2023 CLSSBB Trainer Solutions SC Ver

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About International Supply Chain Education Alliance (ISCEA):


The ISCEA is the developer of the internationally recognized
certification programs of Certified Supply Chain Manager (CSCM),
Certified Supply Chain Analyst (CSCA), Certified Lean Master
(CLM), Certified RFID Master (RFIDSCM), Certified Supply Chain
Technology Professional (CSCTP), and Certified Demand Driven
Planner (CDDP). ISCEA is the governing body for the Ptak Prize.
ISCEA members hold mid to upper supply chain management
positions in Global 2000 companies. For more information, please
visit www.iscea.com and www.iscea.net

www.iscea.org S1
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Introduction

S1.2-Presenter only
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International Supply Chain Education Alliance
www.iscea.org www.iscea.net www.iscea.com

Chagrin Highlands Center


2000 Auburn Drive, Suite 200
Beachwood, OH 44122, USA
Tel: 800-817-9083
Fax: 440-708-2641
S2
International Supply Chain Education Alliance
• Established in 2003 to fill the need of high
impact training for Supply Chain Professionals
and Candidates for Supply Chain Certification
Exams.
• Holds Supply Chain Education Workshops
Worldwide.
• ISCEA Instructors are University Professors or
Corporate Executives with 5+ years of
experience.

S2.1-Presenter Only
Partial List of companies who attended our
workshops or where our members work:
•Johnson Controls • UPS •Automated Packaging
• Pepsi America • GENCO •Avery Dennison
•L’Oreal USA •University of Texas •Department of Defense
•Nestle USA •SABIC •Diebold Incorporated
•Nordson Corporation •Accenture •Eaton Corporation
•Parker Hannifin Corporation •Checkpoint •General Motors
•Swagelok •Sun Micro Systems •United Nations
•The J. M. Smucker Company •Dell •Honeywell International
•The Nautilus Group •Ford Motor Company •Moen Incorporated
• The Timken Company •AkzNobel •Samsung
•Saudi Telecom •FedEx •Saudi ARAMCO
S2.2-Presenter Only
ISCEA Executives In-Charge of Key Programs
Dr. Kenneth Paetsch, DBA, CSCM
Director of CSCM/CSCA™ Programs

Mr. Mike Loughrin, CLM, CFPIM, CSCP, CSCM


Director of Lean Six Sigma Programs

Mr. Chad Smith, CDDP


Director of DDMRP/CDDP Programs
Co-Founder of Demand Driven Institute

Dr. Erick C. Jones, RFIDSCM, CLSSMBB, Fel. ISCEA


IISB – President, IISB (ISCEA International Standards Board)
Professor at the University of Texas Arlington
Dr. Gerald (Jerry) Ledlow, Ph.D., MHA, FACHE
IISB – Chair, Health Care Committee
Professor at Georgia Southern University

Dr. Erick C. Jones


IISB – Chair, Technology Committees
Professor at the University of Texas Arlington

S4
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ISCEA Sponsored Events

European Supply Chain Distinction Awards

S2.3 -Presenter Only


Ptak Prize for Supply Chain Excellence
Each year ISCEA showcases Corporations that have
made significant improvement in operations by
combining clear objectives with aligned business
practices supported by flexible and adaptable
technology.

LeTourneau Steel
& Genco
Indian Oil &
S1.11-Presenter Only Honeywell
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International Supply Chain


Education Alliance (ISCEA)
International Technology Board
Technology Committee
(IISB TC)

S2.5-Presenter Only
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10

IISB - LEAN Six Sigma


Mission: IISB LEAN Six Sigma Committee (IISB LSS)
• Determine, evaluate and execute the ISCEA Lean and Six
Sigma certification processes for individuals and accredited
solution providers.
• Current Accredited Programs
▫ CLM (Certified LEAN Master)
▫ Certified LEAN Six Sigma Programs
 ELSSYB - Executive Yellow Belt Program *Invitation only
 CLSSYB – Yellow Belt Program
 CLSSGB – Green Belt Program
 CLSSBB – Black Belt Program
• Multi-step Certification
▫ Pre-Exam Approval for Class
▫ Accredited Training (Accredited Provider)
▫ Certification Exams (Online and proctored exams)
▫ Qualified Project & Presentations (Green/Black Belt)
S2.6-Presenter Only
ISCEA Technology Committee Six
Sigma Program
• Executive Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt (ELSSYB)
*invitation only
• Certified Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt (CLSSYB)
• Qualified/*Certified Lean Six Sigma Green Belt (Q/CLSSGB)
Certification Program
 Pre-Exam for being invited to class
 After Exam passing considered – Qualified Green Belt
 After passing Project report, and Presentation Review - Certified
Green Belt
• Qualified/Certified Lean Six Sigma Black Belt (Q/CLSSBB)
 Pre-Exam for being invited to class or CLSSGB
 After Exam passing considered – Qualified Black Belt
 After passing (2) Project report, and Presentation Review - Certified
Black Belt
S34
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A Brief History and Overview of


Six Sigma

S7
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Six Sigma in Procurement
11/18/2009

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Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt
Overview/History Goals and Objectives

1. Identify which Quality Programs including Six Sigma seek macro-


level or micro-level specific improvement
2. Identify which Quality Standard include Six Sigma
3. Identify which Gurus supported Six Sigma principles such as
Financials ,Management Accountability, 4 Absolutes of Quality
4. Define knowledge management and how does it help organizations
5. Define the Six Sigma Main Steps/Phases
6. Identify examples of the Cost of Poor Quality (COPQ)
7. Identify which statistics DOES not measure specific measurement

S9
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Six Sigma: Quality Gurus
• Well known quality Gurus whose technical foundations
contributed to Six Sigma include:
• Philip B. Crosby
▫ Senior management involvement
▫ 4 Absolutes of Quality
1. Quality is defined as conformance to customers’
requirements
2. The system for improving quality is prevention
3. The performance standard is zero defects
4. The measurement of quality is the price of
nonconformance
▫ Cost of Quality Measurement
▫ Quality as a Core
• W. Edwards Deming
▫ Plan-do-study-act
▫ Top management involvement
▫ System Improvement
▫ Constancy of purpose
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Six Sigma: A Brief History
• Armand Feigenbaum
▫ Total quality control/management
▫ Top Management Involvement
• Kaoru Ishikawa
▫ 4M or cause effect diagram
 Fishbone Diagram (Man, Machine, Methods, Material)
▫ Company Wide Quality control
▫ Next operator as customer
• Joseph M. Juran
▫ Top Management involvement
▫ Quality Trilogy (Planning, Control, Improvement)
▫ Quality Cost Measurement (Financial)
▫ Illustrates a parallel between his quality sequence and
financial management processes
▫ Pareto Analysis (80/20) Rule S11
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Six Sigma: A Brief History
Joseph M. Juran
• Project-by-Project Improvement
▫ Juran teaches that improvement in organizations is
accomplished on a project-by-project basis “and in no other
way.”
▫ The project-to-project approach advocated by Juran is a
planning-based approach to quality improvement.
▫ Managers must prioritize which project will be undertaken first
based on financial return.
▫ This means that analysts must use the language of
management, that is, money, in order to help determine which
projects should be undertaken.

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Six Sigma: A Brief History

• Walter A. Shewart
▫ Assignable cause vs. chance cause
▫ Control Charts
▫ Plan-do-check-act
▫ Use of statistics for improvement
• Genichi Taguchi
▫ Loss function concepts
▫ Signal to noise ratio
▫ Experimental Design methods
▫ Concept of Design Robustness
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Six Sigma: A Brief History
• Originated at Motorola in 1987
▫ In response to low quality perception
▫ Bill Smith credited as originator under Bob Galvin
▫ Focus on defect reduction and improved yield
▫ General outline: Six Steps to Six Sigma
• Modified/adapted by many companies, including
AlliedSignal (1989-1994)
▫ Dr. Mikel Harry was a principal advisor founded Six Sigma
Academy
▫ Standardized on the “MAIC” process and 12 steps
▫ Significant benefits in competitiveness /financial gains
• Adopted by General Electric in 1994
▫ Jack Welch was champion of the movement
▫ Applied in all parts of the company
▫ Considerable financial success
▫ Extensive publicity by 1998, including emphasis in annual
reports
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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S15
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DMAIC Methodology

• An organized disciplined approach to problem solving in


most Six Sigma Organizations is known as DMAIC
Methodology

S16
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Design and Operational Methodologies
Design for Six Sigma Operational Six Sigma
– Product Development Define – Process Improvement

DFSS No
Do products,
process and service
Yes
DMAIC
standards exist to
satisfy the
requirements?
Design Measure

Measure Analyze

Explore
No Is Improvement
Sufficient?

Yes
Develop
Improve

Implement
Control

Leverage

S17
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Six Sigma Companies

• Companies
▫ Motorola, GE, Dupont, Polaroid, Kodak, Sony

• Results
▫ Motorola saved $940Million over three years
▫ GE saved 2.5 Billion as of 1999

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Comparison to Other Quality


initiatives

S19
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Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award

• Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award


▫ Focused on Enterprise view not Project (micro)
view as in Six Sigma.
▫ The award is open to small (less than 500 employees)
and large firms (more than 500 employees) in the
manufacturing and service sectors.
▫ It is not open to public-sector and not-for-profit
organizations.
▫ There can be only two winners per category each year,
which limits the number of yearly awards to six.
• Additional information on the Baldridge award
▫ www.NIST.gov
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Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award

Baldrige Award Framework


Organizational Profile:
Environment, Relationships and Challenges

2 5
Strategic HR develop. &
planning management

7
1 Business
Leadership results

3 6
Customer and Process
market focus management

4
Information and analysis

S21
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ISO 9000:2000
• Worldwide Impact
▫ On a worldwide basis, ISO 9000:2000 has had a much more
significant impact than any of the quality awards in terms of
the number of companies that have implemented the
approach..
• Focus of ISO 9000:2000
▫ The focus of ISO 9000:2000 is for companies to document
their quality systems in a series of manuals to facilitate trade
through supplier conformance.
• ISO
▫ Organization for International Standards
▫ ISO Standard for Six Sigma
 ISO 13053-1:2011 Quantitative methods in process
improvement -- Six Sigma
S22
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ISO 9000:2000

• Standards
1. ISO 9000:2000 - Quality management systems -
Fundamentals and vocabulary.
2. ISO 9001:2000 - Quality management systems -
Requirements.
- These are used for internal implementation,
contractual purposes, or for third-party registrations.
3. ISO 9004:2000 - Quality management - Guidelines
for Performance Improvement
- These include continual improvement and enhancing
overall performance.
S23
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ISO 13053:2011 Quantitative Methods in Process
Improvement – Six Sigma

• Six Sigma projects follow a defined sequence of steps with quantified goals and
financial targets (cost reduction and/or profit increase), and rely on statistical
tools to deal with uncertainty. Implementation involves the establishment of an
infrastructure with specific roles and responsibilities (e.g. black or green belts).
• The new standard, ISO 13053:2011, Quantitative methods in process
improvement – Six Sigma, deals exclusively with the application of Six
Sigma to ameliorate existing processes and is published in the following two
parts:
• Part 1: DMAIC methodology, describes the five-phased methodology DMAIC
(Define, Measure, Analyse, Improve and Control), and recommends best
practice, including on the roles, expertise and training of personnel involved in
such projects.
• Part 2: Tools and techniques, describes tools and techniques, illustrated by
factsheets, to be used at each phase of the DMAIC approach.
• Both documents can be applied to all sectors and organizations.

S24
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• Sigma stands for the Greek symbol σ that designates a standard
deviation in statistics.
• Six refers to the number of standard deviations from a mean
specifications should be.
• Began in Motorola in 1982 as effort to reduce costs and improve
quality.
• It now involves planning, organization, training, human resources
planning, and pay-for knowledge.
• It requires both organizational and individual cooperation to
achieve a goal.
• It seeks to manage knowledge (Knowledge Management)
• Knowledge Management: A set of active practices that an
organization uses to create, assimilate, disseminate and
apply knowledge.

S25
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… Sigma (s): a Measure of Variation
Sigma (s) represents standard deviation
- a measure of variability (Variance)
- Different than Range which is NOT dependent on
exact Values
1s

-3s +3s

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 y
Days
Average

S26
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“Sigma” as a Performance Metric
“Six Sigma process” -
A process that is so well understood and controlled that six standard
deviations will fit between the average output and the spec limit.

6s

1s 1s 1s 1s 1s 1s

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Average Days
“Spec”
Limit

S27
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Sigma Level Long-Term ppm* Defects
1 691,462
2 308,538
3 66,807
4 6,210
5 233
6 3.4

*ppm = parts-per-million

S28
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S29
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Overview of Six Sigma Certification


& Training Programs

S30
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Six Sigma: Training
• Generally Six Sigma Education is Categorized into
Training and Certification
▫ Some confusion is due to the fact that completion of some
Company training programs have provided an implied
certification
• Certification are generally associated with an exam and an
confirmation process at the higher levels
▫ The certification value is driven by the robustness of the
certification process and the success of the students who are
certified
▫ Certification can mean additional $ 20,000-$30,000 a year
in salary and or getting a job is some companies
 HR personnel call about the details of the certification to judge
the credibility
• Training is a means for preparing the student to be
successful in attaining the certification and success in the
field with the certification
S31
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Six Sigma: Certification
• SS Certification based on the Karate color belt system
▫ Types
 Company Certifications (GE, 3M, others)
 University Certifications (UNL, UC-Berkley, others)
 Organizational Certifications (ASQ, IIE, ISCEA)
▫ Levels in ascending order to date
 Yellow Belt/White Belt
 Green Belt/Black Belt/Master Black Belt
• Certification are generally associated with an exam and an
confirmation process at the higher levels
▫ Certification Exam
▫ Board or organization confirmation process
 Affidavit Review
 Paper or report review
 Public Presentation
• Certification Value is driven by the robustness of the
training and certification process and the success of the
students S32
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Six Sigma: Training
• Six Sigma Training generally is delivered in the following
manner by Belt
▫ Companies (generally no exam)
 White and or Yellow – 1 day format
 Blended Green/Black Company Training
 1 week training, and 3 weeks on certifying project – for 3 months for Six
Sigma, and 4 months for Lean Six Sigma
 Distinction between Green and Black is F/T SS Status and required
savings ($ 100,000 for GB and $ 250,000 for BB)
▫ Organizational (Generally related to certification process)
 White or Yellow Belt – 1 day format
 Green Belt – 1 week (seminar format) and exam
 Black Belt – 1 week (seminar format) and or on-site consulting (similar
to company 3-4 month process), project verification, and exam
 Can be online formats
▫ Colleges
 White or Yellow belt – Semester format and exam (Pre-reqs)
 Green Belt – 2 Semester format(prereqs) and exam
 Black Belt – 2 Semester format (Pre-reqs), project, and exam
 Can be online formats S33
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ISCEA Technology Committee Six
Sigma Program
• Executive Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt (ELSSYB)
*invitation only
• Certified Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt (CLSSYB)
• Qualified/*Certified Lean Six Sigma Green Belt (Q/CLSSGB)
Certification Program
 Pre-Exam for being invited to class
 After Exam passing considered – Qualified Green Belt
 After passing Project report, and Presentation Review - Certified
Green Belt
• Qualified/Certified Lean Six Sigma Black Belt (Q/CLSSBB)
 Pre-Exam for being invited to class or CLSSGB
 After Exam passing considered – Qualified Black Belt
 After passing (2) Project report, and Presentation Review - Certified
Black Belt
S34
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This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.

DMAIC Tools

S35
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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S36
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Define Measure Analyze Improve Control

•Business Case
•Project Desirability
Matrix
•Problem/Objective
Statement
•Primary/Secondary
Metric
•Change Management
•VOC/QFD
•SIPOC
•Process Mapping
S37.1
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Define Measure Analyze Improve Control

•XY Matrix
•Process FMEA
•Basic Statistics
•Decision-Making
•Non-Normal Data
Graphical Analysis
•Measurement System
Analysis
•Process Capability

S37.2
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Define Measure Analyze Improve Control

•Graphical Data Analysis


•Multi-Vari Analysis
•Inferential Statistics
•Hypothesis Tests
•Correlation
•Regression
•Process Modeling and
Simulation
•Pareto Chart

S37.3
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Define Measure Analyze Improve Control

•Hypothesis Tests
•Design of Experiments
(DOE)
•Advanced Regression
•Process Modeling and
Simulation
•Pilot and Test

S37.4
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Define Measure Analyze Improve Control

•Solution Selection
•Solution
Implementation
•Control Plans
•Control Charts
•Hypothesis Tests
•Process Capability
Assessment
•Best Practice
Sharing/Translation

S37.5
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• Lean tools were
developed to improve
productivity and
eliminate wastes.

• Lean Six Sigma is a


combination of the Six
Sigma methodology and
lean manufacturing
techniques.

S38
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Define Measure Analyze Improve Control
• Interview • Hypothesis • Process • Factorial • Solution
Process Testing Capability Design of Selection/
• Language • Analysis of Analysis Experiments Implementati
Processing Variance • X-Y Map • Fractional on
• Prioritizatio • Quality • FMEA Factorials • Control Plans
n Matrix Function • Multi-Vari • Data Mining • Control
Chart • Blocking Charts
• System Map Deployment
• Chi-Square • Response • Hypothesis
• Stakeholder • Flowdown Tests
• Regression Surface
Analysis • Measureme Methodology • Process
nt System • Buffered Capability
• Thought Tolerance • Multiple
Analysis Assessment
Process Map Limits Response • Best Practice
• Value • Graphical Optimization Sharing/Tran
Stream Methods • Theory of slation
Mapping • Process Constraints • Visual
Behavior Systems
Charts • 5-S
• TPM
• Mistake-
Proofing
• SPC/APC

S39
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… Lean Tools in Six Sigma
DEFINE MEASURE ANALYZE IMPROVE CONTROL

Interview Process Hypothesis Process Capability Factorial Design Control Plans


Testing Analysis of Experiments
Language Analysis of x-y Map Fractional Visual Systems
Processing Variance Factorials
Prioritization Quality Function FMEA Data Mining 5-S
Matrix Deployment
System Map Flowdown Multi-Vari Chart Blocking TPM

Stakeholder Measurement Chi-Square Response Surface Mistake-Proofing


Analysis System Analysis Methodology
Thought Process Graphical Regression Multiple Response SPC/APC
Map Methods Optimization
Value Stream Process Behavior Buffered Theory of
Mapping Charts Tolerance Limits Constraints

• These process analysis and process improvement tools have been used for
years!
• Six Sigma applies them in an integrated, sequential process.
• The most common attribute of Lean and Six Sigma is the Continuous
Improvement is a focus of both.
S40
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Enterprise Wide Deployment

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Objectives

• Identify key elements in Six Sigma Implementation


• Identify key elements to deployment of Six Sigma
• Introduce to basics of change management
• Establish what a stakeholder is and why they are important
• Know the role of Six Sigma Teams and their structure

S42
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Metric Implementing Six Sigma

Define

6 Methodology Measure

Analyze

Improve

✓ Business process Control


✓ Data driven
Management ✓ High performing ethical leadership
System ✓ Team based as fundamental work unit

S43
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Implementing Six Sigma

• Committed leadership
▫ Changing to six sigma represents a cultural shift
▫ The GE model
 Managers participate in every Six Sigma training while
speaking to employees, answering questions, site
visiting, etc.
• Process Thinking

S44
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Management Support

• The most critical element of Six Sigma implementation is


Top Management support
• Support critical for improving Internal quality for any
industry (Ex: Petroleum, manufacturing etc).
• Without management support, the true potential of Six
Sigma will never be realized
• Support includes:
▫ Reinforcing positive team results
▫ Providing direction along with support

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Business Process

• All processes must be evaluated.


▫ Make sure that a change does not interfere upstream
or downstream
• Places to look for interference

HR Manufacturing
Engineering Safety and
Sales and Health
Marketing Legal
Finance R&D
Product Liability Purchasing
More….

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Implementing Six Sigma

• Customer and market intelligence gathering


• Integration with business strategy and business
performance
• Training
• Continuous reinforcement and rewards
▫ @ Ge 40% of executive incentives are tied to Six
Sigma goals and progress

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Is your Company Ready?

• Six Sigma assumption


▫ Continuous improvement foundation is in place and
standardized process have been implemented
▫ Six Sigma promotes quality
 To measure quality it needs metrics

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SWOT Analysis

Strengths Objectivity and


diverse thinking
are critical to
the SWOT
Weaknesses
analysis!!!

Opportunities

Threats

Key Concern: Lack of Objectivity


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Internal Strengths

• Something a company is good at doing


▫ Skill
▫ Expertise
▫ Patent
▫ Key resource
▫ Technology
▫ Market position
 Market Segmentation (helpful in Spotting trends)
▫ Anything else that provides an advantage

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Internal Weaknesses

• Something that a firm lacks


▫ Poor cash flow
▫ Outdated technology
▫ High overhead
▫ Poor quality perception by consumer

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External Opportunities

• Expansion to new markets


• Low industry rivalry
• Minimal regulatory requirements
• Positive growth cycle

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External Threats

• Global competition
• Slow market growth
• New competitors
• Business to business on the internet

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SWOT Analysis

Strengths

• Hospital Weaknesses
Location
• Committed • Readmit Policy Opportunities
Nursing • Redundancies
Staff • eMAR, EHR, • Reduced cost Threats
• Excellent BPOC • Six Sigma • Penalty cost
Surgeons implementation training (Affordable
• Inventory • Reengineering Care act)
control, asset • Lawsuits
management
• Website
crashing

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Root Cause Analysis (RCA)

• A methodical process of identifying ”factors” or causes


to get to the “root” of the problem.
• One strategy is using the 5 Whys
▫ There may be more or less than 5 reasons, but it is an
acceptable place to start.
• A tool that can be used is for RCA is the Fishbone or
Ishikawa Diagram

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Input and Output Analysis

• In addition to the root cause analysis, Ishikawa can be


used to evaluate the Input and output variables
effectively. The other tool such as relationship
matrices technique can also be used for evaluating
Input and output variables.

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RCA-Fishbone Diagram

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RCA-Fish Bone Diagram

People Equipment Methods Retained


Foreign
Poor
Incorrect Objective in
Untrained lighting
counting surgeries
Staff Use of Equipment method
Incorrect counting systems
Manual
personnel counting-RN

Short Wrong
staffing of Not counting
Instruments for equipment
nurses procedure

Environment Material Measurement

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The Change Agent

“It has been often said that the most difficult


projects to manage are those that involve the
management of change……”

Kerzner H. 2009

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Managing Change

• To improve change needs to happen


(Evans/Lindsay, 2005)
▫ Process
▫ Procedures
▫ Facilities
▫ Organization
▫ Behavior

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Managing Change continued

• In general most change involves three stages:


1. Questioning the current state and remove the status
or current behavior
2. Introduce and implement new approaches to
replace old ones
3. Institutionalizing change
 Often reward systems help and show
commitment

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Managing Change continued

• Conflict and conflict


resolution "If you want
▫ Expect resistance to to make
change enemies, try
▫ Someone has to change
frustrated or is about something."
to frustrate
Woodrow Wilson
▫ Professional (Goals
and administrative)
▫ Personal

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Managing Change continued

• Mediate the conflict The average


manager spend
• Arbitrate the conflict
20% of his time
• Control the conflict dealing with
▫ Limit interaction conflict.

• Accept the conflict Posner 1986

• Eliminate the conflict

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Stakeholder Analysis

Can help identifying stakeholders……

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Process Inputs, Outputs, and Feedback

• Every process contains Inputs, Outputs, and Feedback.


It is important to keep track of these interactions to
accurately see what and where these can be measured.
• SIPOC Model
▫ A model that maps and details the relation between:
 Suppliers: Who provides information, materials, or
services
 Inputs: How the information is provided
 Process: What is done to the inputs
 Outputs: The final product or service
 Customers: Who receives the final product

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Key Stakeholders

• In the preparation of a project, efforts should be made to


identify and involve various parties affected by the
planned changes. These other parties are known as
Stakeholders.

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Key Stakeholders

Who are the main(key) stakeholders?

• Owners of the process (Ex: Managers working


in a particular department).
• Anyone contributing to the process
• Anyone affected by the process
• Those who benefit from process output
• All who see themselves as stakeholders

Not Competitors! S67


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Key Stakeholders

Who are your general stakeholders?

• Society
• Stockholders
• Suppliers
• Customers
• All Employees

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Key Stakeholder Commitment

-2 -1 0 +1 +2

Active
Resistance Passive Collaboration

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Stakeholder Commitment

The more real commitment you have from


stakeholders, the better for your project.
What is real commitment?

When you study a plate of bacon and eggs,


you come to realize that while the chicken was
involved with the process, the pig was truly
committed.
Bill Conway

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An Example Analysis

TBM-Uptime - Stakeholder Analysis


Commitment
What is valued by the
Key Stakeholder (X) present level / (0) required level Recommended Actions
Key Stakeholder
-2 -1 0 1 2
He gives strong support, he
Plant Manager is also the sponsor of the X0
project
He will give support,
because he will get benefit, He will be involved during the
Production Manager X 0
but he may be influenced next meetings.
by the BT Managers
He will give support,
because he will get benefit
in view of waste, but he one
QTEC Manager X0
of his Technology Mgrs is
involved in the project as
Black/Green Belt
His support is required if
trials are required (later in
Production Control
the project).If we can X 0 "Some evening discussions"
Manager
improve the uptime he will
get benefit from the project
Involve him before "starting" of
If we improve the situation
the project. Small meeting
he will get benefit. But he
before project launch. Always
BTM Truck may loose the possibility to X 0
try to get informations about
hide some of his own
his feeling (during walk-over to
problems (DANGEROUS)
parking etc.).

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Stakeholder Analysis Form

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Two-Dimensional Stakeholder Analysis

Opposed Supportive

82

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Two-Dimensional Stakeholder Analysis

• You can refine your stakeholder analysis by adding the


power/influence dimension
• This gives you a map showing where people stand regarding
your project, and helps you to focus your efforts.
• Some people may be opposed to the change, but having
little influence on the success/failure of your project.
• Your goal is to move everyone with success/failure influence
towards positive or least neutral.
• The success/failure influence of those who remain
stubbornly opposed must be minimized.

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Two-Dimensional Stakeholder Analysis

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Flow Charts
Tools
A flow chart or process map can depict the sequence of product,
containers, paperwork, operator actions or administrative
procedures. This is a starting point for process improvement.

Common Flow Chart Symbols


Alternate Predefined Document
Process Decision Data
process Process

Connector
Manual Manual
Terminator Preparation
Input Operation

Off Page Merge Magnetic Disk


Display Delay
Connector Extract Or Storage

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The Process Map

• A process flow chart is simply a map of the system


• These charts are used to get an understanding of the
process, not necessarily a detailed analysis

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The Process Map

Uses:
• Detecting inappropriate use of resources
• Looks to eliminate 7 types of wastes in the system
• Holes or gaps in the control system

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Feedback
Flow Chart indicated the
need for
correction

Admissions Feedback/
Readmits

Emergency
Room
In Patient/
Out Patient
Discharge

Key participants in each step


are shown
Using the High Level Process Map

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Traditional Process
Traditional improvement Improvement
activities tend to focus on actions
within individual functional and organizational groups ...

Result: Limited improvement in overall performance

Emergency Room OR Radiology Maternity


Optimized Optimized Optimized Optimized S80
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Business Process Management

• BPM is a fundamental concept of Six Sigma. Efforts to


improve individual (local) process components are
replaced by systematic methods to understand, control
and improve (even optimize) overall business results.

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Business Process

There are three main business processes levels that need to


be considered in all Six Sigma strategy deployments
1. Business
2. Operations
3. Process
Each one has Key Process Input Variables (KPIV) and
Key Process Output Variables (KPOV)

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Process Elements

• Changes in the output will be related to changes that


originated in the Supply Improvement Process (SIP)
• If your SIPs are stable, your outputs will be stable
• ANY violation indicate your process model is incomplete

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Data Driven, Mathematical and Statistical
Thinking

• All work occurs in system of


interconnected processes.

• Variation exists in all processes.

• Understanding and reducing process


variation are keys to success.

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Role of Statistical Thinking & Methods

Business Mathematical Mathematical Business


Problem Problem Solution Solution

Quantification Data Implementation


with Data Analysis & Control

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Role of Statistical Thinking & Methods

Implement
The company 20% Invest in
inventory
profit margin percent of company
tracking
is smaller inventory is infrastructure to
system to
than not making increase profit
reduce lost
projected it to market margin
product

Quantification Data Implementation


with Data Analysis & Control

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The Place for DMAIC

“Harvesting the Fruit of Six Sigma”


Sweet Fruit
Design for Six Sigma (DFSS)

Process Entitlement
Bulk of Fruit
Process Characterization
and Optimization (DMAIC)
------------------------------------
Low Hanging Fruit
Basic Tools & Lean Methods

Ground Fruit
Logic and Intuition

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TEAMS

"None of us is smarter than all of


us."
(Japanese Saying)
http://www.t2tuk.co.uk/Team%20Building.aspx

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Types of Teams

• Six Sigma Teams • Quality Circles


• Improvement Teams • Quality Teams
• Process Improvement • Natural Work Teams
Teams
• Project Task Teams
• Self Directed Teams
• Cross Functional Teams

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Types of Teams continued

• Improvement Teams • Quality Teams


▫ Structure ▫ Structure
 8-10 members form single  8-10 members form a
department single department
▫ Focus ▫ Focus
 Quality or productivity issues  Quality or overall
▫ Member selection department performance

 Where the problem is observed


 Sources or causes may be found
 Members with special knowledge,
information or skills
 In areas that can be helpful in
developing remedies
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Types of Teams continued

• Project Teams • Six Sigma Teams


▫ Structure ▫ Structure
 Broad or specific member
 8-12 members with a BB
selection
or MBB support
▫ Focus
 Qualified people with
 Specific projects such as
expertise needed
capital equipment
gathering, program ▫ Focus
overhaul, etc.
 Specific process or
customer based projects
with positive impact in
organization performance

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Types of Teams continued

• Cross Functional Teams • Self Directed Teams


▫ Structure ▫ Structure
 8-10 members from  6-15 members from a
different departments work area. Skills require
members to work well in
▫ Focus groups
 Policy, practice, and ▫ Focus
operation changes
 Develop their own goals
inside area

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Team Size

• Not over 15 is a general rule


• Teams of 4 will not generate enough ideas
• The bigger the change and the more areas the project
overlaps, the more people you may want to use

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Team Member Roles

• Steering committee
• Process Owner
• Leader
• Team Leader
• Recorder
• Timekeeper

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Team Stages

• Forming
• Storming
• Norming
• Performing
• Adjourning
• Recognition and reward

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Team Development Stages

06-0105

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Team Meeting Structure

• Develop agenda • Summarize and repeat


• Distribute agenda key points through out
• Start on time • Put unfinished business
on the next agenda
• Appoint a recorder to
keep minutes • Finish on time
• Use Visual aids liberally • Distribute minutes
promptly
• Reinforce Participation,
conflict resolution and • Critique meeting
the problem solving effectiveness periodically
process
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Team Timing and Purpose

• Kaizen teams Simple / Visual


– Short duration
– One week or less
– Full time
– Visual project analysis
• Lean teams
– Medium duration 30-90 days
– Part time
– Cross functional in nature
– Time is a major improvement factor
– Requirements are usually not aligned
• Six Sigma teams
– Longer duration 60-120 days
– Part time
– Seek to reduce variation and eliminate errors Complex
– New product/service development
– Process stabilization and elimination of “root causes” McCarty, 2005

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• For significant • Organizational leadership is
meaningful key
improvement, • Production is the economic
several things factor… to business health
need to happen
• Competitive …organizations
must reinvent for improvement
• While this happens, customers
need to be served
• Implementation and
transformation has to start
somewhere
• Most commonly is cross
functional teams

S99
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This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.

Roles and Responsibilities

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Key Roles for Success
Six Sigma
Strategic
Executive • Set vision and direction
Group Leadership
(Provide •Process Owners
Financial
Support) Champions • Lead implementation

Sponsors • Sponsor projects for results


MBB and BB
serve as
coaches Master • Teach, consult, lead
Black Belts projects

Black Belts • Lead projects

Green Belts • Lead/support projects


• Understand basics
Yellow Belt, White Belt, etc
•All employees
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Executive Leadership & Champion:
Responsibilities

• Participate in development of vision and strategy for Six


Sigma deployment
• *Executive Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt
• Manage resource investment development strategy
• Assist with project definition and alignment
▫ Coach sponsors and Black Belts
• Assure project tracking and reporting - including
validated financial benefits
• Assure transfer of solutions
• Assess performance
• Initiate actions to assure success
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Experts and Roles

• Champion
▫ Senior level managers
▫ Promote the deployment of six sigma
▫ Understand the philosophy and tools of Six
Sigma
▫ Select projects
▫ Set objectives
▫ Allocate resources
▫ Mentor teams

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Project Sponsor: Responsibilities

• Participate in project kick-off meeting


• Help remove roadblocks and buffer conflicts
• Assure continuing project alignment and urgency
• Ensure successful transfer of control responsibilities to
the
-process owner Or help to define the accountable person
• Providing direction and support
• Reinforcing Positive team results

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Project Sponsor: Responsibilities

• Senior Management receives this training


▫ Executive or Certified Lean Six Sigma
Yellow Belt
• Define the project and project objectives
• Approve changes in direction or scope of the project
• Provide (or assist in providing) resources for the
project
• Participate in project kick-off meeting
• Help remove roadblocks and buffer conflicts
• Assure continuing project alignment and urgency
• Ensure successful transfer of control responsibilities
to the process owner
▫ Or help to define the accountable person
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Experts and Roles

• Master Black Belt (most technically trained)


▫ Advise Black Belts during project execution
▫ Teach classes (Coach)
▫ Lead major projects
▫ Participate in program development
▫ Additional training beyond Black Belt

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Responsibilities of a Black Belt

• Initiator
▫ Prepare initial project assessment to estimate benefits
▫ Identify needed project resources
• Technologist
▫ Use the DMAIC process
▫ Determine most effective tools to apply
• Leader (Coach)
A Fulltime
▫ Identify barriers to project progress Responsibility
▫ Lead the project team
▫ Inform the sponsor about project status
• Closer
▫ Deliver results on time
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Experts and Roles

• Black Belts • Green Belts


▫ Fully trained Six Sigma ▫ Functional employees
experts ▫ Trained in introductory
▫ Up to 160 hours of Six Sigma tools and
training methodology
▫ Advanced knowledge of ▫ Work on projects part
tools and DMAIC time
▫ Implement and ▫ Conduct basic analysis
monitor solutions of data
▫ Mentor and develop ▫ Provide ideas for
Green Belts improvement
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Experts and Roles
• Yellow Belts • Team Members
▫ Support Black Belts during ▫ From various
project execution
▫ Collect real data (MSA functional areas
Beneficial data)
▫ Gather data and
▫ Lead ground fruit logic based
projects conduct experiments
▫ Serve on project teams with
approval
▫ Provide operational knowledge
▫ Provide reality check (but
support) projects
▫ Support documentation and
promoting the benefits
▫ Support company directed
White Belt training
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Senior Management Training

• Usually receive sponsored training


• Managers lead the deployment of Six Sigma
• Managers must understand the concepts if their full
support is expected
• Managers will validate the impact of the training

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Key Roles for Project Success
• The process expert
• Helps collect data to
- knows the real-world operation of
identify causes and make
the process Project improvements
• Helps identify problems
and possible causes Team • Knows and follows process
changes
Member
• Green Belts
• Yellow Belts
Sponsor Black Belt

• Identify and prioritize projects • Initiate


• Remove roadblocks and buffer • Lead
conflicts • Apply
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•No partEnsure ongoing control • Close
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Why Six Sigma?

• To deal with a world of declining product prices


• To compete successfully with the best companies in the
world

Need to accelerate our rate of


improvement of quality and productivity
faster than our competitors

• To establish standard language and approaches across


functions and across businesses
• To develop the next generation of leaders

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Organization Deployment Strategy

• What to teach DMAIC


• How to teach
• How to implement
• How to drive
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Time to Reach Six Sigma

5.0
Years 4.8
4.6
4.4
4.2
4.0
3.8
3.6
3.4
3.2
3.0
3.0 3.25 3.5 3.75 4.0 4.25
4.5 Current Process Sigma Level

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Incremental Earnings

1) Incremental Product / Service Earnings Due to Increased Capacity.


▫ (Net Sales After Project - Net Sales before Project) * Product Line Gross Margin - SAG
incremental expenses
▫ Note: A some or all of overhead burden may also be counted in benefits. Ask your finance
rep.
2) Incremental Product / Service Earnings Due to Improved Product
Quality / Service Levels
▫ (Net Sales After Project - Net Sales before Project) * Product Line Gross Margin - SAG
incremental expenses
3) Price Adjustment/Concession Expenditure Reduction Due to
Improved Product Quality / Service Levels
▫ Annual estimated price adjustment/concession credits that will be eliminated.
4) Increased Net Sales Billed From Improved Pricing. (Includes
reductions in discounts and credits.)
▫ Net Price before Project - Net Price after project) * Annual Volume

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... a Source of Financial Gain

• Six Sigma projects target,


then eliminate or reduce
process problems.
• The result is real
financial savings, verified
by financial
representatives, returned
to the business.

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… a Competitive Asset
• Honeywell invites key customers to participate in their
Black Belt and other education programs
• DuPont uses Six Sigma resources to respond to customer
demands for cost reduction
• GE provides on-site service to assist customers in solving
their problems
 Our customers feel the difference. We have more than
3,000 Six Sigma projects underway in the airline
industry which will achieve $400 million in savings for
these customers … This service to our customers will
improve our long-term relationships as this key
industry rebounds.
 GE Annual Report
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... a Source of Intangible Assets

• Build process knowledge and understanding


▫ Identify important cause and effect relationships
 Separate reality from hunches, assumptions,
paradigms, & politics
▫ Build body of knowledge about products and processes
 Potentially greater benefit than initial financial gains
• Develop people
▫ Process thinking
▫ Statistical thinking
▫ Project and team leadership skills
▫ Business and financial understanding

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… a Shaper of Organizational Culture

Characteristics of a “Six Sigma Culture”:

• More data- and fact-based • Investment in education


business decisions and project execution
• Willingness to question the • A common language for
status quo understanding process
• A focus on really and requirements
understanding and
• A conviction that
simplifying all processes
everything can be
• A “no-boundaries” improved
approach to business

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… Not a cure all

If a company is struggling with low performance in terms


of quality, profitability, and productivity, a decision to
become a Six Sigma company may be unwise, and need
to learn the basics first. A company should be at a 3.5 or
4 sigma level before moving to 6 sigma.

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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S121
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PWD Group Inc.- Lean Execute
• Designed to support the improve and control steps with
operational tools that managers and supervisors can
use
• Measures monitors and maintains the results of
executing Lean approach for long term management

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This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.

Statistics for Lean Six Sigma

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Types of Statistics

• Descriptive statistics: Focuses on the collection,


analysis, presentation, and description of a set of data

• Inferential statistics: Focuses on making decisions


about a large set of data, called the population, from a
subset of the data, called the sample

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Sampling

• A population is the entire group of units under


investigation for a fixed period of time and a fixed
location

• A sample is the portion of a population that is selected


to gather information to provide a basis for action on
the population

S94
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Why Sampling

• Less Time-Consuming

• Less Costly

• Less Cumbersome

• Practical

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Types of Sampling

• Non-Probability Samples
▫ Convenience
▫ Judgemental
▫ Quota
• Probability Samples
▫ Simple Random
▫ Stratified
▫ Systematic
▫ Cluster
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Variables

• Attribute Data
• Measurement Date
• Scales
▫ Interval
▫ Ratio

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Measures of Central Tendency

• Mean

• Median

• Mode

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Measures of Dispersion

• Range

• Inter-quartile Range

• Variance and Standard Deviation

S94
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Graphical Plots

• Histogram

• Scatter Plot

• Box Plot

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Random Variable and Probability
Distributions

• Random Variable

• Discrete Random Variable

• Continuous Random Variable

• Binomial, Poisson and Normal Distribution

S94
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This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.

Define (Sponsorship)

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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S124
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Six Sigma Sponsor Goals/Objectives

1. Identify the problem of thinking you are an expert


2. Identify the steps for doing a QFD or House of Quality
3. Define KPIV and KPOVs and know the levels of
identification
4. Define key stakeholders
5. Define how upper management supports Six Sigma teams
6. Define the role and criticism of lack of business impact and
bottom line results in Six Sigma organizations
7. Define how a customers worth is defined
8. Define the principal reason upper management supports Six
Sigma efforts

S125
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Define

The Define (Sponsorship) portion of Six Sigma


Improvement Methodology is presented in the
following topic areas:
• Customer
• Project selection
• Stakeholders
• Methods
• Benefits

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Identify the Customer

Six sigma is built around determining customer’s


needs. Everything must start and end with the
customer’s demands in mind. Every performance
enhancement must be what the customer wants and is
willing to Pay for.

Sometimes it is better for Management to ask for help


to know the customer better and win a Market place.
S127
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Identify the Customer

Customers usually weigh the CQFA of products or


services before purchasing
1. Cost
2. Quality
3. Features
4. Availability
Companies must excel in one of these areas to be successful

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Defining the Customer

• The receiver of the next operation, and internal


department, could be thought of as a customer.
• The external customer of a process could be the
purchaser.
• The primary customer of the process will or should have
the highest impact on the process.
▫ Accountability to final customer, even though there
may be intermediary customers, is the driving force.

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Two Types of Customers

• External
▫ End Users
 Ex: Consumers
▫ Intermediate Customers
 Ex: Retailers
▫ Impacted but do not purchase
• Internal
▫ Anyone inside the company who is affected by the
product as it passes through the company

S130
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Customer Life Cycle

• Acquisition
▫ High cost
• Retention
▫ Cost ¼ of acquisition
• Attrition
▫ Enthusiasm fades as dissatisfaction increases
• Defection
▫ Loss of Customer
• Reacquisition
▫ Highest cost

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Customer Retention

• Keeping a customer costs ¼ the cost of recruiting a new


one
• Why spend so much money in getting new customers if
you cannot keep the customers you have

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Customer Retention

• Happy customers are known as apostles. These are


your best way to get the message across that your
product is the best.
• Unhappy customers turn into terrorists. These hurt
your company drastically by undoing expensive
advertising, marketing, etc…
• By taking the time to turn potential terrorists into
apostles, companies can save vast quantities of
money!!!

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Customer Loyalty

It is not good to look at a situation and dismiss a customer


due to lower quantity of orders. Companies need to look
at the customer’s lifetime of patronage. For example, a
lifetime customer of a…

Fast Food Chain: $ 10,000


Mercedez Dealer: $ 350,000
Groceries: $ 50,000

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Customer (Patient) Readmissions

It is not good to have readmissions and rework a patient.


This is especially important due to the new American
Health Act which penalizes readmission rates (Affects
Hospital’s Bottom line savings)

For example:
Penalty/Patient year 1(1%): $ 100,000
Penalty/Patient year 2 (2%): $ 200,000
Penalty/Patient year 3 (3%): $ 300,000

S135
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Customer Expectations

Customer expectations follow a hierarchy of needs in


the following order:
• Basic
• Expected
• Desired
• Unanticipated

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Customer Expectations

• Companies implementing customer satisfaction programs


should continuously get inputs from their customers to
improve the program.
• Ideally customer feed back should satisfy organization needs
such as to identify customer requirements and spotting
upcoming trends.
• One of the ways to improve organization's customer service
program is by utilizing employee involvement.

S137
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Customer Expectations

• Understanding customer needs is a constant requirement


for organizations. Customer data and information is often
collected in various amounts. The organization should
resolve to:
-Use more proactive approaches
-Focus on improvement plans
-Identify customer satisfaction drivers

S138
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Force Field Analysis

A simple, useful tool for


assessing forces
supporting and resisting
change
Forces against Change
Forces for Change
Customer objections
Cost of direct sales Potential
Project:
Increased pressure
Utilize capabilities
Increase
sales force Disruption
Greater associate satisfaction efficiency
Cost of reorganization

Ask: How can the


supporting forces be Ask: How can the resisting
strengthened? be reduced?
S139
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Kano Model

Noriaki Kano is a Japanese engineer whose work is being


used in a lot of Japanese and American Companies. His
model is based on 3 categories of customer needs:
• Dissatisfiers, ( basic requirements): if the basic
requirements are not present customer will be unhappy.
• Satisfiers, (variable requirements, or “more is better”):
When the requirements of the customer are met, the more
it is met ,the better.
• Delighters, (latent requirements): These services go
beyond the expectations of the customers.

S140
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Kano’s Model of Customer
Satisfaction
Customer
Satisfaction
+
Delighters

100%

Actual
Performance
Satisfiers
Expected

S141
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Interpreting Kano’s Model

• If your product or service doesn’t meet the Expected


attributes, you will anger and perhaps lose your customers.
• If you want to stay with your competition, you’d better have
the Satisfier attributes (and, the more of these you provide,
the happier your customers will be!).
• Identifying and providing Delighter attributes to your
product or service can give you competitive advantage and
increase market share.

S142
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Affinity Diagram: Purpose & Uses

• Purpose
▫ Tool for processing what we hear from our customers
and/or identifying underlying issues
• Other Uses
▫ Identify or select Six Sigma projects
▫ Brainstorming tool
• Benefits
▫ Generates ideas
▫ Distills complex issues into major themes or topics
Note: At the stage, you are interested in identifying problems, not
solutions. It helps to maintain a “weakness orientation” (identifying
specific needs and problems) in collecting ideas.

S143
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Affinity Diagram Method

Preparation
• Clarify Theme
• Warm-up

Writing
• Write Cards
• Scrub Cards

Grouping
• Group 1st-level
• Check for Omissions

If too many or too few groups,


repeat grouping step Titles
• Write Titles for Groups
to create “super groups” or “lesser
groups”
at the right level of abstraction.

S144
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Generate the ideas

Theme: What are issues associated with implementation of business plan?


Weak up-front Complexity
No available Prioritization reconciliation
Capital driven by
is lousy! with corp customer
resource demands
Lacking allocation
Ownership of requires
production
plan doesn’t investment
capacity to
Sales forecast is
support cross all
not accurate
changing functional lines Everyday
requirements problems get in
“Scrub” - Clarify, the way

Fighting daily eliminate duplicates


problems Capital
Capital Poor availability
limitations! prioritization for limits
Unrealistic
market opportunity
goals create
introduction
‘blue sky’ Ownership of
attitude plan doesn’t Sales forecast is
cross all no good Goals are
functional lines unrealistic

S145
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Identify Groupings

Theme: What are issues associated with implementation of business plan?


Ownership Capacity

Ownership of Fighting daily Capital Lacking


plan doesn’t problems availability production
cross all limits capacity to
functional lines Weak up-front opportunity support
reconciliation
changing
Poor with corp Sales forecast is requirements
prioritization for resource not accurate
market allocation Complexity
introduction driven by
Ownership of
plan doesn’t customer
Unrealistic demands
goals create cross all
functional lines requires
‘blue sky’ investment
attitude
But wait. These category titles
are too general. They’re insufficient
for really understanding the core issues.

S146
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Ladder of Abstraction

Beverage

Alcoholic Beverage
More General

Beer

Regional Beer

Texas Beer

Shiner Bock

Bottle # MCA44978

Characteristics of the
beer in that bottle

Chemical composition of the


beer in that bottle

S147
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Business Planning Affinity
Diagram

Theme: What are issues associated with implementation of business plan?

Planning Means not


Capacity Lack of time
approach not clearly
Plan not may not and
standardized defined
integrated meet needs resources

Poor Ownership of Ownership of Sales forecast is Complexity


prioritization for plan doesn’t plan doesn’t not accurate driven by
market cross all cross all customer
introduction functional lines functional lines Lacking demands
production requires
Fighting daily Unrealistic Weak up-front capacity to investment
problems goals create reconciliation support
‘blue sky’ with corp changing Capital
attitude resource requirements availability
allocation limits
opportunity

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Interrelationship: Planning Process
Out=2
Which of these In=2
Means not
issues provide clearly
most potential as defined Out=3
Six Sigma project Driver In=1
areas? Plan not
integrated

Planning
Driver approach not
standardized Capacity Out=1
may not In=3
Out=4 meet
In=0 needs Outcome
Outcome
Out=0 Lack of time and
In=4 resources

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Estimating Potential Financial Impact

• Major purpose of Six Sigma project is to help business


“make more money now as well as in the future.”*
Managers care about the bottom line.
• Therefore, it is important to have realistic estimates of
the financial benefits of Six Sigma projects.
• Many feel TQM and Six Sigma lack business impact.

* This is Goldratt’s definition of


the goal of any publicly
held company.
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Impacting the Bottom Line

NVA to VA

Cost Avoidance

Cash Flow

Growth
Tangible

Cost Takeout $$
Reported Project Bottom Line
Savings Impact
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Expected Financial Benefits
• Tangible
▫ Tangible benefits typically have clear, measurable,
positive impacts on income statement or balance sheet.
▫ General categories
 growth (incremental earnings),
 cost takeout
 cash flow

• Intangible
– May be difficult to quantify, but could be substantial.
Examples
• Cost avoidance; NVA to VA
• Customer and associate satisfaction
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Expected Financial Benefits

• Benefits must be:


▫ Directly linked to Six Sigma project.
▫ Incremental (i.e. not moneys/benefits we would have realized
anyway)
▫ Offset with project execution costs.
• Financial Baseline
▫ Typically, baseline period is twelve (12) months preceding
project start date.
• Recognition Horizon
▫ Twelve (12) months. (Where applicable, use prior period average
exchange rates.)

S153
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Quality Functional Deployment (QFD)
– House of Quality
The house of quality is a matrix
used to help determine what
design features will meet
customer needs as well as how Interrelationship
it will interact with the other Of Design Features
customer needs. Only after
How to meet the customer
determining the customer wants
needs, the other steps in QFD (Design Features)
will occur.

Priorities
Customer
Comparison of
Some features react negatively
Customer

with other features, so this is


Needs

tracked on the “roof” of the


house.
Benchmarked Target Values

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• Calculate the value for the
absolute and relative weight

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Project Selection

Voice of Voice of
the Market the Process

Project Ideas
Voice of Voice of
the Business the Employees

Refining the Prioritizing and


definition Scope
Containment

Individual
Projects

S156
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S157
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Additional Slides

Drucker on Knowing the Customer


"What people in business think they know about customers and markets
is more likely to be wrong than right. There is only one person who
knows: the customer.

Only by asking the customers, watching them, by trying to understand


their behaviors, can one find out who they are, what they do, how they
buy, how they use what they buy, and what they expect....

The customer rarely buys what the business thinks it sells…."

Peter Drucker, Managing for Results: Economic Tasks and Risk-Taking


Decisions (1986)

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Financial Factors

NetIncome
Return on Assets ROA =
TotalAsset sUsed
NetIncome
Return on Investment ROI =
InvestmentUsed
Cash Flow in Time
period t CFt = CFB ,t − CFC ,t

Convert APR (i) into rate r r = (1 + i )


1
m −1
where m = periods per year
n
Net Present Value (NPV) CFt
NPV = 
t =0 (1 + r )t
NPV (r ) = 0
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Solve for r

S159
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Customer Driven Service

• Listen to customer
• Define service strategy
• Set performance standards
• Select and train employees
• Recognize and reward accomplishments

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Collecting Customer Data

There are many levels to gaining knowledge about the


voice of the customer. When considering collecting data,
it helps to determine what level of the company is
impacting the customer. Is it your ???
▫ Business Level
▫ Process Level
▫ Operations Level

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Quality Function Deployment

• Pioneered in Kobe Shipyards by Yoji Akao


• Quality Function Deployment
▫ Customer wants are turned into technical demands
▫ The quality is designed and built in instead of added
on

S162
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Document Vs. Knowledge Management
Document:
The intellectual property
the firm desires to
manage

Knowledge:
Not as structured and
goes beyond a
Homework: documents
Describe the
difference
between
Document and
Knowledge
management

S163
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Quality Cost Categories

• Prevention
 Cost to prevent poor quality
 Quality should be built to prevent inspection
• Appraisal
 Cost with measuring, evaluating, inspecting,
auditing etc.
• Failure
▫ Internal
 Costs that occur prior to delivery of service or
product
▫ External
 Costs that occur after delivery
S164
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Cost of Poor Quality (COPQ)

Traditional Quality Costs


Tangible
Audit Administration /
Insurance Claims Disposition
Excess Linen Malpractice
Readmits
Counterfeit Drugs

Additional Costs of Poor Quality


Bed Changes
Intangible
ER Service for non ER events
Difficult or impossible to measure
Government Penalty
Lost patients due to negligence Lost Opportunity
Loss of accreditation and funds Lost Opportunity
Hidden Factory
Excess IV pumps and wheelchairs
Extended unpaid stays
Excess medical claims

Average COPQ Approximately 15% of Readmitted Patients

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Quality Cost Analysis

What is Quality Cost Analysis:


• The costs in relation to Identifying, Preventing, Appraisal
and Rework.
• In most companies the costs of poor quality runs at 20-
30% of sales-Juran.
• For instance, when the cost exceeds or too high in
relation to sales, it is ideal to stop adding quality
inspectors to reduce scrap cost.

S166
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Define (Black Belt)

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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S168
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Six Sigma Black Belt Goals/Objectives

1. Define what the team's charter describes and how it


creates a consistent target for the team
2. What is the advantage of Project Management

S169
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Define

The Define portion of Six Sigma Improvement


Methodology is presented in the following topic
areas:
• Project Scope
• Metrics
• Problem Statement

S170
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Project Scope

As the adage goes, properly defining the problem is the


most important part of solving the problem. The following
tools and techniques are useful in the definition step:
• Project Charter
• Stakeholder
• Defining the Customer
• Pareto Diagrams
• SIPOC
• Rolled Throughput Yield (RTY)
• Voice of the Customer
• Affinity Diagrams
• Kano Model
S171
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Metrics Selection

The primary and more detailed metrics are developed but


are not finalized in the definition step.
The primary metrics for consideration in a project would be
from several sources:
▫ Suppliers
▫ Internal process
▫ Customers

S172
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Metrics Selection

The basic metrics are:


• Quality
• Cycle time
• Cost
• Value
• Labor

S173
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Consequential Metrics

Consequential Metrics
• Metrics that may be impacted negatively as a
result of improving the primary metric.
• May keep you from passing your problem to
another area (e.g. Purchasing buys cheaper
component that leads to increased waste
generation).

S174
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Project Charter

This Charter is very important for several reasons:


• The team is aware of the project goals and boundaries
• The team can remain focused on the goals (minimum
deviation from the original design)
• The team will work on projects that align with the
organization’s goals
• The team champion will support the team and their goals

S175
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Project Charter
The project charter describes the projects general:
1. Mission
2. Scope
3. Objectives
It should contain the following key points
• Business case (financial impact)
• Problem statement
• Project scope (boundaries)
• Goal statement
• Role of team members
• Milestones/ deliverables (end products of the project)
• Resources required S176
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Project Charter

• Purpose and Plan for


Project
• Key Communications
Tool
• A “Living” Document
▫ Updated as project develops
• Clear, Concise
• Elements of Project
Charter were identified
in the.

S177
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Problem Statement

• A problem statement will detail the issue that the team wants to
improve.
• The problem statement should be crafted to be as descriptive as
possible. That is, how long has the problem existed, what
measurable item is affected, what is the business impact, and
what is the performance gap.
• The problem statement should be neutral, to avoid jumping to
conclusions.
• The problem statement should refer to a baseline measure.
• A base line measure can be defined as data on the level of
performance of the particular metric at the initial start of a
project.
S178
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Goal Statement

The goal statement will be created and agreed to by the


team and team champion. Hopefully, the goal will be
achievable within a 120 to 160 day period.

S179
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Milestones/Deliverables

For any well managed project, a set of stages or


milestones are used to keep the project on track and on
target to help bring a project to completion. Only half of
the project would be allocated to the define and
measure stages. Typical Six Sigma projects are between
120 and 160 days. Assigning teams a first project with
lengths of more than 160 days will lower their success
rate.

S180
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Define Phase

Project Charter
Problem Statement: In 2012, plant hospital lost $5.6 million on COPQ. Of this, almost $4.4 (80%)
million occurred due to readmit penalties originating from the ER. This has resulted in a loss of
credibility for the hospital

Project Goals/Objective: Reduce COPQ for ER by 25% (1.3 million) by year-end.

Primary Metrics: - COPQ


- Readmits (% of patients discharged from ER)
- Audit score (% of readmitted patients)

Secondary Metrics: - Quality assurance in ER


- % of time (nurse/doctor/surgeon) spent with patient
- % of time explaining medication to patient
- % of time healthcare personnel trained on readmits

Team Members: Erick Jones - MBB


Harrison Armstrong - YB
Joe Michels - YB
S181
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Resources Required

Typical resources required for a project could include:


• Qualified people
• Equipment
• Machinery
• Lab space
• Office space
• Machine time
• Phone
• Computer equipment
• Utilities, etc.
Effective Project Management Allows for optimizing resources and
keep projects from using unlimited resources

S182
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Project Management &Timeline
Your Project Charter should include a
project timeline. This should show at least
the estimated completion dates of major
phases of the project.

January February March April May June July

DEFINE Define P roject Area


P repare for P roject Execution

MEASURE 1 Select C ritical C haracteristics


2 Determ ine Targets and Specifications
3 Validate the Measurem ent System

ANALYZE 4 Establish a Baseline


5 Determ ine Im provem ent Objectives
6 Study P rocess Inputs

IMPROVE 7 Determ ine P otential C auses


8 Quantify K ey Input Settings
9 Form ulate the Im plem entation P lan

CONTROL 10 Validate the P lan


11 C ontrol Inputss and Monitor Outputs
12 Sustain the C hange

S183
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Leading Teams for Quality Improvement

• Stages of a Team’s Development


▫ Forming
 The team is composed and the objective for the team is set.
▫ Storming
 Team members begin to get to know each other and
agreements have not been made that facilitate smooth
interaction.
▫ Norming
 The team becomes a cohesive unit and interdependence,
trust, and cooperation develop.
▫ Performing
 A mutually supportive, steady state is achieved.
▫ Mourning
 Team members regret the end of the project and team
breaking up. S184
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Conflict Resolution in Teams

• Stages in the Conflict Resolution Process


▫ Frustration. People are at odds, and competition or
aggression ensues.
▫ Conceptualization and Orientation. Opponents
identify the issues that need to be resolved.
▫ Interaction. Team members discuss and air the
problems.
▫ Outcome. The problem is resolved.

S185
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Managing and Controlling Projects

Steps Used to Develop an Activity Network Diagram


(continued)
• Draw the network diagram. (PERT)
• Compute early start and early finish times by working from
left to right in the network. These are the earliest times that
individual tasks can be started and finished.
• Compute late start and late finish times by moving from
right to left in the network. These times are the latest times
that tasks can possibly be started or finished.
• Compute slack times and determine the critical path. The
critical path links activities with zero slack.
 Slack time = Late start – Early start

S186
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Measure

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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S188
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Six Sigma Measure Goals/Objectives

1. Define Measurement Systems Analysis


2. Identify what bias
3. Identify Gauge R&R

S189
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Critical Characteristics

Creating a clear, measurable Project y. May require


further scoping-down of y identified in DEFINE stage.
The Initial Objectives are to
▫ Determine the CTQs for the project area
▫ Flowdown to a related, measurable, workable, output ‘y ’
 Recognize and use the various tools for flowdown

▫ Identification of one or more measurable indicators of


process performance, the project y (s).

S190
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Setting the Stage for Quality
Customer

Critical to ... CTS … Satisfaction

Critical to ... CTQ … Quality

Critical to ... … Process


CTP

S191
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From Big Y to little y
Customer says: I just want a BIG Y
good cup of coffee! (CTS)

What are the attributes that make a cup of


big Y’s
coffee good? (CTQ)
taste……...hot……......portion……...appearance…..

Yummy What is the 16 oz Clean cups,


temperature? no floaters,
rich look...
little y’s
(CTP)
0.1 l

S192
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Flow down from “Big Y” to “little x”
CTQ
CTP Measurable Input
Characteristic Input Controls
Characteristics Characteristics

Y y X x
• Taste • ppm coffee

• Temp • pH

• Portion • Taste Test Survey

• Appearance • Coffee Meister Result

S193
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Measurement System Analysis

• Purpose
▫ Statistically or logically determine the adequacy of
the measurement system.
• Objectives
▫ Recognize and use the various tools for studying
measurement accuracy and precision
▫ Isolate areas for any needed improvements to the
measurement system
• Deliverable
▫ A quantification or justification of the adequacy of
the measurement system
▫ If necessary, a record of actions taken to improve
the measurement system.

S194
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Metric Visualization
Project Metrics

Components
of Variation

Gage
R&R

Attribute
R&R
Adequate
Measurement
System S195

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MSA Exercise

• You are a new inspector in a production process


• The job requires acute visual inspection of parts for
minor cosmetic defects
• Inspections must be completely within a very short time
to keep up with production
• To qualify to be considered for this coveted position, the
inspector must pass a test.

S196
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MSA Exercise
• Inspector Test: Read the article below and count the
occurrences of the letter “f”
• Complete the test within 45 seconds and record the
number in the box below.
• Do not show your neighbor or say your number out load.
Four score and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation, conceived in
liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal. Now we are engaged in a great civil
war, testing whether that nation, or any nation, so conceived and so dedicated, can long endure. We are met
on a great battle-field of that war. We have come to dedicate a portion of that field, as a final resting place
for those who here gave their lives that that nation might live. It is altogether fitting and proper that we
should do this.
But, in a larger sense, we can not dedicate...we can not consecrate...we can not hallow this ground. The
brave men, living and dead, who struggled here, have consecrated it, far above our poor power to add or
detract. The world will little note, nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did
here. It is for us the living, rather, to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here
have thus far so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before
us—that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full
measure of devotion—that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain—that this
nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom—and that government of the people, by the people, for
the people, shall not perish from the earth.

S197
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MSA Exercise Follow-up

• Why were there differences in the counts?


▫ List on flip chart
• What things changes might have improved consistency?
(instruction, magnification, lighting)
▫ List on flip chart
• Which of these would apply to improving inspection?
• The purpose of MSA is to facilitate learning about and
improving a measurement system

S198
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Components of Variation

Process Variations Measurement System Errors


• Accuracy
• Common Causes • Linearity
• Stability
• Special Causes • Repeatability
• Reproducibility

S199
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Measurement Reproducibility

“Reproducibility”
Reproducibility

58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 60.0 60.5 61.0 61.5 62.0 62.5

“Repeatability” (Marie)

Marie also
measures the
Durometer Durometer
reading of the
10 samples.* 58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 60.0 60.5 61.0 61.5 62.0 62.5

“Repeatability” (Jack)

*In this example, all 10 samples are identical.


Durometer

58.0 58.5 59.0 59.5 60.0 60.5 61.0 61.5 62.0 62.5

S200
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This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.

Analyze/Improve

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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S202
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Six Sigma Analyze/Improve
Goals/Objectives

1. Define the correct Benchmarking sequence


2. Identify how non-numeric information can be
generated in a designed experiment (DOE)
3. Define Evolutionary Operations (EVOP)
experiments

S203
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Business Results

• Process Performance Metrics


• Benchmarking
• Financial Benefits

S204
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Six Sigma Metrics

• Defects = D
• Units =U
• Opportunities for a defect = O
• Yield =Y

S205
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Six Sigma Metrics

Total Opportunities: TO = TOP = U x O


Defects per unit: DPU = D/U also = -ln (Y)
Defects per normalized unit: = -ln (Ynorm)
Defects per opportunity: DPO = DPU/O = D/UO
Defects per million opp.: DPMO = DPO x 10^6

• Defects = D
• Units = U
• Opportunities for a defect = O
• Yield = Y

S206
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Benchmarking

Any enterprise should know their strongest competitors on a


process by process basis.
Sometimes it is necessary to look outside the industry to find
good benchmarking data.

S207
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Benchmarking Sequences

1. Determine Current Practices


1. Select problem area
2. Identify key performance factors
3. Understand own processes and the processes of
others
4. Select performance criteria based on needs and
priorities
2. Identify Best Practices
1. Measure the performance within the organization
2. Determine the leaders in the criteria areas
3. Find an internal or external organization to
benchmark
S208
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Benchmarking Sequences
3. Analyze Best Practices
1. Visit the organization as a benchmark partner
2. Collect information and data of the benchmark leader
3. Evaluate and compare current practices with the
benchmark
4. Model Best Practices
1. Drive improvement changes to advance performance
2. Extend performance breakthroughs within the
organization
3. Incorporate new information in the business decision
making
4. Share results with benchmark partner
5. Seek other benchmark leaders for further improvement
5. Repeat
S209
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Examples of Benchmarking

• Customer satisfaction
• Actual customer desires
• Current competition
• Best in related industries
• Best in the world

S210
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Typical Vs. Breakthrough Benchmarking

Your Company
Best

Typical Breakthrough

Performance
Performance

Time Time

S211
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Models & Transfer Equations

Environmental “Truth” y = f(x)


Factors

Visible Model y = f(x) + 

Planned Experiments,
Observation, Discovery
Estimated y(est) = f(xi) + 
Model

Simulations Optimization
“All models are wrong
S97.1 – Presenter Only
but some are useful.” George Box

S212
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Planned Experimentation

Experiment:
“A test or series of tests in which purposeful
changes are made to the input variables of a
process or system so that we may observe and
identify the reasons for changes that might be
observed in the output response.”

The plan for an experiment is also called


the “design of experiment” or “DOE” and
the output of an experiment is not
necessarily numerical.
S213
Montgomery, Douglas C. 2000. Design and Analysis of Experiments, 5th Ed., Wiley. p. 1.
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A Comparison

One-at-a-Time Statistical Design EVOP


• Time-consuming • Design of • Evolutionary
and inefficient Experiments (DOE) Operations (EVOP)
• No guarantee of • Efficient and effective • Introduce small
finding optimum changes in process
• Optimum is variables during
• Interaction of methodically sought, normal production
variables can statistically verified, flow
produce incorrect and documented
conclusions • Changes are non-
• Interactions of conforming
variables are
incorporated into the • Used to determine
design settings

S214
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Experimentation: Documentation…...
Documentation of a Planned Experiment
PROJECT:
LOCATION:
PREPARED BY: DATE:
1. OBJECTIVE:

2. BACKGROUND INFORMATION:

3. EXPERIMENTAL VARIABLES:
A. Response Variables Measurement Technique
1.
2.
3.
B. Factors Under Study Levels
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
C. Background Variables Method of Control
1.
2.
3.
4. REPLICATION:

5. METHODS OF RANDOMIZATION:

6. DESIGN MATRIX: (Attach Copy)

7. DATA COLLECTION FORMS: (Attach Copies)

8. PLANNED METHODS OF EXPERIMENTAL ANALYSIS:

9. ESTIMATED COST, SCHEDULE, AND OTHER RESOURCE CONSIDERATIONS:

S215
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Control

No part of this document can be reproduced without prior written permission of PWD Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Anyone reproducing this material will be prosecuted to the full extinct of the law.
PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S217
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Six Sigma Control End Chapter
Questions

1. Define what a control chart to identify


2. Define why control limits are set at the three sigma
level
3. Define how charting can identify a special cause

S218
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Validation Steps

1. Run the new/revised process.

2. Monitor results carefully.

3. Calculate performance statistics.

4. Compare actual results to expected.

S219
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Control Inputs, Monitor Outputs
Purpose
 Continue to run process at new settings and collect data
on process mean, noise, and Z-Score levels.
 Define plan to ensure that level of x’s does not change;
but if it does, have a corrective control plan available.
Objectives
At end of step, participant should be able to:
 Identify and design appropriate techniques for
maintaining acceptable process performance.
Deliverables
 For each vital x, provide a plan for maintaining its
chosen level.

S220
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Hierarchy of Control
Process Prevention of Problem
Robust (Robust Design &
Process Modification
Mistake Proofing)

Early Detection &


Early in Setpoints for
Control of Problem
Process Vital x’s (APC/SPC)

Internal y Reactive
(Inspection)

Customer CTQs Too Late

S221
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Natural Erosion After Process Improvement
Quality

“Experience shows that if nothing is done


to prevent it, the improved quality, won
Improvement with such difficulty, may begin to
disappear”*

Months

*Box and Luceno, Statistical Control by Monitoring and Feedback Adjustment, 1997 S222
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Standardize and Control to Hold Gains
Quality

Improvement 3

Continuous improvement with


Improvement 2 gains locked in through
standardization and control.
Months
Improvement 1

S223
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Standards and Standardization

Standard: The best currently known way to


perform an activity.

The standard contains essential information about actions that


are vital to:
performing the process in a way that will deliver in the
required levels of process output, or
reacting when there is risk that the performance is not
satisfactory.

The standard describes performance related to the vital x’s.


S224
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PDCA to SDCA

Check

Do Act

Standardize
Move back when
Standardize to improvement is
hold the gains required

Plan

Act Do

Check

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SPC in the Control Phase

Applications of control charting - in order of sophistication:


•Reporting and monitoring process performance
•Making process adjustments
•Evaluating the effect of simple experiments
•Simultaneous monitoring of multiple characteristics - to discover
which charts provide best predictors of product or process
performance
•For continual improvement - a way of thinking, with charts acting
as a catalyst for this thought process.
• In the ongoing control of the process, the use of control charting typically
focuses on the first two categories of use.

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Statistical Process Control
• Effective statistical process control is based on the
intelligent application and use of statistical control
charts.
• Control charts are graphs on which we plot
▫ a statistic - such as individual values, subgroup
averages or ranges
▫ and lines representing the average (or reference
value) and control limits of the statistic.
• The charts enable us to identify signals of the presence
of unusual (non-random) causes affecting the
process.
• Control charts will work with subgroups of size 1, even
when the data are not normally distributed.
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Common and Special Cause Variation
• Common Cause Variation: Always present in the
process. Also known as natural variation.
• Special Cause Variation: Variation due to external
sources. Also known as assignable cause variation.
Sources of Special cause variation:
Discrepancies with:
▫ Tools and machines
▫ Workers
▫ Materials
▫ Work methods
▫ Measurement methods
▫ Environment S228
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Common Cause Variation

• In a hypothetical situation, if all within time, piece to


piece, and measurement variation were removed from a
process, only inherent (Common cause) variation will
be left. It is ideal to minimize the common cause
variation to improve the process after process control has
been achieved.

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Interpretation of Control Charts
Unexpected Variability
UCL

Variability Inherent
to the Process
LCL

Unexpected Variability

The Control Limits - set at 3 standard deviations from the


centerline - represent the range of results we would expect if only
random variation is present.

Results beyond the control limits are a signal of some “special


cause” of disturbance of the process.
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Statistical Process Control

• Central Line
• UCL UCL
Zone A

• LCL Zone B

• Zones A, B, C Central
Zone C

line
Zone C

Zone B

Zone A
LCL

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Chart Run Rules
• SPC Rule 1
 One point beyond zone A
• SPC Rule 2
 Nine points in a row in Zone C or beyond
• SPC Rule 3
 Six points in a row steadily increasing or decreasing
• SPC Rule 4
 Fourteen points in a row alternating up and down
• SPC Rule 5
 Two out of three points in a row in Zone A or beyond
• SPC Rule 6 –
 Four out of five points in a row in Zone B or beyond

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SECtCS CT – Representative CT

Respondent 8 CT Chart

12
10
CT Score

8
6
4
2
0
-2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Weeks

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SECtCS CT – Representative Non-CT

Respondent 2 CT Chart

12

10

8
CT Score

-2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Weeks

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Control Chart Issues

• Since many variables are important in control charting, the


risk of having an operator plot a large number of
characteristics is that the Distraction from the actual
process itself

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Example Problem

• A process is in control with p bar =0.10 and n =100. The


three sigma limits of the np control chart are:

1 and 19

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This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.

LEAN

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… Lean Tools in Six Sigma
DEFINE MEASURE ANALYZE IMPROVE CONTROL

Interview Process Hypothesis Process Capability Factorial Design Control Plans


Testing Analysis of Experiments
Language Analysis of x-y Map Fractional Visual Systems
Processing Variance Factorials
Prioritization Quality Function FMEA Data Mining 5-S
Matrix Deployment
System Map Flowdown Multi-Vari Chart Blocking TPM

Stakeholder Measurement Chi-Square Response Surface Mistake-Proofing


Analysis System Analysis Methodology
Thought Process Graphical Regression Multiple Response SPC/APC
Map Methods Optimization
Value Stream Process Behavior Buffered Theory of
Mapping Charts Tolerance Limits Constraints

These process analysis and process improvement tools have


been used for years!
Six Sigma applies them in an integrated, sequential process.
This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.
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Lean History

• The Arsenal in Venice, Italy


• Honore Blanc and Interchangeable Parts
• Frederick Taylor “The Principles of Scientific Management”
• Frank & Lillian Gilbreth and motion studies
• Henry Ford and the production line
• W. Edward Deming and Total Quality Management
• Training Within Industry Service
• Toyoda and Taiichi Ohno and Toyota Production System
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What is Lean?

• At its base, it is the development of the worker


• It empowers the employee to make changes they feel are
necessary
• Used to reduce the effects of the 7 Wastes
• It’s only one tool in the tool bag

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Fundamental Principles of Lean Production

• The workplace is safe, orderly, and immaculately clean


• Products are built just-in-time and only to customer
demand
• Six sigma quality is built into the product and the
process
• Empowered work teams make key decisions on the shop
floor and in supporting functions
• Visual management techniques are used to spread
critical information throughout the factory
• There is a relentless pursuit of perfection
• Material is supplied via kanban with a reduced
dependence on MRP
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Ohno’s Seven Types of Waste

• Overproduction
• Waiting
• Transportation
• Processing
• Excessive inventory
• Unnecessary motion
• Making defective products

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5S

• A methodology used to organize activities and areas in


a facility

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Is 5S Necessary?

• Factories are living, breathing entities that have a heart beat


and must eat and respire just like many other organisms.
• 5S is the training regimen that a factory or company needs to
partake in to get to that level.

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Handling Resistance

• What’s so great about organization and orderliness?


• Why should the company president be the 5S chairman?
• Why clean when it just gets dirty again?
• Implementing organization and orderliness will not boost
output.

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Handling Resistance

• Why concern ourselves with triviality?


• We already implemented organization and orderliness.
• My filing system is a mess but I know my way around it.
• We did 5S years ago.

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Handling Resistance

• The 5S and related improvements are just for the factory.


• We’re too busy to spend time on organization and orderliness.
• Who are they to tell me what to do?
• We don’t need the 5S

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Why Use 5S?

• The 5S concept helps get your house in order and keep it in


order.
• The basic concept is setting the work place up so that it is
organized and runs well.
• A technique that makes the problems visible in a work
place.

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5S Benefits

• Zero changeovers brings product diversification


• Zero defects brings higher quality
• Zero wastes brings lower costs
• Zero delays brings reliable deliveries
• Zero injuries promotes safety
• Zero breakdowns brings better maintenance
• Zero complaints brings greater confidence and trust
• Zero red ink brings corporate growth
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The 5 Pillars

• Sort
• Set in Order
• Shine
• Standardize
• Sustain

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Sort

• Organization of job assignments, orders, operations,


materials, etc.
• Organization means clearly distinguishing between what is
needed and is to be kept and what is unneeded and is to be
discarded.

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Set in Order

• Clarification of where items belong so that anyone can


understand where to find them and where to return them.
• This helps reduce training time and drives home the concept
of a visual factory.

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Shine

• Literally sweeping the floors and keeping things in order.


• Maintenance activities often occur here because the
operators usually understand the equipment better than
anyone else.

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Standardize

• Maintenance of the first three pillars.

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Sustain

• Follow specified and standardized procedures.


• The ultimate responsibility for maintaining the 5S’s is the
manager.
• They lead by example and should show the same discipline
they expect from their workers.

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5S - Workplace Organization

• First S: Sort (Organization)


Distinguish between what is needed and not needed.

• Second S: Stabilize (Orderliness)


A place for everything and everything in its place.

• Third S: Shine (Cleanliness)


Cleaning and looking for ways to keep it clean.
Cleaning is inspecting!

• Fourth S: Standardize (Promote Adherence)


Share established standards and make standards obvious.

• Fifth S: Sustain (Self-Discipline)


Stick to the rules and maintain the first four S’s.

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Introducing 5S Into a Workplace

• Establish a 5S Promotion Organization – members of the top


management should be involved in pushing the program out.
• Establish a 5S Promotion Plan – schedule implementations
out to ensure that areas are aware that they will be
responsible for participation.

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Introducing 5S Into a Workplace

• Create 5S Campaign Materials – create materials that enlist


companywide cooperation in the company’s 5S campaign.
• In-house Education – teach everyone what 5S is and what it
will mean to them and how it will involve them.

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Introducing 5S Into a Workplace

• Implementation – the activities are what will ingrain the 5S


into the culture or cause it to fail.
• Evaluation and Follow Up – follow up and activities and make
sure things are going correctly. If not, what has failed and how
do you learn from the mistakes.

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5S Campaign

• Establish a plan.
• Plans should be for at least 1 year but no more than 2 years.
• It should show a schedule of activities.
• Facilities evolve so be prepared to make adjustments as you
go.

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5S Campaign

• Kick off the campaign.


• Bring everyone together.
• Set the tone and let the employees see the managers’
enthusiasm about the program.

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5S Campaign

• Depending on current status with the company, differing


viewpoints can be taken. i.e. the plant is doing poorly so
promote survival, or the plant is doing well so prepare for the
possible downturn.

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In-house Education

• Enlighten the employees. This can be done in a number of


ways.
▫ Slogans – use employee developed slogans to place on banners
and bulletins.
▫ Posters – use posters to show work or information about a
technique or project that was performed.
▫ In-house bulletins – convey to the employees how 5S is expected
to support the company’s objectives.
▫ 5S news – provide more information about the 5S concepts. Even
show work done at other places or do a company highlight.
▫ Outside consultants – hold seminars for upper and middle
management so that they can obtain more in-depth knowledge
▫ Videos and books – again more information
▫ Single point 5S lessons –have the managers show the employees
what they have learned and how they are incorporating the 5S
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Summary

• Make 5S education continuous


• Don’t be a perfectionist
• The primary place for 5S Implementation is the workplace
• Encourage independent thinking
• Encourage motivation and skill building

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Lean Tenants
• Value
▫ How does the customer define value?
• Value Stream
▫ What processes does a product pass through as it is
completed?
• Pull
▫ Ensure that nothing is produced until it is needed up a
downstream operation.
• Flow
▫ Ensure that product passes from operation to
operation without any delays in between.
• Perfection
▫ Continuous improvement
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Traditional Push Systems

• The production of product in large lots has the the


following disadvantages:
-Additional product transportation expenses
-Longer customer delivery lead times
-Potential product damage or deterioration costs

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Kanban Systems (Pull systems)

• Deals with Control of Material Flow


• Don’t produce until it is needed
• Downstream pulls from upstream
• Reduces dependence on schedules
• Visual signals control production
• Reduce inventory levels
• Customer is doing the pulling

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Kanban Systems (Pull systems)

• The essence of Kanban concepts includes:


• Delivery of components and products only when
needed
• Minimal storage in production areas
• Distress through the production system when a
machine failure occurs

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Visual Controls/Communication

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Two Types of Visual Standards

1: Visual Communication
– Display performance status
– Display “Need To Know” information MasterCard

2: Visual Control
– Give directives

– Give directions Tools

– Show tool/material location

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Visual Management & Performance Focus

It is critical that all vital knowledge be communicated clearly, effectively,


and regularly to all affected persons in all levels of the organization

Examples of visual
Targets & performance management tools: Signs & displays

SCRATCH
Production count boards FREE AREA
Remove or cover
Tuesday’s production all rings and
watches before
Scheduled Actual Problems entering
Time (PCs) (PCs)
8:00 - 12:00 450 465
Limit sample for quality Bulletin boards & KPI boards
12:00 - 4:00 500 490
4:00 - 8:00 450 370 Feeder Key Performance Indicators
down
8:00 - 12:00 400 440

Good Bad

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Visual Management & Team Performance

ASSESSMENT! At first
glance!

No need to read
all the numbers to
understand what
the status is.

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The Concept of Visual Controls

• A visual control is any communication device used in the


work environment that tells us at a glance how work should
be done.
• Applies to any type of information critical to the flow of work
activities.
• In any situation, we can implement standardization in such a
way that all standards are identified by visual controls.

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Machine Lubrication

Information at machine,
including Min and Max
Identification
Identification on oil can levels
on barrel

DTE
25

MAX
DTE
25
MIN
DTE
25

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Inventory Indicators

Parts Storage

Part A
Max

Min

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Levels of Visual Controls

Headlight Example
• Level 1: Share Information Add a reminder to turn off
lights in the owner’s manual.

• Level 2: Share Standards Add a reminder sticker to the


driver’s side window.
Reminder: Turn your lights off.
• Level 3: Build Standards Add a symbol to the dash that
into Work Area shows lights are on.

 Lights On

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Levels of Visual Controls (Cnt’d)

Level 4: Add Audible or Sound chime if ignition


Visual is turned off with lights
still on.

Level 5: Stop Error Add device that prevents


removal of key if lights
are on.

Level 6: Prevent Error Install timer to shut off


lights after ignition is off.

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Total Preventative Maintenance
(TPM)

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Total Preventative Maintenance

• A multi-step, team-based approach to minimize all the


types of waste caused by equipment downtime.

• Goals
1. Maximize equipment efficiency
2. Eliminate equipment breakdowns

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TPM Partnership

a partnership between maintenance and production


Current Situation Future Situation

Maintenance Production Maintenance Production

• Cleaning, Lubrication • Cleaning, Lubrication


• Maintenance, Inspection • Cleaning • Maintenance, Inspection
• Downtime through • Preventive Maintenance
• Preventive Maintenance breakdown losses
• Overhaul • Condition-Based Maint.

• Overhaul
Manufacturing
• Technical Improvements Manufacturing
Repairs (Breakdown)
• Training of Operators
Repairs (Breakdown)

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TPM Steps

7. Step

6. Step
- full
7. Autonomous maintenance application
5. Step
- consolidation of clean,
6. Standards for process check and maintenance
4. Step quality assurance
knowledge
- autonomous maintenance according
3. Step 5. Autonomous inspection to checklists and service standards

- develop knowledge of the machine construction


4. Train associates in
autonomous maintenance - build skills for autonomous maintenance
2. Step
- set up checklists and service standards
3. Establish cleaning and - visual management on machine and/or equipment
lubrication standards - working area standards for cleaning and tidiness
1. Step - eliminate leaks
2. Eliminate sources of - making maintenance tasks easier
contamination - eliminate sources of machine soiling
- Basic cleaning
1. Initial cleaning - lubrication
- defect tagging } Cleaning is inspecting!
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The effects of TPM Go Beyond Maintenance

TPM is not a program but a


1. Cleaning becomes checking
4. Improvement becomes positive change in behavior to improve
effects
2. Checking becomes discovery equipment effectiveness.
of abnormalities
5. Positive effects become pride
in the workplace
3. Abnormalities become things
to be improved

Program of Activities
Changing attitudes
Breakdowns and defects
should be seen as an
embarrassment

Motivation Effects Effects Changing


Changing Changing
-area managers, Achievement of work-
the Reduction of defects the
operators productivity place
equipment and breakdowns people
-Pride in one‘s work goals

Changing behavior
-Positive attitude toward
making improvements
-Thorough maintenance
management

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Example of TPM

• Before • After

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Quick Changeover / Agile tools
• Setup / changeover reduction
▫ SMED – Single Minute Exchange of Die
(Reference)
• Changeover process are divided in to a series
of work elements as Internal and External.
Videotape of changeover process may be
used to assist in dividing the work elements.
• As much as internal elements (performed
while the system is stopped) are converted in
external(performed while the system is
running) and streamlining the others.
• Right-sized tools instead of massive high
efficiency machines
• Innovative solutions
• Combination tools S284
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Mistake-Proofing
Definition of Mistake-Proofing
• A technique for eliminating errors.
• Making it impossible to make mistakes.
• In Japan: Poka-Yoke
Principles for Mistake-Proofing
• Take over repetitive tasks or input actions that depend on
constantly being alert.
• Worker focuses on process improvement, rather than
detection of output defects.
“It is good to do it right the first time: it is even better to make it
impossible to do it wrong the first time.”

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It matters when defects are detected
Early detection of defects reduces the overall costs.
Early Next Final
Defects Customer
Step Step Inspection
Detected

Cost to the
company

*Much rework
*Warranty cost
Impact to the Very Minor Minor Delay *Delay in *Reputation
Company delivery
*Loss of Market
*Added Share
inspection

When are most of your defects detected?


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Lean Execute
• Designed to support the improve and control steps with
operational tools that managers and supervisors can use
• Measures monitors and maintains the results of executing
Lean approach for long term management

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Relationship of Lean and Flow

• Many different programs out there


▫ Lean
▫ Demand Flow ® manufacturing
▫ Agile manufacturing
▫ Continuous flow manufacturing
▫ Toyota Production System
• Different people have different views, but in my
opinion
▫ Lean is the overarching philosophy
▫ Many tools are used in lean
 Including flow manufacturing
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Glossary of Relevant Terms
• CTS – Critical to Service • KPIV – Key process input variables
• CTQ – Critical to Quality • KPOV – Key process output
• CTP – Critical to Process variables
• COPQ – Cost of Poor Quality • LSS -Lean Six Sigma
• DOE – Design of Experiments • NVA – Non-Value Added
• DMAIC – Define, Measure, Analyze, • MSA – Measurement Systems
Improve, Control Analysis
• EVOP – Evolutionary Operations • PDCA – Plan Do Check Act
• DPMO – Defects per Million Opportunities • SMED – Single Minute Exchange of
Die
• HOQ – House of Quality
• SPC – Statistical Process Control
• ISO – Organization for International
Standards • TPS – Toyota Production System
• JIT – Just in Time • VOC – Voice of the Customer
• VOM – Voice of the Market

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PWD Group Inc.
• Six Sigma Materials
▫ Texts
▫ Study Guides
▫ Intern Projects

• Six Sigma Services Offered


▫ Proctored Six Sigma Certification On-site and Online Exams and
Renewals
 Yellow Belt, Executive Yellow Belt, Green Belt, and Black Belt – ISCEA
Approved
▫ Six Sigma Document Review Service
 We have qualified writers on staff
▫ Six Sigma Online Training
▫ Six Sigma “Train the Trainer” Training
▫ Lean Execute Time Study and Process Improvement Consulting
• Contact trainer for information on how to reach the company

 www.pwdgroups.com
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Exam Time (CLSSYB)

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Measure Six Sigma With Qualitative
Tools (Green Belt Modules)

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Define (Sponsorship)

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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S293
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Six Sigma Methodology

• Six Sigma’s Project based methodology approach


contains several stages. It normally begins with the
Define Step.

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SIPOC Process Map

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SIPOC Process Map

The SIPOC process map provides team members an


understanding of the process. It is a view of the process
taken at a very high level with approximately 4-7 steps.

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Define

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The Project Charter

• Official plan and authorization


▫ The formal “go ahead”
• Contract between project sponsor and
team

Why What How Who When

Process
Needs to Plan
Problem Improvement team
happen Timetable
- Metrics

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The Project Charter

• Necessity of Project Charter


- The team will be focused on the appropriate problem
-The solution will be aligned towards the organization's
goals
-The team champion will be supportive

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Project Charter

The project management optimizes resources


by using the following key elements:
1. Planning
2. Scheduling
3. Controlling

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Team Makeup

Considerations Considerations

Process Work
scope Ad Hoc Team Members Distribution
(provide situational expertise)
Problem Ease of
Expertise (Where Communication
the problem
Is observed)
Core Team Analytical &
Customer 3-5 members Creative
knowledge
Six Sigma
Stakeholder representation
Core Team
representation
Members
Functional
Capable of serve for the life representation
effectiveness of the project.

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Team Makeup

During the team building phase, the following best describes


the actions of the team:
▫ Members prioritize and perform tasks
▫ The team leader is usually directive

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Project Management Resources
Typical resources required for a project could include:
• Qualified people
• Equipment/Machinery/Machine Time
• Lab space/Office space/Phone
• Computer equipment
▫ (Not Necessarily Project Management Software)
▫ Sometimes PM Software is expensive and harder to learn than Manual
Methods such as PERT and CPM
• Utilities, etc.
• Effective Project Management Allows for optimizing resources
and keep projects from using unlimited resources
S303
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Milestones/Deliverables

For any well managed project, a set of stages or milestones


are used to keep the project on track and on target to
help bring a project to completion. Only half of the project
would be allocated to the define and measure stages.
Typical Six Sigma projects are between 120 and 160
days. Assigning teams a first project with lengths of more
than 160 days will lower their success rate.

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Project Management &Timeline
Your Project Charter should include a
project timeline. This should show at
least the estimated completion dates of
major phases of the project.

January February March April May June July

DEFINE Define P roject Area


P repare for P roject Execution

MEASURE 1 Select Critical Characteristics


2 Determ ine Targets and Specifications
3 Validate the Measurem ent System

ANALYZE 4 Establish a Baseline


5 Determ ine Im provem ent Objectives
6 Study P rocess Inputs

IMPROVE 7 Determ ine P otential Causes


8 Quantify K ey Input Settings
9 Form ulate the Im plem entation P lan

CONTROL 10 Validate the P lan


11 Control Inputss and Monitor Outputs
12 Sustain the Change

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Additional Slides – GB(92)

Advantages of Gantt charts:


1. The charts are easy to understand
2. Each bar represents a single activity

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Manual Project Management

Manual project management planning and


controlling methods:
▫ Have an advantage over computer methods in terms
of cost
▫ Have become nearly extinct because of the availability
of computer methods
▫ Are easier to learn from than computer methods

S306
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Communications Plan

• Resistance to change resulting from an improvement


project can cause failures. The project team might consider
development of a plan to handle stakeholders and is known
as Communications Plan

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An Example Analysis & Communication Plan

MRI Processing Time - Stakeholder Analysis


Commitment
What is valued by the
Key Stakeholder (X) present level / (0) required level Recommended Actions
Key Stakeholder
-2 -1 0 1 2
He gives strong support, he
Hospital Administrato
is also the sponsor of the X 0
(Sponsor)
project
She will give support,
because she will get
Director of Radiology benefit, but she may be He will be involved during the
X 0
(Sponsor) influenced by radiology next meetings.
managers (MRI, CTScan,
etc.)
He will give support,
because he will get benefit
in view of wasted time, but
MRI Manager
he and one of his MRI X 0
(Green Belt)
Technicians is involved in
the project as Black/Green
Belt
His support is required if
trials are required (later in
MRI Technician the project). If we can
X 0 "Some evening discussions"
(Yellow Belt) improve the MRI bed turns,
he will get benefit from the
project.
Involve him before "starting" of
If we improve the situation
the project. Small meeting
she will get benefit. But she
MRI Admissions Clerk before project launch. Always
may lose the possibility to X 0
(Yellow Belt) try to get informations about
hide some of her own
his feeling (during walk-over to
problems. (DANGEROUS)
parking etc.).

S309
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Measure

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Drawing Valid Statistical Conclusions

• The objective of statistical inference is to draw


conclusions about population characteristics based on
the information contained in a sample.
• Statistical inference contains two elements:
▫ The inference
▫ The measure of the validity of the inference

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Drawing Valid Statistical Conclusions

• Sampling plans are routinely selected based on


their:
▫ Validity
▫ known risks
▫ Applicability

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Null and Alternative Hypothesis

• The null hypothesis, H0, will always stated using equality sign
so as to specify a single value. Among several assumptions, the
basic one is that the the variables are dependent.
• The location of the critical region can be determined only after
H1 has been stated.
• To state the hypotheses correctly, the claim in the problem
must be identified carefully.
• If the claim suggest a hint such as more than, less than,
superior to, inferior to, then H1 will be stated as the inequality
symbol(< or >) corresponding to the suggested hint.
• If there is a compound hint such as at least, equal to or
greater, at most, no more than, and so on, then this entire
compound hint should be expressed as H0, only the equality
sign, and H1 is set by the opposite direction.

S313
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Null and Alternative Hypothesis

• If there is no hint regarding the characteristic of interest in


the problem, H1 is stated using the not equal symbol () .
• Example: It is claimed that an average speed of a
motorcycle in interstate 80 is less than 68 miles an hour,
state the null and alternative hypotheses.
• Solution: This is a simple direction of “less than” so we use
this for alternative hypothesis and use the equal sign for
the null hypothesis.
H0 :  = 68

H1 :   68
S314
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Null and Alternative Hypothesis – Test
Statistic
• To be able to test the null hypothesis, a test statistic should be
calculated from sample information, this value is compared with a
desired critical value. A decision can then be made to reject or not
to reject the null hypothesis.
• Test statistic is a number resulting from the manipulation of
some raw data according to certain specified procedures.
• A null hypothesis can only be rejected, or fail to be rejected, it
cannot be accepted because of a lack of evidence to reject it.
• If the null hypothesis is rejected then we automatically accept the
alternative hypothesis.
• The population parameters that are being tested are known to be
mean, variance, standard deviation and proportion.
S315
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Null and Alternative Hypothesis –
Enumeration (Descriptive) Statistic
• Enumerative data is data that can be counted. A census is an
enumerative collection and study.
• A useful tools for tests of hypotheses conducted on
enumerative data are the Chi Square, binomial and Poisson
distributions.
• Deming defined a contrast between enumeration and
analysis:
-Enumerative study is a study in which action will be taken on the
Universe.
-Analytic study is a study in which action will be taken on a process
to improve performance in the future.

S316
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Null and Alternative Hypothesis –
Descriptive Statistic

Numerical descriptive measures create a picture of a set of


data. These measures are calculated from a sample of size n
(n=1,2,….,x) are numerical descriptive measures called
statistics.

Measures Statistics Parameters

Mean X 
Standard Deviation S s

S317
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Z-score for Defective Lots example?

S318
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Process Flow Diagram Feedback
indicated the
(Flowchart) need for
correction

Admissions Feedback/
Readmits

Emergency
Room
In Patient/
Out Patient
Discharge

Key participants in each step


are shown
Using the High Level Process Map

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Process Mapping

The following are principal reasons for utilizing


process mapping:
▫ To identify where unnecessary complexity exists
▫ To visualize the process quickly
▫ To assist in work simplification

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Using the High Level Process
Map

• Uses for the process map:


▫ Define the scope of the process to be considered in
the Six Sigma project.
▫ Identify key stakeholders.
▫ Serve as a basis for more detailed mapping required
in future steps of the Six Sigma process.

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Analyze/Improve

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Boxplot – Upper and Lower
Fourths

• Order the n observations from smallest to largest and


separate the smallest half from the largest half. Then the
lower (upper) fourth is the median of the smallest (largest)
half of the data, where the median is included in both
halves if n is odd. A measure of the spread that is resistant
to outliers is the fourth spread. fs fs = upper fourth – lower
fourth.

S323
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Boxplot-Outliers

• Any observation farther than 1.5fs from the closest fourth


is an outlier. An outlier is called extreme if it is more
than 3fs from the nearest fourth, and it is mild otherwise.

S324
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Stem-and-Leaf Plots

• Select one or more leading digits for the stem values. The
trailing digits become the leaves.
• List stem values in a vertical column.
• Record the leaf for every observation.
• Indicate the units for the stem and leaf on the display.

S325
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Stem-and-Leaf Displays

• Identify typical value


• Extent of spread about a value
• Presence of gaps
• Extent of symmetry
• Number and location of peaks
• Presence of outlying values

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Scatter Diagrams

• A scatter diagram displays the relationship between two


variables, it is also known as a correlation chart. This type
of diagram can help determine if relationship exists and
how to control the causes of the relationship.

S327
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Histograms Discrete Data

• Determine the frequency and relative frequency for each


value of x. Then mark possible x values on a horizontal
scale. Above each value, draw a rectangle whose height
is the relative frequency of that value.

S328
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Discrete Vs Continuous Data

• Discrete data is counted and only takes certain values.


Example: Rolling a single die can result
in values of 1,2,3,4,5 and 6.
• Continuous data can take any value within a range.
Example: recorded values of reflecting length,
volume and time.
-The above data are measurable and also be referred
as a variable.

S329
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Check Sheets

• The following types of check sheets commonly


used to record counted, measured, and locational
data are
• Measles charts
• Recording check sheets
• Checklists

S330
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Data Distribution

• Usually, Histograms, Stem & Leaf Plots and Box


Plots are used to display the same type of data.

S331
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Data Considerations

• In order to assure data accuracy and integrity, the


following considerations should be observed.
• Avoid unnecessary rounding of data
• Record production data in time sequence
• Filter data for entry errors

S332
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Histogram Shapes

symmetric unimodal bimodal

positively skewed negatively skewed

S333
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Central Limit Theorem

• The distribution of the sample means approaches a


normal distribution, regardless of the shape of the
original population.
Probability Density

X S334
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Central Limit Theorem

• The sample means (𝑋ത ′ 𝑠) will be more normally distributed


around μ than individual readings X’s.
• The distribution of sample means approaches normal
regardless of the shape of the parent population.
• The spread in sample means (𝑋ത ′ 𝑠) is less than X’s with the
standard deviation of (𝑋ത ′ 𝑠) equal to the standard deviation
of the population divided by the square root of the sample
size and is known as the standard error of the mean, 𝑆𝑋ത :

sx
Sx =
n
S335
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Central Limit Theorem

• Let X be any random variable with mean u and standard


deviation s. Take a random sample of size n. As n
increases and as a result of the central limit theorem:
• The distribution of the population mean approaches a
normal distribution with mean u and standard
deviation of s/squ. rt. n

S336
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Confidence Interval for the
Mean
• With continuous data and a large sample, confidence
interval for the mean of the population, μ, can be calculated
as follows:
𝑋ത : The sample mean
σ: The population standard deviation
𝑧𝑎 : The critical value in z- distribution for a desired CI
2
• For a small sample (<30) with unknown population
standard deviation the confidence interval is as follows:
𝑋ത : The sample mean
S : The sample standard deviation
𝑡𝑎 : The critical value in t- distribution for a desired CI
2

S337
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Basics Assumptions with
ANOVA
• The expected values of the errors are zero
• The variances of all errors are equal to each other
• The errors are independent
• They are normally distributed
• The fundamental equation of analysis of variance may
express the idea that the total sum of squares of deviations
from the grand mean is equal to the sum of squares of
deviations among treatment means and the grand mean
plus the sum of squares of deviation within treatments

S338
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Analysis of Variance
(ANOVA)
• Use when evaluating the effect of discrete inputs on continuous outputs
• One-Way ANOVA
• Tests whether or not the observed subgroup means are statistically different
• Assumption of homogeneity of variances applies to the variance of the
treatment groups.
• H0: µ1= µ2= µ3= µ4=…= µn
• Ha : At least one (1) mean is statistically different from the others
• Two-Way ANOVA
• Considers two factors, for example, Operator and Sample.
- Tests whether or not the subgroup means are statistically different within
either factor.
- Can also test for presence of interaction. For example, operator B measures the light
samples heavier than operator A, but measures the heavier samples lighter.
- Used to analyze a “crossed design”.
• Nested ANOVA
- Used to quantify sources of variation.
S339
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Chi-Squared Test

• Can be used for hypothesis testing when evaluating


data for goodness of fit to suspected distributions
• Used to calculate the coefficient of contingency with
“N” equaling the grand frequency total

• In all cases, the data is divided into cells


• The degrees of freedom for each distribution is
different

S340
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Planning the Experiment

• Information generated in a designed experiment may be


based on values which are not necessarily numerical
• Conclusions may be wrong or misleading unless carefully
planned and results studied statistically

S341
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Equality Tests for Medians

• The following tests are used to perform tests for equality


of population medians
• Mann Whitney test
• Kruskal-Wallis test
• Mood's Median test

S342
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Nonparametric testing

• In nonparametric statistics, no assumptions are made


concerning the distribution from which the samples
are taken.
• Nonparametric tests do not assume the outcomes to be
normally distributed.

S343
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EVOP

• Evolutionary Operations
• Ability to recognize small differences through large
sample sizes is the basic statistical principle
• Describes the way sequential experimental designs can be
made to adopt to system behavior
• Learning from past results and predicting future
treatments for better response
• As a statistical tool it may be extended beyond the two
level factorial case

S344
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Example Problem

• 1000 units of product were examined for the possibility


of 5 different undesirable characteristics. A total of 80
defects were found. How many defects would be
expected in 1,000,000 opportunities?

Solution : 16,000

S345
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S346
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Defects and Defective

Results of the inspection:


TEST REQUST FORM TEST REQUST FORM TEST REQUST FORM
REQUESTOR REQUESTOR REQUESTOR
DEVELOPMENT CODE DEVELOPMENT CODE DEVELOPMENT CODE WRONG
BLOCKING CONDITION BLOCKING CONDITION BLOCKING CONDITION
PERFORMANCE STANDARD WRONG PERFORMANCE STANDARD PERFORMANCE STANDARD MISSING
GRADIENT GRADIENT GRADIENT
FUNCTIONAL TESTS FUNCTIONAL TESTS FUNCTIONAL TESTS

TEST REQUST FORM TEST REQUST FORM


REQUESTOR REQUESTOR
DEVELOPMENT CODE DEVELOPMENT CODE WRONG
BLOCKING CONDITION BLOCKING CONDITION MISSING
PERFORMANCE STANDARD PERFORMANCE STANDARD WRONG
GRADIENT GRADIENT MISSING
FUNCTIONAL TESTS FUNCTIONAL TESTS

Defective Level
• What is the Unit? How many units are there?
• What is a Defective? How many defectives? What is the DPMO?
Defect Level
• What is the Defect? How many defects? How many Defects/Unit,
[dpu]?
• What is the Opportunity? How many Opportunities per Unit?
• How many Defects/Million-Opportunities, [DPMO]? S347
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Example Problem

• If 100 defected units were found, after inspecting


10,000 parts for 10 possible defective features. After
inspecting a millions parts, how many defective parts
would be found?

Answer: 1000

S348
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Potential Capability (Paper &
Pencil)

Recall, Potential Process Capability is estimated as follows:

*With a one-sided spec, the


Location* mean or target is used;
Spec Limit With two-sided specs, the
ZST = mid-spec is used.
Pooled SD
Mid-Spec = 25
Short-Term SD = 1.613
35 25
ZST = = 6.2
1.613

What is the predicted DPMO for this


potential capability?
S349
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Example Problem

An X bar and R chart was prepared for an operation using


twenty samples with five pieces in each sample; X bar was
found to be 33.6 and R bar was 6.20. During production, a
sample of five was taken and the pieces measured 36, 43,
37, 25, and 38. At the time, this sample was taken:

Only the Range was outside control limits

S350
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Example Problem

• A process is in control at X ̿ = 100, R ̅ = 7.3 with n = 4. If


the process level shifts to 101.5, with the same range, what
is the probability that the next X bar point will fall outside
the old control limits:
Answer: 0.016

S351
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Example Problem

• A control chart for defects per unit uses probability


limits corresponding to probabilities of .0975 and
.025.The central line on the control chart is at 2.0. The
limits vary with the value of n. Determine the correct
position of these upper and lower control limits when
n=5:
Answer: 3.24, 0.76

S352
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Example Problem

• If the probability of a car starting on a cold morning is .6,


and we have two such cars, what is the probability of at
least one of the cars starting on a cold morning?
Answer: 0.84

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Proportion Defective

Standard Deviation:

ŝ = p(1- p) / n

Proportion Defective: Control Limits:

p = %defectiveinsamplesize p ± 3ŝ

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Example Problem

• What is the upper confidence limit (3 sigma) for


proportion defective when the average daily production
is 2500 units with an established fraction defective of
0.05?
Answer: 0.063

S355
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Binomial: Number Defective

Standard Deviation:

sˆ = np(1 − p)

Total
“Defectives”
Mean: Control Limits:

np = D =
 d np  3ŝ
k

Average Total
“Defectives” Groups
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Six Sigma Metrics for DISCRETE
Output Data

Defects DPMO

Units
Z-score

Oppor-
tunities
Yield

The Z-score will be computed and used as the Six


Sigma Metric.
DPMO and Yield are directly related.

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Example:What’s My Z-score?

(1-sided) Upper
standard
Specification
deviation
Limit = 15.0
(long-term)
= 2.0
Results based on
many lots, over
several weeks.
Mean = 11.0 y , performance
characteristic,
[dimensions]
What is the Do It!
Z-score of this ˆ
USL − μ (___ ) − (___ ) =
= =
y

process? Z (___ )
LT
sˆ LT

S358
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From Z-score to DPMO

standard Upper
deviation Specification
(long-term) Limit = 15.0
= 2.0

Mean = 11.0 y , performance characteristic,


What is the [dimensions]
predicted DPMO
of this process?

S359
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A Famous Z-score
Upper
one Specification
Limit
standard
Z-score of this
deviation
Process:
(long-
ZLT = 4.5
term)
What is the
predicted Mean
DPMO of this
process? 4.5 SLT
You should be warned that many report the Z-score of a process thus:
- Calculate number of SLT multiples between Mean and Spec Limit
- Add 1.5

Under that practice, this process would be reported as a


“6-Sigma” process!
S360
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Example Problem

• The DPMO for a process is 860. What is the approximate


6 sigma level of this process?
Answer: 4.63

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Example Problem

• A process consists of three sequential steps with the


following yields: Y1=99.8, Y2=97.4, Y3=96.4. Determine
the total defects per unit.
Answer: .065

S362
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Converting Yield, % Defective,
DPMO, etc., Z-score
Knowing one, look up the
other
Proportion Percent Proportion Percent
Rt. Tail PPM Z-score Rt. Tail PPM Z-score
Conforming Out Conforming Out
0.50 0.50 50% 500,000 0.000 0.991 0.009 0.90% 9,000 2.366
0.55 0.45 45% 450,000 0.126 0.992 0.008 0.80% 8,000 2.409
0.60 0.40 40% 400,000 0.253 0.993 0.007 0.70% 7,000 2.457
0.65 0.35 35% 350,000 0.385 0.994 0.006 0.60% 6,000 2.512
0.70 0.30 30% 300,000 0.524 0.995 0.005 0.50% 5,000 2.576
0.75 0.25 25% 250,000 0.674 0.996 0.004 0.40% 4,000 2.652
0.80 0.20 20% 200,000 0.842 0.997 0.003 0.30% 3,000 2.748
0.85 0.15 15% 150,000 1.036 0.998 0.002 0.20% 2,000 2.878
0.90 0.10 10% 100,000 1.282 0.999 0.001 0.10% 1,000 3.090
0.91 0.09 9% 90,000 1.341 0.9991 0.0009 0.09% 900 3.121
0.92 0.08 8% 80,000 1.405 0.9992 0.0008 0.08% 800 3.156
0.93 0.07 7% 70,000 1.476 0.9993 0.0007 0.07% 700 3.195
0.94 0.06 6% 60,000 1.555 0.9994 0.0006 0.06% 600 3.239
0.95 0.05 5% 50,000 1.645 0.9995 0.0005 0.05% 500 3.290
0.96 0.04 4% 40,000 1.751 0.9996 0.0004 0.04% 400 3.353
0.97 0.03 3% 30,000 1.881 0.9997 0.0003 0.03% 300 3.432
0.98 0.03 3% 25,000 1.960 0.9998 0.0002 0.02% 200 3.540
0.98 0.02 2% 20,000 2.054 0.9999 1E-04 0.01% 100 3.719
0.99 0.01 1% 10,000 2.326 0.9999966 3.4E-06 0.0003% 3 4.508

What is the Z-score corresponding to 150,000 ppm?


S363
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Converting Z-score to Yield

Proportion Percent Proportion Percent


Rt. Tail PPM Z-score Rt. Tail PPM Z-score
Conforming Out Conforming Out
0.50 0.50 50% 500,000 0.000 0.991 0.009 0.90% 9,000 2.366
0.55 0.45 45% 450,000 0.126 0.992 0.008 0.80% 8,000 2.409
0.60 0.40 40% 400,000 0.253 0.993 0.007 0.70% 7,000 2.457
0.65 0.35 35% 350,000 0.385 0.994 0.006 0.60% 6,000 2.512
0.70 0.30 30% 300,000 0.524 0.995 0.005 0.50% 5,000 2.576
0.75 0.25 25% 250,000 0.674 0.996 0.004 0.40% 4,000 2.652
0.80 0.20 20% 200,000 0.842 0.997 0.003 0.30% 3,000 2.748
0.85 0.15 15% 150,000 1.036 0.998 0.002 0.20% 2,000 2.878
0.90 0.10 10% 100,000 1.282 0.999 0.001 0.10% 1,000 3.090
0.91 0.09 9% 90,000 1.341 0.9991 0.0009 0.09% 900 3.121
0.92 0.08 8% 80,000 1.405 0.9992 0.0008 0.08% 800 3.156
0.93 0.07 7% 70,000 1.476 0.9993 0.0007 0.07% 700 3.195
0.94 0.06 6% 60,000 1.555 0.9994 0.0006 0.06% 600 3.239
0.95 0.05 5% 50,000 1.645 0.9995 0.0005 0.05% 500 3.290
0.96 0.04 4% 40,000 1.751 0.9996 0.0004 0.04% 400 3.353
0.97 0.03 3% 30,000 1.881 0.9997 0.0003 0.03% 300 3.432
0.98 0.03 3% 25,000 1.960 0.9998 0.0002 0.02% 200 3.540
0.98 0.02 2% 20,000 2.054 0.9999 1E-04 0.01% 100 3.719
0.99 0.01 1% 10,000 2.326 0.9999966 3.4E-06 0.0003% 3 4.508

What is the process Yield corresponding to What is the process PPM


a Z-score of 3.0? corresponding to a Z-score of 3.0?
S364
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Calculating Process Sigma

• A Six sigma process performs at process variation level


of 6 σ, meaning only 3.4 defects occur per million
opportunities.

Sigma DPMO
1 697672
1.5 501350
2 308770
2.5 158687
3 66811
4 6210
4.5 1350
5 233
6 3.4

S365
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Control

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Statistical Process Control

• Control charts can be an effective tool for


use in controlling inputs and monitoring
outputs.
• Use the appropriate method.

S367
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I/MR as Alternative to Poisson Charts

The I/MR chart can be used as


an alternative to the c-chart.
I-MR Chart of c=10
20
U C L=19.09
Individual Value

15

_
10 X=10.08

LC L=1.07
0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
O bser v ation

12
U C L=11.07
Moving Range

6
__
3 M R=3.39

0 LC L=0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
O bser v ation

R 040202

S368
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Control Charts for Rare Events
• When the average count falls below 1.0 per sample,
the attribute control charts become very
insensitive.
• Consider the situation of a chemical plant that has
occasional spills, as shown below: (example from
Wheeler, 1995).
C Chart of Spills
1.4

1.2 • In most months UCL=1.277

Spill Date
Days Between
Spills
1.0 there are no
Sample Count

23-Feb-01
11-Jan-02 322
0.8 spills, so a c-
15-Sep-02 247
06-Jul-03 294
0.6 chart (based on
19-Feb-04 228
29-Sep-04
20-Mar-05
223
172
0.4
first 48 months
0.2 _
13-Jul-05 115
of data) would C=0.143

0.0 LCL=0

1 6 12 18 24 30
look like this:
36 42 48 54
Sample
R 040202

S369
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One Method - Converting to
Rate
• Instead of counting the number of spills per year, we could
measure the number of days between spills. This number can
be converted to a rate (spills per day) and - to make it more
meaningful - to spills per year.
I-MR Chart of "Spills per Year"
Days Between "Spill Rate" "Spills per 1
3
Spill Date Spills (spills per day) Year" U C L=2.886

Individual V alue
23-Feb-01
11-Jan-02 322 0.00311 1.13 2 _
15-Sep-02 247 0.00405 1.48 X=1.769
06-Jul-03 294 0.00340 1.24
19-Feb-04 228 0.00439 1.60 1
29-Sep-04 223 0.00448 1.64 LC L=0.652
20-Mar-05 172 0.00581 2.12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
13-Jul-05 115 0.00870 3.17 O bser vation

1.5
U C L=1.372

The I/MR chart of Spill Rate


M oving Range

1.0

shows that performance has 0.5 __


M R=0.42
gotten worse.
0.0 LC L=0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
R 040202 O bser vation

S370
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Process Performance Indices –
Pp and Ppk

• The process performance indices, Pp and Ppk, indicate


the ‘elbow room’ of the process
• Overall or “long-term” standard deviation is used
• Pp quantifies the centered process performance:
USL − LSL
Pp =
6sˆ LT
• Ppk quantifies the un-centered process performance:

USL − Mean Mean − LSU 


Ppk = Min , 
 3sˆ lt 3sˆ lt 
S371
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Process Capability Index

The Process Capability Index (Cp) provides


an alternate metric to estimate potential
process capability
Specification Range of Characteristic
Cp = Within-Segment Variation of Process/Product

USL − LSL
Cp = 6s st

S372
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The Process Capability
Index, Cpk

S373
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Capability & Performance Index
Summary The Cp assumes that the
process is in a state of
statistical control and is on-
target.
The Cpk assumes that the
Process Process
process is in a state of
Mean On- Mean Not statistical control and centered
Target On-Target at the overall mean - which is
Short- not necessarily the target.
Term
Standard Cp Cpk The Pp centers the distribution
on-target, but makes no
Deviation
assumption about statistical
Long- control.
Term
Standard Pp Ppk The Ppk assumes that the
process is centered at the
Deviation overall mean, but makes no
assumption about statistical
control.

S374
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Example Problem

• Which of the following statements can be considered


accurate, given that Cpk (upper) was given as 2.0 and
Cpk (lower) was given as 1.0?
• Answer: The process is shifted to the left

S375
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LEAN

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The 7 types of waste (muda)

• Overproduction
• Inventory
Transportation and
• Transportation
Motion will least likely
• Process to result in poor
• Idle Time product quality
• Operator Motion
• Bad Quality

S377
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TPM Steps

7. Step

6. Step
- full
7. Autonomous maintenance application
5. Step
- consolidation of clean,
6. Standards for process check and maintenance
4. Step quality assurance
knowledge
- autonomous maintenance according
3. Step 5. Autonomous inspection to checklists and service standards

- develop knowledge of the machine construction


4. Train associates in
autonomous maintenance - build skills for autonomous maintenance
2. Step
- set up checklists and service standards
3. Establish cleaning and - visual management on machine and/or equipment
lubrication standards - working area standards for cleaning and tidiness
1. Step - eliminate leaks
2. Eliminate sources of - making maintenance tasks easier
contamination - eliminate sources of machine soiling
- Basic cleaning
1. Initial cleaning - lubrication
- defect tagging } Cleaning is inspecting!

S378
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Total Productive Maintenance

• Goal is to eliminate unplanned downtime in order to


avoid losses due to maintenance.
• Overall equipment effectiveness is the prime measure
used to evaluate TPM. The factors required to calculate
OEE are availability, Performance and Quality.
• Using TPM metrics, various formulas for machine
availability calculations would require information such
as Operating Time, Down Time and Loading Time.

S379
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Theory of Constraints and Six
Sigma
• In the Define phase of Six Sigma, Theory of
Constraints thinking can be used to identify and
prioritize projects.
• Will the proposed project really make a difference in
overall performance of the system?

• In Analyze phase, it can help in judging performance of the


constraint and the influence of other parts of the system on
the constraint.
• In the Improve phase, it can help in identifying actions that
can be taken to increase throughput.

S380
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Theory of Constraints (TOC)

• Goals of TOC
▫ Increased throughput
▫ Reduced inventory
▫ Reduced operating expenses

S381
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Standard Work

• The best combination of machines and people working


together to produce a product or service at a particular
point in time is known as Standard work.
• Standard work sheets are required for standard
operations consisting of
▫ Cycle time based on Takt time
▫ Work sequence - the order of operations
▫ Standard inventory on hand

S382
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Exam Time (CLSSGB)

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Designing for Six Sigma Qualitative


Tools (Black Belt Modules)

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Define (Sponsorship)

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PWD Group’s Six Sigma Process
Methodology* Qualify Projects (Sponsorship)
DEFINE Define Specific Project (Black Belt)

Step 1 Identify Critical Characteristics


MEASURE Step 2 Clarify Specific and Targets
Step 3 Measurement System Validation
Step 4 Determine Baseline
ANALYZE Step 5 Identify Improvement Objectives
Step 6 Evaluate Process Inputs
Step 7 Formulate Implementation Plan
IMPROVE Step 8 Perform Work Measurement
Step 9 Lean Execute the proposed Plan
Step 10 Reconfirm the Plan
CONTROL Step 11 Set up Statistical Process Controls
Step 12 Operational Process Transition
* Proprietary of PWD Group Inc. S385
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SIPOC Model

Inputs

Suppliers Inputs Processes

Inputs

Feedback
Outputs

Feedback
Customer

S386
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Example of Prioritization
Reality Check:
• The prioritization worksheet is intended to be an aid to project
selection – It is based on benefit cost ratio – Look at the typical
Project Descriptions below.
• Sample considerations in benefit-cost ratio are Increased
profits, Improved process capability, reduced defects, and
reduced warranty claims.
• Criteria and weights should be modified to reflect business
priorities.

Critical to On-going
Customer Tangible financial Translation
satisfaction* financial impact benefits? project?**
Weight = 0.42 Weight = 0.22 Weight = 0.22 Weight = 0.14
<$100K 0 <$100K 0
None 1 $100-$250K 1 $100-$250K 1 No 0
Broad 2 $250K-$1M 3 $250K-$1M 3 Same Site 3 Project
Project Description 1
Specific 7 Over $1M 6 6 Over $1M 36 Other Site 07 Score
Reduce Warranties 1 3 3 0
Improved Capabilities 7 0 0 0
Reduce Defects

S387
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Example Problem

If the project internal rate of return is estimated at 11% and:


A. The company cost of capital is 10%
B. The company cost of capital is 12%
C. Funds are limited and another project will yield 14%
D. Funds are unlimited and another project will yield 14%

The project will be approved only when: B & D are true

S388
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Internal Strengths

• Something a company is good at doing


▫ Skill
▫ Expertise
▫ Patent
▫ Key resource
▫ Technology
▫ Market position
 Market Segmentation (helpful in Spotting trends)
▫ Anything else that provides an advantage

S389
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Drucker on Knowing the Customer

"What people in business think they know about customers


and markets is more likely to be wrong than right. There
is only one person who knows: the customer.

Only by asking the customers, watching them, by trying to


understand their behaviors, can one find out who they are,
what they do, how they buy, how they use what they buy,
and what they expect....

The customer rarely buys what the business thinks it


sells…."

Peter Drucker, Managing for Results: Economic Tasks and


Risk-Taking Decisions (1986)
S390
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Balanced Scorecard

• Kaplan and Norton have outlined a business planning


process that gives consideration to factors other than
financial ones. It provides more perspectives for
stakeholder interests. This approach is referred to as
Balanced Scorecard.
• A strategic planning and management system that is
used to align business activities in to vision and strategy
of an organization.

S391
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Define (Black Belt)

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Managing and Controlling
Projects

Completion
• Critical Path time is 19
E weeks
A 3 B
B 5 6
C 7 5
D 3 D F H
E 6 A
3 3 3
F 3
3
G 3
C G
H 3
7 3

S393
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Managing and Controlling
Projects

Critical Path
The critical path in a project means that:
1. The project is important to the profits of the
organization
2. Delays of events on this path delay the ending
of the project
3. Events on this path have no slack time

S394
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Managing and Controlling
Projects

Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)


• A management planning and control tool in which the
events are pre-identified along with their corresponding
interrelations.
• Activity times are assumed to be random with a
probability distribution
• The use of PERT requires the Critical path to be known
in advance.

S395
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Variation: understanding and decision making

• Variances from budgets for a project are the difference


between planned and actual and are used to focus
corrective action efforts and should be fixed for the
duration of the project.

S396
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Project Sponsor: Responsibilities

• Senior Management receives Sponsor training


• Executive or Certified Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt
• Encourage, motive, and support Mid-Manager support
• Team success is driven by ACTIVE Support from Mid-
Managers
• Define the project and project objectives
• Provide Financial Support as
• Process Owners and Champions only
• Approve changes in direction or scope of the project
• Provide (or assist in providing) resources for the
project

S397
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Affinity Diagram: Purpose &
Uses

• Purpose
▫ Helps solve unfamiliar problems
▫ Tool for processing what we hear from our
customers and/or identifying underlying
issues Note: At the stage, you
• Other Uses are interested in
identifying problems, not
▫ Identify or select Six Sigma projects solutions. It helps to
maintain a “weakness
▫ Brainstorming tool orientation” (identifying
• Benefits specific needs and
problems) in collecting
▫ Generates ideas ideas.

▫ Distills complex issues into major themes


or topics S398
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Defining the Customer

• The receiver of the next operation, and internal


department, could be thought of as a customer.
• The external customer of a process could be the
purchaser.
• The primary customer of the process will or should
have the highest impact on the process.
▫ Accountability to final customer, even though there
may be intermediary customers, is the driving force.

S399
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Team Makeup

Considerations Considerations

Process Work
scope Ad Hoc Team Members Distribution
(provide situational expertise)
Problem Ease of
Expertise (Where Communication
the problem
Is observed)
Core Team Analytical &
Customer 3-5 members Creative
knowledge
Six Sigma
Stakeholder representation
Core Team
representation Members
serve for the life Functional
Capable of of the project. representation
effectiveness

S400
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Measure

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Using the High Level Process
Map

• Uses for the process map:


▫ Define the scope of the process to be considered
in the Six Sigma project.
▫ Identify key stakeholders.
▫ Serve as a basis for more detailed mapping
required in future steps of the Six Sigma
process.

S402
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Process Flow Diagram
(Flowchart)
Feedback indicated
the need for
correction

Feedback/
Readmits
Admissions

Emergency
Room Discharge
In Patient/
Out Patient

Key participants in each step


are shown

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Analyze/Improve

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Notation for Binomial Cumulative
Distribution Function

• For X ~ Bin(n, p), the cumulative distribution


function will be
x
P ( X  x ) = B ( x; n, p ) =  b( y; n, p)
y =0
x = 0, 1, 2, …n

A graphical display of the total percentage of


results below a certain measurement value is
called a Cumulative distribution function

S405
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Binomial Experiment

1. Each trial can result in one of the same two possible


outcomes, which are denoted by success (S) or failure
(F).
2. The trials are independent of each other.
3. The probability of success is constant p form trial to
trial.
4. Does not require the use of natural logarithmic
base

S406
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Computation of a Binomial
PMF

(
b( x; n, p) = 0 ) p (1− p )
 n
x
x n− x
x=0,1, 2,........, n
otherwise

S407
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Chi-Square Test

S408
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Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit

• As part of the retail sales process, the Sales Representatives are


instructed to obtain certain buyer information. The information can
be used to provide follow-up information and reminders to the
buyer. The BB project is focused on improving the compliance to
this instruction. The BB pulls records from the five sales regions.

S409
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Chi-Squared Test

Example Problem:
• Three trainees were given the same lot of 50 pieces and asked to
classify them as defective or non-defective, with the following
results: Defective 17 30 25; Non-defective 33 20 25.In
determining whether or not there is a difference in the ability of
the three trainees to properly classify the parts, the following
statements are true:
• The chi-square calculated value is 6.9
• II. Using a level of significance of .050, the critical value of the
chi-square is 5.99
• III. Since the obtained chi-square is greater than 5.99, we reject
the null hypothesis

S410
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Goodness of Fit

• When evaluating data for goodness of fit to


suspected distributions:
▫ The X^2 test can be used for hypothesis testing
▫ In all cases, the data is divided into cells

S411
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Coefficient of Contingency

• Used to estimate the strength of relationship between


two variables
• C= √(X^2/(X^2+N))
where N is the grand frequency total

S412
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F - Distribution

• The F distribution is used extensively to test for


equality of variances from two normal populations.
• If U and V are the variances of independent random
samples of size n and m taken from normally distributed
populations with variances of w and z, then

U /w
F=
V /z
S413
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Factorial Experiment

• An experiment with two or more factors, in which all


levels of one variable are run at each level of the second
variable is known as Factorial Experiment.
• A variable can assume several (more than two)
values

S414
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Full Factorial

Look completely at:


All factors, all possible treatment combinations that are
associated with the factors and their levels, effects of main
factors and interactions between factors have on the
measured responses.
▫ May require many experimental runs depending on
how many factors at various levels are explored.
▫ If a experiment has 4 factors with 3 levels each, the
number of trials required are 81.

S415
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Fractional Factorial

• More factors with a “fraction” of the treatment


combinations looked at
• Because not all treatment combinations are looked at in
the experimental design, it presents a mixing or
“confounding” between main effects and
interactions
• Confounding is when the effects of two variables are
not separable.

S416
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EVOP

• Evolutionary Operations
• Ability to recognize small differences through large
sample sizes is the basic statistical principle
• Describes the way sequential experimental designs can
be made to adopt to system behavior
• Learning from past results and predicting future
treatments for better response
• As a statistical tool it may be extended beyond the two
level factorial case

S417
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Example Problem

• Variation in the shape parameter for the Weibull


distribution can create all of the following distribution
shapes such as Normal, Rayleigh and Exponential.

S418
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Best Subsets Regression

• Best Subsets Regression is an iterative process that examines


potential models with one predictor, then two, then three, and
so on, through a model that includes all possible predictors.
• Only models with the highest R-Squared values are retained
in the analysis.
• Model selection is made based upon the Minitab output. A
good model should have:
▫ high R-squared
▫ high adjusted R-squared
▫ a C-p metric value that is approximately equal to the
number of predictors in the specified model
▫ a low s (s is the standard deviation of the error term in the
model)

S419
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Taguchi Design of Experiments

• Parameter design
▫ The selection of control factors and the determination
of optimal levels for each of the factors.
▫ Control factors are those variables in a process that
management can manipulate.
▫ Optimal levels are the targets or measurements for
performance.
• Tolerance design
▫ Deals with developing specification limits.
▫ Occurs after parameter design has been used to reduce
variation and the resulting improvement has been
insufficient.
S420
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Example problem

• If parts A, B, and C combined to create a part, and the


individual tolerances for the weights of these 3 parts are
as listed below. What would be the total tolerance for the
completed part
Ingredient A: 75 + 2.0 grams
Ingredient B: 45 + 2.5 grams
Ingredient C: 30 + 1.5 grams
Answer: 150 + 3.54 grams

S421
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Latin Square Design

• Essentially a fractional factorial experiment that requires


less experimentation to determine the main treatment
results.
• The primary advantage of the Latin Square design,
compared to the factorial design is that it requires less
data, in most circumstances

S422
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Design of Experiments

• The advantage of using the "modern designed "method


of experimentation, rather than the classical, is that
fewer terms and measurements are needed for valid
and useful information

S423
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Flow Charts
Used to Identify Improvements
• Organize a team for the purpose of examining the process.
• Construct flow chart to represent each process step.
• Discuss and analyze each step in detail.
• Ask the key question, “Why do we do it this way?”.
• Compare the actual process to an imagined “perfect” process.
• Is there unnecessary complexity?
• Does duplication or redundancy exists?
• Are there control points to prevent errors or rejects? Should there be?
• Is this process being run the way it should?
• Can this process be run differently?
• Improvement ideas may come from substantially different processes.

S424
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Models & Transfer Equations

Environmental “Truth” y = f(x)


Factors

Visible Model y = f(x) + 

Planned Experiments,
Observation, Discovery
Estimated y(est) = f(xi) + 
Model

Simulations Optimization

“All models are wrong


but some are useful.” George Box

S425
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A Possible Experimental Strategy
One-Factor-at-a-Time (OFAT): Focus sequentially on
individual factors. Hold all other factors at nominal constant
level until the focused ‘design’ factor produces its optimum
response.

Factor A Factor B Factor C Factor D Factor E

Work on A

Work on B

Work on C

and so on . . .
S426
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An OFAT...
What we missed!
“That was a “Another dumb
mistake! Stick with idea… told you
B-Low.” A
Low Hig we were already
h at ‘entitlement’!
Go back to Low-
High 20 80 Low and stay
there.”
B
Let’s try
Let’s try
increasin Low 40 30 increasin
g A!
g B!
Our current operating
conditions

S427
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Another Possible Common Sense
Approach
Stick-with-a-Winner: Another design strategy that sequentially
focuses on individual factors. Keep all other factors at the previous
level until the focused ‘design’ factor produces its optimum response

Factor A Factor B Factor C Factor D Factor E

1. Work on A

2. Work on B

3. Work on C

4, 5, 1, 2, 3, ... and so on . . .

S428
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“Stick-with-a-Winner”
Example - Consider a process in which the yield is a
function of the temperature and the reaction time. From
historical information, it is known that the process produces
an acceptable, yet hopefully improvable, yield at a
temperature of 155 [°F] and a reaction time of 1.5 [hrs]. An
experiment is run to investigate the effects of reaction time
on yield using the stick-with-a-winner approach. Five runs
are made, producing yields as follows:
Temperature Time Yield
155 0.5 45%
155 1.0 65%
155 1.5 77%
155 2.0 71%
155 2.5 48%

S429
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The Time Effect
Maximum at ~ 1.67 Hrs.
80
75
70
65
Yield

60
55
50
45
40
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Time

Temperature set at 155 [°F]; Time varied

S430
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SWAW, Part II, the Temperature Effect

A second experiment is run with the reaction time held at 1


hour and 40 minutes. The one-factor-at-a-time approach is
used as temperatures are varied to produce the following
yields:

Temperature Time Yield


140 1.67 59%
150 1.67 74%
160 1.67 78%
170 1.67 73%
180 1.67 66%

S431
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The Temperature Effect

Maximum at ~ 160 [°F].


80
75
70
65
Yield

60
55
50
45
40
130 140 150 160 170 180 190
Tem perat ure

Time set at 1.67 [hr]; Temperature varied

S432
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The Big Picture & What We
Missed
Contour Plot of Yield
200 60
65
190
70
90
180 75
85 60 80
85
Temp

170
85
90
160 80 95

75
150
70
140 65
60
130 45 64
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
Time

S433
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A Comparison
One-at-a-Time Statistical Design
• Time-consuming and • Efficient and effective
inefficient
• Optimum is methodically
• No guarantee of finding sought, statistically
optimum verified, and documented
• Interaction of variables • Interactions of variables
can produce incorrect are incorporated into the
conclusions design

S434
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The Cornerstone

“The two-level factorial and fractional


factorial designs should be the
cornerstone of experimentation for product
and process development, troubleshooting
and improvement.”

Douglas C. Montgomery, Design and Analysis of Experiments, 5th Ed., p.383.

S435
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What is a Factor? What is a Level?
Catapult Factorial
• List the factors and possible factor settings (levels) for
studying the effects on catapult distance.
• How many combinations of factors and settings are
there?

Factor Levels
Draw-back Angle infinite
Cup Location 5 To state a model in an
Arm Stop Position 6
4
experimental design is
Front Arm Tension Pt.
Rubber Band Att. Pt. 5 fixed indicates that the
Ball Type 2 levels used for each
# of Rubber bands 2 factor are the only ones
Operators many of interest

S436
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Experiment Factors

When considering qualitative and quantitative factors in


the same designed experiment, the sum of squares for
the qualitative factors can still be calculated even
though no numerical scale can be attached to the levels

S437
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Example Problem

An experiment is being run with eight factors. Two of the


factors are temperature and pressure. The levels for
temperature are 25, 50 and 75. The levels for pressure are
14,28,42 and 56. How many degrees of freedom are
required for this experiment to determine the effect of the
interaction between temperature and pressure?
• Answer: 6

S438
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Let’s Bake Some Bread – a 2x2 DOE

• While baking bread a novice bread maker noticed that the


bread quality appeared to be related to the amount of
yeast and type of flour used in the process.
• Following Six Sigma training, the bread maker decided to
study the effects of flour and yeast. He decided to use two
different amounts of flour (Low and High) and two
different amounts of yeast (Low and High).
• A few questions:
▫ How many factors?
▫ How many levels of each factor?
▫ How many factor-level combinations?
How do you measure perfect bread?
• IASB uses “taste” and
“bread density (0.23 g/cc)” as
keys
to bread perfection. IASB - International Association for Superior Bread
S439
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2X2 DOE, with Results

Also written
as (2)2
High 0.15 0.25 (Levels)Factors
Yeast Experimental
What is the response,
effect of Low 0.20 0.30 at treatment
changing the Yeast = High
Yeast level from Flour Mix = High
Low High
Low to High? The numbers in the
Flour Mix boxes
What is the effect of represent the bread
changing the Flour density
Mix from Low to measured for each of the
High? four
trial combinations.

S440
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Analyzing 2x2 Factorial Design
Effects
Effect of B:
-0.05
High 0.15 0.25 Avg. Yeast
High:
(.15+.25)/2=.20
Yeast
Changing the Yeast from
Avg. Yeast Low to High decreases the
Low 0.20 0.30 Low: response by 0.05
(.20+.30)/2=.2
5
Low High Is the Flour effect the
Flour Mix same at both levels of
Avg. Flour Yeast?
Avg. Flour
Low: High:
(.20+.15)/2= (.30+.25)/2=
Effect of Flour
.175 .275 Changing Flour Mix from
Mix: Low to High increases the
+0.1 bread density by 0.1

S441
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Calculating the Effects

Flour Mix Yeast Flour x Yeast Result


-1 -1 +1 .20
+1 -1 -1 .30
-1 +1 -1 .15
+1 +1 +1 .25
Sum - High .55 .40 .45 Ave: .225
Sum - Low .35 .50 .45
High - Low .20 -.10 .00
Effect .10 -.05 0
Half-Effect .05 -.025 0
.05*FM -.025*Y 0*FxY

Prediction Equation
Bread Density (Y) = .225 + .05FlourMix - .025Yeast

S442
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Analysis of Results

Factorial Fit: Bread Density versus Flour Mix, Yeast With only one
Estimated Effects and Coefficients for Bread Density (codedfor each
replicate
units)
Term Effect Coef experimental
Constant 0.22500 combination, there
Flour Mix 0.10000 0.05000
Yeast -0.05000 -0.02500
is no estimate of
Flour Mix*Yeast 0.00000 0.00000 “error” and no F-
ratios or p-values
S = *
can be computed.
Analysis of Variance for Bread Density (coded units)
Source DF Seq SS Adj SS Adj MS F P
Main Effects 2 0.01250 0.01250 0.006250 * *
2-Way Interactions 1 0.00000 0.00000 0.000000 * *
Residual Error 0 * * *
Total 3 0.01250

S443
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Adding Replicates
All treatment
combinations are
replicated, giving a
total of 8 results.
StdOrder RunOrder CenterPt Blocks Flour Mix Yeast Bread Density
1 1 1 1 -1 -1 0.20
2 2 1 1 1 -1 0.30
3 3 1 1 -1 1 0.15
4 4 1 1 1 1 0.25
5 5 1 1 -1 -1 0.22
6 6 1 1 1 -1 0.29
7 7 1 1 -1 1 0.17
8 8 1 1 1 1 0.27

Adding the new data: Create a Reminder -


worksheet like the one shown. You Replicates: Repeated runs at the
can do that by creating a new same experimental conditions.
design or simply be adding the When you replicate a design, you
necessary rows to your existing duplicate the complete set of runs
worksheet. from the initial design.

S444
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Factorial Plots - Added Data
Interaction Plot (data means) for Bread Density
0.300 Flour
Mix
-1
0.275 1

0.250
Mean

0.225

0.200

0.175

0.150
-1 1
Yeast
Main Effects Plot (data means) for Bread Density
Flour Mix Yeast
0.28

0.26

Mean of Bread Density


How do these results compare with 0.24

original four results? 0.22

0.20

0.18
-1 1 -1 1

S445
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Interpreting Effects Plots

Pareto Chart of the Standardized Effects


(response is Bread Density, Alpha = .05)
The effects are plotted
2.78
F actor N ame
in Pareto format. The
A F lour M ix

A
B Y east
reference line
represents the .05
Alpha level.
Term

AB

0 2 4 6 8 10
Normal Probability Plot of the Standardized Effects
Standardized Effect (response is Bread Density, Alpha = .05)
99
Effect Ty pe
Not Significant
95 Significant

90 F actor N ame
A F lour M ix
80 A B Y east

70
Effects are plotted.
Percent

60
50

Significant effects are 40


30
20 B
identified with a 10

letter. 5

1
-5.0 -2.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0
R 040127 Standardized Effect

S446
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Analysis with Replicates

With replication, we have an estimate


of “error” and can compute significance
of the effects and interactions.

Factorial Fit: Bread Density versus Flour Mix, Yeast


Estimated Effects and Coefficients for Bread Density (coded units)

Term Effect Coef SE Coef T P


Constant 0.23125 0.004507 51.31 0.000
Flour Mix 0.09250 0.04625 0.004507 10.26 0.001
Yeast -0.04250 -0.02125 0.004507 -4.71 0.009
Flour Mix*Yeast 0.00750 0.00375 0.004507 0.83 0.452 The model can be
S = 0.0127475 R-Sq = 96.97% R-Sq(adj) = 94.71%
simplified by removing
the non-significant terms.
Analysis of Variance for Bread Density (coded units) (Here, the interaction
term.)
Source DF Seq SS Adj SS Adj MS F P
Main Effects 2 0.0207250 0.0207250 0.0103625 63.77 0.001
2-Way Interactions 1 0.0001125 0.0001125 0.0001125 0.69 0.452
Residual Error 4 0.0006500 0.0006500 0.0001625
Pure Error 4 0.0006500 0.0006500 0.0001625
Total 7 0.0214875

S447
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Reducing the Model

• In building the model - or prediction


equation - we strive to include only the
important effects.
• At this point in our example all terms,
including the two-way interaction, are in
the model.
• Use the p-values (i.e., p-value < alpha) to
decide which terms to retain in the model.

S448
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Analysis of Residuals

Do the ‘two-second look.’


If you don’t see a pattern, move on.
Residual Plots for Bread Density
Normal Probabilit y Plot of t he Residuals Residuals Versus the Fit t ed Values
99
0.010
90
0.005

Residual
Percent

50 0.000

-0.005
10
-0.010
1
-0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30
Residual Fitted Value

Histogram of the Residuals Residuals Versus t he Order of t he Data


3 0.010

0.005
Frequency

2
Residual

0.000

1 -0.005

-0.010
0
-0.010 -0.005 0.000 0.005 0.010 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Residual Observation Order

S449
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Transformation Data to
Improve Fit
• A pattern in the Residuals Vs. Fitted Data may indicate the
need to transform the response variable.
• Common transformations are Square Root, Log, Reciprocal
Square Root and Reciprocal
• To show this, the data have been modified so that there is a
pattern in Residuals vs. Fits.

Residuals Versus the Fitted Values


(response is ResidPat)

Flour Mix Yeast Bread Density ResidPattern


0.02
-1 -1 0.200 0.190
1 -1 0.300 0.280
0.01
-1 1 0.150 0.145
There is a pattern in
Residual

1 1 0.250 0.235
0.00 the residuals
-1 -1 0.220 0.210
1 -1 0.290 0.320
-0.01
-1 1 0.170 0.155
1 1 0.270 0.265
-0.02

• What is the best 0.15 0.20


Fitted Value
0.25 0.30

transformation?
S450
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Bread DOE

• Feeling in a creative mood, the Master Breadmaker


(MB) decided to make a more nutritious bread by
adding a few things to the flour mix (oatmeal, grits,
and wheat bran). He calls this new flour Rixmix.
• Not wanting to be ridiculed if the new bread is a
failure, MB decides to conduct another 2x2 DOE to
evaluate the new flour mixture.
• Factor settings are the following:
▫ Flour Mix low setting: 25% Rixmix and 75% whole wheat
flour
▫ Flour Mix high setting: 75% Rixmix and 25% whole wheat
flour
▫ Yeast low setting = 50 grams
▫ Yeast high setting = 100 grams
• There are two replicates for each treatment.

S451
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Bread DOE

The design and results are given. Copy the


data into Minitab, define the design and
analyze the results. Include factorial plots,
ANOVA, prediction equation and analysis
of residuals.
StdOrder RunOrder CenterPt Blocks Flour Mix Yeast BreadDensity
1 1 1 1 25 50 0.20
2 6 1 1 75 50 0.33
3 5 1 1 25 100 0.22
4 2 1 1 75 100 0.26
5 3 1 1 25 50 0.20
6 8 1 1 75 50 0.34
7 7 1 1 25 100 0.20
8 4 1 1 75 100 0.27

Experimental Design with results.


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Results of Bread DOE Exercise
Main Effects Plot (data means) for BreadDensity
Flour Mix Yeast
The Main Effects Plot
0.30
indicates a strong effect
0.28
of Flour Mix and a
Mean of BreadDensity

0.26
weaker effect of Yeast
0.24 (but without some
0.22 comparison to “noise”
0.20 we don’t know if these
25 75 50 100
effects are significant).

Interaction Plot (data means) for BreadDensity


0.34 Flour
Mix
25
0.32
75

The Interaction Plot 0.30

indicates presence of 0.28


Mean

0.26
interaction between 0.24

Flour Mix and Yeast 0.22

0.20

50 100
Yeast

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Results of Bread DOE Exercise

Factorial Fit: BreadDensity versus Flour Mix, Yeast


Estimated Effects and Coefficients for BreadDensity (coded units)

Term Effect Coef SE Coef T P


Constant 0.25250 0.003062 82.47 0.000
Flour Mix 0.09500 0.04750 0.003062 15.51 0.000
Yeast -0.03000 -0.01500 0.003062 -4.90 0.008
Flour Mix*Yeast -0.04000 -0.02000 0.003062 -6.53 0.003

S = 0.00866025 R-Sq = 98.72% R-Sq(adj) = 97.75%

Analysis of Variance for BreadDensity (coded units)

Source DF Seq SS Adj SS Adj MS F P


Main Effects 2 0.0198500 0.0198500 0.00992500 132.33 0.000
2-Way Interactions 1 0.0032000 0.0032000 0.00320000 42.67 0.003
Residual Error 4 0.0003000 0.0003000 0.00007500
Pure Error 4 0.0003000 0.0003000 0.00007500
Total 7 0.0233500

Prediction Equation (Coded Units)


Bread Density (Y) = .2525 + .0475FlourMix - .015Yeast -
.0225FlourMix*Yeast
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Review

• Two-level factorial designs


• Terminology
▫ Factors
▫ Levels
▫ Treatments
▫ Replication
▫ Randomization
▫ Prediction equation (transfer function)
• Minitab
▫ Creating and defining a factorial design
▫ Factorial plots
▫ Plots of residuals
▫ ANOVA of results

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Control

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Process Performance Metrics

Estimated or actual performance level of


Overall process (Based on long-term, or overall, output
(ZLT) variation)

Capability Potential of existing process; provides measure


(ZST) of improvement possibilities (Based on short-term,
or within-group, variation)
Shift
The difference between ZST and ZLT
(Zshift)
Defines the absolute best the existing process
Entitlement
can do (This performance may be intermittent and for
(ZENT)
very short periods of time)
The level at which the process needs to perform,
Goal
(ZGOAL)
as set by business (Achieved by improving existing
process – DMAIC - or designing new process - DFSS).
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A Possible Project/Process
Scenario

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A Second Scenario

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A Third Scenario

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Contact Information
Erick C. Jones, PhD, CSSBB, P.E.
University of Texas Arlington
Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering
Associate Professor
420 Woolf Hall
Arlington, TX 76019
ecjones@uta.edu
(817) 272-7592

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PWD Group Inc.
• Six Sigma Services Offered
▫ Proctored Six Sigma Certification On-site and
Online Exams and Renewals
 Yellow Belt, Executive Yellow Belt, Green Belt, and
Black Belt – ISCEA Approved
▫ Six Sigma Document Review Service
 We have qualified writers on staff
▫ Six Sigma Online Training
▫ Six Sigma “Train the Trainer” Training
▫ Lean Execute Time Study and Process
Improvement Consulting
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This material is proprietary to PWD Group, Inc.

Exam Time (CLSSBB)

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