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PS11
PS11
PS11
Extranef 130
16 15 17 30
1 condition 1 1
Tig
Condition 2 1 lires sum 1
51
Tig
2 pt pt PE for f 1 and 2
pᵗᵗʰ pt Tk
3 E Et 7E Zi 7ᵗʰ 2
Theexpectedvalue
71 Tip Zztiz of a futuredatepositionisequaltothe
bythe
currentpossiblepositionEnmultiplied
of
probability beinginZn
whichis Tin
PluscurrentpossiblepositionZzmultiplied byTia
E Et 1 2 t Zi
211 9734 0
3 211 912 29 0
9
From or 9 1
6 2 1 9
Building Hessian ff 2117913 f9 2
and fly by 6 11 97
check atpoint 10,01 PDsolocalm
g
But it is not a
global min
2
lets take
f X 2 4 if ne
ther s
f4 2
5 NPUDDJEPUBB
may
2
mais C condition CV
FOC α v
1
C 171 21 Eo
2 1 α
C 1211 21 2 v
LIV
Bargaining power
NPVDB 1 2
NPUDD V LV decrease if 4 2
4 From above V IVE V11 2 V
Follows an exponential distribution
5 E v3 at equilibrium
E v3 dx è
fé
té
Ii dx
FÉE E
Var V x
weneedtocomputeElx.TL
2
For integration we set du é dx
ÉTÉ_dExdx
E Ex
2
hé té e d
zfxxe.tt
EEX
Var x E EX EX
Te
and varlu
Iyi
as MLE Ê mg x L IX
or x h 2K X
mg
Xi E i
with L CE X
II e e
Ê
so h 24 x h e neux Êxi
Take the FOC wit 244 1 7 ET O
2K
En
ECX EEN x
̅
2
Var x Var x x
̅
EU and var u
1 False it may be an inflection point
47