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Probability Distributions: ©the Mcgraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 2008 Mcgraw-Hill/Irwin
Probability Distributions: ©the Mcgraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 2008 Mcgraw-Hill/Irwin
Probability Distributions: ©the Mcgraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 2008 Mcgraw-Hill/Irwin
Chapter 6
2
What is a Probability Distribution?
Experiment: Toss a
coin three times.
Observe the number of
heads. The possible
results are: zero
heads, one head, two
heads, and three
heads.
What is the probability
distribution for the
number of heads?
3
Probability Distribution of Number of
Heads Observed in 3 Tosses of a Coin
4
Characteristics of a Probability
Distribution
5
Random Variables
6
Types of Random Variables
7
Discrete Random Variables - Examples
8
Continuous Random Variables -
Examples
9
Features of a Discrete Distribution
10
The Mean of a Probability Distribution
MEAN
•The mean is a typical value used to represent the
central location of a probability distribution.
•The mean of a probability distribution is also
referred to as its expected value.
11
The Variance, and Standard
Deviation of a Probability Distribution
12
Steps…
13
Mean, Variance, and Standard
Deviation of a Probability Distribution - Example
14
Mean of a Probability Distribution - Example
15
Variance and Standard
Deviation of a Probability Distribution - Example
16
Binomial Probability Distribution
17
Binomial Probability Formula
18
Binomial Probability - Example
20
Binomial Dist. – Mean and Variance
21
Binomial Dist. – Mean and Variance:
Example
22
Binomial Dist. – Mean and Variance:
Another Solution
23
Binomial Distribution - Table
24
Binomial Distribution - MegaStat
Five percent of the worm
gears produced by an
automatic,
high-speed
Carter-Bell milling
machine are
defective. What is the
probability that out of
six gears selected at
random none will be
defective? Exactly
one? Exactly two?
Exactly three?
Exactly four? Exactly
five? Exactly six out
of six?
25
Binomial – Shapes for Varying π
(n constant)
26
Binomial – Shapes for Varying n
(π constant)
27
Cumulative Binomial Probability
Distributions
28
Cumulative Binomial Probability
Distributions - Excel
29
Finite Population
30
Hypergeometric Distribution
31
Hypergeometric Distribution
32
Hypergeometric Distribution
33
Hypergeometric Distribution - Example
34
Hypergeometric Distribution - Example
35
Hypergeometric Distribution - Excel
36
Poisson Probability Distribution
37
Poisson Probability Distribution
38
Poisson Probability Distribution
39
Poisson Probability Distribution -
Example
40
Poisson Probability Distribution - Table
Assume baggage is rarely lost by Northwest Airlines. Suppose a random
sample of 1,000 flights shows a total of 300 bags were lost. Thus, the
arithmetic mean number of lost bags per flight is 0.3 (300/1,000). If the
number of lost bags per flight follows a Poisson distribution with mean
= 0.3, find the probability of not losing any bags
41
End of Chapter 6
42