A 02000MAT202052103 Pages: 3

Reg No.:_______________ Name:__________________________

APJ ABDUL KALAM TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY
Fourth Semester B.Tech Degree Examination June 2022 (2019 scheme)

Course Code: MAT202

Course Name: PROBABILITY, STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL METHODS
Max. Marks: 100 Duration: 3 Hours
(Normal distribution table and t- distribution table are allowed)
PART A
(Answer all questions; each question carries 3 marks) Marks

1 The probability distribution function of a random variable 𝑋 is given below. (3)

X 0 1 2 3
𝑓(𝑥) 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2
2
Find 𝐸(𝑌) where 𝑌 = 𝑋 + 𝑋.
2 8 coins are tossed 256 times. In how many tosses do you expect no heads? (3)
3 Derive the mean and variance of exponential distribution. (3)
4 The joint probability density of a two-dimensional random variable is (3)
𝑥𝑦
, 0 < 𝑥 < 4, 1 < 𝑦 < 5
𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = { 96 Find 𝑃(1 < 𝑋 < 2, 2 < 𝑌 < 3).
0, 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
5 The mean score of a random sample of 100 students who attended a certain Board (3)
examination is 75 with standard deviation 10. Construct a 90% confidence interval
for the population mean.
6 23% of people used a particular brand of tea. After providing a special offer (3)
312 out of 1200 randomly selected people found to be consumers of the brand.
State the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis to test whether the data provide
sufficient evidence to conclude that there is an increase in the proportion of people
using the brand after providing the offer.
7 Solve 𝑥 3 = 25 by Newton-Raphson method correct to 3 decimal places. (3)
8 Use Lagrange's interpolation method to find the unique polynomial 𝑝(𝑥) which (3)
agree with the data 𝑦(0) = 1, 𝑦(1) = 0 and 𝑦(3) = 10.
9 Write the normal equations for fitting the curve 𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥 2 . (3)
10 𝑑𝑦 (3)
Use Euler's method with ℎ = 0.2, to find 𝑦(0.2) if = 𝑦 + 𝑒 𝑥 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝑥 , 𝑦(0) =
𝑑𝑥
0
PART B
(Answer one full question from each module, each question carries 14 marks)
Module -1
11 a) Find 𝑎, 𝑏 if 𝑌 = 𝑎𝑋 + 𝑏 has mean 4 and variance 16, where 𝑋 is a random variable (7)
with mean 8 and variance 4.

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b) It is known that 2% of the bolts produced by a company are defective. The bolts (7)
are supplied in boxes of 200 bolts. What is the probability that a randomly chosen
box contains not more than 5 defective bolts? In a consignment of 1000 such boxes
how many can be expected to have more than 5 defective bolts? (Use Poisson
distribution)
12 a) A random variable 𝑋 has the following probability distribution: (7)

X -2 -1 0 1 2 3
2
𝑓(𝑥) 0.1 15𝑘 0.2 2𝑘 0.3 3𝑘
(i) Find the value of 𝑘, (ii) the mean and variance of 𝑋.
b) The joint pdf of 𝑋, 𝑌 is given by 𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = 𝑘(𝑥 + 2𝑦), 𝑥 = 1,2,3; 𝑦 = 1,2,3. Find (7)
(i) 𝑘 (ii) marginal pdf of 𝑋, 𝑌 (iii) 𝑃(𝑋 < 3, 𝑌 ≥ 2).
Module -2
13 a) Buses arrived at a specified stop at 15 minute intervals starting at 7 am. A (7)
passenger arrives at the stop at random time between 7 am and 7.30 am. Find the
probability that he waits (i) less than 5 minutes, (ii) at least 12 minutes.
b) For a normally distributed population, 31% of the items have their values less (7)
than 45 and 8% are above 64. Find the mean and standard deviation of the
distribution.
14 a) 𝑥2 (7)
, −1 < 𝑥 < 2
If 𝑋 is a random variable with PDF 𝑓(𝑥) = { 3 .
0, 𝑒𝑙𝑠𝑒𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒
Find (i) Mean of 𝑋 (ii) Variance of 𝑋 (iii) 𝐶𝑑𝑓 of 𝑋.
b) The lifetime of a certain type of machine follows an exponential distribution with (7)
mean 50 hours. Use Central Limit Theorem to find the probability that 100 of these
machines will provide a total life time of more than 6000 hours.
Module -3
15 a) A company manufacturing tyres claims that its deluxe tyre averages at least 50000 (7)
miles before it needs to be replaced. From the past studies of this tyre, the standard
deviation is known to be 8000. A survey of owners of the tyre design is conducted.
From the 38 tyres surveyed, the mean lifespan was 46500 miles. Using the level
of significance 1% test the claim of the company.
b) From the given data test at 5% level of significance whether there is any (7)
significance difference between means of A and B.
Sample Sample size Mean SD
A 645 7.90 0.47
B 450 7.88 0.42
16 a) The manufacturer of a certain type of metal wire claims that the mean breaking (7)
strength of the wire is more than 575 kg. A sample of 6 metal tires give the mean
of 573 with a variance of 14. Test whether the manufacturer's claim can be
accepted at 5% level of significance.

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b) A shopkeeper claims that atmost 60% of customers entering the shop leaves (7)
without making a purchase. Out of a random sample of 50 customers, 35 found to
left with out making a purchase. Does this data support the claim of the shopkeeper
at 5% level of significance?
Module -4
17 a) Using regula falsi method compute the real root of the equation 𝑒 2𝑥 − 𝑥 − 6 = (7)
0 correct to 4 decimal places.
b) Calculate 𝑦(0.015) using Newton’s forward interpolation formula. (7)
𝑥 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
𝑦 1.2 2.5 3.6 4.6 5.3
18 a) Evaluate 2 𝑑𝑥 1 (7)
∫1 using Simpson’s rule. (Take ℎ = 0.25)
𝑥 3
b) The following table gives the values of 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝜃 where 𝜃 is in degrees. Using (7)
Newton's backward interpolation formula estimate the value of 𝑐𝑜𝑠 5 30 .
𝜃 10 20 30 40 50 60
𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝜃 0.9848 0.9397 0.8660 0.7660 0.6428 0.5000
Module -5
19 a) Using Gauss-Seidal iteration method, find an approximate solution to the (7)
following system of equations correct to 4 decimal places.
8𝑥 − 3𝑦 + 2𝑧 = 20, 4𝑥 + 11𝑦 − 𝑧 = 33, 6𝑥 + 3𝑦 + 12𝑧 = 36
b) Use Runge-Kutta method of order 4 to find 𝑦(0.7) if 𝑑𝑦 = 𝑦 − 𝑥 2 given (7)
𝑑𝑥
𝑦(0.6) = 1.737. (Choose ℎ = 0.1)
20 a) Fit a second degree parabola of the form 𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥 + 𝑐𝑥 2 to the following (7)
data.
𝑥 0 1 2 3 4
𝑦 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.8 5.9
b) Solve 𝑑𝑦 = 𝑥 2 (1 + 𝑦) for 𝑥 = 1.4 using Adams-Moulton Method, given (7)
𝑑𝑥
𝑦(1) = 1, 𝑦(1.1) = 1.233, 𝑦(1.2) = 1.548 and 𝑦(1.3) = 1.979.
***

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