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PW Global 202109 FINAL
PW Global 202109 FINAL
KEY MESSAGES
• In West Africa, supplies continued to decrease during the lean season in August. Demand remained seasonally high and
above average due to increased replenishment of stocks, though humanitarian assistance was reduced pressure in
targeted zones. Staple food prices remained above the five-year average, especially in Nigeria. Conflict-related market
disruptions were reported across parts of Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Nigeria, Chad, and Cameroon. Cross-border trade
remained below average due to lingering COVID-19 restrictions, harassment along corridors, transport costs,
governmental restrictions, and insecurity-related disruptions (Page 3).
• In East Africa, staple food prices followed seasonable but divergent trends. Prices declined in most markets in South
Sudan due to the start of the greenbelt harvest and ongoing supply from the May-to-August harvest in Tanzania and
Uganda. Prices remained stable in both Kenya as supplies from the July-to-September harvest started to enter markets
and in Somalia due to the below-average harvest. Prices increased seasonably in Burundi and Ethiopia as supplies
tightened, but price trends varied across Sudan. Livestock prices declined seasonably in most markets as the July-to-
August export season ended. Chronic poor macroeconomic conditions sustained elevated prices in Ethiopia, Sudan,
South Sudan, Burundi, and Somalia (Page 4).
• In Southern Africa, markets and the milling subsector are well-supplied, with maize following above-average production
during the 2020/21 production year, except in Madagascar, where supply was below average. Intra-regional informal
trade is below average due to domestic availability and limited import demand. Prices began increasing seasonally in
August, trends that will persist through the lean season. Prices are lowest in Malawi and South Africa. South Africa has
continued to export yellow maize to international markets while nearly half of white maize exports were regional. The
region has benefitted from firm international commodity Figure 1. FEWS NET market monitoring country coverage
prices, supporting export earnings (Page 5).
• In Central America, markets were well supplied and
operating normally. Maize prices were stable or
increased seasonally. Local bean and imported rice prices
were similarly stable. In Haiti, local maize and black bean
prices declined following spring harvests. Imported rice
prices were stable while other imported staples
continued to experience depreciation-induced price
increases. Markets were disrupted following the
earthquake in the Sud department (Page 6).
Source: FEWS NET
• In Central Asia, wheat prices were stable in August but
remained significantly above five-year average levels. Wheat prices in Kazakhstan were similar to 2020 levels, while prices
were elevated relative to 2020 in Afghanistan and Pakistan. In Yemen, staple food prices remained significantly above
average due to protracted conflict and persistent YER depreciation. Food and fuel price trends differed significantly
between internationally recognized government (IRG) and Sana’a-based authorities (SBA) controlled areas (Page 7).
• International staple food markets are well supplied. Rice, maize, and soybean prices decreased on average in August,
while wheat prices exhibited mixed trends (Figure 2). Global crude oil prices were stable on expectations for market re-
balancing during the second half of 2021, while global fertilizer prices were generally stable in August (Page 2).
FEWS NET monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market
and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price
Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market
information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
(FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.
FEWS NET FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not
info@fews.net necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International
www.fews.net Development or the United States Government.
PRICE WATCH September 2021
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
Current situation (August 2021) Figure 2. Food commodity prices in selected international
• International rice prices decreased further in August due to markets, January 2016 – August 2021
strong competition, favorable crop prospects, rising freight
cost, and weak demand (InterRice). Prices were below
August 2020 levels and the five-year average (Figure 2).
• International maize prices were stable or decreased in
August as trading activity slowed down due to lower export
expectations. Concerns remain over dry conditions in the
U.S. despite an overall favorable global outlook. Maize
prices remain significantly above 2020 and five-year
average levels (FAO and USDA).
• International wheat prices increased in August due to
ongoing concerns over the likely impact of dry conditions
on the North American spring crop and reflect a Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO),
deterioration of several major producers' production World Bank
prospects. The global wheat supply outlook for 2021 was
lowered since the previous report in July (IGC and USDA). Figure 3. Global Market Indicators, 2021/22 compared to
2020/21 and 2016-2020 average
Wheat prices remain significantly above August- 2020 and
five-year average levels.
• International soybean prices decreased further in August
due to lower Chinese demand and a generally favorable
outlook for the recently concluded southern hemisphere
harvests (AMIS and IGC). Soybean prices remain significantly
above 2020 and five-year average levels.
• International crude oil prices decreased in August in
anticipation of supply increases over the coming months.
Prices remained significantly above 2020 and five-year
average levels (U.S. Energy Information Administration).
Global fertilizer prices trends varied but remained above
2020 and five-year average levels (AMIS and WB). Source: FEWS NET calculations based on USDA data
Staple food price trends across the countries monitored by FEWS NET will vary considerably in the coming months in response to local
and regional market conditions; international market trends will play a more limited role in most countries (Figure 2). Fuel price trends
in FEWS NET countries will depend on both international market conditions, the evolution of local exchange rates in relation to the U.S.
Dollar, and the design and implementation of local fuel import and price policies.
WEST AFRICA
Current situation (August 2021)
• Stocks continued to decrease as the lean season peaked in Figure 4. August 2021 staple prices trends compared to the
West Africa. Supplies across much of the region remained average in selected Nigerian markets
below average despite localized early green harvests.
Conflict-related market disruptions persisted in the Greater
Lake Chad basin, the Liptako-Gourma region, northwest
and north-central Nigeria, and the North-West and South-
West regions of Cameroon.
• Demand remained seasonally high but above average across
the region due to increased replenishment of stocks and
above-average maize purchases by local industries.
Nevertheless, humanitarian assistance reportedly reduced
demand pressure on households in targeted zones. Cross-
border trade remained below average due to lingering
COVID-19 restrictions, insecurity, harassment along trade Source: FEWS NET
corridors, transport costs, and some governmental
restrictions (Burkina Faso, Benin).
Figure 5. August 2021 retail maize price trends compared
• In Nigeria, the NGN further depreciated in the parallel the average across West Africa
market following the decision of the Central Bank of Nigeria
(CBN) in late July to ban sales of foreign exchange to Bureau
de Change operators. The inflation rate decreased for the
fifth consecutive month in August to 17.01 percent but
remained among the highest levels recorded in the past five
years (NBS). Prices for most staples continued to trend
significantly above average as many households relied on
market purchases during the lean season while supplies
remained below average (Figure 4). Nevertheless, with new
stocks from early harvests arriving in some markets, there
were recorded price decreases compared to the previous Source: FEWS NET
month.
• In the Sahel, locally-produced grain prices were stable or increased compared to the previous month but remained above
average in most markets – especially for maize (Figure 5). Also, prices of imported and processed commodities (rice,
edible oil, sugar, wheat flour, powder milk) were significantly above average despite price ceilings set by governmental
intervention. In other non-XOF Coastal countries (Ghana, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia), both local and imported rice
prices were above average. In Cameroon, prices of locally produced staples seasonally increased at above-average levels
in the Far North region due to increased demand from Nigeria. Also, persisting global transaction costs are maintaining
imported rice above average. On the other hand, in conflict-stricken North-West and South-West regions, prices in
production basins were below-average due to local farmers/traders’ hindered access to national and regional markets.
• In livestock markets, supply is seasonally reducing with good pasture conditions. Prices were above average for small
ruminants that remained highly traded locally and below-average, mostly for cattle whose trade remained affected by
persistent insecurity, border restrictions, and a depreciated Naira.
Outlook (September 2021 onward)
• Forecasts indicate cereal production will be between 72 and 79 million metric tons (MMT), one to 12 percent higher than
average (PREGEC). Prices will seasonally decrease from September/October with harvests and remain low until
February/March 2022. Prices will likely be above average in most countries due to low carryover stocks, anticipated
localized production deficits, substantial replenishment needs, flow restrictions, and higher international prices.
• In Nigeria, as harvest begins, both markets and households' stocks will increase in the coming months until December
2021. Thus, market reliance will reduce, as well as food prices, which will likely remain above average.
EAST AFRICA
Current situation (August 2021)
• Prices in East Africa continued to follow divergent but Figure 6. August 2021 maize prices in East Africa (USD/kg)
seasonal trends in August. Staple food prices declined in
South Sudan, remained stable in Kenya and Uganda, and
increased in Burundi and Ethiopia as supplies tightened.
Price trends in Somalia and Sudan varied due to localized
drivers. Livestock prices across the region declined as the
export season ended. Chronic poor macroeconomic
conditions and below-average harvests sustained elevated
prices in Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan, Burundi, and
Somalia.
• In Tanzania, the prices of grains continued to decline
seasonably across most markets due to increased supplies
from the May-to-August harvest. Maize prices remained
stable in most markets in Kenya due to increased supplies
from the below-average July-to-September harvest and
continued imports from Uganda and Tanzania.
• Staple food prices in Burundi increased seasonably as
supplies started to tighten, but the increase was moderated Source: FEWS NET estimates
by a ban on exports of major food crops that increased Figure 7. August 2021 sorghum prices in East Africa
domestic availability. However, dry bean prices declined (USD/kg)
atypically due to an above-average July-August harvest.
Staple food prices in Ethiopia increased seasonably as
supplies tightened but were heightened by conflict-related
supply disruptions, delayed and below-average June-to-July
harvest in south and southwestern markets, and endemic
currency depreciation that increased the prices of imported
substitutes in southeastern markets.
• Across Sudan, Sorghum and millet prices exhibited mixed
trends due to the tightening of stocks, speculative measures
by producers, and decreased road access caused by flood
damage. Staple commodity prices across Somalia were
atypically stable due to the below-average June-to-July
harvest. The average prices of most essential imported
commodities (rice, wheat flour, diesel, sugar, and vegetable
oil) were also stable.
• Grain prices declined in most markets in South Sudan due to
the start of the greenbelt harvest and imminent start of the
Source: FEWS NET estimates
main harvest in October, imports from Uganda and Sudan,
increased food aid distribution in northern markets. The prices of pulses, roots, and tubers in Uganda remained stable
or declined slightly as supplies from the delayed June-to-July harvest continued to flow into markets amid reduced
institutional demand as learning institutions remained closed as part of COVID-19 measures
Outlook (September 2021 onward)
• Local currencies in Sudan and South Sudan are expected to gradually strengthen following sustained government
interventions. Inflation is also expected to continue to decline, but prices will remain significantly above the five-year
average levels
• Prices of stable commodities in Somalia are expected to increase or remain stable due to an anticipated below-average
off-season September-to-October harvest
SOUTHERN AFRICA
Current situation (August 2021)
• In Southern Africa, regional maize supply for the 2021/22 Figure 8. Maize prices in Southern Africa, January 2016 –
marketing year (MY) is above average. Maize prices were August 2021
stable or began increasing seasonally in August (Figure 8).
Consecutive seasons of drought resulted in locally increasing
and volatile prices in southern Madagascar. Prices in South
Africa continued to track global reference markets, trends
that have been transmitted to import-dependent
neighboring countries. Intra-regional trade has been limited
to due to ample domestic supplies.
• In South Africa, MY 2021/22 production was above average.
Despite favorable domestic and regional production, spot
prices increased during the post-harvest period but were
stable in August (Figure 8). In Tanzania, maize prices
increased in August due to increased local demand and
export demand from neighboring Kenya now that Kenya’s Source: FEWS NET estimates
import ban has been lifted. In Zambia, the government
Figure 9. August 2021 maize prices in Southern Africa
continued issuing export permits for maize grain compared to 2020 levels (% change)
and flour while animal feed export permits remained
suspended. The Food Reserve Agency’s (FRA) maize
purchase plan was revised downward from 1 million MT to
800,000MT. Prices were stable in surplus areas but
increased in deficit areas.
• In Mozambique, maize prices increased seasonally as
demand from local and regional millers increased. Price
increases in the north were associated with high demand
from internally displaced persons and humanitarian
assistance delivered through cash-based transfers. The
continued stability of the MZN contributed to stable
imported maize meal and rice prices. In Malawi, maize grain
prices increased due to increased demand from ADMARC
which is purchasing maize at government set producer price
of MWK150/kg, well above the average market price of
MKW100/kg. Prices are nevertheless well below 2020 levels
and among the lowest in the regional (Figure 8).
Source: FEWS NET estimates
• In Zimbabwe, maize prices in both USD and ZWL terms
increased but remained below their respective 2020 levels, but were lower than last season prices at the same time.
Maize grain transactions on open markets continued in foreign currencies because of a lack of confidence in the ZWL. In
DRC, the end of August marked the start of land preparation activities for season A in the Central East and Northeast and
an earlier than usual onset of the lean season following below-average season B harvests. Maize grain and flour prices,
as well as imported rice and refined vegetable oil prices, remained stable. In Madagascar, local maize and imported rice
prices continued to increase while cassava prices declined.
Outlook (September 2021 onward)
• Maize grain market supplies are expected to remain average to above average, given current projections for an above-
average 2022 harvest. Increased regional food trade (including trade with East Africa) will lead to increasing maize grain
prices in source countries in the short-to-medium term. South Africa will likely continue exporting to international
markets due to strong global maize demand. Local availability is expected to remain constrained in southern Madagascar,
resulting in high and variable prices. FEWS NET will monitor the status of local government purchase, sale, and
distribution plans and policies and their impacts on market dynamics and prices, especially in Malawi, Zimbabwe, and
Zambia.
CENTRAL ASIA
Current situation (August 2021)
• Regional wheat availability and price trends varied across Figure 12. Wheat grain and flour prices in Central Asia
Central Asia in August (Figure 12). Rice availability and (USD/kg), January 2016 – August 2021
prices remained stable. As detailed in the Central Asia
Regional Wheat Supply and Market Outlook, localized
wheat deficits are expected to be largely filled through
intra-regional trade. In Yemen, markets remain severely
disrupted by ongoing macroeconomic challenges and
conflict.
• In Kazakhstan, wheat production for MY 2021/22 is
expected to slightly lower than the previous year and
average levels (USDA). Export prices for milling wheat
were stable in August compared to July and 2020 levels
but 25 percent above the five-year average. Pakistan’s Source: WFP, VAM, APK Inform Agency, Kazakhstan
MY 2021/22 wheat production was 27 MMT, eight
percent above the previous year’s levels (SUPRACO).
Wheat prices were stable on average in August but were Figure 13. Average monthly secondary exchange rates and
wheat flour price trends in Yemen, June 2016 – August 2021
respectively 28 and 40 percent higher than 2020 and five-
year average levels.
• In Afghanistan, the 2020/21 agricultural season was
impacted by below-average rainfall resulting from
La Niña weather conditions. The domestic wheat import
gap is estimated at 40 percent higher than the previous
year and 20 percent higher than average. Food prices
increased in August compared to July following the recent
political transition and the resulting pressure on the local
economy, including hard currency shortages. Wheat flour
prices in markets across Afghanistan were on average five
percent higher in August compared to July, 21 percent
above 2020 levels and 41 percent above the five-year
average. Tajikistan, another import-dependent country Source: FAO
in the region, is importing wheat grain to mill locally now
that the import tax rate is lower for wheat grain (10 percent) than for wheat flour (18 percent), discouraging wheat flour
imports from traditional trade partners like Kazakhstan.
• In Yemen, staple food prices and exchange rate trends varied between internationally recognized government (IRG) areas
and Sana’a based authorities (SBA) controlled areas. The national average price of the minimum survival food basket
increased by four percent in August. The largest price increases persisted in governorates within the IRG, where the YER
depreciated sharply and persistently in recent months (Figure 13). In August, national fuel prices remained significantly
above 2020- and five-year average levels. In areas controlled by the SBA, the resumption of fuel imports through the Red
Sea ports since late March has supported improved petrol and diesel availability and price stability (FAO).
Outlook (September 2021 onward)
• In Kazakhstan, aggregate MY 2021/22 wheat availability and exports are projected to be close to MY 2020/21 levels
(USDA). In Pakistan, traditionally a wheat exporting country, wheat imports for MY 2021/22 are forecast to remain well
above the five-year average levels due to low opening stocks and strong domestic demand. In Afghanistan, wheat flour
prices are expected to continue rising further. The above-average wheat import gap projected for MY 2020/21 will be
filled mainly with regional wheat imports and complemented with imports from some non-traditional trade partners.
• In Yemen, food and fuel prices will likely continue to increase more rapidly in IRG areas in the coming months. Fuel prices
may experience sharper volatility, particularly across SBA-controlled areas.
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
West Africa
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 1 provides prices
and price changes for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The prices are final monthly average prices for August 2021. Commodities
included in the Annex are the staples most often consumed by the poor in the indicated market. Additional commodities provided are important commodities consumed in the same
areas or fuel prices that affect food prices. Final monthly average prices are used. The symbols (▲►▼) depict the direction of price changes: the red upward-facing arrow denotes an
increase of five percent or greater. The blue horizontal arrow denotes no change or changes that are smaller than 5 percent, and the green downward-facing arrow denotes price
decreases that are five percent or greater. The three arrows respectively correspond to the percent change in prices this month compared to last month, last year, and the five-year
average. The “-“ symbol indicates that data are not available. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported prices are retail.
FEWS NET
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States
fewsnetinfo@fews.net
Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
www.fews.net
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
West Africa
Segou
XAF 210.00 11 27 29 ▲ ▲ ▲ Mali XOF 200.00 6 -2 3 ▲ ► ►
$0.38 $0.36
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 9
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
West Africa
Niamey
Niger XOF 538.00 0 0 0 ► ► ► NGN 254.00 2 37 98 ► ▲ ▲
$0.97 $0.62
Gasoline Ibadan Bread
XOF 540.00 0 0 0 ► ► ► Nigeria NGN 606.06 5 55 57 ► ▲ ▲
$0.97 $1.47
Maize Grain (Mixed) Diesel
XOF 318.00 8 45 48 ▲ ▲ ▲ NGN 285.00 4 47 41 ► ▲ ▲
$0.57 $0.69
Millet (Pearl) Gasoline
XOF 308.00 5 0 10 ► ► ▲ NGN 166.50 0 13 15 ► ▲ ▲
$0.55 $0.41
Refined Vegetable Oil Maize Grain (White)
XOF 1200.00 0 60 39 ► ▲ ▲ NGN 278.21 -1 41 101 ► ▲ ▲
$2.15 $0.68
Rice (5% Broken) Palm Oil (Refined)
XOF 500.00 0 0 14 ► ► ▲ NGN 793.33 9 56 69 ▲ ▲ ▲
$0.90 $1.93
Sorghum (Mixed) Sorghum (White)
XOF 320.00 8 13 26 ▲ ▲ ▲ NGN 282.13 0 27 73 ► ▲ ▲
$0.57 $0.69
Whole milk powder Ilela Millet (Pearl)
XOF 1700.00 0 -6 -13 ► ▼ ▼ Nigeria XOF 258.00 2 6 - ► ▲ -
$3.05 $0.46
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 10
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
West Africa
Lagos
Nigeria NGN 288.96 -6 5 36 ▼ ► ▲
$0.70
Dakar Millet
Senegal XOF 240.00 1 -17 -6 ► ▼ ▼
$0.43
Rice (100% Broken)
XOF 325.00 8 8 11 ▲ ▲ ▲
$0.58
Kaolak Millet
Senegal XOF 224.00 5 -18 6 ► ▼ ▲
$0.40
Rice (100% Broken)
XOF 339.00 3 9 18 ► ▲ ▲
$0.61
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 11
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
Addis Ababa Maize Grain (White) (W) Nairobi Maize Grain (White) (W)
Ethiopia ETB 22.93 18 87 154 ▲ ▲ ▲ Kenya KES 40.00 22 20 14 ▲ ▲ ▲
$0.51 $0.37
Wheat Grain (W) Potato (White) (W)
ETB 36.68 19 86 152 ▲ ▲ ▲ KES 10.00 -24 -62 -52 ▼ ▼ ▼
$0.82 $0.09
Bahir Dar Maize Grain (White) (W) Kigali City Beans (mixed)
Ethiopia ETB 22.67 16 74 158 ▲ ▲ ▲ Rwanda RWF 600.37 -2 -18 - ► ▼ -
$0.50 $0.60
East Africa
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 12
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
East Africa
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 13
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
East Africa
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 14
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 15
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
Southern Africa
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 16
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
Southern Africa
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 17
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
USD 0.42 5 8 -2 ► ▲ ►
$0.42
Southern Africa
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 18
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
$0.60 $1.12
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 19
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 20
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
Central Asia
Jalalabad
Afghanistan AFN 44.00 25 38 39 ▲ ▲ ▲ AFN 32.60 17 5 34 ▲ ► ▲
$0.55 $0.41
Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Wheat Grain
AFN 35.00 16 13 34 ▲ ▲ ▲ AFN 29.80 7 15 39 ▲ ▲ ▲
$0.44 $0.37
Wheat Grain Nili Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 30.00 14 3 23 ▲ ► ▲ Afghanistan AFN 71.40 4 2 4 ► ► ►
$0.37 $0.89
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 21
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
Change over Change over
Current % Change Over one month, Current % Change Over one month,
price/kg One One 5-year one year, and price/kg One One 5-year one year, and
Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg. 5-year avg.
Hanoi Rice
SORGHUM
SOYBEANS
SUGAR
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 22
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2021
WHEAT
France (Grade 1)
18 34 43 ▲ ▲ ▲
EUR 0.25
$0.29
St. Lawrence Wheat
Canada (CWRS)
8 58 56 ▲ ▲ ▲
CAD 0.47
$0.37
Up River Wheat
Argentina (Trigo Pan)
4 19 27 ► ▲ ▲
ARS 27.72
$0.29
CRUDE OIL
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Famine Early Warning Systems Network 23
PRICE WATCH ANNEX 2 August 2021 prices September 30, 2021
Figure 14. Millet prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 15. Sorghum prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021)
0.75 1.00
0.75
0.50
USD/kg
USD/kg
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.00 0.00
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Oct-19
Oct-20
Jan-20
Jan-21
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Apr-17
Jul-17
Jul-18
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jul-19
Apr-16
Jan-17
Apr-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jan-20
Jan-18
Jan-21
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-20
Dori, Burkina Faso N'Djamena, Chad Maradi, Niger Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso
Koutiala, Mali Tillabéri, Niger (W) Maroua, Cameroon (W) Ould Yenge, Mauritania
Matam, Senegal Kayes, Mali
West Africa
Figure 16. Maize prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 17. Rice prices in West Africa (2016 - 2021)
0.75 2.00
1.50
0.50
USD/kg
USD/kg
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.00 0.00
Jul-16
Apr-17
Jul-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-17
Jul-19
Jul-21
Apr-16
Apr-18
Jan-17
Oct-17
Jan-19
Oct-19
Jan-21
Jan-16
Jan-18
Jan-20
Oct-16
Oct-18
Oct-20
Apr-16
Apr-17
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-16
Jul-21
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-21
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-20
Oct-18
Oct-19
Sources of prices in West Africa: Information System on agricultural markets (SIMA) Niger, Agricultural Market Observatory (OMA) Mali, Burkina Faso SONAGESS, Information System
market (SIM) in Senegal, Liberia Institute of Statistics and Geo-Information Services (LISGIS) and FEWS NET.
Figure 18. Dry bean prices in East Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 19. Sorghum prices in East Africa (2016 - 2021)
2.00 2.00
1.60 1.50
USD/kg
1.20
USD/kg
1.00
East Africa
0.80
0.50
0.40
0.00 0.00
Jul-18
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-19
Apr-16
Apr-21
Jan-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Oct-17
Jan-18
Oct-18
Oct-20
Jan-21
Jan-17
Jan-19
Jan-20
Oct-16
Oct-19
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Jan-16
Oct-16
Jan-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Kigali City, Rwanda Al Qadarif, Sudan Baidoa, Somalia
Eldoret, Kenya (W) Masindi, Uganda (W)
Kampala, Uganda (W) Juba, South Sudan
Gitega, Burundi
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 2 provides prices
trends for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported
prices are retail.
FEWS NET FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect
fewsnetinfo@fews.net the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States
www.fews.net Government.
Government.
Figure 20. Maize prices in surplus areas of East Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 21. Maize prices in deficit areas of East Africa (2016 - 2021)
0.75 2.00
1.50
0.50
USD/kg
USD/kg
1.00
East Africa
0.25
0.50
0.00 0.00
Apr-16
Jul-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Apr-17
Jan-18
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-16
Jan-19
Oct-16
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-17
Oct-20
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Jan-16
Oct-16
Jan-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (W) Eldoret, Kenya (W) Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W) Jamame, Somalia
Kampala, Uganda (W) Qorioley, Somalia Juba, South Sudan Nairobi, Kenya (W)
Songea, Tanzania (W) Gode, Ethiopia Rubaho, Burundi
Sources of prices in East Africa: Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS) FSTS/FEWS NET in Somalia, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of
Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of Kenya, Arid Lands Resource Management Project (ALRMP), SIFSIA, WFP VAM and
Save the Children.
Figure 22. White maize prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 23. Bean and cowpea prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021)
1.00 2.00
0.75 1.50
USD/kg
Title
0.50 1.00
0.25 0.50
0.00 0.00
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-16
Jul-19
Apr-16
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-21
Jan-16
Oct-16
Jan-17
Apr-17
Oct-17
Jan-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Oct-20
Jan-18
Jan-21
Oct-18
Jul-16
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-21
Jul-17
Jul-20
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-20
Jan-16
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Apr-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-20
Oct-16
Oct-19
Lilongwe, Malawi Lusaka, Zambia Arusha, Tanzania (W) * Dodoma, Tanzania (W) *
Southern Africa
Figure 24. Imported rice prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021) Figure 25. Maize meal prices in Southern Africa (2016 - 2021)
1.20 1.20
1.00 1.00
0.80 0.80
USD/kg
USD/kg
0.60 0.60
0.40 0.40
0.20 0.20
0.00 0.00
Apr-16
Jul-16
Apr-18
Jul-18
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-21
Jul-21
Jul-17
Jul-20
Jan-16
Jan-17
Apr-17
Jan-19
Apr-20
Jan-21
Jan-18
Jan-20
Oct-16
Oct-18
Oct-17
Oct-19
Oct-20
Apr-16
Jul-16
Apr-17
Jul-17
Apr-18
Jul-18
Apr-21
Jul-21
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jan-17
Jan-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Jan-16
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Sources of prices in Southern Africa: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM)) of Tanzania, Observatoire du
Riz of Madagascar, Ministry of Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP and FEWS NET.
Figure 26. White maize prices in Central America (2016 - 2021) Figure 27. Dry bean prices in Central America (2016 - 2021)
0.80 4.00
Central America and Caribbean
0.60 3.00
USD/kg
USD/kg
0.40 2.00
0.20 1.00
0.00 0.00
Apr-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-19
Apr-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jan-16
Oct-16
Oct-18
Jan-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Oct-17
Oct-20
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-16
Jan-16
Apr-16
Jan-17
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Oct-16
Oct-17
Jan-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Oct-19
Oct-20
Guatemala City, Guatemala Managua, Nicaragua (W) Guatemala City, Guatemala
* (W) * San Salvador, El**Salvador**
San Salvador, El Salvador Mexico City, Mexico (W) San Jose, Costa Rica (W) ** ** **
Tegucigalpa, Honduras
Tegucigalpa, Honduras **
____________________
* black beans
** red beans
Figure 28. Imported rice prices in Haiti (2016 - 2021) Figure 29. Black bean prices in Haiti (2016 - 2021)
2.00 4.00
1.60
Central America and Caribbean
3.00
USD/kg
1.20
USD/kg
2.00
0.80
1.00
0.40
0.00 0.00
Jul-16
Apr-17
Jul-18
Apr-19
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-17
Jul-19
Jul-21
Jan-16
Apr-16
Jan-18
Apr-18
Apr-20
Jan-21
Oct-16
Jan-17
Oct-17
Jan-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Oct-18
Oct-20
Apr-16
Jul-16
Apr-17
Jul-17
Apr-18
Jul-18
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Jul-20
Apr-21
Jul-21
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, Haiti Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, Haiti
Jacmel, Haiti Jérémie, Haiti Jacmel, Haiti Jérémie, Haiti
Port-au-Prince, Haiti Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Sources of prices in Central America and Caribbean: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria (DGEA),
Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de Guatemala
(MAGA).
Figure 30. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia (2016 - 2021) Figure 31. Wheat flour prices in Central Asia (2016 - 2021)
0.50 0.80
0.40
0.60
0.30
USD/kg
USD/kg
Central Asia
0.40
0.20
0.20
0.10
0.00 0.00
Jul-17
Jul-18
Apr-19
Jul-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Jul-16
Jul-20
Jul-21
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-18
Jan-16
Oct-16
Jan-17
Oct-17
Oct-18
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-18
Jan-19
Oct-19
Oct-20
Jul-17
Jul-19
Jul-21
Jul-16
Jul-18
Jul-20
Apr-16
Apr-17
Apr-19
Jan-16
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jan-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
Jan-21
Jan-17
Oct-17
Oct-19
Jan-20
Oct-20
Oct-16
Oct-18