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The United States, China, and The Indo-Pacific Strategy
The United States, China, and The Indo-Pacific Strategy
The United States, China, and The Indo-Pacific Strategy
Author(s): Weixing Hu
Source: China Review , AUGUST 2020, Vol. 20, No. 3, SPECIAL ISSUE: State-Society
Relations in China’s State-Led Digitalization: Progress and Prospects (AUGUST 2020), pp.
127-142
Published by: The Chinese University of Hong Kong Press
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Weixing Hu
Abstract
China is and will remain the most important great-power rival for the
United States in the 21st century. The Trump administration has adopted
a whole-of-government approach to compete with China. Washington
is taking tough measures confronting China’s challenges to the US
economic interests, values, and security. The Indo-Pacific region is a key
area where US-China strategic competition takes place. The US Indo-
Pacific Strategy (IPS) is a core competitive instrument for Washington
to contain China’s rising power and influence among those countries
along the Indian and Pacific Oceans. The articles in this special section
examine the changing parameters of the US-China relationship and
how Beijing responds to the US Indo-Pacific Strategy.
The relationship between he United States and China, the world’s largest
and the second largest economy, defines geopolitics of the 21st century.
Bound together by economic, security, and social ties, US-China relations
are complex, consequential, and tortuous. Over last few decades since
strategy that tries to compete and contain China’s rising influence, via
the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and other means, among those coun-
tries along the Indian and Pacific oceans.
climate change, the North Korean crisis, and the Iranian nuclear issue.
Others believe the more fundamental reason is China’s rapid growth of
economic power and military capabilities has made Beijing more confi-
dent and even assertive in foreign policy. With increasing power Beijing
demands more respect from Washington and other Western powers on
issues concerning China’s “core national interests.” In recent years China
has even stepped up efforts to transform various international institutions
and regimes. Under Xi Jinping’s leadership, Beijing has become more
confident in conducting an ambitious foreign policy of “major country
diplomacy” (大國外交 daguo waijiao) and BRI to become a world power
by the mid-21st century.5
The US-China relationship, once again, has come to a critical
juncture. The changing balance of power and Washington’s failure to
determine China’s development course have called into question the
fundamental assumptions of the US China policy. History has proved
that American power cannot shape China to its liking.6 American policy-
makers and elites have come to the realization that 40 years of US
engagement policy has failed to produce what they have hoped for and
this policy must change. As two senior officials of the Obama administra-
tion observe, the record has become clear that “Washington once again
put too much faith in its power to shape China’s trajectory. All sides of
the policy debate erred: free traders and financiers who foresaw inevitable
and increasing openness in China, integrationists who argued that
Beijing’s ambitions would be tamed by greater interaction with the inter-
national community, and hawks who believed that China’s power would
be abated by perpetual American primacy.”7 In debating what went
wrong, two camps of views seem to emerge on how to manage the great-
power relationship with China. One approach puts a premium on inter-
national order and continue to integrate China into this order. The other
approach emphasizes containing and limiting China’s ability to overturn
the order while defending American interests more firmly and forcefully.
Yet despite their differences, both camps want to transcend “business as
usual” and get tough on China on all fronts.
Against this background, the Trump administration lost no time in
designating China as a “revisionist power” and strategic competitor after
taking office. The administration has issued a series of strategy documents
to turn the corner. These documents include the “2017 US National
Security Strategy,” “2018 US National Defense Strategy,” “2018 Nuclear
Posture Review,” “2019 Department of Defense Indo-Pacific Strategy
Will the two economies be decoupled? The bad news is there is little
dialogue between the United States and China as Washington does not
want to “cater to Beijing’s demands to create a proper ‘atmosphere’ or
‘conditions’ for dialogue.”10 The shadow of what Graham Allison calls
“Thucydides’s Trap” lingers.11
Second, the present round of strategic competition has become more
comprehensive as the Trump administration has expanded the competi-
tive space and introduced multiple instruments of power and coercion
into the game. The Trump people have become more hostile in both
words and deeds. Within the American policy community, nobody is
talking about balancing competition with cooperation in other areas. The
broad competition has extended from Taiwan, the South China Sea, and
cyber security to trade war, technology cutoff, military buildup, ideology,
and even the Hong Kong issue. Trump’s “whole-of-government”
approach attempts to maximize pressure on China in various ways and
bring Beijing to its knees. There are five areas in which the Trump
administration is trying to knock China down: control over the Indo-
Pacific rimland, trade and the economy, China’s quest for alternative
technical standards, the pursuit of technological dominance, and Chinese
military advancement.12 However, the contestation is complex due to
close economic ties between the United States and China and the inter-
connectedness of global trade networks. When the US-China trade war
began, political observers warned that a new cold war was emerging, and
sustained power rivalry for decades may lead to hostility and undue
pessimism in international relations and world politics. As US-China
relations hit a new low, both sides were recruiting allies, which made the
world more divided. Washington moved away from strategic ambiguities
to strategic clarity in competition with China, and structural competition
become less manageable.
Third, the new strategic competition has found strong domestic
constituency on both sides. The “internalization” of great power competi-
tion is not good news and reminds people of the Cold War type of
confrontation and power rivalry. As it coincides with the US presidential
election, the China bashing is becoming part of US domestic politics and
electoral campaign. In the United States there is a rising propensity to
blame China for policy failure or almost everything unsatisfactory. This
China bashing has become bipartisan, and, worse even, American public
opinions on China have become more negative. The COVID-19
pandemic has led to a decline of people-to-people contact and become
promoted the Indo-Pacific concept and how the US IPS has created
pressure on China’s national security. In his view, the Chinese perception
and response to the rise of the Indo-Pacific region is dynamic and sophisti-
cated. From the perspective of a hedging strategy, he argues that Beijing has
wisely applied a hedging strategy in response to the expanding range of the
American containment pressure. This hedging strategy has two interrelated
aspects. On one hand, the Chinese government adheres to the nonalliance
principle and upgrades its China-Russia strategic partnership to resist the
security pressure produced by the IPS. On the other hand, China has
continued its reassurance policy toward countries at its periphery so that
there are cooperative incentives for them to be on the Chinese side, espe-
cially those countries having security ties with Washington.
“The Power of a Niche Strategy and China’s Preemptive and Adaptive
Response to the US Indo-Pacific Strategy” by Chunman Zhang offers a
novel perspective to the understanding of China’s response to the US
IPS. Zhang proposes to make sense of China’s strategic and more impor-
tantly preemptive response to the US IPS. This response is what he coins
as a “niche strategy.” While the niche strategy is widely used in marketing
analysis, he tries to conceptualize it in international relations as a vital
foreign policy strategy and apply it to the understanding of China’s stra-
tegic response to the US IPS. Using the examples of the Asian Infrastruc-
ture Investment Bank (AIIB) and the BRI operations, the author argues
that taking a niche strategy would help China better navigate the pressure
from the US IPS.
Notes
1 The White House, “National Security Strategy of the United States of
America,” December 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.
2 The White House, “United States Strategic Approach to the People’s
Republic of China,” 26 May 2020, https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2020/05/U.S.-Strategic-Approach-to-The-Peoples-Republic-
of-China-Report-5.20.20.pdf.
3 Robert B. Zoellick, Deputy Secretary of State, Remarks to National
Committee on U.S.-China Relations New York City, “Whither China: From
Membership to Responsibility?,” 21 September 2005, https://2001-2009.
state.gov/s/d/former/zoellick/rem/53682.htm.
4 James B. Steinberg, “Administration’s Vision of the U.S.-China Relation-
ship,” Keynote Address at the Center for a New American Security,
19 For more discussion, see, for example, Weixing Hu, “Trump’s China Policy
and its Implications for the ‘Cold Peace’ across the Taiwan Strait”, China
Review, Vol. 18, No. 3 (August 2018), pp. 61-88.
20 US Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo, “U.S. Position on Maritime
Claims in the South China Sea,” Press Statement, the US Department of
State, 13 July 2020, https://www.state.gov/u-s-position-on-maritime-claims-
in-the-south-china-sea/
21 Alex Isenstadt, “GOP Memo Urges Anti-China Assault over Coronavirus,”
Politico, 24 April 2020, https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/24/
gop-memo-anti-china-coronavirus-207244; Stephen Kinzer, “The Dangerous
New Consensus: Blame China,” Boston Globe, 29 April 2020, https://www.
bostonglobe.com/2020/04/29/opinion/dangerous-new-consensus-blame-
china/.
22 Henry Kissinger, “The Coronavirus Pandemic Will Forever Alter the World
Order,” Wall Street Journal, 3 April 2020, https://www.wsj.com/articles/
the-coronavirus-pandemic-will-forever-alter-the-world-order-11585953005.