2: The SQL query results will identify energy providers with longer average outage durations,

highlighting potential reliability issues. By examining these durations by provider, outage

reason, and year, you can pinpoint which providers have more significant issues, especially if
there's an increasing trend from 2016 to 2017. Providers with consistently longer outages may
require further investigation and targeted improvements to enhance the reliability of the
energy supply. This analysis is crucial for identifying and addressing potential weaknesses in the
energy network.

3:

AURICON (2017, Forced): Average outage duration = 0.07 days → Low Risk

GW (2016, Forced): Average outage duration = 0.38 days → Low Risk

GW (2017, Forced): Average outage duration = 1.06 days → High Risk

AURICON (2016, Forced): Average outage duration = 0.07 days → Low Risk

AUXC (2016, Forced): Average outage duration = 0.08 days → Low Risk

MELK (2017, Forced): Average outage duration = 2.28 days → High Risk

TRMOS (2017, Forced): Average outage duration = 0.42 days → Low Risk

MELK (2016, Scheduled): Average outage duration = 4.61 days → High Risk

PJRH (2016, Forced): Average outage duration = 1.22 days → High Risk

4:

High Risk Classification: Participants with Forced Outages that either have an average
duration of more than 24 hours or have more than 20 Forced Outage events are
classified as High Risk. For example, 'EUCT' in 2016 had 11 Forced Outage events with
an average duration of 5.9 days, which would classify them as High Risk under these
criteria.

Medium Risk Classification: Participants with Forced Outages that have an average
duration between 12 and 24 hours or have between 10 and 20 Forced Outage events
fall into the Medium Risk category. An example might be 'TSLA_MGT' in 2017 with 28
Scheduled (Planned) events and an average duration of 0.99 days; however, under the
new criteria focusing on Forced Outages, their classification might change depending
on the nature of these outages.

Low Risk Classification: Participants with less than 10 Forced Outage events or an
average duration of less than 12 hours are considered Low Risk. For instance,
'AURICON' in 2017, despite having a high number of Forced Outage events (490), had
an average duration of only 0.07 days, which would classify them as Low Risk.

This approach of focusing specifically on Forced Outages for risk classification aligns with the
importance of unplanned outages in assessing grid stability risks. It highlights those
participants who have frequent or prolonged unplanned outages, which are more likely to
impact the reliability and security of the electricity grid.

6:
 1. Macro Analysis Results:

 This analysis will provide the average total duration of Forced Outages across
all participants for the years 2016 and 2017. The output will indicate how long,
on average, each participant was affected by Forced Outages over these two
years.

 If the average total duration is high, it suggests that Forced Outages are a
significant issue affecting many participants for extended periods.

2. Micro Analysis Results:

 The Micro Analysis will reveal both the frequency

(Number_Of_Forced_Outages) and the average duration
(Avg_Outage_Duration_Days) of Forced Outages for each participant.

 This detailed view helps in understanding whether the impact of Forced

Outages is due to a few long outages or numerous shorter ones. A high
number of Forced Outages or a long average duration indicates participants
that are more frequently affected or experience longer disruptions.

Interpreting the Results:

 If both analyses show high averages, it indicates that Forced Outages are not only
frequent but also prolonged, significantly impacting the reliability of the energy supply.

 If the Macro Analysis shows a high average but the Micro Analysis indicates fewer,
longer outages, the issue might be isolated to a few significant incidents.

 Conversely, if the Macro Analysis shows a lower average but the Micro Analysis reveals
a high frequency of shorter outages, this might suggest widespread but less severe
disruptions.

These analyses are crucial for AEMR to identify and address the key issues related to Forced
Outages, whether they are widespread frequent disruptions or isolated but significant
incidents. This information can guide targeted strategies to enhance grid reliability and mitigate
financial losses.