understand risk, make clear the roles and tasks that responsibility to diagnose and communicate what is
can be undertaken by individuals and community happening in a “complex situation, time of change,
representatives is essential.6 or moment of crisis.”2(p14) This requires both organi-
zational awareness and situational awareness and is
Community leadership, team building, and resource closely tied to the attributes in the person dimension.2
management. The emergency management profes- Meta-leaders must be able to understand and inte-
sional must lead boldly. Effective emergency man- grate “divergent perspectives”; build and foster “unity
agement leadership puts an emphasis on team of purpose and effort”; make informed decisions in a
building, collaboration, and collective leadership. condensed timeline; and “work with ambiguity.”2(pp14-17)
This leadership is enhanced and emboldened by: “Connectivity” focuses on the meta-leader's abil-
informed decision making, strong management tech- ity to forge “strategic connectivity for coordinated
niques, communicating and fostering a shared vision, effort among stakeholders” by leading down, up,

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across, and beyond.2(p19) This requires the ability to As can be seen in the discussion below, many of
utilize “negotiation and conflict resolution theory and the trends, drivers, and challenges are relevant to
practice” and the ability to foster “leadership devel- multiple competencies and the competencies them-
opment throughout the system.”2(pp19-20) In “leading selves are tightly connected. As such, it is noted at
down,” meta-leaders lead their own team; in “leading the outset that the complexities, interdependencies,
up,” meta-leaders exercise influence to inform and and ambiguity that face next generation emergency
educate the people above them; in “leading across,” management meta-leaders in an ever-evolving global
meta-leaders develop relationships with other depart- community heighten the expectation and need for
ments and organizations to enhance outcomes for all; competencies that far exceed those common in prac-
and in “leading beyond,” meta-leaders reach beyond tice today. Next generation emergency management
to extend influence to “individuals and other inter- meta-leaders will need to be able to move seamlessly
organizational entities.”2(pp19-26) through the dimensions of meta-leadership (ie, the
person, the situation, and connectivity) while utiliz-
JUXTAPOSING THE COMPETENCIES WITH META-LEADERSHIP ing scientific-based evidence, information, resources,
By juxtaposing the next generation competencies processes, and tools.
with the meta-leadership model, the competencies can
be examined both within the singular dimensions and Scientific literacy
across all of the dimensions. The model creates a spe- While it is widely agreed across the emergency
cial lens by which the competencies can be construed. management community that the practice of emer-
This allows for an extension of both the competency gency management must be evidence based and firmly
effort and the meta-leadership model. Hence, this cur- rooted in the natural, social, fiscal, and applied sciences,
rent effort creates the frame for next generation emer- the extent to which the relevant science is known and
gency management competencies for meta-leaders. utilized is less than optimal. Often in emergency man-
Table 1 shows the resulting skills and attributes agement, conventional wisdom is relied upon despite
that emerged from the juxtaposition of the competen- its incongruence with empirical research.7 The chal-
cies and the meta-leadership model. This juxtaposi- lenge facing emergency management in this arena is
tion narrowed the examination of the competencies to multifaceted. First, the discipline of emergency man-
the meta-leadership framing. Table 1 helped inform agement is young and emerging8; second, the body of
the examination of trends, drivers, and challenges knowledge is still being identified and gathered within
across the competency areas and next generation the emergency management higher education commu-
emergency management meta-leader training and nity from an assortment of disciplines with literature
education recommendations. relevant to the study and practice of emergency man-
agement9; and third, there has been limited success
TRENDS, DRIVERS, AND CHALLENGES in translating and communicating research findings
ACROSS THE COMPETENCIES into actionable elements for practice.10 Fortunately,
Trends, drivers, and challenges across the com- emergency management higher education programs
petencies that are relevant given the identified skills are utilizing textbooks that emphasize the importance
and attributes (see Table 1) are examined within each of evidence-based practice and graduates entering the
competency. This examination is not intended to be all- field are more aware of the existing literature. There
inclusive; it is intended to highlight the ways in which is also growing anecdotal evidence that emergency
these trends, drivers, and challenges will affect the prac- management graduates have an appreciation for, and
tice of emergency management in potentially positive capacity to use, scientific knowledge to inform practice
or negative ways. Examining these items are helpful in (ie, scientific literacy).
identifying training and education recommendations for Scientific literacy denotes evidence-based knowl-
next generation emergency management meta-leaders. edge and “a range of thinking skills related to the proper

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Table 1. Next generation emergency management meta-leader skills and attributes
Meta-leadership model2
The person The situation Connectivity
Self-awareness; self-regula- Diagnose and communicate Forge strategic connectivity for coordi-
Next generation tion, motivation; empathy; what is happening in a complex nated and more effective efforts; utilize
emergency man- social skills; trust; curiosity; situation or moment of crisis; un- negotiation and conflict resolution tech-
agement core imagination; and, systems derstand and integrate divergent niques; foster leadership development
competencies1 thinking. perspectives; build and foster throughout the system; and lead down,
unity of purpose and effort; up, across, and beyond.
make informed decisions in a
condensed timeframe; and work
with ambiguity.
Must be able to understand and
Must possess curiosity and integrate divergent perspec-
Must be able to forge strategic connec-
imagination, be a systems tives, build and foster unity of
tivity for coordinated and more effective
Scientific literacy thinker, and be self-aware effort, diagnose and commu-
efforts and lead down, up, across, and
about subconscious biases nicate what is happening in a
beyond.
and heuristics. complex situation or moment of
crisis, and work with ambiguity.
Must be able to diagnose and
Must be able to forge strategic connec-
Must be a systems thinker and communicate what is happen-
Geographic tivity for coordinated and more effective
be self-aware about subcon- ing in a complex situation or
literacy efforts and lead down, up, across, and
scious biases and heuristics. moment of crisis and work with
beyond.
ambiguity.
Must be able to understand and
Must be able to forge strategic connec-
integrate divergent perspec-
Must possess empathy and tivity for coordinated and more effective
tives, build and foster unity of
Sociocultural social skills, be a systems efforts, utilize negotiation and conflict
effort, and diagnose and com-
literacy thinker, and be able to build resolution techniques, foster leadership
municate what is happening in
and maintain trust. development throughout the system,
a complex situation or moment
and lead down, up, across, and beyond.
of crisis.
Must possess curiosity and Must be able to forge strategic connec-
Incorporate
imagination, be able to build Must be able to build and foster tivity for coordinated and more effective
evolving tech-
and maintain trust, and be a unity of effort. efforts and lead down, up, across, and
nologies
systems thinker. beyond.
Must possess social skills, be
Must be able to diagnose and Must be able to forge strategic connectiv-
able to build and maintain
Understanding communicate what is happen- ity for coordinated and more effective
trust, possess curiosity and
complex systems ing in a complex situation or efforts and lead down, up, across, and
imagination, and be a systems
moment of crisis. beyond.
thinker.
Must be able to understand and
Must be able to forge strategic connec-
integrate divergent perspec-
Must be motivated, possess tivity for coordinated and more effective
tives, build and foster unity of
social skills, be able to build efforts, utilize negotiation and conflict
Risk governance effort, and diagnose and com-
and maintain trust, and be a resolution techniques, foster leadership
municate what is happening in
systems thinker. development throughout the system,
a complex situation or moment
and lead down, up, across, and beyond.
of crisis.
Must be able to diagnose and
Must be self-aware, possess communicate what is happening
curiosity and imagination, and in a complex situation or mo- Must be able to lead down, up, across,
Critical thinking
be self-aware about subcon- ment of crisis, make informed and beyond.
scious biases and heuristics. decisions in a condensed time-
frame, and work with ambiguity.

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Table 1. Next generation emergency management meta-leader skills and attributes (continued)
Meta-leadership model2
The person The situation Connectivity
Self-awareness; self-regula- Diagnose and communicate Forge strategic connectivity for
Next generation tion, motivation; empathy; what is happening in a complex coordinated and more effective efforts;
emergency man- social skills; trust; curiosity; situation or moment of crisis; utilize negotiation and conflict
agement core imagination; and, systems understand and integrate resolution techniques; foster leadership
competencies1 thinking. divergent perspectives; build development throughout the system;
and foster unity of purpose and and lead down, up, across, and beyond.
effort; make informed decisions
in a condensed timeframe; and
work with ambiguity.

Must be self-aware, be able to Must be able to forge strategic connec-


Must be able to build and foster
self-regulate, possess tivity for coordinated and more effective
Professional unity of effort and understand
empathy and social skills, be efforts, utilize negotiation and conflict
ethics and integrate divergent per-
motivated, and be able to resolution techniques, and lead down,
spectives.
build and maintain trust. up, across, and beyond.

Must possess curiosity and


Must be able to forge strategic connec-
imagination and be self-aware Must be able to work with
Continual learners tivity for coordinated and more effective
about subconscious biases ambiguity.
efforts.
and heuristics.

Must be able to diagnose and


communicate what is happen-
ing in a complex situation or
Operate within Must be able to self-regulate, Must be able to forge strategic connec-
moment of crisis, understand
the emergency possess social skills, be able to tivity for coordinated and more effective
and integrate divergent
management build and maintain trust, and efforts, utilize negotiation and conflict
perspectives, build and foster
framework and possess curiosity and resolution techniques, and lead down,
unity of effort, make informed
principles imagination. up, across, and beyond.
decisions in a condensed
timeframe, and work with
ambiguity.

Must be able to diagnose and


communicate what is happening
Facilitate Must possess empathy and Must be able to forge strategic connec-
in a complex situation or mo-
community risk social skills, be able to build tivity for coordinated and more effective
ment of crisis, understand and
understanding and maintain trust, and be efforts and lead down, up, across, and
integrate divergent perspec-
and ownership motivated. beyond.
tives, and build and foster unity
of effort.

Must be able to diagnose and


Must be self-aware, possess Must be able to forge strategic connec-
Community communicate what is happen-
empathy and social skills, be tivity for coordinated and more effective
leadership, ing in a complex situation or
able to build and maintain efforts, utilize negotiation and conflict
team-building, moment of crisis, understand
trust, be self-aware about resolution techniques, foster leadership
and resource and integrate divergent
subconscious biases and development throughout the system,
management perspectives, and build and
heuristics, and be motivated. and lead down, up, across, and beyond.
foster unity of effort.

utilization of science and technology information.”11(p407) emergency management partners supply the subject
Scientific literacy is pertinent to all areas of emergency matter expertise involved in discipline-specific scien-
management practice, from informing preparedness tific information; however, that does not remove the
activities to estimating storm surge elevations. Often, need for the emergency management practitioner to be

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able to ask the appropriate questions and make sound concepts of space, tools of representation, and rea-
conclusions on the evidence provided. soning processes to structure, solve, and to express
For example, it is expected that the impacts of cli- solutions to problems. Spatial thinking underlies a
mate change will profoundly affect the United States significant amount of geographic learning such as the
over decades to come and will change the nature and use of maps, graphs, images, diagrams, models, and
extent of events faced in emergency management prac- visualizations. In addition, it supports the descrip-
tice.12 This will change the focus of community emer- tion, explanation, and discussion of the functions,
gency management-oriented priorities and activities. structures, relationships, and operations of a wide
Other trends and drivers in the social, technological, variety of spatiotemporal processes.”14(p316) An aware-
environmental, economic, and political arenas will ness of global disaster risk reduction goals and efforts,
also carry significant and far-reaching impacts that such as those pursued within the Hyogo and Sendai
will affect vulnerability, adaptability, and the types frameworks, helps inform a vulnerability worldview
of services emergency management delivers.12 Next and provides insight into the types of activities that
generation emergency management meta-leaders will have been successful in reducing risk.6,15
need to work with a broad partner base to ensure that Next generation emergency management meta-
they are utilizing current evidence-based information leaders must possess an understanding of the ways in
to address the many complexities involved in deal- which global patterns, disasters, economic situations,
ing with the hazards their communities face. They and political unrest are relevant to analyzing risk in
will also need to effectively communicate the science the United States. Geographic literacy is crucial to
as they lead down, up, across, and beyond to secure understand and track global risks such as the impacts
the appropriate support and resources necessary to of public health events, climate change, or the grow-
implement evidence-based programs. ing terrorist threat. Next generation emergency man-
agement meta-leaders must be able to conceptualize,
Geographic literacy interpret, and communicate changing risk profiles
In its simplest presentation, geographic literacy is within a complex system.
“the ability to express knowledge of basic geographic
subject matter, specifically the ability to (1) dem- Sociocultural literacy
onstrate map reading skills, (2) knowledge of place Next generation emergency management meta-
locations, and (3) an understanding of human sys- leaders will have to adopt a broader agenda that
tems, society, and the physical environment.”13(p7) This incorporates an understanding of the strengths, vul-
literacy is relevant in both the varying terrains and nerabilities, and needs of communities based on socio-
community compositions in the United States and in cultural realities, which harkens to a much broader
the global society. In today's world, goods, culture, ide- disaster risk reduction approach.16(p10) This requires
ology, collaboration, vulnerability, and risk no longer not only literacy but also high-level engagement and
have simple geographic boundaries; hence, geographic strategic connectivity across all levels of government
literacy is more important than ever. The intercon- and social and cultural institutions. This is in align-
nectivity and dependencies that exist as a result of ment with the “whole community” approach12 and is
globalization, both create new risk and vulnerabilities productive in reducing vulnerability and increasing
and exacerbate existing ones. social capital.
An understanding of the “patterns and processes Factors such as age, gender, disability, race, ethnic-
that shape global patterns” are necessary to under- ity, language, sexual orientation, employment status,
stand and manage the increasing uncertainty in the generational cohort, religious beliefs, housing condi-
world.14(p316) Spatial thinking is essential to develop- tions, geography, etc, can affect not only individual
ing this understanding. “Spatial thinking comprises vulnerability but also the ways in which messaging
the knowledge, skills, and habits of mind to use should be sent (and by whom), the ability to evacuate,

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the willingness to shelter, and engagement in other increased focus on the ways in which technology can
like activities in the emergency management pur- serve the practice of emergency management and the
view that are used to help keep the citizenry safe and challenges and concerns it presents.20-23 Technologies,
secure. Further, a lack of trust in government, lack of such as “the internet, wireless technology, GIS, direct
social and financial resources, and firmly held beliefs and remote sensing, emergency management decision
about the nature of disasters (or ones’ ability to cope) support systems, hazard analysis and modeling, and
can further exacerbate vulnerability. The pressure warning systems,” have changed the nature and expe-
and release model, which examines the progression diency of the practice of emergency management.23(p48)
of vulnerability through root causes, dynamic pres- Social media has increasingly been used to communi-
sures, and unsafe conditions, illustrates the extent to cate and receive information and has been effective
which vulnerability is, in many ways, quite predict- for all levels and sizes of government.24
able.17 Next generation emergency management meta- Historically, the primary challenges with new
leaders must fully engage with the communities they technology have been lack of expertise, training, and
serve to understand the diversity in thought, belief, resources necessary to engage with the quick-moving
capability, and experience that exist within the com- technology evolution. Additionally, the technology
munity and the ways in which that diversity affects has often advanced more quickly than the ability to
or changes the delivery of service. This will require examine the psychological, legal, and ethical implica-
strong social skills, the ability to connect with a wide tions of using said technology.25-28 Drone technology
variety of interests and groups, the ability to build and is an example of a powerful tool for emergency man-
foster unity of effort, and the ability to foster leader- agement that carries with it as many questions as
ship within diverse populations in the community. answers.29,30
There are two troubling trends in recent years, Even as technology has proven to be transforma-
that while not the purview of emergency manage- tive, it has also introduced new and more complex
ment to repair, are potentially quite problematic to vulnerabilities as jurisdictions have come to rely on
the practice of emergency management. The first is its capabilities.31-34 Threats to cyber infrastructure
a growing distrust in government, particularly in have become one of the most vexing problems facing
the law enforcement community (a key emergency emergency management.35,36 With greater use and
management partner).18 The second trend is a decline reliance on technology have come additional vulner-
in tolerance and civility regarding difference across abilities that must be addressed.
sociocultural parameters. This has created division The next generation emergency management
within and across various groups, decreased the sense meta-leader will need to be able to recognize the ways
of legitimacy afforded to others, and decreased social in which technology advances program directives;
capital.19 As this is the fabric of the community within analyze and address the psychological, legal, and ethi-
which next generation emergency management meta- cal implications of its use; create security protocols to
leaders will work, this division complicates efforts to secure essential technology; and partner with subject
address disparities. The next generation emergency matter experts to envision future uses for technology.
management meta-leader will need to work closely This will require the ability to apply systems think-
with community partners and lead down, up, across, ing while maintaining a constant state of intellectual
and beyond to help address these challenges as they curiosity about the ways in which new technologies
exist in the community they serve. can assist emergency management practice. Next
generation emergency management meta-leaders will
Incorporate evolving technologies need to lead down, up, across, and beyond to meet the
Technological advancement has enhanced and extensive partnership and resource needs associated
redefined emergency management process, expecta- with the investigation and implementation of new
tion, and capability. The last decade has evidenced an technologies.

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Understanding complex systems and small group, problem based learning.”43(p799)
The most defining paradigm shift for next genera- Emergency management structures that allow flex-
tion emergency management meta-leaders to face is ibility within capability frameworks are better suited
emergency management's movement from a histori- to deal with complex systems.
cally linear view of hazards and their effects to a non- The nature of complexity that the emergency
linear, dynamic, and complex system lens. Complex management community will deal with in the future
systems are characterized by large numbers of inter- will result in “more incidents, new and unfamiliar
acting elements; nonlinear effects; dynamic action threats, more information to analyze (possibly with
that appears to be unpredictable (although order is less time to process it), new players and participants,
apparent in retrospect); multiple right answers, which sophisticated technologies, and exceedingly high public
when implemented change the system; and the whole expectations.”12(p2) In addition, challenges in regard
of the system is greater than the sum of its parts.37 to technology dependence,12,44 critical infrastructure
Complex systems require a different framework for dependencies and interdependencies,45,46 and global
situational awareness and action than linear systems. dependencies and interdependencies47 have become
Leaders in complex systems must “sense, analyze, and more salient in recent years, particularly in the face
respond” while considering and investigating multi- of evolving terrorist threats.12 Successful leadership
ple options for response (with recognition that action into the future will require next generation emergency
affects the system in a potentially nonlinear way).37(p3) management meta-leaders to embrace and operate
Complex systems are, by their very nature, rife from a complex adaptive framework, understand the
with uncertainties and interdependencies that dra- connections and interdependencies in global systems,
matically reduce predictability; yet, they often liberate and foster strong relationships across far-reaching
self-organization efforts that are more effective than networks. The ability to foster and engage intellectual
preplanned efforts.38-40 As such, complex systems war- curiosity and to maintain situational awareness will be
rant a higher level of flexibility and adaptability within essential to effective emergency management practice.
the emergency management system, which must be
coupled with “well-coordinated interorganizational net- Risk governance
works and trust between government agencies at all Risk governance is arguably the most important
levels and between the public and private sectors.”41(p33) next generation competency and is integrally interwo-
Complex systems inherently create “whole community” ven with many of the other competencies. The central-
engagement that must be addressed with aforethought; ity of risk, its role in daily emergency management
citizen engagement in events will be emergent and decisions and operations, the complexities involved
decentralized, utilize a wide breadth of technologies, in correctly assessing and controlling exposure, and
and drive adaptation within the system.12 the obligation to convey potential impacts with suf-
Complex systems require an emergency manage- ficient gravity across a wide variety of audiences all
ment structure with a capability focus as opposed to contribute to the need for strong and strategic risk
the highly structured framework approach that is typ- governance.
ical of bureaucratic systems.42 “Traditional education Risk is inherent in society,48 and modern societies
and training largely focuses on enhancing competence not only create and exacerbate their own risk17,49 but
(knowledge, skills, and abilities). In today's complex are also shaped by the risks they face.48 With globali-
world, we must educate not merely for competence zation has come an expansion of risk and increased
but for capability (the ability to adapt to change, gen- sensitivity to interconnectedness in the systems
erate new knowledge, and continuously improve per- within which we live and work. In a “world risk soci-
formance); capability is enhanced through feedback ety,” global risk characteristics such as delocalization,
on performance, the challenge of unfamiliar contexts, incalculableness, and noncompensability reframe the
and the use of non-linear methods such as storytelling risk evaluation and action equations.50(p333)

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“Global shocks” defined as “a major rapid-onset sharing governance and addressing endemic societal
event with severely disruptive consequences covering problems and more focused on engaging and empow-
at least two continents” have become an increasing ering the community to share responsibility for its
concern over the past decade.51(p3) “The principle differ- own safety and resilience in regard to emergencies,
ences between global shocks and local or even national disasters, and catastrophes. In contrast, the National
level shocks are the interconnected pathways through Response Framework,57 utilizes a form of network gov-
which risks can accumulate, propagate, and culminate ernance in emergency support functions (albeit, only
in a much greater scale of effects.”51(p4) Events that with federal agencies). Into the future, whether the
start locally and rapidly spread, such as pandemics, model being utilized is the more rigorous network gov-
are currently “poorly mapped and modeled” and “often ernance or the softer community engagement approach,
require a higher level of coordinated, international the next generation emergency management meta-
response.”51(p3) Global shocks can also have direct leader will need to heavily utilize relationship building,
and secondary critical infrastructure disruptions.51 unity of effort, conflict resolution, and leadership skills
Slow-developing catastrophic risk, such as climate while leading down, up, across, and beyond.
change, can become a global shock based on a lack of
awareness and action.52 This type of risk “is built into Critical thinking
the very fabric of our complex sociopolitical-economic Bloom's58 taxonomy ,and more recently its revi-
world, just as it is in the ecosystems of which we are a sion,59 has long been used to promote advanced levels of
part, and their occurrence is inevitable.”52(p3) thinking in the training and education arena. Likewise,
The International Risk Governance Council in the importance of teaching critical thinking skills60
addressing emerging risk governance has set forth and utilizing these skills in practice61,62 has also been
“guidelines designed to deal with complex, evolving, recognized in the emergency management community.
and uncertain environments.”53(p3) These guidelines Strong critical thinking skills are deemed essential to
require a sophisticated, multifaceted examination of situational awareness and decision making; this is par-
risk that presents itself in a nonlinear fashion, calls ticularly salient because information received in a crisis
for well-reasoned decisions made in periods of deep may be ambiguous, unstructured, vary in amount (from
uncertainty, and an ability to develop strong situ- too little to too much), contradictory, and confusing.63(p1)
ational awareness skills.53 This requires strategic fore- The ability to assess, manage, and communicate what
sight and governance54 far beyond the common current is happening in a complex situation (situational aware-
practice in the emergency management community. It ness) to key stakeholders is the “basis for effective
requires an ability to utilize a systems framework and choices for strategy, direction, and action.”63(p1)
to be comfortable dealing with complexity. Decision making is best informed by situational
As the world becomes more complex and inter- awareness developed in an environment that is cognizant
dependent, next generation emergency management of perceptual and cognitive biases and the types of errors
meta-leaders will need to foster relationships across they can produce, an environment that actively seeks to
all sectors and help unite many groups, agencies, and mitigate these biases.64 Active recognition of the potential
organizations with varying levels of engagement and for error based on biases forces a more rigorous process
missions in an overarching shared mission via a net- and requires a self-aware leader. Such a leader must rec-
work governance approach16 and be prepared not only ognize the innate vulnerability toward bias in their own
to lead but also to foster leadership within the network. process, and develop and facilitate an environment where
Network governance is powerful in that it helps address others can also recognize this vulnerability.63(p11)
budget constraints and gain access to a wide variety of The complexity and interdependency that exacer-
subject matter expertise.55 The concept of network bates risk governance, coupled with the evolution in the
governance is similar to FEMA's “Whole Community”56 amount of information available, the way it is received,
approach, but that approach is less emphatic about and the challenges with vetting said information, both

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increases the need for a strong critical thinking process For example, the extent to which vulnerability
and challenges the process. Next generation emergency exacerbates hazard impacts15,17,68-71 illustrates the
management meta-leaders will be challenged to work need for the professional ethical code to expect that
in an environment where they must quickly analyze those practicing emergency management can under-
evidence, synthesize information, and understand the stand, identify, and competently address inequities
effect decisions can have in a dynamic environment. that will create differential impacts in the face of
The quality of their critical thinking process will under- emergency or disaster. The code will also necessarily
pin their ability to grapple with the uncertainty present address the expected care required to meet the duty
in a crisis and allow them to make informed decisions of care owed to those the emergency management
in a condensed timeframe. practitioner serves. As is true in all aspects of meta-
leadership, the next generation emergency manage-
Professional ethics ment meta-leader will have to rely heavily on the abil-
“A profession's code of ethics is perhaps its most ity to build trust and relationships to effectuate unity
visible and explicit enunciation of its professional of effort. In addition, they will need to be dynamic in
norms.”65(p110) Professional ethic codes are particularly leading divergent perspectives to consensus.
important in professions that have a duty to serve
the public, especially those professions focused on Continual learners
protecting the interests, safety, and security of indi- As is evidenced in a historical review of emer-
viduals and communities. “A code embodies the col- gency management (from its early days in Civil
lective conscience of a profession and is testimony to Defense to current), political, social, and economic
the group's recognition of its moral dimension.”65(p110) factors have long driven change in the practice of
Additionally, such a code can articulate the expected emergency management.72 Indeed, it can be said that
standard of care in professional practice which is rele- emergency management allows nothing less than
vant in regard to liability when a duty of care exists.66 continual learning based on its history of seemingly
While some state and national associations serv- constant evolution. However, there is more to con-
ing the emergency management community have tinual learning than merely embracing the notion
developed ethical codes within their organizational that change will be constant and keeping up with
frameworks, the field of emergency management does new developments, continual learning is optimized
not currently have a professional code of ethics that by fostering the development of intellectual curiosity
puts forth the “expected and appropriate conduct, prin- and by utilizing “action learning.”73
ciples, and moral and ethical values that guide practice Intellectual curiosity is best framed as “a hungry
in the face of both known and emerging issues.”1 Such mind.”74 A person who is intellectually curious will
a code is necessary for the emergency management often ask “why” questions and seek a more in-depth
community to become a true profession that is inter- understanding of the phenomenon they encounter.
nally controlled by its own expectations of professional Action learning examines pressing problems that
practice.67 Next generation emergency management have no single correct answer through a process of
meta-leaders will be tasked with shaping, implement- asking questions, looking at the various layers of a
ing, and upholding professional ethics necessary to problem, and taking action to implement solutions.73
advance emergency management ideals and practice. “Action learning promotes practical solutions, group
This will require an expansive understanding of the emotional intelligence, and individual, team, and
emergency management literature and effective prac- organizational learning.”73(p40)
tices; an appreciation of the extent to which practice Next generation emergency management meta-
varies across jurisdictions, sectors, and organizations; leaders will face new and different challenges that
and the ability to bring together and integrate perspec- emerge in an increasingly interdependent and com-
tives across the emergency management community. plex global system and require engagement across

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a diverse group of stakeholders with multilayered Facilitate community risk
interests. They must possess the capacity to work with understanding and ownership
ambiguity and to use intellectual curiosity to self-pro- “The national emergency management system is
pel learning. Next generation emergency management built on shared responsibilities and active participa-
meta-leaders must be able to ask “high-quality ques- tion at all levels” with the citizenry serving as the
tions” that force examination of new ideas, challenge foundation of the system.79(p9) Unfortunately, citizen
closely held assumptions and beliefs, and recognize the preparedness (ie, individual, household, business, and
power in questioning, listening, and reflection.73(p40) organization preparedness) is woefully lacking. Only
one in four Americans believe that their community
Operate within the emergency management will be impacted by disaster.80 And only a third of
framework and principles Americans have an emergency plan.80 Citizens are
Emergency management activities are dictated by most likely to prepare for risks that they perceive to
a simple premise: “safer, less vulnerable communities be a significant threat81and risk perception is influ-
with the capacity to cope with hazards and disas- enced by the type of disaster, the individual's charac-
ters.”4 Toward that end, the Principles of Emergency teristics,82 and individual's knowledge.83
Management and other operational frameworks at Public education preparedness campaigns have suf-
the state and national level are designed to guide and fered from “substantial underuse of theory from the social
facilitate effective practice. The next generation emer- and behavioral sciences.”83(p602) There is a lack of “clear
gency management meta-leader must be proactive, evidence-based knowledge of the underlying process
anticipatory, and innovative in reviewing, revising, and through which public education information is trans-
shaping future frameworks to ensure that they remain formed into consequent desired behavior change.”83(p602)
focused on emergency management's guiding premise. As a result, the shared responsibility and active par-
In addition, next generation emergency management ticipation that the emergency management system is
meta-leaders must inform and guide public policy that built upon at the citizenry level is a failed premise that
affects vulnerability, individual and community resil- will enhance the possibility of system failure. Yet, it
ience, and the practice of emergency management. is expected that in 2030, the role of citizens will need
The ability to articulate emergency management's to expand to address public funding constraints.12 For
identity, professional purview, mission, partnerships, the citizen capacity to grow to meet future needs, risk
and challenges will be essential to successfully contrib- ownership must be transferred. The citizenry must be
uting to, and controlling, the operational framework informed that the management of risk for events that
and advancing the autonomy of the professionalizing impact them starts with them and failures to plan for
field.75 This requires next generation emergency man- such events can have detrimental consequences.
agement meta-leaders to embrace their role as change To successfully shift risk ownership to the citizenry
agents76,77 with the responsibility to actively lead and motivate preparedness actions, next generation
the field. In part, this necessitates a strong and pur- emergency management meta-leaders will need to
poseful partnership between emergency management shift from just communicating about the risk to com-
practitioners and academics, support of established municating what to do about the risk to citizens—
and respected professional organizations focused on “behaviors they should take, how to take them, and
advocacy, and dedicated efforts toward the steps nec- how they can benefit from taking such actions.”83(p612)
essary to professionalize the field.78 Next generation They will also need to partner across diverse networks
emergency management meta-leaders will need to to “distribute consistent information over many differ-
utilize all of their strengths, relationships, and fore- ent public communication channels.”83(p612) This will
sight to lead down, up, across, and beyond to ensure require next generation emergency management meta-
emergency management activities produce the desired leaders to coordinate efforts and lead down, up, across,
outcome. and beyond to ensure that the correct information is

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communicated to the citizenry that empowers them to reduction strategies49; raise awareness and focus
effectively manage and reduce their own risk. efforts on social vulnerabilities71; and make the
case for funding a robust emergency management
Community leadership, team building, program.90 The emergency management community
and resource management spent decades in a reactive posture dealing with
The emergency management community is tasked legislators and funding agencies that only addressed
with tremendous responsibility, but few resources. The issues as a matter of retrospect.72,91-93 Next gen-
emergency management doctrine shift to “whole com- eration emergency management meta-leaders must
munity”56 arose out of recognition that it does indeed recognize and embrace the importance of their role
take a whole community to achieve key national, state, in leading holistic community efforts to reduce the
and local emergency management goals. As such, part- impacts of events and to create a more resilient
nership and collaboration are essential to effective community.
emergency management practice.84 Next generation
emergency management meta-leaders must be able to IMPLICATIONS FOR THE TRAINING AND
foster partnership and collaboration through strong EDUCATION OF META-LEADERS
leadership. This requires the ability to engender trust, In the above examination of the trends, drivers,
develop and foster strong alliances, and build teams with and challenges across the competencies, a number
a shared vision. This effort is made more difficult by the of implications arise regarding the successful train-
lack of direct authority over those in the collaborative ing and education of next generation emergency
network.85 Next generation emergency management management meta-leaders. Many of the implications
meta-leaders must be able to imagine a “new conceptual offered below traverse both the training and educa-
framework” and develop “governance arrangements tion agenda, and some step into professional service.
that bridge and integrate holistically, rather than isolate It is noted that the list provided below is one that will
risk.”86(p279) This will include arrangements that cross be worked on over the span of a career.
organizations, jurisdictions, borders, and oceans. Next generation emergency management leaders
Next generation emergency management meta- need:
leaders must also be able to marshal a community's
“social capital resources” to “improve the community's A
nn broad-based emergency management
resilience to risks and hazards.”87(p297) Utilizing commu- education that focuses both on building
nity resources in this way results in reduced conflict and the required next generation competency
greater altruism in disasters88 while advancing shared base and the traits and skills necessary to
community goals. This requires flexibility to work meta-leadership;
with emergent groups that can provide just-in-time
manpower and fluid operational directives in chaotic Extended
nn exposure working within, and
environments.89 With the increasingly connected global across, the community to understand its
community, these groups can emerge from across the nuances and complexities;
world and exist primarily in cyberspace. The opportu-
nity to collaborate with such groups requires the ability Training
nn and other engagements wherein
to accurately assess and communicate the situation and the wicked problems of emergency man-
needs across a wide variety of platforms and networks agement practice and policy are discussed;
to empower an outcome-oriented environment.
In addition, next generation emergency man- Exercises
nn that develop and strengthen
agement meta-leaders must be able to advise and critical thinking, situational awareness,
advocate for risk sensitive community development problem-based learning capabilities, and
decisions about planning and zoning and other risk systems thinking;

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Ongoing
nn engagement and leadership in management practice are clear. As such, this leader-
professional associations; ship ability must be taught, fostered, and mastered to
meet the challenges that will emerge in the practice
Purposeful
nn engagement with the K-12 of emergency management over the decades to come.
school population focused on building a
more prepared and better informed citi- ACKNOWLEDGMENT
A very brief overview of this article was presented orally on
zenry;
September 15, 2016 at FEMA's Executive Academy on the National
Emergency Training Campus in Emmitsburg, Maryland.
Participation
nn in the ongoing evaluation
of the types of capabilities, trainings, and Carol L. Cwiak, JD, PhD, Associate Professor, Department of Emergency
Management, North Dakota State University, Fargo, North Dakota.
resources relevant to the practice of emer-
gency management; Ronald Campbell, CEM, MEP, Retired, Emergency Management
Coordinator, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.

Consistent
nn exposure to the emergency Matthew G. Cassavechia, MPS, EFO, CEM, Director, Danbury Emergency
Medical Services, Danbury, Connecticut.
management literature and advances in
the field and discipline; Chuck Haynes, MS, Director, York County Office of Emergency
Management, Rock Hill, South Carolina.

Opportunities
nn to partner with academics Lanita A. Lloyd, MS, CEM, Emergency Preparedness Manager, WellStar
Paulding Hospital, Hiram, Georgia.
on topics and issues relevant to the emer-
gency management community; Neil Brockway, BS, Regional Disaster Officer, American Red Cross,
Connecticut/Rhode Island, Farmington, Connecticut.

Training
nn on advocacy for the field and George O. Navarini, MA, CEM, Doctoral Student, Fire and Emergency
Management Administration, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater,
discipline; Oklahoma.

Byron E. Piatt, MPA, CEM, Emergency Manager, University of New


Opportunities
nn to mentor up-and-coming Mexico, Albuquerque, New Mexico.
emergency management professionals;
Mary Senger, BS, Emergency Manager, Burleigh County Emergency
and Management, Bismarck, North Dakota.

Focused, regular interaction with partners


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