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Hutchison Whampoa Solution
Hutchison Whampoa Solution
1. Assume Hutchison Whampoa will require US$1 billion of financing in 1996. Assume that equity can be raised at $48.80 a share and that a long-term debt issue will carry an interest rate of HIBOR plus 70 basis points. How would an equity or debt issue impact Hutchisons financial position and performance? Hutchison Whampoa Limited (HWL) had multiple major long-term projects that would require substantial funding in the future. Previously, HWL would finance these projects with cash on hand, internal cash generation and short to medium term bank financing. Because these projects were long-term, the previous way of funding these projects would not be feasible. HWL would have to guarantee that their spending would not dry up and halt the project. The amount that was estimated to be used by investment analysts was as high as $5 billion. So HWL was not able to use the same methods of financing projects as they have done in the past, this was going to be a much bigger undertaking. I analyzed the financials to determine the impact of raising US$1 billion in two different scenarios. The first scenario is if they issued US$1 billion in stock. The second scenario is if they financed their US$1 billion spending need with long-term debt. In order to analyze these two scenarios, I forecasted the financial statements to 1996. Scenario 1 - Equity Offer The first analysis was the impact of the US$1 billion equity offer on HWLs financial position and performance. Based on appendix A, the average exchange rate for US$1 to HK$ in 1996 was 7.73485. US$1 billion would be HK$7.8 billion. When new shares are created and then sold by the company, the number of shares outstanding increases and this causes dilution of earnings on a per share basis. Usually the gain of cash inflow from the sale is strategic and is considered positive for the longer term goals of the company and its shareholders. By issuing the US$1 billion in equity at $48.80 a share, HWL is issuing 20,491,803 shares. The pre-equity quantity of shares outstanding was 155,881,137. The percent of dilution to the shares (not the value of the company) is 11.7% (from appendix B). It is important to note that this dilution is only to the percent of the company that the shareholders own, not to the value of the company they own. That is because this equity offering is increasing the value of the company because now they have the long-term capital needed to undertake all the projects they have planned and approved. The projects that will now occur have created additional value for the company. 1|Page
3. What other considerations arise here? How important is the international aspect? The international aspect is very important. This is because a major factor in the case is the country currency you are obtaining the capital in. There are several different ways to obtain the capital thru debt. However, some have greater currency risk exposure than others. For example a Yankee bond would denominated in US currency. There is a certain amount of exchange rate risk that HWL will take on by raising the capital in US$. Whenever a company has assets or business operations across national borders, they face currency risk if their positions are not hedged. A consideration that HWL might want to make is to hedge its currency risk to reduce its exposure to the US$. If this risk was too much for HWL to take on, they could raise the capital using straight debt. Straight bonds are issued in Hong Kong and denominated in Hong Kong dollars. Or if HWL wanted to obtain funding in neither US$ or HK$, they could obtain a Eurobond, which is an international bond that is denominated in a currency not native to the country where it is issued. It can be categorized according to the currency in which it is issued. 3|Page
4. What bond rating do you think Hutchison Whampoa will be able to obtain from Standard and Poors? Why? To understand what Hutchison Whampoas bond rating should be, you have to analyze some of their key ratios in comparison to the industrys key financial ratios. Below are the key industrial financial ratios and highlighted is the range that HWL best fits into. Based on this chart, it would appear that HWL would either have a bond rating of a BB or a BBB. But after comparing it to comparable HWL with comparable firms in Hong Kong, HWL has weaker ratios, and would probably have a BB rating from Standard and Poors. The difference between a BBB and BB bond rating is very large. This is the biggest discrepancy between bond ratings. BBB is an investment-grade bond rating, BB is a noninvestment-grade bond rating. Noninvestment-grade bonds are often referred to as high yield or junk debt. Some large investors, such as pension funds and charitable trusts, are barred from investing in noninvestmentgrade debt. The premium that HWL would have to pay on its debt if it drops by one rating is in the 1.6% to 1.7% range. To put this into perspective, HWL would only save 0.4% if its rating improved to an A bond rating.
Appendix 4 Key Industrial Financial Ratios Three-Year Medians (1994-1996) Hutchison
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AAA
1 2
AA
1 1
BBB
BB
4. 3.
EBIT Interest Coverage (x) EBITDA Interest coverage (x) Funds from operations/total debt (%) Free operating cash flow/total debt (%) Pretax return on permanent capital (%) Operating income/sales (%) Long-term debt/capital (%) Total debt/capitalization incl. short-term debt (%)
Source: Standard & Poor's, 1999.
6.10
1.10
6.30
4.10
2.30
1.20
90
BBB
0.30 4.90 8.50 6.00 3.60 2.30 70 BB 116.40 72.30 47.50 34.70 18.40 10.90 14.80 % % % % % % % BB 76.80 30.50 18.80 7.30 % % % 8.40% 2.40% 1.20% % BBB 31.50 23.60 19.50 15.10 11.90 12.40 % % % % % 9.10% % BB 24.00 19.20 16.10 15.40 15.10 12.60 17.80 % % % % % % % AA 13.40 21.90 32.70 43.40 53.90 65.90 28.90 % % % % % % % A 23.60 29.70 38.70 46.80 55.80 68.90 44.80 % % % % % % % BBB
5. Compare the debt financing options. Explain why you are for/against the Yankee bond option. The debt financing options included three different types of bonds; straight debt, Eurobonds and Yankee bonds. Straight debt would be bonds issued in Hong Kong and denominated in Hong Kong dollars. Eurobonds are issued in the international bond market (can be multiple counties) and can be issued in Hong Kong dollars. Yankee bonds for HWL are bonds that are issued by a firm in the United States and denominated in US dollars. I am not for HWL issuing a Yankee bond. This would be one of the more difficult bonds for HWL to issue, and because it is denominated in US$, it increases the currency risk that HWL will be taken on. The reason why it is the most difficult bond for HWL to issue is because if they are raising the capital through the public, they have to file a registration statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and disclose their financials in accordance to GAAP. Since they are not disclosing their financials in accordance with GAAP, this will take time and money to do. But if they wanted to raise the money from the Yankee bonds through institutional investors only, there 5|Page
6. What kind of capital structure would you propose to Hutchison Whampoa and why? HWL needs to analyze its financial flexibility. Flexibility is how much debt you can issue before you lose the investment-grade bond rating. With more debt, the lower the cost of capital because of the tax shield, but because of the situation HWL is in with its bond rating, a BB rating is a huge difference from BBB. The ideal situation for HWL would be to take-on the maximum amount of debt while keeping its BBB rating. This way it will not have to pay the 1.6% premium for having its rating drop to a noninvestment-grade bond rating. The remaining amount of capital it needs to obtain can be done thru the equity offer. The equity offer can still take place at $48.80 a share, but for fewer shares. The debt should be obtained through Eurobonds. Because of the size, and ease for HWL to raise capital, HWL should obtain its long term debt financing through Eurobonds. The cost of debt is cheaper, and has the added benefit of the tax shield. If it was not for the change in rating for issuing too much debt, the entire capital would be raised by debt. But the change in rating makes it necessary for HWL to raise the remaining amount through the equity issue.
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