Q- Present an account of the Demographic Transition
Theory of population growth giving suitable example.
INTRODUCTION Demographic transition denotes a prolonged evolution in birth and death rates, leading to a noteworthy alteration in the age composition of a population. The application of demographic transition theory proves instrumental in elucidating and predicting the future population dynamics of any region. The acquisition of demographic data is of paramount importance, serving as a foundational element for the formulation and execution of state policies, particularly those directed towards economic advancement and the overall well-being of the public. DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION THEORY The demographic transition theory investigates the intricate relationship between economic development and population growth, delving into the nuanced shifts in birth and death rates, as well as the overall population growth rate, aligning with the trajectory of growth and development. This comprehensive theory not only provides a retrospective analysis but is also instrumental in describing and predicting the prospective population dynamics of any given area. As societies undergo a transformative journey from predominantly rural, agrarian, and less-educated settings to becoming predominantly urban, industrial, literate, and modern, the demographic transition theory posits a distinct pattern of demographic change. This evolution unfolds from a phase characterised by high fertility and high mortality rates to a subsequent stage marked by low fertility and low mortality rates. These transformative stages are collectively identified as the demographic cycle. Crucially, the theory establishes that these demographic changes occur in discernible stages, each representing a distinctive phase of societal development. The stages of the demographic transition are intricately linked to the state of economic development, serving as a pivotal determinant. This interconnectedness allows for the classification of societies into four stages within the demographic transition model, offering a structured framework for understanding and analysing the dynamic interplay between economic progress and population dynamics. STAGES ASSOCIATED WITH DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION First Stage In the initial stage of demographic transition, the country experiences a low level of economic development, with agriculture being the primary source of income. The standard of living is low due to factors such as epidemics, famines, and limited access to medical facilities. This stage is marked by high fertility, high infant mortality, and low life expectancy. Second Stage The second stage witnesses a high birth rate but a declining death rate, leading to rapid population growth. Improvements in healthcare contribute to a significant reduction in the death rate, while the birth rate remains high due to social factors. The population pyramid expands rapidly, indicating a “Population Explosion” characterised by a large number of teenagers. Third Stage In the third stage, the birth rate decreases, resulting in lower population growth. Economic development prompts structural changes, with urbanisation becoming prevalent. Large families are viewed as a liability, leading to a decline in the birth rate, while the death rate remains low. India is cited as an example, and it’s also known as the “Stage of Declining Birth Rate and Low Death Rate.” Fourth Stage Population stabilisation characterises the fourth stage, featuring low birth and death rates. Dramatic improvements in the standard of living result from rapid economic development. Family size becomes a priority for quality of life. The fertility rate is close to or lower than 2.1, and the population includes a substantial number of elderly individuals. Example 1: United States The United States experienced the demographic transition throughout the 19th and 20th centuries. In the 1800s, it transitioned from a pre-industrial agrarian society (Stage 1) to early industrialization (Stage 2) with the onset of the Industrial Revolution By the mid-20th century, the US entered the mature industrial economy stage (Stage 3), characterized by declining birth rates due to urbanization, education, and access to contraception.
Example 2: China China provides a more recent example
of the demographic transition. Until the mid-20th century, China was largely agrarian, with high birth and death rates. However, with rapid economic development and government policies such as the one-child policy, China transitioned to a mature industrial economy Currently, China is experiencing challenges associated with an aging population and low fertility rates.
Conclusion
The Demographic Transition Theory provides a framework
for understanding the complex interplay between economic development and population growth.