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ARTICLE IN PRESS

Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160


www.elsevier.com/locate/econedurev

Does education cause better health? A panel data analysis


using school reforms for identification
Jacob Nielsen Arendt
Institute of Local Government Studies, Nyropsgade 37, 1602 Copenhagen V, Denmark

Received 26 September 2002; accepted 14 April 2004

Abstract

We address whether the relationship between education and health can be interpreted causally. Alternatively, both
may be determined by common unobserved factors such as individual time preferences. We add to the primarily US-
based evidence by using a Danish panel data set of employed persons, and use Danish school reforms to instrument
education effects on self-reported health (SRH), body mass index (BMI) and an indicator for never been smoking.
Education is related to all three measures in the expected way and the relationships are amplified in magnitude when
education is instrumented. However, as the standard errors also increase when using instruments, neither exogeneity
nor the null of no effect of education can be rejected for SRH and BMI. We address important criticism of our
identification scheme, including tests for presence of weak instruments as suggested by Hahn and Hausman
(Econometrica 70 (2002) 163). None of the supplementary analyses reveal problems with the estimation strategy, so the
analyses remain inconclusive.
r 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

JEL classification: I12; I20; J18; C35

Keywords: Education effect; Health inequality; Selection bias; School reform

1. Introduction causally. This is of tremendous importance for our


understanding of determinants of health as well as for
The interest in the relation between social status and our understanding of how schooling affects and shape
health is not new, but has received renewed interest individual lives. Education may cause better health in
during the last couple of decades, both within academia several ways. Education influences job opportunities and
and in the public.1 In this paper we address whether income, which in turn may influence health. Education
education related health differentials can be interpreted may also enhance knowledge of how to live a healthy
life, leading to improved choices of use of time and goods
Tel.: +1-45-33110300; fax: +1-45-33152875. that affect health, see e.g., Kenkel (1991). Moreover, just
as education is believed to enhance market productivity,
E-mail address: jna@akf.dk (J.N. Arendt).
1
Some examples are the MacArthur Research Network on
education may enhance health productivity as argued by
Socioeconomic Status and Health in the US and the Whitehall Grossman (1972). There might also be non-behavioral
studies in the UK or the British Acheson report (Acheson, reasons for causal social gradients in health, e.g., relying
1998) and the Danish Health program 1999–2008 (Sundheds- on psychosocial factors as described for instance by
ministeriet, 1999). Adler, Boyce, Chesney, and Choen et al. (1994).

0272-7757/$ - see front matter r 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2004.04.008
ARTICLE IN PRESS
150 J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160

However, there exist plausible reasons why education 2. Theory and previous evidence
related differences in health cannot be interpreted
causally. We focus on hypotheses suggesting that the A useful starting point for the discussion of health
relationship between education and health may be due determinants is the reduced form model of the demand
to unobserved variables. This gives rise to a standard for health, explicitly derived from a structural model,
missing variables problem, which biases estimates of the from Grossman (1972). Related literature is discussed in
effect of education on health. One important potential Grossman (2000). In this model, health depreciates over
missing variable is childhood health or more broadly, time but is maintained by health investments depending
health endowments shaped prior to educational attain- on consumed goods and activities that affect health.
ment. Another potential missing variable is the indivi- Utility maximization determines health inputs as a
duals preference for the future, because these preferences function of prices, wages, a depreciation rate and
affect the likelihood of engaging in activities with technology parameters, yielding a reduced form model
current costs and benefits that are harvested in the of the demand for health as
future. Educational attainment and good health beha-
H it ¼ aw wit þ ae E i þ aa Ageit þ at Dt þ Bit ; ð2:1Þ
vior can both be regarded as such activities. Therefore,
with health endowments and time preferences unob- where Hit is the health stock of individual i at time t, wit
served, we may observe adults with low schooling and the wage, Ei the education, Dt are time effects capturing,
poor health and vice versa, even when schooling plays e.g., prices of health inputs and Bit is an unobserved
no direct role for health outcomes. Compared to the component. The focus of our discussion is why Bit may
significance of the subject, very few studies have be correlated with education, thus that standard
addressed whether education effects on health can be estimates of ae not necessarily reflects a causal parameter.
given a causal interpretation. A possible correlation between Bit and education may
We add to the existing literature by employing be explained by the endowment hypothesis. This
institutional changes, Danish school reforms, to identify hypothesis states that when those with higher ‘‘ability’’
education effects on health. Furthermore, we use a panel obtain more education and when those with a high
data set of Danish workers, which allow us to control health ‘‘endowment’’ (both interpreted broadly includ-
for unobserved heterogeneity over time. Our analysis ing genetics, parental care and influences from the social
provides evidence on data from outside the US, where environment) are more healthy as adults, a correlation
most of the existing evidence is from. We therefore between ability and health endowments will most likely
contribute to the task of providing robust evidence, less imply a correlation between education and adult health,
sensitive to institutional settings and cultural habits, see e.g., Card (1999) and Rosenzweig and Schultz (1983)
which might affect the relation between health and for hypotheses about ability and endowments. The
education. Finally, we address various criticism of the endowment story also implies that health may have
identification scheme, which among others includes an important unobserved persistent components.
application of two new tests for the presence of weak A second explanation for a correlation between Bit and
instruments. education states that individuals with higher preferences
The results show that education is significantly related for the future are more likely to engage in activities with
to both self-reported health (SRH) and body-mass index current costs and future benefits such as schooling and
(BMI; weight (kilograms) divided by squared height health investments, and dates back to at least Fuchs (1982).
(meters)) in healthy range. When the education effect is Grossman and Kaestner (1997, p. 87–93), mention studies
instrumented, it increases in magnitude, but so does its investigating the time preference hypothesis. The men-
standard error. Therefore, we neither reject that educa- tioned studies deals with health behavior, notably smoking,
tion is exogenous nor that it has no effect on SRH and and does therefore not deal with the education effects on
BMI. This result may be due to weaknesses of the health per se. They conclude that the existing, sparse
estimation strategy. In supplementary analyses it is evidence does not favor the time preference hypothesis.
however not possible to detect any problems with The endowment story has a long history in empirical
the estimation strategy. Therefore the results remain work, where it is often dealt with using proxies, e.g., for
inconclusive. family background and test scores as control variables.
The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 we Examples of applications of this identification strategy
discuss theory on the relation between education and are Grossman (1975) and Behrman and Wolfe (1989).
health and mention results from previous empirical The latter is also one of the few studies conducted on
studies. In Section 3 we present the data, and in Section data from outside the US (Nicaragua) where endogene-
4 we discuss the empirical model. Section 5 presents the ity of education is addressed. Behrman and Wolfe also
school reforms and Section 6 contains the main apply household fixed effects methods. The results from
empirical analysis. Section 7 provides a discussion and both studies suggest that controlling for unobservables
Section 8 concludes. does not alter education effects considerably.
ARTICLE IN PRESS
J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160 151

A number of studies have dealt with endogeneity of in 1990. We exclude individuals under age of 25 in 1990
education using instrumental variable techniques. Berger and observations with missing education data. There is
and Leigh (1989) use per capita income and per capita some attrition in the sample from 1990 to 1995, mainly
expenditures on education in the state of birth as across different regions, whereas it does not seem to
instruments for education in their study of education affect the distribution of age, gender and occupation
effects on health on US data. They find that education (Borg & Burr, 1997). Therefore controlling for region is
effects are slightly reduced, but remain significant, when necessary. The deletion of missing education might lead
correcting for endogeneity. We note that these instru- to sample problems, but we obtain a sample, which
ments may be related to expenditures on health, which, if seems fairly representative of Danish workers, see the
health expenditures affect health, would disqualify them appendix for more details. The sample consists of 1710
as valid instruments. Lleras-Muney (2004) uses changes men and 1548 women observed in both 1990 and 1995.
in compulsory school attendance and child labor laws The data set includes SRH, graded as poor, fair, good,
from 30 US states from 1915 to 1939 to identify very good and excellent, which will be our main health
education effects on mortality. She uses grouped US outcome. The data also includes measures more closely
census data as well as US individual data from 1985. The related to health behavior. We will use BMI and an
results show that one year of education seems to increase indicator of never been smoking as supplemental out-
life expectancy at age 35 by more than a year. We note comes.
that the instrumented education effects from individual The use of SRH as a health measure has both pros
data are not significant. Adams (2001) adapts the and cons. First of all it is believed to be a useful
identification strategy suggested by Angrist and Krueger summary measure of general health (see e.g., Case &
(1991), using quarter of birth in a US cross-section of Deaton, 2002), possibly capturing dimensions of health
individuals from 1992. Adams uses SRH and a number which is difficult to obtain with more ‘‘objective’’ health
of variables describing functional limitations as health measures. It also seems to be related to intervening
measures. When instrumental variable estimation is mechanisms leading to increased risk of functional
used, education effects increase slightly but are insignif- disability and mortality, see e.g., Mossey and Shapiro
icant. Furthermore, F-values on the instruments are just (1982) and Idler (1994). However, SRH might be
above 1, indicating a problem of weak instruments. reported with error, see e.g., Butler, Burkhauser,
Arkes (2002) estimates education effects on work-limit- Mitchell, and Pincus (1987). An example is that people
ing health problems, on need for personal care and on in deprived situations might ‘‘justify’’ their situation by
mobility limitations using a large US sample including claiming that their health is poorer than it actually is.
white males aged 47–56. Arkes uses within-state Changes in norms and the business cycle may lead to
differences in unemployment rates as instruments for similar biases. Indeed, the state of the economy changed
education. He also finds that education effects increase a from a downturn in 1990 to an upturn in 1995, and
bit when allowing for endogeneity, and the effects are health norms might have changed because of stagnating
significant for two of the three health measures. Finally, longevity and focus on unhealthy lifestyles in Denmark
Spasojevic (2003) uses changes in compulsory schooling during this period. To control for such general changes
in Sweden in the fifties, analyzing education effects on a in self-reporting behavior over time, a time dummy is
constructed index of bad health and on an index of BMI included in all estimations. If reporting errors in SRH
in healthy range over the period 1981–1991. She finds are related to education it introduces a spurious
positive significant (although only when using one-tailed correlation between SRH and education. However, if
tests) from years of education on both. the error is unrelated to the variables used to instrument
As it stands, the existing evidence suggests that there education, instrumental variable estimation solves the
is a causal component running from education to health. problem.
However, the evidence is still sparse, and many studies
suffer either from use of poor instruments, low precision
or from a focus on very narrow samples (e.g., with 4. Empirical model
respect to age or gender). In addition, few studies apply
datasets from outside the US or allow for individual We use an ordered quantal response panel model and
specific heterogeneity over time, which we do. a linear regression model, respectively, to model SRH
and years of education:
H it ¼ X 1it b þ gE i þ ai þ it ;
3. Data
X
K

We use a two-period data set of Danish workers H it ¼ 1ðH it 4cj Þ;


j¼1
interviewed in 1990 and 1995 (The Danish National
Work Environment Cohort Study (WECS)), aged 18–59 E i ¼ X 1it P1 þ X 2it P2 þ V it ; (4.1)
ARTICLE IN PRESS
152 J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160

where H nit is the latent health for individual i in period t, Note that the sign of the coefficient Z yields some
Hit is observed health category, changing value when H* useful insights, as it is of the same sign as the correlation
crosses an unknown threshold, cj, Ei is years of between the individual specific health error term, ai ,
education, X1i are exogenous regressors in the health and the education error term, Vi. If Z is positive,
equation and X2i are instrumental variables for educa- models where education is assumed to be exogenous
tion. ai is an individual specific effect capturing the idea yield an upward bias, and vice versa if Z is negative.
that unobserved individual components determined If time preferences were the only reason for endogeneity,
prior to educational attainment selectively sort indivi- we expect the sign of Z to be positive, because ai
duals into high- and low-health groups, and eit is and Vi contains only this one common factor. If
assumed to be random. When Vi and ai are correlated, endowments were the reason for endogeneity, the sign
e.g., for reasons discussed in the previous section, of Z describes the sign of the correlation between
education is endogenous. Note that it is assumed that education ability and health endowments, which could
the variables X1 are uncorrelated with both ai and eit. We go either way. A negative estimate is therefore an
therefore limit X1 to consist of age, a year dummy and indication that the endowment hypothesis matters
dummies for region of living. All may have important relatively more than the time preference hypothesis.
health components, and in addition, the former is Finally, the t-test that Z is zero is a test for exogeneity of
required for identification (see the next section) whereas education. We use a naive bootstrapping procedure to
the two latter are required because of the sampling obtain corrections of standard errors for the first-stage
scheme (see the previous section). To avoid multi- regression, which are needed in order to do correct
collinearity problems we do not control for cohort. inference.
Therefore, age may be related to ai, because the latter
includes cohort effects. Whether this gives rise to large
biases can be inferred from estimations on separate
cohorts, which is conducted in the last section. 5. School reforms as instrumental variables
To correct for endogeneity of education we use a
panel version of the two-stage conditional maximum In this section we discuss the use of instrumental
likelihood (henceforth referred to as 2SCML) estimator variables for education, using information on two
suggested by Vuong (1984)2, assuming that the condi- school reforms that took place in Denmark in 1958
tional distribution of ai given Vi has a mean that is linear and 1975.
in Vi3 Prior to the reform in 1958, pupils had to pass a test
after 5th form, in order to enter ‘‘the middle school’’ (the
Eðai jV i; X Þ ¼ ZV i ; s:t: ai ¼ ZV i þ wi ; ð4:2Þ 6th to 9th or 10th year of schooling), which was
where Z is the regression coefficient of ai on Vi, such that necessary for further education. If they did not pass
wi is orthogonal to Ei by construction. Substituting this the test, they would continue schooling in another more
into the model we get practically orientated track, ending schooling after 7th
form. From 1958 these early sorting mechanisms were
H it ¼ X 1it b þ gE i þ ZV i þ wi þ it : ð4:3Þ abandoned, such that only mild differences in curricu-
lum during 5th to 7th form occurred (Folketingets
A first stage estimation of Ei on (Xi1, Xi2) yields a Årbog, 1958). The formal tests after 5th form were
consistent estimate of Vi, which inserted into (3.3) allows replaced by recommendations after 7th form, of whether
consistent estimation of g by a random effects proce- to continue school after 7th form. In addition, a
dure. Following our discussion in the previous section, distinction between village and city schools was elimi-
the random effect could be a propensity to be healthy nated. This meant that the number of lessons, which
unrelated to education. We refer to this estimator as the prior to the reform was lower in the village school, was
2SCMLR estimator, where the R stands for random brought to the same level as in the city schools. The
effects. village schools also gained the same right as the city
schools to form classes from 8th to 10th form. This
2
2SCML can be advocated on several grounds. First, Monte increased the proximity of schools, necessary for
Carlo analyses show that 2SCML performs well in small education beyond 7th form, outside larger cities. It is a
samples (Arendt, 2002), outperforming an alternative suggested
common view that the schooling structure prior to 1958
by Newey (1987). Further, 2SCML requires no distributional
limited access to further education especially for
assumptions on first-stage error terms, as for instance joint
maximum likelihood does. Indeed, 2SCML outperforms MLE
children from less educated backgrounds and for
under misspecification of this error term (Mroz & Guilkey, children from the countryside, which the 1958 reform
1992). Finally, 2SCML is easy to use. helped to alleviate (Bryld, Haue, Andersen, & Svane,
3
This can be motivated from a joint normality assumption, 1990; Hansen, 1982). The school reform in 1958
but this is not needed. therefore lowered educational barriers and, in village
ARTICLE IN PRESS
J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160 153

schools, increased number of lessons and school when crossing 11 years of education. The latter is
proximity for those wishing to attend 8th to 10th form.4 primarily due to the very poor health of semi-skilled
The reform in 1975 (Folketingets Årbog, 1976) raised people who are categorized as having 11 years of
the minimum school-leaving-age, increasing the com- education. This is a maximum, which makes the outlier
pulsory years of education from 7 to 9 years. The extent look more extreme. They only constitute 5% of the
to which this had an impact on mean education is sample and do not seriously affect the results.
however dubious, since most children already obtained 9
years of schooling. However, the reform in 1975 also 6.2. The effect of school reforms on educational
removed the distinction between two tracks during the attainment
8th to 10th form, where one track prepared for
gymnasium and another track for other, mostly voca- In Figs. 1 and 2 the mean years of education is shown
tional, educations. (separately for men and women) in the year where
We generate two dummy instrumental variables to individuals turned 14. At age 14 pupils may enter 7th
indicate whether individuals were affected by the grade, which is the age that divides people into whether
reforms in 1958 and 1975. For both reforms, we assume they are affected by reforms or not. Two vertical lines
that only pupils who entered 7th form after 1958 or 1975 are placed at 1958 and 1975, the years where the reforms
were affected. This is crudely measured by whether were introduced. From both figures we see that, on top
individuals turned 14 of age in 1959 and in 1976. of a general increasing trend in educational attainment,
This amounts to a division of individuals into three educational levels jumped after 1958. The necessary
groups, those below age 34 in 1995, those aged between condition for the 1958 reform to affect educational
33 and 51 in 1995 and those 51 or older in 1995. attainment therefore seems to be fulfilled. The changes
Individuals in these groups were affected, respectively, induced by the 1975 reform are not as evident, as
by the 1975 reform, by the 1958 reform and by none of expected.
the reforms. In order to infer more specifically to what extent the
To ensure that the instruments generated by the reforms have an impact on educational attainment, we
dummy variables are valid, we need to take account of report results from the first stage regressions for years of
upward drifts over time in health, occurring for reasons education regressed on the reform dummies, age, a 1995
other than increasing educational attainment. If not dummy and regional dummies. The results are reported
accounted for, the instruments would be correlated with in Table 2. The third and sixth columns contain the
health through a common correlation over time. We results with a quadratic in age, and it turns out that the
have to assume that other events, driving the upward quadratic term is insignificant for both men and women.
drifts in health, can be captured by a relative smooth The predicted profiles of the quadratic are very close to
function, otherwise the design does not bring identifica- that of the linear. As mentioned above, the same is true
tion (for a formal discussion, see Hahn, Todd, & Van for the relation between age and SRH. For these
der Klaauw, 2001). reasons, we will use a linear age function. From the
second and fifth columns, with age included linearly, it is
seen that the impact from the 1975 reform is not
6. Results statistically significant and it is lower than the effect of
the 1958 reform. Those affected by the 1958 reform have
6.1. Descriptive statistics significantly higher educational attainment on top of a
linear age trend and regional differences. This holds for
In Table 1 we present descriptive statistics on age, both men and women; raising years of education on
education and SRH. SRH takes value one for excellent average by 0.35 year for women and by 0.4 year for men.
health and five for poor health. From the second The F-values of joint significance of both instruments
column, we see that mean SRH decreases (i.e., health are 3.65 for women and 4.47 for men. Although this is a
improves) with length of education and increases bit low (see e.g., Staiger & Stock, 1997, recommending a
with age. Simple logit estimations (not reported for value above 5), indicating a possible problem of weak
brevity) of SRH on dummies for each length of instruments, the values are still higher than what has
educational attainment and age groups, show that age been reported in many other comparable studies.
affects SRH linearly but that a non-linearity occurs Finally, we show results from reduced form ordered
logit models of SRH, i.e., where the reform dummies are
4
Examples of use of related instrumental variables from the
included and education is excluded from the health
wage literature is given in Harmon and Walker (1995) and equation, in column four and seven. Both reforms are
Meghir and Palme (2001), using compulsory schooling laws, seen to be insignificant (although only the impact of the
and Kane and Rouse (1993) and Card (1995), using proximity 1975 reform for men has the wrong sign), but since these
of schools. are reduced form coefficients, they do not rule out that
ARTICLE IN PRESS
154 J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160

Table 1
Summary statistics from WECS data, 1990 and 1995

Variable Men Women

Sharea Mean SHRb Share PHc Sharea Mean SHRb Share PHc

Years of education
7 0.046 1.797 0.184 0.063 1.903 0.224
9 0.035 1.746 0.144 0.048 1.853 0.227
10 0.026 1.611 0.133 0.045 1.636 0.114
11 0.052 1.876 0.208 0.047 1.826 0.208
12 0.040 1.573 0.110 0.103 1.636 0.125
13 0.486 1.636 0.127 0.309 1.551 0.096
14 0.069 1.551 0.089 0.146 1.636 0.121
16 0.133 1.546 0.103 0.198 1.544 0.088
18 0.113 1.473 0.049 0.040 1.524 0.097
Age
25–34 0.242 1.514 0.080 0.214 1.489 0.077
35–44 0.370 1.600 0.108 0.392 1.596 0.116
45–54 0.291 1.687 0.157 0.314 1.693 0.140
55–65 0.097 1.767 0.148 0.080 1.842 0.198
All No. Obs Mean SHRb Share PHc No. Obs Mean SHRb Share PHc
3420 1.621 0.119 3096 1.623 0.122
Note: Calculated for pooled data in 1990 and 1995.
a
The share of observations in the given group.
b
The mean of self-reported health status with value 1 corresponding to very excellent health and 5 to very poor.
c
PH is short for poor health, which corresponds to the three worst outcomes.

Lowess smoother, bandwidth = .15 Lowess smoother, bandwidth = .14


14 13.8333
Mean years of education
Mean years of education

11.5
12.5 1948 1978
1948 1978 Year when turned 14
Year when turned 14
Fig. 2. Mean years of education by year when turning 14 of
Fig. 1. Mean years of education by year when turning 14 of age, women. Note: See note to Fig. 1.
age, men. Note: The mean years of education in 1990 and 1995
for every cohort in the sample are shown by dots. On the first
axis, the sample is divided into cohort by the year in which
turning 14 years of age. In 1948, the mean is therefore for men 6.3. Logit estimates of the effect of education on SRH
are born in 1934. The solid line shows a smoothed plot using the
lowest spline smoother. Table 3 contains estimates of the model in (4.1) using
a simple ordered logit and the 2SCML estimator with
and without random effects. The model includes a year
dummy for 1995, 17 regional dummies and age included
the reforms have an impact on education and education as control variables. Since a higher value of SRH
has an impact on health. The results do however again indicates worse health, a negative coefficient implies
indicate that the explanatory power of the reforms may positive covariation with better health. In Table 3
be weak. We return to this issue below. column (1), a simple ordered logit for men is presented.
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J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160 155

Table 2
First stage education regressions and reduced form SRH estimations

Outcome Women Men

Education Education SRH Education Education SRH

Constant 14,970 13,525 13.387 13,988


(0.556) (1.303) (0.545) (1.193)
Reform 1958 0.352 0.254 0.048 0.401 0.437 0.144
(0.172) (0.190) (0.132) (0.172) (0.184) (0.133)
Reform 1975 0.166 0.173 0.066 0.262 0.249 0.240
(0.302) (0.302) (0.235) (0.285) (0.286) (0.221)
Age 0.042 0.034 0.031 0.013 0.179 0.014
(0.011) (0.063) (0.008) (0.010) (0.055) (0.008)
Age 2/1000 0.911 0.365
(0.743) (0.644)
1995 0.207 0.212 0.084 0.065 0.064 0.132
(0.104) (0.104) (0.081) (0.100) (0.100) (0.077)
F-value 17 regions 8.77 8.80 31.42 12.22 12.21 56.00
F-value 2 reforms 3.65 1.04 0.98 4.47 3.82 1.28
Adj. R2 0.067 0.067 0.054 0.054
Observations 3096 3096 3096 3420 3420 3420
Notes: OLS regressions for education and logit estimation for SRH with standard errors in parentheses.

Table 3
Ordered logit models of SRH

Estimator Logit RE-Logit 2SCML 2SCMLR 2SCMLR

Men (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)


Education 0.091 0.109 0.153 0.223 0.430
(0.013) (0.021) (0.275) (0.292) (0.820)
Age 0.022 0.027 0.022 0.027 0.022
(0.004) (0.006) (0.004) (0.091) (0.034)
1995 0.099 0.111 0.103 0.118 0.029
(0.065) (0.089) (0.041) (0.091) (0.165)
Education residual 0.061 0.115 0.333
(0.276) (0.289) (0.823)
w2 -test, 17 regions 61.44 50.48 53.55 44.26 31.26
2Log-likelihood 6,699,77 6,533.21 6,699.73 6,533.12 3,013.01
Tests for RE 166.56 166.61
Women (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
Education 0.079 0.089 0.207 0.251 0.223
(0.014) (0.016) (0.248) (0.241) (0.414)
Age 0.027 0.032 0.021 0.023 0.024
(0.005) (0.005) (0.004) (0.004) (0.030)
1995 0.105 0.125 0.117 0.141 0.097
(0.075) (0.077) (0.074) (0.076) (0.162)
Education residual 0.129 0.162 0.144
(0.250) (0.238) (0.415)
w2 -test, 17 regions 29.46 26.48 30.98 33.67 34.83
2Log-likelihood 6,149.08 6,091.42 6,148.88 6,091.17 3,056.45
Tests for RE 57.66 57.71
Note: All estimations are from ordered logit models. All standard errors in two-stage estimations are bootstrapped using a naive
bootstrapping procedure with 200 replications. School reforms in 1958 and 1975 are used as instruments. All estimations also include
17 regional dummies, and a w2 -test for their joint significance is presented. In the row ‘‘Tests for RE’’, the difference between 2Log L
for models with and without random effects are given. (5) and (10) contains 2SCMLR estimates for individuals aged 44–57 in 1995. (5)
are with 1462 observations and (10) are with 1500 observations.
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156 J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160

Both education and age are significant, education with a moment, we note that for both men and women the
coefficient of 0.091, and age with a coefficient of 0.022, coefficients to education and the residual are of opposite
such that more educated have better health and the signs. As discussed in Section 4 this indicates a relatively
elderly have worse health. An additional year of weak influence of time preferences, but leaves room for
education therefore corresponds to an odds ratio of, one version of the endowment hypothesis. Indeed, it
e.g., having good or very good health of 1.095, i.e., each need not be unrealistic that some people are endowed
year of education roughly improves the probability of with good health while less so with respect to their
good or very good health by 10%.5 Below the parameter mental ability and vice versa.
estimates, a w2 -value for testing the null of joint
insignificance of 17 regional dummies is presented. The 6.4. Logit estimates of the effect of education on BMI
null is strongly rejected. and smoking
In column (2) we allow for individual normal
distributed random effects, which are integrated out by In this section we apply the same methods as above to
Gaussian quadrature. The presence of random effects is examine whether education affects BMI and an indicator
tested, comparing estimations in (1) and (2) by means of of never been smoking. Note that BMI and smoking are
a likelihood ratio test; see the second and third row more closely related to health behavior than SRH. There
below the parameter estimates. This is w2 -distributed is an additional subtlety about the use of the never been
with one degree of freedom, and the null of no random smoking indicator, since a large share of smokers start
effects is rejected. The random effects estimate is a bit smoking during their teenage years. Therefore, this is a
larger in magnitude than the one without. variable that is determined simultaneously with education,
Before continuing to column (3) and (4), which allows which should be captured by the 2SCMLR estimator.
for endogeneity of education, we test the validity of the Table 4 presents some descriptive statistics. The BMI
reforms as instruments. Two conditions must be is within a so-called healthy range (19–25) for 55% of
fulfilled: a relationship with education and no relation- the men and 72% of the women. 45% of the men are
ship with SRH given controls. Recall from Table 2 that overweight (BMI>25), which is the case for 21% of the
the former is fulfilled. The latter is tested by including women. The table also shows that mean SRH follows a
reform dummies one at a time in the second stage U-shape for men, being higher for those with BMI
conditional on the other reform (not shown). Both tests, below 19 and above 25. Although this is not the case for
as well as when including the reform jointly in the women, we follow common practice in this area and
second stage, produce insignificant results with t-values model the event of having BMI in the healthy range
around 0.8. between 19 and 25. The share who has never smoked is
Comparing likelihood values form 2SCML and 30% for men and 40% for women. This is also related to
2SCMLR estimates in column (3) and (4), the null of SRH in the expected way and. Both smoking and BMI
no random effects is again rejected. The 2SCMLR are related to education.
estimates in column (4), show that the coefficient on Table 5 presents the estimation results. The top of the
education increases (in absolute magnitudes) to 0.223, table contains results for men, while results for women
which, however, is insignificant. Moreover, we reject are found in the bottom. Both random effect and
endogeneity by accepting the null that the coefficient on 2SCMLR estimates are presented. The second and
the residual is zero. fourth columns present evidence that for both men
Moving forward to the bottom part of the table, we and women, more educated are more likely to have BMI
look at results for women. Education is strongly in the healthy range and it is more likely that they have
significant in the simple logit with a coefficient at never been smoking. Looking at 2SCMLR estimates,
0.079 in column (6), i.e., the effect is smaller than for exogeneity of education cannot be rejected for BMI,
men. The estimators with no random effects are again whereas exogeneity is rejected when it comes to the
rejected against estimators with random effects and the never been smoking outcome for both men and women.
latter have higher education coefficients. Column (9) Due to the latter result, one may say that the 2SCMLR
shows the 2SCMLR estimates, accounting for both pass a test of validity. The coefficient on the education
random effects and endogeneity of education. Again, the residual is positive in the never smoking equation, which
coefficient on education is much larger (in absolute can be interpreted as showing that those with higher
value) than the simple logit estimates, but as we saw for ‘‘schooling ability’’ are less likely to start smoking.
men both education and the residual from the first stage
are insignificant. Leaving insignificance aside for a
7. Discussion and additional analyses
5
Recall that in the hordered logit, coefficients
. and
i odds ratios
PðSRHpjjxþ1Þ PðSRHpjjxÞ In this section we discuss the results from the previous
are related by: eg ¼ 1PðSRHpjjxþ1Þ 1PðSRHpjjxÞ , where g is
the coefficient to x. section. Although we cannot reject exogeneity of
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J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160 157

Table 4
Descriptive statistics for BMI and smoking, 1990 and 1995

Men Women

Sharea Mean SHRb Mean educc Sharea Mean SHRb Mean educc

BMIo19 0.01 1.63 14.40 0.07 1.56 13.64


19pBMIo25 0.55 1.56 13.76 0.72 1.60 13.17
25pBMIo30 0.38 1.65 13.07 0.16 1.69 12.50
30pBMI 0.07 1.86 12.18 0.05 1.90 11.71
Never smoked 0.30 1.51 13.84 0.40 1.60 13.32
Have smoked 0.70 1.67 13.20 0.60 1.64 12.85
Note: Calculated for pooled data, 1990 and 1995. BMI (body mass index) is weight (kg) divided by squared height (meters).
a
The share of observations in the given group.
b
The mean of self-reported health status with value 1 corresponding to very excellent health and 5 to very poor.
c
The mean years of education in the given group.

Table 5
Education effects on BMI in healthy range and never smoking indicator

Estimator RE-logit 2SCMLR RE-logit 2SCMLR

BMI in healthy range Never smoked

Men
Education 0.128 0.117 0.116 0.640
(0.015) (0.275) (0.016) (0.307)
Age 0.030 0.030 0.046 0.045
(0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.005)
1995 0.176 0.176 0.216 0.212
(0.073) (0.073) (0.080) (0.080)
Education residual 0.011 0.759
(0.028) (0.302)
w2 -test, 17 regions 19.26 19.22 25.81 26.24
Women
Education 0.063 0.084 0.084 0.639
(0.016) (0.336) (0.015) (0.305)
Age 0.021 0.020 0.006 0.033
(0.005) (0.019) (0.005) (0.017)
1995 0.087 0.093 0.013 0.178
(0.085) (0.124) (0.078) (0.112)
Education residual 0.021 0.725
(0.336) (0.306)
w2 -test, 17 regions 18.99 18.87 39.36 32.74
Note: From logit models, see Table 3.

education, the test for exogeneity does not have a instruments (Card, 1999; Staiger & Stock, 1997). We
particular good power as the standard errors of the choose to focus on the third interpretation, since this is
2SCMLR estimates are large. It therefore seems reason- more likely to burden the interpretation of our analyses.
able to further evaluate the identification strategy. We limit attention to SRH.
For both men and women, the estimated education We noted in Section 6.2 that the F-values from first-
effect is larger in magnitude when endogeneity is allowed stage education regressions may indicate a situation with
for. As in the wage literature, this finding can be weak instruments. However, as Hahn and Hausman
interpreted as showing evidence of presence of measure- (2002) point out, a weak instrument bias is determined
ment error (Griliches, 1977), heterogeneity in education not only by the F-value from the first stage, but also by
effects (Card, 1999, p. 1821) or from a bias due to weak the number of instruments and the correlation between
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158 J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160

unobserved components of the outcome and the Table 6


endogenous regressor (e.g., a and V in (4.1)). Hahn Testing for weak instruments, in a linear model for SRH
and Hausman (2002) suggest two tests using second
Education effect Men Women
order asymptotic theory for detection of weak instru-
ments. The tests in Hahn and Hausman (2002) are based OLS 0.034 0.029
on the linear regression model. Although our model is 2SLS 0.064 0.087
not linear, we use the tests as a tentative device for Reverse 2SLS 0.453 0.386
searching for these sources of bias. Second-order bias 0.119 0.108
The first test is based on the difference between 2SLS Nagar 0.064 0.087
and the inverse of reverse 2SLS estimates, corrected for Reverse Nagar 0.139 0.105
Optimal Nagar 0.068 0.091
an estimate of the second-order bias of this difference.6
Test 1 14.31 17.36
This is a test of whether first-order asymptotic theory
Test 2 0.40 0.09
seems reliable. The different estimators and the Hahn
and Hausman test statistics are found in Table 6. The Note: All estimates are from linear models with control for age,
OLS estimates of the education effects on SRH are a 1995 dummy and 17 regions. The estimators and tests are
from Hahn and Hausman (2002).
0.029 for women and 0.034 for men. The 2SLS
estimates are 0.087 for women and 0.064 for men.
Their relative sizes (between men and women, and column (5) and (10). For this specific sample the
between standard and IV estimates) are in agreement education coefficient is of qualitatively the same size as
with results using logistic models. The reverse 2SLS for the larger sample for women, while it increases even
estimate for women is 0.386, and the test statistic (Test further for men. It is noted that the age coefficient is not
1), which is a t-statistic, takes value 17.36. The test takes different from the estimates on the larger sample,
value 14.31 for men, i.e., the test rejects the conventional suggesting that cohort effects do not severely bias the
first-order asymptotic 2SLS estimates. Hahn and Haus- results.
man then suggest the use of a test based on forward and
reverse bias corrected Nagar type estimates (see their
article for details). The forward Nagar estimate is 8. Conclusion
0.087 for women and 0.064 for men, while the
inverse of the reverse Nagar estimate is 0.105 for It has been documented extensively that educational
women and 0.139 for men. That is, they are reasonably differences in health exist. Few investigations have
close. The second test statistic is 0.09 for women and considered whether the observed relationship describes
0.40 for men, thus second-order asymptotics is not a causal relationship. We have added to the existing
rejected. In this case, Hahn and Hausman recommend literature, applying new instrumental variables and
the use of LIML estimates, since they are second-order estimation techniques on a panel data set from outside
unbiased. This is also the case for the optimal Nagar the US, where most existing evidence is from.
estimator (Hausman, 1983, p. 413), which we have For both men and women, a longer education is
calculated. It is 0.091 for women and 0.068 for men, associated with better SRH. When endogeneity is
which are close to the 2SLS estimates. Given that OLS allowed for, this relationship increases in magnitude,
and 2SLS corresponded fairly well to the logit and but as is commonly found with IV methods, so do the
2SCML estimates, this indirectly suggests that the standard errors. Therefore, it cannot be rejected that
2SCML results are not severely biased from the presence education is exogenous to SRH, nor can the null of no
of weak instruments and that not much can be gained by effect of education be rejected. Similar results are
obtaining LIML estimates. obtained when BMI is used as health outcome. The
We end the discussion by pointing out that the school results are based on the use of school reforms as
reform instruments essentially compare individuals from instruments for education, and we showed that educa-
very different cohorts. In order to narrow down the tional attainment jumped to a higher level in the years
potential sources of variation causing improvements in following the 1958 reform. As with other studies of this
health over time besides educational reforms, we kind, the power of the procedure is poor. The reliability
conduct estimations for individuals aged 44–57 in of the estimates was investigated using an outcome often
1995. These are individuals who entered 7th form in determined simultaneously with education (never
one of the six years just before the 1958 reform and smoked), by looking at results for specific cohorts and
individuals who entered in one of the six years after the by the use of tests for weak instruments suggested by
reform. For this group of individuals there are 750 Hahn and Hausman (2002). These additional analyses
women and 731 men. Results are presented in Table 3, did not detect any problems with the estimation
strategy, so the results remain inconclusive about the
6
When 2SLS is given byy01 y^ 2 =y^ 01 y^ 1 , reverse 2SLS is:y01 y^ 2 =y^ 02 y^ 2 . effect of education on health.
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J.N. Arendt / Economics of Education Review 24 (2005) 149–160 159

Acknowledgements was only asked to people who were employed within the
last two months of the interview. Finally we drop those
The first version of this paper was from my Ph.D. under age 25, yielding a sample of 1710 men and 1548
Thesis from University of Copenhagen. I am grateful to women.
the Danish National Institute of Social Research for The education variables differ in 1990 and 1995,
giving me access to the WECS Data. I appreciate very because of a finer distinction between vocational
valuable comments from two referees, from the editor educations in 1995, and because short advanced degree
and from my supervisors Karsten Albaek and Martin is not referred to as advanced in 1990. We therefore
Browning, from Thomas Crossley, Michael Grossman chose to use the 1995 classification in 1990 to get a
and Bo E. Honoré as well as from participants at the consistent measure of education. When both education
Health Econometric Workshop in Odense, the EDGE variables are missing, we use the schooling variable in
Jamboree in Munich, the CAM Lunch Seminar in 1995. Years of education are defined as follows: 7 years:
Copenhagen and at a Invited Seminar at Department of 7th Grade, 9 years: 9th Grade, 10 years: 10th Grade, 11
Economics, Lund University. All errors are mine. years: one year vocational or semi-skilled, 12 years:
Gymnasium or Other Short Educ, 13 years: Apprentice-
ship, 14 years: Short Advanced, 16 years: Medium
Appendix. Definition of variables and sample selection Advanced, 18 years: Long Advanced. The 18 regional
dummies are: One for each county (14) plus one for
The WECS was collected by the Danish National Frederiksberg, Odense, Århus and Ålborg.
Institute of Occupational Health (AMI) and the Compared to the original sample, see Borg and Burr
National Institute of Social Research (SFI) as a (1997) table 2.5–2.7, younger persons and those with
representative survey of Danish citizens aged 18–59 in only primary school are under represented in our
1990 with a follow-up survey in 1995. Borg and Burr sample. One reason could be that we exclude those
(1997) describe the sampling method and how repre- under education, who are included in the tables in Borg
sentative the data is. The total sample of individuals and Burr (1997) if they have been employed within two
selected for interviews in 1990 and 1995 consists of months. Overall, the sample seems to be reasonably
11,084 individuals. The response rate was 89.7% in 1990 representative of employed individuals who have fin-
and 80.2% in 1995, hence some sample attrition occurs. ished their education.
Most of the attrition is due to migration, and some
attrition is due to death or refusal to participate. Those
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